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The great American car crime decline. 美国汽车犯罪率大幅下降。
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00452-2
Graham Farrell

The vehicle theft rate in the United States declined 80 percent between 1990 and 2020. Remarkably, this remains unexplained. This study examines historical evidence including reports to Congress plus automobile industry data from the Federal Register. Legislation incentivised security improvements that were fitted to high-risk vehicles from the late 1980s. Analysis of the industry data finds that theft of vehicles with electronic engine immobilizers declined 80 percent relative to a matched control group and theft of new secure vehicles declined before older vehicles. Theft declined gradually over the years as secure vehicles permeated the national vehicle fleet, the prolonged decline reflecting the arms race between manufacturers' responses and offender effort to circumvent security. The study concludes that the electronic engine immobilizer caused the great American car crime decline. If this induced declining crime more generally, the electronic engine immobilizer may be the most important crime prevention device of recent history.

从1990年到2020年,美国的汽车盗窃率下降了80%。值得注意的是,这一点至今仍未得到解释。本研究考察了历史证据,包括向国会提交的报告以及联邦公报中的汽车行业数据。从20世纪80年代末开始,立法鼓励对高风险车辆进行安全改进。对行业数据的分析发现,与匹配的对照组相比,安装了电子发动机防盗装置的车辆失窃率下降了80%,而新安全车辆的失窃率比旧车辆要低。多年来,随着安全车辆在全国车辆中普及,盗窃行为逐渐下降,这种长期下降反映了制造商的反应与罪犯规避安全措施的努力之间的军备竞赛。该研究的结论是,电子发动机防盗器导致了美国汽车犯罪的大幅下降。如果这更普遍地导致犯罪率下降,那么电子发动机防盗器可能是近代史上最重要的预防犯罪装置。
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引用次数: 0
A comparison of Project Servator and routine stop and search outcomes in the city of London. 项目服务器和常规停车和搜索结果在伦敦市的比较。
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00461-1
Zoe Marchment, Paul Gill

Project Servator is a strategic method of policing designed to deter, detect and disrupt a wide range of criminal activity including terrorism. This paper is the first empirical study to evaluate the stop and search aspect of Servator deployments. We compare the outcomes of 3488 routine stop and searches and 510 Servator stop and searches to determine whether the stop and search tactics used in this initiative produce more positive outcomes than routine stop and searches. We also compare outcomes of stop and searches that occurred on the basis of suspicious behaviour alone, by ethnicity, and through using a geographically matched sample. Collectively, the results indicate that stop and searches that occur during Servator deployments are more efficient than routine stop and search.

“服务计划”是一种战略性的警务方法,旨在威慑、侦查和破坏包括恐怖主义在内的各种犯罪活动。本文是第一个评估服务器部署的停止和搜索方面的实证研究。我们比较了3488例常规停车和搜索和510例伺服器停车和搜索的结果,以确定该倡议中使用的停车和搜索策略是否比常规停车和搜索产生更积极的结果。我们还比较了仅根据可疑行为、种族和地理位置匹配的样本进行拦截和搜查的结果。总的来说,结果表明,在server部署期间发生的停止和搜索比常规的停止和搜索更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Extended editorial: preventing fraud and cybercrime in an ageing society. 加长社论:在老龄化社会中预防欺诈和网络犯罪。
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-21 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-025-00479-z
Mark Button, Vasileios Karagiannopoulos, Julak Lee, Joon Bae Suh, Jeyong Jung
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引用次数: 0
Open-source intelligence and great-power competition under mediatization 媒介化下的开源情报与大国竞争
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00446-0
Jiaxi Zhou

With the rise of mediatization, open-source intelligence (OSINT) has evolved into a decentralized form of intelligence gathering, influenced by both political and commercial logic. This transformation has positioned social media as a primary source of OSINT, enhancing the capabilities of non-state actors and significantly impacting international politics, particularly in the realm of great-power competition. Through an analysis spanning individual, state, and systemic levels, this article examines OSINT’s role in shaping contemporary international politics. By exploring case studies such as the Russo-Ukrainian War, Israel-Hamas War, and strategic competition between China and the United States, this article illuminates how OSINT influences decision-making processes and global power struggles and contributes to a deeper understanding of the evolving landscape of intelligence and its implications for statecraft.

