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Complex non-linear relationship between conventional and green bonds: Insights amidst COVID-19 and the RU–UA conflict 传统债券与绿色债券之间复杂的非线性关系:在 COVID-19 和 RU-UA 冲突中的启示
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100966

In times of crisis, such as global pandemics or conflicts, investors’ preference between green and conventional bonds may lean towards the latter due to increased risk aversion and a focus on short-term stability. However, some investors motivated by increased awareness of sustainability issues may maintain or increase their allocation to green bonds, seeing them as an opportunity for long-term resilience and sustainable investing. We use multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis, wavelet coherence, and copula-based dependence analysis to examine the complex relationship between the S&P Green Bond Index and the S&P 500 Bond Index. The results indicate the presence of multifractal cross-correlations, the strength of which is most pronounced in times of crisis, especially in the post-COVID-19 period. The wavelet-based analysis also detects the COVID-19 break and shows significant interdependence at all frequency levels after the RU–UA conflict. The copula-based correlation values exhibit a distinct oscillating pattern over time, characterized by an initial break coinciding with the impact of COVID-19. In light of these findings on the impact of COVID-19 and the RU–UA conflict, we have included the Geopolitical Risk Index in our analysis to better understand how geopolitical tensions and conflicts influence the observed interdependence and to gain insight into how changes in the global risk environment affect both bond market dynamics. Overall, the results of this study provide insights into the interconnectedness between conventional and green bond markets and highlight potential spillover effects and systemic risks in an increasingly complex financial landscape.

在危机时期,如全球大流行病或冲突时期,投资者在绿色债券和传统债券之间的偏好可能会倾向于后者,原因是投资者的风险规避意识增强,注重短期稳定。然而,一些投资者由于对可持续发展问题的认识提高,可能会保持或增加对绿色债券的配置,将其视为长期抗风险和可持续投资的机会。我们使用多分形去趋势交叉相关分析、小波相干性和基于协整的依赖性分析来研究 S&P 绿色债券指数和 S&P 500 债券指数之间的复杂关系。结果表明存在多分形交叉相关性,其强度在危机时期最为明显,尤其是在后 COVID-19 时期。基于小波的分析也检测到了 COVID-19 的断裂,并显示在 RU-UA 冲突后的所有频率水平上都存在显著的相互依存关系。基于 copula 的相关值随着时间的推移呈现出明显的振荡模式,其特点是最初的断裂与 COVID-19 的影响相吻合。鉴于这些关于 COVID-19 和非盟冲突影响的研究结果,我们将地缘政治风险指数纳入了我们的分析,以更好地理解地缘政治紧张局势和冲突如何影响观察到的相互依存关系,并深入了解全球风险环境的变化如何影响这两个债券市场的动态。总之,本研究的结果为传统债券市场和绿色债券市场之间的相互联系提供了见解,并凸显了在日益复杂的金融环境中潜在的溢出效应和系统性风险。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental spillovers and local agglomeration: Evidence from large plant openings 环境溢出效应与地方集聚:大型工厂开放的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100968

This paper investigates the impact of agglomeration on the spillover effects of corporate environmental performance by exploiting quasi-natural experiments involving Million Dollar Plant (MDP) openings. Analyzing plant-level toxic emissions and pollution prevention data from the U.S., we find that large MDP openings prompt neighboring incumbent plants to emit more toxic chemicals compared to those from facilities in runner-up counties. Neighboring plants in winning counties also reduce their pollution control measures. Prior to the MDP events, we observe comparable trends in pollution emissions and balanced sample characteristics. Furthermore, the increase in toxic emissions is more pronounced in regions with lenient environmental regulations. The findings suggest that increased financial constraints, due to higher production costs from local agglomeration, may drive these negative environmental externalities.

