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Población solo-móvil y estimación electoral en España. El caso de las elecciones andaluzas de 2012 / Cell Phone-only Population and Election Forecasting in Spain: The 2012 Regional Election in Andalusia 西班牙单人流动人口和选举估计。2012年安达卢西亚选举的案例/西班牙仅限手机人口和选举预测:2012年安达卢西亚地区选举
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/cis/reis.162.55
S. Pasadas-Del-Amo
This article analyses the effects that excluding the Cell Phone-only Population (CPO) has on the accuracy of pre-election telephone surveys in Spain. The data were taken from the 2012 Andalusia Regional Election, where all poll-based forecasts failed. Our results show how using only landlines contributed to significant biases in voting estimates, where votes for the right-wing party (PP) were overestimated and votes for the left-wing parties (PSOE and IU) were underestimated. Moreover, and consistently with similar studies carried out in other countries, our analysis shows how under-coverage is clearly structured along important socio-demographic variables. This means that under-coverage could be causing bias in the measurements of other subjects that are important for social and political research in Spain.
本文分析排除仅使用手机的人口(CPO)对西班牙选前电话调查准确性的影响。数据来自2012年安达卢西亚地区选举,所有基于民意调查的预测都失败了。我们的研究结果表明,只使用固定电话会导致投票估计的显著偏差,其中右翼政党(PP)的选票被高估,而左翼政党(PSOE和IU)的选票被低估。此外,与在其他国家进行的类似研究一致,我们的分析表明,低覆盖率是如何根据重要的社会人口变量清晰地构成的。这意味着覆盖不足可能导致对西班牙社会和政治研究重要的其他科目的测量出现偏差。
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引用次数: 3
Metáforas de linealidad, género y fascismo español. Una propuesta de análisis sociometafórico / Metaphors of Linearity, Gender and Spanish Fascism. A Proposal for a Socio-metaphorical Analysis 线性、性别和西班牙法西斯主义的隐喻。线性、性别和西班牙法西斯主义的社会隐喻分析。他的父亲是一名律师,母亲是一名律师。
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/cis/reis.164.41
Zira Box
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引用次数: 2
Análisis provincial de la nupcialidad en España (1887-2001) / A Provincial Analysis of Nuptiality in Spain (1887-2001) Análisis provincial de la nupcialidad en España(1887-2001) /西班牙婚礼的省级分析(1887-2001)
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.163.79
J. J. S. Barricarte
espanolA partir de los datos provinciales de la edad de acceso al primer matrimonio y la solteria definitiva presentamos un detallado analisis del comportamiento nupcial segun sexo en Espana que cubre el periodo 1887-2001. Hemos podido comprobar que la gran diversidad provincial de patrones nupciales observados en Espana estuvo marcada fundamentalmente por la diferente intensidad del porcentaje de solteria definitiva mas que por la distinta edad de acceso al matrimonio. Tambien hemos constatado que los tradicionales patrones provinciales se siguieron replicando al menos hasta mediados del siglo pasado. La aplicacion de modernas tecnicas de analisis de panel de datos nos ha permitido confirmar algunas hipotesis explicativas que habitualmente suelen aparecer en la literatura especializada (referente al nivel economico, educativo o de urbanizacion) respecto al devenir historico del comportamiento nupcial en Espana. EnglishUsing provincial data about age at first marriage and permanent singlehood, this paper presents a detailed analysis of marriage behaviour for men and women in Spain over the period 1887-2001. It shows that the great diversity between the Spanish provinces as far as marriage patterns are concerned was basically conditioned by the different numbers of people who never married, rather than by the different ages at which people usually married for the first time. It also concludes that the traditional patterns in each province continued to be replicated at least until the mid-twentieth century. The application of modern panel techniques confirmed some explanatory hypotheses that are often proposed in the literature on the subject (concerning economic, educational, and urbanisation levels) about the historical development of marriage behaviour in Spain.
在这篇文章中,我们提出了一种基于性别的婚姻行为分析,在这种分析中,男性和女性的婚姻行为被认为是不同的,而女性的婚姻行为被认为是不同的。我们发现,在西班牙观察到的不同省份的婚姻模式的主要特征是最终未婚比例的不同强度,而不是结婚年龄的不同。我们还发现,至少在上世纪中叶,传统的省级模式仍在继续复制。本文的目的是分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变,分析西班牙婚姻行为的历史演变。关于第一次结婚和永久单身年龄的英国省级数据,本文详细分析了1987 -2001年期间西班牙男女的婚姻行为。它表明,就婚姻模式而言,西班牙各省之间的巨大多样性主要是由于从未结婚的人数不同,而不是由于通常第一次结婚的人的年龄不同。它还得出结论说,每个省的传统模式至少一直延续到二十世纪中期。现代面板技术的应用证实了文献中关于西班牙婚姻行为历史发展的一些解释性假设(涉及经济、教育和城市化水平)。
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引用次数: 2
Tensiones y confluencias en las obras de Jacques Rancière y Ernesto Laclau / Tensions and Confluences between the Works of Jacques Rancière and Ernesto Laclau 雅克·朗西<e:1>与埃内斯托·拉克劳作品的张力与融合
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.162.111
Pedro M. Rey-Araújo
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引用次数: 2
Actitudes de los españoles ante la eutanasia y el suicidio médico asistido / Spanish Attitudes Towards Euthanasia and Physician-assisted Suicide 西班牙人对安乐死和医生协助自杀的态度/西班牙人对安乐死和医生协助自杀的态度
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.161.103
R. Rosal, Adrián Heredia Cerro
Este trabajo aborda el proceso de morir y la muerte como un hecho social de primer orden. Sobre dicho proceso y lo que sería una buena muerte existe un ideal socialmente compartido que, en la actualidad, se está en condiciones de alcanzar y del que, sin embargo, la realidad política y jurídica se aleja. En este contexto nos planteamos como objetivos, en primer lugar, medir el apoyo que tienen dos prácticas, como son la eutanasia y el suicidio médico asistido (SMA). En segundo lugar, contrastar si hay diferencias significativas en las opiniones y actitudes de los españoles respecto a su regulación y cuáles son las características sociodemográficas y contextuales que pudieran ayudarnos a explicarlas y, por último, interpretar y discutir los resultados desde una perspectiva sociológica que bebe del republicanismo cívico y la bioética.
