Journal of the Economics of Ageing最新文献

This paper measures the implications of the automation process in the labour market for the early retirement decisions in 26 European countries. In order to perform the analysis, we use microdata from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, occupation-level data on automation degree and automation risk and a technological classification of occupations in 4 terrains. We find that the current technological change is playing a significant role in the early retirement decisions, although it affects heterogeneously certain groups in the sample (regarding gender, education level and job status). This fact leads to a contradiction between governments trying to delay retirement ages and labour markets trying to expel workers earlier. Therefore, we conclude that, in order to elaborate policies on ageing and retirement, the effect of new labour-saving technologies in older worker’s decisions must be taken into account. We propose that the delay in statutory retirement ages should be accompanied by training programs and/or policies promoting self-employment for workers at risk of ending their working lives prematurely. Furthermore, the programs aimed to relocate middle-age workers displaced from their original occupations should focus on finding a new occupation among those which are less affected by automation processes.

Extending working lives has been a major priority across the OECD to mitigate the adverse effects of population ageing and declines in the working-age population. Despite significant increases in labour force participation rates of older workers aged 55–64, a key challenge facing policymakers is to promote retention and job-to-job mobility of older workers. Job stability (as measured by job tenure) is falling across many OECD countries and older workers are less likely to change jobs than their younger counterparts. While there is no optimal level of job mobility or length of job tenure – and there are costs and benefits for workers and firms to both – structural changes such as technological change will exacerbate the need for mobility and flexibility at middle and older ages. At the same time, low retention rates and persistently high-long-term unemployment rates among this group illustrate greater need for employers and governments to do more to support older workers to keep their jobs. Achieving this will require a comprehensive approach by all stakeholders including better management of age-diverse workforces in the workplace, removing institutional barriers to continued employment and improving the employability of workers throughout their working lives by, for example, promoting better opportunities for lifelong learning and improving job quality.

Older workers stay longer in the labor market due to increasing life expectancy and retirement age. The aging workforce is perceived to create challenges to the current labor markets including productivity, yet our understanding of how the demographic transition and aging workforce affect the labor market and firms’ productivity is limited. Using the 2007–2019 Korean Workplace Panel Survey, we examine the effect of the workforce age structure on wage per worker and labor productivity of firms. The workforce age structure is disaggregated into three age groups: young workers (16–29 years), prime-age workers (30–49 years), and older workers (50 years and higher). Wage and value-added per worker are selected as measures of labor costs and productivity. The ordinary least squares regression results suggest no statistically significant association of firms’ wage per worker and labor productivity with the share of young workers but a negative association with the share of older workers. Yet, in some regions, sectors, and firms, older workers show comparable productivity to prime-age workers while their wages are lower than that of prime-age workers. Its association is particularly apparent in the unstable and low-wage sectors, small to medium size firms, and the Capital Region (Seoul and surrounding areas including Incheon megacity and Gyeonggi province) and six other megacities. Once the difference-GMM addresses the potential endogeneity issue, we find no association between the shares of both young and older workers and firms’ wages and productivity.

The ageing of society means that public pension systems are becoming increasingly important. This study evaluates the influence of public pension entitlements on wealth inequality among pensioners. A novel data source - the Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey – is used to compare the impact of the public pension system on wealth inequality in 19 European countries. Findings indicate that in all investigated countries, social security wealth reduces wealth inequality. Augmented wealth inequality is ca. 30% lower than private wealth inequality. This estimate refers to the population of pensioners, while in the whole population the equalizing impact of public pension systems may be weaker. Social security wealth mitigates not only wealth inequality measured at the country level, but also wealth inequality in the whole European Union.

The ways that individuals experience time, specifically as it relates to prioritizing the present versus the future, have played foundational roles in economics and psychology.

Traditionally, both disciplines have viewed individuals’ time preferences as time-independent and stable. In this paper, we examine principles such as time consistency and rational expectations through the lens of socioemotional selectivity theory. We argue that preferences change as personal time horizons shrink, and rewards related to emotional meaning in the present are prioritized over rewards that play out in the future. This manifests in older individuals’ preferences for emotionally meaningful experiences over activities that promote learning and exploration. Because goals direct cognitive resources, individuals with shorter time horizons also direct cognitive resources and attention away from negative information and towards positive information. Shifting goals and changes in cognitive preferences have wide-ranging implications for aging research and policy development.

The objective of the paper is to examine the retirement behaviour of Belgian workers in one-earner households who are automatically granted a more generous old-age pension benefits replacement rate, called the household replacement rate. Following a recommendation of the Belgian Pension Reform Committee, this policy is to be suppressed for new pensioners, except for those receiving the minimum pension. We provide an ex-ante impact evaluation of such reform on both pension sustainability and adequacy measures. Specifically, we test whether the household replacement rate entails a work (dis)incentive mechanism promoting (harming) pension sustainability and furthermore, we analyse the role of the household replacement rate in old-age poverty and inequality measures. To do so, we use the survey dataset SHARE and a discrete time logistic duration model to study the link between retirement and financial retirement incentives created by the social security system. Further, we use a microsimulation model to estimate the magnitude of the assumed impact of the household replacement rate on retirement and we find that this policy generates higher retirement incentives through an income effect. At the same time, we simulate various social security wealth indicators under different household replacement rate scenarios and we find that the household replacement rate could potentially play an important role in decreasing the elderly poverty rate since households with asymmetrical working arrangements are often at the lowest part of the equivalized income distribution. Overall, despite the supposed positive poverty and distributional aspects of this policy, our simulation analysis supports the reform proposal of removing the household replacement rate.

In this paper we estimate the effect of unemployment on informal care provision. For the identification we use plant closures as a source of exogenous variation and combine difference-in-differences with matching based on entropy balancing. The analysis is based on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). We find that there is a time conflict between employment and informal care provision. Unemployment increases the probability of providing care by 2.9 percentage points while the daily hours of care provision rise by around 0.05 h per week-day. Both men and women react with significant increases in care provision. We find the largest effects for women with low education.

Based on five waves of CHARLS data from 2011 to 2020 with expenditure imputations, we estimate living standards and poverty rates among older Chinese and study factors associated with consumption and poverty. Our results indicate that in the 2010s, China's poverty profile among older people was no longer characterized by regional concentration, such as the case in the first decades following China's economic reforms. Rather, old-age poverty is dispersed and varies mainly by demographics. Rural-urban differences, low education, and older age are the main factors associated with poverty. In the past decade, people of these characteristics enjoyed substantially more reductions in poverty, but they remain chief predictors. After controlling for demographics, consumption grew by 72.9 %, and the poverty rate declined by 59.2 % from 2011 to 2020, revealing remarkable progress. By interacting marital status with sex and urban/rural residence, we identify gaps in older people's economic support and find that the never-married urban people, widowed and divorced women, especially divorced rural women are the most at risk for poverty. Our research implies that future poverty alleviation policies should have more precise targeting.