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Explaining mobilization for revolts by private interests and kinship relations 用私人利益和亲属关系解释动员起义的原因
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231219954
Niccolò G. Armandola, Malte Doehne, Katja Rost
Mobilization for revolts poses a significant challenge for rational choice theory because revolts are vulnerable to free-riding, which disincentivizes rational actors from mobilizing. Strong, informal relations such as kinship ties have been identified as factors that can shift the rational calculations of individuals and lead to mobilization for revolts. In social networks that are polarized by the presence of mobilized individuals, such as rebels, and actors opposing the mobilization effort such as the elite, kinship relations have not only a bridging effect but also a diverging one. Building on Tullock’s private interest theory, we develop a framework in which kinship relations determine the extent of individual’s payoffs and costs of mobilization for revolts against an elite. We posit that distant kin of the elite expect high payoffs of mobilization for revolts and face the lowest costs of mobilization for revolts by virtue of their position in the network of kinship relations. Using a unique, hand-collected dataset that reconstructs a revolt in Basel, Switzerland, in 1691, we test our framework and contribute to a better relational understanding of the mechanisms that lead rational actors to mobilize for revolts. Our analyses show that mobilization for revolts is mainly driven by distant kinship relations to the ruling elite rather than close kinship relations to the rebels.
动员起义对理性选择理论提出了重大挑战,因为起义容易受到搭便车的影响,这使理性行动者不愿动员起来。牢固的、非正式的关系,如亲属关系,已被确定为可以改变个人理性计算并导致动员起义的因素。在社会网络中,由于被动员的个人(如反叛者)和反对动员努力的行动者(如精英)的存在而两极分化,亲属关系不仅具有桥梁作用,而且具有分化作用。在塔洛克的私人利益理论的基础上,我们发展了一个框架,在这个框架中,亲属关系决定了个人的回报程度和动员反抗精英的成本。我们假设,精英的远亲期望动员起义获得高回报,并且由于他们在亲属关系网络中的地位,他们面临动员起义的最低成本。使用一个独特的、手工收集的数据集,重建了1691年瑞士巴塞尔的一场起义,我们测试了我们的框架,并有助于更好地理解导致理性行动者动员起义的机制。我们的分析表明,起义的动员主要是由与统治精英的远亲关系驱动的,而不是由与叛军的近亲关系驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
Graduated sanctioning, endogenous institutions and sustainable cooperation in common-pool resources: An experimental test 分级制裁、内生机构和共有资源的可持续合作:实验检验
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231219608
Fijnanda van Klingeren, Vincent Buskens
To encourage long-term cooperation in social dilemmas such as common-pool resources, the importance of sanctioning is often stressed. Elinor Ostrom advocates graduated sanctioning: the severity of a defector’s punishment is dependent on the extent of their history of deviant behaviour. In addition, endogenously chosen sanctioning is argued to induce cooperation due to a higher legitimacy. This study compares the effect of graduated and strict mutual sanctioning on cooperation in common-pool resources at the micro and macro level. In addition, we distinguish whether the type of mutual sanction is exogenously determined or endogenously chosen. A Common-Pool Resource game is used in a laboratory experiment, integrating crucial elements of social structure and rule-making mechanisms within a common. Results support the effectiveness of graduated sanctioning compared to strict sanctioning in the long term and partial support using endogenously chosen sanctioning mechanisms versus imposed sanctioning mechanisms.
