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Radical, Nativist, Authoritarian—Or All of These? Assessing Recent Cases of Right-Wing Populism in Latin America 激进派、本土主义者、威权主义者——还是所有这些?评估拉丁美洲右翼民粹主义的近期案例
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221117565
T. Kestler
In the light of a series of right-wing populist successes, some observers concluded that there is a kind of populist contagion going on and that the global wave of radical right populism (RRP) has finally reached Latin America. Yet, a premature categorization based on outward similarities eventually leads to omitting important differences. The aim of this article is a typological assessment of four recent cases of right-wing populism in Latin America—Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil), José António Kast (Chile), Guido Manini Ríos (Uruguay), and Javier Milei (Argentina)—to clarify their correspondence with Cas Mudde’s concept of RRP. The questions to be addressed are the following: Are these four leaders and their parties radically right? Are they right-wing in cultural terms (nativist and authoritarian)? Are they populist? And do they have sufficient features in common to speak of a right-wing populist wave?
鉴于右翼民粹主义的一系列成功,一些观察家得出结论,民粹主义正在蔓延,全球激进右翼民粹主义浪潮终于到达了拉丁美洲。然而,基于外表相似性的过早分类最终会导致忽略重要的差异。本文的目的是对拉丁美洲最近的四个右翼民粹主义案例——Jair Bolsonaro(巴西)、JoséAntónio Kast(智利)、Guido Manini Ríos(乌拉圭)和Javier Milei(阿根廷)——进行类型学评估,以澄清它们与Cas Mudde的RRP概念的对应关系。需要解决的问题如下:这四位领导人及其政党是否完全正确?他们在文化上是右翼的吗(本土主义者和独裁主义者)?他们是民粹主义者吗?他们有足够的共同点来谈论右翼民粹主义浪潮吗?
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引用次数: 1
The Limits of Neoliberal Policy Feedback: Private Pension Fund Reforms in Peru (2014–2021) 新自由主义政策反馈的局限性:秘鲁的私人养老基金改革(2014-2011)
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221107147
Eduardo Dargent Bocanegra
A growing literature in comparative Latin American Politics highlights how policy feedback effects help explain the resilience of neoliberal reforms in the region. These works emphasize private actors/interest groups to explain neoliberal policy continuity. Nonetheless, given their focus on continuity, these works do little to explore other instances in which neoliberal feedback cannot preclude change. This paper presents an instance in which powerful private actors favored by neoliberal reforms were incapable of resisting change. An Act of the Peruvian Congress adopted in 2016 opened the door for individual pensioners to withdraw up to 95.5 percent of all their accumulated savings at the point of retirement. Ensuing reforms approved by Congress during the COVID-19 emergency (2020–2021) further weakened private administrators of these pension funds (AFPs). The case shows how the conflicting interests between private service providers and future pensioners make the service providers vulnerable; a divide also found in other neoliberal reforms.
拉丁美洲比较政治中越来越多的文献强调了政策反馈效应如何有助于解释该地区新自由主义改革的韧性。这些作品强调私人行为者/利益集团来解释新自由主义政策的连续性。尽管如此,鉴于他们对连续性的关注,这些作品几乎没有探索新自由主义反馈不能阻止变革的其他例子。本文介绍了一个例子,在这个例子中,受新自由主义改革青睐的强大的私人行为者无法抵抗变革。秘鲁国会2016年通过的一项法案为个人养老金领取者在退休时提取其所有累计储蓄的95.5%打开了大门。在新冠肺炎紧急情况(2020-2021年)期间,国会批准的改革进一步削弱了这些养老基金的私人管理者。该案例表明,私人服务提供者和未来养老金领取者之间的利益冲突如何使服务提供者变得脆弱;其他新自由主义改革也存在分歧。
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引用次数: 1
Gendering Coalitional Presidentialism in Brazil 巴西联合总统主义的性别化
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-07-21 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221114473
Malu A. C. Gatto, Pedro A. G. dos Santos, Kristin Wylie
Coalitional presidentialism is a power-sharing strategy deployed in multiparty presidentialist democracies that entails the distribution of cabinet positions to coalition partners to facilitate governability. This model of governance is increasingly common worldwide, gaining growing scholarly interest. The consequences of coalitional presidentialism for women’s cabinet representation, however, have received scant attention. In this article, we provide a gendered analysis of the Brazilian experience with coalitional presidentialism. Through the quantitative analysis of an original dataset of all ministerial appointments (N = 597) under eight Brazilian presidents (1985–2019) and a descriptive assessment of the coalitional dynamics during that period, we evaluate the Brazilian experience with coalitional presidentialism through the lens of Feminist Institutionalism. We show that coalitional presidentialism restricts women's access to cabinet seats, with the demands of multiparty coalition formation and management often overriding presidential considerations about descriptive representation, and coalition parties rarely advancing women to fill portfolios allocated to them by the president.
