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Proposing Anti-LGBTQIAP Resolutions at the Municipal Level in Poland: Meeting the Social Demand or Making Use of the Available Resources? 在波兰市级提出反LGBTQIAP决议:满足社会需求还是利用可用资源?
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-06 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221082133
W. Rafałowski
During the eight months preceding the 2019 parliamentary election in Poland, resolutions aimed against the LGBTQIAP minority were adopted by over 60 out of 2,477 municipalities. They were proposed by a local right-wing organization called Ordo Iuris. Based on the prerequisites from the political opportunity structure approach, I test two sets of explanations as to why certain municipalities were targeted by the organization, while others were not. One set of hypotheses is associated with social demand; municipalities chosen by Ordo Iuris are expected to be more religious and supportive of the political right. The other approach assumes that the activity of the organization was determined by the resources available in the community, such as high percentage of members of the local council representing the right-wing Law and Justice party, electoral turnout, membership in religious organizations, and population density. The empirical analysis confirms the significance of resources and disproves the argument associated with social demand. The study has implications for understanding how the social movements of the radical right gain political influence in Eastern European countries. It shows that they do not serve a particular demand from the society for the worldview they represent, but they rather rely on the aid from political elites and the resources provided by them and the community to promote their agenda where they can.
在2019年波兰议会选举前的八个月里,2477个市镇中的60多个市镇通过了针对LGBTQIAP少数群体的决议。他们是由当地一个名为Ordo Iuris的右翼组织提出的。基于政治机会结构方法的先决条件,我测试了两组解释,解释为什么某些市镇成为该组织的目标,而其他市镇则不是。一组假设与社会需求有关;奥尔多·尤里斯(Ordo Iuris)选择的市政当局预计将更加宗教化,并支持政治右翼。另一种方法假设该组织的活动是由社区中可用的资源决定的,例如代表右翼法律与正义党的地方议会成员比例高、选举投票率、宗教组织成员人数和人口密度。实证分析证实了资源的重要性,并反驳了与社会需求相关的论点。这项研究有助于理解激进右翼的社会运动如何在东欧国家获得政治影响力。这表明,他们并没有满足社会对他们所代表的世界观的特定需求,而是依靠政治精英的援助以及他们和社区提供的资源,在力所能及的地方推动他们的议程。
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引用次数: 0
The Incumbency Advantage during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Examining the 2020 Polish Presidential Election COVID-19大流行期间的在位优势:考察2020年波兰总统选举
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221085307
Dawid Tatarczyk, W. Wojtasik
This article analyzes how the 2020 Polish Presidential election was affected by the recent COVID-19 pandemic in the context of global democratic backsliding. Specifically, this article examines how the incumbency advantage of President Andrzej Duda was bolstered during the pandemic by the ruling Law and Justice party (PiS). Although PiS was unable to carry out every planned electoral manipulation, the party nonetheless helped Duda secure a second term in office in a historically close election. On the one hand, this article illustrates that while many of the tactics undertaken by PiS were within the limits of the letter of the law, its actions still undermined the spirit of Polish democracy. On the other hand, this article also contributes to the literature on democratic backsliding by underscoring the fact that the election in Poland was free and fair, which makes this regime qualitatively different from other cases in the region.
