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Determination of rupture directivity of the 2024 Feidong M4.7 earthquake using one single near-source station 利用单一近源台站测定2024年肥东4.7级地震的破裂方向性
IF 4.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.02.001
Suli Yao , Zhigao Yang , Hongfeng Yang
Determining the rupture directivity for small earthquakes is challenging due to the small source dimension and limited resolution of far-field observations. In recent years, the burst of near-source observations provides great opportunities to study earthquake rupture. Here we present the rapid determination of the rupture directivity for the 2024 Feidong M4.7 earthquake using only one strong motion station located 4 km from the epicenter. We find that the polarization of S waves evolves during the rupture, indicating an azimuth change during the rupture propagation. Through comparing the data with the synthetic waveforms, we infer that the M4.7 event propagated dominantly to the southwest on the dextral Tanlu fault. Our inference is further validated through comparing the data with records at local stations for M3 earthquakes in the Feidong sequence. Our study highlights the superior application of near-source observations in earthquake source studies.
由于震源尺寸小,远场观测分辨率有限,确定小地震的破裂指向性具有挑战性。近年来,近源观测的爆发为研究地震破裂提供了很好的机会。本文介绍了利用距离震中4公里的一个强震台站快速确定2024年肥东4.7级地震的破裂指向性。我们发现,在破裂过程中,S波的极化发生了变化,表明破裂传播过程中的方位角发生了变化。通过与合成波形的对比,推断此次4.7级地震主要在郯庐断裂右旋向西南方向传播。通过与肥东序列M3地震台站记录的对比,进一步验证了我们的推断。我们的研究突出了近源观测在震源研究中的优越应用。
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引用次数: 0
Science knows no borders: Memories of Professor Rong-Sheng Zeng, a pioneering figure of modern geophysics in China 科学无国界——回忆中国现代地球物理学先驱曾荣生教授
IF 4.1 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.06.005
Wang-Ping Chen
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引用次数: 0
Intraslab seismicity characteristics of northern Chile 智利北部实验室内地震活动性特征
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.002
Zixin Chen , Lei Gao , Haijiang Zhang , Shaobo Yang , Ying Liu , Diana Comte
The Chilean subduction zone is one of the most seismically active regions globally, characterized by extensive intermediate-depth seismicity in the slab. In this study, we construct a new earthquake catalog for northern Chile using seismic waveforms assembled for the period of 2014−2019, from which 320,070 P-wave and 232,907 S-wave first arrivals are obtained for 25,763 earthquakes. Grid search location method NonLinLoc is applied to determine initial earthquake locations and double-difference location method is used to improve relative event locations. The distribution of earthquakes exhibits distinct patterns to the north and south of 21°S. There are many more earthquakes deeper than ∼150 km to the south of 21°S, while relatively fewer to the north. The intraslab earthquakes shallower than ∼80 km generally reveal a distinct double seismic zone, and the gap between the two seismic planes disappears at a depth of approximately ∼80 km, followed by a concentration of seismicity in the depth range of ∼80−150 km. In the deeper slab, there exist several seismicity clusters with distinct earthquake activities down to ∼300 km. These characteristics shown in slab seismicity are likely caused by different mechanisms and can be helpful for understanding the subduction process.
智利俯冲带是全球地震活动最活跃的地区之一,其特征是在板块中广泛存在中深度地震活动。在这项研究中,我们使用2014 - 2019年期间的地震波组合构建了智利北部的新地震目录,其中25,763次地震获得了320,070次p波和232,907次s波首次到达。采用网格搜索定位方法NonLinLoc确定地震初始位置,采用双差定位方法改进相对事件定位。地震分布在21°S以北和以南有明显的规律。在21°S以南,深度超过~ 150 km的地震更多,而在北部相对较少。浅于~ 80 km的岩内地震通常显示出明显的双地震带,两个地震面之间的间隙在约~ 80 km深度处消失,随后在~ 80 ~ 150 km深度范围内地震活动集中。在较深的板块中,存在几个地震活动群,在~ 300 km以下有明显的地震活动。这些板状地震活动的特征可能是由不同的机制引起的,有助于理解俯冲过程。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic evidence for a thickened mantle transition zone beneath the Kamchatka subduction zone 堪察加俯冲带下增厚地幔过渡带的地震证据
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.001
Qinghui Cui , Yuanze Zhou , Yuan Gao , Ran Cui
The structures of the mantle transition zone (MTZ) are of great significance for studying interactions of the subducted slab and deep mantle and related slab dynamics beneath subduction zones. Here by dense near-source SdP sampling from a large global dataset, we image topographies of transition zone discontinuities such as the 410-km and 660-km discontinuities (410 and 660) beneath the Kamchatka and conduct cross-section comparisons with the seismicity. Compared with the IASP91 model, the 410 exhibits apparent uplifts of 45−65 km with an average of 55 km in a horizontal width of ∼130 km, corresponding to low-temperature anomalies of 750−1083 K with an average of 916 K. In contrast, the 660 shows depressions of 15−37 km with an average of 25 km together with downward deflections in a width of ∼260 km, implying low-temperature anomalies of 161−397 K with an average of 268 K. Thus, we confirm a thickened MTZ with a thickness of 325−345 km around the cold descending Pacific slab. We suggest that topographic patterns of transition zone discontinuities imply a Pacific slab that has been significantly heated in the MTZ with broadened thermal effects on the 660. When considered along with other studies, we infer that the slab is possibly heated by hot mantle flows around the torn slab window extended to at least the MTZ range, thus inducing variations in thermal and rheological properties of the slab. Our seismic results can provide more insight into slab dynamics in the northwestern Pacific.