本文利用百万美元工厂(MDP)开业的准自然实验,研究了集聚对企业环境绩效溢出效应的影响。通过分析美国工厂层面的有毒物质排放和污染防治数据,我们发现,与亚军县的工厂相比,大型 MDP 的开业会促使邻近的现有工厂排放更多的有毒化学品。获胜县的邻近工厂也会减少污染控制措施。在 MDP 事件之前,我们观察到污染排放的相似趋势和均衡的样本特征。此外,在环境法规宽松的地区,有毒物质排放量的增加更为明显。研究结果表明,由于地方集聚导致生产成本升高,财政约束的增加可能会推动这些负面环境外部性的产生。
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引用次数: 0
The interplay of CSR, stakeholder interest management, capital budgeting, and firm performance 企业社会责任、利益相关者利益管理、资本预算与企业绩效的相互作用
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100967

This study examines the perspectives of corporate managers regarding corporate social responsibility (CSR), stakeholder interest management, firm performance, and their preferences in capital budgeting. It uses structural equation modelling (SEM) to test hypotheses. The analysis shows that capital budgeting serves as a mediator, diminishing the direct relationship between CSR and firm performance, and between the management of stakeholder interests and firm performance. The findings indicate that instrumental motives guide corporate managers in their capital budgeting decisions. The paper challenges perspectives that disproportionately emphasize the benevolent and moral dimensions of CSR, highlighting the significance of stakeholder interest management as a credible and essential business practice.

本研究探讨了企业管理者对企业社会责任(CSR)、利益相关者利益管理、企业绩效的看法,以及他们在资本预算方面的偏好。研究采用结构方程模型(SEM)来检验假设。分析表明,资本预算作为一种中介,削弱了企业社会责任与公司业绩之间以及利益相关者利益管理与公司业绩之间的直接关系。研究结果表明,工具性动机引导企业管理者做出资本预算决策。本文对过分强调企业社会责任的仁慈和道德层面的观点提出了质疑,强调了利益相关者利益管理作为一种可信和必要的商业实践的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Early-life epidemic experience and CSR 早期流行病经历与企业社会责任
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100965

This study examines the link between the chairperson’s early-life epidemic experience and corporate social responsibility (CSR). Using Chinese A-share listed firms over the time period of 2010–2020, our findings indicate that (1) the chairperson’s early-life epidemic experience contributes significantly and positively to CSR, as evidenced by elevated levels of both internal CSR and external CSR. In a difference-in-differences setting using firms that undergo chairperson changes, we find that there are significant increases in overall CSR, internal CSR, and external CSR after the firm was taken over by chairpersons with higher level of early-life epidemic experience. The relationship between the chairperson’s early-life epidemic experience and CSR remains robust after a series of robustness checks. (2) the downside risk positively moderates the relationship between the chairperson’s early-life epidemic experience and CSR. (3) The results of the heterogeneity analysis indicate that the promotional effect of the chairperson’s early-life epidemic experience on CSR is notably significant for chairperson with longer tenure, and there is no significant difference in the impact of the medical resource level of the chairperson’s birthplace on the aforementioned relationship. These findings shed light on the crucial role of chairpersons’ past experiences, such as early-life epidemic exposure, in shaping CSR practices.

本研究探讨了董事长早年的流行病经历与企业社会责任(CSR)之间的联系。以 2010-2020 年期间的中国 A 股上市公司为研究对象,我们的研究结果表明:(1) 董事长早年的流行病经历对企业社会责任有显著的积极影响,这体现在内部企业社会责任和外部企业社会责任水平的提高上。在以经历过董事长变更的公司为研究对象的差分模型中,我们发现,在由早期流行病经历较多的董事长接手公司后,公司的整体企业社会责任、内部企业社会责任和外部企业社会责任都有显著提高。经过一系列稳健性检验,董事长的早期流行病经历与企业社会责任之间的关系依然稳健。(2)下行风险正向调节了董事长早期流行病经历与企业社会责任之间的关系。(3)异质性分析结果表明,主席早期流行病经历对企业社会责任的促进作用对任期较长的主席显著,主席出生地的医疗资源水平对上述关系的影响没有显著差异。这些发现揭示了主席过去的经历(如早年的流行病经历)在塑造企业社会责任实践中的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of the convex time budget experiment by parameter recovery simulation 通过参数恢复模拟研究凸时间预算实验
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100962

The convex time budget (CTB) method is a widely used experimental technique for eliciting an individual’s time preference in intertemporal choice problems. This paper investigates the accuracy of the estimation of the discount factor parameter and the present bias parameter in the quasi-hyperbolic discounted utility function for the CTB experiment. In this paper, we use a simulation technique called “parameter recovery”. We found that the precision of present bias parameter estimation is poor within the range of previously reported parameter estimates, making it difficult to detect the effect of present bias. Our results recommend against using a combination of the CTB experimental task and the quasi-hyperbolic discounted utility model to explore the effect of present bias.