联合总统制是多党总统制民主国家采用的一种权力分享策略,它需要将内阁职位分配给联盟伙伴,以促进治理能力。这种治理模式在世界范围内越来越普遍,获得了越来越多的学术兴趣。然而,联合总统制对女性内阁代表的影响却很少受到关注。在这篇文章中,我们提供了一个性别分析与联合总统主义巴西的经验。通过对八位巴西总统(1985-2019)的所有部长任命(N = 597)的原始数据集进行定量分析,并对该时期的联盟动态进行描述性评估,我们通过女权主义制度主义的视角评估了巴西联合总统主义的经验。我们表明,联合总统制限制了女性获得内阁席位的机会,多党联盟组建和管理的要求往往压倒了总统对描述性代表性的考虑,而联盟党很少提拔女性来填补总统分配给她们的职位。
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引用次数: 0
Democratic Principles and Performance: What do the Experts Think? 民主原则与绩效:专家们怎么看?
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221107032
Guilherme A. Russo, G. Avelino, F. Guarnieri
Recently, many political scientists have argued that democracy may be threatened more by the erosion of its principles, embodied in the democratic institutions, than by traditional breakdowns. This debate led to a series of initiatives that sought to identify and evaluate this process of institutional erosion. This research note contributes to these efforts by assessing the importance and current performance of a set of formal and informal democratic institutions. We present results from a survey, conducted in 2020 with 419 Brazilian political scientists, which sought their opinions on the importance of a series of democratic principles and the status of Brazilian democracy. This survey is part of the Bright Line Watch project that brings together a group of political scientists to monitor democratic practices, their resilience, and potential threats.
最近,许多政治学家认为,民主可能更多地受到体现在民主制度中的原则的侵蚀,而不是传统崩溃的威胁。这场辩论导致了一系列倡议,试图确定和评估这一制度侵蚀过程。本研究说明通过评估一套正式和非正式民主机构的重要性和当前表现,为这些努力做出了贡献。我们介绍了2020年对419名巴西政治学家进行的一项调查结果,该调查就一系列民主原则的重要性和巴西民主的地位征求了他们的意见。这项调查是光明线观察项目的一部分,该项目汇集了一群政治科学家,以监测民主实践、民主实践的韧性和潜在威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Legalising Abortion in Argentina: Social Movements and Multi-Party Coalitions 阿根廷堕胎合法化:社会运动和多党联盟
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221100274
Cora Fernández Anderson
On 30 December 2020, the Argentine Senate legalised abortion on demand until 14 weeks of pregnancy. How was this legal change possible in a region characterised by strong restrictions on reproductive rights? Based on in-depth interviews and participant observation, this article shows how the emergence of a strong social movement around abortion reform was able to shift the negative perceptions associated with this medical practice and build a multi-party coalition to advance the legalisation of abortion in Congress. The secularism espoused by all political parties across the ideological spectrum allowed for the presence of feminist politicians within them, most of whom would become key interlocutors of the movement jointly working towards legalisation. A supportive executive, while helpful, could not ensure the passage of legal abortion alone, making the creation of a multi-party coalition a requirement for success.
