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Long-term effects of early-life education intervention on children’s outcomes: Evidence from school consolidation in rural China 早期教育干预对儿童成果的长期影响:中国农村学校合并的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101751
Anqi Chen , Yongyou Li

Government commitment to early-life education intervention has contributed to human capital accumulation and economic growth in developing countries. Using data from the China Family Panel Studies, we investigate the effects of the primary school consolidation program on children’s cognitive development and behavioral performance. Using a cohort difference-in-differences model, we find that rural children who experienced school consolidation performed better in cognitive tests and had higher levels of openness of the Big Five personality traits, but lower levels of extraversion. Further analysis suggests that early-life education intervention generates long-term effects. Those who experienced school consolidation had higher educational attainment, better occupational fit, and more consistent independent learning, but difficulties in interpersonal interaction. Our findings imply that early-life education intervention should pay more attention to the cultivation of socio-emotional abilities.

在发展中国家,政府对早期教育干预的承诺有助于人力资本积累和经济增长。利用中国家庭面板研究的数据,我们研究了小学合并项目对儿童认知发展和行为表现的影响。利用队列差分模型,我们发现经历过学校合并的农村儿童在认知测试中表现更好,大五人格特质中的开放性水平更高,但外向性水平较低。进一步分析表明,早期教育干预产生了长期效应。经历过学校合并的学生受教育程度更高,职业适应性更强,自主学习更稳定,但在人际交往方面存在困难。我们的研究结果表明,早期教育干预应更加注重社会情感能力的培养。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature exposure and health inequality 温度暴露与健康不平等
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101748
Xin Zhang , Fanglin Chen , Zhongfei Chen , Jie Zhang

This paper analyzes the relationship among temperature exposure, health inequality, and adaptive behavior in China, a country with diverse climate zones ranging from the cold, arid northwest to the warm, humid south. Utilizing follow-up survey data spanning from 2000 to 2015, this paper constructs a measure of health inequality at the community level. Our findings reveal that extremely cold or hot days increase the health inequality at the community level. Specifically, with each incremental rise in the day’s extreme temperature, the Gini coefficient of community health rises by 0.0032, which constitutes approximately 0.4% of the community average. Furthermore, vulnerable communities, which are characterized by low average income, education levels, per capita electricity consumption, and urbanization, are highly susceptible to the effects of extreme temperatures on health equality. From the perspective of adaptive behavior, residents in high-income communities exhibit elevated electricity consumption and engage in frequent preventive health check-ups during extreme temperature exposure. This phenomenon may exacerbate social polarization because well-resourced individuals and communities are better equipped to withstand the challenges posed by climate change and extreme weather events compared with impoverished ones. Addressing this disparity requires local managers to implement comprehensive policies and interventions that can enhance the adaptability of low-income communities, improve public health facilities, and promote social equity.

中国是一个气候多样的国家,从寒冷干旱的西北到温暖潮湿的南方,本文分析了中国气温暴露、健康不平等和适应行为之间的关系。本文利用 2000 年至 2015 年的跟踪调查数据,构建了社区层面的健康不平等衡量标准。我们的研究结果表明,极冷或极热的天气会加剧社区层面的健康不平等。具体来说,当日极端气温每上升一个百分点,社区健康的基尼系数就会上升 0.0032,约占社区平均水平的 0.4%。此外,以平均收入低、教育水平低、人均用电量低和城市化程度低为特征的弱势社区,极易受到极端气温对健康平等的影响。从适应行为的角度来看,高收入社区的居民在极端气温下会表现出较高的用电量,并经常进行预防性健康检查。这种现象可能会加剧社会两极分化,因为与贫困的个人和社区相比,资源丰富的个人和社区更有能力抵御气候变化和极端天气事件带来的挑战。要解决这一差距,地方管理者需要实施全面的政策和干预措施,以提高低收入社区的适应能力,改善公共卫生设施,促进社会公平。
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引用次数: 0
Does being single bring freedom or burden? Examining the expenditure patterns of single-person households in Taiwan 单身带来的是自由还是负担?研究台湾单身家庭的支出模式
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101747
Ming-Hsuan Lee , Wei-Ling Lai