本文分析了在全球民主倒退的背景下,新冠肺炎疫情对2020年波兰总统选举的影响。具体而言,本文探讨了执政的法律与正义党(PiS)在疫情期间如何巩固总统安杰伊·杜达(Andrzej Duda)的在位优势。尽管法律与公正党无法执行每一个计划中的选举操纵,但该党还是帮助杜达在一场历史上势均力敌的选举中获得了第二个任期。一方面,这篇文章说明,虽然法律正义党采取的许多策略都在法律条文的范围内,但它的行动仍然破坏了波兰的民主精神。另一方面,本文也通过强调波兰的选举是自由和公正的这一事实,为民主倒退的文献做出了贡献,这使得该政权与该地区的其他情况在性质上有所不同。
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引用次数: 1
Preferences for Redistribution, Welfare Chauvinism, and Radical Right Party Support in Central and Eastern Europe 中欧和东欧对再分配、福利主义和激进右翼政党支持的偏好
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-07 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221079797
Lee Savage
Why do supporters of radical right parties in Central and Eastern Europe hold economically left-wing policy preferences? In this article, the author argues that this can be explained by welfare chauvinism. First, in ethnically heterogeneous societies, minority groups provide a plausible scapegoat for the grievances emphasized by radical right parties. Therefore, the majority population is sensitive to shifts in the status quo which accrue from policy changes that give minorities greater benefits. Support for redistribution will therefore be lower in more ethnically diverse countries. The salience of shifts in the ethnic group hierarchy also means that objective economic insecurity is less likely to intersect with redistributive preferences. Second, radical right supporters will prefer welfare policies that restrict eligibility to the majority population. This allows radical right parties to combine leftist economic policies with more authoritarian values. The empirical results confirm these expectations. This research contributes to our understanding of the attitudinal bases of radical right party support in Central and Eastern Europe.
为什么中欧和东欧激进右翼政党的支持者在经济上倾向于左翼政策?在这篇文章中,作者认为这可以用福利沙文主义来解释。首先,在种族多元化的社会中,少数群体为激进右翼政党所强调的不满情绪提供了一个看似合理的替罪羊。因此,多数人口对现状的变化很敏感,这些变化是由于政策变化而产生的,这些政策变化使少数群体获得了更大的利益。因此,在种族更多样化的国家,对再分配的支持将更低。种族等级制度的显著变化也意味着,客观的经济不安全感不太可能与再分配偏好相交。其次,激进右翼的支持者将倾向于将资格限制在大多数人口的福利政策。这使得激进的右翼政党可以将左翼经济政策与更专制的价值观结合起来。实证结果证实了这些预期。本研究有助于我们了解中欧和东欧激进右翼政党支持的态度基础。
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引用次数: 1
Unsettling Borderlands: The Population Exchange and the Polish Minority in Soviet Belarus, 1944–1947 不安的边疆:人口交换和苏联白俄罗斯的波兰少数民族,1944-1947
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221079799
Dmitry Halavach
The article examines the Soviet nationality policy in Belarus in 1944–1947 during the population exchange between the Soviet Union and Poland. Unlike in Lithuania and Ukraine, the authorities in Belarus prioritized keeping the labor force over national homogenization, determined nationality by territory of birth, and attempted to keep the people by designating them as Belarusians irrespective of their self-identification. The article argues that in Belarus, the population transfer was a combination of an exodus of refugees with the expulsion of Poles by the state. Although the declarations about the voluntary character of the resettlement were false, the direction of the compulsion varied, and this ambivalence opened up a space of limited autonomy in which the people could exercise agency. The Soviet ethnic cleansing remained incomplete in Soviet Belarus because of the competing urge to keep the labor force. Paradoxically, much of the demographic de-Polonization of new western territories of Soviet Belarus was achieved without the state’s commitment to ethnic cleansing and without the involvement of Belarusian nationalism.
本文考察了1944-1947年苏联与波兰人口交换期间白俄罗斯的苏联民族政策。与立陶宛和乌克兰不同,白俄罗斯当局将保留劳动力置于国家同质化之上,根据出生地确定国籍,并试图通过指定他们为白俄罗斯人来保留这些人,无论他们的自我认同如何。文章认为,在白俄罗斯,人口迁移是难民外流和国家驱逐波兰人的结合。尽管关于重新安置的自愿性质的声明是错误的,但强制的方向各不相同,这种矛盾心理为人民行使代理权开辟了一个有限的自主权空间。苏联的种族清洗在前苏联的白俄罗斯仍然是不完整的,因为有人强烈要求保留劳动力。矛盾的是,前苏联白俄罗斯西部新领土的人口去极化在很大程度上是在没有国家对种族清洗的承诺和白俄罗斯民族主义的参与的情况下实现的。
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引用次数: 1
How Do Political Parties Capture New Democracies? Hungary and North Macedonia in Comparison 政党如何夺取新的民主政体?匈牙利与北马其顿的比较
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-18 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221075841
K. Auerbach, Jennifer Kartner
Recent democratic backsliding in Eastern Europe challenges the optimism of two decades of scholarship on post-communist democratization. The most severe form of backsliding—state capture by ruling parties—has occurred in countries formerly regarded as paradigms of successful democratic transition. Despite research on different kinds of capture, little is known about the overall process by which political parties capture a state. In response, we develop a conceptual framework that identifies four interconnected strategies and corresponding tactics: (1) exploiting crises to advance political agendas, (2) deactivating controls to constrain oversight, (3) milking cash-cows to generate income, and (4) manipulating the political system to institutionalize rents. To demonstrate the analytical value of the framework, we compare how Fidesz in Hungary and VMRO-DPMNE in North Macedonia achieved a state of capture. Notwithstanding contextual differences, the analysis shows that the political parties of interest employed the same set of strategies.
