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Complexity theory for complexity reduction? Revisiting the ontological and epistemological basis of complexity science with Critical Realism 用复杂性理论降低复杂性?用批判现实主义重新审视复杂性科学的本体论和认识论基础
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12412
Yi Yang

Complexity theory (CT) identifies our social system as a contingent and emergent product of non-linear interactions between existing patterns and events. However, CT scholars carrying out various empirical applications have often adopted constructivist positions that disallow the separate existence of social systems and agency, thereby preventing effective analysis of their interactions. Instead, with the help of Critical Realism (CR), we offer a realist complexity approach that sees complexity in terms of the distinction between the domains of the Real, the Actual, and the Empirical, when existing studies of CT still work with a flat ontology that collapses the three domains into one (the Empirical domain). Our non-conflationary CR-CT approach thus argues that a satisfactory explanation of social complexity cannot be at the level of agential experience (the Empirical domain) or at the level of human and systematic events (the Actual domain) but needs to identify causal mechanisms (in the Real domain) of such events. It then combines this depth ontology (that distinguishes the three reality domains) with epistemological relativism (that underscores the contingent character of knowledge claims) to argue that though our knowledge and complexity reduction techniques are socially constructed, it hardly follows that the ontological dimension of reality (spreading across the three domains) is always affected by our complexity reduction efforts at the epistemological dimension in the Empirical domain.

复杂性理论(CT)认为,我们的社会系统是现有模式和事件之间非线性互动的偶然和新兴产物。然而,进行各种实证应用的复杂性理论学者往往采取建构主义立场,不承认社会系统和机构的独立存在,从而无法对它们之间的相互作用进行有效分析。相反,在批判现实主义(CR)的帮助下,我们提供了一种现实主义的复杂性研究方法,从 "真实"(Real)、"实际"(Actual)和 "经验"(Empirical)三个领域的区别来看待复杂性,而现有的 CT 研究仍在使用平面本体论,将三个领域合而为一(经验领域)。因此,我们的非冲突性 CR-CT 方法认为,要对社会复杂性做出令人满意的解释,不能停留在行为经验层面(经验领域),也不能停留在人类和系统事件层面(实际领域),而是需要确定这些事件的因果机制(在现实领域)。然后,它将这种深度本体论(区分三个现实领域)与认识论相对主义(强调知识主张的偶然性)结合起来,论证虽然我们的知识和降低复杂性的技术是社会建构的,但这并不意味着现实的本体论维度(遍及三个领域)总是受到我们在经验领域认识论维度降低复杂性的努力的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Realism and Complexity 现实主义与复杂性
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12409
Douglas V. Porpora

I will argue that from a CR perspective, social reality is complex. It just is not complex in the ways CT suggests. Even emergence, according to CR, is more complex and stronger than CT suggests. First wave CR is enough to advance the issue considerably, but I will also examine dialectical CR as a further attempt within CR to take account of complexity.

我认为,从 CR 的角度来看,社会现实是复杂的。只是并不像 CT 所说的那样复杂。根据 CR 的观点,即使是 "涌现"(emergence)也比 CT 所说的更复杂、更强大。第一波 CR 足以大大推进这一问题,但我还将研究辩证 CR,作为 CR 内部考虑复杂性的进一步尝试。
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引用次数: 0
Structure and agency between French and Morphogenetic Régulation 法式和形态发生调节之间的结构和机构
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12407
Karim Knio, Brandon Sommer

This article examines the gradual evolution of the French Régulation school (FR) for the study of capitalism through the lens of structure and agency. The analysis first segments the school into two epochs, the early Régulation, led by authors Aglietta and Lipietz, and the later Régulation, which saw the rise of Boyer. We find that the gradual progression that occurred within the FR school is linked to its authors' implicit ontic engagement with structure and agency, which, in turn, provides natural linkages to Critical Realism. In the second part of the paper, we demonstrate how the comparison between Morphogenetic Régulation and French Régulation (FR) can facilitate a much deeper reading of the structure-agency debate pertaining to the transformation of capitalism. In so doing, it discusses the value addedness of Morphogenetic Régulation through three specific concepts by stressing their relevance for contemporary studies in international political economy. These concepts are: stratified emergence; causality and the problématique of hierarchy.

