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The Politics of Temporary Protection Schemes: The Role of Mexico’s TVRH in Reproducing Precarity among Central American Migrants 临时保护计划的政治:墨西哥的TVRH在中美洲移民中再现不稳定的作用
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211027886
Carla Angulo-Pasel
Using Mexico’s Tarjeta de Visitante por Razones Humanitarias (TVRH) as a primary case study, this article examines how states can use temporary protection schemes as border security measures while claiming to provide protection. Although the TVRH offers a legal pathway and status to move within Mexico, it equally restricts certain rights due to its temporary nature. It becomes a form of differential inclusion by which the state has the right to be able to “exclude and define the limits” of a particular population but also claim inclusion on humanitarian grounds. Despite the claim of protecting migrants, the application of this regular status can essentially become a form of interdiction, which sustains the political framing of migration as ultimately a “threat” that needs to be governed. On the ground, migrants with these temporary regular statuses occupy a liminal space and live a precarious existence similar to those migrants who do not possess a legal status at all. This power imbalance exists more often as states prefer to grant a temporary immigration status, which ensures less responsibility and support that accompanies more rights and protections. Based on policy analysis and field work, the article will examine the TVRH, the processes for obtaining this legal status, and the consequences for irregular migrants.
本文以墨西哥的TVRH (Tarjeta de Visitante por Razones humanitarian)为主要案例,探讨国家如何在声称提供保护的同时,将临时保护计划用作边境安全措施。虽然TVRH提供了在墨西哥境内移动的合法途径和地位,但由于其临时性质,它同样限制了某些权利。它成为一种差别包容的形式,通过这种包容,国家有权“排除和界定”特定人群,但也可以基于人道主义理由要求包容。尽管声称保护移民,但这种正常身份的申请实质上可能成为一种封锁,从而维持移民的政治框架,最终将其视为需要治理的“威胁”。在当地,拥有这些临时正规身份的移民占据了一个有限的空间,过着一种不稳定的生活,类似于那些根本没有合法身份的移民。这种权力不平衡更经常出现,因为各州更倾向于给予临时移民身份,这确保了更少的责任和支持,伴随着更多的权利和保护。根据政策分析和实地工作,本文将审查TVRH,获得这种法律地位的过程,以及对非正规移民的后果。
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引用次数: 0
The Nicaragua Protest Crisis in 2018–2019: Assessing the Logic of Government Responses to Protests 2018-2019年尼加拉瓜抗议危机:评估政府应对抗议的逻辑
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211024246
Graig R. Klein, Jose Cuesta, C. Chagalj
Despite constant monitoring, we lack a good explanation for the 2018–2019 protest crisis in Nicaragua. The escalation of protests, repression, duration, and the death toll are surprising. Applying a novel political and economic cost framework, we benchmark Nicaragua’s historical and recent political protests and explain the Ortega administration’s responses, thus providing a rich case (with comparative data for context) that makes sense of this extraordinary period of protest. The empirical analysis buttresses our qualitative case study of protest motivations and tactics and extreme state violence that define four phases of the conflict. The combination of qualitative and quantitative analyses creates one of the first robust studies of protest–response dynamics of this protest crisis. We conclude that these protests are unique with respect to previous protests in the country and the region and that government repression was a logical response in some phases but was inconsistently applied.
尽管持续监测,但我们对尼加拉瓜2018-2019年的抗议危机缺乏一个很好的解释。抗议升级、镇压、持续时间和死亡人数令人惊讶。运用一个新的政治和经济成本框架,我们以尼加拉瓜历史上和最近的政治抗议为基准,并解释了奥尔特加政府的反应,从而提供了一个丰富的案例(与背景的比较数据),使这一特殊时期的抗议有意义。实证分析支持了我们对抗议动机、策略和极端国家暴力的定性案例研究,这些研究定义了冲突的四个阶段。定性和定量分析的结合创造了抗议危机的抗议-反应动力学的第一个强有力的研究之一。我们的结论是,与该国和该地区以前的抗议活动相比,这些抗议活动是独特的,政府的镇压在某些阶段是合乎逻辑的反应,但并没有始终如一地实施。
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引用次数: 4
The Pandemic and the Crisis of Democracy in Brazil 大流行病与巴西的民主危机
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-05 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211022362
L. Avritzer, Lucio R. Rennó
Some claim that an erosion of democracy is occurring worldwide. There are also questions on the scope of the crisis, which countries are affected, and how to reverse it. The Covid-19 pandemic may have fostered disagreements, deepened rifts, and contributed to the definitive crystallisation of the crisis, but it may also have engendered more moderate and compliant attitudes given the need to unify around the response to common threat. We explore the current dilemmas of democracy in the Brazilian case, focusing on how regime legitimacy, authoritarian attitudes, and support for a populist, authoritarian leader interact and are affected by the pandemic, using public opinion data from 2018 to 2020.
