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Spreading the blame: personal experience and attribution for health care expenses 推卸责任:医疗费用的个人经历和归因
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2113089
K. McCabe
ABSTRACT Costly and unexpected medical bills have led many Americans to deplete their savings or put off medical care. This study examines how the public attributes blame for the costly health care system and how these blame attributions vary according to an individual’s own personal experiences with medical expenses. The results from multiple nationally representative surveys show that blame for health care costs is diffuse. Insurance companies and health care providers, such as hospitals, share a significant portion of the blame for these costs, and this is especially true among those who have firsthand experience with health care costs. Personal experience also somewhat reduces the likelihood that partisans concentrate blame for health care costs on the opposing party. Even though the costs of unexpected medical bills are tangible and the stakes are high, more visible and proximate actors in the health care system may shield government from some of the blame for costs incurred in the current system.
昂贵和意外的医疗账单导致许多美国人耗尽他们的储蓄或推迟医疗。这项研究考察了公众是如何对昂贵的医疗保健系统负责的,以及这些责任是如何根据个人医疗费用的个人经历而变化的。多个具有全国代表性的调查结果显示,对医疗费用的指责是分散的。保险公司和医疗保健提供者(如医院)对这些费用负有很大一部分责任,对于那些亲身经历过医疗保健费用的人来说尤其如此。个人经验也在一定程度上降低了党派人士将医疗费用归咎于对方的可能性。尽管意外医疗账单的成本是有形的,而且风险很高,但医疗保健系统中更明显和更接近的行为者可能会保护政府免受当前系统中产生的成本的一些指责。
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引用次数: 0
An institutional safety net? How electoral institutions mediate the fortunes of parties under threat 制度安全网?选举机构如何调解受到威胁的政党的命运
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2110885
Jeffrey Nonnemacher, Jae-Jae Spoon, N. Ringe
ABSTRACT How do electoral institutions condition the electoral fortunes of parties under threat? In this article, we examine how Germany’s mixed-member proportional (MMP) system has influenced the vote share of the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (SPD), a party under threat which has consistently lost votes over the past two decades. Using the 2013 and 2017 waves of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES), we find that voters are likely to engage in “sincere” vote switching on both the district and party ballots and that they are less likely to engage in “strategic” vote switching when they cast their district votes than when they cast their party votes, which protects SPD district candidates. Moreover, voters who stay with the SPD when casting their district vote are also less likely to switch their party votes, which protects the SPD’s overall vote share. We thus conclude that Germany’s MMP electoral system serves as an institutional safety net for the SPD as a party under threat. Our findings have important implications for understanding the ways in which electoral rules shape voting behavior and how different rules can mediate the decline of parties under threat.
选举机构如何制约受到威胁的政党的选举命运?在本文中,我们研究了德国的混合成员比例(MMP)制度是如何影响德国社会民主党(SPD)的选票份额的,这是一个在过去二十年中不断失去选票的政党。利用2013年和2017年德国纵向选举研究(GLES)的数据,我们发现选民在选区和党派投票中都可能进行“真诚”的投票转换,而在选区投票时,他们进行“战略性”投票转换的可能性低于在党派投票时,这保护了社民党选区候选人。此外,在选区投票时仍然支持社民党的选民也不太可能转投社民党,这就保护了社民党的整体选票份额。因此,我们得出结论,德国的MMP选举制度是社会民主党作为一个受到威胁的政党的制度安全网。我们的发现对于理解选举规则影响投票行为的方式以及不同的规则如何调解受到威胁的政党的衰落具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 1
The past, Brexit, and the future in Northern Ireland: a quasi-experiment 北爱尔兰的过去、英国脱欧和未来:一场准实验
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2090951
Amélie Godefroidt, Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M. Bakke
ABSTRACT The UK’s decision to leave the European Union has raised questions about whether Brexit might bring “the Troubles” back to Northern Ireland. We exploit the timing of a unique survey to examine how the EU referendum campaign and its outcome shaped perceptions about the past conflict and preferences for the future in Northern Ireland. The survey reveals that, after the Leave vote, people were more likely to perceive the partitioning of the Island of Ireland and illegitimate rule of Westminster as important conflict causes. Respondents surveyed after the referendum were also more likely to see reunification with Ireland as desirable, and changes in conflict perceptions contributed to this change in preferences for the future. At the same time, public responses seem to be the result of a gradual change during the campaign rather than a shock effect to the outcome, and effects decay quickly. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the micro-foundations driving post-Brexit public opinion in Northern Ireland and the potential consequences of holding contentious referendums more generally.
