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Autonomous optical flow-based initial orbit determination 基于自主光流的初始轨道确定
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.054
Willem Oliveira
The navigation algorithms proposed in the literature to achieve pinpoint landing for space exploration missions require initialization with state estimates from ground. This limits the missions that can be accomplished and significantly increases operation costs. This paper introduces an orbit determination (OD) algorithm, which can be used to autonomously initialize existing terrain absolute navigation (TAN) algorithms with pinpoint landing accuracy. Visual data is collected over the course of two orbit periods. This data is used to estimate the Keplerian orbit parameters of the trajectory. The estimated orbit parameters are used to initialize a crater-based TAN system independently from ground telemetry, thus providing a fully autonomous navigation system with pinpoint landing capability.
An extensive test campaign was performed using both simulated measurements and rendered images. The algorithm was shown to successfully enable TAN initialization.
文献中提出的导航算法为实现空间探测任务的精确着陆,需要初始化来自地面的状态估计。这限制了可以完成的任务,并大大增加了操作成本。本文介绍了一种轨道确定(OD)算法,该算法可用于自动初始化现有的高精度着陆地形绝对导航(TAN)算法。视觉数据是在两个轨道周期内收集的。这些数据被用来估计轨道的开普勒轨道参数。估计的轨道参数用于初始化一个独立于地面遥测的基于陨石坑的TAN系统,从而提供一个具有精确着陆能力的完全自主导航系统。使用模拟测量和渲染图像进行了广泛的测试活动。该算法被证明能够成功地使能TAN初始化。
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引用次数: 0
Numerical simulation of water migration in lunar soil based on the Monte Carlo model 基于蒙特卡罗模型的月壤水分迁移数值模拟
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.067
Yan Zhang , Yongjun Wang , Jin Wang , Chengdan He , Wenfeng Li , Huzhong Zhang , Yasheng Li , Detian Li
This study proposes a geometric model based on the Monte Carlo method to enable precise characterization of porous media structures in lunar soil and validates its reliability by numerically reconstructing experimental investigations into the effects of adsorption behavior on water migration at −100 °C. Based on this model, the prolonging effect of the regolith on ice retention time was quantitatively analyzed, and the influence mechanisms of key parameters such as temperature, thickness, and specific surface area were systematically elucidated. The study indicates that the particle size distribution of lunar soil can be described by a unified cumulative probability distribution, and the reconstruction model based on the Monte Carlo method can effectively characterize pore structure features. The time required for the regolith to achieve saturated adsorption shows a linear dependence on its thickness. The additional retention time of water ice is most sensitive to temperature variations. At temperatures not exceeding 110 K, even a regolith layer thinner than 1 m can extend the preservation of water ice by several hundred million years. However, once the temperature exceeds 110 K, the protective capacity of the overlying layer declines exponentially within the narrow temperature range of 110 K–120 K. In warmer lunar regions, the regolith's capacity to retain water ice is limited. Even deeply buried water ice will gradually dissipate over extended geological timescales. Based on the mechanisms described above, this study suggests that in permanently shadowed regions with temperatures below 110 K, water ice may be detectable within the uppermost 1 m of the regolith. In contrast, in regions with temperatures ranging from 120 K to 140 K, the required detection depth may extend to tens of meters. This study provides a theoretical foundation for understanding the distribution and preservation mechanisms of water ice on the lunar surface. The methodologies developed and the conclusions drawn provide valuable scientific insights for future in-situ detection missions targeting lunar polar regions.
