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A novel deep learning approach to predict crash severity in adverse weather on rural mountainous freeway 一种新的深度学习方法预测农村山区高速公路恶劣天气下的碰撞严重程度
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2129891
Md Nasim Khan, Mohamed M. Ahmed
Abstract The main focus of this study was to develop a robust prediction model based on deep learning capable of providing timely predictions of injury and fatal crashes in adverse weather on rural mountainous freeways. This study leveraged a promising deep learning technique named ResNet18. To apply the proposed deep learning model, the numeric crash data were converted to images utilizing a cutting-edge method, called DeepInsight. In addition, considering the imbalanced nature of the crash data, this study leveraged two data balancing techniques, namely Random Under Sampling (RUS) and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE); and experimented with several data sampling ratios. The best prediction performance was found using a ratio of 1:2:2 (Fatal:Injury:PDO) coupled with both RUS and SMOTE, which produced an overall prediction accuracy of 99.3% and 80.5% for fatal and injury crashes, respectively. This study also investigated the importance of variables on crash severity, which revealed that driver residency, vehicle damage extent, airbag deployment, driver conditions, weather, and road surface conditions were the most important variables contributing to the severity of crashes. The proposed deep learning framework can provide an accurate prediction of fatal and injury crashes, which is crucial to ensuring effective traffic collision management.
本研究的主要重点是开发一个基于深度学习的鲁棒预测模型,该模型能够及时预测农村山区高速公路恶劣天气下的伤害和致命事故。这项研究利用了一种名为ResNet18的有前途的深度学习技术。为了应用所提出的深度学习模型,使用一种称为DeepInsight的尖端方法将数字碰撞数据转换为图像。此外,考虑到碰撞数据的不平衡性,本研究利用了两种数据平衡技术,即随机欠采样(RUS)和合成少数过采样技术(SMOTE);并尝试了几种数据采样比率。使用1:2:2(致命:伤害:PDO)的比例结合RUS和SMOTE,发现预测效果最好,对致命和伤害碰撞的总体预测准确率分别为99.3%和80.5%。该研究还调查了影响碰撞严重程度的变量的重要性,结果表明驾驶员居住、车辆损坏程度、安全气囊是否打开、驾驶员状况、天气和路面状况是影响碰撞严重程度的最重要变量。所提出的深度学习框架可以提供致命和伤害碰撞的准确预测,这对于确保有效的交通碰撞管理至关重要。
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引用次数: 5
Recognition of typical driving stressors and driver stress level in a Chinese sample 典型驾驶压力源的识别及驾驶员压力水平
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2128959
Liu Yang, Yunzhou Song, Zhenxin Hu, Zi-Shuang Wang, X. Li
Abstract Drivers are adversely affected in decision-making and behavior under excessive stress, thus increasing road crash risks. In this study, the Driver Stress Inventory (DSI) was used to identify typical driving stress scenarios and explore the characteristics of drivers among different stress levels. A total of 1881 drivers took part in the survey. The Precedence Chart was used to rank the importance of driving stressors involved in the scale. K-means cluster was adopted to classify drivers’ stress into three levels, namely low, medium and high-stress. Finally, the Kruskal-Wallis test and Mantel-Haenszel test were employed to analyze the similarities and differences of demographic statistical characteristics under different stress levels. The results of the study indicate that various unexpected scenarios caused by the abnormal behavior of other road users are the most typical stressors. Drivers in the high-stress group tended to be younger and less experienced. Professional drivers reported higher stress than nonprofessional drivers. In addition, high-stress drivers were more prone to be involved in traffic crashes.
