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Retail attention on earnings announcement days: Evidence from social media 财报公布日的零售关注度:来自社交媒体的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100958
Qiuye Cai , Kenneth Yung

We develop a novel direct measure of abnormal retail attention using tweet frequency on StockTwits. Contrary to prior evidence, our results show that firm-level abnormal retail attention is only slightly diminished by market-level abnormal retail attention.More importantly, we find that firm-level abnormal retail attention enhances the immediate incorporation of earnings information in share prices and alleviates post earnings announcement drift. Unlike prior studies that usually consider retail investors uninformed and play no role in price discovery, our results suggest that the proliferation of inexpensive techniques for information gathering nowadays makes the role played by retail investors in capital markets increasingly important.

我们利用 StockTwits 上的推文频率开发了一种新的直接衡量异常散户关注度的方法。更重要的是,我们发现公司层面的异常散户关注会增强股价对盈利信息的即时吸收,并减轻盈利公布后的漂移。以往的研究通常认为散户投资者不了解信息,在价格发现中不起作用,而我们的研究结果则不同,它表明如今廉价的信息收集技术的普及使得散户投资者在资本市场中扮演的角色越来越重要。
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引用次数: 0
Extrapolative beliefs and return predictability: Evidence from China 外推信念与回报可预测性:来自中国的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100957

We explore the role of extrapolative beliefs in return predictability in the Chinese stock market. Extrapolation-based theories suggest that the return predictability arises from the eventual correction of mispricing caused by extrapolators, particularly during periods of high extrapolative beliefs. Our findings support this notion, indicating that greater extrapolative beliefs strengthen the return predictability of valuation ratios. Mechanism analyses reveal that extrapolative beliefs influence the mean-reversion and investor sentiment.

我们探讨了外推信念在中国股市回报率可预测性中的作用。基于外推的理论认为,收益可预测性源于外推者对错误定价的最终修正,尤其是在外推信念较强的时期。我们的研究结果支持这一观点,表明外推信念越强,估值比率的收益预测性就越强。机制分析表明,外推信念会影响均值回复和投资者情绪。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Education or Incentivizing Learning-By-Doing? Evidence from an RCT with Undergraduate Students 金融教育还是鼓励边做边学?一项针对本科生的 RCT 研究提供的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100954
Luis Oberrauch , Tim Kaiser

We study the effects of digital financial education interventions on undergraduate students’ financial knowledge in a small-scale RCT. We test the substitutability or complementarity of two treatments: an online video financial education treatment and an incentive-based approach where students are issued pre-paid voucher cards worth 50 EUR to register with a broker specializing in robo-advised investment in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Three months after the intervention, the video treatment enhanced financial knowledge scores by more than 0.5 standard deviations. Conversely, the vouchers showed no effect. The findings suggest that subsidies encouraging robo-advised investment into ETFs cannot substitute direct financial education in our setting, and there is no evidence for complementarity between these interventions.

我们通过一项小型 RCT 研究了数字金融教育干预对大学生金融知识的影响。我们测试了两种处理方法的可替代性或互补性:一种是在线视频金融教育处理方法,另一种是基于激励的方法,即向学生发放价值 50 欧元的预付代金券卡,让他们在一家专门从事交易所交易基金(ETF)机器人建议投资的经纪商处注册。干预三个月后,视频治疗提高了金融知识得分,提高幅度超过 0.5 个标准差。相反,代金券则没有任何效果。研究结果表明,在我们的环境中,鼓励在机器人指导下投资 ETF 的补贴不能替代直接的金融教育,也没有证据表明这些干预措施之间存在互补性。
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引用次数: 0
Return volatility and trading volume of GameFi GameFi 的回报波动和交易量
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100955
Guiqiang Shi , John W. Goodell , Dehua Shen

Focusing on GameFi, we test theories regarding the relationship between return volatility and trading volume. These theories include the Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH) and the Sequential Information Arrival Hypothesis (SIAH). Empirical results indicate rejection of MDH and support for SIAH. These results are robust to alternative measurements of trading volume and return volatility. Subperiod analysis further reveals that SIAH is more pronounced during periods of high investor attention and low economic uncertainty. The results will be of interest to scholars interested in the robustness of established financial theories for revolutionary financial products.

