Pub Date : 2023-07-03DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2021.1952210
Patrick Cunha Silva
ABSTRACT Theories of party systems suggest that more restrictive rules should lead to fewer parties. According to this line of reasoning, parties and voters should strategically respond to reforms in electoral rules, such as changes in district magnitude. That is, a decrease in district magnitude should decrease the size of the party system, whereas an increase in magnitude should enlarge the party system. Using a series of difference-in-differences models based on data from Brazilian municipalities before and after an exogenous reform in magnitude, I study the effects of this electoral reform on both electoral coordination and legislative fragmentation. Contrary to the expectation, the number of lists did not change after a decrease in magnitude. However, parties formed more pre-electoral coalitions in municipalities that lost seats. Voters also coalesced around fewer lists. Lastly, as expected, the reform produced a decrease in legislative fragmentation. Both mechanical and psychological effects were responsible for this modification in fragmentation.
{"title":"District magnitude, electoral coordination, and legislative fragmentation","authors":"Patrick Cunha Silva","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2021.1952210","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2021.1952210","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Theories of party systems suggest that more restrictive rules should lead to fewer parties. According to this line of reasoning, parties and voters should strategically respond to reforms in electoral rules, such as changes in district magnitude. That is, a decrease in district magnitude should decrease the size of the party system, whereas an increase in magnitude should enlarge the party system. Using a series of difference-in-differences models based on data from Brazilian municipalities before and after an exogenous reform in magnitude, I study the effects of this electoral reform on both electoral coordination and legislative fragmentation. Contrary to the expectation, the number of lists did not change after a decrease in magnitude. However, parties formed more pre-electoral coalitions in municipalities that lost seats. Voters also coalesced around fewer lists. Lastly, as expected, the reform produced a decrease in legislative fragmentation. Both mechanical and psychological effects were responsible for this modification in fragmentation.","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"11 1","pages":"462 - 478"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75583924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-06-14DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2216460
Saul Cunow, Scott Desposato, A. Janusz, C. Sells
{"title":"Too much of a good thing? Longer ballots reduce voter participation","authors":"Saul Cunow, Scott Desposato, A. Janusz, C. Sells","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2216460","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2216460","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84144895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-26DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2216462
Luís Aguiar‐Conraria, Bruno Fernandes, Pedro C. Magalhães
{"title":"Economic forecasts and executive approval","authors":"Luís Aguiar‐Conraria, Bruno Fernandes, Pedro C. Magalhães","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2216462","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2216462","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"96 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82709484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-23DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2214735
D. Bochsler, B. Grofman, Miriam Hänni
{"title":"Fit for parliament: a new index of electability, assessing the electoral success of group-based parties","authors":"D. Bochsler, B. Grofman, Miriam Hänni","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2214735","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2214735","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80906084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-22DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2214734
Lauri Rapeli
{"title":"Illusion of knowledge: is the Dunning-Kruger effect in political sophistication more widespread than before?","authors":"Lauri Rapeli","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2214734","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2214734","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73174430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-04DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2189729
Lennart Schürmann
{"title":"The impact of local protests on political elite communication: evidence from Fridays for Future in Germany","authors":"Lennart Schürmann","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2189729","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2189729","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90226327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-25DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2189257
Philipp Harfst, Damien Bol, A. Blais, Sona N. Golder, J. Laslier, Laura B. Stephenson, Karine Van der Straeten
{"title":"All (electoral) politics is local? Candidate's regional roots and vote choice","authors":"Philipp Harfst, Damien Bol, A. Blais, Sona N. Golder, J. Laslier, Laura B. Stephenson, Karine Van der Straeten","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2189257","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2189257","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"324 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81431871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-22DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2189727
Sebastián Umpierrez de Reguero, Victoria Finn
{"title":"Migrants’ intention to vote in two countries, one country, or neither","authors":"Sebastián Umpierrez de Reguero, Victoria Finn","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2189727","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2189727","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"165 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73777299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-20DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2189726
Theodora Helimäki, Josefina Sipinen, Peter Söderlund, Åsa von Schoultz
{"title":"Voting for a woman: ideology and gendered candidate choice in Finland","authors":"Theodora Helimäki, Josefina Sipinen, Peter Söderlund, Åsa von Schoultz","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2189726","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2189726","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74126926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-19DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2023.2190120
Mikel Barreda, Patricia Otero-Felipe, Leticia M. Ruiz Rodríguez
{"title":"Clientelism and ideological competition: the impact on ideological overlapping","authors":"Mikel Barreda, Patricia Otero-Felipe, Leticia M. Ruiz Rodríguez","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2023.2190120","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2023.2190120","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80879881","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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