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Reasoning with financial regulatory texts via Large Language Models 通过大型语言模型对金融监管文本进行推理
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101067
Bledar Fazlija , Meriton Ibraimi , Aynaz Forouzandeh , Arber Fazlija
Interpreting complex financial regulatory texts, such as the Basel III Accords, can be challenging even for human experts. In this paper, we explore the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) to perform such tasks. Specifically, we evaluate reasoning strategies, namely Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and Tree-of-Thought (ToT), in their ability to assign accurate risk weights to test cases based on the Basel III Standardized Approach (SA) for Credit Risk. Moreover, we propose and test a guided learning-based few-shot variant of CoT and ToT using human expert input. By evaluating 6,501 test cases, comprised of diverse exposure scenarios, our results demonstrate that few-shot prompting with CoT as well as ToT significantly enhances the LLMs’ accuracy in inferring risk weights. For one-shot CoT, we observe gains of almost 13 percentage points in accuracy with GPT-4o, whereas Claude 3 Sonnet shows gains of more than 10 percentage points. Albeit smaller in magnitude, one-shot ToT improvements are around 9 percentage points.
解释复杂的金融监管文本,如《巴塞尔协议III》,即使对人类专家来说也是一项挑战。在本文中,我们探索了大型语言模型(llm)执行此类任务的潜力。具体来说,我们评估了推理策略,即思维链(CoT)和思维树(ToT),根据巴塞尔协议III信用风险标准化方法(SA)为测试用例分配准确风险权重的能力。此外,我们提出并测试了基于人工专家输入的基于引导学习的CoT和ToT的少镜头变体。通过评估6,501个测试用例,包括不同的暴露场景,我们的结果表明,使用CoT和ToT的少量提示显著提高了llm推断风险权重的准确性。对于一次性CoT,我们观察到gpt - 40的准确性提高了近13个百分点,而Claude 3 Sonnet的准确性提高了10个百分点以上。虽然幅度较小,但一次性的ToT改进约为9个百分点。
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引用次数: 0
Why do females display lower financial risk propensity than males? Evidence from structural MRI and resting-state fMRI 为什么女性比男性表现出更低的金融风险倾向?来自结构MRI和静息状态fMRI的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101079
Han Ren , Shiwei Sun , Zhengqiang Zhong , Song Wang
Understanding why females and males differ in financial risk-taking is important for both theory and practice. This study integrates neuroscience and behavioral data to examine how sex differences in brain structure-indexed by gray matter volume (GMV)-and brain function-indexed by resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC)-relate to financial risk propensity (FRP) among full-time employees (N = 144; 72 females, 72 males). We found that the association between FRP and GMV in the left superior parietal lobule (SPL), a region involved in emotion regulation and numerical processing, was positive in females but negative in males. Additionally, only in females was lower FRP linked to stronger RSFC between the left SPL and the right hippocampus, a region critical for future-oriented thinking and memory. We also found a significant indirect effect of FRP on the relationship between RSFC and willingness to take risks in investment and career domains for females, but not for males. These findings suggest that in females, greater neural integration of emotional control, numerical reasoning, and prospection may support more cautious financial decisions. This research offers new insights into the neural basis of sex differences in financial decision-making and carries important theoretical and practical implications.
理解为什么女性和男性在金融冒险方面存在差异对理论和实践都很重要。本研究整合了神经科学和行为数据,以检验全职员工中脑结构(以灰质体积(GMV)为指标)和脑功能(以静息状态功能连接(RSFC)为指标)的性别差异如何与金融风险倾向(FRP)相关(N = 144;72名女性,72名男性)。我们发现,在参与情绪调节和数值处理的左顶叶上小叶(SPL)中,FRP和GMV之间的关联在女性中呈正相关,而在男性中呈负相关。此外,只有在女性中,较低的FRP与较强的左SPL和右海马体之间的RSFC有关,这是一个对面向未来的思考和记忆至关重要的区域。我们还发现FRP对女性的RSFC与投资和职业领域的风险承担意愿之间的关系有显著的间接影响,但对男性没有影响。这些发现表明,在女性中,更大的情绪控制、数字推理和前景的神经整合可能支持更谨慎的财务决策。本研究为金融决策中性别差异的神经基础提供了新的见解,具有重要的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Are credit scores gender-neutral? Evidence of mis-calibration from alternative and traditional borrowing data 信用评分是中性的吗?来自替代和传统借阅数据的错误校准证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101081
Zilong Liu, Hongyan Liang
This study investigates whether credit scoring systems inherently disadvantage women within the subprime borrowing context, where alternative credit data is frequently used. While recent advancements in machine learning and alternative data usage promise greater fairness and accuracy in lending, our findings highlight systemic biases embedded within current credit scoring models. Using a comprehensive sample of alternative borrowers, our analysis reveals that women consistently receive lower credit scores than men, despite exhibiting lower default rates and controlling for extensive credit risk variables. Furthermore, credit scores demonstrate systematically reduced predictive accuracy for women compared to men, underscoring gender biases embedded within these scoring systems. These findings emphasize the urgent need to recalibrate credit scoring models to enhance fairness, accuracy, and financial inclusivity.