这部作品探讨了死亡的过程和死亡作为一个主要的社会事实。关于这一进程和什么是美好的死亡,存在着一种社会共同的理想,这种理想目前正在实现,但政治和法律现实与之相距甚远。在此背景下,我们提出了目标,首先,衡量两种做法的支持,如安乐死和医疗协助自杀(SMA)。其次,对比是否有重大分歧意见和西班牙人对他们的监管态度和哪些特征进行联系上下文可以帮助说明最后,解释和讨论结果从社会学角度喝公民共和主义和伦理学。
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引用次数: 4
Desarrollo del comportamiento proambiental en los individuos y sus determinantes / Development of Pro-Environmental Conduct in Individuals and its Determinants 环境因素对个体的影响/个体亲环境行为的发展及其决定因素
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.163.59
Pilar Rivera-Torres, Concepción Garcés-Ayerbe
The aim of this study is to learn more about pro-environmental conduct in individuals, providing classification in levels of conduct according to diversity/intensity of environmental actions, showing how pro-environmental conduct develops in people and identifying the factors that determine such conduct. The application of cluster analysis and structural equation models to CIS Study 2837 classifies individuals with different degrees of environmental involvement into five groups, showing how pro-environmental conduct develops in people, from specific activities (such as recycling) performed with reduced intensity to greater and more intense pro-environmental involvement. Abstract The aim of this study is to learn more about pro-environmental conduct in individuals, providing classification in levels of conduct according to diversity/intensity of environmental actions, showing how pro-environmental conduct develops in people and identifying the factors that determine such conduct. The application of cluster analysis and structural equation models to CIS Study 2837 classifies individuals with different degrees of environmental involvement into five groups, showing how pro-environmental conduct develops in people, from specific activities (such as recycling) performed with reduced intensity to greater and more intense pro-environmental involvement.
本研究的目的是更多地了解个人的亲环境行为,根据环境行动的多样性/强度对行为水平进行分类,展示亲环境行为如何在人们中发展,并确定决定这种行为的因素。聚类分析和结构方程模型在CIS Study 2837中的应用将不同程度的环境参与的个体分为五组,显示了亲环境行为在人们中的发展,从强度较低的特定活动(如回收)到更大、更强烈的亲环境参与。摘要:本研究旨在进一步了解个体的亲环境行为,根据环境行为的多样性/强度对行为水平进行分类,展示亲环境行为在人们中的发展过程,并确定决定这种行为的因素。聚类分析和结构方程模型在CIS Study 2837中的应用将不同程度的环境参与的个体分为五组,显示了亲环境行为在人们中的发展,从强度较低的特定活动(如回收)到更大、更强烈的亲环境参与。
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引用次数: 6
Medios, identidad nacional y exposición selectiva: predictores de preferencias mediáticas de los catalanes / Media, National Identity and Selective Exposure: Predictors of Media Preferences among the Catalan Population 媒体、国家认同和选择性曝光:加泰罗尼亚人媒体偏好的预测因素/媒体,国家认同和选择性曝光:加泰罗尼亚人媒体偏好的预测因素
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/cis/reis.164.135
L. Valera-Ordaz
Según la hipótesis de la exposición selectiva, los individuos se exponen a los medios en función de sus orientaciones ideológicas, buscando mensajes que concuerden con sus convicciones. Este artículo propone expandir el estudio de la exposición selectiva más allá del cleavage izquierda-derecha explorando la importancia de las posiciones en el eje centro-periferia como predictores de preferencias mediáticas mediante una regresión logística aplicada a los datos del último estudio postelectoral del CIS en Cataluña. Los resultados subrayan que existe una clara segmentación de las audiencias según identidades nacionales, de forma que los ciudadanos con inclinaciones nacionalistas prefieren consumir medios autonómicos, y los no nacionalistas, medios de alcance estatal. Además, la identidad nacional se erige como factor explicativo más importante de las preferencias de radio y televisión, frente a la prensa escrita.
