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Personal safety perception of ride-share amongst young adults in Cape Town: The effect of gender, vehicle access and Covid-19 开普敦年轻人对拼车的人身安全认知:性别、车辆通行和新冠肺炎的影响
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101323
Jennifer Louisa Baufeldt, Marianne Vanderschuren

This paper investigates ride-share related personal safety of young adults in Cape Town in relation to the Covid-19 pandemic. As a response to gender-based violence, the focus is on the different perceptions of females and males. Additionally, this paper considers how having access to a private vehicle affects an individual's perception of their safety. Data was collected amongst university students in Cape Town, as they have previously been identified as likely ride-share users.

Uncertainty in using ride-share services is explored in the scenarios of ‘before’, ‘during’ and ‘after’ Covid-19 to see possible impacts of the pandemic. This study shows that access to a private vehicle is a significant factor when considering ride-share trips ‘before’, ‘during’ and ‘after’ the Covid-19 pandemic. Being female, especially with access to a private vehicle, has a negative correlation to making ride-share trips ‘at night’, ‘alone’ or ‘alone at night’.

By understanding the Covid-19 pandemic influences on individuals’ perceptions, strategies and policies can be better informed. This ensures that the negative impacts of similar future disruptive events are mitigated. Supporting the progress of the case city, Cape Town, into having a more inclusive, multi-modal transport culture, this study proposes the implementation of several policies and strategies.

本文调查了与新冠肺炎大流行有关的开普敦年轻人与拼车共享相关的人身安全。作为对基于性别的暴力的回应,重点是对女性和男性的不同看法。此外,本文还考虑了使用私人车辆如何影响个人对其安全的感知。数据是在开普敦的大学生中收集的,因为他们之前被确定为可能的拼车用户。在新冠肺炎之前、期间和之后的情景中,探讨了使用拼车服务的不确定性,以了解疫情的可能影响。这项研究表明,在考虑新冠肺炎大流行“之前”、“期间”和“之后”的拼车出行时,使用私家车是一个重要因素。女性,尤其是有私人车辆的女性,与“夜间”、“独自”或“独自夜间”的拼车旅行呈负相关。通过了解新冠肺炎疫情对个人认知的影响,可以更好地了解策略和政策。这确保了类似的未来破坏性事件的负面影响得到缓解。为了支持案例城市开普敦建立更具包容性、多模式的交通文化,本研究提出了几项政策和战略的实施。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing the first economic regulation of the Mexican rail concessions 建立墨西哥铁路特许经营权的第一个经济法规
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2022.101250
César Rivera-Trujillo

On February 2020, the Federal Economic Competition Commission (COFECE) issued a resolution on lack of effective competition in 20 routes of freight railway transportation of chemical products originating in southern Mexico. As a response, the Mexican rail regulator, the Regulatory Agency of Rail Transport (ARTF) responsible for overseeing different aspects of rail transportation, such as the economic regulation regarding tariffs, established the regulation and determined maximum rates for the provision of the rail service concerning three different concessionaires in twenty origin-destination pairs for the transportation of chlorine, ethylene oxide, anhydrous ammonia, and caustic soda.

The model used in the economic regulation consisted of establishing a maximum rate per tonne-kilometre for each combination of route and product. The maximum rate was calculated from the average total costs plus a reasonable profit given by the rate that allows a reasonable return on assets, determined through the Weighted Average Cost of Capital that allows the concessionaires to invest in a sector that is particularly capital intensive. Thus, the maximum regulated rate is equal to the rate where the concessionaire breaks even, that is makes zero profit (average cost pricing or “second best”), plus the Weighted Average Cost of Capital.

The results of the rate regulation of the Mexican rail concessions showed a significant reduction of the rates actually charged in 66% on average and 77% with respect to the registered rates. Although the implementation is not complete, as the regulation is being analyzed in the tribunals, the economic regulation showed that the rates are very far from the average cost in the absent of effective competition. More research needs to be done to evaluate the real impact of the first economic regulation of the Mexican rail concessions.

