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The structural and spatial evolution of the China Railway Express network 中国铁路快运网络的结构和空间演变
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101414
Peipei Qian, Zhongzhen Yang, Feng Lian

To illustrate the structural and spatial evolution of the China Railway Express (CR-Express) network, this paper adopts the Space-P method to construct three complex networks of the CR-Express routes respectively by the block train data in 2013, 2016 and 2019, and the indices of overall network structure (average degree, average path length, and average clustering coefficient) and indices of node importance (degree centrality and betweenness centrality) in the networks are comparatively analyzed. It is shown that the CR-Express network has become more complicated, but in 2016 the overall structure was basically stable, and consistently presents clear small-world and scale-free characteristics. The nodes in the network can be partitioned into four groups based on their influence on network connectivity and the number of block trains departing from them, namely core nodes, freight demand nodes, key nodes and edge nodes. Among them, core nodes and freight demand nodes are located in the central and western regions during the whole study period, and the newly added nodes in the eastern region from 2016 to 2019 are edge nodes. Based on the above analysis, we capture the evolving nature of the CR-Express network across distinct development stages under the influence of policy, economy, geographical location and other factors, and put forward operational suggestions to optimize the CR-Express service, strengthen the maintenance of key nodes, and ensure the efficient operation of China-Europe trains.

为说明中铁快运网络的结构和空间演化,本文采用Space-P方法,通过2013年、2016年和2019年的区块列车数据,分别构建了中铁快运线路的三个复杂网络,并对网络中的整体网络结构指数(平均度、平均路径长度、平均聚类系数)和节点重要性指数(度中心性、度间中心性)进行了比较分析。结果表明,CR-Express 网络变得更加复杂,但在 2016 年整体结构基本稳定,并始终呈现出明显的小世界和无标度特征。根据节点对网络连通性的影响以及从节点出发的区段列车数量,可将网络中的节点划分为四类,即核心节点、货运需求节点、关键节点和边缘节点。其中,核心节点和货运需求节点在整个研究期间位于中部和西部地区,2016 年至 2019 年东部地区新增节点为边缘节点。基于以上分析,我们捕捉到中铁快运网络在政策、经济、区位等因素影响下,在不同发展阶段的演变特征,并提出优化中铁快运服务、加强关键节点维护、保障中欧班列高效运行的运营建议。
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引用次数: 0
Commuter and non-commuter preferences for plug-in hybrid electric vehicle: A case study of Delhi and Kolkata, India 通勤者和非通勤者对插电式混合动力电动汽车的偏好:印度德里和加尔各答案例研究
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101415
Reema Bera Sharma , Bandhan Bandhu Majumdar , Bhargab Maitra

This paper investigates the commuter and non-commuter preferences for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles in two Indian metro cities namely Delhi and Kolkata based on a stated preference (SP) framework. The SP data collected from the car-owning population in each city were analyzed using Mixed Logit (ML) models to obtain the commuter and non-commuter respondents’ perceived benefit associated with PHEV operation-specific attributes in terms of willingness to pay (WTP). Thereafter, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to understand the impact of improvement in related attributes on consumer preferences towards PHEVs. The findings suggest an added focus by car manufacturers on fuel cost savings, battery recharging time, battery range, tailpipe emission, and battery warranty to attract commuters. This study also highlights that high purchase cost and lack of public charging stations are key barriers towards PHEV adoption. Based on study results, policy actions such as higher subsidy, increased public charging stations, and public educational and awareness campaigns by Government could play a major role towards wider diffusion of PHEVs in Indian context.

本文基于陈述偏好(SP)框架,调查了印度两个大城市(德里和加尔各答)的上班族和非上班族对插电式混合动力电动汽车的偏好。我们使用混合 Logit(ML)模型分析了从每个城市的有车一族那里收集到的 SP 数据,以获得通勤者和非通勤者对 PHEV 运行特定属性相关利益的支付意愿(WTP)。随后,进行了敏感性分析,以了解相关属性的改善对消费者 PHEV 偏好的影响。研究结果表明,汽车制造商应更加关注燃料成本节约、电池充电时间、电池续航里程、尾气排放和电池质保,以吸引通勤者。这项研究还强调,高昂的购买成本和缺乏公共充电站是 PHEV 应用的主要障碍。根据研究结果,政府采取的政策措施,如提高补贴、增加公共充电站、开展公共教育和宣传活动等,可在印度更广泛地推广 PHEV 方面发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting trips to health care facilities: A binary logit and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) approach 预测前往医疗机构的次数:二元对数和接收器操作特征 (ROC) 方法
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101411
Patrick McCarthy

This paper discusses an overarching framework that integrates latent variable models and prediction success with receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves. In three illustrative examples that focus on trip purpose, health market indicators, and resources, the paper employs binary logit models and ROC methodology to identify factors that best discriminate individuals' trips to out-patient health care facilities. Data for the examples are a three-year longitudinal survey of persons 45 years and older in China. The study contributes to the sparse empirical economics literature using ROC methodologies and more broadly to the transportation and health literatures. The ROC applications provide new insights on health care trips, finding that out-patient trips for treatment, paying out-of-pocket costs, and lack of monetary resources are salient discriminators in one's trip choice decisions.