本研究提出了一种基于蒙特卡罗方法的几何模型,以精确表征月球土壤中的多孔介质结构,并通过数值重建吸附行为对−100°C水迁移影响的实验研究来验证其可靠性。基于该模型,定量分析了风化层对冰保持时间的延长作用,系统阐述了温度、厚度、比表面积等关键参数的影响机理。研究表明,月壤粒径分布可以用统一的累积概率分布来描述,基于蒙特卡罗方法的重构模型可以有效表征孔隙结构特征。风化层达到饱和吸附所需的时间与其厚度呈线性关系。水冰的额外滞留时间对温度变化最为敏感。在温度不超过110 K的情况下,即使是薄于1米的风化层也能将水冰的保存时间延长几亿年。然而,一旦温度超过110 K,在110 K - 120 K的狭窄温度范围内,上覆层的保护能力呈指数级下降。在温暖的月球地区,风化层保持水冰的能力是有限的。即使深埋的水冰也会随着地质时间的延长而逐渐消散。基于上述机制,本研究表明,在温度低于110 K的永久阴影区域,可能在风化层最上面1米内检测到水冰。相比之下,在温度从120 K到140 K的区域,所需的探测深度可能延伸到几十米。该研究为了解月球表面水冰的分布和保存机制提供了理论基础。所开发的方法和得出的结论为未来针对月球极地地区的原位探测任务提供了宝贵的科学见解。
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引用次数: 0
Microgravity-induced alterations in left atrial hemodynamics and thrombogenic risk: Insights from healthy and atrial fibrillation models 微重力诱导的左心房血流动力学改变和血栓形成风险:来自健康和心房颤动模型的见解
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.058
Grace Hoeppner , Ahmad Bshennaty , Brennan Vogl , Ghasaq Saleh , Mohamad Alkhouli , Hoda Hatoum

Background

Microgravity exposure alters cardiovascular loading, yet its impact on left atrial flow dynamics and thrombotic risk remains poorly understood. This study investigates how spaceflight-relevant microgravity-induced changes in cardiac outflow affect left atrial hemodynamics in healthy individuals and patients with atrial fibrillation.

Methods

Patient-specific left atrial models were generated for three healthy individuals and three AF patients. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were performed using each patient's baseline mitral outflow waveform and two modified waveforms representing short- and long-duration post-flight cardiac loading changes derived from echocardiographic observations. Hemodynamic metrics included left atrial velocity, time averaged wall shear stress, oscillatory shear index, relative residence time, and stasis volume, which were used to assess thrombogenic flow conditions.

Results

Post-flight, microgravity-associated modifications to mitral outflow conditions produced distinct hemodynamic responses across cohorts. In healthy individuals, short-duration post-flight loading reduced time-averaged wall shear stress from 1.51 to 1.00 Pa and increased velocity-defined stasis from 19.6 % to 64.2 %, indicating substantially reduced atrial washout. Under long-duration post-flight conditions, these metrics recovered toward or above baseline values (time-averaged wall shear stress 1.68 Pa; stasis 18.5 %), consistent with hemodynamic adaptation. In contrast, patients with atrial fibrillation exhibited high baseline stasis and showed minimal changes in time-averaged wall shear stress, oscillatory shear, or relative residence time across all loading conditions. Across all cohorts, the left atrial appendage consistently demonstrated the lowest shear and highest residence time.

Conclusion

These findings indicate that spaceflight-related microgravity exposure may transiently increase atrial flow stasis and thrombotic risk in individuals with normal atrial function, while individuals with atrial fibrillation remain in a persistently high-risk hemodynamic state that is relatively insensitive to microgravity-induced loading changes. This study provides the first patient-specific, chamber-level computational assessment of how spaceflight-documented cardiac adaptations influence left atrial hemodynamics and highlights the importance of accounting for duration-dependent hemodynamic adaptation when assessing thrombotic risk associated with human spaceflight.
