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The Territorial Dimension of Ministerial Selection in Spain: Constrained Consociationalism under Majoritarian Cabinets 西班牙部长选举的地域维度:主要内阁下的约束性联盟主义
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2031511
Jean-Baptiste Harguindéguy, C. Rivera, J. Teruel, Almudena Sánchez Sánchez
Abstract Although frequently depicted as a purely majoritarian system, the recruitment of executive elites in Spain is said to incorporate unofficial ‘quotas’ allowing the representation of territorial minorities. But does the selection of cabinet ministers in Spain produce consociational-like effects? This study aims to answer this question through a statistical model based on an original dataset of 223 cabinet ministers and 375 appointments from 1977 to 2021. It is demonstrated that territorial selection depends on three main variables: the regional educational level, the marginalization of plurilingual autonomous communities and the exclusion of ethno-regionalist parties at the Congress. Consequently, our main hypothesis must be rejected. The main reason explaining the lack of the consociational ministerial recruitment phenomenon in Spain seems to rely on the behaviour of ethno-regionalist parties at the Congress. To avoid potential electoral losses, these actors have developed a strong preference for national policies favouring their own constituencies, rather than for ministerial positions within the Spanish cabinet.
摘要尽管经常被描述为纯粹的多数主义制度,但据说西班牙行政精英的招聘包含了允许领土少数群体代表的非官方“配额”。但是,西班牙内阁部长的选择是否会产生类似联合的效果?这项研究旨在通过一个基于1977年至2021年223名内阁部长和375名任命的原始数据集的统计模型来回答这个问题。研究表明,领土选择取决于三个主要变量:地区教育水平、多语言自治社区的边缘化以及民族-地方主义政党在大会上被排斥。因此,我们的主要假设必须被否定。西班牙缺乏联合部长招聘现象的主要原因似乎取决于民族地区主义政党在大会上的行为。为了避免潜在的选举失利,这些行为体强烈倾向于有利于自己选区的国家政策,而不是西班牙内阁中的部长职位。
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引用次数: 4
Political Interventions to ‘Ripen’ Peace Initiatives: An Analysis of the Northern Ireland and Israeli/Palestinian Conflicts 政治干预“成熟”和平倡议:对北爱尔兰和以色列/巴勒斯坦冲突的分析
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-21 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2031790
C. McManus
ABSTRACT As President of the United States, Donald Trump’s decision to recognise Jerusalem as the capital of Israel served to heighten tensions in the Middle East and instantly undermined his stated goal of bringing peace to the troubled region. This paper will argue that there are important lessons to be gained from the political process in Northern Ireland to help bolster a peace process in the Middle East. Through an analysis of Unionist politics pre- and post- the Anglo-Irish Agreement, the paper will argue that there is a need to not only encourage militants to make peace, but also to incentivise regional hegemons into meaningful negotiations. The paper will highlight the important role played by international hegemonic powers as they seek to create a Strategically Benefical Moment for all sides in the conflict as they seek to ‘ripen’ the conditions for peace.
作为美国总统,唐纳德·特朗普承认耶路撒冷为以色列首都的决定加剧了中东地区的紧张局势,并立即破坏了他为动荡地区带来和平的既定目标。本文将论证,可以从北爱尔兰的政治进程中获得重要的经验教训,以帮助促进中东的和平进程。通过对《英爱协议》前后统一党政治的分析,本文将论证,不仅需要鼓励激进分子达成和平,还需要激励地区霸主进行有意义的谈判。这篇论文将强调国际霸权国家所发挥的重要作用,因为它们寻求为冲突各方创造一个战略上有利的时刻,因为它们寻求“成熟”的和平条件。
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引用次数: 1
EU Actorness in the Conflict in Ukraine: Between ‘Comprehensive’ Ambitions and the Contradictory Realities of an Enlarged ‘Technical’ Role 欧盟在乌克兰冲突中的角色:在“全面”野心和扩大“技术”角色的矛盾现实之间
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2028421
André Härtel
Abstract The EU as an actor in international affairs does so far have only limited experience in conflict management. Nevertheless, it has formulated the goal of playing the role of a ‘comprehensive’ conflict manager already in 2013. In the post-Soviet region, the Union until recently hardly lived up to that ambition and has mostly restricted itself to a technical profile. This article asks for the EU’s contribution to conflict management in Ukraine since 2014 and for its respective development as a foreign policy actor. It finds that the Union in Ukraine largely remains wedded to the ‘partial-indirect’ type of conflict manager but that it has also demonstrated some progress towards a more political and less technocratic profile. In the Ukraine conflict, the EU has shown remarkable pragmatism, a willingness to invest resources on an unprecedented level, and the ability to securitize its policies in substance. It can be argued that the EU, based on its comprehensive support to state building projects in Ukraine, is on the way towards the establishment of a ‘state building–security nexus’ in the ENP framework. Yet, there exists a dangerous gap between the level of investment on the one hand and the low political profile of the institutions and the lack of strategy on the other hand.
