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Pedestrian delay models for compliant & non-compliant behaviour at signalized midblock crosswalks under mixed traffic conditions 混合交通条件下信号化街区中间人行横道顺从与不服从行为的行人延迟模型
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.08.003
Sandeep Manthirikul , Udit Jain , Sankaran Marisamynathan

The present study aimed to propose new pedestrian delay models for Signalized Midblock Crosswalks (SMC) for mixed traffic conditions. A detailed study of the literature revealed that most of the existing pedestrian delay models were developed for signalized intersections. Thus, the need for the study was established and data were collected at eight SMC in Hyderabad, one of the most densely populated metropolitan cities in India, using video-graphic technique. Two delay models were developed based on the compliance behaviour and non-compliance behaviour of pedestrians. Both models have two components i.e., waiting delay and crossing delay where the latter has two subset components i.e., frictional delay and pedestrian-vehicle interaction delay. The bidirectional effect (pedestrian-pedestrian interaction while crossing the road) of pedestrians was addressed as frictional delay while the non-compliance behaviour by pedestrians and vehicles was addressed as pedestrian-vehicle interaction delay in the present models. The waiting delay component was defined by modifying the Webster delay model for non-uniform pedestrian arrivals. The proposed delay models yielded an error of 5% and 7% for compliance behaviour model and non-compliance behaviour model respectively. The proposed models can be used for optimizing the signal timings and defining Level of Service (LOS) of facilities.

本研究旨在建立混合交通条件下信号化中街区人行横道(SMC)行人延迟模型。通过对文献的详细研究发现,现有的行人延迟模型大多是针对信号交叉口开发的。因此,确定了这项研究的必要性,并在印度人口最密集的大都市之一海得拉巴的八个SMC使用录像技术收集了数据。建立了基于行人服从行为和不服从行为的延迟模型。两种模型都有两个组成部分,即等待延迟和交叉口延迟,其中交叉口延迟有两个子集组成部分,即摩擦延迟和行人-车辆交互延迟。在该模型中,行人的双向效应(行人-行人相互作用)被处理为摩擦延迟,行人和车辆的不服从行为被处理为行人-车辆相互作用延迟。通过修改非均匀行人到达的Webster延迟模型,定义了等待延迟分量。所提出的延迟模型对合规行为模型和不合规行为模型的误差分别为5%和7%。所提出的模型可用于优化信号配时和定义设施的服务水平(LOS)。
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引用次数: 0
How will Iranian behave in accepting autonomous vehicles? Studying moderating effect on autonomous vehicle acceptance model (AVAM) 伊朗将如何接受自动驾驶汽车?自动驾驶汽车接受模型(AVAM)的调节效应研究
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.09.002
Hossein Naderi, Habibollah Nassiri

The primary condition for society to benefit from autonomous vehicle (AV) advantages is the acceptance of these vehicles by people. In this regard, the factors which affect the acceptance of these vehicles among different countries should be identified. In previous studies, a major focus has been on developing autonomous vehicle acceptance models, neglecting the moderating variables' effect on these models. The main aim of this research is to investigate the effect of moderating variables including demographic characteristics, psychological characteristics, traffic experience collision, and travel/driving behavior on the autonomous vehicle acceptance model (AVAM). The AVAM was developed via structural equations modeling by participating 553 Tehrani citizens by extending the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology. It was indicated that the negative relationship of the perceived risk on the intention of using AVs has been higher for individualistic people, culprit drivers with a history of more than one property damage-only collision, and those without a driving license. Also, the results showed that emphasis on the advantages and benefits of autonomous vehicles in collectivist people as compared to individualistic people would lead to a greater intention to use these vehicles.