This study utilizes data from Taiwan’s “The Survey of Family Income and Expenditure” from 2011 to 2021 to examine the differences in expenditure patterns between single-person households and multi-person households. The aim is to understand the impact of being single and living alone on living expenses. The estimation results indicate that, after controlling for other variables, single-person households spend significantly more on “housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels”, amounting to NT$67,920 per capita higher than other families. Additionally, per capita expenditures related to maintaining the living environment and daily operations are also significantly higher for single-person households. This shows the higher fixed cost of living alone without sharing expenses with others. However, single-person households have the advantage of being able to concentrate their expenses more on themselves. Significant higher per capita expenditures on several “treating oneself well” items demonstrate the freedom that comes with single living. On the other hand, the comparison of income elasticities shows that the expenditures of single-person households fluctuate more significantly, indicating higher financial risks.

本研究利用 2011 年至 2021 年台湾 "家庭收支调查 "的数据,研究单身家庭与多人家庭在支出模式上的差异。目的是了解单身和独居对生活支出的影响。估算结果显示,在控制了其他变量后,单人家庭在 "住房、水、电、气及其他燃料 "方面的支出明显高于其他家庭,人均高出 67920 新台币。此外,单人家庭在维护居住环境和日常运作方面的人均支出也明显高于其他家庭。这表明,在不与他人分担费用的情况下,独自生活的固定成本较高。不过,单人家庭的优势在于可以将支出更多地集中在自己身上。在几个 "善待自己 "项目上的人均支出显著较高,这表明单身生活带来了自由。另一方面,收入弹性的比较显示,单身家庭的支出波动更大,表明财务风险更高。
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引用次数: 0
Farmers’ cooperatives and smallholder farmers’ access to credit: Evidence from China 农民合作社与小农获得信贷:来自中国的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101746
Meishan Jiang, Jingrong Li, Yunsheng Mi

Farmers’ cooperatives serve as effective means of transforming smallholder farmers’ production methods in the process of agricultural modernization in developing countries. This paper aims to examine the credit effects of farmers’ cooperatives by employing a framework based on institutional finance theory. Based on the 2021 China Household Finance Survey data, an endogenous switching probit model is employed to explore the impact of cooperative membership on smallholder farmers’ access to credit. The research findings indicate the following: i) Farmers’ cooperatives possess information advantages, as financial institutions gain access to smallholder farmers’ information through the organized value chains of farmers’ cooperatives, leading to a direct reduction in transaction costs and an improvement in access to credit. ii) Farmers’ cooperatives can promote smallholder farmers’ agricultural investments, increase household income for smallholder farmers, enhance the liquidity of farmland, and further improve access to credit for smallholder farmers. Therefore, farmers’ cooperatives represent an inevitable trend in the agricultural modernization of developing countries. Rural financial institutions should alter their financial models and resolve adverse selection and moral hazard issues in the credit process through organizational approaches, thereby enhancing access to credit for smallholder farmers.

农民合作社是发展中国家农业现代化进程中转变小农生产方式的有效手段。本文旨在运用基于制度金融理论的框架,研究农民专业合作社的信贷效应。基于 2021 年中国家庭金融调查数据,采用内生转换 probit 模型探讨合作社成员资格对小农户获得信贷的影响。研究结果表明:i)农民专业合作社具有信息优势,金融机构通过农民专业合作社有组织的价值链获取小农户的信息,从而直接降低交易成本,提高信贷获取能力;ii)农民专业合作社可以促进小农户的农业投资,增加小农户的家庭收入,提高农地的流动性,进一步改善小农户的信贷获取能力。因此,农民合作社是发展中国家农业现代化的必然趋势。农村金融机构应改变其金融模式,通过组织方式解决信贷过程中的逆向选择和道德风险问题,从而提高小农户获得信贷的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence and outward foreign direct investment: Evidence from China 人工智能与对外直接投资:来自中国的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101745
Keqi Huang , Qiren Liu