随着媒体化的兴起,开源情报(OSINT)已演变成一种分散的情报收集形式,受到政治和商业逻辑的影响。这种转变使社交媒体成为 OSINT 的主要来源,增强了非国家行为者的能力,并对国际政治产生了重大影响,尤其是在大国竞争领域。本文通过对个人、国家和系统层面的分析,探讨了 OSINT 在塑造当代国际政治中的作用。通过对俄乌战争、以色列-哈马斯战争以及中美战略竞争等案例的探讨,本文阐明了操作系统情报如何影响决策过程和全球权力斗争,并有助于加深对不断演变的情报格局及其对国策影响的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Stakeholders’ views of online surveillance capabilities: a comparative analysis of the debates in UK, Finland and Norway 利益相关者对在线监控能力的看法:英国、芬兰和挪威辩论的比较分析
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00443-3
Anna-Riitta Leppänen, Guro Flinterud, Amy Long, Megan O’Neill, Johan Boucht, Burkhard Schaefer, Jarmo Houtsonen

We examine how stakeholders (n = 74) in the United Kingdom, Finland and Norway perceive security authorities’ online surveillance capabilities, and how these perceptions form patterns transcending national borders and organisational boundaries. Using a Q-methodological approach, we found variation within and between nations that is usually obscured in the polarised public debates. Furthermore, our stakeholders presented areas of consensus not usually apparent in public discourses. We argue for using awareness of this nuance and areas of convergence as platforms on which to build more effective public debates to further principles of deliberative democracy.

我们研究了英国、芬兰和挪威的利益相关者(n = 74)如何看待安全部门的在线监控能力,以及这些看法如何形成超越国界和组织边界的模式。利用 Q 方法,我们发现了国家内部和国家之间的差异,这些差异通常在两极分化的公开辩论中被掩盖。此外,我们的利益相关者还提出了在公共讨论中通常并不明显的共识领域。我们主张利用对这种细微差别和共识领域的认识作为平台,在此基础上开展更有效的公开辩论,以推进协商民主的原则。
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引用次数: 0
A general problem-solving matrix (GPSM): combining crime prevention and public health tools 一般问题解决矩阵(GPSM):将预防犯罪和公共卫生工具结合起来
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00438-0
John E. Eck, Vania Ceccato, Rob T. Guerette

Crime involves different individuals interacting in complex social and physical settings. Often, crime problem solvers reach for a common generic response, when they need to consider a number of possible solutions. Thinking tools can help. In this article, we show how uniting an injury prevention tool—the Haddon Matrix used widely in public health—and a crime prevention tool—the crime problem triangle used widely in policing—can provide guidance to crime problem solvers. We call our hybrid the General Problem-Solving Matrix (GPSM). We apply GPSM to rape and burglary to illustrates its features. We conclude the article by examining the alternative versions of GPSM in crime prevention.

犯罪涉及不同个体在复杂的社会和自然环境中的互动。通常情况下,犯罪问题的解决者在需要考虑多种可能的解决方案时,会寻求一种通用的应对方法。思维工具可以提供帮助。在本文中,我们展示了如何将伤害预防工具--广泛应用于公共卫生领域的哈登矩阵--与犯罪预防工具--广泛应用于警务领域的犯罪问题三角--结合起来,为犯罪问题解决者提供指导。我们称这种混合方法为 "一般问题解决矩阵"(GPSM)。我们将 GPSM 应用于强奸和入室盗窃,以说明其特点。文章的最后,我们探讨了 GPSM 在犯罪预防中的其他版本。
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引用次数: 0
The dimensions of ‘forensic biosecurity’ in genetic and facial contexts 基因和面部情况下的 "法医生物安全 "问题
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00445-1
Erin Kruger, Glenn Porter, Philip Birch, Lewis Bizo, Michael Kennedy

This article seeks to examine the co-productions of security and emerging technologies in the two contexts of forensic genetics and forensic facial identification. These surfacing co-productions, deemed here as ‘forensic biosecurity’, are evolving rapidly in both theoretical and practical terms. Definitions and conceptualisations of security are contingent and multiple, impacting forensic biological techniques and innovations in both predictable and unpredictable ways. The military, counter-terrorism, law enforcement, immigration, customs, border patrol, mass disasters, cold case reviews, health, defence, private security, and biometric applications are just a few of the many security environments where forensic biological techniques are applied. The continual development of variations in forensic genetics and facial identification renders a futher blurring of traditional evidence with that of intelligence. Drawing in particular from Joly’s (in: S. Hilgartner, C. Miller, and R. Hagendijk (eds) Science and democracy: Making knowledge and making power in the biosciences and beyond, Taylor and Francis, London, 2015) work on emerging technologies, forensic biosecurity is analysed from a science and technology studies (STS) perspective. An emerging technology in the initial stages is thought to be highly flexible with the potential impacts on society and criminal justice being possibly difficult to predict. Once the science and/or technology has become entrenched and mainstream, it may be difficult to change. The enthusiasm portrayed by law enforcement and security agencies regarding emerging technologies, shows that it is important to remain somewhat cautious about the proliferation of these techniques. While such science and technologies appear to be effective and innovative in the present, it is difficult to accurately forecast or predict the future consequences of such innovations.