社会受益于自动驾驶汽车(AV)优势的主要条件是人们对这些车辆的接受。在这方面,应确定影响不同国家接受这些车辆的因素。在以前的研究中,主要关注的是开发自动驾驶汽车的接受模型,而忽略了调节变量对这些模型的影响。本研究的主要目的是研究人口统计学特征、心理特征、交通体验碰撞和旅行/驾驶行为等调节变量对自动驾驶汽车接受模型(AVAM)的影响。AVAM是由553名Tehrani公民通过结构方程建模开发的,他们扩展了接受和使用技术的统一理论。研究表明,对于个人主义者、有一次以上仅财产损失碰撞史的罪犯司机和没有驾驶执照的人来说,感知风险与使用电动汽车意图的负相关关系更高。此外,研究结果表明,与个人主义者相比,集体主义者强调自动驾驶汽车的优势和好处会导致他们更倾向于使用这些汽车。
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引用次数: 0
Safety evaluation of centerline rumble strips on rural two-lane undivided highways: Application of intervention time series analysis 农村两车道不分段公路中心线隆隆带安全性评价:干预时间序列分析的应用
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.05.001
Ahmed Hossain , Xiaoduan Sun , Ashifur Rahman , Sushmita Khanal

Centerline rumble strips are low-cost effective countermeasures installed on the center of the highway segments to reduce crashes, especially roadway departure crashes. For safety evaluation of centerline rumble strips, methodologies such as naïve before-after analysis and cross-sectional study with Empirical Bayes have been widely utilized. The implementation of these methodologies may be limited due to the lack of relevant control groups, and/or other temporal variations in crashes such as seasonality and serial autocorrelation. This study aims to explore Intervention Time Series Analysis approach as an alternative method for the safety evaluation of centerline rumble strips on rural-two-lane undivided highways in Louisiana. Two different methodologies are explored in the intervention time series approach including the Forecast modeling technique and the Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average intervention model. The forecast models are based on the exponential smoothing technique, state-space framework, and neural network model. The database consists of monthly observations of total and target crashes on 312 highway segments of 1274 miles in length in which centerline rumble strips were installed during the 2010–2012 period. The time frame 2005–2012 is defined as the pre-intervention period whereas the time frame 2013–2017 is defined as the post-intervention period. The analysis revealed that the Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average intervention model performed better in terms of error estimates including root means square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error. The proposed Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average intervention model reveals a 17.75% total and 40.54% target crash reduction on the selected rural-two-lane undivided highway segments during the post-intervention period. All the findings are found statistically significant at a 95% confidence level.

中心线隆隆带是安装在高速公路路段中心的一种低成本、有效的对策,可以减少交通事故,特别是道路偏离事故。对于中心线爆震带的安全性评价,目前广泛采用naïve前后分析和实证贝叶斯横断面研究等方法。这些方法的实施可能会受到限制,因为缺乏相关的控制组,和/或崩溃中的其他时间变化,如季节性和序列自相关性。本研究旨在探索干预时间序列分析方法作为路易斯安那州农村双车道不分割高速公路中心线隆隆声带安全性评估的替代方法。在干预时间序列方法中探索了两种不同的方法,包括预测建模技术和自回归综合移动平均干预模型。预测模型基于指数平滑技术、状态空间框架和神经网络模型。该数据库包括在2010年至2012年期间对312条总长1274英里的高速公路路段的总碰撞和目标碰撞的月度观察,这些路段安装了中心线防撞带。2005-2012年为干预前阶段,2013-2017年为干预后阶段。分析表明,自回归综合移动平均干预模型在均方根误差、平均绝对误差和平均绝对百分比误差等误差估计方面表现较好。提出的自回归综合移动平均干预模型显示,在干预后,所选择的农村双车道未分割公路路段的总碰撞减少率为17.75%,目标碰撞减少率为40.54%。所有研究结果在95%的置信水平上具有统计学意义。
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引用次数: 2
Contribution to the analysis of driver behavioral deviations leading to road crashes at work 对分析导致工作中道路碰撞的驾驶员行为偏差的贡献
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.03.003
Heddar Yamina , Djebabra Mébarek , Belkhiri Mohammed , Saaddi Saadia

Most road crashes at work are caused by Driver Behavioral Drift (DBD). This DBD has become a recurring issue on congested road sections.

In this context, this study proposes a method called (MASOCU-DBD) which allows to analyze this DBD problem in two steps: assessment of the dynamics of DBD occurrence using a model called BM-NSA and analysis of DCC using a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) weighted by the Analysis Hierarchical Process (AHP).

The application of the MASOCU-DBD on a road section of an Algerian city's entry highlighted the problem of the DBD in terms of its occurrence and uselessness in the studied section.

The merit of the proposed method is that it uses multi-criteria analysis tools (AHP and CBA) as well as a mathematical model (BM-NSA) to analyze professional drivers' behavioral deviations.