欧盟作为国际事务中的行动者,迄今为止在冲突管理方面的经验有限。尽管如此,它已经在2013年制定了扮演“全面”冲突管理者角色的目标。在后苏联地区,直到最近,苏联几乎没有实现这一雄心壮志,而且主要局限于技术层面。本文要求欧盟自2014年以来为乌克兰的冲突管理做出贡献,并为其作为外交政策参与者的各自发展做出贡献。报告发现,在乌克兰,欧盟在很大程度上仍然依赖于“部分-间接”类型的冲突管理者,但它也显示出向更多的政治和更少的技术官僚形象迈进的一些进展。在乌克兰冲突中,欧盟表现出了非凡的实用主义,愿意在前所未有的水平上投入资源,并有能力在实质上使其政策证券化。可以说,基于对乌克兰国家建设项目的全面支持,欧盟正朝着在ENP框架中建立“国家建设-安全关系”的方向发展。然而,一方面,投资水平与机构的低政治姿态和缺乏战略之间存在着危险的差距。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic Cleavages and Vote Choice in Trinidad and Tobago 特立尼达和多巴哥的种族分裂和投票选择
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2023275
Jeetendra Khadan, I. Ruprah, Luisa Godinez-Puig
Abstract Trinidad and Tobago is mostly split between two main ethnic groups of African and Indian origins, yet there is little empirical research on the importance of these social cleavages in voting behaviour in the country. One branch of scholarly work on ethnic voting suggests that individuals use social identities as heuristics to evaluate candidates. However, another line of research has found that the role of ethnicity in elections is declining in specific contexts. This manuscript explores the importance of ethnic cleavages in voting patterns in Trinidad and Tobago. We use the Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) surveys and conduct a series of probit models to test which factors influence voting the most in the twin-islands. We find that ethnicity is the main factor associated with voters’ choice, but other factors that are associated with voting decisions, such as voters’ political ideology, education, and place of residence. These findings inform the ongoing debate on the importance of ethnicity in voting behaviour.
摘要特立尼达和多巴哥主要分为非洲和印度两个主要民族,但很少有实证研究表明这些社会分裂在该国投票行为中的重要性。关于种族投票的一个学术分支表明,个人使用社会身份作为启发式方法来评估候选人。然而,另一项研究发现,在特定情况下,种族在选举中的作用正在下降。这份手稿探讨了种族分裂在特立尼达和多巴哥投票模式中的重要性。我们使用拉丁美洲民意项目(LAPOP)调查,并进行了一系列probit模型,以测试哪些因素对双子岛的投票影响最大。我们发现,种族是与选民选择相关的主要因素,但与投票决定相关的其他因素,如选民的政治意识形态、教育和居住地。这些发现为正在进行的关于种族在投票行为中的重要性的辩论提供了信息。
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引用次数: 0
Foreword 前言
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-26 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004771
I. Zartman
I welcome the initiative and its results to flesh out extensions to the original (and growing) theory of ripeness. A good theory, at least in social science, does not stand unchanged like an obelisk for all to admire, but rather grows like a tree out of the original string stem. These branches give further life to the trunk and spread its shadow over broader and broader terrain. To work in reverse, a frequent criticism of ‘mere’ history is that it has plenty of leaves but needs conceptual branches and finally a mainstem to give the events meaning and direction. Together they give the theory increased coverage and relevance. Of course, further research may discover warts in the tree, weak branches even hollowness in the trunk. The name of the scientific game is to meet such criticisms, fold them into the theory, disprove them, recognize their weakening or invalidating effect, or join in reframing the problem and planting a different kind of tree. The contributions spelled out here do not fall within the latter types but rather join in a strengthening exercise, above all by filling in absent branches