根据选择性曝光假说,个人根据自己的意识形态取向接触媒体,寻找与自己信念一致的信息。在这篇文章中,我们提出了一种方法,将选择性曝光的研究扩展到左-右裂解之外,探索中心-外围轴位置作为媒体偏好预测因素的重要性,并应用于CIS在加泰罗尼亚最新的选举后研究的数据。本研究的目的是确定具有民族主义倾向的公民是否更倾向于消费自治媒体,而非民族主义倾向的公民更倾向于消费国家范围内的媒体。此外,与书面媒体相比,国家认同是解释广播和电视偏好的最重要因素。
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引用次数: 8
Futuros climáticos en disputa / Contested Climatic Futures 有争议的气候期货
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.161.87
Ramón Ramos Torre
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引用次数: 0
¿Hacia la «desfamiliarización» del cuidado predilecto? Un análisis del contexto español (1997-2009) / Towards the ‘Defamilisation’ of Preferred Care? An analysis of the Spanish Context (1997-2009) 对首选护理的“不熟悉”?西班牙背景分析(1997-2009)/优先护理的“去熟悉化”?《西班牙背景分析》(1997-2009)
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/CIS/REIS.164.57
Celia Fernández-Carro
It has been stated that informal care is the “preferred” option in Spain because this is the form of support used by the majority of the population. However, is this the ideal choice? This paper uses three surveys from the Spanish Centre for Sociological Research (1997, 2001 and 2009) to analyse the preferences of the Spanish population for three types of support in recent years: informal family-based caregiving; formal public and private services; or combined care, which is a combination of the two previous ones. The socio-demographic characteristics of the people who would opt for each one of them is also discussed. The results suggest that, whereas the preference for family caregivers remains the choice of the majority, the preference for formal forms of care has grown substantially in recent decades.
有人指出,在西班牙,非正式护理是“首选”选择,因为这是大多数人口使用的支助形式。然而,这是理想的选择吗?本文利用西班牙社会学研究中心(1997年、2001年和2009年)的三项调查,分析了近年来西班牙人口对三种支持类型的偏好:非正式的以家庭为基础的照顾;正式的公共和私人服务;或者是综合护理,这是前两种护理的结合。还讨论了选择其中每一种的人的社会人口特征。结果表明,尽管对家庭照顾者的偏好仍然是大多数人的选择,但近几十年来,对正式形式的照顾的偏好大幅增长。
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引用次数: 4
La masculinización del tiempo dedicado al trabajo doméstico rutinario / The Masculinization of the Time Devoted to Routine Domestic Tasks La masculinización del tiempo dedicado al trabajo dom<s:1> stico rutinario /用于日常家务的时间的男性化
IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5477/cis/reis.163.41
Sara Moreno-Colom, Marc Ajenjo Cosp, V. Catala
espanolEl articulo analiza los cambios en la distribucion del trabajo domestico entre hombres y mujeres. La hipotesis de partida plantea que la tendencia a una mayor dedicacion de los hombres al trabajo domestico no lleva aparejada una disminucion del tiempo que las mujeres dedican a las tareas domesticas, sobre todo, las mas rutinarias. A partir de la Encuesta de Empleo del Tiempo (INE), se estudia el caso de las parejas de doble ingreso heterosexuales, siendo la variable a explicar el cambio en el tiempo que se dedica al trabajo domestico segun su clasificacion en cuatro grupos de actividades. Los resultados apuntan que pervive la desigual dedicacion de hombres y mujeres al trabajo domestico y la segregacion de tareas segun su contenido, aunque se observa una disminucion de dichas diferencias. EnglishThis article focuses on changes in the distribution of housework between men and women. The main hypothesis suggests that the trend for a greater participation by men to domestic work does not lead to a reduction in the time that women devote to domestic tasks, especially the more routine ones. Based on the Time Use Survey (INE), this paper analyses the case of heterosexual dual-income couples. It uses the change in the time devoted to housework (according to its classification into four groups of activities) as the dependent variable. The results show that the unequal distribution and segregation of domestic work between men and women remains although a decrease is seen in these differences.
这篇文章分析了男女之间家务劳动分配的变化。这项研究的目的是评估女性在家务上花费的时间,以及她们在家务上花费的时间与男性在家务上花费的时间之间的关系。本文从时间使用调查(INE)开始,研究了异性双重收入夫妇的情况,作为变量来解释花在家务工作上的时间的变化,根据他们被分为四组活动。研究结果表明,男性和女性对家务劳动的奉献程度仍然不平等,根据家务劳动的内容划分家务劳动,但这些差异有所减少。这篇文章的重点是男女之间家务分配的变化。主要的假设表明,男子更多参与家务工作的趋势并不会导致妇女从事家务工作,特别是从事更多日常工作的时间减少。本文基于时间使用调查(INE),分析了异性恋双收入夫妇的案例。它使用用于家务工作的时间变化(根据其分为四类活动)作为因变量。结果表明,男女之间家务劳动分配不平等和隔离现象依然存在,尽管这些差异有所减少。
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引用次数: 13
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Revista Espanola De Investigaciones Sociologicas
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