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Who Benefits from More Housing? A Panel Data Study on the Role of Housing in the Intermunicipal Migration of Different Age Cohorts in Sweden 住房增加谁受益?瑞典不同年龄群体城市间迁移中住房作用的面板数据研究
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.52324/001C.7994
Peter Karpestam
Although Swedish housing standards are high and young adults leave the parental home relatively early, there are indications that for certain groups housing has, in recent years, become less accessible. We analyse how housing characteristics affect intermunicipal mobility for different age cohorts and estimate a panel data gravity model that models migration as a function of origin and destination characteristics. The results suggest that new construction in the past two decades has negatively affected migration within commuting regions more than migration between commuting regions. For metropolitan areas, there are considerable negative effects on net migration from other commuter regions because new construction has not kept pace with population growth. The effects are stronger for young adults (20-44) compared to older adults (45-74). Further, we find that, while new construction stimulates mobility for all age cohorts, the estimated relationship is weaker for the youngest adults; indicating a need for more variation in new construction to satisfy different needs. Also, we find that the decreased share of rentals since 1992 have negatively affected the short-distance mobility of the youngest adults while the effect is weaker or even positive for the remaining age cohorts.
虽然瑞典的住房标准很高,年轻人相对较早离开父母的家,但有迹象表明,近年来某些群体的住房越来越难获得。我们分析了住房特征如何影响不同年龄群体的城市间流动性,并估计了一个面板数据重力模型,该模型将迁移建模为起源和目的地特征的函数。结果表明,近20年来,新建设对通勤区域内人口迁移的负面影响大于通勤区域间人口迁移。对于大都市地区来说,由于新建筑没有跟上人口增长的步伐,其他通勤地区的净移民受到了相当大的负面影响。与老年人(45-74岁)相比,年轻人(20-44岁)的影响更大。此外,我们发现,虽然新建筑刺激了所有年龄组的流动性,但对最年轻的成年人的估计关系较弱;表明在新结构中需要更多的变化来满足不同的需求。此外,我们发现自1992年以来租金份额的下降对最年轻成年人的短途流动性产生了负面影响,而对其他年龄组的影响较弱甚至是积极的。
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment and Entrepreneurship in the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States: A Spatial Panel Data Analysis 美国中大西洋地区的失业和创业:一个空间面板数据分析
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-10 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7992
Ismail M. Cole
Studies of whether unemployment leads to more or fewer firm births and whether firm births reduce unemployment have produced mixed, inconclusive, and even conflicting results. A group of studies have attempted to reconcile these findings by exploring the possibility that the assumed linear relationship may break down and become non-linear, as might be the case if the relationships were space- and time-variant. However, these studies have also produced inconclusive results. The current study extends the analysis in this small but growing literature from the usual single- and multi-country level to the sub-country level while paying particular attention to the role of spatial effects in the firm creation process. We do this by combining spatial exploratory data analysis and spatial econometrics based on panel data for 365 counties in the Mid-Atlantic region from 1999 to 2010. The results show that spatial effects play a crucial role in this process and that ignoring them substantially underestimates the long-run effects of unemployment on firm births. The results also reveal a robust and statistically significant inverted U-shaped relationship in which rising unemployment raises the firm birth rate up to a certain threshold. In addition, a U-shaped relationship where rising firm births lower unemployment for a period but subsequently increase it is observed. These non-linear results help explain some of the conflicting findings in the literature.
