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Reconsidering Miranda rights: Modeling strategic action during the invocation stage of a police interrogation 重新考虑米兰达权利:在警察审讯的调用阶段模拟战略行动
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231194521
R. Mason, Marianne Mason
This paper develops a method to identify manipulation of custodial suspects who attempt to invoke the Miranda right to legal counsel during a custodial interrogation. The method, developed from a combination of framing theory and hypergame theory, first documents the point where custodial suspects’ preferences shift and second identifies the proximate cause of that shift using excerpts from legal cases. The method applies linguistic analysis within a hypergame framework to reveal rational behavior of custodial suspects who, despite owning an initial preference to invoke, waive their right to counsel without explicit pressure from police. The paper terms this shift in preferences “manipulation” adding the concept to hypergames and to the literature on noncooperative discursive exchanges.
本文发展了一种方法,以确定操纵拘留嫌疑人谁试图援引米兰达权利的法律顾问在拘留审讯。该方法结合了框架理论和超博弈论,首先记录了被拘留嫌疑人偏好转变的点,然后利用法律案件的摘录确定了这种转变的直接原因。该方法运用超博弈框架中的语言分析来揭示在押嫌疑人的理性行为,尽管他们最初倾向于求助,但在没有警察明确压力的情况下放弃了他们的律师权利。这篇论文将这种偏好的转变称为“操纵”,并将这一概念添加到超博弈和非合作话语交换的文献中。
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引用次数: 0
Public preferences to trade-off gains in total health for health equality: Discrepancies between an abstract scenario versus the real-world scenario presented by COVID-19 公众倾向于用总体健康收益换取健康平等:COVID-19提出的抽象情景与现实情景之间的差异
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231193599
David A. Comerford, Angela Tufte-Hewett, Emma K. Bridger
Policymakers must ration healthcare. This necessity became salient during the COVID-19 pandemic. Some policymakers took that opportunity to reduce inequality of health outcomes at the expense of overall health gains. There is a literature that seeks to quantify the optimal trade-off between efficiency and equality in health outcomes: economists employ surveys to quantify the public’s preferred level of equity/efficiency trade-off. An odd result from these studies is that a non-trivial subsample of respondents choose to “level down” i.e., they choose as though an additional year of life delivers negative utility to society if it accrues to the most privileged. In an experiment of US and UK respondents ( n = 495), we compare equity/efficiency trade-offs across an abstract scenario along the lines of that presented in previous surveys versus a COVID-19 scenario, where it is made explicit that healthcare rationing is a real and current necessity occasioned by the pandemic. We find that preference for “levelling down” is reduced in the COVID-19 scenario relative to the abstract scenario. This result implies that, at least in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, previous results have overestimated the public’s willingness to sacrifice overall gains in population health in order to reduce inequality of health outcomes.
政策制定者必须定量配给医疗保健。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,这一必要性变得尤为突出。一些政策制定者利用这一机会,以牺牲整体健康收益为代价,减少健康结果的不平等。有一篇文献试图量化健康结果中效率和平等之间的最佳权衡:经济学家利用调查来量化公众对公平/效率权衡的偏好水平。从这些研究中得出的一个奇怪的结果是,受访者中有一个重要的子样本选择“降低水平”,也就是说,他们认为,如果最有特权的人多活一年,就会给社会带来负效用。在对美国和英国受访者(n = 495)进行的一项实验中,我们比较了之前调查中提出的抽象情景与COVID-19情景之间的公平/效率权衡,其中明确指出,医疗配给是大流行引起的现实和当前的必要性。我们发现,与抽象情景相比,COVID-19情景中对“降水平”的偏好有所降低。这一结果表明,至少在COVID-19大流行的背景下,之前的结果高估了公众为了减少健康结果的不平等而牺牲人口健康总体收益的意愿。
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引用次数: 1
Optimal and politically opportune language policies for the vitality of minority languages 为少数民族语言的活力制定最佳和政治上合适的语言政策
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231186067
Bengt-Arne Wickström
Language policies for the purpose of (re)vitalizing a minority language are analyzed as a dynamic cost-effectiveness problem. We focus on policy measures with two types of cost structures: costs largely proportional to the number of beneficiaries (a rival measure) and costs independent of the number of beneficiaries (a non-rival measure). An example of the former is home nursing in the minority language and an example of the latter is street signs in the minority language. Both types of measures are assumed to contribute positively to the vitality of the minority language. We stylize the analysis, letting the rival measure have an immediate direct effect on the vitality and the non-rival one a protracted indirect effect on the language’s status. Two problems are addressed. Firstly, we study how the optimal combination of the two types of measure changes as the policy is implemented and the vitality of the minority language increases and show that a policy with fixed budget shares as a rule is sub-optimal. Secondly, we compare the opportune policy of a policy maker planning with a fixed time horizon with the optimal policy as the time horizon approaches infinity. The policy maker has incentives to plan for a sub-optimal policy with a reduction in the protracted measure for the whole planning period and making it equal to zero at the time horizon. All effects are illustrated in numeric examples.