凸时间预算(CTB)法是在跨时选择问题中激发个人时间偏好的一种广泛使用的实验技术。本文研究了 CTB 实验中准双曲贴现效用函数中贴现因子参数和现时偏差参数估计的准确性。在本文中,我们使用了一种名为 "参数恢复 "的模拟技术。我们发现,在之前报告的参数估计范围内,现时偏差参数估计的精度很低,因此很难检测到现时偏差的影响。我们的结果建议不要将 CTB 实验任务和准双曲折现效用模型结合起来使用,以探究现时偏差的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Related-party transactions and CEO foreign experience: Evidence from China 关联方交易与首席执行官的国外经验:来自中国的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100963

Chinese CEOs with foreign experience tend to engage less in related-party transactions (RPTs). This result holds across various analyses, including firm-fixed effects model estimations, matching on firm and CEO characteristics, additional controls, and instrumental variable regressions. The effect of CEO foreign experience is pronounced for non-state-controlled and non–politically connected firms. The effect is weaker for firms with independent boards and foreign shareholders. Moreover, CEOs exposed to more developed institutional environments tend to reduce RPTs more. Collectively, our findings indicate that CEO foreign experience can enhance corporate governance in emerging markets.

有国外工作经验的中国首席执行官往往较少参与关联方交易(RPT)。这一结果在各种分析中都是成立的,包括公司固定效应模型估计、公司和 CEO 特征匹配、额外控制和工具变量回归。对于非国家控股和无政治关联的公司,CEO 国外经验的影响非常明显。对于拥有独立董事会和外资股东的公司,这种影响较弱。此外,CEO 在更发达的制度环境中往往会更多地减少 RPT。总之,我们的研究结果表明,首席执行官的外国经验可以加强新兴市场的公司治理。
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引用次数: 0
Impact investment preferences for carbon target difficulty, progress and science-based approval 碳目标难度、进度和科学审批的影响投资偏好
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100960

Alongside sustainable finance regulations, the new European Sustainability Reporting Standards introduce the need to disclose carbon target difficulty and the science-based nature of targets to enable better investment decisions. However, investment preferences towards established target attributes and emerging ones like target progress are understudied, especially in impact investments, where they can signal the potential for desired emission reduction beyond previous emission levels. This study uses a discrete choice experiment in Sweden with potential impact investors towards climate change mitigation to elicit their preferences towards progress on carbon targets, target emission reduction level and science-based approval for more or less emission-intensive firms. The findings suggest that respondents favour many target characteristics independently and in interactions with other carbon information. Results of the latent class analysis further suggest preference heterogeneity towards carbon targets to stem from attitudinal-, cognitive-, knowledge- and socio-demographic characteristics of individuals.

在制定可持续金融法规的同时,新的《欧洲可持续发展报告标准》提出了披露碳目标难度和目标科学性的必要性,以便做出更好的投资决策。然而,人们对既定目标属性和新兴目标属性(如目标进展)的投资偏好研究不足,尤其是在社会企业投资中,因为这些属性可以表明期望的减排量是否能超过以前的排放水平。本研究在瑞典对潜在的气候变化减缓影响投资者进行了离散选择实验,以了解他们对碳目标进展、目标减排水平以及对排放密集型企业的科学批准的偏好。研究结果表明,受访者偏好许多独立的目标特征,以及与其他碳信息相互作用的目标特征。潜类分析的结果进一步表明,对碳目标的偏好异质性源于个人的态度、认知、知识和社会人口特征。
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引用次数: 0
Managerial sentiment and employment 管理人员的情绪和就业
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100961

Recent research shows that managers, much like investors, are prone to sentiment. In this paper, we study the effect of managerial sentiment on firms’ operations both theoretically and empirically. Consistent with our model’s predictions, we find that high managerial sentiment increases employment growth, especially among firms with limited investment opportunities and regardless of their cash resources. We also show that high managerial sentiment offsets the negative effect of low investor sentiment and bad governance on employment, but ultimately leads to lower labor productivity. Overall, the findings unveil a new channel through which optimistic managers affect firms’ operations.