关于失业是否会导致更多或更少的企业诞生,以及企业诞生是否会减少失业的研究产生了混合的、不确定的、甚至相互矛盾的结果。一组研究试图通过探索假设的线性关系可能会破裂并变成非线性的可能性来调和这些发现,就像这种关系是时空变化的情况一样。然而,这些研究也产生了不确定的结果。目前的研究将这一数量不多但不断增长的文献中的分析从通常的单一和多国层面扩展到子国家层面,同时特别关注空间效应在企业创建过程中的作用。本文基于1999 - 2010年大西洋中部地区365个县的面板数据,将空间探索性数据分析和空间计量经济学相结合。结果表明,空间效应在这一过程中起着至关重要的作用,忽视空间效应大大低估了失业对企业出生率的长期影响。结果还揭示了一个强大的和统计上显著的倒u型关系,其中失业率上升将企业出生率提高到一定的阈值。此外,观察到一个u型关系,即上升的企业出生率在一段时间内降低了失业率,但随后又增加了失业率。这些非线性结果有助于解释文献中一些相互矛盾的发现。
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引用次数: 3
Does Titling Matter? Evidence from Housing Markets in India 所有权重要吗?来自印度房地产市场的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7993
J. Landry, A. Bento, Somik V. Lall
In this paper, we exploit the plausibly exogenous random relocation of slum dwellers in Pune, India to evaluate whether the provision of a formal title is capitalized into property values. Using propensity score matching methods, which address important sources of bias that are present in conventional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) hedonic methods, we find no effect of titling. Our results suggest that slum improvements may be sufficient to enhance informal tenure rights and that formalizing those rights with a title has little additional impact. An analysis of heterogeneous treatment effects from titling confirms this conclusion, providing preliminary evidence when titling may complement or substitute for other slum interventions.
在本文中,我们利用印度浦那贫民窟居民貌似外生的随机搬迁来评估提供正式所有权是否被资本化为财产价值。使用倾向得分匹配方法,该方法解决了传统的普通最小二乘(OLS)享乐方法中存在的重要偏差来源,我们发现标题没有影响。我们的研究结果表明,贫民窟的改善可能足以增强非正式的权利人权利,而将这些权利以产权形式正式化几乎没有额外的影响。一项对所有权的异质性治疗效果的分析证实了这一结论,为所有权可以补充或替代其他贫民窟干预措施提供了初步证据。
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引用次数: 1
The Italian Regional Dualism: A MARS and Panel Data Analysis 意大利地区二元论:MARS和面板数据分析
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-05 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7991
Iacopo Odoardi
The income gap between the richest and the poorest areas in Italy has increased in the last decades. We study the sources of regional wealth that can explain the differences in income and compare rich and poor areas to provide suggestions on how to bridge the gap. A multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) analysis is used to detect the relevant GDP determinants, and a fixed effects model is used to investigate the regional characteristics. The effects of the 2007 crisis are evident in all regions, and some structural weaknesses in the less wealthy areas limit the opportunities to exit the recession and close many socioeconomic gaps with the wealthiest regions.
意大利最富裕和最贫穷地区之间的收入差距在过去几十年里不断扩大。我们研究了可以解释收入差异的地区财富来源,并对贫富地区进行了比较,为如何缩小差距提供建议。采用多变量自适应样条回归(MARS)分析来检测相关GDP决定因素,并采用固定效应模型来研究区域特征。2007年危机的影响在所有地区都很明显,较不富裕地区的一些结构性弱点限制了摆脱衰退和缩小与最富裕地区之间许多社会经济差距的机会。
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引用次数: 10
The Rules of the Game 游戏规则
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-11-30 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7988
P. Schaeffer
The success or failure of economic actors depends on a variety of factors, which I sort into three groups: attitudes and values, endowments, and rules. Of these three, we only fully control for factors in the first group. Factors in the other two groups are determined by luck, though through individual effort we may enhance them, particularly endowments such as talent or inherited resources. As individuals, most of us have no or very little influence on rules. Rules depend on power, and most people exercise power only indirectly as members of a group or groups. In this address, I focus on the rules, which also means that I focus on power, a neglected topic in economic development, and in modern economics in general.
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引用次数: 0
Physical Water Use and Water Sector Activity in Environmental Input-Output Analysis 环境投入产出分析中的物理用水和水部门活动
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-11-15 DOI: 10.52324/001c.9677
O. Alabi, M. Munday, K. Swales, K. Turner
This paper uses input-output accounting methods to identify the direct, indirect and induced physical demand for water. Previously the seminal work by Leontief (1970) has been employed to motivate a fuller account of issues related to sectors that generate and sectors that clean/treat polluting outputs (Allan et al 2007). The present paper extends this approach to deal with sectors that use a natural resource and the sector(s) that supply it. We focus on the case of water use and supply and a case study for the Welsh regional economy. The analysis shows how the proposed method, using both the quantity input-output model and the associated price dual, can be used to consider economy wide implications of the deviation between actual expenditure on the output of the water sector and actual physical water use. The price paid per physical amount of water appears to vary greatly amongst different uses. This may occur for various reasons. We argue that such analysis and information is essential for policy makers and regulators in understanding the demands on and supply of UK regional water resources, their role in supporting economic expansion, and can ultimately inform water sustainability objectives and strategies.