为了鼓励在公共资源等社会难题上进行长期合作,制裁的重要性经常得到强调。埃莉诺•奥斯特罗姆(Elinor Ostrom)主张分级制裁:对叛逃者的惩罚程度取决于他们越轨行为历史的程度。此外,由于内生选择制裁具有更高的合法性,因此可以诱导合作。本文从微观和宏观两个层面比较了分级制裁和严格制裁对公共资源合作的影响。此外,我们区分了相互制裁的类型是外因决定的还是内因选择的。在一个实验室实验中使用了一个common - pool Resource游戏,将社会结构的关键元素和规则制定机制整合在一个公共资源中。研究结果表明,从长期来看,分级制裁比严格制裁更有效;对内选择的制裁机制比强加的制裁机制更有效。
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引用次数: 0
The role of generalized trust and control in the employment of domestic help – An experimental case study for Germany and the UK 广义信任和控制在雇佣家庭佣工中的作用——德国和英国的实验案例研究
4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231213721
Martin Abraham, Natascha Nisic, Miriam Trübner, Hanna Walch, Anja Wunder
This study analyses the role of generalized trust and control in households’ employment of domestic help. Applying a basic trust game with uncertainty, we argue that households differ in their estimate of the proportion of opportunistic domestic workers, variation which we ascribe to generalized trust. Households with low trust should estimate a lower proportion of non-opportunistic individuals, making them less willing to accept a domestic worker. Control, through direct supervision of the domestic worker, is assumed to serve as a substitute for trust and is expected to increase acceptance. We also consider the role of income, which we expect to alter the relation between the potential losses and gains associated with outsourcing. To test our hypotheses, we use a factorial survey conducted in 2020 in Germany and the UK ( N = 1877) which enables us to explore the robustness of the effects across countries. Experimental results show that individuals are more accepting of domestic outsourcing if they have higher trust, higher income, and if control of the worker is easily possible. Interaction effects reveal that the positive effect of higher trust and higher income is only relevant in lowcontrol situations. This suggest that households with higher trust and income have an advantage when it comes to fully utilizing the benefits of domestic help since costly control is not required. Consequently, the results substantially contribute to existing literature on explaining causes of social inequality in service use beyond financial restrictions and shed light on the complex interplay of trust and control.
本研究分析了广义信任与控制在家庭雇佣家政服务中的作用。应用不确定性的基本信任博弈,我们认为家庭对机会主义家政工人比例的估计存在差异,我们将这种差异归因于广义信任。信任度低的家庭应该估计非机会主义个体的比例较低,这使他们不太愿意接受家庭佣工。通过对家庭佣工的直接监督,控制被认为是信任的替代品,并有望增加接受度。我们还考虑了收入的作用,我们预计收入将改变与外包相关的潜在损失和收益之间的关系。为了检验我们的假设,我们使用了2020年在德国和英国进行的因子调查(N = 1877),这使我们能够探索各国效应的稳健性。实验结果表明,如果个人拥有较高的信任、较高的收入,并且易于控制工人,则个人更容易接受国内外包。交互效应表明,高信任和高收入的正向效应仅在低控制情境下存在。这表明,信任和收入较高的家庭在充分利用家政服务的好处方面具有优势,因为不需要昂贵的控制。因此,研究结果极大地促进了现有关于解释金融限制之外服务使用中的社会不平等原因的文献,并揭示了信任和控制的复杂相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Cooperation sustainability in small groups: Exogenous and endogenous dynamics of the sustainability of cooperation 小团体中的合作可持续性:合作可持续性的外生和内生动力
4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231209832
Zeynep Melis Kirgil, Rafael Wittek
Cooperation sustainability presents a complex social phenomenon. Two common approaches have been used to study the sustainability of cooperation in small groups: endogenous processes (dynamic) and exogenous factors (static approaches). The present study integrates existing research by investigating how the interplay between exogenous and endogenous conditions affects cooperation in small groups. To uncover endogenous group dynamics in an online Public Goods experiment ( n = 353), we performed multilevel latent Markov models on Bayesian estimation that allowed us to estimate latent classes on the level of rounds, individuals, and groups. We studied exogenous factors by investigating the effects of situational tightness versus looseness, and monetary versus symbolic frames on cooperation sustainability. Our key findings show that both endogenous and exogenous factors are critical to explain the variation of cooperation sustainability between groups. Second, groups exposed to tight situations reveal higher levels of cooperation sustainability than groups exposed to loose situations. Money primes did not have an impact. Among the control variables, collective intentionality showed the strongest association with cooperation. Future research may develop a more sophisticated measure of tight versus loose situations and examine the causal relationship between collective intentionality and cooperation.