本研究调查信用评分系统是否固有的不利妇女在次级贷款的背景下,其中替代信贷数据经常被使用。虽然机器学习和替代数据使用的最新进展有望提高贷款的公平性和准确性,但我们的研究结果突出了当前信用评分模型中嵌入的系统性偏见。通过对其他借款人的全面抽样,我们的分析显示,尽管女性的违约率较低,并控制了广泛的信用风险变量,但女性的信用评分始终低于男性。此外,与男性相比,信用评分系统地显示女性的预测准确性降低,强调了这些评分系统中嵌入的性别偏见。这些发现强调,迫切需要重新校准信用评分模型,以提高公平性、准确性和金融包容性。
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引用次数: 0
Girls will be girls? The gendered effect of financial overconfidence on credit card delinquency 女孩就是女孩?金融过度自信对信用卡拖欠的性别影响
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101086
Malvika Chhatwani
We investigate the impact of financial overconfidence on credit card behavior among men and women. We operationalize financial overconfidence as a discrepancy between objective and subjective financial literacy. Utilizing a dataset comprising 19,795 individuals, our analysis reveals a significant positive relationship between financial overconfidence and credit card delinquency. Further, we also find that financial overconfidence is significantly weaker among women as compared to men. Our findings are robust to several robustness tests using additional control variables or different operationalizations of independent and dependent variables. These findings offer intriguing practical implications, suggesting a gender-specific intervention to address the effects of financial overconfidence on credit card usage. The theoretical and practical contributions of our research are discussed.
我们调查财务过度自信对男性和女性信用卡行为的影响。我们将财务过度自信操作为客观和主观财务知识之间的差异。利用包含19,795个人的数据集,我们的分析揭示了金融过度自信与信用卡拖欠之间的显著正相关关系。此外,我们还发现,与男性相比,女性的财务过度自信明显较弱。我们的发现是稳健的几个鲁棒性测试使用额外的控制变量或不同的操作自变量和因变量。这些发现提供了有趣的实际意义,建议针对性别进行干预,以解决财务过度自信对信用卡使用的影响。讨论了本研究的理论和实践贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Diffusion of mobile banking among rural women: Incentivizing local leaders vs. a marketing campaign 移动银行在农村妇女中的普及:激励当地领导人vs.营销活动
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101085
Pablo Brañas-Garza , Jaromír Kovářík , Ericka G. Rascón Ramírez
How can we promote the adoption of mobile banking among the socially and economically disadvantaged? We compare the effectiveness of two strategies, seeded diffusion via incentivized local leaders and a traditional marketing campaign, to promote the adoption of mobile banking among poor women in rural Peru. For the first one, we exploit the existence of local leaders who were trained by a local firm to promote the diffusion of a mobile banking application. For the second, we take advantage of an on-going traditional marketing campaign at the regional level. Our findings show that the personalized seeded diffusion via local leaders is an effective promotion strategy. It significantly outperforms the traditional campaign, during which adoption rates are statistically indistinguishable from zero. We additionally show that the seeded incentivized diffusion relies on features of the underlying community networks known to promote diffusion of information and trust. Our results emphasize the necessity of personalized approaches to promote technological products such a mobile banking among vulnerable populations.
我们如何在社会和经济上处于不利地位的人群中推广手机银行?我们比较了两种策略的有效性,即通过激励当地领导人的种子传播和传统的营销活动,以促进秘鲁农村贫困妇女采用移动银行。对于第一个,我们利用当地公司培训的当地领导人的存在来促进移动银行应用程序的传播。其次,我们在区域一级利用正在进行的传统营销活动。研究结果表明,通过地方领导的个性化种子传播是一种有效的推广策略。它明显优于传统的广告活动,在此期间,采用率在统计上几乎为零。我们还表明,种子激励扩散依赖于已知的潜在社区网络的特征,以促进信息和信任的扩散。我们的研究结果强调了在弱势群体中推广移动银行等技术产品的个性化方法的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Cybersecurity risk and bank risk-taking 网络安全风险与银行风险承担
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101080
Zunaidah Sulong , Md. Habibur Rahman Fuszder , Mohammad Abdullah , Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah
This paper investigates the influence of cybersecurity risk on banks’ risk-taking behavior. Utilizing data from U.S. banks spanning 1998–2018, we find that heightened cybersecurity risk is associated with increased risk-taking by banks. These findings remain robust across various alternative proxies and persist even after addressing endogeneity issues. Further analysis indicates that this positive relationship is more pronounced among banks facing greater competitive pressure, higher IT investment, increased deposit withdrawals, and more negative disclosure sentiment. Conversely, the relationship is attenuated in banks with substantial goodwill and a more positive disclosure tone. Sub-sample analyses show that the effect is particularly strong for smaller banks and those with elevated financial vulnerability. These findings have important implications for the digital transformation of the banking sector.
