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Time-varying and spillover effects of the macroeconomy on nonfinancial corporate financialization: Evidence from China 宏观经济对非金融企业金融化的时变效应和溢出效应:来自中国的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101679
Jizhe Yang , Tingfeng Jiang , Xingchun Wen , Lu Dai

Using quarterly data from 2007 to 2020 in China and the time-varying parameter vector autoregression model (TVP-VAR), this study systematically investigates the time-varying responses of corporate financialization to various macroeconomic shocks. The empirical findings reveal that nonfinancial corporate financialization is significantly and dynamically influenced by macroeconomic factors. Specifically, a decrease in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) generates a transient promotive effect on corporate financialization within six months, while monetary policy easing has a strong and persistent positive effect on the corporate financialization over two years. Conversely, the impact of economic growth on corporate financialization has experienced structural shifts throughout the sample period. Furthermore, a dynamic connectedness index based on TVP-VAR is employed for the first time to investigate the spillover effects among variables. The results show that nonfinancial corporate financialization is the net receiver of the fluctuations of M2, GDP growth, and EPU volatility. Quantitatively, 28.36% of corporate financialization variation is caused by M2 supply changes. Moreover, the spillover effects on financialization are time-varying and significantly greater during the extreme economic events. Our conclusions enrich the research findings of corporate financialization determinants.

本文利用2007 - 2020年中国季度数据和时变参数向量自回归模型(tpv -var),系统考察了企业金融化对各种宏观经济冲击的时变响应。实证结果表明,非金融企业金融化受到宏观经济因素的显著动态影响。具体而言,经济政策不确定性(EPU)的降低在6个月内对企业金融化产生短暂的促进作用,而货币政策宽松在2年内对企业金融化具有较强且持续的积极作用。相反,经济增长对企业金融化的影响在整个样本期内经历了结构性转变。此外,本文还首次采用基于tpv - var的动态连通性指标来考察变量间的溢出效应。结果表明,非金融企业金融化是M2波动、GDP增长和EPU波动的净接受者。从数量上看,28.36%的企业金融化变化是由M2供给变化引起的。此外,金融化的溢出效应是时变的,在极端经济事件中明显更大。我们的结论丰富了企业金融化决定因素的研究成果。
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引用次数: 0
Research of the non-linear dynamic relationship between global economic policy uncertainty and crude oil prices 全球经济政策不确定性与原油价格的非线性动态关系研究
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101673
Mengqi Gong, Zhe You, Longle Wang, Dapeng Ruan

This paper examines the relationship between global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU, Global economic policy uncertainty refers to the fact that market actors cannot accurately predict whether the government will change the current economic policy, if so, when the government will make changes, and what the content of the current policy changes will be. These are difficult for economic actors to accurately predict.) and crude oil prices from a global perspective within a non-linear analytical framework. Firstly, the non-linear dynamic trends between GEPU and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil prices are examined using the VAR-filtered BDS test, followed by the test of the non-linear Granger causality, which shows significant non-linear causal relationship between GEPU and WTI oil prices. Further, this paper use threshold vector autoregressive model (TVAR) and threshold vector error correction model (TVECM) to analysis the long-term and short-term non-linear dynamic adjustment processes between GEPU and WTI oil prices, the result shows that there is an optimal threshold between GEPU and WTI. In the low global economic policy uncertainty regime, the relationship between GEPU and WTI is mutually beneficial, while in the high global economic policy uncertainty regime, the relationship between GEPU and WTI is mutually inhibited. Meanwhile, the TVECM results show that in the first regime, GEPU adjusts towards equilibrium at a faster rate, while in the second regime, WTI adjusts towards equilibrium at a faster rate.

本文考察了全球经济政策不确定性(GEPU)与全球经济政策不确定性之间的关系。全球经济政策不确定性是指市场行为者无法准确预测政府是否会改变当前的经济政策,如果会,政府何时会改变,以及当前政策变化的内容是什么。经济参与者很难在非线性分析框架内从全球角度准确预测这些。首先,利用var滤波的BDS检验检验了GEPU与WTI(西德克萨斯中质原油)原油价格之间的非线性动态趋势,然后进行了非线性格兰杰因果检验,结果表明GEPU与WTI原油价格之间存在显著的非线性因果关系。进一步,运用阈值向量自回归模型(TVAR)和阈值向量误差修正模型(TVECM)分析了GEPU与WTI原油价格长期和短期的非线性动态调整过程,结果表明GEPU与WTI原油价格之间存在最优阈值。在全球经济政策不确定性低的情况下,GEPU与WTI的关系是互利的,而在全球经济政策不确定性高的情况下,GEPU与WTI的关系是相互抑制的。同时,TVECM结果表明,在第一阶段,GEPU以更快的速度向平衡方向调整,而在第二阶段,WTI以更快的速度向平衡方向调整。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental protection tax on enterprise environmental, social and governance performance: A multi-perspective analysis based on financing constraints 环境保护税对企业环境、社会和治理绩效的影响:基于融资约束的多视角分析
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101671
Ailan Liu , Sijia Dai , Zhixuan Wang