大多数工作中发生的交通事故是由驾驶员行为漂移(DBD)引起的。这种DBD已经成为拥堵路段反复出现的问题。在此背景下,本研究提出了一种称为MASOCU-DBD的方法,该方法允许分两步分析DBD问题:使用称为BM-NSA的模型评估DBD发生的动态,使用由分析层次过程(AHP)加权的成本-收益分析(CBA)分析DCC。MASOCU-DBD在一个阿尔及利亚城市条目的路段上的应用突出了DBD在所研究路段的出现和无用性问题。该方法的优点是利用多准则分析工具(AHP和CBA)和数学模型(BM-NSA)对职业驾驶员的行为偏差进行分析。
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引用次数: 0
Multivariate analysis of following and filtering manoeuvres of Motorized Two Wheelers in mixed traffic conditions 混合交通条件下电动两轮车跟驰和滤波操纵的多元分析
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.05.004
Jaikishan Damani, Perumal Vedagiri

Mixed traffic conditions present a complex problem for analysis by transportation engineers and policymakers, due to the inherent heterogeneity and lane indiscipline. The chaotic arrangements make it difficult to identify and analyze basic riding behaviour such as following and filtering. Moreover, the smaller lateral dimensions of Motorized Two Wheelers (MTWs) and their higher manoeuvreability add to the difficulty. Presence of different types of vehicles in traffic mix, following the leader with or without obliqueness, filtering through tight pores between leader vehicles, etc. are some of the aspects that require special attention. In this respect, this study is aimed at investigating the attributes related to following and filtering manoeuvres of MTWs in such disordered traffic conditions. Real world data from two Indian cities was used for the analysis, which showed that the behaviour of MTWs is heavily influenced by the type of leader vehicle(s), Clear Lateral Gap (CLG), speed, etc. Safety analysis carried out using Time-To-Collision (TTC) showed that about 8.2% of the interactions were risky. Support Vector Machine (SVM) technique was used to investigate the choice of filtering based on Clear Lateral Gap (CLG) and relative speed. Moreover, analysis of the observed parameters was conducted to obtain their specific distributions based on leader vehicle type, following regime and choice of filtering. The analysis will give directions for further research on developing driving behaviour models of MTWs in mixed traffic. The results will also find potential application in traffic flow theories, safety studies, microsimulation, implementation of MTW infrastructure, etc.

由于固有的异质性和车道无规性,混合交通状况对交通工程师和决策者来说是一个复杂的问题。这种混乱的排列使得对基本骑行行为(如跟随和过滤)的识别和分析变得困难。此外,机动两轮车(MTWs)较小的横向尺寸和更高的机动性增加了难度。不同类型的车辆在交通组合中的存在,有或没有倾斜度的跟随领队,通过领队车辆之间的紧孔过滤等是需要特别注意的一些方面。在这方面,本研究旨在调查在这种混乱的交通条件下MTWs的跟随和过滤操作的相关属性。来自两个印度城市的真实数据被用于分析,这些数据表明,MTWs的行为受到领先车辆类型、清除横向间隙(CLG)、速度等的严重影响。使用碰撞时间(TTC)进行的安全分析显示,大约8.2%的相互作用是危险的。利用支持向量机(SVM)技术研究了基于清除横向间隙(CLG)和相对速度的滤波选择。并对观测参数进行了分析,得到了其在前导车辆类型、跟随状态和滤波选择下的具体分布。分析结果将为进一步开发混合交通条件下MTWs的驾驶行为模型提供指导。研究结果还将在交通流理论、安全研究、微观模拟、MTW基础设施的实施等方面找到潜在的应用前景。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting child occupant crash injury severity in the United Arab Emirates using machine learning models for imbalanced dataset 使用不平衡数据集的机器学习模型预测阿拉伯联合酋长国儿童乘员碰撞伤害的严重程度
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.05.003
Muhammad Uba Abdulazeez , Wasif Khan , Kassim Abdulrahman Abdullah