过度压力会对驾驶员的决策和行为产生不利影响,从而增加道路碰撞风险。本研究采用驾驶员压力量表(DSI)识别典型驾驶压力情景,探讨不同压力水平下驾驶员的特征。共有1881名司机参与了这项调查。优先级图用于对量表中涉及的驾驶压力因素的重要性进行排序。采用K-means聚类将驾驶员的压力分为低、中、高三个等级。最后,采用Kruskal-Wallis检验和Mantel-Haenszel检验分析不同应激水平下人口统计特征的异同。研究结果表明,由其他道路使用者的异常行为引起的各种意外情景是最典型的压力源。高压力组的司机往往更年轻,经验也更少。专业司机比非专业司机的压力更大。此外,压力大的司机更容易发生交通事故。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling spatial spillover effect on intersection crash propensity: a case study at the county level in Ohio 交叉口碰撞倾向性的空间溢出效应建模——以俄亥俄州县域为例
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2129892
Wei Lin, Heng Wei, John E. Ash
Abstract The characteristics of intersection crashes are not only affected by the subject intersection where the crash occurs but also are correlated with environmental conditions of neighboring analysis zones. There are few studies on intersection crash analysis to solve certain spatial effects on microscopic safety issues by proactively incorporating highway safety improvement measures into the long-term transportation planning process. The objective of this paper is to develop a heuristic traffic safety analysis system where spatial spillovers analysis is integrated into roadway safety assessment to incorporate micro variables and macro variables. With K-means clustering technique in a GIS environment, 8 hotspot counties are identified from 88 counties in Ohio, which have high intersection crash propensity. The rest of counties are identified as general counties. Then, an innovative integrated Generalized Linear Model is adopted to identify 11 and 20 significant variables that contribute to the intersection crash propensity in hotspot counties and general counties, respectively. To verify compatibility of intersection crash frequency models with macro-level and micro-level measurement, Reading Road in Cincinnati, Hamilton County (hotspot county) and I-71 in Mason City and Lebanon City of Warren County (general county) are used as examples for the test, and the results show a good consistence.
交叉口交通事故的特征不仅受事故发生的主体交叉口的影响,还与邻近分析区的环境条件有关。将公路安全改善措施主动纳入长期交通规划过程,解决微观安全问题的空间效应的交叉口碰撞分析研究较少。本文的目的是建立一个启发式的交通安全分析系统,将空间溢出分析与道路安全评价相结合,将微观变量与宏观变量相结合。利用GIS环境下的k -均值聚类技术,从俄亥俄州88个县中识别出8个路口碰撞倾向性较高的热点县。其余的县称为普通县。然后,采用一种创新的综合广义线性模型,分别识别出热点县和普通县的11个和20个影响路口碰撞倾向的显著变量。为了验证宏观层面和微观层面测量的交叉口碰撞频率模型的兼容性,以辛辛那提的雷丁路、热点县的汉密尔顿县、梅森市的I-71和沃伦县的黎巴嫩市为例进行了测试,结果显示出良好的一致性。
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引用次数: 1
Graph method for driving behavior optimization based on “SAF-ECO” description of behavior characteristics 基于“SAF-ECO”行为特征描述的驾驶行为优化图法
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2129893
Hang Qi, Xiaohua Zhao, Yiping Wu, Yang Ding, Yang Bian
Abstract Considering the fact that driving behavior data possesses characteristics of strong real-time, poor stability, and continuous change, this study proposes the Individual Driving Behavior Graph Construction Method (DBGCM), which visually presents the time trajectory of driving behavior to explore safety-ecological (SAF-ECO) characteristics of individual drivers. The results can be applied in the analysis of driving safety ecology and as a reference for driving behavior optimization. This study is based on the micro-driving behavior data collected by the on-board diagnostic devices (OBD), which can create a graph on individual driver behavior characteristics via nodes and time axis as its elements. Additionally, the method of Longest Common Subsequence (LCSS) is proposed to identify the similarity among different driving behavior graphs. The data results of taxi drivers under different SAF-ECO levels lead to the conclusion that the driving behavior characteristics graph analysis is consistent with the SAF-ECO classification. The similarity of graphs among “safe and non-eco” drivers is higher than that within other categories. Finally, the research discusses in detail the data requirements, method verification, and future applications. The reasonable coupling characteristic description of “SAF-ECO” driving behavior is conducive to the enhancement of drivers’ self-management ability, driving education, and customization for drivers.