以振兴少数民族语言为目的的语言政策被分析为一个动态的成本效益问题。我们重点关注具有两种成本结构的政策措施:成本与受益人数量成正比(一种竞争性措施)和与受益人数量无关的成本(一种非竞争性措施。前者的一个例子是少数民族语言的家庭护理,后者的一个实例是少数民族语的路标。这两种措施都被认为对少数民族语言的活力有积极贡献。我们将分析程式化,让竞争措施对语言的生命力产生直接的直接影响,而非竞争措施则对语言的地位产生长期的间接影响。解决了两个问题。首先,我们研究了这两种措施的最优组合如何随着政策的实施和少数民族语言活力的增加而变化,并表明以固定预算份额为规则的政策是次优的。其次,我们将决策者在固定时间范围内规划的合适政策与时间范围接近无穷大时的最优政策进行了比较。政策制定者有动机制定次优政策,在整个规划期内减少长期措施,并在时间范围内使其等于零。所有效果都用数字示例说明。
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引用次数: 0
Trust, reputation, and the value of promises in online auctions of used goods 二手商品在线拍卖中的信任、声誉和承诺价值
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231170342
J. Kas, R. Corten, A. van de Rijt
Buyers in online markets pay higher prices to sellers who promise a high-quality product in auctions of used goods, even though they cannot assess quality until after the sale. The principal argument offered in prior work is that reputation systems render sellers’ ‘cheap talk’ credible by allowing buyers to publicly rate sellers’ past honesty and sellers to build a reputation for being honest. We test this argument using both observational data from online auctions on eBay and an internet experiment. Strikingly, in both studies we find that unverifiable promises are trusted by buyers regardless of seller reputation or the presence of a reputation system, and sellers mostly refuse to take advantage. We conclude that the prevailing conception of markets in economic sociology as made possible by opportunism-curtailing institutions is “undersocialized”: Reputation systems may be used to identify more reliable providers of a product, but that they would be needed to prevent otherwise rampant deceit relies on a cynical assumption about human behavior that is empirically untenable.
在线市场上的买家向卖家支付更高的价格,这些卖家在二手商品拍卖中承诺提供高质量的产品,尽管他们在拍卖后才能评估质量。先前工作中提出的主要论点是,声誉系统通过允许买家公开评价卖家过去的诚实程度,让卖家建立诚实的声誉,从而使卖家的“廉价言论”可信。我们使用eBay上在线拍卖的观测数据和互联网实验来检验这一论点。引人注目的是,在这两项研究中,我们都发现,无论卖家的声誉或是否存在声誉系统,无法核实的承诺都会受到买家的信任,而卖家大多拒绝利用。我们得出的结论是,经济社会学中盛行的市场概念是“社会化不足”的:声誉系统可以用来识别更可靠的产品供应商,但需要它们来防止猖獗的欺骗行为,这依赖于对人类行为的愤世嫉俗的假设,而这种假设在经验上是站不住脚的。
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引用次数: 0
Selectively liberal? Social change and attitudes towards homosexual relations in the UK 选择性自由主义?英国社会变革与对同性恋关系的态度
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231172386
A. Collins, S. Drinkwater, C. Jennings
This paper presents a model to identify why, for some, the expression of liberal attitudes towards the LGBT population may be strategic rather than sincere. We show that the British population displays considerably more tolerant views towards homosexuality compared to the end of the 1980s. However, there is evidence that this has slowed in recent years, especially in areas that have experienced the highest levels of immigration, particularly from countries outside Europe. We explain these changes with reference to two effects that immigration/multiculturalism may have – direct cultural and indirect political effects – the latter manifested in selective liberalisation such that for some members of the in-group adopting a liberal attitude towards a group that was once the salient out-group (in this case the LGBT population) generates greater benefits for the in-group by creating disutility for the currently salient out-group (in this case culturally conservative religious minorities and immigrants). We explore both influences using survey data and find strong evidence for the first effect and suggestive support for the second effect.