This article fills the research gaps of existing studies on the mechanism between environmental policy and corporate performance in environmental, social, and governance (ESG). The study finds that implementing environmental protection tax can improve the ESG performance of heavily polluting firms. By examining the mediating effects of factors based on financing constraints, the study further explores the link between environmental protection tax introduction and ESG performance of companies. In addition, the heterogeneity analysis in terms of tax preference, total operating cost, and monopoly power, shows that heavily polluting firms with higher tax preferences, higher total operating costs, or weaker monopoly power are more likely to enhance their performance on ESG issues after introducing the environmental tax. This research provides essential theoretical and practical implications for revealing the connection that exists between environmental tax policy and the sustainability of companies.

本文填补了现有环境政策与公司环境、社会和治理绩效(ESG)之间机制研究的空白。研究发现,实施环境保护税可以提高重污染企业的ESG绩效。通过考察融资约束因素的中介作用,进一步探讨了环境保护税引入与企业ESG绩效之间的关系。此外,税收优惠、总运营成本和垄断力的异质性分析表明,税收优惠高、总运营成本高或垄断力弱的重污染企业在引入环境税后更有可能提高其在ESG问题上的绩效。本研究为揭示环境税收政策与企业可持续性之间存在的联系提供了重要的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does China’s market opening eased its trade partners’ domestic conflicts? – Evidence from China’s WTO accession 中国的市场开放是否缓解了其贸易伙伴的国内冲突?——中国加入世贸组织的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101670
Churen Sun , Xuemei Liu , Jinqiang Xu

Taking the event of China’s accession to WTO at the end of 2001 as an exogenous shock, using the “China Import Tariff database” from 1997 to 2007 and the “Uppsala Conflict database”, this study empirically investigates the impact of China’s import market opening on trade partners’ domestic conflicts by using the difference-in-difference (DID) method. The study results show that after China’s accession to WTO, the deeper market opening significantly reduces the trade partners’ domestic conflicts. The results of the robustness analysis using different estimation methods such as two-period estimation, replacement of explanatory variables, bilateral tailing, and sample exclusion continue to support the conclusion. The mechanism test shows that the import market opening brought about by China’s WTO accession reduces trade partners’ domestic conflicts by raising their employment level and improving income inequality. The heterogeneity test shows that China’s market opening has a greater mitigating effect on the domestic conflicts of least-developed countries, landlocked countries, African countries, and countries with poor institutional quality.

本研究以2001年底中国加入WTO事件为外生冲击,利用1997 - 2007年“中国进口关税数据库”和“乌普萨拉冲突数据库”,运用差分法实证考察了中国进口市场开放对贸易伙伴国内冲突的影响。研究结果表明,中国加入WTO后,市场开放程度的加深显著降低了贸易伙伴之间的国内冲突。采用两期估计、替换解释变量、双边尾化和样本排除等不同估计方法进行稳健性分析的结果继续支持这一结论。机制检验表明,中国加入WTO带来的进口市场开放通过提高贸易伙伴的就业水平和改善收入不平等来减少贸易伙伴的国内冲突。异质性检验表明,中国市场开放对最不发达国家、内陆国家、非洲国家和制度质量较差国家的国内冲突具有更大的缓解作用。
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引用次数: 1
Global value chain upgrading effect of foreign capital withdrawal: Evidence from Chinese firms 外资退出的全球价值链升级效应:来自中国企业的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101672
Jinlong Wu , Yuanchao Bian , Junhong Bai