本文研究了网络安全风险对银行风险承担行为的影响。利用1998年至2018年美国银行的数据,我们发现网络安全风险的加剧与银行承担风险的增加有关。这些发现在各种替代代理中仍然很强大,即使在解决了内生性问题之后仍然存在。进一步的分析表明,在面临更大的竞争压力、更高的IT投资、更多的存款取款和更多的负面披露情绪的银行中,这种正相关关系更为明显。相反,在拥有大量商誉和更积极的披露基调的银行中,这种关系减弱。子样本分析显示,这种影响对规模较小的银行和金融脆弱性较高的银行尤为明显。这些发现对银行业的数字化转型具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The effectiveness of female chief financial officers in managing working capital: Evidence from US-listed firms 女性首席财务官管理营运资金的有效性:来自美国上市公司的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101078
Augustine Tarkom , Leiza Nochebuena-Evans , Haibo Wang
This paper examines how female Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) influence working capital management in U.S. public firms, documenting that female CFOs are associated with significantly lower working capital days compared to their male counterparts. Our analysis reveals several important conditions that enhance female CFOs’ effectiveness. We find that their effectiveness strengthens with greater board gender diversity, diverse international representation, and formal business education, suggesting complementary effects between female executive leadership and board composition. The effectiveness of female CFOs is more pronounced in firms with higher compensation levels and in environments characterized by lower market concentration, higher competitive threats, and broader firm scope. These effects are further amplified under stronger network connectivity, higher managerial ability, and co-opted boards, but independent of the specific committee or board roles held. Our findings remain robust to multiple endogeneity tests, including system GMM estimation, propensity score matching, entropy balancing, copula approaches. Our study contributes to the literature on gender in corporate finance by identifying working capital management as an important channel through which female executives enhance operational efficiency, while also highlighting the organizational and market conditions that amplify their effectiveness. Offering a business case for maintaining and strengthening diversity initiatives even in the face of social anti-activism pressures.
本文研究了女性首席财务官(cfo)如何影响美国上市公司的营运资金管理,并记录了与男性首席财务官相比,女性首席财务官的营运资金天数显着减少。我们的分析揭示了提高女性首席财务官效率的几个重要条件。我们发现,董事会性别多样性、国际代表性和正规商业教育程度越高,其有效性就越强,这表明女性高管领导与董事会构成之间存在互补效应。在薪酬水平较高的企业和市场集中度较低、竞争威胁较高、企业范围较广的环境中,女性cfo的有效性更为明显。在更强的网络连通性、更高的管理能力和增选董事会的情况下,这些影响会进一步放大,但与具体的委员会或董事会角色无关。我们的研究结果对多重内生性检验保持稳健,包括系统GMM估计、倾向评分匹配、熵平衡、copula方法。我们的研究通过确定营运资金管理是女性高管提高运营效率的重要渠道,同时也强调了放大其有效性的组织和市场条件,为企业融资中的性别问题文献做出了贡献。即使面对社会反激进主义的压力,也为维持和加强多样性倡议提供了一个商业案例。
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引用次数: 0
Professional skepticism and behavioral bias in financial professionals 金融专业人士的职业怀疑与行为偏见
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101095
CHARISA DE KLERK , ZACK ENSLIN , JOHN HALL
Over the past few years professional skepticism has received attention from various stakeholders such as policymakers, practitioners, regulators, and the public. The interest was driven by financial professionals’ failure to apply professional skepticism and the damage it has caused the reputation of the accounting profession. This study investigates the relationship between professional skepticism as a trait and decision-making biases, while also exploring how factors such as gender, age, experience, and personality traits influence financial professionals’ susceptibility to decision-making biases. The study adopted an advanced statistical technique using structural equation modelling to explore the relationship between professional skepticism and decision-making biases. Online surveys were distributed and completed by professional accountants who have professional accreditation with the International Auditing and Assurance Board (IAASB). Findings revealed the presence to a significant extent among financial professionals of confirmation bias, misconceptions of regression to the mean bias, conjunctive event bias, overconfidence bias, and affect bias. Further findings reveal that specific constructs within the professional skepticism trait such as questioning mind, suspension of judgement, search for knowledge, and self-determining, show significant positive (and in some instances negative) relationships with decision-making biases. Gender, experience, and personality traits (such as extraversion and neuroticism) were found to influence susceptibility to certain biases. This research contributes to literature, offering insights into the relationship between professional skepticism and decision-making biases, underlining the importance of understanding skepticism’s implications for decision-makers.
