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A Self-Supervised Pre-Learning Method for Low Wind Power Forecasting 低风量预测的自监督预学习方法
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3529199
Weiye Song;Jie Yan;Shuang Han;Ning Zhang;Shihua Liu;Chang Ge;Yongqian Liu
As wind power is becoming a major energy source of power systems, the risk of power shortages due to its intermittent low power output is growing. Accurate forecasting of low wind power is crucial for mitigating these impacts. However, conventional methods struggle with few-sample issues due to the infrequent occurrence of low wind power, limiting accuracy improvements. To address this, a self-supervised pre-learning method is proposed to forecast low wind power occurrence period and output, leveraging the similarities and differences among low output samples to enhance forecasting accuracy. Low wind power output is decomposed into low wind power events (LWPE), which represent the occurrence timeframe, and low wind power processes (LWPP), which represent the power sequences. For LWPE forecasting, a siamese residual shrinkage network based on contrastive learning is introduced. This network pre-learns LWPE features from sample pairs to mitigate the impact of imbalanced sample distribution. For LWPP forecasting, a pattern recognition-based embedded forecasting framework is proposed, embedding typical LWPP fluctuations into the prediction network to improve fit under limited sample conditions. A case study on 3 wind farm clusters shows that this method improves LWPP forecasting accuracy from 84.99%-86.6% to 89.97%, outperforming traditional methods without pre-learning.
随着风力发电逐渐成为电力系统的主要能源,其间歇性低功率输出导致的电力短缺风险日益增加。准确预测低风力发电对减轻这些影响至关重要。然而,由于低风力发电的情况很少发生,传统的方法难以解决样本少的问题,限制了准确性的提高。针对这一问题,提出了一种自监督预学习方法,利用低输出样本之间的异同来预测低风电的发生周期和输出,提高预测精度。将低风量输出分解为低风量事件(LWPE)和低风量过程(LWPP),前者表示低风量事件的发生时间框架,后者表示低风量过程的功率序列。在LWPE预测中,引入了一种基于对比学习的连体残差收缩网络。该网络从样本对中预学习LWPE特征,以减轻样本分布不平衡的影响。对于LWPP预测,提出了一种基于模式识别的嵌入式预测框架,将典型的LWPP波动嵌入到预测网络中,以提高有限样本条件下的拟合。通过对3个风电场集群的实例研究表明,该方法将LWPP预测准确率从84.99% ~ 86.6%提高到89.97%,优于传统的无预学习方法。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Scheduling and Commercial Testbed-Based Verification of Integrated PV-ESS Systems Considering Settlement Rules in South Korea 考虑韩国沉降规则的PV-ESS集成系统最优调度与商用试验台验证
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3529693
Rae-Kyun Kim;Gyu-Sub Lee;Jae-Gyun Park;Hyoseop Lee;Seung-Il Moon;Jae-Won Chang
This article proposes an optimal scheduling algorithm for an integrated PV-ESS system to maximize the overall revenue from both system marginal price (SMP) and renewable energy certificate (REC), considering detailed settlement rules in South Korea. Furthermore, to prevent revenue losses caused by forecasting errors, robust optimization (RO) and receding horizon rescheduling (RHR) approaches, are exploited. The academic contributions of this work are: 1) the formulation of complex settlement rules as an optimization problem, and 2) the implementation of a mixed integer linear programming (MILP)-based RO that can be solved by non-commercial solvers. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, simulations and experiments were conducted using a commercial testbed. Compared to the rule-based algorithm which had been adopted in the testbed, the proposed algorithm achieved a 9.3% increase in revenue.