微重力暴露会改变心血管负荷,但其对左心房血流动力学和血栓形成风险的影响仍知之甚少。本研究探讨了与太空飞行相关的微重力诱导的心流出物变化如何影响健康个体和心房颤动患者的左心房血流动力学。方法建立3例健康人左心房模型和3例房颤患者左心房模型。计算流体动力学(CFD)模拟使用每位患者的基线二尖瓣流出波形和两个修改波形,代表飞行后心脏负荷的短期和长期变化,这些变化来自超声心动图观察。血流动力学指标包括左心房速度、时间平均壁剪切应力、振荡剪切指数、相对停留时间和停滞体积,这些指标用于评估血栓性血流状况。结果飞行后,微重力相关的二尖瓣流出条件的改变在队列中产生了不同的血流动力学反应。在健康个体中,短时间的飞行后负荷将时间平均壁剪切应力从1.51降低到1.00 Pa,并将速度定义的停滞从19.6%增加到64.2%,这表明心房冲洗明显减少。在长时间的飞行后条件下,这些指标恢复到接近或高于基线值(时间平均壁剪切应力1.68 Pa;停滞18.5%),与血流动力学适应一致。相比之下,房颤患者表现出较高的基线停滞,在所有负载条件下,时间平均壁剪切应力、振荡剪切或相对停留时间的变化最小。在所有队列中,左心耳一致表现出最低的剪切和最高的停留时间。结论航天飞行相关的微重力暴露可能会短暂增加心房功能正常个体的房流停滞和血栓形成风险,而心房颤动患者仍处于持续的高危血流动力学状态,对微重力引起的负荷变化相对不敏感。这项研究首次提供了患者特异性的、舱室水平的计算评估,以了解航天记录的心脏适应如何影响左房血流动力学,并强调了在评估与人类航天相关的血栓风险时考虑持续时间依赖性血流动力学适应的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
A 698 nm laser system for excitation of fluorescent quantum light sources on a CubeSat mission 立方体卫星任务中用于荧光量子光源激发的698 nm激光系统
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.060
Sven Schwertfeger , Elisa Da Ros , Marcel Bursy , Andreas Wicht , Daniel Pardo , Ankush Sharma , Subash Sachidananda , Alexander Ling , Markus Krutzik
This manuscript reports on the development and qualification of an ECDL-based, fiber-coupled laser system at a wavelength of λ=698 nm for space applications. We designed and developed the optical and mechanical configuration, along with the laser driving and thermal management electronics, to meet space compatibility requirements. Validation tests were conducted on off-the-shelf components to assess their suitability for satellite deployment. The final system integrates all components into a compact design optimized for CubeSat platforms.
本文报道了一种基于ecdl的、波长为λ=698 nm的用于空间应用的光纤耦合激光系统的开发和鉴定。我们设计并开发了光学和机械配置,以及激光驱动和热管理电子设备,以满足空间兼容性要求。对现成组件进行了验证测试,以评估其是否适合卫星部署。最终系统将所有组件集成到一个针对立方体卫星平台优化的紧凑设计中。
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引用次数: 0
Reconstruction of in-orbit breakup events over the short term 短期在轨解体事件的重建
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.061
Francesca Ottoboni, Andrea Muciaccia, Camilla Colombo
The massive growth of space activities over the past decades has lead to an increase of the space debris population, which is threatening the safety of space operations and active satellites. Several fragmentation events caused by catastrophic collisions and explosions have single-handedly contributed to the increase in the number of space debris, highlighting the importance of the reconstruction of such events to gain insight on the breakups and decrease the collision risk they cause to active satellites.
This work proposes a fragmentation reconstruction approach for this purpose, which combines pruning and clustering criteria with a backward propagation to identify the epoch of the fragmentation and the involved objects. The model was tested by using publicly available Two-Line-Elements data. The problem of the unreliability of such data is addressed by modifying the original approach to account for uncertainty, multiplying the original Two-Line-Elements data and choosing the optimal set of objects for the reconstruction. The optimal values of the pruning filters thresholds for the method are also investigated to identify the most effective criteria. Moreover, the reciprocal influence of the filters is assessed through a sensitivity analysis. The proposed approach is applied to two real fragmentation events to compare the accuracy of the reconstruction with and without the uncertainty quantification. The method proves to be effective in the evaluation of the epoch of the breakup as well as the identification of the fragments and their parent.