Is foreign capital withdrawal historical opportunity or realistic challenge for Chinese firms to upgrade their global value chain (GVC)? Based on the framework of demand and supply, this study examines the impact and main characteristics of foreign capital withdrawal on upgrading Chinese firms’ GVCs and finds that foreign capital withdrawal promotes the upgrading of firms’ GVC as a whole and the effect is a consequence technological innovation on the supply side and the market scale on the demand side, especially exploratory innovation, utilisation innovation and the domestic market demand. Further research shows that the effect of foreign capital withdrawal on GVC upgrading of small- and medium-sized firms, general trading firms, foreign capital holding firms and non-Hong Kong, Macao,and Taiwan foreign forms is stronger. Foreign capital withdrawal from firms with a low-technology organic composition has a significant GVC upgrading effect; besides, the GVC upgrading effect of foreign capital withdrawal in competitive industries is obviously stronger than that in monopolistic industry. These conclusions help in better understanding China’s foreign capital withdrawal and its economic impact, developing efficient and reasonable countermeasures and promoting Chinese firms in the global market.

外资退出是中国企业全球价值链升级的历史机遇还是现实挑战?基于需求和供给的框架,本文考察了外资退出对中国企业全球价值链升级的影响及其主要特征,发现外资退出整体上促进了企业全球价值链升级,且这种效应是供给侧技术创新和需求侧市场规模的结果,尤其是探索性创新、利用性创新和国内市场需求。进一步研究表明,外资退出对中小企业、一般贸易企业、外资控股企业和非港澳台外资形式的全球价值链升级作用更强。外资退出低技术有机结构企业具有显著的全球价值链升级效应;外资退出对竞争性行业的全球价值链升级效应明显强于垄断性行业。这些结论有助于更好地理解中国的外资退出及其经济影响,制定有效合理的对策,促进中国企业走向全球市场。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial policy and resident health: Historical evidence from China’s Third Front construction 产业政策与居民健康:来自中国三线建设的历史证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101668
Chao Wang , Chen Feng , Caiquan Bai

Understanding the impact of industrial policies on residents’ health is of great significance. This study uses the large-scale national defense industry policy entitled the Third Front construction, which was implemented before China’s reform and opening up, as a quasi-natural experiment to empirically examine its long-term impact on residents’ health. The relevant findings are fourfold. (1) The policy significantly improves local residents’ health in the long term. (2) This improvement effect primarily operated through two channels of increasing residents’ income and improving medical security. (3) The effect is obviously heterogeneous for different genders and hukou, with a greater effect on men than women and significant health improvement effects for residents with agricultural hukou. (4) The findings demonstrate that local residents’ lifestyles and mental health were significantly improved due to Third Front construction.

了解产业政策对居民健康的影响具有重要意义。本研究以中国改革开放前实施的名为“三线建设”的大规模国防工业政策为准自然实验,实证检验其对居民健康的长期影响。相关发现有四个方面。(1) 从长远来看,该政策显著改善了当地居民的健康状况。(2) 这种改善效果主要通过增加居民收入和提高医疗保障两个渠道发挥作用。(3) 不同性别和户口的影响具有明显的异质性,对男性的影响大于女性,对农业户口居民的健康改善效果显著。(4) 研究结果表明,由于第三战线的建设,当地居民的生活方式和心理健康得到了显著改善。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of subsidized distribution on follow-up uptake of vision health services for rural students: A field experiment in China 补助分配对农村学生视力保健服务随访的影响:一项实地实验
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101669
Hongyu Guan , Jin Zhao , Wenting Liu , Yaojiang Shi

Despite rising economic growth, low-income countries continue to exhibit a relatively low uptake of healthcare services and products. Short-term healthcare subsidies are commonly administered in low-income countries to promote long-term uptake of healthcare. To evaluate the impact of follow-up healthcare subsidies, we examined the effects of a one-time subsidy of providing free eyeglasses to school children in rural China. We contribute to the field by using a unique and rare 27-month, two-phase experiment that surveyed 4658 primary and secondary school students from Gansu and Shaanxi provinces in rural northwestern China. The sample was divided into an intervention group that received free eyeglasses for uncorrected refractive errors and a control group that received only prescription information. The impact of one-time subsidized eyeglasses on rural students’ long-term uptake of vision health care vision health was assessed using an instrumental variables (IV) approach. 90.0% of students from the intervention group that received one-time subsidized eyeglasses sought appropriate long-term healthcare, which was significantly higher (P < 0.001) than the control group at 61.3%. Multivariate logistic regression models (OR = 28.315, 95% CI = 10.972–73.074, P < 0.001) revealed that this one-time subsidy of free eyeglasses significantly predicted long-term uptake in related healthcare products and services. IV analysis suggested that wearing eyeglasses may increase the likelihood of students’ long-term uptake by 78.7% in the intervention samples compared to control schools; the magnitude of this coefficient provides evidence that wearing eyeglasses leads to a marginal improvement in long-term uptake within the sample. This result passed a series of robustness tests. Learning by doing and social learning are crucial pathways through which short-term, targeted subsidies might affect long-term adoption, at least for some classes of preventative health items. The provision of short-term, one-off healthcare subsidies can be an efficient and cost-effective strategy for boosting both short-term and long-term healthcare-seeking behavior. Providing a useful reference for promoting long-term health-seeking behavior in rural or other less developed regions in China and elsewhere in the world.