not involved in the original formulation. Ripeness theory only identified the necessary and sufficient conditions for negotiations to begin, or, as Kuperman (2021) nicely reverses it, without which negotiations cannot begin. The core condition, the Mutually Hurting Stalemate (MHS), is a concept and concepts are square with sharp angles. But reality is not square, and so the analysis of conditions that surround the concepts is important. The article by Matesan (2021), like that of Stichter (2021), examines conditions—proscribing, ceasefires—that help or hinder the establishment of a Mutually Hurting Stalemate (MHS). Similarly, the question of agency can stand elaboration. The concept assumes that it is the negotiator who needs to feel or perceive the MHS and associated concept, the Wat Out (WO) but the actor is a multiple agent in reality (as Stedman earlier showed). Sisk, (2021) picks up Stedmen’s discussion to show that internal conflicts, which attract international sponsors and patrons, are extremely difficult to ripen because of the number and distance of the sponsors, as I discuss also in Syria (Hinnebusch & Zartman 2016) The role of a mediator, another actor in ripeness and ripening, is important to the operation of the theory; Kuperman’s Ethnopolitics, 2022 Vol. 21, No. 2, 123–124, https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2022.2004771
我欢迎这一倡议及其结果,以充实对成熟度原始(和不断增长)理论的扩展。一个好的理论,至少在社会科学中,并不是像一座方尖碑一样一成不变,而是像一棵从原来的树干上长出来的树。这些树枝赋予树干更多的生命,并将它的阴影传播到越来越广阔的地形上。反过来说,对“纯粹”历史的一种常见批评是,它有很多叶子,但需要概念分支,最后需要一个主干来赋予事件意义和方向。它们共同增加了该理论的覆盖面和相关性。当然,进一步的研究可能会发现树上有疣,枝条脆弱,甚至树干中空。科学游戏的名称是迎接这些批评,将它们纳入理论,反驳它们,认识到它们的削弱或无效作用,或者加入重新定义问题并种植一棵不同的树。这里阐述的贡献不属于后一类,而是参与了一项加强工作,最重要的是填补了原始提法中没有涉及的空缺分支。成熟度理论只确定了谈判开始的必要和充分条件,或者,正如Kuperman(2021)很好地推翻了这一理论,没有这些条件,谈判就无法开始。相互伤害僵局的核心条件是一个概念,概念是直角的。但现实并不完美,因此对概念周围条件的分析很重要。Matesan(2021)和Stichter(2021)的文章一样,研究了有助于或阻碍建立相互伤害僵局的条件——禁止、停火。同样,代理问题也值得详细阐述。该概念假设谈判代表需要感受或感知MHS和相关概念,即Wat-Out(WO),但参与者在现实中是一个多重主体(正如Stedman早些时候所示)。Sisk,(2021)利用Stedmen的讨论表明,由于赞助商的数量和距离,吸引国际赞助商和赞助商的内部冲突极难成熟,正如我在叙利亚所讨论的那样(Hinnebusch&Zartman,2016)。调解人,成熟和成熟中的另一个参与者的角色,对理论的运作很重要;库珀曼的民族政治学,2022年第21卷,第2期,123–124,https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2022.2004771
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引用次数: 0
Conflict Over the Commons: Government Bias and Communal Conflicts in Darfur and Eastern Sudan 公地冲突:达尔富尔和苏丹东部的政府偏见和社区冲突
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-19 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2018221
Johan Brosché
Abstract Why do communal conflicts turn violent in some regions but not in others? This article identifies conditions for intercommunal cooperation and examines what makes such cooperation break down. Inspired by Ostrom's CPR-theories, it highlights three mechanisms—sanctions, boundaries, and local rules—underpinning intercommunal cooperation. Next, the argument stipulates that government bias can undermine conditions for communal cohabitation, tipping the balance in favor of conflict rather than cooperation. A systematic comparative study between Darfur and Eastern Sudan—building on extensive fieldwork—provides empirical evidence for the argument. These findings provide new insights on how to enhance community resilience to communal violence.