考虑到韩国详细的结算规则,本文提出了一种光伏-可再生能源集成系统的优化调度算法,以最大化系统边际价格(SMP)和可再生能源证书(REC)的总体收益。此外,为了防止预测错误造成的收入损失,还采用了稳健优化(RO)和后退视界重新安排(RHR)方法。这项工作的学术贡献在于1) 将复杂的结算规则表述为一个优化问题,以及 2) 实施基于混合整数线性规划(MILP)的 RO,该 RO 可由非商业求解器求解。为了验证所提方法的有效性,我们使用商业测试平台进行了模拟和实验。与测试平台采用的基于规则的算法相比,所提出的算法实现了 9.3% 的收入增长。
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引用次数: 0
Secondary Frequency Regulation From Aggregated Distributed Photovoltaics: A Dynamic Flexibility Aggregation Approach 聚合分布式光伏的二次频率调节:一种动态柔性聚合方法
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3529512
Songyan Zhang;Peixuan Wu;Chao Lu;Huanhuan Yang;Tuo Jiang
To fully utilize the potential of massive small-scale distributed photovoltaics (DPVs) for secondary frequency regulation (SFR), this article introduces a hierarchical coordination framework that incorporates the dynamic response characteristic (DRC) of DPV to automatic generation control (AGC) signals, thereby reflecting the dynamic flexibility of the aggregated DPVs (ADPVs). First, a reserved power feasible range is derived for scheduling the power reserve control (PRC) scheme considering the uncertainty in PV generation and the de-loaded margin base constraint. Second, a two-stage multi-cluster DRC aggregation method that considers the impact of the PRC scheme is developed to describe the equivalent DRC of the ADPVs. Last, the article constructs an integrated cost function (ICF) that reveals the interdependencies between SFR capacity, equivalent DRC and regulation cost, which enables the decoupled scheduling of the SFR indices and the PRC scheme. An event-triggered duty factor reassignment mechanism is further proposed to improve the reliability of SFR service deployment in case of unexpected events. Simulation results indicate that the framework is an efficient approach for quantifying, trading and realizing the dynamic flexibility of the ADPVs.
为了充分发挥大规模小规模分布式光伏(DPV)在二次频率调节(SFR)方面的潜力,本文引入了一种分层协调框架,该框架结合了DPV对自动发电控制(AGC)信号的动态响应特性(DRC),从而反映了聚合分布式光伏(adpv)的动态灵活性。首先,在考虑光伏发电不确定性和卸载余量基数约束的情况下,导出了备用电力调度方案的备用电力可行范围;其次,开发了一种考虑PRC方案影响的两阶段多集群DRC聚合方法来描述adpv的等效DRC。最后,本文构建了一个综合成本函数(ICF),揭示了SFR容量、等效DRC和监管成本之间的相互依赖关系,从而实现了SFR指标与PRC方案的解耦调度。为了提高SFR业务在突发事件下部署的可靠性,进一步提出了一种事件触发的占空因子重分配机制。仿真结果表明,该框架是一种量化、交易和实现adpv动态灵活性的有效方法。
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引用次数: 0
Frequency Constrained Dispatch With Energy Reserve and Virtual Inertia From Wind Turbines 利用风力涡轮机的能量储备和虚拟惯性进行频率受限调度
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3528948
Boyou Jiang;Chuangxin Guo;Zhe Chen
With the increasing penetration of wind power and gradual retirement of conventional generating units (CGUs), wind turbines (WTs) become promising resources to provide steady-state energy reserve (ER) and frequency support for the grid to facilitate supply-demand balance and frequency security. In this regard, a novel frequency constrained dispatch framework with ER and virtual inertia from WTs is proposed. Firstly, this paper establishes the WT model with both ER and virtual inertia, whose energy sources are WT's deloading and rotor kinetic energy, respectively. Secondly, the system frequency response and CGUs' power response are derived while considering WTs exiting inertia response at frequency nadir. Then, this paper develops a stochastic-optimization-based frequency constrained dispatch model, where both WTs' frequency regulation parameters and rotor speeds are decision variables, so that the coupling between WT's mechanical and electrical parts and the coupling between system's transient dynamics and steady-state operation can be fully reflected. Finally, convex hull relaxation, convex hull approximation and deep neural networks are used to transform the original nonlinear model into a mixed-integer second-order cone programming model. Case studies on the 118-bus system verify the effectiveness of the proposed models and methods.
随着风电的日益普及和常规发电机组的逐步退役,风力发电机组成为为电网提供稳态能量储备和频率支持以促进供需平衡和频率安全的有前景的资源。在此基础上,提出了一种新的频率约束调度框架。首先,本文建立了同时包含ER和虚惯性的小波变换模型,其能量来源分别为小波变换的载荷和转子动能。其次,考虑WTs在频率最低点存在惯性响应,推导了系统的频率响应和cgu的功率响应;然后,本文建立了基于随机优化的频率约束调度模型,其中WT的调频参数和转子转速均为决策变量,从而充分反映WT机电部分之间的耦合以及系统暂态动态与稳态运行之间的耦合。最后,利用凸壳松弛、凸壳逼近和深度神经网络将原非线性模型转化为混合整数二阶锥规划模型。对118总线系统的实例研究验证了所提模型和方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Low Carbon Economic Energy Management Method in a Microgrid Based on Enhanced D3QN Algorithm With Mixed Penalty Function 基于混合罚函数增强D3QN算法的微电网低碳经济能源管理方法
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3528952
Chanjuan Zhao;Yunlong Li;Qian Zhang;Lina Ren
In this paper, an enhanced dueling double deep Q network algorithm with mixed penalty function (EN-D3QN-MPF) for microgrid energy management control is developed. First, a novel microgrid model including PV, wind turbine generator, electric storage system, electric vehicle charging station, thermostatically controlled loads, and residential price-responsive loads are proposed. Then, by combining the mixed penalty function method with D3QN reinforcement learning together, a mixed penalty function method is implemented to balance the reward weightings. Accordingly, an EN-D3QN-MPF algorithm is presented to achieve low-carbon economic and EV users' charging satisfaction operation of the microgrid. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by the dataset collected from eastern China in 2019. Simulation results validate that our proposed method has superior energy management performance over the genetic algorithm (GA), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), dueling deep Q network (dueling DQN), double DQN (DDQN), and D3QN algorithms.