地幔过渡带的构造对于研究俯冲带下俯冲板块与深部地幔的相互作用以及相关的板块动力学具有重要意义。在这里,通过从一个大型全球数据集中密集的近源SdP采样,我们对堪察加半岛410公里和660公里不连续面(410和660)等过渡带不连续面进行了地形成像,并与地震活动进行了截面比较。与IASP91模式相比,410在水平宽度为~ 130 km的范围内表现出45 ~ 65 km的平均55 km的视隆起,对应于750 ~ 1083 K的平均916 K的低温异常。相比之下,660显示出15 ~ 37 km的低压,平均25 km,以及宽度为~ 260 km的向下偏转,这意味着低温异常为161 ~ 397 K,平均为268 K。因此,我们确认在寒冷下降的太平洋板块周围存在厚度为325 ~ 345 km的增厚MTZ。我们认为过渡带不连续性的地形模式暗示太平洋板块在中过渡带被显著加热,在660年代热效应扩大。考虑到其他研究,我们推断,板块可能是被撕裂板块窗口周围的热地幔流加热,至少延伸到MTZ范围,从而导致板块的热学和流变特性发生变化。我们的地震结果可以为西北太平洋的板块动力学提供更多的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Foreshocks of the 2016 MS5.1 Yunlong earthquake in Western Yunnan, China, and implications for earthquake nucleation 2016年云南西部云龙MS5.1地震前震及其成核意义
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.003
Gaohua Zhu , Hongfeng Yang , Yingying Zhang
Monitoring the evolution of foreshocks can be a valuable way to analyze the nucleation process. Foreshocks accompanying moderate mainshocks have been recorded in the west of Yunnan Province, China. We obtain the earthquake catalog and source parameters of the 2016 Yunlong foreshocks, and discuss the implications for the nucleation processes of the earthquake in western Yunnan, China. By using the matched filter detection, we identify 343 foreshocks with a magnitude of −0.8−4.5, starting with a magnitude 1.0 foreshock approximately 3 months before the 2016 MS5.1 Yunlong mainshock. The spatial distribution of foreshocks doesn’t show localization or directional migration towards the mainshock. Coulomb stress analysis suggests a positive stress perturbation at the mainshock nucleate area. These observations indicate a cascade-triggering mechanism of the 2016 Yunlong earthquakes. We further collect published catalogs of 2021 Yangbi and 2017 Yangbi foreshocks in the adjacent area, and analyze the temporal changes in b values. The temporal changes in b values reveal precursory drops before the mainshocks.
监测前震的演化是分析成核过程的一种有价值的方法。中国云南西部地区曾记录到伴有中度主震的前震。获得了2016年云龙前震的地震目录和震源参数,并讨论了其对滇西地震成核过程的启示。通过匹配滤波检测,我们确定了343次震级为- 0.8 - 4.5的前震,从一次震级为1.0的前震开始,大约在2016年MS5.1云龙主震发生前3个月。前震的空间分布不表现出向主震的局域化或定向迁移。库仑应力分析表明主震核区存在正应力扰动。这些观测结果表明了2016年云龙地震的级联触发机制。进一步收集邻区已公布的2021年杨壁和2017年杨壁前震目录,分析b值的时间变化。b值的时间变化揭示了主震前的前兆下降。
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引用次数: 0
HuiShangGPT in the discussion on the trend of seismicity?. HuiShangGPT在地震活动性趋势的讨论?