2020年2月,联邦经济竞争委员会发布了一项关于原产于墨西哥南部的20条化学产品铁路货运路线缺乏有效竞争的决议。作为回应,墨西哥铁路监管机构,负责监督铁路运输不同方面的铁路运输监管机构(ARTF),如有关关税的经济监管,制定了铁路服务的规定,并确定了铁路服务提供的最高费率,涉及20对氯、环氧乙烷、无水氨和烧碱运输的三个不同的特许经营商。经济监管中使用的模型包括为路线和产品的每种组合确定每吨公里的最高费率。最高费率是根据平均总成本加上合理利润计算得出的,合理利润是通过加权平均资本成本确定的,该成本允许特许经营公司投资于资本密集度特别高的部门。因此,最高监管费率等于特许公司盈亏平衡的费率,即零利润(平均成本定价或“第二好”),加上加权平均资本成本。墨西哥铁路特许权费率监管的结果显示,实际收取的费率比注册费率显着降低了66%和77%。尽管执行工作尚未完成,但由于法庭正在对该条例进行分析,经济条例表明,在缺乏有效竞争的情况下,费率与平均成本相去甚远。需要做更多的研究来评估墨西哥铁路特许经营权第一次经济监管的真正影响。
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引用次数: 0
Diverted and induced demand: Evidence from the London-Paris passenger market 转移和诱导的需求:来自伦敦-巴黎客运市场的证据
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101304
Nicolò Avogadro, Renato Redondi

The paper investigates passengers' preferences and demand induction (or reduction) patterns for the London-Paris passenger market. By leveraging an integrated model calibrated on an extensive dataset about passenger flows between London and Paris during the period 2009–2019, we investigate key dimensions by which travelers evaluate transport modes and how both socio-economic characteristics and supply-attribute variations contribute to stimulating or reducing the overall demand. The research confirms the importance of attributes, such as travel times, fares, and frequencies on passenger modal choice, providing some sketches about passengers' propensity toward air or high-speed rail (HSR) mode. Based on data in this study, we find that ceteris paribus a one-trip increase in the daily frequency of Eurostar would stimulate demand for more than 94,500 passengers per year (2.3% of current ridership), while a reduction of HSR travel time by 10 min would increase current flows by at least 1.3%. Analyzing the demand implications of a possible policy of ending air routes for environmental purposes, we prove that the cancellation of air connections would result in a reduction of current demand higher than 6%. HSR service providers could offset the reduction in service levels resulting from air routes closure mainly by leveraging service frequency.

本文调查了伦敦-巴黎客运市场的乘客偏好和需求诱导(或减少)模式。通过利用基于2009-2019年期间伦敦和巴黎之间客流的广泛数据集校准的综合模型,我们调查了旅行者评估交通方式的关键维度,以及社会经济特征和供应属性变化如何有助于刺激或减少总体需求。该研究证实了旅行时间、票价和频率等属性对乘客模式选择的重要性,为乘客选择航空或高铁模式的倾向提供了一些草图。基于这项研究中的数据,我们发现,欧洲之星的每日班次增加一次,每年将刺激超过94500名乘客的需求(占当前乘客量的2.3%),而高铁旅行时间减少10分钟将使电流至少增加1.3%。分析出于环境目的终止航线的可能政策对需求的影响,我们证明取消航空连接将导致电流需求减少6%以上。高铁服务提供商可以主要通过利用服务频率来抵消航线关闭导致的服务水平下降。
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引用次数: 0
Reforms in Metro Manila's bus transport system hastened by the Covid-19 pandemic: A policy capacity analysis of the EDSA busway 新冠肺炎疫情加速了马尼拉地铁公交系统的改革:EDSA公交通道的政策容量分析
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101305
Sandy Mae Gaspay , Noriel Christopher Tiglao , Mark Angelo Tacderas , Niki Jon Tolentino , Anne Clarice Ng

In response to the health and mobility issues caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the Philippine government took advantage of opportunities to expedite public transport reforms by converting a portion of Epifanio delos Santos Avenue (EDSA), Metro Manila's busiest thoroughfare, into a dedicated busway. This deserves a closer look since historically, solutions catering to EDSA have been bereft with challenges given the overlapping powers of various authorities and multitude of interests that benefit from the status-quo. Through semi-structured interviews with key actors followed by a policy capacity analysis, the authors found that the pandemic provided opportunities for the key institutions to gain political legitimacy and authority that pushed its stakeholders to cooperate. However, this new solution forced them to take on tasks that are outside their regular responsibilities so while they were able to provide measures to make EDSA Busway succeed in the short-term, much work needs to be done to sustain the gains achieved.

