Journal of Asian Economics最新文献

英文中文

Parenting styles across generations and children’s social-emotional development: The mediating role of caregivers’ mental health 代际父母教养方式与儿童社会情感发展：照顾者心理健康的中介作用

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102069

Yang He , Xuerong Wang , Yu Wang , Renfu Luo

Parenting styles play a pivotal role in formulating effective family policies to support early childhood development, with enduring intergenerational implications for children’s outcomes. Drawing on survey data from children aged 6–24 months and their primary caregivers, this study investigates whether the mental health of the second generation (G2) mediates the relationship between the parenting styles of the first generation (G1) and the social-emotional development of children in the third or fourth generation (G3/G4). In a three-generation model, gendered parenting by G1 predicts warm parenting behaviors in G2, whereas hostile parenting by G2 negatively affects the social-emotional competence of G3. In the four-generation model, overprotective parenting by G1 exerts an indirect effect on social-emotional problems in G4, mediated by G2’s mental health. Notably, the positive influence of protective parenting by G1 fathers diminishes with lower educational attainment in G2, while the adverse effects of protective parenting by G1 mothers intensify with higher G2 education. These findings underscore the importance of early preventive interventions to improve caregivers’ mental health and parenting practices during early childhood.

养育方式在制定有效的家庭政策以支持儿童早期发展方面发挥着关键作用，对儿童的结果具有持久的代际影响。本研究利用6-24月龄儿童及其主要照顾者的调查数据，探讨第二代（G2）的心理健康是否在第一代（G1）父母教养方式与第三代或第四代（G3/G4）儿童社会情感发展之间起中介作用。在三代模型中，G1的性别育儿对G2的温情育儿行为有预测作用，而G2的敌意育儿对G3的社会情感能力有负向影响。在四代模型中，G1的过度保护对G4的社会情绪问题产生间接影响，并通过G2的心理健康介导。值得注意的是，G1父亲保护性育儿的积极影响随着G2受教育程度的降低而减弱，而G1母亲保护性育儿的不利影响随着G2受教育程度的提高而加剧。这些发现强调了早期预防干预对改善儿童早期照料者的心理健康和养育做法的重要性。

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引用次数: 0

The effect of multi-level project governance on regional export technological complexity in China 多层次项目治理对中国区域出口技术复杂性的影响

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102068

Yuhang Zhuang , Chaoshuai Zhang , Liyunpeng Zhang

Amid the increasing fragmentation of globalization and rising geopolitical risks, China’s industrial policies, especially those aimed at enhancing exports, have emerged as a reference model for development strategies in some developing countries. However, given China’s distinctive administrative structure and its strong implementation capacity, it is essential to reassess the impact and scope of government decision-making within its multi-tiered governance system. Using a novel dataset of government projects in China from 2009 to 2017, we construct a province-product level measure of multi-level project governance (MLPG) and estimate its impact on regional export technological complexity (RETC). We find that MLPG significantly increases RETC, primarily by expanding financial resource supply and fostering economic agglomeration. Its effectiveness is further enhanced when local governments are both capable and constrained. The magnitude of this effect, however, varies systematically across regions. MLPG has a greater impact in regions with stronger material foundations and more coherent coordination across government tiers and interregional markets. By contrast, its effects weaken in regions with higher levels of market development. These findings underscore that the success of MLPG depends not only on governing capacity but also on its alignment with local development conditions, offering broader insights into how governance instruments can be adapted to diverse regional contexts in developing countries.

在全球化碎片化加剧和地缘政治风险上升的背景下，中国的产业政策，特别是旨在促进出口的产业政策，已成为一些发展中国家发展战略的参考模式。然而，鉴于中国独特的行政结构和强大的执行能力，有必要重新评估多层次治理体系下政府决策的影响和范围。利用2009 - 2017年中国政府项目数据集，构建了多层次项目治理（MLPG）的省-产品层面测度，并估算了其对区域出口技术复杂性（RETC）的影响。研究发现，MLPG通过扩大金融资源供给和促进经济集聚显著提高了RETC。在地方政府能力和约束并存的情况下，其有效性进一步增强。然而，这种影响的程度因地区而异。MLPG在物质基础较强、各级政府间和区域间市场协调更协调的地区影响更大。相比之下，在市场发展水平较高的地区，其影响减弱。这些发现强调，MLPG的成功不仅取决于治理能力，还取决于其与当地发展条件的一致性，从而为如何使治理工具适应发展中国家不同的区域环境提供了更广泛的见解。