本文讨论了一个将潜在变量模型和预测成功率与接收操作者特征曲线 (ROC) 相结合的总体框架。在以出行目的、医疗市场指标和资源为重点的三个示例中,本文采用二元对数模型和 ROC 方法来识别最能区分个人前往门诊医疗机构的因素。实例数据是对中国 45 岁及以上人群进行的为期三年的纵向调查。该研究为使用 ROC 方法的稀缺实证经济学文献做出了贡献,并为更广泛的交通和健康文献做出了贡献。ROC 应用为医疗保健出行提供了新的见解,发现门诊治疗出行、自付费用和缺乏货币资源是个人出行选择决策的突出判别因素。
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引用次数: 0
Fostering collaboration and coordination in urban delivery: a multi-agent microsimulation model 促进城市交付的合作与协调:多代理微观模拟模型
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101402
Cristian Giovanny Gómez-Marín , Antonio Comi , Conrado Augusto Serna-Urán , Julián Andrés Zapata-Cortés

Given the dynamic nature of Urban Freight Transport (UFT) processes, the involved transport and logistics operators face with internal and external issues that should tackle to improve last-mile levels of service and decrease total costs while performing delivery operations. Customers (i.e., freight receivers) perceive the level of service through the acceptance of their requests, while total operational costs are mainly determined by the total travel costs (i.e., distance and/or time) required to accomplish the customers' request. In addition, the vehicle-kilometres travelled are related to the externalities produced. Given that the actors involved in the process operate in a stochastic environment (with changes that can occur both in terms of demand – receivers' requests, and in supply – travel times), collaboration and coordination among the operators could play a key role in meeting the customers' requests as well as in reducing both internal and external delivery costs. Therefore, the paper proposes an UFT modelling framework that integrates collaboration and coordination processes among the different involved actors, and allows the benefits to be assessed. The model has a multi-agent architecture based on microsimulation. In particular, the multi-agent architecture allows us to point out the different actors’ responses to various internal (e.g., delivery requests) and external (e.g., delivery times) changes occurring in the daily delivery operations. It consists of three layers. The first one simulates the interactions among actors operating collaboratively. The second layer microsimulates the collaborative processes of information management. Finally, a third layer integrates the two previous layers, facilitating a decision-making process in such a dynamic context. The whole modelling framework is tested in a real case study in which it is possible to validate pros and cons of working in a collaborative and coordinative environment. The results show significant benefits from actors/operators involved in the process and subsequently can address the policy/measure implementation towards a more sustainable and liveable city.

鉴于城市货物运输(UFT)流程的动态性质,相关运输和物流运营商面临着内部和外部问题,需要解决这些问题,以提高最后一英里服务水平,并在执行交付操作时降低总成本。客户(即货物接收方)通过对其请求的接受程度来感知服务水平,而总运营成本则主要取决于完成客户请求所需的总旅行成本(即距离和/或时间)。此外,车辆行驶公里数与产生的外部效应有关。鉴于流程中的参与者是在随机环境中运作的(需求--接收者的要求和供应--旅行时间都可能发生变化),运营商之间的协作和协调在满足客户要求以及降低内部和外部交付成本方面可以发挥关键作用。因此,本文提出了一个 UFT 建模框架,该框架整合了不同参与方之间的协作和协调过程,并允许对其效益进行评估。该模型采用基于微观模拟的多代理架构。特别是,多代理架构使我们能够指出不同参与者对日常配送业务中发生的各种内部(如配送请求)和外部(如配送时间)变化的反应。它由三层组成。第一层模拟协同运作的参与者之间的互动。第二层微观模拟信息管理的协作过程。最后,第三层整合了前两层,促进在这种动态环境下的决策过程。整个建模框架在一个实际案例研究中进行了测试,验证了在协作和协调环境中工作的利弊。研究结果表明,参与该过程的参与者/操作者可从中获益良多,并可在随后的政策/措施实施过程中,为建设更可持续、更宜居的城市而努力。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainability assessment of inter-urban crowdshipping - A case study approach 城际众包的可持续性评估--案例研究法
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101409
Usman Akbar , Avi Anand Jain , Svein Bråthen