We investigate the impacts of robot adoption (a representative form of artificial intelligence) on outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) by firms in China. First, we construct a unique firm-level dataset of A-share listed firms and conduct empirical analysis by adopting a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) strategy. Second, we find that changes in robot adoption on both the extensive and intensive margins encourage firms to conduct more OFDIs. Specifically, robot adoption has positive effects on multidimensional categories of OFDI but has no significant impact on buying OFDI. Third, we explore the underlying mechanism to show that the rise in output and growth of total factor productivity (TFP) matter. Fourth, we conduct a series of empirical tests to check robustness and obtain consistent results. Finally, we analyze the heterogeneous effects and find that adoption firms with state-owned ownership or higher profit tend to send more OFDI projects, especially to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)-rich countries. Our findings elucidate the impact of robot adoption on OFDI at the firm level in developing and transition countries.

我们研究了采用机器人(人工智能的一种代表形式)对中国企业对外直接投资(OFDI)的影响。首先,我们构建了一个独特的公司层面的 A 股上市公司数据集,并采用交错差分(DID)策略进行实证分析。其次,我们发现机器人应用在广义边际和密集边际上的变化都会鼓励企业进行更多的对外直接投资。具体而言,机器人的采用对对外直接投资的多维类别有积极影响,但对购买型对外直接投资没有显著影响。第三,我们探索了内在机制,发现产出的增加和全要素生产率(TFP)的增长是重要因素。第四,我们进行了一系列实证检验来检验稳健性,并得到了一致的结果。最后,我们分析了异质性效应,发现采用国有产权或利润较高的企业倾向于派出更多的对外直接投资项目,尤其是向经济合作与发展组织(OECD)富裕国家派出项目。我们的研究结果阐明了采用机器人对发展中国家和转型期国家企业对外直接投资的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Credit creation, credit destruction and credit reallocation: Firm-level evidence from India 信贷创造、信贷破坏和信贷重新分配:印度企业层面的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101743
Seema Saini , Wasim Ahmad

The rapidly growing empirical studies find that reallocating physical and financial input across and within firms can be an essential productivity growth source. This paper examines the process of credit reallocation across Indian businesses by applying the methodology proposed by Davis & Haltiwanger (1992) for measuring job reallocation. Using the unique firm-level dataset for over 30 years, we find that substantial gross credit flows are masked by underlying net credit growth at any business cycle phase. Our results reveal that credit reallocation is intense, and the majority of credit reallocation occurs within a group of firms similar in size, governance, or industry. We also find that credit destruction is more volatile than credit creation, and excess reallocation fluctuates countercyclically over the business cycle. The findings suggest that heterogeneity in credit market dynamics is a prime source of credit reallocation evolution.

快速增长的实证研究发现,在企业之间和企业内部重新分配实物和资金投入可以成为生产力增长的重要来源。本文采用 Davis & Haltiwanger(1992 年)提出的工作再分配测量方法,研究了印度企业间的信贷再分配过程。通过使用 30 多年来独一无二的企业级数据集,我们发现在任何商业周期阶段,大量的信贷总流量都会被潜在的净信贷增长所掩盖。我们的研究结果表明,信贷重新配置非常频繁,而且大多数信贷重新配置发生在规模、治理或行业相似的企业群体中。我们还发现,信贷破坏比信贷创造更不稳定,超额再分配在商业周期中出现反周期波动。研究结果表明,信贷市场动态的异质性是信贷再分配演变的主要来源。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of high-speed rail on the mismatch of labor and industry allocations: Evidence from Chinese cities in 2000-2019 高铁对劳动力和产业配置错配的影响:来自 2000-2019 年中国城市的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101744
Jing Fang , Fanjie Fu , Xiaoqian Zhang , Shujie Yao , Jinghua Ou