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引用次数: 0

How does central bank address the climate risks through monetary policies in China? 中国央行如何通过货币政策应对气候风险？

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102067

Ziqi Lei , Ziyi Zhang , Yanhong Guo

With the increase in extreme climate events, the government plays an important role in sustainable development. This paper examines how the central bank in China addresses the risks and opportunities posed by climate change. First, based on the Copula-CoVaR model, we construct a climate financial stress index to quantify the impact of climate risk on systemic risk. Then, we introduce this index into the time-varying Taylor rule model to analyze the monetary policies of the central bank under different climate risk levels. We find that the increase in the climate financial stress index significantly strengthens asymmetric effects on monetary policies of the central bank. In a country with high climate risk, the central bank may focus on financial stability, less responsive to inflation and output gaps. The policy rate adjustments are more pro-cyclical when the country suffers extreme climate events. Our paper provides the theoretical analysis for improving the functions of central banks and a new perspective for monetary policy adjustment in addressing climate change.

随着极端气候事件的增多，政府在可持续发展中发挥着重要作用。本文探讨了中国央行如何应对气候变化带来的风险和机遇。首先，基于Copula-CoVaR模型，构建气候金融压力指数，量化气候风险对系统性风险的影响。然后，将该指标引入时变泰勒规则模型，分析了不同气候风险水平下央行的货币政策。我们发现，气候金融压力指数的增加显著增强了对央行货币政策的不对称效应。在气候风险较高的国家，央行可能会把重点放在金融稳定上，对通胀和产出缺口的反应较少。当国家遭受极端气候事件时，政策利率调整更具顺周期性。本文为完善中央银行职能提供了理论分析，并为应对气候变化的货币政策调整提供了新的视角。

引用次数: 0

From farm to table: How supply shocks are fuelling food inflation in India 从农场到餐桌：供应冲击如何加剧印度食品通胀

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102066

Anirban Sanyal

Food inflation in India is often driven by adverse supply shocks stemming from poor harvests, extreme weather events, and supply chain disruptions, further exacerbated by export restrictions and geopolitical tensions. This study employs various VAR models and connectedness measures using quarterly data from Q1: 2012–13 to Q2: 2024–25 to assess the impact of supply shocks on food inflation in wholesale and retail markets. Findings indicate that supply shocks influence food inflation with a one-quarter lag, persisting for 2–3 quarters, with recent inflation being largely supply-driven. Time-varying impulse responses highlight an increasing dependence of food inflation on supply conditions, while connectedness measures suggest that food inflation is a net receiver of shocks, whereas supply shocks act as net emitters. The study also finds that supply shocks have a stronger impact when agricultural growth is high, and during COVID-19, supply management played a crucial role in stabilizing food inflation, weakening its link with agricultural growth.

印度的食品通胀通常是由歉收、极端天气事件和供应链中断等不利供应冲击推动的，而出口限制和地缘政治紧张局势又进一步加剧了这些冲击。本研究利用2012 - 2013年第一季度至2024-25年第二季度的季度数据，采用各种VAR模型和连通性度量来评估供应冲击对批发和零售市场食品通胀的影响。研究结果表明，供应冲击对食品通胀的影响滞后一个季度，持续2-3个季度，近期通胀主要是由供应驱动的。时变脉冲响应凸显了食品通胀对供应条件的依赖性日益增强，而连通性指标表明，食品通胀是冲击的净接受者，而供应冲击则是净排放者。研究还发现，在农业高速增长时，供应冲击的影响更大，在2019冠状病毒病疫情期间，供应管理在稳定食品通胀方面发挥了关键作用，削弱了其与农业增长的联系。

引用次数: 0

Research on the diffusion effects of data value in supply chains 数据价值在供应链中的扩散效应研究

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102064

Jiajia He , Qianyao Yang , Yuhan Zhao

While existing literature has extensively examined value creation from firms' internal data assets, the interorganizational diffusion of data value across supply chains remains poorly understood. This paper develops an innovation diffusion framework to analyze how data value propagates across firm boundaries. Using a novel dataset of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed firms (2008–2023) and Double Machine Learning (DML) methods, we document the presence of significant upward diffusion effects: a customer firms' data value enhancement improves their suppliers' operational and financial performance. We identify governance coordination and learning imitation as key transmission channels. Heterogeneity analysis reveals stronger effects among suppliers facing lower financing constraints and employing a higher share of technical workers, highlighting the moderating role of absorptive capacity. These findings advance the data economics literature by mapping supply chain diffusion pathways and informing policies to enhance cross-firm data synergies.