Road traffic crashes have increased over the years leading to greater injury severity among children who are mostly vehicle occupants in high-income countries. This adversely affects the healthy development of children and might lead to death. However, studies in the literature have focused on predicting crash injuries among adults while children have different crash injury risks as well as crash kinematics compared to adults. To address this gap, this paper presents a new dataset for child occupant crash injury severity prediction collected over 8 years (2012 to 2019) in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The performance of state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms was then evaluated using the proposed dataset. In addition, feature selection techniques and logistic regression model were employed to extract the most significant features for crash injury severity prediction among child occupants. Furthermore, the impact of data balancing approaches on the prediction performance was analyzed as the dataset is highly imbalanced. The experimental results showed that Adaboost, Bagging REP, ZeroR, OneR, and Decision Table algorithms predicts child occupant injury severity with the highest accuracy. Child occupant seating position, emirate, crash location, crash type and crash cause were observed as significant features that predicts injury severity by both the feature selection and logistic regression models.

在高收入国家,道路交通事故多年来有所增加,导致以车辆乘员为主的儿童受到更严重的伤害。这对儿童的健康发展产生不利影响,并可能导致死亡。然而,文献中的研究主要集中在预测成人的碰撞损伤,而儿童与成人相比具有不同的碰撞损伤风险和碰撞运动学。为了解决这一差距,本文提出了一个新的数据集,用于预测阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)8年来(2012年至2019年)的儿童乘员碰撞伤害严重程度。然后使用建议的数据集评估最先进的机器学习算法的性能。此外,采用特征选择技术和逻辑回归模型提取儿童乘员碰撞损伤严重程度预测的最显著特征。此外,由于数据集高度不平衡,分析了数据平衡方法对预测性能的影响。实验结果表明,Adaboost、Bagging REP、ZeroR、OneR和Decision Table算法预测儿童乘员伤害严重程度的准确率最高。通过特征选择和逻辑回归模型,发现儿童乘员座位位置、酋长国、碰撞位置、碰撞类型和碰撞原因是预测伤害严重程度的重要特征。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating perceived safety of autonomous vehicle: The influence of privacy and cybersecurity to cognitive and emotional safety 评估自动驾驶汽车的感知安全:隐私和网络安全对认知和情感安全的影响
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.06.001
Eko Agus Prasetio, Cintia Nurliyana

The autonomous vehicle (AV) is predicted to reduce the number of accidents and fatalities on the roads caused by human-related error and lessen traffic congestion caused by stop-and-go behavior. The susceptibility of autonomous vehicles (AVs) to potential hacking and data exploitation has generated significant concerns regarding cybersecurity and privacy risks within the domain of perceived safety. This study aimed to empirically test a comprehensive model of perceived safety in AVs, incorporating cognitive safety, emotional safety, and privacy cybersecurity. The responses of 466 participants were analyzed using a structural equation modeling (SEM) approach. The findings indicated that a significant majority of the respondents expressed their intention to utilize high-level autonomous vehicles (AVs) in the future. Specifically, 31.1% of the participants expressed an intention to use a level 2 AV, while 8.8% indicated their preference for a level 5 AV. In terms of perceived safety, privacy cybersecurity emerged as the most influential predictor, followed by emotional safety and cognitive safety. The analysis of causal relationships between the variables further revealed that privacy cybersecurity had the greatest impact on both emotional safety and cognitive safety, highlighting its critical role in shaping the overall perception of safety in AVs. Finally, this study can provide insight into how the drivers perceives AVs safety, which can be useful for government organizations, transportation agencies, and AV developers in shaping AV safety.

预计自动驾驶汽车(AV)将减少因人为错误导致的交通事故和死亡人数,并减少因走走停停行为造成的交通拥堵。自动驾驶汽车(av)容易受到潜在黑客攻击和数据利用的影响,这引发了人们对感知安全领域内网络安全和隐私风险的严重担忧。本研究旨在实证检验自动驾驶汽车感知安全的综合模型,包括认知安全、情感安全和隐私网络安全。采用结构方程建模(SEM)方法对466名参与者的回答进行了分析。调查结果表明,绝大多数受访者表示,他们打算在未来使用高级自动驾驶汽车(AVs)。具体而言,31.1%的参与者表示有意使用2级自动驾驶汽车,而8.8%的参与者表示他们倾向于使用5级自动驾驶汽车。在感知安全方面,隐私网络安全成为最具影响力的预测因素,其次是情感安全和认知安全。对变量之间因果关系的分析进一步揭示,隐私网络安全对情绪安全和认知安全的影响最大,突出了其在塑造自动驾驶汽车整体安全感知方面的关键作用。最后,本研究可以深入了解驾驶员如何看待自动驾驶汽车的安全性,这对政府组织、交通机构和自动驾驶汽车开发商在塑造自动驾驶汽车安全性方面有帮助。
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引用次数: 0
e-mobility and energy coupled simulation for designing carbon neutral cities and communities 碳中和的城市和社区设计中的电子交通与能量耦合模拟
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.04.003
Yutaka Ota, Shinya Yoshizawa, Katsuya Sakai, Yoshinori Ueda, Masaya Takashima, Koji Kagawa, Akihiro Iwata

