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Credit creation, credit destruction and credit reallocation: Firm-level evidence from India 信贷创造、信贷破坏和信贷重新分配:印度企业层面的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101743
Seema Saini , Wasim Ahmad

The rapidly growing empirical studies find that reallocating physical and financial input across and within firms can be an essential productivity growth source. This paper examines the process of credit reallocation across Indian businesses by applying the methodology proposed by Davis & Haltiwanger (1992) for measuring job reallocation. Using the unique firm-level dataset for over 30 years, we find that substantial gross credit flows are masked by underlying net credit growth at any business cycle phase. Our results reveal that credit reallocation is intense, and the majority of credit reallocation occurs within a group of firms similar in size, governance, or industry. We also find that credit destruction is more volatile than credit creation, and excess reallocation fluctuates countercyclically over the business cycle. The findings suggest that heterogeneity in credit market dynamics is a prime source of credit reallocation evolution.

快速增长的实证研究发现,在企业之间和企业内部重新分配实物和资金投入可以成为生产力增长的重要来源。本文采用 Davis & Haltiwanger(1992 年)提出的工作再分配测量方法,研究了印度企业间的信贷再分配过程。通过使用 30 多年来独一无二的企业级数据集,我们发现在任何商业周期阶段,大量的信贷总流量都会被潜在的净信贷增长所掩盖。我们的研究结果表明,信贷重新配置非常频繁,而且大多数信贷重新配置发生在规模、治理或行业相似的企业群体中。我们还发现,信贷破坏比信贷创造更不稳定,超额再分配在商业周期中出现反周期波动。研究结果表明,信贷市场动态的异质性是信贷再分配演变的主要来源。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of high-speed rail on the mismatch of labor and industry allocations: Evidence from Chinese cities in 2000-2019 高铁对劳动力和产业配置错配的影响:来自 2000-2019 年中国城市的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101744
Jing Fang , Fanjie Fu , Xiaoqian Zhang , Shujie Yao , Jinghua Ou

The uneven development of China can be reflected by the mismatch of labor and industry distributions (MLIS) in terms of spatial structure. Industries usually agglomerate in large cities where a strict household registration system causing high barriers with respect to population and labor entry. Infrastructures that reduce the cost of labor and technology mobility, as represented by high-speed rail (HSR), are possible improvement to regulate such distortions as the two agglomerated into opposite directions. This paper focuses on the impact of HSR on MLIS using a large panel dataset comprising 285 Chinese cities in 2000–2019. A difference-in-difference analysis is introduced to carried out empirical analyses. This paper finds that HSR can significantly mitigate the MLIS in prefecture level cities, but not in cities above prefecture level. The heterogeneous effects of HSR are then discussed with respect to industries and MLIS types. Further mechanism tests show that HSR’s mitigating effect on MLIS comes from the employment effect and the innovation effect. Finally, policy recommendations are provided on HSR investment to improve China's uneven development from the perspective of synergy labor and industry distributions.

从空间结构上看,劳动力和产业分布(MLIS)的不匹配反映了中国发展的不平衡。产业通常聚集在大城市,严格的户籍制度造成了人口和劳动力进入的高门槛。以高铁(HSR)为代表的基础设施可以降低劳动力和技术流动的成本,从而改善二者向相反方向集聚的扭曲现象。本文利用 2000-2019 年中国 285 个城市的大型面板数据集,重点研究了高铁对劳动力密集型城市的影响。本文引入差分法进行实证分析。本文发现,高铁能显著缓解地级市的 MLIS,但不能缓解地级以上城市的 MLIS。本文还讨论了高铁对不同行业和 MLIS 类型的异质性影响。进一步的机制检验表明,高铁对 MLIS 的缓解作用来自就业效应和创新效应。最后,从协同劳动力和产业分布的角度,提出了高铁投资改善中国非均衡发展的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of financial development on the position in global value chain: An analysis from the perspective of R&D intensity 金融发展对全球价值链地位的影响:从研发强度的角度进行分析
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101742
Lu Xu , Jing Jing , Chenyu Wu

In this study, we provide a new explanation for the position in global value chain (GVC)—the impact of financial development—and explore the mechanism from the perspective of research and development (R&D) intensity. Based on GVC and financial development theories, we construct a general equilibrium model and find that financial development promotes product quality by increasing a company’s R&D investment intensity, thus affecting the position in global value chain. The theoretical analysis is supported by empirical evidence based on a panel data from 32 countries between 1995 and 2018. Considering that many developing countries are still trapped in the position with low value added in GVC, our findings provide an important solution—launching financial reforms such as developing direct financing, improving financial market flexibility, and enhancing operational efficiency in the market.