2020年12月30日,阿根廷参议院将怀孕14周前的按需堕胎合法化。在一个以严格限制生殖权利为特征的地区,这种法律变化是如何可能的?基于深度访谈和参与者观察,本文展示了围绕堕胎改革的强大社会运动的出现如何能够改变与这一医疗实践相关的负面看法,并建立了一个多党联盟,以推进国会中的堕胎合法化。在意识形态范围内,所有政党都支持世俗主义,允许女权主义政治家在其中存在,其中大多数人将成为共同努力实现合法化的运动的关键对话者。一个支持性的行政长官虽然有帮助,但不能单独确保合法堕胎的通过,这使得建立一个多党联盟成为成功的必要条件。
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引用次数: 4
Unstable Identities: The Decline of Partisanship in Contemporary Chile 不稳定的身份:当代智利党派关系的衰落
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211069378
Nicolás de la Cerda
Between 1990 and 2018 Chile experienced one of Latin America’s most dramatic declines in party identification, from 80% in the early 1990s to under 20% in 2016. This decline seems puzzling given a highly institutionalized and programmatic party system, and low levels of ideological convergence. This paper argues that, to a large extent, the decrease in partisanship can be understood as a consequence of the erosion of the main political cleavage that articulated the political landscape throughout this period: the dissolution of the conflict between the supporters of the previous military regime (1973–1990) and the advocates of democracy. Because this conflict was the key driver of political identities following the dictatorship, as it faded overtime, particularly after conservative parties distanced themselves from the military regime for electoral reasons, partisans lost an important reason to feel attached to political parties. More broadly, the paper argues that unless political identities are continually reinforced by political actors, they are unlikely to remain stable sources of identification.
1990年至2018年期间,智利是拉丁美洲政党认同度下降幅度最大的国家之一,从20世纪90年代初的80%降至2016年的不到20%。考虑到高度制度化和纲领性的政党制度,以及低水平的意识形态融合,这种下降似乎令人费解。本文认为,在很大程度上,党派之争的减少可以被理解为贯穿这一时期政治格局的主要政治分裂的侵蚀的结果:前军事政权(1973-1990)的支持者与民主倡导者之间的冲突的消解。由于这种冲突是独裁统治之后政治认同的关键驱动因素,随着时间的推移,特别是在保守派政党出于选举原因与军事政权保持距离之后,党派失去了一个重要的理由来感受对政党的依恋。更广泛地说,本文认为,除非政治行动者不断加强政治认同,否则它们不太可能保持稳定的认同来源。
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引用次数: 1
Yucatán as an Exception to Rising Criminal Violence in México Yucatán是墨西哥犯罪暴力上升的例外
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-17 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X221079636
S. Mattiace, S. Ley
Yucatán state’s homicide level has remained low and steady for decades and criminal violence activity is low, even while crime rates in much of the rest of the country have increased since 2006. In this research note, we examine five main theoretical explanations for Yucatán's relative containment of violence: criminal competition, protection networks and party alternation, vertical partisan fragmentation, interagency coordination, and social cohesion among the Indigenous population. We find that in Yucatán, interagency coordination is a key explanatory variable, along with cooperation around security between Partido Revolucionario Institucional and Partido Acción Nacional governments and among federal and state authorities.
尤卡坦州的凶杀案水平几十年来一直保持在较低水平,犯罪暴力活动也很低,尽管自2006年以来,该国其他大部分地区的犯罪率都有所上升。在本研究报告中,我们考察了尤卡坦相对遏制暴力的五种主要理论解释:犯罪竞争、保护网络和政党交替、纵向党派分裂、机构间协调和土著人口的社会凝聚力。我们发现,在尤卡坦,机构间协调是一个关键的解释变量,革命党和民族党政府之间以及联邦和州当局之间围绕安全的合作也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Social Inequalities in Argentina and Chile: A Comparative Analysis of Welfare Models, Labour Policies, and Occupational Trajectories from a Biographical Perspective 阿根廷和智利的社会不平等:福利模式、劳工政策和职业轨迹的比较分析
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-11 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211073914
Leticia Muñiz Terra, Gabriela Rubilar
The article analyses the configurations of social inequality in Argentina and Chile between 2000 and 2019 through a comparative biographical approach that combines three dimensions: macro-social (welfare models), meso-social (labour policies), and micro-social (occupational trajectories). In Argentina, welfare schemes oscillated between moderate protectionism and a liberal approach; in Chile, a movement was observed between revised neoliberalism and a protectionist liberal welfare approach. Regarding labour policies, a transition from employment regulation to self-management was observed in the Argentine job market; in Chile, a meritocratic discourse remains that advocates for worker self-management, regardless of changes in welfare schemes. These differences have no appreciable impact on the configuration of class trajectories, which are similar in both countries. While the service classes generally construct advantageous trajectories, the intermediate classes are ambivalently affected by crises and insufficient protection and the working classes accumulate disadvantages since they are conditioned by welfare schemes and social-labour policies.