摘要针对驾驶行为数据实时性强、稳定性差、持续变化等特点,提出了个体驾驶行为图构建方法(DBGCM),通过可视化地呈现驾驶行为的时间轨迹,探索驾驶员个体的安全生态(safe -eco)特征。研究结果可用于驾驶安全生态分析,为驾驶行为优化提供参考。本研究以车载诊断设备(OBD)采集的微驾驶行为数据为基础,以节点和时间轴为元素,构建驾驶员个体行为特征图。此外,提出了最长公共子序列(LCSS)方法来识别不同驾驶行为图之间的相似度。不同SAF-ECO等级下出租车司机的数据结果表明,驾驶行为特征图分析与SAF-ECO分类是一致的。与其他类别相比,“安全与非生态”司机之间的相似度更高。最后,对数据需求、方法验证和未来应用进行了详细讨论。合理的“SAF-ECO”驾驶行为耦合特征描述,有利于提高驾驶员自我管理能力,有利于驾驶员驾驶教育,有利于驾驶员定制。
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引用次数: 1
Railroad accident causal analysis with unstructured narratives using bidirectional encoder representations for transformers 用变压器双向编码器表示的非结构化叙述的铁路事故原因分析
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2128956
Bingxue Song, Xiaoping Ma, Yong Qin, Hao Hu, Zhipeng Zhang
Abstract Railroad safety is one critical concern for the railroad industry. Extracting useful information from railroad safety-related textual materials is one significant and essential task. To better understand the contributing factors to the railroad accidents, previous studies have primarily focused on the structured fields, while few of them have developed a thorough analysis of the narratives. In addition, due to the difficulty of understanding the terminologies in the accidents’ narratives, it is challenging to extensively use these narratives as a time-consuming and labor-intensive task. Therefore, this study proposed a novel deep learning approach to consistently leverage the values behind these railroad accident narratives. The proposed method modified the classical Bidirectional Encoder Representations for Transformers (BERT) with the connection of a Deep Neural Network (DNN). To validate the superiority of the proposed BERT-DNN, several additional text classification methods were employed in the real-world railroad accident database. Results demonstrate the proposed method in this study can assign congruous accident causes based on the railroad accidents’ narratives precisely and outperforms previous state-of-the-art text classification approaches. The analytical results, along with proposed methodological framework, can contribute to an in-deep understanding of accident causes for practitioners and academics, and ultimately enhance rail operation safety.
铁路安全是铁路行业关注的焦点之一。从铁路安全相关文本资料中提取有用信息是一项重要而必要的任务。为了更好地理解铁路事故的影响因素,以往的研究主要集中在结构化领域,而很少有研究对叙事进行深入的分析。此外,由于难以理解事故叙述中的术语,因此广泛使用这些叙述是一项耗时且劳动密集型的任务,具有挑战性。因此,本研究提出了一种新颖的深度学习方法,以始终如一地利用这些铁路事故叙事背后的价值。该方法利用深度神经网络(DNN)对经典的变压器双向编码器表示(BERT)进行了改进。为了验证BERT-DNN的优越性,在实际的铁路事故数据库中采用了几种附加的文本分类方法。结果表明,本文所提出的方法可以准确地根据铁路事故的叙述来分配一致的事故原因,并且优于先前最先进的文本分类方法。分析结果以及提出的方法框架有助于从业者和学者深入了解事故原因,并最终提高铁路运营安全。
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引用次数: 4
Traffic safety analysis and model updating for freeways using Bayesian method 基于贝叶斯方法的高速公路交通安全分析及模型更新
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2128957
Xuesong Wang, Qi Zhang, Xiaohan Yang, Yingying Pei, Jinghui Yuan
Abstract Freeway crash prediction models are the basic of traffic safety research, yet crash occurrence and the influencing factors change over time. In order to make sure the implemented safety models fit the current traffic environment, this study conducts a comparative analysis of 2017 and 2020 datasets collected from freeways in Suzhou, China. Considering the spatial correlation among analysis units and the hierarchical data structure, a Bayesian conditional autoregressive negative binomial (CAR-NB) model and a Bayesian hierarchical CAR-NB (HCAR-NB) model were used to explore the safety influencing factors, and a traditional NB model was developed for further comparison. To update the HCAR-NB model from 2017 to 2020, Bayesian inference with informative priors was used to improve its goodness of fit and efficiency. Preliminary results showed that 1) the HCAR-NB model outperformed the NB model and CAR-NB model in prediction accuracy, and 2) the number of crashes was significantly correlated with average speed, speed variance, road segment length, number of lanes, and presence of ramps. The potential for safety improvement (PSI) method was applied to the modeling results to identify hotspots for the two years. The results confirmed that the hotspots spatiotemporally shifted among the freeways. The proposed crash prediction model and updating method are expected to assist implementation of informed countermeasures for freeway safety improvement.