本文通过结构与代理的视角,探讨了法国 "调控学派"(FR)在研究资本主义方面的逐步演变。分析首先将该学派划分为两个时代,即由作者阿格利埃塔和利皮耶茨领导的早期 "调控学派 "和博耶崛起的后期 "调控学派"。我们发现,弗雷德里克学派内部的渐进式发展与其作者对结构和机构的隐性本体参与有关,而这又与批判现实主义有着天然的联系。在本文的第二部分,我们论证了将 "形态调节 "与 "法式调节"(FR)进行比较如何有助于更深入地解读与资本主义转型相关的结构-机构之争。在此过程中,本报告通过三个具体概念讨论了 "形态调节 "的附加值,强调了它们与当代国际政治经济学研究的相关性。这些概念是:分层出现、因果关系和等级问题。
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引用次数: 0
Social cognition and the origin of concepts in Durkheim's sociology of knowledge 杜克海姆知识社会学中的社会认知和概念起源
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12406
Philip D. Walsh

This paper re-examines a key feature of Emile Durkheim's sociology of knowledge from a critical realist perspective. It is argued that Durkheim's attempt to establish a social basis for the categories in The Elementary Forms of Religious Life should be understood along ontological rather than epistemological lines. This brings to light new problems with the argument which, however, can be brought fruitfully into contact with the more recent social psychological literature on collective intentionality. This yields insights into future lines of inquiry into social cognition and theories of human conceptualizing capacities.

本文从批判现实主义的角度重新审视了埃米尔-杜克海姆的知识社会学的一个关键特征。本文认为,杜克海姆试图为《宗教生活的基本形式》中的范畴建立社会基础,这一尝试应从本体论而非认识论的角度来理解。这就为这一论点带来了新的问题,而这些问题可以与最近关于集体意向性的社会心理学文献进行富有成效的联系。这将对未来社会认知和人类概念化能力理论的研究方向产生深远影响。
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引用次数: 0
Borderline institution 边缘机构
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12403
Emmanuel Lazega

This paper introduces the concept of “borderline institution” to characterize an institution in which actors push upstream the boundary between the normal and the pathological and find downstream ways of systematically taking advantage of this push ex-post. This happens for example when actors make decisions based on predictions; and are simultaneously allowed by vertical concentration to manage conflicts generated by the consequences of these decisions when these predictions fail. A theory of how to identify a borderline institution based on this vertical concentration uses bankruptcy proceedings at the Commercial Court of Paris as an example, relying on Karl Polanyi's concept of double movement and Margaret Archer's concept of double morphogenesis. In this court, bankers as lay judges can control both credit-related predictions at the bank, and bankruptcy proceedings at the court. Enabling conditions for borderline institutional entrepreneurs as “vertical linchpins” in this multilevel context explain how they concentrate enough power to reach a position from which to drive such dynamics. The conclusion asks whether societies promote new borderline institutions to face contemporary and urgent existential challenges.

本文提出了 "边界体制 "的概念,以描述这样一种体制,即行为体在上游推动正常与病态之间的边界,并在下游找到系统地事后利用这种推动的方法。例如,当行为者根据预测做出决策时,就会出现这种情况;同时,当这些预测失败时,纵向集中又允许行为者管理这些决策的后果所产生的冲突。卡尔-波兰尼(Karl Polanyi)的 "双重运动"(double movement)概念和玛格丽特-阿切尔(Margaret Archer)的 "双重形态发生"(double morphogenesis)概念,以巴黎商事法院的破产程序为例,阐述了如何根据这种纵向集中来识别边缘机构的理论。在该法院中,银行家作为非专业法官既可以控制银行与信贷相关的预测,也可以控制法院的破产程序。在这种多层次的背景下,边缘机构企业家作为 "纵向关键人物 "的有利条件解释了他们如何集中足够的权力,以达到可以推动这种动态的地位。结论提出了这样一个问题:社会是否会促进新的边缘机构来应对当代紧迫的生存挑战?
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引用次数: 0
Do Realists Predict? 现实主义者会预测吗?
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12404
Douglas Porpora

As Petter Naess observes, some specifically prominent voices within CR have expressly denied our ability to predict much in the social domain while others express great caution about endorsing any such ability. In print, Naess has been the most prominent CR voice defending predictability, but there are others of us critical realists who share Naess's view. The purpose of this paper is to further defend the view that critical realists have no special problem with predicting events. We just do not grant prediction the same status that positivists do. The argument here is parallel to Porpora's that critical realists can and do run regressions but without granting them the same explanatory status as positivism.