合作可持续性是一个复杂的社会现象。研究小组合作的可持续性有两种常用方法:内生过程(动态)和外生因素(静态)。本研究整合了现有的研究,探讨了外生条件和内生条件之间的相互作用如何影响小团体的合作。为了揭示在线公共物品实验(n = 353)中的内生群体动态,我们在贝叶斯估计上执行了多层潜在马尔可夫模型,使我们能够在回合、个人和群体的水平上估计潜在类别。我们通过考察情境紧与宽松、货币与符号框架对合作可持续性的影响来研究外生因素。我们的主要发现表明,内生和外生因素都是解释群体间合作可持续性变化的关键因素。第二,在紧张环境下的小组比在宽松环境下的小组表现出更高的合作可持续性。货币质数没有影响。在控制变量中,集体意向性与合作的关联最强。未来的研究可能会开发出一种更复杂的方法来衡量紧张与宽松的情况,并检验集体意向性与合作之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
High realistic aspirations – Do normative pressures overthrow rational calculations? Applying the model of frame selection to the educational aspirations of immigrant and majority students in Germany 高度现实的愿望——规范的压力会推翻理性的计算吗?将框架选择模型应用于德国移民和多数学生的教育愿望
4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231208989
Miriam Schmaus, Melanie Olczyk, Sebastian Neumeyer, Gisela Will
Educational aspirations are of interest to scholars in several disciplines. They can affect multiple aspects of educational success and have been shown to differ between major social groups. Explanations for educational aspirations typically link to two main models of aspiration formation: the Wisconsin model (WM) and rational choice theory (RCT). Whereas the WM highlights significant others’ educational norms, RCT cites cost-benefit calculations to explain how aspirations are formed. As it is still unclear how the two approaches interrelate, we apply a third model, namely the model of frame selection (MFS), which allows the integration of both WM and RCT arguments. In short, it suggests that the importance of others’ educational norms moderates the relevance of own cost-benefit calculations. We assume that considering this interrelation is fruitful when explaining aspirations in general, and specifically when explaining immigrant students’ aspirations, who often perceive high educational obligations by their parents. Using data from the German National Educational Panel Study (NEPS), we test prognoses derived from the three theoretical models for their relevance when explaining the aspirations of Turkish and German students. Results indicate that the processes suggested by both WM and RCT shape aspirations. Consistent with the MFS, these processes also interrelate in that parents’ educational norms reduce the relevance of students’ own cost-benefit calculations. This interrelation does not only apply to Turkish students but holds for all students in the sample.
教育志向是几个学科的学者感兴趣的问题。它们可以影响教育成功的多个方面,并且在主要社会群体之间表现出差异。对教育愿望的解释通常与愿望形成的两个主要模型有关:威斯康星模型(WM)和理性选择理论(RCT)。WM强调重要他人的教育规范,而RCT则引用成本效益计算来解释愿望是如何形成的。由于目前还不清楚这两种方法是如何相互关联的,我们应用了第三种模型,即框架选择模型(MFS),它允许WM和RCT参数的集成。简而言之,它表明他人教育规范的重要性调节了自身成本效益计算的相关性。我们假设考虑这种相互关系在解释一般的愿望时是富有成效的,特别是在解释移民学生的愿望时,他们通常认为父母有很高的教育义务。使用来自德国国家教育小组研究(NEPS)的数据,我们测试了三个理论模型在解释土耳其和德国学生的愿望时的相关性。结果表明,WM和RCT建议的过程都塑造了愿望。与MFS一致,这些过程也相互关联,因为父母的教育规范降低了学生自己的成本效益计算的相关性。这种相互关系不仅适用于土耳其学生,而且适用于样本中的所有学生。
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引用次数: 0
Externality and taboo: Resolving the Judaic pig puzzle 外部性与禁忌:解决犹太猪之谜
4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231203890
Peter T Leeson, Vincent Geloso, Nicholas A Snow
Judaic law famously bans pigs. For millennia, scholars have wondered why. This paper uses the economics of property rights to resolve the puzzle. We argue that the Judaic pig ban was an instrument for internalizing swine externalities. Free ranging pigs in search of sustenance trespass on agricultural landowners’ property, wreaking destruction. Activities that foster such pigs thus create negative externalities that can cripple agricultural economies. When the expected cost of swine externalities becomes large, internalization becomes worthwhile: lawmakers with a vested interest in the agricultural economy ban activities that foster free ranging pigs. That is what transpired in ancient Judah, where lawmakers were priests whose livelihoods depended on agriculture, where all swine ranged freely, and where the expected cost of swine externalities surged during the late Iron Age. Lawmakers invoked God to enjoin involvement with pigs because a supernatural injunction was cheaper to enforce than a natural one: in a land of faithful Hebrews, Yahweh’s swine prohibition enforced itself. The Judaic pig ban’s features are consistent with pig bans recently adopted by US states such as Montana, which everyone agrees are instruments for internalizing swine externalities.