虽然现有文献已经广泛地研究了企业内部数据资产的价值创造，但对数据价值跨供应链的组织间扩散仍然知之甚少。本文建立了一个创新扩散框架来分析数据价值如何跨企业边界传播。利用2008-2023年沪深两市a股上市公司的数据集和双机器学习（DML）方法，我们证明了显著的向上扩散效应的存在：客户公司的数据价值提升提高了其供应商的运营和财务绩效。我们确定治理协调和学习模仿是关键的传播渠道。异质性分析表明，融资约束程度较低、技术工人比例较高的供应商对企业绩效的影响更大，吸收能力对企业绩效的调节作用更突出。这些发现通过绘制供应链扩散路径和为政策提供信息以增强跨公司数据协同作用，推动了数据经济学文献的发展。

引用次数: 0

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102063

Jinying Huang , Minghai Zhou

Healthcare utilization disparities among the older population is a concerning public health problem. However, our understanding of the extent of healthcare utilization inequality associated with socioeconomic status remains limited. To address this gap, the study aims to examine on how changes in elderly’s healthcare utilization over time and changes in the elderly ’s positions in the income ranking by using three waves of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Our findings indicate a significant pro-rich inequality and inequity among elderly individuals. The increase of inequality for outpatient service accounts for the fall in access among the poorest individuals. While the rise in access to inpatient services among the poorest individuals results in decreased inequality. During this transitional period, income is the primary contributor to the phenomenon, while an increase in the share of public pension aids in mitigating this issue to some extent. The results suggest that policies aimed at redistributing sources of income could be an effective means of reducing healthcare utilization disparities.

老年人口保健利用的差异是一个令人关切的公共卫生问题。然而，我们对与社会经济地位相关的医疗保健利用不平等程度的理解仍然有限。为了解决这一差距，本研究旨在通过中国健康与退休纵向研究（CHARLS）的三波研究来考察老年人医疗保健利用随时间的变化以及老年人在收入排名中的变化。我们的研究结果表明，在老年人中存在显著的亲富不平等和不平等。门诊服务不平等的加剧是最贫困个人获得门诊服务机会减少的原因。最贫穷的人获得住院服务的机会增加，导致不平等现象减少。在这一过渡时期，收入是造成这一现象的主要因素，而公共养恤金份额的增加在某种程度上有助于缓解这一问题。结果表明，旨在重新分配收入来源的政策可能是减少医疗保健利用差距的有效手段。

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引用次数: 0

Debt maturity and firms’ environmental behavior: Evidence from the establishment of city commercial banks in China 债务期限与企业环境行为：来自中国城市商业银行设立的证据

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102062

Xi Peng , Yanhong Li , Runcheng Jin , Guangjun Shen

This study investigates the impact of debt maturity on firms’ environmental behavior by matching data from the Chinese Annual Survey of Industrial Firms and the Environmental Survey and Reporting database. We employ the staggered difference-in-differences approach by exploiting the establishment of city commercial banks (CCBs) in China as a natural experiment. The results reveal that the establishment of CCBs reduced the emission intensity of industrial wastewater and waste gas by 8.3 % and 18.0 %, respectively. Mechanism analysis indicates that the CCBs intensified competition in the banking sector and increased the share of long-term debt in firms’ total debt, which facilitated investments in wastewater and waste gas treatment equipment. These findings underscore the critical role of financial development in environmental protection, as the shift from polluting to cleaner production requires financial support, particularly long-term financing, for the upgrade of production technology and/or production equipment.