最近的研究表明,管理者与投资者一样,容易受到情绪的影响。在本文中,我们从理论和实证两方面研究了管理者情绪对企业运营的影响。与我们的模型预测一致,我们发现管理者的高情绪会增加就业增长,尤其是在投资机会有限且不考虑现金资源的企业中。我们还表明,高管理情绪可以抵消低投资者情绪和不良治理对就业的负面影响,但最终会导致劳动生产率下降。总之,研究结果揭示了乐观的管理者影响企业运营的新渠道。
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引用次数: 0
Information aggregation with heterogeneous traders 异质交易商的信息汇总
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100956
Cary Deck , Tae In Jun , Laura Razzolini , Tavoy Reid

The efficient market hypothesis predicts that asset prices reflect all available information. Recent experimental work found the rational expectation model to outperform the prior information model in contingent claim markets when traders hold homogeneous values, despite the no trade equilibrium. However, recent experiments have also demonstrated the inability of contingent claim markets to successfully aggregate information when traders hold highly differentiated asset values. These prior findings beg the question of whether homogeneous values are a necessary condition for efficient market outcomes in contingent claim markets. The experiments reported in this paper show that homogeneous values are not a necessary condition for information aggregation.

有效市场假说认为,资产价格反映了所有可用信息。最近的实验工作发现,尽管存在无交易均衡,但当交易者持有同质价值时,理性预期模型在或有索赔市场中的表现优于先验信息模型。然而,最近的实验也证明,当交易者持有高度差异化的资产价值时,或有债权市场无法成功聚合信息。这些先前的发现提出了一个问题:同质价值是否是或有债权市场有效市场结果的必要条件?本文报告的实验表明,同质价值并不是信息聚合的必要条件。
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引用次数: 0
Immigration Narrative and Home Prices 移民叙事与房价
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100959

This study characterizes the relationship between U.S. National Home Prices and Immigration Narrative as portrayed on TV news. Integrating Narrative Economics and Natural Language Processing (NLP) sentiment analysis, I analyze a large dataset of 1.96 million TV news transcripts spanning July 2009 to December 2023 to capture the sentiment of the Immigration Narrative. Immigration Narrative Sentiment and U.S. Home Prices are associated. One standard deviation orthogonalized shock to the sentiment Granger-causes a statistically significant and economically meaningful increase in the Case–Shiller U.S. National Home Price. The cumulative increase is equivalent to about 26 percent of the average monthly change during the sample period. Moreover, the effect of a shock to the Immigration Narrative Sentiment on Home Prices is permanent, suggesting that the Immigration Narrative contains fundamental information about Home Prices not captured by standard economic variables. Conversely, there is no evidence that Home Price variation affects Immigration Narrative.

本研究描述了美国全国房价与电视新闻中描述的移民叙事之间的关系。结合叙事经济学和自然语言处理(NLP)情感分析,我分析了从 2009 年 7 月到 2023 年 12 月期间 196 万份电视新闻记录的大型数据集,以捕捉移民叙事情感。移民叙事情绪与美国房价相关联。移民叙事情绪受到一个标准差的正交冲击,就会格兰杰效应地导致 Case-Shiller 美国全国房价出现统计意义上的、有经济意义的上涨。累计涨幅相当于样本期间平均月度涨幅的 26%。此外,移民叙事情绪的冲击对房价的影响是永久性的,这表明移民叙事包含了标准经济变量无法捕捉到的有关房价的基本信息。相反,没有证据表明房价变化会影响移民叙事。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
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