众所周知,犹太律法禁止养猪。几千年来,学者们一直想知道原因。本文运用产权经济学来解决这一难题。我们认为,犹太人的猪禁令是内部化猪外部性的一种工具。自由放养的猪在寻找食物时侵犯了农业土地所有者的财产,造成了破坏。因此,培育这类猪的活动会产生负面的外部性,从而削弱农业经济。当猪外部性的预期成本变得很大时,内部化就变得值得:在农业经济中拥有既得利益的立法者禁止培育自由放养猪的活动。这就是在古代犹大发生的事情,那里的立法者是牧师,他们的生计依赖于农业,那里所有的猪都可以自由活动,并且在铁器时代晚期,猪的外部性预期成本飙升。立法者援引上帝来禁止与猪有关,因为超自然的禁令比自然的禁令执行起来更便宜:在一个忠诚的希伯来人的土地上,耶和华的猪禁令自己执行。犹太禁猪令的特点与美国蒙大拿州等州最近采用的禁猪令一致,每个人都认为这是将猪的外部性内部化的工具。
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引用次数: 0
An analytical narrative of the Day of Dupes 杜普斯日的分析叙事
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-20 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231194142
B. Crettez, Régis Deloche, Ronan Tallec
On November, 11th, 1630, Queen Marie de’ Medici demanded, in vain, that her son, King Louis XIII, dismiss Richelieu as Principal Minister. Historians agree that this crisis known as the Journée des Dupes (the Day of the Dupes) was the true foundation stone of French “absolutism”, but they disagree about whether the decision made by the Queen was rational. We analyze the historical setting of the crisis from a game theory viewpoint where the King and the Queen are two players. We consider two assumptions regarding the King and the Queen’s cognitive skills. On the one hand, we assume that both the King and the Queen are perfectly rational. On the other hand, we assume that they both have limited cognitive skills (that is, they are level-k players). In this last case we propose a definition of naivety and we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the Queen to be naive. We then study the Nash equilibrium when both the King and the Queen are perfectly rational as well as the behavioral theoretical solution of the game when they have limited cognitive skills. We rely on this study to propose an analytical narrative of the Journées des Dupes. We conclude that what we know of the historical facts does not allow us to reject the assumption that the Queen was perfectly rational, or, if she was not, that she had not been naive.
1630年11月11日,玛丽·德·美第奇女王徒劳地要求她的儿子路易十三国王解除黎塞留的首席大臣职务。历史学家一致认为,这场被称为“杜普斯日”的危机是法国“专制主义”的真正基石,但他们对女王做出的决定是否合理存在分歧。我们从博弈论的角度分析了这场危机的历史背景,国王和王后是两个参与者。我们考虑了关于国王和王后认知能力的两个假设。一方面,我们认为国王和王后都是完全理性的。另一方面,我们假设他们都有有限的认知能力(也就是说,他们是k级玩家)。在最后一种情况下,我们提出了天真的定义,并为女王天真提供了必要和充分的条件。然后,我们研究了当国王和王后都是完全理性的时候的纳什均衡,以及当他们的认知能力有限的时候的博弈行为理论解。我们依靠这项研究提出了一种对《杜普斯日记》的分析叙事。我们得出的结论是,我们对历史事实的了解不允许我们拒绝女王完全理性的假设,或者,如果她不是,她也不天真。
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引用次数: 0
Reconsidering Miranda rights: Modeling strategic action during the invocation stage of a police interrogation 重新考虑米兰达权利:在警察审讯的调用阶段模拟战略行动
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231194521
R. Mason, Marianne Mason
This paper develops a method to identify manipulation of custodial suspects who attempt to invoke the Miranda right to legal counsel during a custodial interrogation. The method, developed from a combination of framing theory and hypergame theory, first documents the point where custodial suspects’ preferences shift and second identifies the proximate cause of that shift using excerpts from legal cases. The method applies linguistic analysis within a hypergame framework to reveal rational behavior of custodial suspects who, despite owning an initial preference to invoke, waive their right to counsel without explicit pressure from police. The paper terms this shift in preferences “manipulation” adding the concept to hypergames and to the literature on noncooperative discursive exchanges.