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.004
Jing Huang , Shi Chen , Zhongliang Wu
Given the complexity of earthquake forecast and the current limitations in the application of artificial intelligence (AI), we propose a conceptual framework for a novel AI system, HuiShangGPT, intended to act as an expert in discussion on the trend of seismicity. This system, still in the conceptual stage, aims to integrate AI into the empirical approaches traditionally used in earthquake forecasting. The proposed HuiShangGPT system would not only assist in the comprehensive analysis of seismic data but also contribute to the expert panel discussions, enhancing the decision-making process. We outline the envisioned functionalities and potential benefits of such a system, while acknowledging the technical and practical challenges that need to be addressed for its future implementation.
鉴于地震预报的复杂性和目前人工智能(AI)应用的局限性,我们提出了一个新的人工智能系统HuiShangGPT的概念框架,旨在作为讨论地震活动趋势的专家。该系统仍处于概念阶段,旨在将人工智能整合到传统上用于地震预报的经验方法中。提出的HuiShangGPT系统不仅有助于地震数据的综合分析,而且有助于专家小组讨论,提高决策过程。我们概述了这样一个系统的预期功能和潜在的好处,同时承认在未来的实现中需要解决的技术和实践挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying of spatio-temporal variations in the regional gravity field and the effectiveness of earthquake prediction: A case study of MS ≥ 5.0 earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region during 2021–2024 区域重力场时空变化量化与地震预报效果研究——以2021-2024年川滇地区MS≥5.0地震为例
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.006
Weimin Xu , Shi Chen , Yongbo Li , Jiangpei Huang , Bing Zheng , Yufei Han , Zhaohui Chen , Qiuyue Zheng , Hongyan Lu , Linhai Wang , Honglei Li , Dong Liu
Since the 1975 MS7.3 Haicheng earthquake, spatio-temporal variations in the gravity field have attracted much attention as potential earthquake precursors. Recent technical advances in terrestrial gravity observation, along with the construction of a high-precision mobile gravity network covering Chinese mainland, have positioned temporal gravity variations (GVs) as an important tool for clarifying the signal characteristics and dynamic mechanisms of crustal sources. Reportedly, crustal mass transfer, which is affected by stress state and structural environment, alters the characteristics of the regional gravity field, thus serving as an indicator for locations of moderate to strong earthquakes and a seismology-independent predictor for regions at risk for strong earthquakes. Therefore, quantitatively tracking time-varying gravity is of paramount importance to enhance the effectiveness of earthquake prediction. In this study, we divided the areas effectively covered by the terrestrial mobile gravity network in the Sichuan-Yunnan region into small grids based on the latest observational data (since 2018) from the network. Next, we calculated the 1- and 3-year GVs and gravity gradient indicators (amplitude of analytic signal, AAS; total horizontal derivative, THD; and amplitude of vertical gradient, AVG) to quantitatively characterize variations in regional time-varying gravity field. Next, we assessed the effectiveness of gravity field variations in predicting earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region using Molchan diagrams constructed for gravity signals of 13 earthquakes (M ≥ 5.0; occurred between 2021 and 2024) within the terrestrial mobile gravity network. The results reveal a certain correspondence between gravity field variations and the locations of moderate and strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Furthermore, the 3-year AAS and AVG outperform the 3-year THD in predicting subsequent seismic events. Notably, the AAS and AVG showed large probability gains prior to the MS6.8 Luding earthquake, indicating their potential for earthquake prediction.