英国退出欧盟的决定引发了人们对英国脱欧是否会给北爱尔兰带来“麻烦”的质疑。我们利用一项独特调查的时机来研究欧盟公投活动及其结果如何塑造了人们对北爱尔兰过去冲突的看法和对未来的偏好。调查显示,在脱欧公投之后,人们更有可能将爱尔兰岛的分裂和威斯敏斯特的非法统治视为重要的冲突原因。公投后接受调查的受访者也更有可能认为与爱尔兰统一是可取的,而冲突观念的变化导致了对未来偏好的变化。与此同时,公众的反应似乎是在竞选过程中逐渐变化的结果,而不是对结果的冲击效应,而且影响很快就会衰减。这些发现有助于更好地理解推动英国脱欧后北爱尔兰公众舆论的微观基础,以及更普遍地举行有争议的公投的潜在后果。
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引用次数: 0
Election-related internet-shutdowns in autocracies and hybrid regimes 在独裁和混合政权中,与选举相关的互联网关闭
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2090950
K. Eichhorn, Eric Linhart
ABSTRACT In autocratic and hybrid regimes, the internet plays an ambiguous role. It simultaneously possesses the quality of a liberation technology and opportunities for digital authoritarianism. Although autocrats have learned to utilize the internet to their advantage, they are aware of its liberation potential. Whenever the political survival of the regime is challenged, they use manipulative tools to avert uncertainty. Shutting down the internet has become one of these tools. This articleanalyzes the occurrence of internet shutdowns during national elections in autocratic and hybrid regimes. We show that internet shutdowns do not occur erratically but rather follow strategic decisions. Although capacity to control access to the internet is crucial, we highlight the importance of incentives to shut down the internet provided by different degrees of uncertainty during the election.
在专制和混合政体中,互联网扮演着一个模棱两可的角色。它同时拥有解放技术的品质和数字威权主义的机会。尽管独裁者们已经学会了利用互联网为自己服务,但他们也意识到互联网的解放潜力。每当政权的政治生存受到挑战时,他们就使用操纵工具来避免不确定性。关闭互联网已经成为这些工具之一。本文分析了专制和混合政权在全国选举期间互联网关闭的情况。我们表明,互联网关闭不是不规律地发生,而是遵循战略决策。尽管控制互联网接入的能力至关重要,但我们强调,在选举期间,不同程度的不确定性提供了关闭互联网的动机的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Millstone or means to succeed: party-brand value, intra-party competition and personal vote-seeking 成功的关键或手段:政党品牌价值、党内竞争和个人拉票
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2080685
T. Däubler, Séin Ó Muineacháin
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引用次数: 3
Shaping support for public policies: legitimacy cues and question wording effects in the case of gender quotas 塑造对公共政策的支持:性别配额情况下的合法性线索和问题措辞效果
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2078336
Tània Verge, R. Tormos
ABSTRACT Analyses of political, economic, and social actors’ discourses in favour or against gender quotas are extensive but, to date, only a handful of opinion studies have examined support for such a controversial policy whose enactment does not necessarily dissolve opposition. This is particularly the case of citizens holding modern sexism attitudes who dismiss or resent quotas using the language of equality. This article examines how support for this policy can be shaped through legitimacy cues and question wording. The empirical analysis builds on two framing experiments embedded in a representative survey fielded in Catalonia (Spain), where gender quotas in politics and private businesses were introduced over a decade ago. Our results show that, even among respondents holding modern sexism attitudes, priming the legal framework yields positive effects on support for electoral quotas, whilst the endorsement of gender balance in corporate boards increases when the question does not mention the word quotas.