近几十年来空间活动的大量增长导致空间碎片数量的增加,威胁着空间作业和现役卫星的安全。由灾难性碰撞和爆炸造成的若干碎片事件单独造成了空间碎片数量的增加,这突出了重建此类事件的重要性,以便深入了解碎片并减少它们对活动卫星造成的碰撞风险。为此,本文提出了一种碎片重建方法,该方法将修剪和聚类标准与向后传播相结合,以识别碎片的时代和所涉及的对象。该模型通过使用公开的Two-Line-Elements数据进行了测试。通过修改原始方法来考虑不确定性,将原始的双线元数据相乘,并选择最优对象集进行重建,解决了这些数据的不可靠性问题。研究了该方法的剪枝滤波器阈值的最优值,以确定最有效的准则。此外,通过灵敏度分析评估了滤波器的互反影响。将该方法应用于两个真实破碎事件,比较了不确定度量化和不确定度量化重建的精度。结果表明,该方法可有效地判断碎裂时期,并可有效地识别碎裂片及其母片。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Cone Penetration Test in Lunar Highlands Regolith Simulant 模拟月球高地风土的动态锥突试验
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.055
Kārlis Šļumba, Brendan T. Scott, Mark B. Jaksa
It is essential to understand the geotechnical properties of the ground before anything can be built on Earth, the Moon, or elsewhere. The cone penetrometer is a simple but very important instrument that yields quantitative and qualitative information about the geotechnical properties of the material. Quantitative information is the penetration resistance from which density and layering can be inferred, and ground improvement can be evaluated. Qualitative information includes identifying layering and inhomogeneities, as well as the existence of boulders.
Cone penetrometers are often proposed for space missions (e.g., Beagle 2, InSight, Philae) and were even used by Apollo astronauts. All cone penetrometers that have been used extra-terrestrially so far have either experienced difficulties with penetration or were designed to penetrate less than 100 mm deep and stop before encountering any meaningful resistance. An optimally developed dynamic cone penetrometer might work better because it requires less reaction force.
This research consists of the development of a bespoke dynamic cone penetrometer with variable cone size and hammering energy. Further, this instrument is tested in a large-scale regolith compaction chamber with lunar highlands regolith simulant LHS-1E at a wide range of densities to find the optimal setup where penetration captures enough data by moving slowly but also does not stagnate. Results from dynamic cone penetration tests at many different densities are compared and successfully correlated to cone penetration and nuclear density gauge test results. Calculated coefficients allow for the conversion directly between dynamic and regular cone penetration tests at any density, which shows promise for greater use of dynamic cone penetrometers in lunar applications.
在地球、月球或其他地方建造任何东西之前,了解地面的岩土力学特性是至关重要的。圆锥贯入仪是一种简单但非常重要的仪器,它可以提供有关材料岩土特性的定量和定性信息。定量信息是穿透阻力,从中可以推断密度和分层,并可以评估地面改善情况。定性信息包括识别分层和非均质性,以及巨石的存在。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency Metrics and Numerical Simulation Procedure for Atmosphere-Breathing Electric Propulsion (ABEP) Intake Designs 空气呼吸式电力推进(ABEP)进气设计的效率度量和数值模拟程序
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.037
M.B. Agir , N.H. Crisp , K.L. Smith , P.C.E. Roberts , Z. Xiang , M. Newsam , M. Griffiths
The intake of an atmosphere-breathing electric propulsion system plays a pivotal role in capturing and collimating atmospheric residuals prior to the propulsion stage. Accurate assessment of intake performance necessitates accounting for rarefied gas dynamics, flow compression, and gas-surface interactions. In this study, the DSMC solver, dsmcFoam, is rigorously validated against fundamental benchmarks, including Clausing empirical cases and comparisons with the PICLas solver. Furthermore, dsmcFoam-dsmcFoam comparison is also conducted and observed deviations between our results and existing dsmcFoam results in the literature highlight the critical importance of careful simulation setup and procedural rigour. A systematic analysis of the simulation workflow, supplemented by additional computational strategies, demonstrates their pronounced impact on intake performance metrics. Furthermore, distinct definitions for efficiency – namely, collection efficiency and transmission efficiency for vacuum, standalone, and integrated configurations – are introduced, establishing a comprehensive framework for evaluating intake performance across varying operational altitudes and surface properties. The findings confirm that (i) dsmcFoam represents a reliable tool for ABEP intake design, providing a foundation for further developments, (ii) a structured and generic simulation procedure tailored for ABEP intakes is essential, and (iii) conventional efficiency metrics for ABEP intakes needs reconsideration for broader applicability and accurate performance evaluation.