尽管经济增长不断增长,但低收入国家对医疗服务和产品的接受率仍然相对较低。短期医疗补贴通常在低收入国家实施,以促进长期接受医疗保健。为了评估后续医疗补贴的影响,我们考察了为中国农村学童提供免费眼镜的一次性补贴的影响。我们通过一项独特而罕见的为期27个月的两阶段实验为这一领域做出了贡献,该实验调查了来自中国西北农村甘肃省和陕西省的4658名中小学生。样本被分为干预组和对照组,干预组接受免费眼镜治疗未矫正的屈光不正,对照组只接受处方信息。使用工具变量(IV)方法评估了一次性补贴眼镜对农村学生长期接受视力保健的影响。来自接受一次性补贴眼镜的干预组的90.0%的学生寻求适当的长期医疗保健,多变量逻辑回归模型(OR=28.315,95%CI=10.972–73.074,P<;0.001)显示,免费眼镜的一次性补贴显著预测了相关医疗产品和服务的长期使用。IV分析表明,与对照学校相比,在干预样本中,戴眼镜可能会使学生长期摄入的可能性增加78.7%;该系数的大小提供了佩戴眼镜导致样品内长期摄取的边际改善的证据。这一结果通过了一系列稳健性测试。边做边学和社会学习是短期、有针对性的补贴可能影响长期采用的关键途径,至少对某些类别的预防性健康项目来说是如此。提供短期、一次性的医疗补贴是一种有效且具有成本效益的策略,可以促进短期和长期的医疗寻求行为。为促进中国农村或其他欠发达地区和世界其他地区的长期健康寻求行为提供了有益的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Parental non-cognitive abilities and child mental health 父母的非认知能力与儿童心理健康
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101667
Yao Wang , Chunchao Wang , Rui Zhang

Parents play a crucial role in the mental health and development of their children. This study investigates the impact of parental non-cognitive abilities on the mental health of their children. Our findings show that parental non-cognitive abilities, especially conscientiousness, agreeableness, and neuroticism, positively influence child mental health. This effect varies based on the child’s gender and place of residence. Moreover, disparities in non-cognitive abilities between the father and mother yield a significant negative effect on child mental health. These effects can be ascribed to three primary channels: the influence of parental non-cognitive abilities on the child’s sense of happiness, confidence in the future, and the level of interpersonal communication skills. Furthermore, our findings suggest that cognitive abilities of parents can moderate the influence of their non-cognitive abilities on the mental health of their children.

父母在孩子的心理健康和发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究调查了父母的非认知能力对子女心理健康的影响。我们的研究结果表明,父母的非认知能力,特别是尽责性、宜人性和神经质,对儿童的心理健康有积极影响。这种影响因儿童的性别和居住地而异。此外,父亲和母亲在非认知能力方面的差异对儿童的心理健康产生了显著的负面影响。这些影响可归因于三个主要渠道:父母的非认知能力对孩子幸福感、对未来的信心和人际沟通技能水平的影响。此外,我们的研究结果表明,父母的认知能力可以调节他们的非认知能力对孩子心理健康的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Trade with innovation benefits: A re-appraisal using micro data from China 贸易与创新利益:基于中国微观数据的再评价
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101664
Meng Cai, Riming Cui , Dan Li