对支持或反对性别配额的政治、经济和社会行动者的话语进行了广泛的分析,但迄今为止,只有少数民意研究调查了对这种有争议的政策的支持,其制定并不一定会消除反对意见。尤其是那些持有现代性别歧视态度的公民,他们用平等的语言来驳斥或憎恨配额。本文探讨了如何通过合法性线索和问题措辞来塑造对这一政策的支持。实证分析建立在加泰罗尼亚(西班牙)代表性调查中嵌入的两个框架实验的基础上,加泰罗尼亚在十多年前引入了政治和私营企业的性别配额。我们的研究结果表明,即使在持有现代性别歧视态度的受访者中,启动法律框架也会对选举配额的支持产生积极影响,而当问题不提及配额一词时,对公司董事会性别平衡的支持也会增加。
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引用次数: 0
When the partisan becomes personal: Mayoral Incumbency Effects in Buenos Aires, 1983–2019 当党派变成个人:1983-2019年布宜诺斯艾利斯市长任期的影响
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-05-30 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2081696
Germán Feierherd, Adrián Lucardi
ABSTRACT A burgeoning literature finds that incumbency effects reflect mostly a personal rather than a partisan advantage. We attribute this to incumbents’ mobilization incentives. Incumbents have weaker incentives to exert costly effort on behalf of their copartisans in national races than in local ones, where their local power is at stake. We examine these implications in the Province of Buenos Aires, Argentina’s largest subnational unit, where midterm elections give mayors a strong incentive to help their copartisans running for the local council, but much weaker ones to support those running for a national seat. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find a large positive effect of incumbency in local mayoral and midterm elections. In contrast, local incumbents neither help nor hurt their copartisans running for the presidency or the national legislature.
一项新兴的研究发现,在任效应主要反映的是个人优势而非党派优势。我们将此归因于在职者的动员激励。与地方选举相比,在职者在全国选举中为其同僚付出昂贵努力的动机更弱,因为在地方选举中,他们的地方权力处于危险之中。我们在阿根廷最大的地方单位布宜诺斯艾利斯省考察了这些影响,在那里,中期选举给市长们提供了强大的动力来帮助他们的合作伙伴竞选地方议会,但支持那些竞选全国席位的人的动力要弱得多。使用回归不连续设计,我们发现在任对地方市长和中期选举有很大的积极影响。相比之下,当地的在职者既没有帮助也没有伤害他们的伙伴竞选总统或国家立法机构。
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引用次数: 1
Are former rebel parties more likely to engage in electoral violence in Africa? 在非洲,前反叛政党更有可能参与选举暴力吗?
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051146
J. Ishiyama, M. Marshall, Brandon D. Stewart
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine whether former rebel parties are more likely to engage in electoral violence than other parties. Using an original data set of 236 parties in 18 countries in Sub Saharan Africa (of which 47 were former rebel groups) from 1990-2018, we find that former rebel parties in Africa are more likely to engage in electoral violence than other political parties. Further, we do find, after conducting an analysis of the Burundian case, that former rebel parties that possess “violence capital” are more likely to engage in electoral violence than other rebel groups that have less or no violence capital. We discuss the implications of these findings regarding the impact of rebel party inclusion on the post-conflict political process.