空气呼吸式电力推进系统的进气口在推进阶段前的大气残留捕获和准直中起着关键作用。进气性能的准确评估需要考虑稀薄气体动力学、流动压缩和气体表面相互作用。在本研究中,DSMC求解器,dsmcFoam,严格验证了基本基准,包括条款的经验案例和与PICLas求解器的比较。此外,还进行了dsmcFoam-dsmcFoam比较,并观察到我们的结果与文献中现有的dsmcFoam结果之间的偏差,强调了仔细模拟设置和程序严谨性的重要性。仿真工作流程的系统分析,辅以额外的计算策略,证明了它们对进气性能指标的显著影响。此外,介绍了不同的效率定义,即真空、独立和集成配置的收集效率和传输效率,建立了一个综合框架,用于评估不同操作高度和表面特性的进气性能。研究结果证实:(1)dsmcFoam是ABEP进气设计的可靠工具,为进一步开发提供了基础;(2)为ABEP进气定制的结构化和通用模拟程序是必不可少的;(3)ABEP进气的传统效率指标需要重新考虑,以获得更广泛的适用性和准确的性能评估。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility-guaranteed analytical mars landing guidance in hazardous terrains with disturbances 具有干扰的危险地形中可行性保证的分析火星着陆制导
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.053
Yan Wang , Yaxuan Li , Xinfu Liu
This paper investigates the Mars landing guidance problem in hazardous terrains. Disturbances during landing, including parameter uncertainties and external forces, may cause the guidance problem infeasible, preventing the lander from avoiding the terrains. To ensure a safe landing, it is crucial, though challenging, to maintain the recursive feasibility of the guidance problem in each guidance cycle. To this end, we propose a two-phase guidance framework, where recursive feasibility is considered only in the first phase and the terminal constraints in this phase are significantly relaxed. This turns the recursive feasibility requirement into the assured satisfaction of the terrain avoidance constraint under disturbances in each guidance cycle. The main contribution of this work lies in analytically deriving a feasible control set and proving that, as long as the control command is within this set, the state at the next guidance cycle must be able to reach the required terminal state while satisfying the terrain avoidance constraint. This guarantees the recursive feasibility of the guidance problem, provided it is feasible in the initial time. As a result, guidance commands in the first phase can be generated by the well-known ZEM/ZEV guidance law, and then simply saturated by the derived feasible control set. In the second phase, the terrain avoidance constraint no longer needs to be considered and the ZEM/ZEV guidance law is applied to drive the lander to the desired location with a safe touchdown velocity. Numerical examples demonstrate that the proposed method can ensure recursive feasibility of the guidance problem under disturbances and is capable of achieving meter-level landing accuracy.