为了应对新冠肺炎疫情造成的健康和出行问题,菲律宾政府利用机会加快公共交通改革,将马尼拉大都会最繁忙的大道Epifanio delos Santos Avenue(EDSA)的一部分改建为专用公共汽车道。这一点值得仔细研究,因为从历史上看,考虑到不同当局的权力重叠和从现状中受益的众多利益,满足EDSA的解决方案一直面临挑战。通过对关键行为者的半结构化采访,然后进行政策能力分析,作者发现,疫情为关键机构提供了获得政治合法性和权威的机会,促使其利益相关者合作。然而,这一新的解决方案迫使他们承担常规职责之外的任务,因此,尽管他们能够提供措施,使EDSA Busway在短期内取得成功,但仍需要做大量工作来维持所取得的成果。
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引用次数: 0
Transport vulnerability: Measuring travel time and expenditure budget in Addis Ababa 交通脆弱性:衡量亚的斯亚贝巴的旅行时间和支出预算
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2022.101247
Eleni Gebremeskel , Mintesnot Woldeamanuel , Berhanu Woldetensae

Public transport is critical for urban dwellers as it is a key link to access economic opportunities and social services. However, transit services in most developing nations are characterized by longer journey time, high fare, unsafe and uncomfortable travel. Hence, this study seeks to analyze the travel experience of public transit users through the lens of vulnerability. The main objective of the research is to investigate transit users’ expenditure on travel, both in terms of time and money, which are regarded as “budgets” allocated to travel. The analysis is based on a survey distributed to 457 public transit users in Addis Ababa. The study applied proportions, percentages and cross-tabulation of key variables and statistical methods, such as one-way ANOVA to analyze the level of vulnerability of transit users. The result shows that low- and middle-income groups bear a higher level of travel burden, in terms of total travel time and percentage of income spent on transport than high income groups. Transport expenditure accounted above 20% of household income for 88% of low-income groups. However, it is below 15% of household income for high income groups, which reveals less financial burden on them. In terms of travel time, 63.8% of middle income groups experience a total travel time of more than 2 h and 52.3% of low-income groups but only 36.3% of high-income groups devote a total travel time above 2 h. Therefore, transport policy formulation should consider the needs and challenges of various groups of transit users.

公共交通对城市居民至关重要,因为它是获得经济机会和社会服务的关键环节。然而,大多数发展中国家的过境服务的特点是行程时间长、票价高、旅行不安全和不舒适。因此,本研究试图通过脆弱性的视角来分析公共交通用户的出行体验。研究的主要目的是调查公交用户在旅行方面的时间和金钱支出,这些支出被视为分配给旅行的“预算”。该分析基于对亚的斯亚贝巴457名公共交通用户进行的调查。该研究采用了关键变量的比例、百分比和交叉表,以及单向方差分析等统计方法来分析公交用户的脆弱性水平。结果表明,就总旅行时间和交通支出占收入的百分比而言,中低收入群体比高收入群体承担更高水平的旅行负担。88%的低收入群体的交通支出占家庭收入的20%以上。然而,对于高收入群体来说,这低于家庭收入的15%,这表明他们的经济负担较小。就旅行时间而言,63.8%的中等收入群体的总旅行时间超过2小时,52.3%的低收入群体,但只有36.3%的高收入群体的旅行时间超过了2小时。因此,制定运输政策时应考虑到各种过境用户群体的需要和挑战。
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引用次数: 0
The sustainable hybrid truck-drone delivery model with stochastic customer existence 具有随机客户存在的可持续混合动力卡车-无人机配送模型
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101325
Ebrahim Teimoury, Reza Rashid

Drone delivery is a fast delivery mode that has gained tremendous attention from academia and various companies in recent years. However, due to limited battery and payload capacities which may reduce the system's efficiency, it is better to coordinate ground vehicles and drones to take advantage of both trucks' large capacity and the drone's high speed. As a restriction for realistic parcel delivery systems, customer presence is only sometimes deterministic. For instance, a customer makes an order from an e-retailer, but due to various probable reasons, he cannot be present at home to get service. In this paper, we have introduced a sustainable hybrid truck-drone delivery model with stochastic customer presence. We have modeled the system with the Markov chain and proposed a linear mathematical model. This work processes with a heuristic and a Branch-and-Bound algorithm. Also, we have carried out numerous computational experiments to evaluate the proposed solution methods' performance, where the results show the efficiency of the proposed algorithms. Finally, we performed a detailed sensitivity analysis on a case study and studied various aspects of the problem. The results highlight that truck and drone coordination reduces completion time, operational costs, truck emissions, and social penalties.