正如彼得-奈斯(Petter Naess)所观察到的,批判现实主义内部一些特别著名的声音明确否认我们有能力预测社会领域的很多事情,而另一些声音则对认可任何这种能力表示非常谨慎。在印刷品中,奈斯是为可预测性辩护的最著名的 CR 声音,但我们批判现实主义者中也有与奈斯观点相同的人。本文旨在进一步捍卫批判现实主义者在预测事件方面没有特殊问题的观点。我们只是没有给予预测以实证主义者那样的地位。本文的论点与波波拉的论点相似,即批判现实主义者可以而且确实进行了回归,但并没有赋予它们与实证主义相同的解释地位。
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引用次数: 0
Representing personal and common futures: Insights and new connections between the theory of social representations and the pragmatic sociology of engagements 代表个人和共同的未来:社会表征理论与参与的实用社会学之间的见解和新联系
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12398
Ross Wallace, Susana Batel

To understand social issues and practices such as those related to climate change and technological change that are clearly future-oriented – collectively experienced events that are “not yet” – and co-constructed by different actors, we need nuanced conceptualizations of how people think about, negotiate and co-create futures that allow us to understand not only what people (can) think and do about future-related issues but also how that happens, what for and with which implications. However, so far, one of the key theoretical approaches that has conceptualised how people make meaning in situations of change and uncertainty – the socio-psychological social representations theory (SRT) – has not often engaged with the future or with different forms of temporality. By contrast, the French pragmatic sociology of engagements and critique (PS) has engaged with these notions, conceptualising them in relation to materiality and a plurality of moral orientations – two dimensions often seen as key to how collective futures are made and imagined. To offer a more nuanced and systematic conceptualization of how people represent the future and with what consequences, this paper will present, compare and synthesise SRT and PS, as a first step towards an interdisciplinary research agenda on social change and representations of the future.

为了理解与气候变化和技术变革相关的社会问题和实践(这些问题和实践明显面向未来--集体经历 "尚未发生 "的事件--并由不同参与者共同构建),我们需要对人们如何思考、协商和共同创造未来进行细致入微的概念化,使我们不仅能够理解人们(能够)对与未来相关的问题想什么、做什么,而且能够理解这些问题是如何发生的、对哪些方面有影响、产生了哪些影响。然而,迄今为止,将人们如何在变化和不确定的情况下创造意义概念化的主要理论方法之一--社会心理学社会表征理论(SRT)--并不经常涉及未来或不同形式的时间性。与此相反,法国的参与和批判实用社会学(PS)则涉及到了这些概念,并将其与物质性和道德取向的多元性联系起来进行概念化--这两个方面通常被视为集体未来如何产生和想象的关键。为了对人们如何表述未来及其后果进行更细致、更系统的概念化,本文将介绍、比较和综合 SRT 和 PS,作为迈向社会变革和未来表述跨学科研究议程的第一步。
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引用次数: 0
The prediction of social catastrophes: Between necessity and contingency 社会灾难的预测:必要性与偶然性之间
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12399
Pierpaolo Donati

The article argues that social catastrophes are the product of networks of unsaturated social relations that lead to the exponential spread of a social evil (pandemic, poverty, desertification, etc.). In the exponential curve of catastrophe there is an inflection point where, if unsaturated social relations are saturated, the catastrophe can be halted and ultimately avoided. The inflection point can be conceived as a generative relational complex in which both necessity and contingency of social relations are at work. Necessity is due to constitutive mechanisms that are automatic and, therefore, to some extent mathematically predictable. Contingency refers to non-automatic, in principle unpredictable relational mechanisms. However, contingency can be of two kinds. It can mean “dependence on” other factors, which can have some degree of predictability, or can be understood as the possibility of “being otherwise”, which is less predictable in its outcomes, but can also open up new opportunities to change the catastrophic trend. The reduction of the exponential curve to logistics can be expected if the networks of relationships at the inflection point are saturated in one way or another. This can be achieved by managing the contingent factors of both types in order to steer the morphogenetic processes of the social networks that configure the inflection point as a relational complex.