本文采用投入产出核算方法,对水资源的直接、间接和诱导需要量进行了核算。此前,Leontief(1970)的开创性工作已被用于激发对生产部门和清洁/处理污染产出部门相关问题的更全面描述(Allan et al . 2007)。本文将这一方法扩展到处理使用自然资源的部门和提供自然资源的部门。我们专注于水的使用和供应的情况下,并为威尔士地区经济的案例研究。分析表明,使用数量投入产出模型和相关价格二元模型的拟议方法如何能够用于考虑水部门产出的实际支出与实际物理用水之间的偏差对经济的广泛影响。在不同的用途之间,每物理量的水所支付的价格似乎差别很大。这可能是由于各种原因造成的。我们认为,这样的分析和信息对于政策制定者和监管者理解英国区域水资源的需求和供应、它们在支持经济扩张中的作用至关重要,并最终可以为水的可持续性目标和战略提供信息。
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引用次数: 3
Reflections on and Inquiry into Unfamiliar as well as Familar Factors that may Influence the Market for Municipal Bonds 影响市政债券市场的陌生因素与熟悉因素的思考与探究
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-06-28 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7996
R. Cebula
This study investigates the impact of various factors on the ex ante real interest rate yield on high grade municipal bonds. The AR/2SLS estimation implies that this ex ante real interest rate is an increasing function of the ex ante real interest rate yield on thirty-year Treasury bonds while being a decreasing function of net capital flows. The yield in question also is found to have been negatively impacted by the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act. Furthermore, the estimation finds that this interest rate measure is a decreasing function of the maximum marginal federal personal income tax rate. In addition, it is found that, in the presence of an interaction term, the ex ante real interest rate yield on high grade municipals is an increasing function not only of the budget deficit but also the aggregate tax gap. The policy implications of these results include the need to limit the extent of budget deficits and to also limit the extent of income tax evasion in the U.S., lest there will be significant limitations placed on the ability of towns, cities, counties, and states to create new infrastructure in response to changing demographic and economic circumstances and/or maintain existing infrastructure.
本文研究了各种因素对高等级市政债券事前实际利率收益率的影响。AR/2SLS估计表明,该事前实际利率是30年期国债事前实际利率收益率的递增函数,同时是净资本流动的递减函数。有关收益率也被发现受到存款机构放松管制和货币控制法的负面影响。此外,估计发现该利率指标是联邦个人所得税最高边际税率的递减函数。此外,我们还发现,在相互作用项存在的情况下,高等级市政债券的事前实际利率收益率不仅是预算赤字的递增函数,而且是总税收缺口的递增函数。这些结果的政策含义包括需要限制预算赤字的程度,并限制美国所得税逃税的程度,以免城镇、城市、县和州为应对不断变化的人口和经济环境而创建新基础设施和/或维护现有基础设施的能力受到重大限制。
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引用次数: 6
The Effect of Mental Health on US County Economic Growth 心理健康对美国县域经济增长的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-06-13 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7997
Meri Davlasheridze, S. Goetz, Yicheol Han
Poor mental health creates significant economic costs, in addition to human suffering, and is a growing world-wide concern, especially with an aging population. To estimate the cost of this disease in the U.S., we adopt a conventional economic growth model and include the number of poor mental health days (PMHD) as a right-hand side variable. Controlling for various county-level variables associated with income growth, our results suggest that one additional PMHD is associated with a 1.84 percentage point lower per capita real income growth rate, or $53 billion less total annual income, across the U.S. between 2008 and 2014. This effect is in addition to the income losses associated with the Great Recession.