摘要为什么社区冲突在某些地区演变为暴力,而在其他地区却没有?本文确定了社区间合作的条件,并考察了这种合作破裂的原因。受奥斯特罗姆CPR理论的启发,它强调了三种机制——制裁、边界和地方规则——支撑社区间合作。其次,该论点规定,政府的偏见会破坏社区同居的条件,使平衡倾向于冲突而非合作。在广泛的实地调查基础上,对达尔富尔和苏丹东部进行了系统的比较研究,为这一论点提供了经验证据。这些发现为如何提高社区对社区暴力的抵御能力提供了新的见解。
{"title":"Conflict Over the Commons: Government Bias and Communal Conflicts in Darfur and Eastern Sudan","authors":"Johan Brosché","doi":"10.1080/17449057.2021.2018221","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2021.2018221","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract\u0000 Why do communal conflicts turn violent in some regions but not in others? This article identifies conditions for intercommunal cooperation and examines what makes such cooperation break down. Inspired by Ostrom's CPR-theories, it highlights three mechanisms—sanctions, boundaries, and local rules—underpinning intercommunal cooperation. Next, the argument stipulates that government bias can undermine conditions for communal cohabitation, tipping the balance in favor of conflict rather than cooperation. A systematic comparative study between Darfur and Eastern Sudan—building on extensive fieldwork—provides empirical evidence for the argument. These findings provide new insights on how to enhance community resilience to communal violence.","PeriodicalId":46452,"journal":{"name":"Ethnopolitics","volume":"22 1","pages":"199 - 221"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2022-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46111259","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Invisible Impact of Frozen Conflicts: A Case Study of Foreign Domestic Workers in Cyprus 冻结冲突的无形影响——以塞浦路斯外籍家庭佣工为例
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2014687
Nasia Hadjigeorgiou
ABSTRACT Foreign domestic workers are vulnerable everywhere in the world but are particularly so in frozen conflict societies. The article describes their poor living and working conditions in the Republic of Cyprus and argues that these have been exacerbated by the social consequences of the frozen conflict on the island. It focuses on three social consequences of the frozen conflict, namely that it has deprioritised the feminist agenda, normalised nationalist narratives and created a skewed understanding of human rights. Combined, these explain why protecting the rights of foreign domestic workers in Cyprus is even less of a priority than elsewhere.
外籍家庭佣工在世界各地都是脆弱的,但在冰冻的冲突社会尤其如此。文章描述了他们在塞浦路斯共和国恶劣的生活和工作条件,并认为岛上冻结冲突的社会后果加剧了这些条件。它着重于冻结冲突的三个社会后果,即它剥夺了女权主义议程的优先地位,使民族主义叙事正常化,并造成了对人权的扭曲理解。综上所述,这些解释了为什么在塞浦路斯保护外籍家庭佣工的权利比在其他地方更不受重视。
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引用次数: 0
War-Making and Mediation in Civil Wars: Three Ideal Types of Third Parties and Ripeness Concepts 内战中的战争制造与调解:三种理想的第三方类型与成熟度概念
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004773
Tetsuro Iji
ABSTRACT Despite the accumulation of a sizable scholarship on mediation of civil war by third-party states, little effort has been made to formulate a conceptual framework geared toward explaining how the prior or ongoing modes of their engagements in war-making affect their possible conduct of mediation. The present article is an attempt to fill this lacuna by presenting a threefold typology of third-party states: war-making patrons, war-supporting friends, and war-observing bystanders. The article explores how these three kinds are distinct from one another as a mediator, in terms of such crucial aspects as motives and timing, readiness, bias and commitment, and leverage. This inquiry is pursued through extending to the level of third parties Zartman’s seminal notions of a ‘mutually hurting stalemate’, a ‘way out’, and a ‘mutually enticing opportunity’ that have hitherto been discussed mainly at the level of primary parties. The article is intended as the presentation of an analytical framework and initial propositions rather than full-scale research results.