本文试图研究在法医遗传学和法医面部识别这两个背景下安全与新兴技术的共同产物。这些浮出水面的共同产物在本文中被视为 "法医生物安全",在理论和实践方面都在迅速发展。安全的定义和概念具有偶然性和多重性,以可预测和不可预测的方式影响着法医生物技术和创新。军事、反恐、执法、移民、海关、边境巡逻、大规模灾害、冷案审查、卫生、国防、私人保安和生物识别应用只是应用法医生物技术的众多安全环境中的一小部分。法医遗传学和面部识别技术的不断发展变化,使得传统证据与情报证据之间的界限更加模糊。特别是借鉴乔利(in:S. Hilgartner, C. Miller, and R. Hagendijk (eds) Science and democracy:泰勒与弗朗西斯出版社,伦敦,2015 年)关于新兴技术的著作,从科学与技术研究(STS)的角度对法医生物安全进行了分析。新兴技术在初始阶段被认为具有高度灵活性,对社会和刑事司法的潜在影响可能难以预测。一旦该科学和/或技术成为根深蒂固的主流,可能就很难改变。执法和安全机构对新兴技术的热情表明,必须对这些技术的扩散保持一定的谨慎。虽然这些科学技术在当前看来是有效和创新的,但很难准确预测或预知这些创新的未来后果。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and preventing future forms of crimes using situational crime prevention 利用情境犯罪预防识别和预防未来形式的犯罪
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00441-5
Shane D. Johnson

Traditional crime has been falling for some time in most countries. However, developing technologies and our use of them are creating new opportunities for offending. For example, estimates from the Crime Survey of England and Wales indicate that in the UK, online fraud and related offences account for as many crimes as do “traditional” offences. To date, academia, law enforcement and governments have been reactive both in terms of identifying new and emerging forms of offending and in developing approaches to address them. In this paper, I will discuss the future crime agenda, and how futures thinking can help identify future crime opportunities and security threats including online fraud, crimes involving artificial intelligence, and crime in the metaverse. The paper will close with a discussion of the implications for theory and crime prevention.

一段时间以来,大多数国家的传统犯罪率都在下降。然而,技术的发展和我们对技术的使用正在为犯罪创造新的机会。例如,英格兰和威尔士犯罪调查估计表明,在英国,网上欺诈和相关犯罪与 "传统 "犯罪一样多。迄今为止,学术界、执法部门和政府在识别新出现的犯罪形式和制定应对方法方面一直处于被动状态。在本文中,我将讨论未来犯罪议程,以及未来思维如何帮助识别未来的犯罪机会和安全威胁,包括网络欺诈、涉及人工智能的犯罪和元宇宙中的犯罪。最后,本文将讨论对理论和犯罪预防的影响。
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引用次数: 0
What is the role of architects and urban planners in crime prevention? 建筑师和城市规划师在预防犯罪方面发挥什么作用?
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00442-4
Vania Ceccato, Patricia Brantingham

In this article, we discuss the role of urban planning professionals in situational crime prevention. We begin by examining their role as city “shapers” and the reasons behind their frequent neglect of crime-related factors in their decision-making process. We also explore why criminology tends to underestimate the influence of urban planning professionals on the urban environment, a factor crucial for effective crime prevention. To highlight the disconnection between urban planning and crime prevention, we present findings from a survey conducted with urban planners and safety experts in 290 Swedish municipalities. The article concludes with future research and practice recommendations, stressing the urgent need for improved communication and collaboration between urban shapers and environmental criminologists and a more comprehensive understanding from all parties involved.

在本文中,我们将讨论城市规划专业人员在情景犯罪预防中的作用。我们首先探讨了他们作为城市 "塑造者 "的角色,以及他们在决策过程中经常忽视犯罪相关因素的原因。我们还探讨了为什么犯罪学倾向于低估城市规划专业人员对城市环境的影响,而城市环境是有效预防犯罪的关键因素。为了强调城市规划与犯罪预防之间的脱节,我们介绍了对瑞典 290 个城市的城市规划者和安全专家进行调查的结果。文章最后提出了未来的研究和实践建议,强调迫切需要改善城市塑造者和环境犯罪学家之间的沟通与合作,并让所有相关方有更全面的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the special issue “environmental criminology in crime prevention: theories for practice” "预防犯罪中的环境犯罪学:实践理论 "特刊导言
IF 1.2 0 LANGUAGE & LINGUISTICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41284-024-00440-6
Vania Ceccato, Ioannis Ioannidis

In this special issue, five articles demonstrate the impact of contemporary Environmental Criminology theory on the understanding of crime and the development of crime prevention practices in both urban and rural contexts. The articles exemplify the development of Environmental Criminology as a field that extends beyond crime in physical spaces to encompass offenses in cyberspace, illustrating the field’s adaptability and relevance in an increasingly digital world. Authored by environmental criminologists from diverse disciplinary backgrounds, these articles offer a range of international perspectives, thereby contributing to the field of security while addressing broader social issues.

在本特刊中,五篇文章展示了当代环境犯罪学理论对城市和农村犯罪认识和预防犯罪实践发展的影响。这些文章体现了环境犯罪学作为一个领域的发展,已经超越了物理空间中的犯罪,涵盖了网络空间中的犯罪,说明了该领域在日益数字化的世界中的适应性和相关性。这些文章由来自不同学科背景的环境犯罪学专家撰写,提供了一系列国际视角,从而在解决更广泛的社会问题的同时为安全领域做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Security Journal
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