In recent years, the impact of international trade on firm innovation has received increasing attention. Some scholars argue that knowledge spillovers from trade are beneficial to innovation, while others argue that the intense competition from trade leads to a reduction in innovative activity, based on the Schumpeterian effect. To address this issue, we creatively construct a dataset of Chinese listed firms from 2000 to 2014 and conduct empirical tests using propensity score matching to investigate the impact of firms' intermediate goods import behavior on innovation performance at the micro level. We construct models of firms' decisions under closed market conditions and of the impact of intermediate goods imports on firms' innovation activities under open market conditions. Our study shows that firms that import intermediate goods are more innovative, and we validate the robustness of this result. We further discuss the potential mechanisms of how exposure to international markets affects innovation, and we find that firms' import behavior affects innovation through scale effect, technology effect, and profit effect. In short, importing intermediate goods enhances firm-level innovation in developing countries. Our study provides significant evidence on the impact of imports on firm-level innovation performance, and our findings provide a rationale for promoting the co-development of trade and firm innovation. This paper also has important policy implications that governments should continue to reduce trade barriers, promote trade openness, and enhance technology transfer and cooperation in order to reap more innovation benefits from trade.

近年来,国际贸易对企业创新的影响越来越受到关注。一些学者认为,贸易的知识溢出有利于创新,而另一些学者则认为,基于熊彼特效应,贸易的激烈竞争导致创新活动减少。为了解决这一问题,我们创造性地构建了2000年至2014年中国上市公司的数据集,并使用倾向得分匹配进行了实证检验,从微观层面考察了企业中间产品进口行为对创新绩效的影响。我们构建了封闭市场条件下企业决策的模型,以及开放市场条件下中间产品进口对企业创新活动的影响的模型。我们的研究表明,进口中间产品的公司更具创新性,我们验证了这一结果的稳健性。我们进一步讨论了国际市场敞口如何影响创新的潜在机制,发现企业的进口行为通过规模效应、技术效应和利润效应影响创新。简而言之,进口中间产品促进了发展中国家企业层面的创新。我们的研究为进口对企业层面创新绩效的影响提供了重要证据,我们的研究结果为促进贸易和企业创新的共同发展提供了理论依据。本文还具有重要的政策意义,即各国政府应继续减少贸易壁垒,促进贸易开放,加强技术转让与合作,以从贸易中获得更多的创新利益。
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引用次数: 0
Climbing the economic ladder: Earnings inequality and intragenerational mobility among Thai formal workers 攀登经济阶梯:泰国正规工人的收入不平等和代际流动
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2023.101665
Athiphat Muthitacharoen , Trongwut Burong

This paper investigates inequality and intragenerational economic mobility among formal workers in a developing country with large inequality. Understanding economic mobility is important because it shapes our perception of inequality. Despite its significance, evidence on intragenerational mobility, especially that based on administrative data, is relatively limited in developing countries. Using Thailand’s tax return data, we study the evolution of earnings inequality, estimate medium-term earnings mobility, and examine the heterogeneity of mobility across age, gender and employment arrangement. Our analysis yields three main findings. First, annual earnings inequality rises during the 2009–2018 period. We find that the inequality is largely permanent, and its increase is primarily driven by top-earnings workers. Second, medium-term mobility tends to be limited at both ends of the earnings distribution, with particularly pronounced persistence observed at the top decile. Our suggestive comparison indicates that Thailand’s earnings mobility is among the lowest in the pool of evidence from both developed and developing countries. Third, there is a considerable heterogeneity in mobility regarding employment arrangement. Workers in less-formal jobs have much lower upward mobility than those in more-formal employment. Our findings also indicate significant heterogeneity in mobility with respect to gender and age.

本文调查了一个不平等严重的发展中国家正式工人的不平等和代际经济流动性。理解经济流动性很重要,因为它塑造了我们对不平等的看法。尽管具有重要意义,但关于代际流动的证据,特别是基于行政数据的证据,在发展中国家相对有限。利用泰国的纳税申报表数据,我们研究了收入不平等的演变,估计了中期收入流动性,并考察了不同年龄、性别和就业安排的流动性的异质性。我们的分析得出了三个主要结论。首先,2009-2018年期间,年度收入不平等现象加剧。我们发现,这种不平等在很大程度上是永久性的,其增加主要是由收入最高的工人推动的。其次,中期流动性在收入分配的两端往往是有限的,在前十分位数观察到的持续性尤其明显。我们的提示性比较表明,泰国的收入流动性在发达国家和发展中国家的证据库中都是最低的。第三,在就业安排方面,流动性存在相当大的异质性。从事非正规工作的工人的向上流动性比从事正规工作的人低得多。我们的研究结果还表明,流动性在性别和年龄方面存在显著的异质性。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Asian Economics
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