高速公路碰撞预测模型是交通安全研究的基础,但碰撞发生及其影响因素是随时间变化的。为了确保实施的安全模型符合当前的交通环境,本研究对2017年和2020年在中国苏州高速公路收集的数据集进行了比较分析。考虑到分析单元之间的空间相关性和分层数据结构,采用贝叶斯条件自回归负二项(CAR-NB)模型和贝叶斯分层CAR-NB (HCAR-NB)模型探索安全影响因素,并建立传统NB模型进行比较。为了对2017 - 2020年的HCAR-NB模型进行更新,采用信息先验贝叶斯推理提高模型的拟合优度和效率。初步结果表明:1)HCAR-NB模型在预测精度上优于NB模型和CAR-NB模型;2)碰撞数量与平均速度、速度方差、路段长度、车道数和匝道存在显著相关。将安全改进潜力(PSI)方法应用于建模结果,以识别两年的热点。结果证实了热点在高速公路之间的时空转移。所提出的碰撞预测模型和更新方法有望帮助实施明智的对策,以改善高速公路的安全。
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引用次数: 2
Measuring and understanding the association between license-related infractions and road crash severity 衡量和理解与驾照相关的违规行为与道路交通事故严重程度之间的关系
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2128958
Luis Miguel Martín-delosReyes, P. Lardelli-Claret, M. Rivera-Izquierdo, E. Jiménez-Mejías, V. Martínez-Ruíz
Abstract The relationship between license-related infractions (LRIs) and the severity of road crashes has been scarcely addressed in previous research. This study estimates the association between each LRI and the severity of driver injuries and the partial severity of the crash (i.e., crash severity after excluding the severity of the driver’s own injuries) in a cohort comprising 78,720 drivers who were considered responsible for crashes in the Spanish National Register for Road Traffic Accident Victims, from 2014 to 2017. Adjusted Relative Risk Ratios for each LRI and severity level were obtained through multinomial logistic regression models. Age- and sex-adjusted estimates revealed an increased severity for almost all LRIs. Additional adjustment for seat belt use showed a decrease in the magnitude of the associations, particularly regarding driver injury severity, suggesting that part of these associations was related to increased vulnerability of the driver. Adjustment for other vehicle- and environment-related variables showed a further decrease in the associations but remained significant for “never having obtained a license” and other specific LRIs. These results support the need for maintaining police surveillance and legal measures to identify these subgroups of drivers, remove them from the road and adopt strategies for their safe return to driving.
