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Investigating the link between exhaustion of natural resources and economic complexity in sub-Saharan Africa 调查撒哈拉以南非洲自然资源枯竭与经济复杂性之间的联系
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12767
Arsene Mouongue Kelly, Isaac Ketu, Jules-Eric Tchapchet Tchouto, Luc Nembot Ndeffo

In the context of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), characterized by abundant natural resources and persistent challenges in economic growth, this paper explores the effect of economic complexity (EC) on natural resource depletion (NRD) from 1997 to 2017. To this end, the study employs data mainly from the World Development Indicators on 36 SSA countries. Using both the pooled ordinary least squares and the two-step system generalized method of moments estimation techniques, the results indicate that EC significantly contributes to reducing the exhaustion of natural resources in SSA during the study period. The findings equally suggest that government expenditure on education, as well as gross domestic product per capita, exert a reducing effect on NRD, while energy use, foreign direct investment, and urbanization are vectors of resource exhaustion in the region. The results remain consistent when an alternative measure of EC is applied as well as when different estimation strategies are used. This offers scope for a reminder for proper management policies to be edited and applied regarding these mostly nonrenewable resources.

撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)自然资源丰富,但经济增长长期面临挑战,在此背景下,本文探讨了 1997 年至 2017 年经济复杂性(EC)对自然资源耗竭(NRD)的影响。为此,研究主要采用了世界发展指标中有关 36 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的数据。利用集合普通最小二乘法和两步系统广义矩法估计技术,研究结果表明,在研究期间,EC 对减少 SSA 国家的自然资源耗竭做出了显著贡献。研究结果同样表明,政府在教育方面的支出以及人均国内生产总值对减少自然资源耗竭产生了影响,而能源使用、外国直接投资和城市化则是该地区资源耗竭的矢量。当采用另一种 EC 测量方法以及不同的估算策略时,结果仍然是一致的。这就提醒我们,应针对这些大多为不可再生资源的资源制定和应用适当的管理政策。
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引用次数: 0
International ownership and SMEs in Middle Eastern and African economies 国际所有权与中东和非洲经济体的中小企业
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12765
Mina Baliamoune-Lutz, Mohamed A. K. Basuony, Stefan H. H. Lutz, Ehab K. A. Mohamed

Empirical evidence on the benefits of international ownership for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) financial performance is either not available for most African and Middle Eastern countries or presents mixed results. In this paper, we investigate this further by examining the effects of ownership structure on firm performance, using financial data covering SMEs in 60 African and Middle Eastern countries, for the years 2006–2015. Results from pooled ordinary least squares and random-effects estimations indicate that international ownership is significantly positively correlated with firm performance for (most of) Africa and the Middle East. Examining the interaction of international ownership with capital resources, we find that internationally owned firms do not use capital more efficiently than locally owned firms, implying that internationally owned firms use international resources—other than capital—more efficiently.

大多数非洲和中东国家都没有关于国际所有权对中小型企业(SMEs)财务业绩的益处的经验证据,或者结果好坏参半。在本文中,我们利用 60 个非洲和中东国家中小企业 2006-2015 年的财务数据,通过研究所有权结构对公司业绩的影响,进一步探讨了这一问题。集合普通最小二乘法和随机效应估计的结果表明,在非洲和中东(大部分地区),国际所有权与企业绩效显著正相关。在研究国际所有权与资本资源的交互作用时,我们发现国际所有制企业并不比本地所有制企业更有效地利用资本,这意味着国际所有制企业更有效地利用资本以外的国际资源。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency of local public spending in Cameroon: Does population size matter? 喀麦隆地方公共支出的效率:人口数量是否重要?
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12764
Bruno Emmanuel Ongo Nkoa, Djondandi Wangbara, Gautier Tchoffo Tameko

Promoting decentralization is currently high on the global agenda. To date, the existing literature in the African context, and more specifically in Cameroon, has not established a link between the size of local authorities and the efficiency of their infrastructure spending. This study therefore attempts to fill this gap in the literature by empirically examining the effect of population size on the efficiency of local public spending in Cameroon. Using the two-stage Data Envelopment Analysis model on a sample of 100 communes for the period 2017–2020 to estimate composite efficiency scores and the censored Tobit model to determine the effect of population size on the efficiency of local public spending, the results show that population size and density positively and very significantly affect the efficiency of local public spending. In light of these results, we recommend that the state make population size the main allocation key for transfers and subsidies to local authorities and that communes organize themselves into inter-municipalities to benefit from economies of scale and curb spillover effects.