This paper summarizes current trends in the research and development of e-Mobility and energy coupled simulation to deal with electric vehicle integration into power systems, optimal charging infrastructure design, and regional energy and environmental impact assessments. Small trials and simulations were introduced as a case study. The car probe and floating population data are input into various electric vehicle dynamic models, in which variable vehicle speed and state-of-charge are precisely considered. Then, the synergic impacts on the mobility and energy sides are evaluated through co-simulation of the road traffic and distributed power system models.

本文总结了当前电动交通与能源耦合仿真的研究与发展趋势,以解决电动汽车与电力系统集成、充电基础设施优化设计、区域能源与环境影响评价等问题。采用小型试验和模拟作为案例研究。将车辆探针和流动人口数据输入到各种电动汽车动态模型中,其中精确考虑了变车速和充电状态。然后,通过道路交通模型和分布式电力系统模型的联合仿真,评估了交通侧和能源侧的协同影响。
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引用次数: 2
Publishers notes 发布者说明
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/S0386-1112(23)00030-4
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引用次数: 0
The impact of perceived safety, weather condition and convenience on motorcycle helmet use: The mediating role of traffic law enforcement and road safety education 感知安全、天气条件和便利性对摩托车头盔使用的影响:交通执法和道路安全教育的中介作用
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.03.001
Raymond Akuh , Martin Donani , Stephen Okyere , Emmanuel Kojo Gyamfi

Despite numerous studies on motorcycle safety, especially the compliance of helmet use laws in both developed and developing countries across the globe, little is known about the mediating role of traffic law enforcement and road safety education specifically on the relationship between helmet use influencing factors and helmet usage in general. The aim of this study was to examine the mediating role of traffic law enforcement and road safety education on the relationship between helmet usage influencing factors and motorcycle helmet usage. A total of 358 respondents from a university community that uses a motorcycle on daily bases to and from the community and for other important trip purposes completed a self-reported questionnaire in the Upper West Region of Ghana where motorcycles are predominantly used as a transportation mode. To test for the various hypotheses of this study, we developed a hypothesized single multiple mediated structural equation model and several sub-mediated models using AMOS 26.0. The results showed that the perceived safety of the helmet, weather conditions, and convenience of helmet use have positive significant impacts on helmet use. The study also found a full mediation role of the combined effect of traffic law enforcement and road safety education on the relationship of helmet use influencing factors investigated and helmet use. The study concludes that new traffic law enforcement and road safety education strategies need to be adopted to help improve upon the low prevalence of helmet use within the study area.

尽管全球发达国家和发展中国家对摩托车安全,特别是头盔使用法律的遵守情况进行了大量研究,但对于交通执法和道路安全教育的中介作用,特别是头盔使用影响因素与总体头盔使用之间的关系,我们知之甚少。本研究旨在探讨交通执法和道路安全教育在头盔使用影响因素与摩托车头盔使用关系中的中介作用。来自加纳上西部地区的一个大学社区的358名受访者完成了一份自我报告的调查问卷,该社区每天使用摩托车往返于社区和其他重要的旅行目的,摩托车主要被用作交通方式。为了检验本研究的各种假设,我们使用AMOS 26.0建立了一个假设的单多重中介结构方程模型和几个亚中介模型。结果表明,头盔感知安全性、天气条件和头盔使用便利性对头盔使用有显著的正向影响。研究还发现,交通执法与道路安全教育的综合效应对被调查影响因素与头盔使用的关系具有充分的中介作用。该研究的结论是,需要采取新的交通执法和道路安全教育战略,以帮助改善研究区域内头盔使用率低的问题。
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引用次数: 2
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