在本研究中,我们为全球价值链(GVC)中的地位提供了一种新的解释--金融发展的影响,并从研发(R&D)强度的角度探讨了其机制。基于全球价值链和金融发展理论,我们构建了一个一般均衡模型,发现金融发展通过提高企业的研发投资强度来促进产品质量,从而影响企业在全球价值链中的地位。理论分析得到了基于 1995 年至 2018 年 32 个国家面板数据的经验证据的支持。考虑到许多发展中国家仍受困于全球价值链中的低附加值地位,我们的研究结果提供了一个重要的解决方案--启动金融改革,如发展直接融资、提高金融市场灵活性、提升市场运行效率等。
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引用次数: 0
Teleworkability and its heterogeneity in labor market shock 远程工作能力及其在劳动力市场冲击中的异质性☆。
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101741
Dandan Zhang , Chuliang Luo , Yiran Zi

The rapid development of information and communication technologies has brought about a marked change in work patterns, with teleworking emerging as a vital and complementary form of employment. The COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 led to widespread social isolation, accelerating the adoption of teleworking. Following Dingel and Neiman (2020), we construct a teleworkability index for over 4539 employees and analyze the dynamic changes in their working status in China. Our findings suggest that business and technical workers are more likely to work remotely than essential labor workers. Highly educated female workers who live in the southeast of China show the advantage of working from home. Further regression estimation indicates that, throughout 2020, workers with a higher teleworkability index can better cope with adverse shocks from the pandemic with higher return-to-work rates and higher productivity. In contrast, those with a lower teleworkability index face challenges in job retention and suffer from higher unemployment rates and severe income losses. In addition, the teleworkability index is positively associated with mental health status. This study highlights the most vulnerable segment in the labor market, those with low teleworkability, should be well targeted by the social security system.

信息和通信技术的迅猛发展使工作模式发生了显著变化,远程工作成为一种重要的补充就业形式。2020 年爆发的 COVID-19 导致了广泛的社会隔离,加速了远程办公的采用。继 Dingel 和 Neiman(2020 年)之后,我们为超过 4539 名员工构建了远程工作能力指数,并分析了他们在中国工作状态的动态变化。我们的研究结果表明,与基本劳动力相比,商业和技术工人更倾向于远程工作。生活在中国东南部地区的高学历女性员工则显示出在家工作的优势。进一步的回归估计表明,在整个 2020 年,远程工作能力指数较高的工人能够更好地应对大流行病带来的不利冲击,重返工作岗位的比率更高,生产率也更高。相比之下,远程工作能力指数较低的工人在保住工作方面面临挑战,失业率较高,收入损失严重。此外,远程工作能力指数与心理健康状况呈正相关。这项研究强调了劳动力市场中最脆弱的群体,即那些远程工作能力较低的群体,应该成为社会保障体系的重点关注对象。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring price level trajectory in India: Does it validate the fiscal theory of price level? 探索印度的价格水平轨迹:它是否验证了价格水平的财政理论?
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101740
Biswajit Maitra , Tafajul Hossain

The fiscal policy’s impact on the price level is theorized as the Fiscal Theory of Price Level (FTPL) and has been popularized since the 1980 s. Developing countries often face the problem of prolonged deficits in fiscal management and depend on public debt. Studies on the FTPL in these countries are pertinent but scarce. This paper explores the price level trajectory in the Indian economy for 1985–2019 on the premise of FTPL. Empirical assessment involves both fiscal variables (deficit, debt, public spending) and money supply. The results of the cointegrated vector autoregression model followed by an impulse response analysis reveal that fiscal deficit stimulates the price level, while public spending has a stabilizing impact. Public debt is rather inflationary, but its impact is not robust. Besides, the money supply amplifies the price level. In the price level trajectory, neither the fiscal dominance nor the monetary dominance, that is, indeterminacy, is ascertained. The proactive role of fiscal and monetary policies in the price level trajectory suggests that if the Reserve Bank of India’s stance on price-level stabilization is abreast, the fiscal authority might accomplish the appropriate strategy.