促进权力下放是目前全球议程上的优先事项。迄今为止,非洲,特别是喀麦隆的现有文献尚未确定地方当局的规模与其基础设施支出效率之间的联系。因此,本研究试图通过对喀麦隆人口规模对地方公共支出效率的影响进行实证研究来填补这一文献空白。研究使用两阶段数据包络分析模型对 2017-2020 年期间的 100 个乡镇样本估算综合效率得分,并使用删减 Tobit 模型确定人口规模对地方公共支出效率的影响,结果表明人口规模和密度对地方公共支出效率有非常显著的正向影响。鉴于这些结果,我们建议国家将人口规模作为对地方政府转移支付和补贴的主要分配关键,并将乡镇组织成跨市,以受益于规模经济并抑制溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
The efficiency of China's export trade with Africa and its influence mechanism 中国对非洲出口贸易的效率及其影响机制
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12763
Weibing Chen, Bian Wu, Qing Guo

This paper calculates the trade efficiency of China's exports to Africa by considering trade inefficiency factors, such as Chinese aid to Africa and Chinese contracted projects. Based on a stochastic frontier gravity model and data for China's exports to 38 African countries from 2010 to 2020, this study draws the following conclusions. First, trade inefficiencies, such as China's aid and contracted projects, play a positive role in promoting China's export trade to Africa. Second, the efficiency of China's export trade to Africa varies significantly in different regions, among which countries with high export trade efficiency are concentrated in North and South Africa. Third, the trade potential and trade expansion space of China's exports to Africa vary significantly among different product sectors, which provides much space for promoting trade policy. We highlight that China's government should develop differentiated regional trade policies due to regional heterogeneity in terms of export trade efficiency between China and African countries.

本文通过考虑中国对非援助和中国承包工程等贸易低效因素,计算了中国对非洲出口的贸易效率。基于随机前沿引力模型和 2010-2020 年中国对 38 个非洲国家的出口数据,本研究得出以下结论。首先,中国的援助和承包工程等贸易低效在促进中国对非洲出口贸易中发挥了积极作用。第二,中国对非洲出口贸易效率在不同地区差异显著,其中出口贸易效率较高的国家主要集中在北非和南非。第三,中国对非洲出口的贸易潜力和贸易拓展空间在不同产品领域存在显著差异,这为贸易政策的推进提供了很大空间。我们强调,由于中国与非洲国家出口贸易效率的区域异质性,中国政府应制定差异化的区域贸易政策。
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引用次数: 0
FinTech—A pathway to financial inclusion? Evidence from Southern African Development Community member states 金融科技--实现金融普惠的途径?来自南部非洲发展共同体成员国的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12754
Olumide O. Olaoye, Mulatu F. Zerihun, Ali Shaddady, Mosab I. Tabash

The study investigates the effect of FinTech on financial inclusion in Southern African Development Community (SADC) member states over the period 2011–2021, while also looking at the transmission channels. The study adopts a battery of econometric techniques such as ordinary least squares (OLS), the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) and the Driscoll and Kraay covariance estimator. The study finds that FinTech (proxied by digitization) deepens financial inclusion (access to loan) and a decline in the number of bank branches in SADC member states. This is logical since the operations of FinTech are digital. This implies that an attempt to promote financial inclusion by traditional means such as building physical bank structures may be limited, especially in Africa where large swathes of the populace remain unbanked. As expected, FinTech (measured by automated teller machines [ATMs]) increases the number of bank branches in SADC. We also find that mobile cellular subscription, the share of population with access to electricity and Internet access and mean years of schooling are important transmission channels of FinTech to financial inclusion in SADC. In general, the result shows that FinTech enhances and deepens financial inclusion in SADC member states. The research and policy implications are discussed.

本研究调查了 2011-2021 年间金融科技对南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)成员国金融包容性的影响,同时还考察了传播渠道。研究采用了一系列计量经济学技术,如普通最小二乘法(OLS)、两步系统广义矩法(GMM)以及 Driscoll 和 Kraay 协方差估计法。研究发现,金融科技(以数字化为代表)深化了金融包容性(获得贷款),并减少了南部非洲发展共同体成员国的银行分支机构数量。这是合乎逻辑的,因为金融科技的运作是数字化的。这意味着,通过传统手段(如建立实体银行结构)来促进金融包容性的尝试可能会受到限制,尤其是在非洲,因为那里仍有大量人口没有银行账户。不出所料,金融科技(以自动取款机衡量)增加了南部非洲发展共同体的银行网点数量。我们还发现,在南部非洲发展共同体,移动手机用户、用上电和互联网的人口比例以及平均受教育年限是金融科技促进金融包容性的重要传播渠道。总体而言,研究结果表明,金融科技提高并深化了南部非洲发展共同体成员国的金融包容性。本文讨论了研究和政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of the public debt threshold effects on economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries 估算公共债务门槛对撒哈拉以南非洲国家经济增长的影响
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12749
Yannick Kitutila W.