摘要在本文中,我们研究了前反叛政党是否比其他政党更有可能参与选举暴力。使用1990年至2018年撒哈拉以南非洲18个国家236个政党(其中47个是前反叛团体)的原始数据集,我们发现非洲前反叛政党比其他政党更有可能参与选举暴力。此外,在对布隆迪案例进行分析后,我们确实发现,拥有“暴力资本”的前反叛政党比其他拥有较少或没有暴力资本的反叛团体更有可能参与选举暴力。我们讨论了这些发现的含义,关于叛军政党纳入对冲突后政治进程的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Elections with candidate filtering and two mechanisms of demobilization effect: the prologue to Hong Kong’s authoritarian turn 候选人筛选和两种机制的复员效应:香港威权转向的序幕
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051150
Chan Ka Ming, Ng Ka Lun
ABSTRACT Previous studies of electoral authoritarianism identified that manipulations demobilize opposition supporters. Yet, less is known about whether radicals are more prone to abstention than moderates in manipulated elections. To answer this question, we disentangle two mechanisms of demobilization effect—the efficacy mechanism and the electoral supply mechanism—that have different expectations on the turnout rate of radicals and moderates. Our research leverages the disqualification controversy in Hong Kong in 2016, after which radical candidates who advocate self-determination or independence were filtered out from the electoral market. Using both aggregate-level and individual-level data, our analysis shows that a substantive demobilization effect exists. Crucially, we find that radicals and moderates are demobilized to a similar extent, and the decreases in perceived electoral fairness and importance of voting are similar between the two factions. These findings suggest that the efficacy mechanism is a more plausible explanation of the demobilization effect. Overall, this study extends our understanding of voting behavior and political attitude of opposition supporters in face of autocratization.
先前对选举威权主义的研究发现,操纵会使反对派支持者复员。然而,在被操纵的选举中,激进派是否比温和派更倾向于弃权,人们知之甚少。为了回答这一问题,我们梳理了对激进派和温和派投票率有不同预期的两种复员效应机制——效能机制和选举供给机制。我们的研究利用了2016年香港的取消资格争议,在此之后,主张自决或独立的激进候选人从选举市场中被过滤掉。通过使用总体和个人层面的数据,我们的分析表明,存在实质性的遣散效应。至关重要的是,我们发现激进派和温和派被遣散的程度相似,两个派别在感知选举公平性和投票重要性方面的下降相似。这些发现表明,复员效应的功效机制是一个更合理的解释。总体而言,本研究扩展了我们对反对派支持者在独裁统治下的投票行为和政治态度的理解。
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引用次数: 1
The effect of campaign spending, district magnitude and incumbency when electoral rules create districts with old and new voters: the case of Chile in 2017 当选举规则划分新老选民选区时,竞选支出、选区规模和任期的影响:以2017年的智利为例
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051147
J. M. Cabezas, Hugo Jofré, Patricio D. Navia
Abstract The impact of campaign spending, generally greater for challengers than for incumbents, is conditioned by electoral rules and incumbency—normally seen as a dichotomous condition. But when an electoral reform changes the composition of districts, a legislator is an incumbent only in the section of the new district. In Chile, the 60 open-list proportional representation 2-member districts used until 2013 were combined to create 28 open-list PR districts for the 2017 election, thus making some legislators enjoy a higher degree of incumbency. With data from 1430 candidates in the 2013 and 2017 legislative elections, we report a nonlinear positive effect of campaign spending on electoral success in all district magnitudes. Campaign spending has a higher impact as the number of open seats increases and a stronger effect for incumbents whose old districts comprise a larger share of the new districts. Campaign spending matters differently for challengers and incumbents given the moderating effect of district magnitude, the number of open seats and the percentage of incumbency.
竞选支出对挑战者的影响通常大于对现任者的影响,这是由选举规则和现任者决定的——通常被视为一个二分条件。但是,当选举改革改变了选区的组成时,立法者仅在新选区的部分内担任现任议员。在智利,2013年以前使用的60个开放名单比例代表制2人选区合并为2017年选举的28个开放名单PR区,从而使一些立法者享有更高的任职程度。根据2013年和2017年立法选举中1430名候选人的数据,我们报告了竞选支出对所有地区选举成功的非线性积极影响。随着空缺席位数量的增加,竞选支出的影响也越大,对旧选区在新选区中所占比例较大的现任议员的影响也更大。考虑到选区规模、空缺席位数量和现任议员比例的调节作用,竞选支出对挑战者和现任议员的影响是不同的。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties
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