一些人声称,世界范围内正在发生对民主的侵蚀。还有关于危机的范围、哪些国家受到影响以及如何扭转危机的问题。2019冠状病毒病大流行可能助长了分歧,加深了裂痕,并促成了危机的最终具体化,但鉴于需要团结一致应对共同威胁,它也可能产生更温和和顺从的态度。我们利用2018年至2020年的民意数据,探讨了巴西目前的民主困境,重点关注政权合法性、威权态度和对民粹主义威权领导人的支持如何相互作用,并受到疫情的影响。
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引用次数: 10
Digital Caudillos: The Use of Social Media in Guatemalan Presidential Campaigns 数位考迪洛:危地马拉总统竞选中社会媒体的使用
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211010319
Kevin Pallister
This article contributes to the scholarship on Latin American campaigning by presenting data on the use of social media by presidential candidates in Guatemala’s 2019 election, including a content analysis of more than 2,000 Facebook posts along fifteen variables. The data show that Facebook use by presidential campaigns is ubiquitous and allows campaigns to disseminate messages in non-traditional formats. Candidates use their Facebook accounts to mention issues of concern to voters and to make promises to fix the country’s problems, but offer far more slogans and vague promises than detailed policy proposals. They also rarely attack other candidates or tout their own qualifications for the presidency. The data also reveal systematic differences in campaign messaging between frontrunner and long-shot candidates.
本文通过提供危地马拉2019年大选总统候选人使用社交媒体的数据,包括对2000多条脸书帖子和15个变量的内容分析,为拉丁美洲竞选活动的学术研究做出了贡献。数据显示,总统竞选团队普遍使用脸书,并允许竞选团队以非传统格式传播信息。候选人使用他们的脸书账户提及选民关心的问题,并承诺解决国家问题,但提供的口号和模糊承诺远多于详细的政策建议。他们也很少攻击其他候选人或吹捧自己的总统资格。数据还显示,领先者和长期候选人在竞选信息方面存在系统性差异。
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引用次数: 1
The Illusion of Electoral Stability: From Party System Erosion to Right-Wing Populism in Brazil 选举稳定的幻觉:从政党制度的侵蚀到巴西的右翼民粹主义
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-05 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211005164
André Borges
Although comparative research has relied heavily on electoral volatility as a proxy for party system institutionalisation (PSI), this measure cannot account for the patterns of interparty interactions that are key to determine the degree of party system stability. I develop a new measure – the party bloc volatility (PBV) index – to account for consistency in the ideological positions and in the partisan composition of the government and opposition blocs. I demonstrate the limitations of the index of electoral volatility by analysing the case of Brazil. Although electoral volatility substantially decreased between 1994 and 2010, the patterns of interparty alliances became less and less predictable from 2002 onwards, as party fragmentation increased while interparty ideological differences decreased. In combination with a major economic and political crisis, these trends led to the discrediting of the established parties and thus favoured the rise of the extreme right in the 2018 elections.
虽然比较研究在很大程度上依赖于选举波动性作为政党制度制度化(PSI)的代理,但这种方法无法解释政党间互动的模式,而这种模式是决定政党制度稳定程度的关键。我提出了一个新的衡量标准——政党集团波动指数(PBV)——来说明意识形态立场的一致性以及政府和反对派集团的党派组成。我通过分析巴西的情况,证明了选举波动性指数的局限性。虽然选举波动性在1994年至2010年间大幅下降,但自2002年以来,党派间联盟的模式变得越来越难以预测,因为政党分裂加剧,而党派间意识形态差异减少。再加上重大的经济和政治危机,这些趋势导致老牌政党名誉扫地,从而有利于极右翼在2018年的选举中崛起。
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引用次数: 7
Oiling Congress: Windfall Revenues, Institutions, and Policy Change in the Long Run 石油国会:长期的意外收入、制度和政策变化
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-27 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211003306
Raúl Aldaz Peña
Presidents need to craft political support to push through policy changes. But even when new policies are socially desirable, they are not always politically feasible. This article shows that in re...
总统们需要精心策划政治支持,以推动政策变革。但是,即使新政策在社会上是可取的,它们在政治上也并不总是可行的。这篇文章表明,在雷。。。
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引用次数: 0
Coercion in Disguise? A Reassessment of Brazilian Education and Health Reforms 变相胁迫?对巴西教育和卫生改革的重新评估
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X21991145
R. Schlegel, D. Vazquez
In federations and other regionalised arrangements, the search for co-operation may lead to a hierarchical alignment where the centre concentrates policy decision-making power. The use of conditional grants to build this kind of co-ordination can disguise its rather coercive character when opt-out clauses are counteracted by fiscal constraints that virtually force subnational adherence. Previous accounts on recentralisation in Latin America have overlooked this feature, particularly by mistakenly identifying the transfer of fiscal resources and responsibilities with authority over policies. The article adopts a configurational approach, focused on mechanisms, to reassess two Brazilian programmes redesigned in the 1990s and 2000s – the Fundamental Education Fund (Fundef) and the Basic Health Care Programme (Programa de Atenção Básica, PAB). Our evidence shows that both reforms followed hierarchical paths and received massive adherence of municipalities. We discuss how this kind of coercion in disguise is especially concerning in settings where some retrenchment of social expenditure is expected.