Using data for 22 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, this paper investigates the effects of public debt on economic growth in SSA countries covering the period 1990–2021. Relying upon the estimation of Panel Smooth Transition Regression and generalized method of moments method, our findings offer strong evidence that public debt nonlinearly impacts economic growth. More specifically, there exists a threshold beyond which public debt exerts a negative effect on growth. These results can be used to formulate economic recommendations that the public authorities could implement to improve public debt management and maintain stable economic growth.

本文利用 22 个撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的数据,研究了 1990-2021 年期间公共债务对撒哈拉以南非洲国家经济增长的影响。通过使用面板平滑过渡回归法和广义矩法进行估计,我们的研究结果有力地证明了公共债务对经济增长的非线性影响。更具体地说,存在一个阈值,超过该阈值,公共债务就会对经济增长产生负面影响。这些结果可用于制定经济建议,供政府当局实施,以改善公共债务管理并保持经济稳定增长。
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引用次数: 0
The vulnerability to climate change in Africa: Does industrial development matter? 非洲面对气候变化的脆弱性:工业发展重要吗?
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12753
Etienne Inedit Blaise Tsomb Tsomb, Lyvane Pervange Nembot Nguitchou

In a context marked by an upsurge in the scale of climate change and its consequences in Africa, this article explores ways to increase the resilience of African economies. It aims to analyze the effect of industrialization on the continent's vulnerability to climate change (VCC). The sample used for this purpose consists of 41 African countries from 2010 to 2021. A dynamic panel model is estimated using the system generalized method of moments. Results show that industrialization reduces the VCC in African countries. It reduces their sensitivity to climate change while increasing their adaptive capacity. Furthermore, results show that industrialization is more likely to reduce the VCC in sectors such as ecosystems, habitat, health, and infrastructures whereas it increases vulnerability to climate change in the food and water sectors. The results, however, reject the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis between industrialization and VCC. These results are robust to the change in industrialization measures. Therefore, African countries would benefit from pursuing their industrial development through greater use of renewable energy. This can help them to sustainably reduce their VCC. In addition, they need to implement specific measures to adapt to climate change in the food and water sectors.

在非洲气候变化规模及其后果急剧扩大的背景下,本文探讨了如何提高非洲经济的复原力。文章旨在分析工业化对非洲大陆气候变化脆弱性(VCC)的影响。为此使用的样本包括 2010 年至 2021 年的 41 个非洲国家。采用系统广义矩法对动态面板模型进行了估算。结果显示,工业化降低了非洲国家的气候变化脆弱性。工业化降低了非洲国家对气候变化的敏感性,同时提高了它们的适应能力。此外,结果表明,工业化更有可能降低生态系统、栖息地、健康和基础设施等部门的气候变化脆弱性,而增加粮食和水部门对气候变化的脆弱性。然而,这些结果否定了工业化与 VCC 之间的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说。这些结果对工业化措施的变化是稳健的。因此,非洲国家将受益于通过更多地使用可再生能源来实现工业发展。这将有助于它们可持续地降低其 VCC。此外,它们还需要在粮食和水部门实施适应气候变化的具体措施。
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引用次数: 0
Labor differentiation and cotton productivity in Burkina Faso 布基纳法索劳动力分工与棉花生产率
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12751
Aminata Zong-naba, Aké G.-M. N'gbo, Omer S. Combary

Agriculture is a very important sector in Africa's economic development, particularly in Burkina Faso, as it employs a large proportion of the population. Given the importance of labor in this sector, a good allocation of the different types of labor could help increase agricultural productivity in Burkina Faso. This research contributes to the literature by determining the specific contributions of each type of labor in enhancing cotton productivity. The sample of this research is 477 cotton farms, and a semiparametric stochastic frontier model has been used in the analysis. The results show that the proportion of wage labor has a nonlinear effect and contributes to improving cotton productivity when the number of educated people in the household increases. But family labor decreases cotton productivity when the number of educated people in the household increase. The comparison between the findings of the semiparametric and parametric frontier shows that technical efficiency is 72.44% when education is used as the channel through which production factors affect cotton productivity. However, this technical efficiency is 54.96% when production factors directly affect cotton productivity in the parametric frontier model. Promoting education in rural areas will help to increase the number of people educated and consequently improve cotton productivity.