我们以 GameFi 为重点,检验了有关回报波动与交易量之间关系的理论。这些理论包括混合分布假说(MDH)和序列信息到达假说(SIAH)。实证结果表明 MDH 被否定,SIAH 被支持。这些结果对交易量和回报波动性的其他测量方法是稳健的。分期分析进一步表明,在投资者高度关注和经济不确定性较低的时期,SIAH 更为明显。这些结果将对研究既定金融理论对革命性金融产品的稳健性的学者有所帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Targeting behavior and capital structure theories: An empirical analysis of gulf cooperation council countries 瞄准行为和资本结构理论:海湾合作委员会国家的实证分析
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100944
K. Sunitha

This study examined the dynamic nature of capital structure decisions and the effectiveness of trade-off, pecking order, and market timing theories in explaining the changes in leverage ratios. A partial adjustment model was used to examine the practice of setting a target (optimal) leverage, estimate firms’ speeds of adjustment in reaching their target leverages, and identify the capital structure theories that best explain the changes in leverage levels of firms in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. Firms in these countries reach their target leverages at estimated average speeds of adjustment of 59.8 %–72 % annually. These speeds of adjustment are sensitive to country- and firm-specific characteristics. The targeting behavior factor of the trade-off theory better explains the changes in capital structure compared with the pecking order or market timing theories.

本研究探讨了资本结构决策的动态性质,以及权衡理论、啄食顺序理论和市场时机理论在解释杠杆比率变化方面的有效性。研究采用部分调整模型来考察设定目标(最佳)杠杆率的做法,估算企业在达到目标杠杆率时的调整速度,并确定最能解释海湾合作委员会国家企业杠杆率水平变化的资本结构理论。据估计,这些国家的企业达到目标杠杆率的平均调整速度为每年 59.8%-72%。这些调整速度对国家和企业的具体特征非常敏感。与啄食顺序理论或市场时机理论相比,权衡理论的目标行为因素能更好地解释资本结构的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal stopping decisions and the disposition effect 最佳停车决策和处置效应
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100938
Yongkil Ahn

I conduct lab-in-the-field experiments using a stylized optimal stopping problem, through which I separately identify the exact threshold values for the disposition effect in the gain and loss domains. I further combine the experimental results with actual account-level trading records. Remarkably, I discover that solely the disposition effect indicator within the gain domain exhibits a positive correlation with the actual disposition effect observed in the stock market. This asymmetry in financial decision-making between the gain and loss domains suggests that individual investors may render suboptimal decisions primarily when confronted with gains.

我利用一个风格化的最优止损问题进行了实验室-现场实验,通过实验,我分别确定了收益和亏损领域处置效应的确切阈值。我进一步将实验结果与实际账户交易记录相结合。值得注意的是,我发现只有收益领域的处置效应指标与股市中观察到的实际处置效应呈现正相关。收益和亏损领域之间金融决策的这种不对称性表明,个人投资者可能主要在面对收益时做出次优决策。
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引用次数: 0
Impression management of biodiversity reporting in the energy and utilities sectors: An assessment of transparency in the disclosure of negative events 能源和公用事业部门生物多样性报告的印象管理:负面事件披露透明度评估
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100942
Goizeder Blanco-Zaitegi , Igor Álvarez Etxeberria , José M. Moneva

The aim of this paper is to analyse the official corporate reports of selected companies in the utilities and energy sectors to determine whether they report transparently on negative biodiversity-related events or instead present an idealised image through impression management strategies. For this purpose, through a counter-accounting approach, external sources were consulted to find information on incidents with an impact on biodiversity for selected companies from the energy and utilities sectors. 47 incidents linked to 17 companies were identified and the information obtained from the unofficial sources was then compared with what the companies had disclosed in their sustainability reports. Half of the incidents identified were not disclosed at all and those that were informed were, in most cases, partially reported using impression management mechanisms.

本文旨在分析公用事业和能源行业部分公司的官方企业报告,以确定这些公司是以透明的方式报告与生物多样性相关的负面事件,还是通过印象管理策略展示理想化的形象。为此,我们通过反会计方法,从外部来源查询了能源和公用事业部门部分公司影响生物多样性事件的相关信息。确定了与 17 家公司相关的 47 起事件,然后将从非官方来源获得的信息与这些公司在其可持续发展报告中披露的信息进行比较。在已确定的事件中,有一半根本没有披露,而在大多数情况下,已披露的事件是利用印象管理机制进行了部分报告。
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引用次数: 0
Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics 经验、对风险投资的需求以及对价格动态的影响
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100939
Steve Heinke , Sebastian Olschewski , Jörg Rieskamp

Personal experiences can impact investors’ risk taking, and this can explain market phenomena such as time-varying risk premia, asset price bubbles or wage–price spirals. Establishing the link from individual experiences to market outcomes is challenging, as together with experiences, several decision-relevant factors simultaneously change. The present work investigates the impact of prior experiences on subsequent investments in a laboratory experiment without confounds, which allows for the control of various factors that usually are correlated with experience. The results show that high (low) previously experienced outcomes lead to more (less) investment in a risky asset, even in a condition where experiences do not provide new information and should be ignored. A reinforcement learning model captures the observed individual behavior and allows us to explain market price dynamics. The experience effect on risk taking informs behavioral theories of markets and provides a cognitive explanation for trend-following and self-enforcing market dynamics.