自1975年海城MS7.3地震以来,重力场的时空变化作为潜在的地震前兆受到了广泛关注。近年来地球重力观测技术的进步,以及覆盖中国大陆的高精度移动重力网络的建设,使时间重力变化(GVs)成为揭示地壳震源信号特征和动力机制的重要工具。据报道,地壳质量传递受应力状态和构造环境的影响,改变了区域重力场的特征,因此可以作为中强震位置的指标和与地震学无关的强震危险区域的预测指标。因此,定量跟踪时变重力对提高地震预报的有效性至关重要。本研究基于川滇地区地面移动重力网最新观测数据(2018年以来),将川滇地区地面移动重力网有效覆盖区域划分为小网格。接下来,我们计算了1年和3年的GVs和重力梯度指标(分析信号振幅,AAS;总水平导数THD;和垂直梯度振幅(AVG),定量表征区域时变重力场的变化。接下来,我们利用13次地震(M≥5.0;发生在2021年至2024年之间),在陆地移动重力网络内。结果表明,川滇地区重力场变化与中、强地震的位置有一定的对应关系。此外,3年AAS和AVG在预测后续地震事件方面优于3年THD。值得注意的是,AAS和AVG在泸定6.8级地震前的概率增加较大,表明了它们在地震预测方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of seismicity in the Haicheng-Xiuyan region based on dense array data and deep learning methods 基于密集阵列数据和深度学习方法的海城-秀岩地区地震活动性分析
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.007
Zemin Liu , Weitao Wang , Lu Li , Zihao Li , Ziye Yu , Songyong Yuan , Lanshu Bai
The aftershocks of the 1975 MS7.3 Haicheng and 1999 MS5.4 Xiuyan earthquakes have persisted for a long time. The ChinArray-III dense stations, deployed in eastern North China from 2018 to 2020, increased seismic monitoring capability in the Haicheng-Xiuyan region, which can facilitate the construction of high-precision earthquake catalogs to better clarify the fault structures and seismogenic mechanisms of the two earthquakes. In this study, we selected 15 permanent stations and 37 ChinArray-III stations within 150 km of the epicenter of the Haicheng Earthquake. Next, we used deep learning methods to pick P- and S-wave phases from continuous waveforms recorded at these stations from January 2018 to July 2020. Based on these picks, we constructed an automatic earthquake catalog of the Haicheng-Xiuyan region. Compared with the routine manual catalog by China Earthquake Networks Center (CENC), our catalog contains 9.7 times more seismic events, including 98.3% of the seismic events in the CENC catalog, and has a lower magnitude of completeness (Mc = 1.1 vs Mc = 1.8 for the CENC catalog). The relocated events indicate that the strike of the Haichenghe-Dayanghe fault varies considerably from northwest to southeast, indicating that the fault bends slightly around the hypocenter of the 1975 MS7.3 Haicheng earthquake which may act as a channel for fluid migration. The weak seismicity in the area between Haicheng and Xiuyan indicates that the fault section may be locked. Furthermore, the 1999 MS5.4 Xiuyan earthquake and its aftershock sequence occurred on the Kangjialing fault and its ENE-trending conjugate fault, and the intersection of the two faults coincides with the source areas of the 1999 MS5.4 and 2000 MS5.1 Xiuyan earthquakes. Therefore, the Xiuyan earthquake sequence may be controlled by the Kangjialing fault and its conjugate fault. This study shows that the automatic earthquake catalog, obtained by deep learning methods and dense seismic array, can provide valuable information for fault structures and the seismogenic mechanisms of moderate-to-strong earthquakes.
1975年海城7.3级地震和1999年秀岩5.4级地震的余震持续时间较长。2018年至2020年在华北东部部署的中国阵列- iii密集台站,增加了海城-秀岩地区的地震监测能力,有助于建立高精度地震目录,更好地阐明两次地震的断层结构和发震机制。在海城地震震中150公里范围内选取了15个永久台站和37个中国阵列- iii型台站。接下来,我们使用深度学习方法从2018年1月至2020年7月在这些站点记录的连续波形中提取P波和s波相位。在此基础上,建立了海城-秀岩地区地震自动目录。与中国地震台网中心(CENC)的常规手册目录相比,我们的目录包含的地震事件多9.7倍,占CENC目录中地震事件的98.3%,并且具有较低的完整程度(Mc = 1.1比CENC目录的Mc = 1.8)。重新定位事件表明,海城—大杨河断裂的走向从西北到东南变化较大,表明该断裂在1975年海城MS7.3地震震源周围有轻微弯曲,可能是流体运移的通道。海城—秀岩之间的弱地震活动性表明该断裂带可能处于锁断状态。1999年MS5.4秀岩地震及其余震序列发生在康家岭断裂及其ene向共轭断裂上,两条断裂的交点与1999年MS5.4和2000年MS5.1秀岩地震的震源区域重合。因此,秀岩地震序列可能受到康家岭断裂及其共轭断裂的控制。研究表明,通过深度学习方法和密集地震阵获得的自动地震目录可以为断层结构和中强震发震机制提供有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 0
An open access 90 m resolution VS data and map for areas affected by the January 2025 M6.8 Dingri Xizang, China earthquake 2025年1月中国西藏定日里氏6.8级地震影响地区的开放获取90米分辨率VS数据和地图
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.01.008
Jian Zhou , Li Li
In this study, we developed a high-resolution (3 arcsec, approximately 90 m) VS map and associated open-access dataset for the 140 km × 200 km region affected by the January 2025 M6.8 Dingri Xizang, China earthquake. This map provides a significantly finer resolution compared to existing VS maps, which typically use a 30 arcsec grid. The VS values were estimated using the Cokriging-based VS proxy model (SCK model), which integrates VS measurements as primary constraints and utilizes topographic slope as a secondary parameter. The findings indicate that the VS values range from 200 to 250 m/s in the sedimentary deposit areas near the earthquake’s epicenter and from 400 to 600 m/s in the surrounding mountainous regions. This study showcases the capability of the SCK model to efficiently generate VS estimations across various spatial resolutions and demonstrates its effectiveness in producing reliable estimations in data-sparse regions.