农业是非洲经济发展中一个非常重要的部门,在布基纳法索尤其如此,因为农业雇用了大量人口。鉴于劳动力在该部门的重要性,合理分配不同类型的劳动力有助于提高布基纳法索的农业生产率。本研究通过确定各类劳动力在提高棉花生产率方面的具体贡献,为相关文献做出了贡献。本研究以 477 个棉花农场为样本,采用半参数随机前沿模型进行分析。结果表明,当家庭中受过教育的人数增加时,雇佣劳动的比例具有非线性效应,有助于提高棉花生产率。但当家庭中受过教育的人数增加时,家庭劳动力会降低棉花生产率。半参数前沿和参数前沿的比较结果表明,当教育作为生产要素影响棉花生产率的渠道时,技术效率为 72.44%。然而,在参数前沿模型中,当生产要素直接影响棉花生产率时,技术效率为 54.96%。在农村地区推广教育有助于增加受教育人数,从而提高棉花生产率。
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引用次数: 0
Who supports the African Union? Understanding the determinants of citizens' opinion for African integration 谁支持非洲联盟?了解公民对非洲一体化看法的决定因素
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12750
Simplice A. Asongu, Samba Diop, Cheikh T. Ndiaye

The paper aims to investigate the legitimacy of the African Union by examining the socio-demographic determinants of citizens' support of African integration. To do this, we use Rounds 4, 5, 6, and 8 of the Afrobarometer survey data corresponding to more than 110,000 respondents. Using logistics regressions, we find that individual characteristics such as living area, education, employment status, political membership, freedom, living conditions, and Living Poverty Index (LPI) are significantly related to the probability of supporting African integration. The findings are largely robust to dynamics of regional integration, the African Union, and Regional Economic Communities (RECs). Thus, since African citizens' trust in the unification could be considered a condition of legitimacy in the process, our results suggest that more efforts should be made to gain credibility, especially as it pertains to the benefits of African integration.

本文旨在通过研究公民支持非洲一体化的社会人口决定因素,探讨非洲联盟的合法性。为此,我们使用了第 4、5、6 和 8 轮非洲晴雨表调查的数据,这些数据涉及超过 110,000 名受访者。通过物流回归,我们发现生活区域、教育程度、就业状况、政治成员身份、自由度、生活条件和生活贫困指数(LPI)等个人特征与支持非洲一体化的概率显著相关。研究结果在很大程度上与地区一体化、非洲联盟和地区经济共同体(RECs)的动态变化保持一致。因此,由于非洲公民对统一的信任可被视为该进程合法性的一个条件,我们的研究结果表明,应做出更多努力来赢得公信力,尤其是在非洲一体化的益处方面。
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引用次数: 0
Tax revenue mobilization and institutional quality in sub-Saharan Africa: An empirical investigation 撒哈拉以南非洲的税收动员和机构质量:实证调查
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12752
Mamadou Bah

This paper investigates the effects of institutional quality on tax revenue collection in sub-Saharan African countries. We include the six institutional quality indicators (i.e., voice and accountability, political stability, regulatory quality, rule of law, control of corruption, and government effectiveness) as explanatory factors for tax revenues and its components in a sample of 42 countries over the period 1996–2019. A system GMM approach was used for the estimations. Consistent with previous results, we find that institutional quality has positive and significant effects on tax revenue collection in sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, aggregate total tax revenues, direct taxes, income taxes, and goods and services taxes are positively affected by the six institutional quality indicators. Indirect taxes are positively associated with four indicators, with the exception of government effectiveness and political stability, while tax on international trade are affected by institutional quality factors, with the exception of control of corruption and voice and accountability. These findings indicate that sub-Saharan African countries should improve institutional quality to boost tax revenue collection.

本文研究了撒哈拉以南非洲国家机构质量对税收的影响。我们将六个制度质量指标(即发言权和问责制、政治稳定性、监管质量、法治、腐败控制和政府效率)作为 1996-2019 年间 42 个样本国家税收及其组成部分的解释因素。我们采用系统 GMM 方法进行了估计。与之前的结果一致,我们发现制度质量对撒哈拉以南非洲地区的税收有积极而显著的影响。具体而言,总税收、直接税、所得税以及商品和服务税受到六个制度质量指标的积极影响。间接税与四个指标呈正相关,但政府效率和政治稳定性除外,而国际贸易税则受到制度质量因素的影响,但腐败控制以及发言权和问责制除外。这些研究结果表明,撒哈拉以南非洲国家应提高机构质量,以促进税收。
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引用次数: 0
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African Development Review-Revue Africaine De Developpement
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