财政政策对价格水平的影响在理论上被称为价格水平财政理论(FTPL),自 20 世纪 80 年代以来广受欢迎。有关这些国家的 FTPL 的研究很有意义,但却很少。本文以 FTPL 为前提,探讨了 1985-2019 年印度经济的价格水平轨迹。实证评估涉及财政变量(赤字、债务、公共支出)和货币供应量。协整向量自回归模型和脉冲响应分析的结果表明,财政赤字会刺激价格水平,而公共支出具有稳定价格水平的作用。公共债务反而会引发通货膨胀,但其影响并不稳定。此外,货币供应量会放大物价水平。在价格水平轨迹中,财政主导和货币主导(即不确定性)都不确定。财政政策和货币政策在价格水平轨迹中的积极作用表明,如果印度储备银行在稳定价格水平方面的立场与时俱进,财政当局可能会采取适当的策略。
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引用次数: 0
The decline in the labor share: Evidence from Japanese manufacturers’ panel data 劳动份额的下降:来自日本制造商面板数据的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101739
Koyo Miyoshi

This paper replicates Kehrig and Vincent (2021) using Japanese data and tests whether the overall labor share decline is led by an increase in low-labor-share firms. The results can be summarized as follows. First, although the labor share of median firms did not rise while the overall labor share was declining, the rate of decline in the labor share of the median firm was slower than the overall rate of decline. Second, the value-added share of firms with a low labor share increased while their salary share did not increase when the overall labor share declined. Third, entry and exit are not important to the decline in overall labor share, as in the United States. Fourth, the role of firms with an extremely low labor share, say under decile, which is a good explanation of the change in labor share in the United States, is limited in Japan. Fifth, the change in actual labor share is very similar to ωi,initialλit, the product of the initial value-added share and labor share at the time. Sixth, firms that increased their value-added share tended to decrease their labor share.

本文利用日本的数据复制了 Kehrig 和 Vincent(2021 年)的研究,并检验了低劳动份额企业的增加是否导致了整体劳动份额的下降。结果可归纳如下。首先,虽然中位数企业的劳动份额在整体劳动份额下降时没有上升,但中位数企业劳动份额的下降速度低于整体下降速度。其次,在整体劳动力份额下降时,劳动力份额低的企业的增值份额增加了,而其工资份额却没有增加。第三,与美国的情况一样,进入和退出对总体劳动力份额的下降并不重要。第四,劳动份额极低的企业,如十分之一以下的企业,在美国可以很好地解释劳动份额的变化,但在日本,其作用有限。第五,实际劳动份额的变化与∑ωi,initλit(初始附加值份额与当时劳动份额的乘积)非常相似。第六,增加附加值份额的企业往往会减少劳动力份额。
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引用次数: 0
Can export trade drive green transformation development of Chinese enterprises? based on the dual perspectives of export density and export domestic value-added rate 基于出口密度和出口国内增值率的双重视角,出口贸易能否推动中国企业的绿色转型发展?
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101737
Ming Chen , Hongbo Wang

Using the Slack Based Measure model and the globally referenced Malmquist-Luenberger index, the green total factor productivity at the enterprise level is calculated from 2002 to 2013 in this paper. Based on this, the fixed effects model, system Generalized Method of Moments, and instrumental variable method are used to examine the impact of export trade on green transformation of enterprises from two perspectives: export density and export domestic value-added rate. The results show that the increased export density and export domestic value-added rate have greatly promoted the green development of enterprises. The internal mechanism is mainly reflected in the domestic market competition channels, management channels and terminal treatment channels. Heterogeneity analysis finds that the increase in export density has a significant promoting effect on the green transformation of coastal enterprises, enterprises engaged in general trade and comprehensive trade. The green effect of increasing the domestic value-added rate of exports on private enterprises and enterprises engaged in comprehensive trade is particularly evident. Both have a strong effect on improving green total factor productivity for enterprises established less than 40 years ago. The research conclusions provide important theoretical support for the coordinated and effective promotion of the development of open economy and green transformation.