在以往的研究中,驾照相关违规行为与道路交通事故严重程度之间的关系几乎没有得到解决。本研究估计了每个LRI与驾驶员受伤严重程度和碰撞部分严重程度(即排除驾驶员自身受伤严重程度后的碰撞严重程度)之间的关联,该队列包括78,720名驾驶员,这些驾驶员被认为对2014年至2017年西班牙国家道路交通事故受害者登记册中的碰撞负责。通过多项逻辑回归模型获得各LRI和严重程度的校正相对风险比。年龄和性别调整后的估计显示,几乎所有LRIs的严重程度都有所增加。对安全带使用的额外调整显示,这种关联的程度有所降低,特别是在驾驶员受伤严重程度方面,这表明这些关联的一部分与驾驶员的脆弱性增加有关。对其他车辆和环境相关变量的调整显示,相关性进一步下降,但对于“从未获得许可证”和其他特定lri而言,相关性仍然显著。这些结果支持维持警察监督和法律措施的必要性,以识别这些驾驶员亚群体,将他们从道路上移除,并采取策略使他们安全返回驾驶。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of cooperative vehicle infrastructure system on driver’s attention––A simulator study on work zone 协同车辆基础设施系统对驾驶员注意力的影响——基于工作区的仿真研究
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-21 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2119455
Xuewei Li, J. Rong, Zhenlong Li, Xiaohua Zhao, Jianming Ma, Jiaxia Yang
Abstract To clarify the effect of the cooperative vehicle infrastructure system (CVIS) application on drivers’ visual performance, a total of 37 drivers were recruited to drive the simulated roadway in a freeway work zone under baseline and cooperative vehicle environments. Drivers’ attention and concentration on the forward roadway, attention distraction, and attention distribution in both scenarios were analyzed. The results indicated that the CVIS application changed drivers’ information-processing mode in the forward roadway as manifested by higher glance frequency and shorter average dwell time. In addition, more off-road distractions were observed in the range of 500 m in front of the work zone, but focusing on human–machine interfaces (HMIs) was not the main cause. In conclusion, the change in the driver’s attention allocation and the diversion was clarified with the proposed visual link diagram. This paper provides a comprehensive approach to visual assessment of CVIS and contributes to the customized design and optimization of future CVIS-HMI.
摘要为研究协同车辆基础设施系统(CVIS)应用对驾驶员视觉性能的影响,在基线和协同车辆环境下,选取了37名驾驶员在高速公路工作区内的模拟道路上行驶。分析了两种情况下驾驶员在前方道路上的注意力和集中程度、注意力分散和注意力分配情况。结果表明,CVIS应用改变了驾驶员在正向道路上的信息处理方式,表现为更高的注视频率和更短的平均停留时间。此外,在工作区域前500 m范围内,注意力集中在人机界面(hmi)上并不是主要原因。综上所述,本文通过可视化链接图阐明了驾驶员注意分配和转移的变化。本文提供了一种全面的CVIS可视化评估方法,有助于未来CVIS- hmi的个性化设计和优化。
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引用次数: 1
Factors affecting fatal PTW at-fault crash outcome metrics at intersections and non-intersections in South Korea 影响韩国十字路口和非十字路口致命PTW故障碰撞结果指标的因素
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2123582
R. Tamakloe, J. Hong, J. Kim, D. Park
Abstract Fatal crashes involving Powered Two-Wheelers (PTWs) are a major health concern in South Korea due to the increase in their usage in the logistics industry. Owing to the way, they are operated on the roadways, most riders end up in fatal crashes. Interestingly, little research exists regarding the impact of risk factors on fatal crashes involving at-fault PTW riders. This study employs a copula-based regression technique to simultaneously model the relationship between crash-risk factors and crash outcome metrics of fatal PTW rider-at-fault crashes, namely the number of crash casualties (casualty size) and the number of vehicles involved in a crash (crash size) at intersections and non-intersection segments. The proposed method was superior compared to the SEM-based bivariate regression approach, and the estimation results showed that there exists a positive relationship between both outcome variables. From the analysis, it was identified that while "other violations" comprising speeding and wrongful overtaking had varying effects on crash size outcomes at the intersection and non-intersection segments, variables such as daytime, winter, head-on collisions, and pedestrian involvement had positive impact on the crash consequence metrics irrespective of the crash location. Insights drawn from the study are used in recommending appropriate countermeasures for improving PTW safety.