本文提出了一种用于微电网能量管理控制的带有混合罚函数的增强决斗双深Q网络算法(EN-D3QN-MPF)。首先,提出了包括光伏发电、风力发电、储能系统、电动汽车充电站、恒温控制负荷和住宅价格响应负荷在内的新型微电网模型。然后,将混合惩罚函数法与D3QN强化学习相结合,实现混合惩罚函数法来平衡奖励权重。为此,提出EN-D3QN-MPF算法,实现微电网低碳经济和电动汽车用户充电满意运行。通过2019年中国东部地区的数据验证了该方法的有效性。仿真结果表明,该方法比遗传算法(GA)、粒子群算法(PSO)、dueling deep Q network (dueling DQN)、双DQN (DDQN)和D3QN算法具有更好的能量管理性能。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic-Robust Optimal Power Flow With Small-Signal Stability Guarantee Under Renewable Uncertainties 可再生不确定性下具有小信号稳定保障的随机鲁棒最优潮流
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3529254
Jianshu Yu;Pei Yong;Zhifang Yang;Juan Yu
The diversification of power system operation modes raises the necessity of incorporating dynamic characteristics into steady-state operation. Small-signal stability is a representative issue. Though, existing frameworks either ignore the uncertainties of renewables, or only focus on the worst case. In this regard, this paper establishes a small-signal stability constrained stochastic-robust optimal power flow (OPF) model, which aims to optimize the expected cost of scheduling results with respect to the probability distributions of uncertainties while ensuring the small-signal stability requirement even in extreme scenarios. However, the synergy of uncertainties and the complicated small-signal stability mechanism significantly increase the solving difficulty. This paper proposes a comprehensive framework to overcome this challenge. First, we solve the stochastic OPF without small-signal stability constraints. For those results that do not meet the stability requirements, we use them as initial points to locate the effective boundary of the OPF feasible region where the robust small-signal stability requirement is satisfied. The effective boundary location is realized in an iterative manner. Then, in the neighborhood of this effective boundary, we construct a linear surrogate expression to represent the original robust small-signal stability constraint with Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and sample weighted support vector machine (swSVM). Finally, we solve the OPF model with the surrogate constraint. Moreover, we further propose a constraint correction strategy to guarantee the stability requirement. Case studies verify that the proposed method can acquire economical operation schemes and meet the robust small-signal stability requirement at the same time.