本文提出了一个模型来确定为什么对一些人来说,对LGBT人群表达自由主义态度可能是战略性的,而不是真诚的。我们发现,与20世纪80年代末相比,英国民众对同性恋的看法要宽容得多。然而,有证据表明,近年来这种情况有所放缓,尤其是在移民人数最多的地区,尤其是来自欧洲以外国家的移民。我们参照移民/多元文化可能产生的两种影响来解释这些变化——直接的文化影响和间接的政治影响——后者表现为选择性的自由化,因此,对于一些对曾经是突出群体的群体(在这种情况下是LGBT人群)采取自由主义态度的内部群体成员来说通过为目前突出的群体(在这种情况下是文化保守的宗教少数群体和移民)制造分裂,在群体中。我们利用调查数据探讨了这两种影响,发现了第一种影响的有力证据和第二种影响的暗示支持。
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引用次数: 1
Self-Interest, prosociality, and the moral cognition of markets: A comparative analysis of the Theory of Moral Sentiments and the Wealth of Nations 自利、亲社会与市场的道德认知:《道德情操论》与《国富论》的比较分析
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-04-18 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231170460
Alberto Acerbi, P. Sacco
In this paper, we perform a text analysis of Adam Smith’s two books, the Theory of Moral Sentiments and the Wealth of Nations, to better characterize their highly disputed differences in terms of moral cognition. In particular, given that Smith’s ideas are still very cited and influential in the current scholarly debate on moral cognition, we are interested in understanding whether a text analysis would unveil a semantic structure that is in line with a dual process theory interpretation or, alternatively, with a neuro-emergent cognition one. We find that, despite that the intellectual koine in which Smith’s thought was originally embedded would be more in line with a dual process theory approach, the analysis reveals a better consonance with the neuro-emergent cognition approach. This opens new and interesting perspectives in future research on the moral cognition of market interactions in a Smithian tradition of thought.
在本文中,我们对亚当·斯密的两本书《道德情操论》和《国富论》进行文本分析,以更好地描述它们在道德认知方面备受争议的差异。特别是,鉴于史密斯的思想在当前关于道德认知的学术辩论中仍然被广泛引用和影响,我们有兴趣了解文本分析是否会揭示符合双重过程理论解释的语义结构,或者,与神经涌现认知一致。我们发现,尽管史密斯思想最初嵌入的智力联系更符合双重过程理论方法,但分析显示与神经涌现认知方法更好地协调一致。这为史密斯思想传统中市场互动的道德认知的未来研究开辟了新的和有趣的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Can misfortune lead to dishonesty? 不幸会导致不诚实吗?
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231167738
Claire Mouminoux
This article focuses on why people may become dishonest when they are unfortunate. Studies have shown that dishonesty increases in unfortunate or unfair situations, suggesting that misfortune could be used as a self-serving justification. I investigate this effect by analyzing the effect of luck on participant dishonesty in a laboratory experiment. I also control for participants’ belief about others’ honesty in fortunate and unfortunate situations. Participants were more dishonest when they were unfortunate and expected other participants to be more dishonest in similarly unfortunate situations. The similarity of the effects of fortune on expected and actual behaviors suggests that this norm can facilitate self-serving justification. The frequency of dishonest behavior was associated with higher individuals’ beliefs in others’ dishonesty. This effect was particularly important for participants who believed that others would have been dishonest even in fortunate situations. It therefore appears that the justification depends both on being unfortunate and the fact that some people assume others do not behave honestly even when they are fortunate.
这篇文章的重点是为什么人们在不幸的时候会变得不诚实。研究表明,在不幸或不公平的情况下,不诚实会增加,这表明不幸可以被用作自私的理由。我通过在实验室实验中分析运气对参与者不诚实的影响来研究这种影响。我还控制了参与者在幸运和不幸的情况下对他人诚实的信念。参与者在不幸时更不诚实,并期望其他参与者在同样不幸的情况下更不诚实。财富对预期行为和实际行为的影响相似,这表明这种规范可以促进自我辩护。不诚实行为的频率与较高的个人对他人不诚实的信念有关。这种影响对于那些认为他人即使在幸运的情况下也会不诚实的参与者来说尤其重要。因此,理由似乎既取决于不幸,也取决于一些人认为其他人即使在幸运的时候也不诚实。
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引用次数: 0
Lethality and deterrence in affairs of honor: The case of the Antebellum U.S. South 荣誉事务中的杀伤力和威慑力:以南北战争前的美国南方为例
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231168031
Tom Ahn, Paul Shea, Jeremy Sandford
Duels remained an important and surprisingly common means of settling disputes in the American South until after the Civil War. We examine two historical puzzles. First, why did dueling persist as a preferred tool to resolve conflicts in the South? Second, why did duelers use relatively inaccurate weapons when deadlier weapons were available? We construct a game theoretic model and conduct simulation exercises to find the following results. One, when the public views dueling as an appropriate means of mitigating the effects of libel, then it encourages socially desirable behavior such as reduced libel and more moderate behavior. Two, a sufficiently high mortality rate may deter libel without resulting in many dueling deaths. Third, if mortality rates are too high, dueling is no longer an effective institution. We compile a novel data set of newspaper accounts of duels from digitized archives to present empirical evidence that buttresses our insights from the model.