心理健康状况不佳除了造成人类痛苦之外,还造成巨大的经济代价,并日益成为全世界关注的问题,特别是在人口老龄化的情况下。为了估计这种疾病在美国的成本,我们采用传统的经济增长模型,并将不良心理健康天数(PMHD)的数量作为右侧变量。控制与收入增长相关的各种县级变量,我们的研究结果表明,2008年至2014年间,全美每增加一个PMHD,人均实际收入增长率就会降低1.84个百分点,或总收入减少530亿美元。这种影响是在与大衰退相关的收入损失之外产生的。
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引用次数: 21
Knowledge Flows Among US Metro Areas: Innovative Activity, Proximity, and the Border Effect 美国都市地区的知识流动:创新活动、邻近性和边界效应
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-06-11 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7999
Nivedita Mukherji, Jonathan Silberman
Knowledge spillovers are critical for innovation and new value creation in an increasingly knowledge-intensive economy. The substantial scholarly attention on knowledge spillovers has shown that there is a rapid distance decay associated with knowledge spillovers and that there is a positive state border ei¬€ect. We show that the ei¬€ects of distance, technology proximity, and the state border ei¬€ect on knowledge flows are dependent on the size of the regions (MSAs) involved in the knowledge flow. Not accounting for innovation size (innovative communities and social relationships) in the flow of knowledge across origin-destination regions results in aggregation bias in the parameter estimates. Knowledge spillovers are more localized for small innovation MSAs than for large ones. Distance is not as much of a resistance factor in knowledge flow for larger innovation metro areas compared with smaller regions. Spatial origin and destination ei¬€ects due to technology compatibility of neighboring regions do not affect the knowledge flow among large innovation MSAs, but do have an effect when small MSAs interact with large MSAs.
在知识日益密集的经济中,知识溢出对于创新和创造新价值至关重要。对知识溢出的大量学术关注表明,与知识溢出相关的距离衰减速度很快,并且存在积极的国家边界效应。研究表明,距离、技术接近度和国家边界效应对知识流动的影响取决于知识流动中涉及的区域(msa)的大小。在知识流动中不考虑创新规模(创新社区和社会关系)会导致参数估计中的聚集偏差。与大型创新管理体系相比,小型创新管理体系的知识溢出更具有地域性。与较小的区域相比,距离在较大的创新都市区域的知识流动中不是一个阻力因素。相邻区域的技术兼容性导致的空间起源效应和目的地效应不影响大型创新主体区域间的知识流动,但对小型创新主体区域与大型创新主体区域之间的相互作用有影响。
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引用次数: 4
The Impact of Naloxone Access Laws on Opioid Overdose Deaths in the U.S. 纳洛酮获取法对美国阿片类药物过量死亡的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-23 DOI: 10.52324/001c.7932
Elham Erfanian, A. Collins, D. Grossman
Opioid overdose is the leading cause of unintentional death in the U.S. Narcan TM (Naloxone) is a prescription medicine that can reverse overdose effects. This research investigates the effect of Naloxone access laws on overdose death rates using state and temporal variation in the enactment of these laws. We also explore possible spillover effects between Naloxone access laws and overdose death rates across states. Our analyses reveal that when broken down by access law provisions, there exists a mixture of positive and negative effects on overdose death rates depending upon the provision. The results indicate that Naloxone access provisions have regional impacts by influencing overdose death rates within the state enacted and have a spillover effect in neighboring states. The magnitude of spillover effects is larger than direct effects in the states. Looking across multiple provisions, our findings provide no statistical evidence that these laws reduce opioid death rates.
阿片类药物过量是美国非故意死亡的主要原因。纳洛酮(Narcan TM)是一种处方药,可以逆转过量服用的影响。本研究调查了纳洛酮获取法对过量死亡率的影响,使用这些法律颁布时的状态和时间变化。我们还探讨了纳洛酮获取法律与各州过量死亡率之间可能的溢出效应。我们的分析表明,当按获取法规定细分时,根据规定,对过量死亡率存在积极和消极影响。结果表明,纳洛酮获取规定通过影响州内的过量死亡率而产生区域影响,并在邻近州产生溢出效应。在各州,溢出效应的幅度大于直接效应。纵观多个条款,我们的发现没有提供统计证据表明这些法律降低了阿片类药物死亡率。
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引用次数: 21
期刊
Review of Regional Studies
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