在过去的几年里,专业怀疑主义受到了政策制定者、从业者、监管者和公众等不同利益相关者的关注。金融专业人士未能运用专业的怀疑态度,以及由此对会计行业声誉造成的损害,推动了这种兴趣。本研究探讨了职业怀疑主义特质与决策偏差之间的关系,同时也探讨了性别、年龄、经验、人格特质等因素对金融专业人士决策偏差易感性的影响。本研究采用先进的统计技术,利用结构方程模型来探讨职业怀疑主义与决策偏差之间的关系。在线调查由拥有国际审计与鉴证委员会(IAASB)专业认证的专业会计师分发和完成。调查结果显示,金融专业人员在很大程度上存在确认偏误、回归均值偏误、联结事件偏误、过度自信偏误和影响偏误。进一步的研究发现,专业怀疑主义特质中的特定构念,如质疑心理、暂停判断、寻求知识和自我决定,与决策偏差表现出显著的正(在某些情况下是负)关系。研究发现,性别、经历和性格特征(如外向性和神经质)会影响对某些偏见的敏感性。这项研究对文献有贡献,提供了对专业怀疑主义和决策偏差之间关系的见解,强调了理解怀疑主义对决策者的影响的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Does climate risk perception drive the realization of corporate environmental responsibility? 气候风险认知是否推动了企业环境责任的实现?
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101093
Lihui Tian , Haifeng Wu , Xiaoman Zhu
This paper explores the impacts and mechanisms of climate risk perception on the realization of environmental responsibility from a micro-firm perspective. We selected the data of Chinese A-share listed companies from 2012 to 2022 as a sample, and used text mining techniques and machine learning algorithms to construct corporate-level climate risk perception indicators, and then examined the impact of climate risk perception on corporate environmental responsibility. The empirical results show that (i) Climate risk perception can effectively improve corporate environmental performance (E score). (ii) Climate risk perception can motivate corporations to achieve environmental responsibility through three channels: enhancing diversification, promoting green technology innovation, and increasing environmental investments. (iii) Expansion analyses show that financial support, economic policy synergies, and institutional synergies can enhance the facilitating effect of climate risk perception on corporate environmental responsibility. This study provides empirical evidence for corporations to address climate risks and achieve sustainable development.
本文从微观企业的角度探讨了气候风险感知对环境责任实现的影响及其机制。本文选取2012 - 2022年中国a股上市公司数据为样本,运用文本挖掘技术和机器学习算法构建企业层面的气候风险感知指标,考察气候风险感知对企业环境责任的影响。实证结果表明:(1)气候风险感知能有效提升企业环境绩效(E分)。(2)气候风险认知可以通过加强多元化、促进绿色技术创新和增加环境投资三个渠道激励企业履行环境责任。(3)可拓分析表明,金融支持、经济政策协同和制度协同可以增强气候风险认知对企业环境责任的促进作用。本研究为企业应对气候风险、实现可持续发展提供了实证依据。
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引用次数: 0
Hedge Funds, Short Sales, and the 52-week High 对冲基金,卖空和52周高点
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101083
Yixuan Rui, Robert B. Durand
Hedge funds tend to significantly reduce their shareholdings when a firm’s short interest is high and its share price is close to its 52-week high. In addition, hedge funds in general are more likely to increase their holdings when the share price is falling away from its 52-week high and the short interest is low. Mutual funds, pension funds, and other institutional investors typically do not engage in such specialized trading strategies. The trading behavior of hedge funds demonstrates that they follow a contrarian strategy and use short interest to exploit the near-term reversal of price movements.
当一家公司的空头头寸很高,且股价接近52周高点时,对冲基金往往会大幅减持。此外,对冲基金通常更有可能在股价从52周高点回落、空头兴趣较低时增持。共同基金、养老基金和其他机构投资者通常不参与这种专门的交易策略。对冲基金的交易行为表明,他们遵循逆向策略,利用短期利益利用价格走势的短期逆转。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
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