无人机送货是一种快速送货模式,近年来受到学术界和各公司的极大关注。然而,由于电池和有效载荷容量有限,可能会降低系统的效率,因此最好协调地面车辆和无人机,以利用卡车的大容量和无人机的高速。作为现实包裹递送系统的限制,客户的存在有时只是确定性的。例如,一位客户从电子零售商那里订购,但由于各种可能的原因,他无法在家接受服务。在本文中,我们介绍了一个具有随机客户存在的可持续混合卡车-无人机交付模型。我们用马尔可夫链对系统进行了建模,并提出了一个线性数学模型。这项工作采用启发式和分枝定界算法进行处理。此外,我们还进行了大量的计算实验来评估所提出的求解方法的性能,结果表明了所提出算法的有效性。最后,我们对一个案例进行了详细的敏感性分析,并研究了问题的各个方面。研究结果强调,卡车和无人机的协调减少了完成时间、运营成本、卡车排放和社会处罚。
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引用次数: 0
Development of workshop framework empowering local stakeholders for “place strategy” in a district: An implementation at Omotesando, Tokyo 制定研讨会框架,授权地方利益相关者在一个地区实施“地方战略”:在东京表参道实施
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101318
Shino Miura , Hiroyuki Usui , Yuya Ishida , Yoshihisa Oyabu , Kousuke Yamada

This research aims to structure the workshop framework ‘empowering local stakeholders to create a “place strategy”’, a spatial planning and management strategy for enhancing place function in a district. This strategy primarily focuses on the team-up phase for stakeholders with human and financial resources, whose mission is to bridge a backcasting vision to the next step involving others and users of the streets. Referring to the ‘link and place’ theory, originally developed in England and adapted to fit the alternative plans suggested by municipal officials at the community level, the paper establishes a toolkit and sessions for the conduct of a community-led workshop in Japan. The prototype workshop was implemented for the place strategy of Omotesando, a mixed land-use district with a famous shopping avenue in Tokyo. The validity of the workshop was examined based on opinion changes and the feedback of participants at each session. The results show that the prototype can draw the participant's consciousness on both the link and place functions, including a perspective on effective bus service. The policy option guides affected the participants' choice of flexible tactics by illustrating the relationship of link and place, which is not necessarily a trade-off.

这项研究旨在构建研讨会框架,“授权当地利益相关者制定“场所战略”,这是一种增强地区场所功能的空间规划和管理战略。这一战略主要侧重于拥有人力和财力资源的利益相关者的团队合作阶段,其使命是将回溯愿景与其他人和街道使用者的下一步联系起来。该文件参考了最初在英国发展起来的“联系和地点”理论,并根据市政官员在社区一级提出的替代计划进行了调整,为在日本举办社区主导的研讨会建立了一个工具包和会议。原型研讨会是为表参道的地方战略而实施的,表参道是一个混合土地使用区,在东京有一条著名的购物大道。研讨会的有效性是根据每届会议与会者的意见变化和反馈进行审查的。结果表明,原型可以吸引参与者对连接和位置功能的意识,包括对有效公交服务的看法。政策选择指南通过说明环节和地点的关系影响了参与者对灵活策略的选择,这不一定是一种权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Are there bubbles in shipping freight during COVID-19? 新冠肺炎期间,航运运费是否存在泡沫?
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101319
Khalid Khan , Adnan Khurshid , Sinem Derindere Köseoğlu

This study examines the potential bubbles' shipping freight rates during the pandemic through the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. The results explore multiple bubbles in the freight rates during corona disease (COVID-19). Moreover, the result finds that Baltic Dry Index is the most explosive and shows four bubbles, followed by Baltic Clean Tanker Index. The volatile behavior has been more frequent and pronounced since the second quarter of 2021, mainly instigated by the economic recovery. The results detect four bubbles in Baltic Dry Index caused by strong demand for raw materials and uncertainty restrictions. Furthermore, a single bubble in the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index is caused by the increasing oil price, growing demand for floating storage while burst due to new restrictions of the second wave, declining oil prices, and shortages of vessels. The need for oil products, logistical problems and the highest oil prices are the leading determinants of Baltic Clean Tanker index bubbles.