在这项研究中,我们开发了受2025年1月中国西藏定日6.8级地震影响的140 km × 200 km区域的高分辨率(3 arcsec,约90 m) VS地图和相关的开放获取数据集。与现有的VS地图相比,这个地图提供了一个明显更好的分辨率,后者通常使用30弧秒的网格。使用基于cokriging的VS代理模型(SCK模型)估计VS值,该模型将VS测量作为主要约束,并利用地形坡度作为次要参数。结果表明,地震震中附近沉积区的VS值在200 ~ 250 m/s之间,周围山区的VS值在400 ~ 600 m/s之间。本研究展示了SCK模型在不同空间分辨率下有效生成VS估计的能力,并证明了其在数据稀疏区域生成可靠估计的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
The slip-rate, state-, temperature-, and normal-stress-dependence of fault friction 断层摩擦的滑移率、状态、温度和正应力依赖性
IF 1.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eqs.2025.03.005
Sylvain Barbot
The mechanics of slow-slip events and earthquakes is controlled by the constitutive behavior of rocks in active fault zones, which is sensitive to many factors encompassing lithology, temperature, confining and pore-fluid pressure, and slip-rate, among others. Understanding the frictional properties of faults is crucial to predicting many aspects of the seismic cycle, from the source characteristics and recurrence patterns of earthquakes to the mechanics of remote triggering. Here, we describe a constitutive model that explains the slip-rate-, state-, temperature-, and normal-stress-dependence of fault friction for a wide variety of rock types, explaining the evolution of frictional stability under various barometric and hydrothermal conditions relevant to natural and induced seismicity, encompassing the brittle-ductile transition. The frictional strength is controlled by the area of contact junctions that form along a rough interface or by grain-to-grain contact in fault gouge and follows a nonlinear function of normal stress. The physical model explains the direct and evolutionary effects following perturbations in temperature, normal stress, and slip-rate, and the dependence of the frictional parameters on ambient physical conditions. The competition among healing and deformation mechanisms explains the dependence of fault stability on temperature, slip-rate, and effective normal stress for a wide range of rocks. The brittle-to-flow transition at the bottom of the seismogenic zone is caused by the thermobaric activation of semi-brittle deformation mechanisms. The model unifies and extends previous formulations, providing a single framework to explain rock deformation in Earth’s brittle and ductile layers.
慢滑事件和地震的机制受活动断裂带中岩石的本构行为控制,该本构行为对许多因素都很敏感,包括岩性、温度、围压和孔隙流体压力、滑动速率等。了解断层的摩擦特性对于预测地震周期的许多方面至关重要,从震源特征和地震的重复模式到远程触发机制。在这里,我们描述了一个本构模型,该模型解释了各种岩石类型的断层摩擦的滑动速率、状态、温度和正应力依赖性,解释了与自然和诱发地震活动相关的各种气压和热液条件下摩擦稳定性的演变,包括脆性-韧性转变。摩擦强度由沿粗糙界面形成的接触结的面积或断层泥中颗粒与颗粒的接触控制,并遵循法向应力的非线性函数。物理模型解释了温度、正应力和滑移率扰动后的直接和进化效应,以及摩擦参数对环境物理条件的依赖。愈合和变形机制之间的竞争解释了断层稳定性对温度、滑移率和各种岩石的有效正应力的依赖。孕震带底部的脆性-流动转变是由半脆性变形机制的热压活化引起的。该模型统一并扩展了以前的公式,提供了一个单一的框架来解释地球的脆性和韧性层中的岩石变形。
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引用次数: 0
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Earthquake Science
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