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Open-source intelligence and great-power competition under mediatization 媒介化下的开源情报与大国竞争
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00446-0
Jiaxi Zhou

With the rise of mediatization, open-source intelligence (OSINT) has evolved into a decentralized form of intelligence gathering, influenced by both political and commercial logic. This transformation has positioned social media as a primary source of OSINT, enhancing the capabilities of non-state actors and significantly impacting international politics, particularly in the realm of great-power competition. Through an analysis spanning individual, state, and systemic levels, this article examines OSINT’s role in shaping contemporary international politics. By exploring case studies such as the Russo-Ukrainian War, Israel-Hamas War, and strategic competition between China and the United States, this article illuminates how OSINT influences decision-making processes and global power struggles and contributes to a deeper understanding of the evolving landscape of intelligence and its implications for statecraft.

随着媒体化的兴起,开源情报(OSINT)已演变成一种分散的情报收集形式,受到政治和商业逻辑的影响。这种转变使社交媒体成为 OSINT 的主要来源,增强了非国家行为者的能力,并对国际政治产生了重大影响,尤其是在大国竞争领域。本文通过对个人、国家和系统层面的分析,探讨了 OSINT 在塑造当代国际政治中的作用。通过对俄乌战争、以色列-哈马斯战争以及中美战略竞争等案例的探讨,本文阐明了操作系统情报如何影响决策过程和全球权力斗争,并有助于加深对不断演变的情报格局及其对国策影响的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Stakeholders’ views of online surveillance capabilities: a comparative analysis of the debates in UK, Finland and Norway 利益相关者对在线监控能力的看法:英国、芬兰和挪威辩论的比较分析
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00443-3
Anna-Riitta Leppänen, Guro Flinterud, Amy Long, Megan O’Neill, Johan Boucht, Burkhard Schaefer, Jarmo Houtsonen

We examine how stakeholders (n = 74) in the United Kingdom, Finland and Norway perceive security authorities’ online surveillance capabilities, and how these perceptions form patterns transcending national borders and organisational boundaries. Using a Q-methodological approach, we found variation within and between nations that is usually obscured in the polarised public debates. Furthermore, our stakeholders presented areas of consensus not usually apparent in public discourses. We argue for using awareness of this nuance and areas of convergence as platforms on which to build more effective public debates to further principles of deliberative democracy.

我们研究了英国、芬兰和挪威的利益相关者(n = 74)如何看待安全部门的在线监控能力,以及这些看法如何形成超越国界和组织边界的模式。利用 Q 方法,我们发现了国家内部和国家之间的差异,这些差异通常在两极分化的公开辩论中被掩盖。此外,我们的利益相关者还提出了在公共讨论中通常并不明显的共识领域。我们主张利用对这种细微差别和共识领域的认识作为平台,在此基础上开展更有效的公开辩论,以推进协商民主的原则。
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引用次数: 0
A general problem-solving matrix (GPSM): combining crime prevention and public health tools 一般问题解决矩阵(GPSM):将预防犯罪和公共卫生工具结合起来
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00438-0
John E. Eck, Vania Ceccato, Rob T. Guerette

Crime involves different individuals interacting in complex social and physical settings. Often, crime problem solvers reach for a common generic response, when they need to consider a number of possible solutions. Thinking tools can help. In this article, we show how uniting an injury prevention tool—the Haddon Matrix used widely in public health—and a crime prevention tool—the crime problem triangle used widely in policing—can provide guidance to crime problem solvers. We call our hybrid the General Problem-Solving Matrix (GPSM). We apply GPSM to rape and burglary to illustrates its features. We conclude the article by examining the alternative versions of GPSM in crime prevention.

犯罪涉及不同个体在复杂的社会和自然环境中的互动。通常情况下,犯罪问题的解决者在需要考虑多种可能的解决方案时,会寻求一种通用的应对方法。思维工具可以提供帮助。在本文中,我们展示了如何将伤害预防工具--广泛应用于公共卫生领域的哈登矩阵--与犯罪预防工具--广泛应用于警务领域的犯罪问题三角--结合起来,为犯罪问题解决者提供指导。我们称这种混合方法为 "一般问题解决矩阵"(GPSM)。我们将 GPSM 应用于强奸和入室盗窃,以说明其特点。文章的最后,我们探讨了 GPSM 在犯罪预防中的其他版本。
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引用次数: 0
The dimensions of ‘forensic biosecurity’ in genetic and facial contexts 基因和面部情况下的 "法医生物安全 "问题
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00445-1
Erin Kruger, Glenn Porter, Philip Birch, Lewis Bizo, Michael Kennedy