研究了危险地形下的火星着陆制导问题。着陆过程中的干扰,包括参数不确定性和外力,可能导致制导问题不可行,阻止着陆器避开地形。为了确保安全着陆,在每个制导周期中保持制导问题的递归可行性是至关重要的,尽管这是一项挑战。为此,我们提出了一个两阶段的指导框架,其中仅在第一阶段考虑递归可行性,并且该阶段的终端约束明显放宽。这将递归的可行性要求转化为在每个制导周期中干扰下地形回避约束的保证满足。本工作的主要贡献在于解析导出了可行控制集,并证明了只要控制命令在可行控制集内,下一个制导周期的状态一定能够在满足地形回避约束的情况下达到所要求的终端状态。这保证了制导问题的递归可行性,只要它在初始时间内是可行的。因此,第一阶段的制导命令可以由已知的ZEM/ZEV制导律生成,然后由推导的可行控制集简单饱和。在第二阶段,不再考虑地形回避约束,采用ZEM/ZEV制导律驱动着陆器以安全的着陆速度到达目标位置。数值算例表明,该方法能保证制导问题在扰动下的递归可行性,并能达到米级着陆精度。
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引用次数: 0
“Getting things done” or “Doing the right things”? Micro-foundations of product-service strategies in Earth Observation “把事情做好”还是“做正确的事情”?地球观测产品服务策略的微观基础
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.040
Valentina Zancan, Paolo Trucco, Giorgio Locatelli
The space sector is transitioning from an infrastructure-driven legacy paradigm toward a commercially driven New Space paradigm. Historically characterized by high barriers to entry and demand anchored on institutional needs, the sector now faces competitive pricing, rapid technological change, and expanding commercial use cases that reshape the design and development of space assets. The Earth Observation (EO) segment exemplifies this transition, as the growing commoditization of EO data led to new development logics and organizational practices. Similar to other sectors experiencing rapid change, this transition is not without challenges. A central challenge for legacy EO organizations lies in reconfiguring the processes, organizational structures, and decision rules, i.e. the “micro-foundations”, that govern EO solution development. Understanding how to reconfigure such micro-foundations is of practical importance for operating within the current New Space paradigm, yet it is an under-researched perspective for space organizations. Drawing on product-service system development and Operations Management literature, this study investigates how micro-foundations shape EO solution development strategies in legacy and New Space contexts. Using a multiple-case study based on semi-structured interviews and secondary data, we build on the Decoupling Point (DP) concept from operations management and propose an EO DP strategy conceptual framework. This framework explains how and where customer and user requirements enter the EO value chain and influence design and development activities, and how DP positioning revolves across organizational boundaries and inter-organizational settings. Our findings indicate that legacy space organizations adopt downstream DP strategies, in which user needs influence EO solution development mainly at later stages, reinforcing technology-push logics and limited integration of commercial needs. Conversely, New Space organizations employ dynamic DP strategies that combine customization, modularity, and standardization, enabling user needs to shape upstream design and development decisions. Importantly, we find that DP positioning in New Space organizations is not confined within firm boundaries but increasingly emerges through inter-organizational collaborations. This study contributes to research on the Space Economy by offering a fine-grained, micro-foundational explanation of diverse EO solution development strategies and their evolution. For practitioners and policymakers, the findings highlight multiple pathways for legacy organizations to maintain relevance in an evolving EO market without undermining their core capabilities and heritage.