由于电动两轮车(PTWs)在物流行业的使用增加,致命事故在韩国是一个主要的健康问题。由于这种方式,它们是在公路上运行的,大多数乘客最终都发生了致命的车祸。有趣的是,关于危险因素对涉及有过错的PTW车手的致命事故的影响的研究很少。本研究采用了一种基于copula的回归技术,同时对致命的PTW乘客过失碰撞的碰撞风险因素与碰撞结果指标之间的关系进行建模,即在十字路口和非十字路口路段的碰撞伤亡人数(伤亡规模)和碰撞车辆数量(碰撞规模)。该方法优于基于sem的二元回归方法,估计结果表明,两个结果变量之间存在正相关关系。从分析中,我们发现,尽管超速和非法超车等“其他违规行为”对十字路口和非十字路口路段的碰撞规模结果有不同的影响,但诸如白天、冬季、正面碰撞和行人参与等变量对碰撞后果指标有积极影响,而与碰撞位置无关。从研究中得出的见解被用于建议适当的对策,以提高PTW的安全性。
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引用次数: 2
Pattern recognition from injury severity types of frontage roadway crashes 正面道路碰撞损伤严重程度类型的模式识别
IF 2.6 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/19439962.2022.2123581
Subasish Das, R. Tamakloe, Boniphace Kutela, Ahmed Hossain
Abstract Frontage roads are the supporting roadways that are along freeways and fully controlled principal arterial roadway networks in the U.S. These roads are designed in a way to provide access between the freeways, principal arterials, and surrounding business entities. For Texas, these roadways are the leading design resolution for providing access along rural freeways and principal arterial roadways. These roadways are generally two-ways for rural and less developed urban areas and are mostly one-way for urban and city-centered roadways. Although frontage roadways possess major safety concerns, the safety performance of these roadways has not been well studied. This study collected six years of frontage road crash data from Texas to determine the patterns of associated factors by applying a dimension reduction method known as cluster correspondence analysis (CCA). The results revealed four clusters for each of the two datasets based on crash injury types. For fatal and injury crashes, the major clusters are distraction-related crashes at signalized intersections, segment-related crashes at dark unlighted conditions, yield signed intersection locations and segments with no TCDs, and intersection crashes on undivided roadways. For the no injury crash dataset, the key clusters are segment crashes in dark conditions and rain, crashes at signalized intersections with both drivers going straight, segment crashes with both drivers going straight with marked lanes or no TCDs, and intersection-related collisions on undivided roadways. Based on the evaluation results, suitable safety countermeasures and policy initiatives to reduce frontage road crash frequencies can be singled out.
在美国,临街道路是沿高速公路和完全受控的主干道路网的辅助道路。这些道路的设计方式是提供高速公路、主干道和周围商业实体之间的通道。对于德克萨斯州来说,这些公路是提供农村高速公路和主干道通道的主要设计方案。这些道路通常是农村和欠发达城市地区的双向道路,而城市和以城市为中心的道路大多是单向道路。虽然临街道路具有重大的安全问题,但这些道路的安全性能尚未得到很好的研究。本研究收集了德克萨斯州6年的前方道路碰撞数据,通过应用称为聚类对应分析(CCA)的降维方法来确定相关因素的模式。结果显示,基于碰撞损伤类型,两个数据集各有四个集群。对于致命和伤害事故,主要集群是信号交叉口与分心相关的事故,黑暗无灯条件下与路段相关的事故,屈服标志交叉口位置和没有tcd的路段,以及未分割道路上的交叉口事故。对于无伤害碰撞数据集,关键集群是黑暗和下雨条件下的分段碰撞、在有信号的十字路口双方司机直行的碰撞、在有标记车道或没有tcd的情况下双方司机直行的分段碰撞,以及在未分割的道路上与十字路口相关的碰撞。根据评估结果,可以挑选出适当的安全对策和政策举措,以减少前方道路碰撞频率。
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引用次数: 1
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