电力系统运行方式的多样化提出了将动态特性纳入稳态运行的必要性。小信号稳定性是一个有代表性的问题。然而,现有的框架要么忽视了可再生能源的不确定性,要么只关注最坏的情况。为此,本文建立了基于小信号稳定性约束的随机鲁棒最优潮流(OPF)模型,该模型的目标是在保证极端情况下小信号稳定性要求的同时,根据不确定性的概率分布对调度结果的期望代价进行优化。然而,不确定性的协同作用和复杂的小信号稳定机制显著增加了求解难度。本文提出了一个全面的框架来克服这一挑战。首先,我们求解了没有小信号稳定性约束的随机OPF。对于不满足稳定性要求的结果,我们将其作为初始点来定位满足鲁棒小信号稳定性要求的OPF可行区域的有效边界。有效边界定位采用迭代方式实现。然后,在该有效边界的邻域中,利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)采样和样本加权支持向量机(swSVM)构造线性代理表达式来表示原始鲁棒小信号稳定性约束。最后,我们用代理约束求解了OPF模型。进一步提出了约束修正策略,以保证系统的稳定性要求。实例研究表明,该方法能够获得经济的运行方案,同时满足鲁棒小信号稳定性要求。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term and Short-Term Coordinated Scheduling for Wind-PV-Hydro-Storage Hybrid Energy System Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning 基于深度强化学习的风-电-水-蓄混合能源系统长期与短期协调调度
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3529215
Huaiyuan Zhang;Kai Liao;Jianwei Yang;Zhe Yin;Zhengyou He
For wind-photovoltaic-hydro-storage hybrid energy systems (WPHS-HES) grappling with the complexities of multiple scheduling cycles, traditional long-term strategies often impair short-term regulation capabilities, leading to extensive resource waste and critical power shortages. Thus, this paper introduces a novel framework that intricately nests short-term operational characteristics within long-term operating rules to synchronize multi-timescale scheduling for WPHS-HES. The cornerstone of our approach is the novel formulation of the long-term scheduling as a Markov Decision Process (MDP). It is integrated seamlessly with short-term generation schedules developed through an optimal model embedded at each MDP step. To achieve computational effectiveness and reliability, we propose a hybrid data-model-driven solution that harnesses the synergistic benefits of both data-driven and model-driven methodologies. By leveraging deep reinforcement learning our approach significantly streamlines long-term decision variables, while ensuring strict adherence to short-term operational constraints through mixed integer linear programming. Empirical simulations on an operational WPHS-HES validate the superior efficacy of our method over traditional scenario reduction and robust optimization techniques. The results are striking that it achieves a reduction in sustainable energy curtailment from 11.67% to 0.63% and slashes the load shedding rate from 3.3% to 0.69%, thereby setting a new benchmark for intelligent energy management in complex hybrid systems.
对于风力-光伏-水力-蓄能混合能源系统(WPHS-HES)来说,传统的长期策略往往会损害短期调节能力,导致广泛的资源浪费和严重的电力短缺。因此,本文提出了一种新的框架,该框架将短期运行特征复杂地嵌套在长期运行规则中,以同步WPHS-HES的多时间尺度调度。我们的方法的基石是长期调度作为一个马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)的新公式。它与通过在每个MDP步骤中嵌入的最佳模型开发的短期发电计划无缝集成。为了实现计算效率和可靠性,我们提出了一种混合数据模型驱动的解决方案,利用数据驱动和模型驱动方法的协同优势。通过利用深度强化学习,我们的方法显著简化了长期决策变量,同时通过混合整数线性规划确保严格遵守短期操作约束。在运行的WPHS-HES上进行的经验模拟验证了我们的方法比传统的场景简化和鲁棒优化技术更有效。结果令人震惊,可持续弃电率从11.67%降至0.63%,减载率从3.3%降至0.69%,从而为复杂混合动力系统的智能能源管理树立了新的标杆。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics-Incorporated Modeling Framework for Stability Constrained Scheduling Under High-Penetration of Renewable Energy 可再生能源高渗透下稳定约束调度的动态集成建模框架
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3528027
Jinning Wang;Fangxing Li;Xin Fang;Hantao Cui;Buxin She;Hang Shuai;Qiwei Zhang;Kevin L. Tomsovic
In this paper, a modularized modeling framework is designed to enable a dynamics-incorporated power system scheduling under high-penetration of renewable energy. This unique framework incorporates an adapted hybrid symbolic-numeric approach to scheduling models, effectively bridging the gap between device- and system-level optimization models and streamlining the scheduling modeling effort. The adaptability of the proposed framework stems from four key aspects: extensible scheduling formulations through modeling blocks, scalable performance via effective vectorization and sparsity-aware techniques, compatible data structure aligned with dynamic simulators by common power flow data, and interoperable dynamic interface for bi-direction data exchange between steady-state generation scheduling and time-domain dynamic simulation. Through extensive benchmarks with various usage scenarios, the framework's accuracy and scalability are validated. The case studies also demonstrate the efficient interoperation of generation scheduling and dynamics, significantly reducing the modeling conversion work in stability-constrained grid operation towards high-penetration of renewable energy.