东欧最近的民主倒退挑战了20年来学术界对后共产主义民主化的乐观态度。最严重的倒退形式——执政党夺取国家——发生在以前被视为成功民主过渡典范的国家。尽管对不同类型的俘获进行了研究,但对政党俘获一个国家的总体过程知之甚少。作为回应,我们制定了一个概念框架,确定了四种相互关联的战略和相应的策略:(1)利用危机推进政治议程,(2)取消控制以限制监督,(3)榨取摇钱树以创造收入,以及(4)操纵政治制度以使租金制度化。为了证明该框架的分析价值,我们比较了匈牙利的Fidesz和北马其顿的VMRO-DPMNE是如何实现捕获状态的。尽管存在背景差异,但分析表明,感兴趣的政党采用了相同的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Luddites of the Twenty-First Century? The Influence of Trade Unions in Hard Coal Mining on Sector Reforms in Poland and the Czech Republic 21世纪的勒德分子?波兰和捷克共和国硬煤开采工会对部门改革的影响
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-28 DOI: 10.1177/08883254211070853
T. Kubín
There are only two European Union (EU) states where hard coal is still mined: Poland and the Czech Republic. One of the key interest groups in the hard coal mining industry are trade unions. They are particularly strong in this sector, almost entirely controlled by the state, in Poland—without their approval, it is in fact impossible to implement any significant reforms. The main goal of the article is to explain the influence of trade unions operating in the hard coal mining sector in Poland and the Czech Republic on the results of the reforms of this sector carried out in 2015–2019. The framework for empirical analysis is the theoretical output on interest groups and the power resources approach. Measuring the influence of an interest group on the decision-making process is one of the greatest challenges in research on interest groups. However, the empirical analysis allows us to conclude that the purposes of mining trade unions both in Poland and in the Czech Republic were consistent, that the shape of the reforms introduced in 2015–2019 was convergent with these goals, and that the activity of trade unions had a very big impact on these reforms. However, in the long run, hard coal mining in Europe is in decline and trade unions are only trying to stop what is inevitable.
只有两个欧盟国家仍在开采硬煤:波兰和捷克共和国。硬煤开采行业的主要利益集团之一是工会。他们在这个几乎完全由国家控制的领域尤其强大,在波兰——如果没有他们的批准,实际上不可能实施任何重大改革。本文的主要目标是解释波兰和捷克共和国硬煤开采行业的工会对2015-2019年该行业改革结果的影响。实证分析的框架是关于利益集团和权力资源方法的理论输出。衡量利益集团对决策过程的影响是利益集团研究的最大挑战之一。然而,实证分析使我们能够得出结论,波兰和捷克共和国采矿工会的目的是一致的,2015-2019年引入的改革形式与这些目标一致,工会的活动对这些改革产生了很大影响。然而,从长远来看,欧洲的硬煤开采正在减少,工会只是试图阻止不可避免的事情。
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引用次数: 0
The Gaze of the Implicated Subject: Non-Jewish Testimony to Communal Violence during the German Occupation of Lithuania 被牵连主体的凝视:德国占领立陶宛期间非犹太人对社区暴力的证词
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-28 DOI: 10.1177/08883254211070852
Violeta Davoliūtė
The outbreak of communal violence against Jews catalysed by the German invasion of the USSR was long neglected by scholarship due to biases against eyewitness testimony and the opacity of local events to outside observers. A growing number of studies on the topic have recently emerged, drawing from the eyewitness testimonies of Jewish survivors and previously inaccessible Soviet archives. This article analyses the lesser-known audio-visual recordings of interviews with non-Jewish witnesses to communal violence in provincial towns and villages of Lithuania. Collected decades after the events, they relate the same cruelty and destruction as recalled by Jewish survivors. As insider accounts from the local, non-Jewish community, they disclose manifold and divergent subject positions in the face of extreme violence. Marked by a forensic mode of discourse that accentuates individual agency and responsibility, they diverge from the prevailing apologetics of national narratives of the period. Instead, they reflect an immediacy of apprehension rooted in the intimate topographical setting of rural Lithuania under German occupation, a local memory not yet assimilated to national narratives of heroism and suffering. Finally, they express the memory of mutual surveillance, intimidation, and coercion that would endure for decades after the end of the war in these locales.