这项研究通过广义Supreum增强Dickey Fuller检验检验了疫情期间潜在泡沫的运费。研究结果探索了冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)期间运费的多重泡沫。此外,结果发现波罗的海干散货指数最具爆炸性,呈现四个泡沫,其次是波罗的海清洁油轮指数。自2021年第二季度以来,这种波动行为更加频繁和明显,主要是受经济复苏的影响。结果发现,波罗的海干指数中有四个泡沫是由对原材料的强劲需求和不确定性限制造成的。此外,波罗的海脏油轮指数的单一泡沫是由油价上涨、浮式储油需求增加以及第二波新限制、油价下跌和船只短缺导致的。对石油产品的需求、物流问题和最高油价是波罗的海清洁油轮指数泡沫的主要决定因素。
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引用次数: 2
Assessing the economic sustainability of gig work: A case of hyper-local food delivery workers in Kolkata, India 评估零工工作的经济可持续性:以印度加尔各答的超本地送餐员为例
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101335
Dipyaman Sinha, Debapratim Pandit

Gigs were once heralded as work ushering in flexibility, freeing workers from the constraints of time, space, and nagging human managers. However it has been marked by long work hours and an unstable income. This has led to a situation where gig workers are increasingly demanding labor rights. Gig work has been qualitatively explored, highlighting the elements of control exercised by the platform companies. However, there is a dearth of quantitative assessment of the economic sustainability of gig work. In this context, this study explores gig work using the case of hyper-local food delivery in India. The first part uses an agent-based and discrete event simulation (parameterized using primary data) to map the net earnings of workers under varying wage rates. The results show that, at the present wage rate, the food delivery worker has an average net earning of INR 265/day (USD 12.10), considering both the fixed and variable cost of operation. This earning is far below that of an average self-employed worker and casual laborer in urban India. Finally, this study proposes a fixed hourly wage rate of INR 37.84 (USD 1.72) to eliminate the variability in worker earnings without inflating the cost of food delivery.

Gigs曾经被认为是一种带来灵活性的工作,将员工从时间、空间和唠叨的人力管理者的限制中解放出来。然而,它的特点是工作时间长,收入不稳定。这导致零工工人越来越多地要求劳工权利。对Gig工作进行了定性探索,强调了平台公司行使控制权的要素。然而,对零工工作的经济可持续性缺乏定量评估。在这种背景下,本研究以印度超本地送餐为例,探讨了零工工作。第一部分使用基于代理的离散事件模拟(使用原始数据进行参数化)来映射不同工资率下工人的净收入。结果表明,按照目前的工资率,考虑到固定和可变的运营成本,送餐员的平均净收入为265卢比/天(12.10美元)。这一收入远低于印度城市个体经营者和临时工的平均收入。最后,这项研究提出了37.84印度卢比(1.72美元)的固定时薪率,以消除工人收入的可变性,而不增加食品配送成本。
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引用次数: 0
Will the latest British reforms to rail passenger service procurement work? 英国铁路客运服务采购的最新改革会奏效吗?
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101321
Andrew S.J. Smith, Chris A. Nash

In the 1990s Great Britain embarked on one of the most radical railway reforms undertaken anywhere in the world, with full vertical separation and privatisation of all aspects of the railway and the introduction of competition throughout the sector. However, since then Britain's railways have been plagued with multiple problems, most notably a failure to control costs, as well as multiple franchise failures and problems with developing sensible timetables, with consequent impacts on train performance. Multiple attempts to reform the initial model have failed and in 2018/2019 a fundamental review was undertaken which culminated in the publication of the Williams–Shapps plan for rail which proposes a major step back towards vertical integration with the establishment of a new government owned organisation to take charge both of infrastructure and services, although the latter will be operated by private companies under concessions. This paper reviews the reasons behind the problems experienced by Britain's railways – which led to the review – before setting out the proposed reforms and discussing whether they might solve the problems and what some of the critical success factors might be.

20世纪90年代,英国开始了世界上最激进的铁路改革之一,铁路各方面全面垂直分离和私有化,并在整个行业引入竞争。然而,自那以后,英国铁路一直受到多个问题的困扰,最明显的是未能控制成本,以及多个特许经营权的失败和制定合理时间表的问题,从而影响了列车性能。改革最初模式的多次尝试都失败了,2018/2019年进行了一次根本性审查,最终公布了威廉姆斯-沙普斯铁路计划,该计划提出了向垂直整合迈出的重要一步,成立了一个新的政府所有的组织,负责基础设施和服务,尽管后者将由私人公司在特许经营下运营。本文回顾了导致此次审查的英国铁路所经历问题背后的原因,然后阐述了拟议的改革,并讨论了这些改革是否可以解决问题以及一些关键的成功因素。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in Transportation Economics
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