尽管在第三方国家调解内战方面积累了大量的学术成果,但很少有人努力制定一个概念框架,以解释他们参与战争的先前或正在进行的模式如何影响他们可能的调解行为。本文试图通过提出第三方国家的三种类型来填补这一空白:制造战争的赞助人、支持战争的朋友和观察战争的旁观者。本文探讨了这三种调解人在动机和时机、准备程度、偏见和承诺以及杠杆等关键方面是如何相互区别的。这一调查是通过扩展到第三方层面来进行的,Zartman的开创性概念是“相互伤害的僵局”,“出路”和“相互吸引的机会”,迄今为止主要在主要政党层面进行讨论。这篇文章的目的是作为一个分析框架和初步命题的介绍,而不是全面的研究成果。
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引用次数: 2
Elusive Settlements in Regional Conflict Complexes: Syria, Zartman, and the Limits of Ripeness Theory 地区冲突复合体中难以捉摸的解决方案:叙利亚、扎特曼和成熟理论的局限性
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-06 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004775
Timothy D. Sisk
Abstract What are the conditions for a civil war’s ‘ripeness for resolution’ when the conflict itself is regionally and internationally complex? The failure of sustained efforts for a comprehensive peace agreement toward ending Syria’s brutal civil war suggests that the ripeness concept has significant limits when international actors become extensively involved as protagonists in civil wars. This article presents Zartman’s theory of ripeness for international mediation to de-escalate internal armed conflict and assesses the contribution and limits of this theory in regional conflict complexes such as Syria. I argue that in regional conflict complexes the ripeness concept requires a certain multidimensionality: the barriers to progress to bring a conflict to fruition may lie with the complexities of international coalitions more than it does the within-country perceptions of protagonists, dynamics of power among them, threat, and sheer exhaustion after a protracted civil war. Civil wars with deep regional and international entanglements like Syria’s place high demands on concepts such as ripeness due the inherent deep complexity of interplay between international and domestic interactions.
摘要当冲突本身在区域和国际上都很复杂时,内战“解决时机成熟”的条件是什么?为结束叙利亚残酷内战而达成全面和平协议的持续努力失败表明,当国际行为者作为内战的主角广泛参与时,成熟概念受到了重大限制。本文介绍了扎尔特曼关于国际调解缓和内部武装冲突的成熟度理论,并评估了该理论在叙利亚等地区冲突综合体中的贡献和局限性。我认为,在区域冲突综合体中,成熟度概念需要一定的多维性:实现冲突的进展障碍可能在于国际联盟的复杂性,而不是国内对参与者的看法、他们之间的权力动态、威胁以及旷日持久的内战后的彻底疲惫。由于国际和国内互动之间固有的深刻复杂性,叙利亚等地区和国际错综复杂的内战对成熟度等概念提出了很高的要求。
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引用次数: 1
Ciganos as a Traditional People: Romanies and the Politics of Recognition in Brazil 西卡诺作为一个传统民族:巴西的吉普赛人与承认政治
IF 0.8 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2008671
Helena Dolabela, Martin Fotta
Abstract Within the Brazilian multicultural regime of recognition, Ciganos (Romanies) are recognised as belonging to ‘traditional peoples and communities’. The article discusses how this concept became applied to Ciganos raising questions of belonging, commonality and representation. It describes the emergence of novel ways of presenting one’s culture as distinct and even traditional among Calon Ciganos. It shows how demands to overcome invisibility, led to the creation of new spaces for dialogue with state institutions and reshaped how Calon politics are enacted. Finally, it describes the first successful case of guaranteeing Calon land rights.
摘要在巴西多元文化的承认制度中,Ciganos(罗姆人)被认为属于“传统民族和社区”。文章讨论了这一概念是如何应用于Ciganos的,提出了归属、共性和代表性的问题。它描述了在Calon Ciganos中出现的将自己的文化呈现为独特甚至传统的新颖方式。它展示了克服隐形性的需求如何创造了与国家机构对话的新空间,并重塑了卡隆政治的实施方式。最后,介绍了第一个成功保障Calon土地权的案例。
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引用次数: 3
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