The uneven development of China can be reflected by the mismatch of labor and industry distributions (MLIS) in terms of spatial structure. Industries usually agglomerate in large cities where a strict household registration system causing high barriers with respect to population and labor entry. Infrastructures that reduce the cost of labor and technology mobility, as represented by high-speed rail (HSR), are possible improvement to regulate such distortions as the two agglomerated into opposite directions. This paper focuses on the impact of HSR on MLIS using a large panel dataset comprising 285 Chinese cities in 2000–2019. A difference-in-difference analysis is introduced to carried out empirical analyses. This paper finds that HSR can significantly mitigate the MLIS in prefecture level cities, but not in cities above prefecture level. The heterogeneous effects of HSR are then discussed with respect to industries and MLIS types. Further mechanism tests show that HSR’s mitigating effect on MLIS comes from the employment effect and the innovation effect. Finally, policy recommendations are provided on HSR investment to improve China's uneven development from the perspective of synergy labor and industry distributions.

从空间结构上看,劳动力和产业分布(MLIS)的不匹配反映了中国发展的不平衡。产业通常聚集在大城市,严格的户籍制度造成了人口和劳动力进入的高门槛。以高铁(HSR)为代表的基础设施可以降低劳动力和技术流动的成本,从而改善二者向相反方向集聚的扭曲现象。本文利用 2000-2019 年中国 285 个城市的大型面板数据集,重点研究了高铁对劳动力密集型城市的影响。本文引入差分法进行实证分析。本文发现,高铁能显著缓解地级市的 MLIS,但不能缓解地级以上城市的 MLIS。本文还讨论了高铁对不同行业和 MLIS 类型的异质性影响。进一步的机制检验表明,高铁对 MLIS 的缓解作用来自就业效应和创新效应。最后,从协同劳动力和产业分布的角度,提出了高铁投资改善中国非均衡发展的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of financial development on the position in global value chain: An analysis from the perspective of R&D intensity 金融发展对全球价值链地位的影响:从研发强度的角度进行分析
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101742
Lu Xu , Jing Jing , Chenyu Wu

In this study, we provide a new explanation for the position in global value chain (GVC)—the impact of financial development—and explore the mechanism from the perspective of research and development (R&D) intensity. Based on GVC and financial development theories, we construct a general equilibrium model and find that financial development promotes product quality by increasing a company’s R&D investment intensity, thus affecting the position in global value chain. The theoretical analysis is supported by empirical evidence based on a panel data from 32 countries between 1995 and 2018. Considering that many developing countries are still trapped in the position with low value added in GVC, our findings provide an important solution—launching financial reforms such as developing direct financing, improving financial market flexibility, and enhancing operational efficiency in the market.

在本研究中,我们为全球价值链(GVC)中的地位提供了一种新的解释--金融发展的影响,并从研发(R&D)强度的角度探讨了其机制。基于全球价值链和金融发展理论,我们构建了一个一般均衡模型,发现金融发展通过提高企业的研发投资强度来促进产品质量,从而影响企业在全球价值链中的地位。理论分析得到了基于 1995 年至 2018 年 32 个国家面板数据的经验证据的支持。考虑到许多发展中国家仍受困于全球价值链中的低附加值地位,我们的研究结果提供了一个重要的解决方案--启动金融改革,如发展直接融资、提高金融市场灵活性、提升市场运行效率等。
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引用次数: 0
Teleworkability and its heterogeneity in labor market shock 远程工作能力及其在劳动力市场冲击中的异质性☆。
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101741
Dandan Zhang , Chuliang Luo , Yiran Zi