This article seeks to examine the co-productions of security and emerging technologies in the two contexts of forensic genetics and forensic facial identification. These surfacing co-productions, deemed here as ‘forensic biosecurity’, are evolving rapidly in both theoretical and practical terms. Definitions and conceptualisations of security are contingent and multiple, impacting forensic biological techniques and innovations in both predictable and unpredictable ways. The military, counter-terrorism, law enforcement, immigration, customs, border patrol, mass disasters, cold case reviews, health, defence, private security, and biometric applications are just a few of the many security environments where forensic biological techniques are applied. The continual development of variations in forensic genetics and facial identification renders a futher blurring of traditional evidence with that of intelligence. Drawing in particular from Joly’s (in: S. Hilgartner, C. Miller, and R. Hagendijk (eds) Science and democracy: Making knowledge and making power in the biosciences and beyond, Taylor and Francis, London, 2015) work on emerging technologies, forensic biosecurity is analysed from a science and technology studies (STS) perspective. An emerging technology in the initial stages is thought to be highly flexible with the potential impacts on society and criminal justice being possibly difficult to predict. Once the science and/or technology has become entrenched and mainstream, it may be difficult to change. The enthusiasm portrayed by law enforcement and security agencies regarding emerging technologies, shows that it is important to remain somewhat cautious about the proliferation of these techniques. While such science and technologies appear to be effective and innovative in the present, it is difficult to accurately forecast or predict the future consequences of such innovations.

本文试图研究在法医遗传学和法医面部识别这两个背景下安全与新兴技术的共同产物。这些浮出水面的共同产物在本文中被视为 "法医生物安全",在理论和实践方面都在迅速发展。安全的定义和概念具有偶然性和多重性,以可预测和不可预测的方式影响着法医生物技术和创新。军事、反恐、执法、移民、海关、边境巡逻、大规模灾害、冷案审查、卫生、国防、私人保安和生物识别应用只是应用法医生物技术的众多安全环境中的一小部分。法医遗传学和面部识别技术的不断发展变化,使得传统证据与情报证据之间的界限更加模糊。特别是借鉴乔利(in:S. Hilgartner, C. Miller, and R. Hagendijk (eds) Science and democracy:泰勒与弗朗西斯出版社,伦敦,2015 年)关于新兴技术的著作,从科学与技术研究(STS)的角度对法医生物安全进行了分析。新兴技术在初始阶段被认为具有高度灵活性,对社会和刑事司法的潜在影响可能难以预测。一旦该科学和/或技术成为根深蒂固的主流,可能就很难改变。执法和安全机构对新兴技术的热情表明,必须对这些技术的扩散保持一定的谨慎。虽然这些科学技术在当前看来是有效和创新的,但很难准确预测或预知这些创新的未来后果。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and preventing future forms of crimes using situational crime prevention 利用情境犯罪预防识别和预防未来形式的犯罪
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00441-5
Shane D. Johnson

Traditional crime has been falling for some time in most countries. However, developing technologies and our use of them are creating new opportunities for offending. For example, estimates from the Crime Survey of England and Wales indicate that in the UK, online fraud and related offences account for as many crimes as do “traditional” offences. To date, academia, law enforcement and governments have been reactive both in terms of identifying new and emerging forms of offending and in developing approaches to address them. In this paper, I will discuss the future crime agenda, and how futures thinking can help identify future crime opportunities and security threats including online fraud, crimes involving artificial intelligence, and crime in the metaverse. The paper will close with a discussion of the implications for theory and crime prevention.

