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Some clarifications regarding power and Type I error control for pairwise comparisons of three groups 关于三组两两比较的功率和I型误差控制的一些澄清
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V12N1P55
Andrew V. Frane
A previous study in this journal used Monte Carlo simulations to compare the power and familywise Type I error rates of ten multiple-testing procedures in the context of pairwise comparisons in balanced three-group designs. The authors concluded that the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure was the "best."' However, they did not compare the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure to commonly used multiple-testing procedures that were developed specifically for pairwise comparisons, such as Fisher's protected least significant difference and Tukey's honest significant difference. Simulations in the present study show that in the three-group case, Fisher's method is more powerful than both Tukey's method and the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure. Compared to the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure, Tukey's method is shown to be less powerful in terms of per-pair power (average probability of significance across the tests of false null hypotheses), but more powerful in terms of any-pair power (probability of significance in at least one test of a false null hypothesis). Additionally, the present study shows that small deviations from normality in the population distributions have little effect on the power of pairwise comparisons, and that the previous study's finding to the contrary was based on a methodological inconsistency.
本杂志之前的一项研究使用蒙特卡罗模拟来比较平衡三组设计中两两比较背景下十种多重测试程序的功率和家庭I型错误率。作者得出结论,benjamin - hochberg手术是“最好的”。“然而,他们没有将Benjamini-Hochberg程序与专门为两两比较而开发的常用多重测试程序进行比较,例如Fisher的保护最小显著差异和Tukey的诚实显著差异。本研究的模拟结果表明,在三组情况下,Fisher方法比Tukey方法和Benjamini-Hochberg方法都更有效。与Benjamini-Hochberg过程相比,Tukey的方法在每对功率(错误零假设检验的平均显著性概率)方面表现得不那么强大,但在任何对功率(至少一个错误零假设检验的显著性概率)方面表现得更强大。此外,本研究表明,总体分布中偏离正态性的小偏差对两两比较的效果影响不大,而先前研究的相反发现是基于方法上的不一致。
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引用次数: 0
Weighted Lasso Subsampling for HighDimensional Regression 高维回归的加权Lasso子抽样
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V12N1P69
Hassan S. Uraibi
Lasso regression methods are widely used for a number of scientic applications.Many practitioners of statistics were not aware that a small changein the data would results in unstable Lasso solution path. For instance, inthe presence of outlying observations, Lasso perhaps leads the increase inthe percentage of the false selection rate of predictors. On the other hand,the discussions on determining an optimal shrinkage parameter of Lasso isstill ongoing. Therefore, this paper proposed a robust algorithm to tacklethe instability of Lasso in the presence of outliers. A new weight function isproposed to overcome the problem of outlying observations. The weightedobservations are subsamples for a certain number of subsamples to controlthe false Lasso selection. The simulation study has been carried out and usesreal data to assess the performance of our proposed algorithm. Consequently,the proposed method shows more eciency than LAD-Lasso and weightedLAD-Lasso and more reliable results.
套索回归方法在许多科学应用中被广泛使用。许多统计从业人员没有意识到,数据的微小变化会导致Lasso解路径不稳定。例如,在存在离群观测的情况下,拉索可能导致预测者错误选择率的百分比增加。另一方面,关于确定拉索的最佳收缩参数的讨论仍在进行中。因此,本文提出了一种鲁棒算法来处理存在异常值时Lasso的不稳定性。提出了一种新的权函数来克服离群观测值的问题。加权观测值是一定数量的子样本的子样本,以控制假套索选择。仿真研究已经进行,并使用真实数据来评估我们提出的算法的性能。结果表明,该方法比LAD-Lasso和加权LAD-Lasso算法效率更高,结果更可靠。
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引用次数: 4
Acceptance Sampling Plans Based on Truncated Life Tests in the Inverse-Gamma Model 基于逆伽玛模型截短寿命试验的验收抽样计划
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P397
Abedel-Qader Al-Masri
In this article, acceptance sampling plans are suggested for the life test that is truncated at a preassigned time. The life time of the test units are assumed to follow the inverse-gamma distribution. The minimum sample sizes necessary to ensure the specified mean life is obtained. The operating characteristic function values of the proposed sampling plans and the producer's risk are provieded. Some tables are given and the results are illustrated by numerical examples.
在本文中,对在预先指定的时间被截断的寿命测试提出了验收抽样计划。假设测试单元的使用寿命遵循逆伽马分布。确保获得规定平均寿命所需的最小样本量。提供了拟议抽样计划的运行特征函数值和生产商的风险。给出了一些表格,并用数值例子说明了结果。
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引用次数: 5
A note on depth-based classification of circular data 关于圆形数据深度分类的一点注记
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P447
Giuseppe Pandolfo, Antonio D’Ambrosio, G. C. Porzio
A procedure is developed in order to deal with the classification problem of objects in circular statistics. It is fully non-parametric and based on depth functions for directional data. Using the so-called DD-plot, we apply the k-nearest neighbors method in order to discriminate between competing groups. Three different notions of data depth for directional data are considered: the angular simplicial, the angular Tukey and the arc distance. We investigate and compare their performances through the average misclassification rate with respect to different distributional settings by using simulated and real data sets. Results show that the use of the arc distance depth should be generally preferred, and in some cases it outperforms the classifier based both on the angular simplicial and Tukey depths.