本文通过对《中国工业企业年度调查》和《环境调查与报告》数据库数据的匹配，研究了债务期限对企业环境行为的影响。我们将中国城市商业银行的建立作为一种自然实验，采用了交错差分方法。结果表明，建厂的建立使工业废水和废气的排放强度分别降低了8.3 %和18.0 %。机制分析表明，建设银行加剧了银行业的竞争，增加了长期债务在企业总债务中的份额，这促进了对废水和废气处理设备的投资。这些调查结果强调了金融发展在环境保护方面的关键作用，因为从污染生产转向清洁生产需要财政支持，特别是长期融资，以提高生产技术和（或）生产设备。

引用次数: 0

Singapore’s role for ASEAN’s portfolio investment 新加坡在东盟证券投资中的作用

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102061

Tomoo Kikuchi , Satoshi Tobe

We investigate the elasticity of portfolio investment of ASEAN and OECD members to geographical distance in a gravity model utilizing a bilateral panel of 86 reporting and 241 counterparty countries/territories for 2007–2017. We find that the elasticity is more negative for ASEAN than OECD members. The difference is even larger if we exclude Singapore. This indicates that Singapore’s behavior is distinct from other ASEAN members. While Singapore tends to invest in distant OECD countries, other ASEAN members tend to invest in nearby countries. Our study sheds light on the role of a regional financial center in global finance.

我们利用2007-2017年86个报告国家和241个交易对手国家/地区的双边面板，在重力模型中研究了东盟和经合组织成员国的证券投资对地理距离的弹性。我们发现东盟的弹性比经合组织成员国更负。如果把新加坡排除在外，差距就更大了。这表明新加坡的行为与其他东盟成员国不同。新加坡倾向于在遥远的经合组织国家投资，而其他东盟成员国则倾向于在附近国家投资。我们的研究揭示了区域金融中心在全球金融中的作用。

引用次数: 0

Estimating the international spillover effects of China’s fiscal policy: A global VAR analysis 中国财政政策的国际溢出效应：一个全球VAR分析

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102056

Huanhuan Guo , Tomomi Miyazaki

We examine the international spillover effects of China’s fiscal policy. A global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is used for this purpose. First, we demonstrate robustly that China’s government spending stimulates domestic private consumption. Second, we show that achieving a primary budget surplus by the Chinese government stimulates the output of several regions in the world. These results imply that while government spending in China is a useful stimulus measure from a domestic perspective, fiscal rectitude in China during normal times can be justified in the long run from an international perspective.

我们考察了中国财政政策的国际溢出效应。为此，采用了全局向量自回归（GVAR）模型。首先，我们有力地证明了中国政府支出刺激了国内私人消费。其次，我们表明，中国政府实现初级预算盈余刺激了世界多个地区的产出。这些结果表明，虽然从国内角度来看，中国的政府支出是一种有用的刺激措施，但从国际角度来看，从长期来看，中国在正常时期的财政廉洁是合理的。

引用次数: 0

A copula-based framework for studying intergenerational income mobility 基于copula的代际收入流动研究框架

IF 3.4 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Asian Economics

Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102059

Anning Hu , Zhipeng Zhou

This study extensively elucidates the methodological advantages inherent in a copula-based framework for researching intergenerational income mobility: (1) By delving into copula density, one can shift the focus from a single summary index (such as the rank-rank slope or intergenerational income elasticity) to more nuanced mobility patterns that exhibit less sensitivity to marginal income distribution specifications. (2) With consistent marginal cumulative distributions, the framework enables the examination of changes in bivariate intergenerational income dependence, or morphology. This is achieved by assessing variations in copula density before and after accounting for relevant covariates, with the Cramér–von Mises statistic providing a user-friendly test for the statistical significance of these variations. (3) The copula-based framework, through the construction of different cross profiles on the copula density surface, accommodates research objectives related to both relative and absolute income mobility. To exemplify the application of this framework, we investigate intergenerational income mobility between 1978 and 2017 using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79).

本研究广泛阐明了基于copula的代际收入流动研究框架所固有的方法论优势：(1)通过深入研究copula密度，人们可以将重点从单一的汇总指数（如等级斜率或代际收入弹性）转移到对边际收入分配规范不太敏感的更细致的流动性模式上。(2)在边际累积分布一致的情况下，该框架能够检验双变量代际收入依赖或形态的变化。这是通过在考虑相关协变量之前和之后评估联结密度的变化来实现的，cram - von Mises统计为这些变化的统计显著性提供了一个用户友好的测试。(3)基于copula的框架通过在copula密度面上构建不同的交叉剖面，可以同时满足相对和绝对收入流动性的研究目标。为了举例说明这一框架的应用，我们使用1979年全国青年纵向调查（NLSY79）调查了1978年至2017年的代际收入流动性。

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