一段时间以来,大多数国家的传统犯罪率都在下降。然而,技术的发展和我们对技术的使用正在为犯罪创造新的机会。例如,英格兰和威尔士犯罪调查估计表明,在英国,网上欺诈和相关犯罪与 "传统 "犯罪一样多。迄今为止,学术界、执法部门和政府在识别新出现的犯罪形式和制定应对方法方面一直处于被动状态。在本文中,我将讨论未来犯罪议程,以及未来思维如何帮助识别未来的犯罪机会和安全威胁,包括网络欺诈、涉及人工智能的犯罪和元宇宙中的犯罪。最后,本文将讨论对理论和犯罪预防的影响。
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引用次数: 0
What is the role of architects and urban planners in crime prevention? 建筑师和城市规划师在预防犯罪方面发挥什么作用?
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00442-4
Vania Ceccato, Patricia Brantingham

In this article, we discuss the role of urban planning professionals in situational crime prevention. We begin by examining their role as city “shapers” and the reasons behind their frequent neglect of crime-related factors in their decision-making process. We also explore why criminology tends to underestimate the influence of urban planning professionals on the urban environment, a factor crucial for effective crime prevention. To highlight the disconnection between urban planning and crime prevention, we present findings from a survey conducted with urban planners and safety experts in 290 Swedish municipalities. The article concludes with future research and practice recommendations, stressing the urgent need for improved communication and collaboration between urban shapers and environmental criminologists and a more comprehensive understanding from all parties involved.

在本文中,我们将讨论城市规划专业人员在情景犯罪预防中的作用。我们首先探讨了他们作为城市 "塑造者 "的角色,以及他们在决策过程中经常忽视犯罪相关因素的原因。我们还探讨了为什么犯罪学倾向于低估城市规划专业人员对城市环境的影响,而城市环境是有效预防犯罪的关键因素。为了强调城市规划与犯罪预防之间的脱节,我们介绍了对瑞典 290 个城市的城市规划者和安全专家进行调查的结果。文章最后提出了未来的研究和实践建议,强调迫切需要改善城市塑造者和环境犯罪学家之间的沟通与合作,并让所有相关方有更全面的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the special issue “environmental criminology in crime prevention: theories for practice” "预防犯罪中的环境犯罪学:实践理论 "特刊导言
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00440-6
Vania Ceccato, Ioannis Ioannidis

In this special issue, five articles demonstrate the impact of contemporary Environmental Criminology theory on the understanding of crime and the development of crime prevention practices in both urban and rural contexts. The articles exemplify the development of Environmental Criminology as a field that extends beyond crime in physical spaces to encompass offenses in cyberspace, illustrating the field’s adaptability and relevance in an increasingly digital world. Authored by environmental criminologists from diverse disciplinary backgrounds, these articles offer a range of international perspectives, thereby contributing to the field of security while addressing broader social issues.

在本特刊中,五篇文章展示了当代环境犯罪学理论对城市和农村犯罪认识和预防犯罪实践发展的影响。这些文章体现了环境犯罪学作为一个领域的发展,已经超越了物理空间中的犯罪,涵盖了网络空间中的犯罪,说明了该领域在日益数字化的世界中的适应性和相关性。这些文章由来自不同学科背景的环境犯罪学专家撰写,提供了一系列国际视角,从而在解决更广泛的社会问题的同时为安全领域做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Framing Amish victimization and security through the lens of criminological theory 从犯罪学理论的角度阐述阿米什人的受害情况和安全问题
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00439-z
Joseph F. Donnermeyer

This article explores the crime experience of the Amish, a rural-located religious subculture that is rarely studied by criminologists. Evidence is derived from narratives of crime experiences reported by scribes to a monthly Amish periodical called The Diary. Every month there are reports about community events from hundreds of Amish settlements, including crime. A routine activities approach helps frame the results. From 168 crime narratives, both burglary/attempted burglary and larceny/attempted larceny are the most frequently described. Suggestions for future research, including an expanded collection of crime narratives from The Diary, plus interviews with both law enforcement and other criminal justice practitioners and Amish crime victims will advance criminological understandings of Amish vulnerability to crime. The article concludes with suggested actions to improve safety and security for Amish communities using environmental criminology theories.