为了解决循环统计中对象的分类问题,开发了一个程序。它完全是非参数的,并且基于方向数据的深度函数。使用所谓的DD图,我们应用k近邻方法来区分竞争组。对于定向数据,考虑了三种不同的数据深度概念:角度单纯形、角度Tukey和弧距。我们使用模拟和真实数据集,通过不同分布设置的平均错误分类率来研究和比较它们的性能。结果表明,通常应该优先使用弧距离深度,在某些情况下,它优于基于角度单纯深度和Tukey深度的分类器。
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引用次数: 9
Bivariate Basu-Dhar geometric model for survival data with a cure fraction 具有治愈率的生存数据的双变量Basu-Dhar几何模型
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P655
E. Martinez, J. Achcar, T. R. Icuma
Under a context of survival lifetime analysis, we introduce in this paper Bayesian and maximum likelihood approaches for the bivariate Basu-Dhar geometric model in the presence of covariates and a cure fraction. This distribution is useful to model bivariate discrete lifetime data. In the Bayesian estimation, posterior summaries of interest were obtained using standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in the OpenBUGS software. Maximum likelihood estimates for the parameters of interest were computed using the textquotedblleft maxLik" package of the R software. Illustrations of the proposed approaches are given for two real data sets.
在生存寿命分析的背景下,我们引入了存在协变量和治愈分数的二元Basu-Dhar几何模型的贝叶斯和最大似然方法。这种分布对二元离散寿命数据的建模是有用的。在贝叶斯估计中,使用OpenBUGS软件中的标准马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法获得感兴趣的后验摘要。使用R软件的textquotedblleft maxLik”包计算感兴趣参数的最大似然估计。给出了两个实际数据集的示例。
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引用次数: 4
Approximate Posterior Inference for Multiple Testing using a Hierarchical Mixed-effect Poisson Regression Model 基于层次混合效应泊松回归模型的多元检验近似后验推理
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P622
Alejandro Murua, Annick Nembot-Simo
We present an approximate posterior inference  methodology for a Bayesian hierarchical mixed-effect Poisson regression model. The model serves us to address the multiple testing problem in the presence of many group or cluster effects. This is carried out through a specialized Bayesian false discovery rate procedure. The likelihood is simplified by an approximation based on Laplace's approximation for integrals and a trace approximation for the determinants. The posterior marginals are estimated using this approximated likelihood. In particular, we obtain credible regions for the parameters, as well as probability estimates for the difference between risks (Poisson intensities) associated with different groups or clusters, or different levels of the fixed effects. The methodology is illustrated through an application to a vaccine trial.
我们提出了一种近似后验推理方法,用于贝叶斯层次混合效应泊松回归模型。该模型为我们解决了存在许多组或集群效应的多重测试问题。这是通过一个专门的贝叶斯错误发现率程序来实现的。通过基于积分的拉普拉斯近似和行列式的迹近似简化了似然。后验边缘是用这个近似似然估计的。特别是,我们获得了参数的可信区域,以及与不同组或集群或不同固定效应水平相关的风险(泊松强度)之间差异的概率估计。通过对疫苗试验的应用说明了该方法。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid method combining the PLS and the Bayesian approaches to estimate the Structural Equation Models 一种结合PLS和贝叶斯方法估计结构方程模型的混合方法
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P577
Ahmed Quazza, R. Noureddine, Zarrouk Zoubir
The purpose of this paper is to provide a hybrid method combining the Partial Least Squares and the Bayesian approaches to estimate the Structural Equation Models. The aim advantage of this new method is to overcome the assumption of normality that is required in Bayesian approach. The results obtained from an application on simulated and on real data show that our proposed method outperforms both PLS and Bayesian approaches in terms of standard errors.
本文的目的是提供一种结合偏最小二乘法和贝叶斯方法的混合方法来估计结构方程模型。该方法的主要优点是克服了贝叶斯方法的正态性假设。在模拟和实际数据上的应用结果表明,我们提出的方法在标准误差方面优于PLS和贝叶斯方法。
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引用次数: 5
Modelling Subjective Well-Being dimensions through an IRT bifactor model: Evidences from an Italian study 通过IRT双因子模型构建主观幸福感维度:来自意大利研究的证据
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P427
C. Bernini, M. Matteucci, S. Mignani
The investigation of individual and community well-being has acquired a particular relevance over time for governments to develop strategies and identify resources for improving standards of living. To this aim, it is necessary to analyse changes at the overall level and examine how subjective well-being differs between different sub-groups of the population as well as across local areas. Using data measuring the well-being of residents in the Romagna area (Italy), we propose a multidimensional approach within the item response theory (IRT) framework to estimate an overall score of community Subjective Well-Being (SWB) and individual scores reflecting specific dimensions, taking into account for the ordinal polytomous nature of the items. The results show that aspects dealing with Life Evaluation mainly affect the overall SWB, while issues pertaining to Community and Environment are less important. The proposed approach is effective in developing an indicator taking into account the multidimensionality of SWB and estimating individual scores reflecting the heterogeneity among residents.