本文通过比较传记法分析了2000年至2019年间阿根廷和智利的社会不平等配置,该方法结合了三个维度:宏观社会(福利模型)、微观社会(劳工政策)和微观社会(职业轨迹)。在阿根廷,福利计划在温和的保护主义和自由主义之间摇摆不定;在智利,观察到一场介于修订后的新自由主义和保护主义自由主义福利方法之间的运动。关于劳工政策,阿根廷就业市场出现了从就业管制向自我管理的转变;在智利,一种精英主义的话语仍然主张工人自我管理,而不管福利计划的变化如何。这些差异对阶级轨迹的配置没有明显影响,这在两国都是相似的。虽然服务阶级通常构建有利的轨迹,但中间阶级受到危机和保护不足的矛盾影响,工人阶级由于受到福利计划和社会劳动政策的制约而积累劣势。
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引用次数: 0
State-level Citizen Response to COVID-19 Containment Measures in Brazil and Mexico 巴西和墨西哥对新冠肺炎控制措施的州一级公民反应
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211057135
Claire Dunn, Isabel G. Laterzo
In Brazil and Mexico, presidents failed to take swift, national action to stop the spread of COVID-19. Instead, the burden of imposing and enforcing public health measures has largely fallen to subnational leaders, resulting in varied approaches within each country and conflicting messaging from elites. We likewise see variation in compliance with social distancing across subnational units. To explain this variation, we contend that citizen responses are driven both by the comprehensiveness of state policies and whether they take cues from national or subnational elites. We hypothesize that support for national and subnational elites, and the nature of the state-level policy response, affect citizen compliance with public health guidelines. In both countries, we find that support for the governor has an interactive relationship with policy response. In Brazil, support for the president is associated with lower compliance. In Mexico, this effect is not present. We argue that these distinct relationships are due to the different cues emerging from each leader.
在巴西和墨西哥,总统未能采取迅速的国家行动来阻止COVID-19的传播。相反,实施和执行公共卫生措施的负担在很大程度上落在了地方领导人身上,导致每个国家内部的方法各不相同,精英们发出的信息也相互矛盾。我们还看到,各级地方单位在遵守社交距离方面存在差异。为了解释这种差异,我们认为公民的反应是由国家政策的全面性以及他们是否受到国家或地方精英的暗示所驱动的。我们假设,对国家和地方精英的支持,以及州级政策反应的性质,会影响公民对公共卫生指南的遵守。在这两个国家,我们发现对州长的支持与政策反应存在互动关系。在巴西,对总统的支持与较低的遵从率有关。在墨西哥,这种效应不存在。我们认为,这些不同的关系是由于来自每个领导者的不同暗示。
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引用次数: 10
Sources of Government Approval During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Threat or Electoral Predispositions? COVID-19大流行期间政府批准的来源:威胁还是选举倾向?
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X211059184
Adrián Pignataro
Rally-round-the-flag events are short-term boosts of government approval during crises, and the COVID-19 pandemic produced such an effect in many countries. But why did some people join the rally while others didn’t? Using public opinion data from Costa Rica, this paper tests two hypotheses: first, that threat increases government approval at the outbreak of the pandemic; second, that electoral predispositions shape approval. Results indicate that COVID-19 contagions, as a measure of the threat, are not associated with approval, while past voting patterns are. Positive assessments of the economy and the relief measures also predict higher support for the government. In brief, Costa Rica's rally-round-the-flag event did not overcome the partisan divisions or the ordinary drivers of approval.
在危机期间,集会活动是政府批准的短期推动力,COVID-19大流行在许多国家都产生了这样的影响。但是为什么有些人参加了集会而有些人没有呢?利用哥斯达黎加的民意数据,本文检验了两个假设:第一,疫情爆发时,威胁增加了政府的批准;第二,选举倾向会影响支持率。结果表明,作为衡量威胁的一项指标,COVID-19的传染与批准无关,而过去的投票模式与批准有关。对经济和救助措施的积极评价也预示着对政府的支持将会增加。简而言之,哥斯达黎加的环旗集会活动并没有克服党派分歧或普通司机的认可。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Politics in Latin America
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