由于对目击者证词的偏见以及当地事件对外部观察者的不透明性,德国入侵苏联引发的针对犹太人的社区暴力的爆发长期以来一直被学术界忽视。最近,根据犹太幸存者的目击者证词和以前无法访问的苏联档案,出现了越来越多关于这一主题的研究。本文分析了鲜为人知的立陶宛省城镇和村庄对非犹太社区暴力目击者的采访录音。在事件发生几十年后收集的,它们讲述了犹太幸存者回忆起的同样残酷和毁灭。作为来自当地非犹太社区的内部人士,他们披露了面对极端暴力时多方面和不同的主题立场。以强调个人能动性和责任的法医学话语模式为标志,它们与当时流行的国家叙事的辩护学有所不同。相反,它们反映了一种直接的担忧,这种担忧植根于德国占领下立陶宛农村的亲密地形环境,这是一种尚未融入民族英雄主义和苦难叙事的地方记忆。最后,它们表达了对相互监视、恐吓和胁迫的记忆,这种记忆将在战争结束后在这些地方持续几十年。
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引用次数: 0
Party Views on Democratic Backsliding and Differentiated Integration 政党对民主倒退和差异化整合的看法
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1177/08883254221096168
R. Bellamy, S. Kröger, M. Lorimer
Both political parties and differentiated integration (DI) play an ambivalent role in regard to democratic backsliding. Parties’ positioning towards democratic backsliding has not always been straightforward, and DI has been seen as facilitating it. We analyse whether party actors view democratic backsliding as a problematic issue for the EU, if they think DI facilitates it, and how they consider the EU should respond to it. Drawing on thirty-five interviews and a survey of forty-two party actors in seven member states, we show that many do view backsliding as problematic. Moreover, around half worried that DI could facilitate backsliding, though others did not link the two. Finally, almost all considered it legitimate for the EU to address democratic backsliding. Although centre-of-left actors are most likely to worry about democratic backsliding and favour EU intervention, actors across the political spectrum are sceptical about accepting DI in matters pertaining to Article 2.