文章认为,社会灾难是不饱和社会关系网络的产物,不饱和社会关系网络导致社会罪恶(大流行病、贫困、荒漠化等)以指数形式蔓延。在灾难的指数曲线上有一个拐点,如果未饱和的社会关系达到饱和,灾难就会停止并最终避免。拐点可以被视为一个生成关系的复合体,其中社会关系的必然性和偶然性都在起作用。必然性源于自动的构成机制,因此在某种程度上是数学上可预测的。偶然性指的是非自动的、原则上不可预测的关系机制。然而,偶然性可以分为两种。它可以指 "依赖于 "其他因素,这在一定程度上可以预测;也可以理解为 "以其他方式存在 "的可能性,其结果的可预测性较低,但也可以带来改变灾难性趋势的新机遇。如果拐点处的关系网络在某种程度上达到饱和,就有望将指数曲线降低为物流曲线。要做到这一点,就必须对这两种类型的偶然因素进行管理,以引导社会网络的变形过程,将拐点配置为一个关系综合体。
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引用次数: 0
Imagine, predict or perform? Reclaiming the future in sociology beyond scientism and catastrophism 想象、预测还是表演?超越科学主义和灾难主义,在社会学中重塑未来
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12402
Andrea M. Maccarini

In this article I examine and criticize some mainstream views of the future within scholarly debates, mainly in social science. The goal is to review the strategies sociology is following to include the future as a theme of its own reflections. Such strategies also reveal relevant aspects of the society in which they are developed. The main argument revolves around some tensions concerning the relationship of contemporary societies to their future. The key points can be summarized as follows: in contemporary complex societies, where change is believed to be the only constant, social science seems to have abandoned the future as a theme of its reflections, while at the same time prediction and forecast are increasingly necessary. Future studies are, therefore, mainly an enterprise for managers and engineers, taking place in either government or corporate environments and far from the academy. Why is this happening? And is it necessarily so? What does sociology know about "the future(s)? Could prediction still be the form of the argument sociology can make about the future? And if this cannot be, then what exactly is its possible contribution – if any? Are these embarrassing questions a reflection of the way things really are, or of a wrong attitude sociology has taken to future studies? The main thesis is that insofar as sociology still occupies the field of future studies, it is undergoing a process of hybridization, which leads to mix its representational and performative function in a new way, and that can possibly escape confusion with old and new forms of utopian thinking. Such a thesis is illustrated introducing one particular analytic tool deployed in social scientific oriented future studies, namely scenarios, and comparing its inherent logic with that of the morphogenetic approach to sociological research. I attempt to examine the rationale of such a tool, and how it can serve the purpose of sociological analysis, constituting some kind of reflexive morphogenesis of sociological theory of the future

在这篇文章中,我研究并批评了学术辩论中对未来的一些主流观点,主要是在社会科学领域。其目的是回顾社会学将未来作为自身思考主题的策略。这些策略也揭示了其所处社会的相关方面。主要论点围绕当代社会与其未来关系的一些紧张关系展开。要点可归纳如下:在当代复杂的社会中,变化被认为是唯一不变的,社会科学似乎放弃了将未来作为其思考的主题,但同时预测和预报又越来越有必要。因此,未来研究主要是管理人员和工程师的事业,在政府或企业环境中进行,远离了学术界。为什么会出现这种情况?是否必然如此?社会学对 "未来 "了解多少?社会学是否还能以预测的形式来论证未来?如果不能,那么社会学可能做出的贡献(如果有的话)究竟是什么?这些令人尴尬的问题是反映了事情的真实情况,还是反映了社会学对未来研究采取了错误的态度?本文的主要论点是,就社会学仍然占据未来研究领域而言,它正在经历一个混杂化的过程,这导致它以一种新的方式混合了其表征和表演功能,并有可能摆脱与新旧乌托邦思想形式的混淆。我将介绍社会科学未来研究中的一种特殊分析工具--情景,并将其内在逻辑与社会学研究中的形态发生学方法进行比较。我试图研究这种工具的原理,以及它如何服务于社会学分析的目的,构成未来社会学理论的某种反思性形态生成。
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引用次数: 0
Everything, everywhere, but not all at once? Time, contingency and the open future 万事万物,无处不在,但并非同时存在?时间、偶然性和开放的未来
IF 1.4 3区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/jtsb.12401
Jamie Morgan

The subject of this special forum is contingency and the openness of the future, and in this essay we take a route not often travelled in regard of these and focus first on philosophy of time. We contrast static and dynamic theory of time in order to (eventually) acquire some traction on the meaning of both contingency and the open future. We suggest critical realism presupposes dynamic theory and that critical realism provides various conceptualizations that might contribute to dynamic theory.

本特别论坛的主题是或然性和未来的开放性,在这篇文章中,我们选择了一条不常走的路线,首先关注时间哲学。我们将时间的静态理论和动态理论进行对比,以便(最终)在偶然性和开放的未来的意义上获得一些牵引力。我们认为批判现实主义以动态理论为前提,而批判现实主义提供的各种概念化可能有助于动态理论。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour
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