本文利用基于松弛度量模型和全球通用的马尔奎斯特-卢恩贝格尔指数,计算了2002-2013年企业层面的绿色全要素生产率。在此基础上,运用固定效应模型、系统广义矩法和工具变量法,从出口密度和出口内销增值率两个角度考察出口贸易对企业绿色转型的影响。结果表明,出口密度和出口国内增值率的提高极大地促进了企业的绿色发展。内部机制主要体现在国内市场竞争渠道、管理渠道和终端处理渠道。异质性分析发现,出口密度的提高对沿海企业、一般贸易企业和综合贸易企业的绿色转型具有显著的促进作用。其中,提高出口产品国内增值率对民营企业和综合贸易企业的绿色效应尤为明显。对于成立不到 40 年的企业来说,两者对提高绿色全要素生产率都有很强的作用。研究结论为协调有效推进开放型经济发展和绿色转型提供了重要的理论支撑。
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引用次数: 0
The opposite innovation impacts of air and water pollution regulations: Evidence from the total emissions control policy in China 大气和水污染法规对创新的反向影响:来自中国排放总量控制政策的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101738
Yanyan Gao , Jianghuai Zheng

This paper uses a unique firm-level data set from China’s two most developed regions, the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and the Pearl River Delta (PRD), to examine the effects of environmental regulations on innovation. Variations in air and water pollution reduction plans under the Total Emissions Control Policy from the 10th to the 12th Five-Year Plans (2001–2015) are explored to measure the stringency of environmental regulations faced by industrial firms. To alleviate endogeneity concerns, we calculate city-level fair pollution reduction volumes which rely only on each city’s contribution to national pollution emissions in the base years and use them as instrumental variables of reduction plans. The two-stage least square estimations reveal that while air pollution regulation (APR) motivates industrial firms to innovate, water pollution regulation (WPR) hinders firm innovation. We confirm the opposite effects by estimating the impact on entrepreneurs’ perceptions of the importance of innovation in industrial firms’ development. Heterogeneity effect analysis shows that APR also hinders innovation in heavily air-polluting industries and state-owned firms, and WPR produces a decreasing innovation-hindering effect over time, which is larger in the YRD region than in the PRD region. We interpret the opposite impacts with the fact that water pollution discharges are more equally distributed across industries than air pollution emissions, resulting in more pervasive and stringent WPR.

本文利用中国两个最发达地区--长江三角洲(YRD)和珠江三角洲(PRD)--独特的企业级数据集来研究环境法规对创新的影响。研究探讨了 "十五 "至 "十二五"(2001-2015 年)期间在总量控制政策下大气和水污染减排计划的变化,以衡量工业企业所面临的环境法规的严格程度。为缓解内生性问题,我们仅根据各城市在基准年对全国污染排放的贡献率计算城市级公平污染减排量,并将其作为减排计划的工具变量。两阶段最小二乘法估计结果表明,空气污染监管(APR)会激励工业企业创新,而水污染监管(WPR)则会阻碍企业创新。我们通过估计企业家对创新在工业企业发展中的重要性的认识所产生的影响,证实了相反的效果。异质性效应分析表明,大气污染防治法也会阻碍空气污染严重的行业和国有企业的创新,而水污染防治法对创新的阻碍作用会随着时间的推移而递减,长三角地区的影响大于珠三角地区。我们认为,与大气污染排放相比,水污染排放在各行业中的分布更为均衡,因此水污染排放总量限制更为普遍和严格,从而产生了相反的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of paternal parenting behaviors on children development in western rural China 中国西部农村地区父亲的养育行为与儿童发展
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101736
Ai Yue , Yali Zhang , Shuhang Zhao , Shibin Liang , Tong Ru , Na Qiao , Yaojiang Shi