随着时间的推移,对个人和社区福祉的调查对政府制定提高生活水平的战略和确定资源具有特别的意义。为此,有必要从整体层面分析变化,并研究不同人口亚群体以及不同地区的主观幸福感有何不同。利用测量罗马涅地区(意大利)居民幸福感的数据,我们在项目反应理论(IRT)框架内提出了一种多维方法,以估计社区主观幸福感(SWB)的总体得分和反映特定维度的个人得分,同时考虑到项目的顺序多元性。研究结果表明,生命评估主要影响整体主观幸福感,而社区和环境问题则不那么重要。所提出的方法在制定考虑主观幸福感多维性的指标和估计反映居民异质性的个人得分方面是有效的。
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引用次数: 1
Using Markov-Switching models in Italian, British, U.S. and Mexican equity portfolios: a performance test 在意大利、英国、美国和墨西哥的股票投资组合中使用马尔可夫转换模型:一个性能测试
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/I20705948V11N2P489
O. D. L. Torre, Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa, J. Álvarez‐García
In this paper we test the use of Markov Switching models in equity trading strategies, following Brooks and Persand (2001), Kritzman et al. (2012) and Hauptmann et al. (2014), who suggest their use as warning systems of bad performing periods. We extend their reviews by testing again (with the impact of trading fees) the U.S. and U.K. markets and by extending our tests to the Italian and Mexican case. The rationale behind our Markov-Switching strategy is to invest in equity index tracking ETFs in low volatility or ”good performing” periods and in the local risk-free asset in high-volatility or ”bad performing” ones. Our results show that in a weekly simulation from January 4, 2001 to July 30, 2017 with a 0.35% trading fee plus taxes, our system is useful to create alpha in all the simulated markets even if the Italian case showed several deep distress moments due to a financial or political crisis.
在本文中,我们测试了Markov切换模型在股票交易策略中的使用,继Brooks和Persand(2001)、Kritzman等人(2012)和Hauptmann等人(2014)之后,他们建议将其用作表现不佳时期的预警系统。我们通过在美国和英国市场再次测试(受交易费影响),并将我们的测试扩展到意大利和墨西哥的案例,来扩展他们的审查。我们的马尔可夫切换策略背后的基本原理是投资于低波动性或“表现良好”时期的股票指数跟踪ETF,以及投资于高波动率或“表现不佳”时期的本地无风险资产。我们的结果表明,在2001年1月4日至2017年7月30日的每周模拟中,我们的系统有助于在所有模拟市场中创建阿尔法,即使意大利的案例因金融或政治危机而出现了几个严重的困境时刻。
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引用次数: 8
Predicting Total Shipping and Clearance Time for Al-Ghanim Sahara Transportation 预测Al-Ghanim Sahara运输的总运输和清关时间
IF 0.7 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-10-14 DOI: 10.1285/i20705948v11n2p405
Ahmed Bani‐Mustafa, Sondos Abuorf, Raghdah AL-Jumlah, Manar Al-Mutair, Hajar Kattan, Hajar AL-Muzaiel, A. Mazari, Abdulwahed Khalfan, Najmuddin S. Patwa
Understanding factors that affect lead time can help supply chain management to get better understanding for the amount of time it takes to deliver products to the market. This investigation sought to determine factors that influenced lead time shipment at Al-Ghanim Sahra Transportation (AST). The delivery lead time data was collected from AST over four years (2013 – 2016). The information consists of customers’ orders starting from the actual time of shipments until clearance date over several stages of shipment. A multivariate fixed and random regression models were employed using stepwise variable selections to identify significant independent factors; including their interaction to lead time. Supp, Commodities, Departure Port and Shipping line along with their interaction were significant shipping-related contributors to lead time explaining 38.7% of the total variation in lead time.
了解影响交付周期的因素可以帮助供应链管理更好地了解将产品交付到市场所需的时间。本次调查旨在确定影响Al-Ghanim Sahra运输公司(AST)交付周期装运的因素。交付交付周期数据是从AST收集的,历时四年(2013-2016)。该信息由客户的订单组成,从实际发货时间开始,直到发货的几个阶段的清关日期。采用多变量固定和随机回归模型,使用逐步变量选择来识别显著的独立因素;包括他们对交付周期的互动。Supp、Commodities、Department Port和Shipping line及其相互作用是交付周期的重要航运相关因素,解释了交付周期总变化的38.7%。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis
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