个人经历会影响投资者的风险承担,这可以解释时变风险溢价、资产价格泡沫或工资价格螺旋上升等市场现象。建立个人经历与市场结果之间的联系具有挑战性,因为在经历的同时,多个与决策相关的因素也会发生变化。本研究在一个没有混杂因素的实验室实验中,研究了先前经验对后续投资的影响,从而控制了通常与经验相关的各种因素。结果表明,即使在经验不提供新信息且应被忽略的情况下,先前经验高(低)的结果也会导致对风险资产的投资增加(减少)。强化学习模型捕捉到了观察到的个人行为,使我们能够解释市场价格动态。经验对风险承担的影响为市场行为理论提供了信息,并为趋势跟踪和自我强化的市场动态提供了认知解释。
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引用次数: 0
Income volatility and saving decisions: Experimental evidence 收入波动与储蓄决策:实验证据
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100941
Nathan Wang-Ly , Ben R. Newell

Around the world, it is becoming increasingly common for individuals to have volatile incomes. Previous research offers mixed evidence on whether uncertainty about one’s income may increase or decrease saving behaviour. Across four incentivised online experiments (N = 712), we examine the relationship between income volatility and saving behaviour in a novel financial decision making task. In this task, participants receive hypothetical income that is either consistent or that varies to different degrees. We capture participants’ perceptions of how volatile their income is and observe how this influences their decision to spend the income or save it towards a hypothetical impending emergency. Our results indicate that receiving a more volatile income, as measured by its coefficient of variation (CV), leads to higher savings within our task. However, there appears to be a threshold level of volatility that must be exceeded before participants save differently relative to receiving a stable income.

在世界各地,个人收入不稳定的情况越来越普遍。关于收入的不确定性是会增加还是减少储蓄行为,以往的研究提供了不同的证据。通过四次在线激励实验(N = 712),我们在一项新颖的金融决策任务中研究了收入波动与储蓄行为之间的关系。在这一任务中,参与者会收到假设的收入,这些收入要么是稳定的,要么会有不同程度的变化。我们捕捉参与者对其收入波动程度的感知,并观察这种感知如何影响他们决定花掉收入还是将其储蓄起来以应对假定的即将发生的紧急情况。我们的结果表明,在我们的任务中,以变异系数(CV)衡量,收入波动越大,储蓄越高。然而,与稳定收入相比,在参与者进行不同的储蓄之前,似乎必须超过一个波动的临界水平。
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引用次数: 0
Judicial reform and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from the establishment of circuit courts in China 司法改革与企业现金持有:中国设立巡回法庭的证据
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100943
Qing Sophie Wang , Lihan Chen , Shaojie Lai , Hamish D. Anderson

This paper studies the effect of judicial reform on corporate cash holdings. Leveraging the establishment of Circuit Courts in China as an exogenous shock, we demonstrate that firms reduce cash holdings by 10.4% when under the jurisdiction of a court. The two primary channels through which the courts affect cash holdings are the availability of cheaper external financing and lower litigation uncertainty. This effect is more pronounced in financially constrained, private, and non-politically connected firms. Moreover, the equivalent perceived value of one additional CNY of cash held by firms declines by ¥0.091 due to lower precautionary motives. Further analysis shows that firms are more likely to pursue returns from alternative strategies by investing more, raising more capital, and buying back more shares. Collectively, these results suggest that judicial independence can have potentially important consequences for corporate cash management strategies.

本文研究了司法改革对企业现金持有量的影响。借助中国设立巡回法庭这一外生冲击,我们证明,当企业处于法院管辖之下时,其现金持有量会减少 10.4%。法院影响现金持有量的两个主要渠道是更低成本的外部融资和更低的诉讼不确定性。这种影响在资金紧张、私营和无政治关联的企业中更为明显。此外,由于预防动机降低,企业多持有 1 元人民币现金的等值感知价值下降了 ¥0.091。进一步的分析表明,企业更有可能通过增加投资、筹集更多资金和回购更多股票来追求替代战略的回报。总之,这些结果表明,司法独立可能会对企业现金管理战略产生重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
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