Despite the crucial role of fathers’ parenting activities in early child development and the increasing global attention to fathers’ parenting behaviors, these is a paucity of knowledge regarding paternal parenting in rural China. Using a rich dataset of 1145 infants from rural China, we described the prevalent paternal parenting behaviors in the sample area and explored the correlations between fathers’ parenting behaviors and children’s cognitive outcome and socio-emotional development. To assess children’s cognitive development, we utilized various scales based on their development stages: the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-Third Edition (BSID-III) for ages 6–24 months and the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence-Fourth Edition (WPPSI-IV) for ages 52–85 months. Our overall findings revealed positive correlations between paternal behaviors and developmental outcomes of sampled children, including cognitive skills and social-emotional development. Fathers’ parenting behaviors in rural China are insufficient and need to be improved. Specifically, less than a quarter of fathers reported engaging in activities such as telling stories using picture books, singing songs, or playing with toys with their children in the past three days. Based on our findings, we recommend that local government provide additional parenting instructions to heighten fathers’ awareness and participation in parenting activities, especially in rural low-income areas. Additionally, creating more employment opportunities in their hometowns for fathers with young children could substantially benefit these children.

尽管父亲的养育活动在儿童早期发展中起着至关重要的作用,而且全球对父亲养育行为的关注度也在不断提高,但有关中国农村父亲养育行为的知识却十分匮乏。我们利用来自中国农村的1145名婴儿的丰富数据,描述了样本地区普遍存在的父亲养育行为,并探讨了父亲养育行为与儿童认知结果和社会情感发展之间的相关性。为了评估儿童的认知发展,我们根据其发展阶段使用了不同的量表:贝利婴儿发展量表-第三版(BSID-III)适用于6-24个月大的儿童,韦氏学前和小学智能量表-第四版(WPPSI-IV)适用于52-85个月大的儿童。我们的总体研究结果表明,父亲的行为与抽样儿童的发展结果(包括认知技能和社会情感发展)之间存在正相关。中国农村地区父亲的养育行为不足,亟待改善。具体来说,只有不到四分之一的父亲表示在过去三天中与孩子一起参与了使用图画书讲故事、唱歌或玩玩具等活动。根据我们的调查结果,我们建议当地政府提供更多的育儿指导,以提高父亲们对育儿活动的认识和参与度,尤其是在农村低收入地区。此外,为有年幼子女的父亲在家乡创造更多的就业机会,也会使这些孩子受益匪浅。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of trade openness and exchange rate on inflation targeting in Thailand 贸易开放度和汇率对泰国通货膨胀目标制的影响
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101733
Pongsak Luangaram, Nipit Wongpunya

Over the past decade, many developing nations have adopted inflation targeting within their monetary policy strategy, with varied approaches to exchange rate flexibility. This paper investigates if monetary policies in economies with high trade openness should integrate exchange rate movements in setting interest rates. Conventional micro-founded models suggest limited benefits from including exchange rates in policy rules. However, using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework focused on Thailand, a small open economy with high trade openness, we find that responding to exchange rate changes with policy rates enhances welfare, more so than disregarding these fluctuations. Additionally, we observe that increased trade openness leads to a flattening of the Phillips curve and hence requires a stronger policy response to deviations from the inflation target. Our findings highlight the critical role of considering exchange rate movements and the degree of trade openness in formulating monetary policies.

在过去十年中,许多发展中国家在其货币政策战略中采用了通货膨胀目标制,并对汇率灵活性采取了不同的方法。本文探讨了贸易高度开放经济体的货币政策是否应在设定利率时考虑汇率变动。传统的微观基础模型表明,将汇率纳入政策规则的好处有限。然而,我们利用一个动态随机一般均衡框架,以泰国这个贸易开放度较高的小型开放经济体为研究对象,发现用政策利率来应对汇率变动可以提高福利,比不考虑这些波动更有效。此外,我们还发现,贸易开放度的提高会导致菲利普斯曲线变平,因此需要对偏离通胀目标的情况做出更有力的政策反应。我们的研究结果凸显了在制定货币政策时考虑汇率变动和贸易开放程度的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Asian Economics
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