在联邦和其他区域化安排中,寻求合作可能会导致一种等级统一,即中央集中政策决策权。当选择退出条款被财政约束所抵消,实际上迫使地方政府遵守时,使用有条件赠款来建立这种协调,可能会掩盖其相当强制的性质。以前关于拉丁美洲重新中央集权的叙述忽视了这一特点,特别是错误地将财政资源和责任的转移与政策权力混为一谈。本文采用了侧重于机制的配置方法,重新评估了1990年代和2000年代重新设计的两个巴西方案——基础教育基金(基金)和基本保健方案(方案de aten o Básica, PAB)。我们的证据表明,这两项改革都遵循了等级制度,并得到了市政当局的广泛支持。我们讨论了这种变相的强制是如何在预期会削减社会开支的情况下特别令人担忧的。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial 社论
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802x211006036
Rossana Castiglioni, Mariana Llanos
[...]we commit to continuing to publish high-quality, peer-reviewed research that provides a deeper understanding of political processes, institutions, and actors of the Latin American region. [...]we renew JPLA's approach to the study of Latin American politics within a framework of methodological and theoretical pluralism. Additionally, Latin America continues to be the most violent region in the world. [...]the emergence of COVID-19 posed further challenges to the region.
[…]我们致力于继续发表高质量的同行评审研究,深入了解拉丁美洲地区的政治进程、机构和行为者。[…]我们在方法论和理论多元主义的框架内更新了JPLA研究拉丁美洲政治的方法。此外,拉丁美洲仍然是世界上最暴力的地区。[…]新冠肺炎的出现给该地区带来了进一步的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Introverted and Closed-Minded: The Psychological Roots of Support for Autocracy in Latin America 内向与封闭:拉丁美洲支持独裁的心理根源
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X21991261
Paula Armendáriz Miranda, Matthew Cawvey
What activates individuals’ support for autocratic governments? Some suggest that the answer is perceptions of increased corruption and/or poor economic performance. We do not dispute this explanation but instead contend that it depends on individual differences in personality. We hypothesise that introverted and closed-minded citizens are generally resistant to democracy. When democracies appear unable to address problems, introverted and closed-minded citizens defer to authoritarian leaders for efficient solutions. We test our hypotheses with cross-national survey data from Latin America. Our findings have important implications for how we understand the roots of autocratic attitudes.
是什么激发了个人对专制政府的支持?一些人认为,答案是人们对腐败加剧和/或经济表现不佳的看法。我们并不反对这种解释,而是认为这取决于个人性格的差异。我们假设,内向和封闭的公民通常抵制民主。当民主国家似乎无法解决问题时,内向和封闭的公民会听从独裁领导人的意见,寻求有效的解决方案。我们用拉丁美洲的跨国调查数据来检验我们的假设。我们的发现对我们如何理解专制态度的根源具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 1
Institutions, Policy, and Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) in Latin America 拉丁美洲的制度、政策和非传染性疾病
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-01-06 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20980455
Eduardo J. Gómez, C. Méndez
Research has underscored the agenda-setting and policy implementation advantages associated with the concentration of political and policy-making authority. But to what extent does this concentration of authority within health policy-making institutions determine the early timing and depth of non-communicable disease (NCD) policies? Are other factors within and outside of government more important? Comparing one Latin American country exhibiting a strong concentration of political and policy-making authority, Mexico, to one that does not, Brazil, we find that weaker, fragmented political and policy-making powers in Brazil expedited the creation and implementation of NCD programs. As seen in Brazil, our findings suggest that the factors that account for the earlier adoption of NCD policies and successful implementation are the early institutionalisation of societal interests and pressures within the bureaucracy, the “bottom-up” diffusion of early policy ideas, and international policy recommendations. This institutional, participatory, and ideational approach may provide more important predictors for explaining variation in NCD policies.
研究强调了与政治和决策权力集中相关的议程制定和政策执行优势。但是,这种权力在卫生决策机构内部的集中在多大程度上决定了非传染性疾病政策的早期时间和深度?政府内外的其他因素更重要吗?比较一个政治和决策权力高度集中的拉丁美洲国家墨西哥和一个没有的国家巴西,我们发现巴西较弱、分散的政治和决策权加速了非传染性疾病计划的制定和实施。正如在巴西看到的那样,我们的研究结果表明,早期采用非传染性疾病政策并成功实施的因素是社会利益和官僚机构内部压力的早期制度化、早期政策思想的“自下而上”传播以及国际政策建议。这种制度性、参与性和概念性的方法可能为解释非传染性疾病政策的变化提供更重要的预测因素。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Journal of Politics in Latin America
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