本文设计了模块化的建模框架,以实现可再生能源高渗透下的动态合并电力系统调度。这个独特的框架结合了一种适应的混合符号-数字方法来调度模型,有效地弥合了设备级和系统级优化模型之间的差距,并简化了调度建模工作。该框架的适应性源于四个关键方面:通过建模块实现可扩展的调度公式,通过有效的向量化和稀疏感知技术实现可扩展的性能,通过通用潮流数据与动态模拟器保持一致的兼容数据结构,以及在稳态发电调度和时域动态仿真之间进行双向数据交换的可互操作动态接口。通过各种使用场景的广泛基准测试,验证了框架的准确性和可伸缩性。案例研究还证明了发电计划和动态的有效互操作,大大减少了稳定约束下电网向高可再生能源渗透的建模转换工作。
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引用次数: 0
Event-Triggered H-Infinity Pitch Control for Floating Offshore Wind Turbines 用于漂浮式近海风力涡轮机的事件触发 H-Infinity 变桨控制
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3525478
Ya Zhao;Xiyun Yang;Yanfeng Zhang;Qiliang Zhang
The complex wind and wave environment can lead to increased external disturbances and power fluctuations of floating offshore wind turbines, posing a significant challenge to their stable operation. To cope with this issue, this paper formulates an event-triggered H-infinity pitch control strategy for floating offshore wind turbines. Firstly, a linear parameter varying model of floating offshore wind turbines is proposed, utilizing the dynamic characteristics of subsystems while considering the combined external disturbances from wind and wave. Then, the event-triggered control strategy is introduced into the H-infinity pitch control of floating offshore wind turbines. Based on this, a criterion for the asymptotic stability and H-infinity norm boundedness of floating offshore wind turbines is derived. Furthermore, an algorithm is presented for designing feedback gain matrices of the event-triggered H-infinity pitch control, which can effectively reduce the update frequency of the controller. Finally, a simulation is conducted on the IEA 15 MW Reference Wind Turbine by integrating OpenFAST with MATLAB/Simulink. The simulation results provide a comparative analysis of the event-triggered H-infinity pitch control strategy and the continuous-time pitch control strategy, demonstrating the superiority of the method proposed in this paper.
复杂的风浪环境会导致海上浮式风力发电机组受到的外部干扰和功率波动增大,对海上浮式风力发电机组的稳定运行构成重大挑战。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种事件触发的海上浮式风力机h∞螺距控制策略。首先,利用各子系统的动态特性,考虑风、波的综合干扰,建立了浮动式海上风力机的线性参数变化模型;然后,将事件触发控制策略引入到浮式海上风力机的h∞螺距控制中。在此基础上,导出了海上浮式风力发电机渐近稳定性和h -无穷范数有界性的判据。在此基础上,提出了一种事件触发h∞螺距控制反馈增益矩阵的设计算法,有效地降低了控制器的更新频率。最后,将OpenFAST与MATLAB/Simulink集成,对IEA 15mw参考风力发电机组进行了仿真。仿真结果对事件触发h∞螺距控制策略和连续时间螺距控制策略进行了对比分析,验证了本文方法的优越性。
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引用次数: 0
A Framework of Day-Ahead Wind Supply Power Forecasting by Risk Scenario Perception 基于风险情景感知的风力发电日前预测框架
IF 8.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2025.3525498
Mao Yang;Yutong Huang;Zhao Wang;Bo Wang;Xin Su
Wind power forecasting (WPF) systems are essential to maintain the safe and stable operation of the power system in case of large-scale grid-connected wind farms. However, the current forecasting has the problem of disunity between statistical value and application value, that is, it only pays attention to its forecasting accuracy and ignores the risks caused by it in the power system. In order to solve the above problems, this study proposes a framework of wind supply power forecasting (WSPF) for wind farm cluster, which takes into account the risk scenario perception. First of all, aiming at the predicted risk phenomenon in WPF, TimesNet combined with the fluctuation information of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) wind speed is used to identify the corresponding risk scenarios. Secondly, the effective consumption area and power supply risk area evaluation index, as well as the accuracy of WSPF are defined, and the optimal forecasting curve correction scheme is fitted according to the index. Thirdly, taking into account the correction scheme and identification results, a variety of predictors are used to verify the WSPF according to the above framework. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a wind farm cluster in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region of China, the average accuracy of WSPF has increased by 37%, which verifies the effectiveness and universality of this method.
在大型并网风电场的情况下,风电功率预测系统是保证电力系统安全稳定运行的关键。然而,目前的预测存在统计值与应用值不统一的问题,即只关注其预测精度,而忽略了其在电力系统中所带来的风险。为解决上述问题,本研究提出了考虑风险情景感知的风电场集群供风功率预测框架(WSPF)。首先,针对WPF预测的风险现象,利用TimesNet结合数值天气预报(Numerical Weather Prediction, NWP)风速波动信息识别相应的风险情景。其次,定义了有效消纳面积和供电风险区评价指标以及WSPF的准确度,并根据该指标拟合了最优预测曲线修正方案;第三,结合校正方案和识别结果,根据上述框架使用多种预测因子对WSPF进行验证。最后,将该方法应用于内蒙古某风电场集群,WSPF的平均精度提高了37%,验证了该方法的有效性和通用性。
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引用次数: 0
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IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
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