直到南北战争之后,决斗仍然是美国南方解决争端的一种重要且令人惊讶的普遍方式。我们来研究两个历史难题。首先,为什么决斗一直是解决南方冲突的首选工具?第二,为什么当有更致命的武器时,决斗者会使用相对不准确的武器?我们建立了一个博弈论模型,并进行了模拟练习,得到了以下结果。第一,当公众认为决斗是减轻诽谤影响的适当手段时,它就会鼓励社会期望的行为,如减少诽谤和更温和的行为。第二,足够高的死亡率可能会阻止诽谤,而不会导致许多人死亡。第三,如果死亡率太高,决斗就不再是一种有效的制度。我们从数字化档案中编制了一套关于决斗的报纸报道的新数据集,以提供实证证据,支持我们从模型中获得的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Are upper-secondary track decisions risky? Evidence from Sweden on the assumptions of risk-aversion models 高中阶段的决策有风险吗?瑞典关于风险规避模型假设的证据
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-03-12 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231162212
Anton B. Andersson, C. Barone, Martin Hällsten
Relative risk aversion (RRA) models explain social class inequalities in education with risk avoidance, i.e., the risky choice assumption (RCA). This assumption concerns risks related to more ambitious educational choices and has been subject to little explicit scrutiny. In this paper, we test whether or not vocational education is a safety net that protects from labor market marginalization. We present an empirical assessment of upper-secondary track choices in Sweden, contrasting the vocational and the academic tracks for those not pursuing tertiary educational degrees. We use Swedish administrative data for all siblings born 1972–1980 and fit sibling fixed effects models netting out unobserved time-constant confounders. The only evidence in favor of the RCA is that when considering selection, graduates of the academic track without a tertiary degree initially face higher risks of not being stably employed and registered as unemployed in their early 20s than their counterparts from vocational education. However, the academic tracks significantly protect men from the threat of entering unskilled routine occupations. We conclude that the support for the RCA is scant at best.
相对风险规避(RRA)模型用风险规避来解释教育中的社会阶层不平等,即风险选择假设(RCA)。这一假设涉及与更雄心勃勃的教育选择相关的风险,几乎没有受到明确的审查。在本文中,我们测试了职业教育是否是一个保护劳动力市场不被边缘化的安全网。我们对瑞典的高中课程选择进行了实证评估,对比了那些不追求高等教育学位的人的职业和学术课程。我们使用了1972年至1980年出生的所有兄弟姐妹的瑞典管理数据,并拟合了消除未观察到的时间常数混杂因素的兄弟姐妹固定效应模型。支持RCA的唯一证据是,在考虑选拔时,没有高等学历的学术领域毕业生最初面临着比职业教育毕业生更高的风险,即在20岁出头时无法稳定就业和登记失业。然而,学术轨道在很大程度上保护了男性免受进入非技术性常规职业的威胁。我们得出的结论是,对RCA的支持充其量是很少的。
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引用次数: 0
The King’s Gambit: Rationalizing the fall of the Templars 国王的甘比特:合理化圣殿骑士的堕落
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q3 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231160657
G. Benzecry, M. Shera
What can the fall of the Knights Templars teach us about medieval institutions? We highlight that the Templar’s annihilation results from the institutional shock of Pope Clement V’s decision to relocate the papacy from Italy to France. Prior to the relocation, an equilibrium persisted for more than a century where the Templars made loans to more powerful kings, with the reassurance that they were protected by the Church. The decision of Pope Clement V to relocate the papacy to France altered the Church’s relationship with the French Crown and imposed substantial constraints on the Church’s ability to safeguard one of its most important monastic orders, the Knights Templar. In a dynamic game scenario, we model Clement V and Philip IV’s decision making, emphasizing important choices that led to the Knights Templar’s demise. This historical episode illustrates the relationship between credible commitments and religious legitimacy, and the precarious and personal nature of pre-modern political institutions.
圣殿骑士团的垮台能教会我们什么关于中世纪制度的知识?我们强调,圣殿骑士团的灭亡源于教皇克莱门特五世决定将教皇职位从意大利迁至法国的制度冲击。在搬迁之前,一种平衡持续了一个多世纪,圣殿骑士团向更强大的国王贷款,并保证他们受到教会的保护。教皇克莱门特五世将教皇职位迁至法国的决定改变了教会与法国王室的关系,并对教会维护其最重要的修道院之一圣殿骑士团的能力施加了实质性的限制。在一个动态的游戏场景中,我们模拟了克莱门特五世和菲利普四世的决策,强调了导致圣殿骑士团灭亡的重要选择。这一历史事件说明了可信承诺与宗教合法性之间的关系,以及前现代政治制度的不稳定和个人性质。
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引用次数: 1
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