The rapid development of information and communication technologies has brought about a marked change in work patterns, with teleworking emerging as a vital and complementary form of employment. The COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 led to widespread social isolation, accelerating the adoption of teleworking. Following Dingel and Neiman (2020), we construct a teleworkability index for over 4539 employees and analyze the dynamic changes in their working status in China. Our findings suggest that business and technical workers are more likely to work remotely than essential labor workers. Highly educated female workers who live in the southeast of China show the advantage of working from home. Further regression estimation indicates that, throughout 2020, workers with a higher teleworkability index can better cope with adverse shocks from the pandemic with higher return-to-work rates and higher productivity. In contrast, those with a lower teleworkability index face challenges in job retention and suffer from higher unemployment rates and severe income losses. In addition, the teleworkability index is positively associated with mental health status. This study highlights the most vulnerable segment in the labor market, those with low teleworkability, should be well targeted by the social security system.

信息和通信技术的迅猛发展使工作模式发生了显著变化,远程工作成为一种重要的补充就业形式。2020 年爆发的 COVID-19 导致了广泛的社会隔离,加速了远程办公的采用。继 Dingel 和 Neiman(2020 年)之后,我们为超过 4539 名员工构建了远程工作能力指数,并分析了他们在中国工作状态的动态变化。我们的研究结果表明,与基本劳动力相比,商业和技术工人更倾向于远程工作。生活在中国东南部地区的高学历女性员工则显示出在家工作的优势。进一步的回归估计表明,在整个 2020 年,远程工作能力指数较高的工人能够更好地应对大流行病带来的不利冲击,重返工作岗位的比率更高,生产率也更高。相比之下,远程工作能力指数较低的工人在保住工作方面面临挑战,失业率较高,收入损失严重。此外,远程工作能力指数与心理健康状况呈正相关。这项研究强调了劳动力市场中最脆弱的群体,即那些远程工作能力较低的群体,应该成为社会保障体系的重点关注对象。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring price level trajectory in India: Does it validate the fiscal theory of price level? 探索印度的价格水平轨迹:它是否验证了价格水平的财政理论?
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101740
Biswajit Maitra , Tafajul Hossain

The fiscal policy’s impact on the price level is theorized as the Fiscal Theory of Price Level (FTPL) and has been popularized since the 1980 s. Developing countries often face the problem of prolonged deficits in fiscal management and depend on public debt. Studies on the FTPL in these countries are pertinent but scarce. This paper explores the price level trajectory in the Indian economy for 1985–2019 on the premise of FTPL. Empirical assessment involves both fiscal variables (deficit, debt, public spending) and money supply. The results of the cointegrated vector autoregression model followed by an impulse response analysis reveal that fiscal deficit stimulates the price level, while public spending has a stabilizing impact. Public debt is rather inflationary, but its impact is not robust. Besides, the money supply amplifies the price level. In the price level trajectory, neither the fiscal dominance nor the monetary dominance, that is, indeterminacy, is ascertained. The proactive role of fiscal and monetary policies in the price level trajectory suggests that if the Reserve Bank of India’s stance on price-level stabilization is abreast, the fiscal authority might accomplish the appropriate strategy.

财政政策对价格水平的影响在理论上被称为价格水平财政理论(FTPL),自 20 世纪 80 年代以来广受欢迎。有关这些国家的 FTPL 的研究很有意义,但却很少。本文以 FTPL 为前提,探讨了 1985-2019 年印度经济的价格水平轨迹。实证评估涉及财政变量(赤字、债务、公共支出)和货币供应量。协整向量自回归模型和脉冲响应分析的结果表明,财政赤字会刺激价格水平,而公共支出具有稳定价格水平的作用。公共债务反而会引发通货膨胀,但其影响并不稳定。此外,货币供应量会放大物价水平。在价格水平轨迹中,财政主导和货币主导(即不确定性)都不确定。财政政策和货币政策在价格水平轨迹中的积极作用表明,如果印度储备银行在稳定价格水平方面的立场与时俱进,财政当局可能会采取适当的策略。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Asian Economics
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