本文探讨了阿米什人的犯罪经历,这是一种位于农村的宗教亚文化,犯罪学家很少对其进行研究。证据来自于阿米什人的月刊《日记》中抄写员对犯罪经历的叙述。每月都有来自数百个阿米什人定居点的社区活动报告,其中包括犯罪活动。例行活动方法有助于确定研究结果。在 168 篇犯罪叙述中,入室盗窃/入室盗窃未遂和盗窃/盗窃未遂是最常见的描述。对未来研究的建议,包括从《日记》中收集更多的犯罪叙述,以及对执法人员和其他刑事司法从业人员以及阿米什犯罪受害者进行访谈,将促进犯罪学对阿米什犯罪脆弱性的理解。文章最后提出了利用环境犯罪学理论改善阿米什社区安全和安保的行动建议。
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引用次数: 0
Reimagining the familiar stranger as a source of security: generating guardianship through everyday mobility 将熟悉的陌生人重新想象为安全之源:通过日常流动产生监护作用
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00437-1
Renee Zahnow, Jonathan Corcoran

The familiar stranger is a social phenomenon that emerges from the serial reproduction of daily routines, structured around urban places and practices, that results in repeated encounters with the same individuals over time. Scholarship suggests that increased familiarity among individuals might incur crime control benefits at places by reducing individual anonymity and enhancing the moral obligation to obey behavioural norms. Familiarity with place-based norms and regularities can also enhance guardianship capacity and willingness to intervene when problems arise. In this paper, we detail a framework that integrates geographical, sociological, and psychological understandings of urban daily life to conceptualize the familiar stranger as a uniquely urban phenomenon emerging from multiple social processes synchronising in time-space. Our framework highlights the capacity for variation in relation to intensity contingent on daily regularities, place attributes, structures and social norms and provides for future measurement, modelling, and monitoring of familiar strangers as a protective factor against crime that can be ascribed to individuals, places and/or social systems. We include an operationalisation of our framework for a single use case, namely familiar stranger encounters in a public transit network.

熟悉的陌生人是一种社会现象,它产生于日常例行活动的连续复制,围绕着城市场所和惯例,导致随着时间的推移与相同的人重复相遇。有研究表明,增加个人之间的熟悉程度可能会减少个人的匿名性,增强遵守行为规范的道德义务,从而对场所的犯罪控制产生益处。对场所规范和规律性的熟悉还能提高监护能力,并在问题出现时提高干预意愿。在本文中,我们详细介绍了一个框架,该框架综合了地理学、社会学和心理学对城市日常生活的理解,将熟悉的陌生人概念化为一种独特的城市现象,它产生于时空同步的多个社会过程。我们的框架强调了与日常生活规律、场所属性、结构和社会规范相关的强度变化能力,并为未来测量、建模和监控熟悉的陌生人提供了依据,使其成为可归因于个人、场所和/或社会系统的犯罪保护因素。我们的框架包括一个单一使用案例的可操作性,即在公共交通网络中遇到熟悉的陌生人。
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引用次数: 0
Shadow of death: the criminal economy of banditry and kidnapping in northwest Nigeria 死亡阴影:尼日利亚西北部土匪和绑架的犯罪经济
IF 1.2 N/A LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00436-2
Oluwole Ojewale

This study explores the phenomenon of banditry as a criminal enterprise in Nigeria. By employing qualitative and quantitative data, it provides a historical context for banditry and discusses kidnapping for ransom as its variant. The spatial distribution and patterns of kidnapping incidents are also highlighted. In response to this persistent challenge posed by banditry, the study notes the government and community members have implemented three distinct strategies. They are enhancing security and law enforcement, negotiations, and legislation. The limitations of these responses are also examined. The paper offers guidance on the necessary policy imperatives to effectively combat armed banditry through a multifaceted approach. It emphasizes that addressing the escalating incidents of kidnapping for ransom in the northwest region cannot be addressed independently from the broader need for reform within the security sector of the country. Strengthening border security, preventing the free flow of illicit firearms into the nation, and concerted effort focused on the recruitment, training, and deployment of adequately equipped security personnel to the border areas become pivotal.

本研究探讨了尼日利亚的土匪犯罪现象。通过采用定性和定量数据,本研究提供了土匪行为的历史背景,并讨论了绑架勒索赎金这一变种。报告还强调了绑架事件的空间分布和模式。为应对土匪行为带来的持续挑战,研究指出政府和社区成员实施了三项不同的战略。它们是加强安全和执法、谈判和立法。研究还探讨了这些对策的局限性。本文就通过多层面方法有效打击武装盗匪活动的必要政策要领提供了指导。文件强调,解决西北地区不断升级的绑架勒索事件不能脱离该国安全部门内部更广泛的改革需求。加强边境安全、防止非法枪支自由流入该国,以及协同努力重点招募、培训和向边境地区部署装备齐全的安全人员,这些都变得至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
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