政党和差别化整合(DI)在民主倒退中都扮演着矛盾的角色。各党派对民主倒退的定位并不总是直截了当的,而DI一直被视为促进了民主倒退。我们分析政党成员是否将民主倒退视为欧盟的一个问题,如果他们认为DI促进了这一问题,以及他们认为欧盟应该如何应对。通过35次访谈和对7个成员国的42位政党成员的调查,我们发现许多人确实认为倒退是一个问题。此外,大约一半的人担心DI会促进倒退,尽管其他人没有将两者联系起来。最后,几乎所有人都认为欧盟应对民主倒退是合法的。尽管中左翼人士最有可能担心民主倒退并支持欧盟干预,但整个政治领域的人士都对在与第2条有关的问题上接受DI持怀疑态度。
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引用次数: 0
The Logic of the Punisher: Retrospective Voting and Hyper-Accountability in Lithuania 惩罚者的逻辑:立陶宛的回溯投票与超问责
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.1177/08883254211064488
Mažvydas Jastramskis
This article explores the roots of electoral hyper-accountability in Central and Eastern Europe. I focus on Lithuania: a country that is a stable liberal democracy, but has re-elected none of its governments (in the same party composition) since the restoration of independence. Survey data from the Lithuanian National Election Study reveal that Lithuanian voters are constantly dissatisfied with the economy and retrospectively evaluate it worse than the objective indicators would suggest. This partially explains why the Lithuanian voters constantly turn away from the government parties at parliamentary elections. However, their subsequent choice between parliamentary and new (previously marginal) parties is another puzzle. Using the 2016 Lithuanian post-election survey, I test how retrospective voting (economic and corruption issues) and political factors (trust and satisfaction with democracy) explain vote choice between the three types of parties (governmental, oppositional, and successful new party). It appears that new parties in Lithuania capitalize on double dissatisfaction, as the logic of the punisher comprises two steps. First, due to economic discontent, she turns away from the incumbent. Second, due to political mistrust, she often turns not to the parliamentary opposition, but to new parties. An analysis of retrospective economic evaluations hints at the political roots of hyper-accountability: these two steps are connected, as dissatisfaction with democracy is a strong predictor of negative retrospective evaluations of economy. Additional analysis of the 2019 post-election survey corroborates the results and reveals that a similar logic also applies in direct presidential elections.
本文探讨了中欧和东欧选举过度问责的根源。我关注的是立陶宛:这个国家是一个稳定的自由民主国家,但自恢复独立以来,没有一届政府(由同一政党组成)连任。立陶宛全国选举研究的调查数据显示,立陶宛选民一直对经济不满意,并对其进行了回顾性评估,其结果比客观指标显示的要差。这在一定程度上解释了为什么立陶宛选民在议会选举中不断远离政府政党。然而,他们随后在议会和新的(以前边缘的)政党之间的选择是另一个难题。利用2016年立陶宛大选后的调查,我测试了追溯投票(经济和腐败问题)和政治因素(对民主的信任和满意度)如何解释三种政党(政府、反对党和成功的新党)之间的投票选择。立陶宛的新政党似乎利用了双重不满,因为惩罚者的逻辑包括两个步骤。首先,由于对经济的不满,她拒绝了现任总统。其次,由于政治上的不信任,她经常转向新的政党,而不是议会反对派。对回顾性经济评价的分析暗示了超问责制的政治根源:这两个步骤是相互关联的,因为对民主的不满是对经济负面回顾性评价的有力预测因素。对2019年大选后调查的进一步分析证实了这一结果,并表明类似的逻辑也适用于总统直选。
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引用次数: 1
Improving Living Conditions, Deepening Class Divisions: Hungarian Class Structure in International Comparison, 2002–2018 改善生活条件,深化阶级分化:2002年至2018年国际比较中的匈牙利阶级结构
IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.1177/08883254211060872
Ákos Huszár, Katalin Füzér
This article investigates the changing relationship of class and the living conditions of individuals in Hungary in comparison with other European countries. Our central question is to what extent class position determines the material living conditions of individuals in Hungary, how this relationship has changed, and how significant it is compared to other European countries. Our analysis is a direct test of the death-of-class thesis in one of the core fields of class analysis. Our results show that there has been a rapid and large-scale restructuring of Hungarian society after 2010, with two notable tendencies. The first is an overall improvement of material living conditions at all levels of the class structure, the other is the gradual solidification and polarisation of class structure.
本文通过与欧洲其他国家的比较,考察了匈牙利阶级关系和个人生活状况的变化。我们的核心问题是阶级地位在多大程度上决定了匈牙利个人的物质生活条件,这种关系是如何变化的,与其他欧洲国家相比,它有多重要。在阶级分析的核心领域之一,我们的分析是对阶级死亡理论的直接检验。我们的研究结果表明,匈牙利社会在2010年之后出现了快速而大规模的重组,有两个显著的趋势。一是各阶层结构物质生活条件的全面改善,二是阶层结构的逐步固化和两极分化。
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引用次数: 1
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East European Politics and Societies
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