航天部门正在从基础设施驱动的传统模式向商业驱动的新空间模式过渡。从历史上看,该部门的特点是进入门槛高,需求以机构需求为基础,现在该部门面临着竞争性定价、快速的技术变革和不断扩大的商业用例,这些用例重塑了空间资产的设计和开发。地球观测(EO)部门就是这种转变的例证,因为日益增长的EO数据商品化导致了新的开发逻辑和组织实践。与其他经历快速变革的行业类似,这种转型并非没有挑战。遗留EO组织的核心挑战在于重新配置管理EO解决方案开发的流程、组织结构和决策规则,即“微观基础”。了解如何重新配置这样的微观基础对于在当前的新空间范式中运作具有实际意义,但对于空间组织来说,这是一个研究不足的视角。借助产品服务系统开发和运营管理文献,本研究探讨了微基础如何在传统和新空间背景下塑造EO解决方案开发策略。通过基于半结构化访谈和辅助数据的多案例研究,我们以运营管理中的解耦点(DP)概念为基础,提出了一个EO解耦点战略概念框架。该框架解释了客户和用户需求如何以及在何处进入EO价值链并影响设计和开发活动,以及DP定位如何跨越组织边界和组织间设置。我们的研究结果表明,传统空间组织采用下游DP策略,其中用户需求主要在后期影响EO解决方案的开发,强化了技术推动逻辑,并限制了商业需求的整合。相反,New Space组织采用动态DP策略,将定制、模块化和标准化相结合,使用户需要形成上游设计和开发决策。重要的是,我们发现新空间组织中的DP定位并不局限于公司边界,而是越来越多地通过组织间合作出现。该研究为空间经济的研究提供了一个细粒度的、微观基础的解释,解释了不同的空间经济解决方案的发展策略及其演变。对于从业者和政策制定者来说,研究结果强调了传统组织在不断发展的EO市场中保持相关性而不损害其核心能力和传统的多种途径。
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引用次数: 0
Orbit determination and prediction for uncooperative spacecrafts with continuous low-thrust maneuver via piecewise estimation 基于分段估计的连续低推力机动非合作航天器轨道确定与预测
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q1 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2026.01.033
Liu Yuan , Bin Li , Xin Tian , Wei Liang , Peng Lv , Jizhang Sang
The exponential growth of mega-constellation satellites, typified by SpaceX’s Starlink, poses unprecedented challenges for existing space surveillance, particularly when tracking uncooperative spacecrafts executing continuous orbit-raising/deorbiting maneuvers. This situation makes the conventional orbit determination (OD) and prediction (OP) struggle with three critical issues: insufficient observational data, unknown maneuvering parameters, and the cumulative effects of unmodeled thrust. To address these issues, this study proposes a piecewise estimation-based OD method by developing a semi-analytical thrust acceleration (TA) model. The TA model employs time-explicit polynomial expansions with state-dependent coefficients to characterize the continuous low-thrust effect. The OD system integrates a piecewise least-squares estimation algorithm with dynamic compensation, enabling accurate TA resolution within one-day observation windows. Specifically, the OP system incorporates the latest TA estimate to account for the future continuous low-thrust effect. Experiments with sparse radar observations of Starlink satellites demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The TA estimation errors remain below 0.5% relative to the reference obtained from precise ephemerides. The OP capabilities maintain one-day and two-day position accuracy below 2 and 4 km, respectively, improving by more than 60% compared to the unified OD method. More importantly, the approach exhibits operational robustness, achieving OD convergence with initial TA errors up to 35%. These advantages make the proposed approach a practicable solution for autonomous catalog maintenance of maneuvering spacecraft.
以SpaceX的Starlink为代表的巨型星座卫星呈指数级增长,给现有的太空监视带来了前所未有的挑战,特别是在跟踪执行连续轨道上升/脱离轨道操作的非合作航天器时。这种情况使得传统的轨道确定(OD)和预测(OP)面临三个关键问题:观测数据不足、机动参数未知和未建模推力的累积效应。为了解决这些问题,本研究通过建立半解析推力加速度(TA)模型,提出了一种基于分段估计的OD方法。TA模型采用具有状态相关系数的时间显式多项式展开来表征连续低推力效应。OD系统集成了分段最小二乘估计算法和动态补偿,可在一天的观测窗口内实现精确的TA分辨率。具体来说,OP系统结合了最新的TA估计,以考虑未来持续的低推力效应。星链卫星稀疏雷达观测实验验证了该方法的有效性。相对于精确星历表得到的参考值,TA估计误差保持在0.5%以下。与统一的OD方法相比,OP方法的1天和2天定位精度分别保持在2公里和4公里以下,提高了60%以上。更重要的是,该方法具有操作鲁棒性,在初始TA误差高达35%的情况下实现了OD收敛。这些优点使该方法成为机动航天器自主目录维护的一个切实可行的解决方案。
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Acta Astronautica
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