本文发展了一种方法,以确定操纵拘留嫌疑人谁试图援引米兰达权利的法律顾问在拘留审讯。该方法结合了框架理论和超博弈论,首先记录了被拘留嫌疑人偏好转变的点,然后利用法律案件的摘录确定了这种转变的直接原因。该方法运用超博弈框架中的语言分析来揭示在押嫌疑人的理性行为,尽管他们最初倾向于求助,但在没有警察明确压力的情况下放弃了他们的律师权利。这篇论文将这种偏好的转变称为“操纵”,并将这一概念添加到超博弈和非合作话语交换的文献中。
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引用次数: 0
Public preferences to trade-off gains in total health for health equality: Discrepancies between an abstract scenario versus the real-world scenario presented by COVID-19 公众倾向于用总体健康收益换取健康平等:COVID-19提出的抽象情景与现实情景之间的差异
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231193599
David A. Comerford, Angela Tufte-Hewett, Emma K. Bridger
Policymakers must ration healthcare. This necessity became salient during the COVID-19 pandemic. Some policymakers took that opportunity to reduce inequality of health outcomes at the expense of overall health gains. There is a literature that seeks to quantify the optimal trade-off between efficiency and equality in health outcomes: economists employ surveys to quantify the public’s preferred level of equity/efficiency trade-off. An odd result from these studies is that a non-trivial subsample of respondents choose to “level down” i.e., they choose as though an additional year of life delivers negative utility to society if it accrues to the most privileged. In an experiment of US and UK respondents ( n = 495), we compare equity/efficiency trade-offs across an abstract scenario along the lines of that presented in previous surveys versus a COVID-19 scenario, where it is made explicit that healthcare rationing is a real and current necessity occasioned by the pandemic. We find that preference for “levelling down” is reduced in the COVID-19 scenario relative to the abstract scenario. This result implies that, at least in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, previous results have overestimated the public’s willingness to sacrifice overall gains in population health in order to reduce inequality of health outcomes.
政策制定者必须定量配给医疗保健。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,这一必要性变得尤为突出。一些政策制定者利用这一机会,以牺牲整体健康收益为代价,减少健康结果的不平等。有一篇文献试图量化健康结果中效率和平等之间的最佳权衡:经济学家利用调查来量化公众对公平/效率权衡的偏好水平。从这些研究中得出的一个奇怪的结果是,受访者中有一个重要的子样本选择“降低水平”,也就是说,他们认为,如果最有特权的人多活一年,就会给社会带来负效用。在对美国和英国受访者(n = 495)进行的一项实验中,我们比较了之前调查中提出的抽象情景与COVID-19情景之间的公平/效率权衡,其中明确指出,医疗配给是大流行引起的现实和当前的必要性。我们发现,与抽象情景相比,COVID-19情景中对“降水平”的偏好有所降低。这一结果表明,至少在COVID-19大流行的背景下,之前的结果高估了公众为了减少健康结果的不平等而牺牲人口健康总体收益的意愿。
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引用次数: 1
Optimal and politically opportune language policies for the vitality of minority languages 为少数民族语言的活力制定最佳和政治上合适的语言政策
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1177/10434631231186067
Bengt-Arne Wickström
Language policies for the purpose of (re)vitalizing a minority language are analyzed as a dynamic cost-effectiveness problem. We focus on policy measures with two types of cost structures: costs largely proportional to the number of beneficiaries (a rival measure) and costs independent of the number of beneficiaries (a non-rival measure). An example of the former is home nursing in the minority language and an example of the latter is street signs in the minority language. Both types of measures are assumed to contribute positively to the vitality of the minority language. We stylize the analysis, letting the rival measure have an immediate direct effect on the vitality and the non-rival one a protracted indirect effect on the language’s status. Two problems are addressed. Firstly, we study how the optimal combination of the two types of measure changes as the policy is implemented and the vitality of the minority language increases and show that a policy with fixed budget shares as a rule is sub-optimal. Secondly, we compare the opportune policy of a policy maker planning with a fixed time horizon with the optimal policy as the time horizon approaches infinity. The policy maker has incentives to plan for a sub-optimal policy with a reduction in the protracted measure for the whole planning period and making it equal to zero at the time horizon. All effects are illustrated in numeric examples.
以振兴少数民族语言为目的的语言政策被分析为一个动态的成本效益问题。我们重点关注具有两种成本结构的政策措施:成本与受益人数量成正比(一种竞争性措施)和与受益人数量无关的成本(一种非竞争性措施。前者的一个例子是少数民族语言的家庭护理,后者的一个实例是少数民族语的路标。这两种措施都被认为对少数民族语言的活力有积极贡献。我们将分析程式化,让竞争措施对语言的生命力产生直接的直接影响,而非竞争措施则对语言的地位产生长期的间接影响。解决了两个问题。首先,我们研究了这两种措施的最优组合如何随着政策的实施和少数民族语言活力的增加而变化,并表明以固定预算份额为规则的政策是次优的。其次,我们将决策者在固定时间范围内规划的合适政策与时间范围接近无穷大时的最优政策进行了比较。政策制定者有动机制定次优政策,在整个规划期内减少长期措施,并在时间范围内使其等于零。所有效果都用数字示例说明。
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引用次数: 0
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