Given the severity and effects of global warming, countries are undertaking attempts to restrict emissions through research, carbon taxes, and other means and policies. Over the last decade, one promising emerging concept in the sharing economy has been crowdshipping. It is currently in its early phases, with little research on its sustainability, particularly while operating in inter-city or inter-urban areas. This study focuses on the sustainability assessment of inter-urban crowdshipping through a case study approach, where the existent literature is scarce. The research employs a multi method quantitative approach with a case study, where descriptive analysis is used to explore the case company's operations. It addresses the other research questions by performing environmental and financial impact assessment considering two relevant scenarios with postal services and transporter operations. Data from the carrier's (Nimber AS, Norway) platform were extracted over 6 months and complemented with a survey for analysis. When compared to alternative scenarios in which 3 PL service providers are utilized, crowdshipping appeared to contribute to lower emissions. It also seemed to be more cost-effective for the users. Unpublished evidence from the ongoing EU LEAD project suggests that access to micro-hubs could be one important urban logistics policy instrument to enhance efficiency for crowdshipping platforms.

鉴于全球变暖的严重性和影响,各国都在尝试通过研究、碳税以及其他手段和政策来限制排放。在过去十年中,共享经济中一个很有前景的新兴概念是 "众包"。目前,众包还处于早期阶段,对其可持续性的研究很少,尤其是在城市间或城际地区运营时。本研究的重点是通过案例研究的方法,对现有文献较少的城市间众包服务的可持续性进行评估。研究采用了案例研究的多方法定量方法,通过描述性分析来探讨案例公司的运营情况。研究通过对邮政服务和运输公司运营的两个相关场景进行环境和财务影响评估,来解决其他研究问题。从承运商(Nimber AS,挪威)的平台上提取了 6 个月的数据,并辅以调查进行分析。与使用 3 个 PL 服务提供商的替代方案相比,众包似乎有助于降低排放量。对用户而言,它似乎也更具成本效益。正在进行的欧盟 LEAD 项目未发表的证据表明,进入微型枢纽可能是提高众包平台效率的一个重要城市物流政策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating tactical surface metering management’s effect on aircraft fuel savings at airport 估算战术地面计量管理对机场飞机节油的影响
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101405
Hideki Fukui , Chikage Miyoshi

We estimated the effect of surface metering technology deployed at Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT) by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) on fuel and CO2 savings. We employed a difference-in-differences strategy, covariate-balancing methods, and a fixed-effects model. Furthermore, we used a doubly robust strategy that combines matching with parametric regression using datasets constructed by data-driven approaches, which minimizes discretion in selecting comparison units. Our estimates from the daily panel of US carriers from November 2015 to November 2019 suggested that about 39.156 kg (95% confidence interval (CI) 64.017–13.436) of fuel and 120.599 kg (CI 197.174 kg–41.382 kg) of CO2 could be saved per flight even when the single-engine taxiing rate was as high as 75% during the entire deployment phase. At the same time, our results suggested a concerning pattern: taxi-out time savings generated by the technology diminished over time.

我们估算了美国国家航空航天局(NASA)和美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)在夏洛特道格拉斯国际机场(CLT)部署的地面计量技术对节省燃料和二氧化碳的影响。我们采用了差分策略、协变量平衡方法和固定效应模型。此外,我们还采用了双重稳健策略,即使用数据驱动方法构建的数据集将匹配与参数回归相结合,从而最大限度地减少了选择比较单位的随意性。我们对 2015 年 11 月至 2019 年 11 月期间美国航空公司的每日面板进行了估算,结果表明,即使在整个部署阶段单发滑行率高达 75%,每次飞行也可节省约 39.156 千克(95% 置信区间 (CI) 64.017-13.436)燃油和 120.599 千克(CI 197.174 千克-41.382 千克)二氧化碳。与此同时,我们的研究结果表明了一种令人担忧的模式:该技术节省的滑行时间会随着时间的推移而减少。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer acceptance of drone-based technology for last mile delivery 消费者接受基于无人机的最后一英里送货技术
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101404
Sebastian Schmidt, Adriana Saraceni

Drones are expected to allow faster and more efficient last mile parcel delivery while at the same time reducing relevant costs. This studies’ purpose is to understand what factors influence consumer acceptance in Germany. The Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology model was expand using an incremental approach. The construct performance expectancy was replaced with the three context-specific constructs, environmental performance expectancy, speed expectancy, and relative advantage of contact-free delivery. Four perceived risk constructs (i.e., privacy risk, safety risk, noise risk, financial risk) were added. Eleven hypotheses were developed and tested via an online survey. The data were analyzed using structural equation modeling in Statistical Package for the Social Sciences. Relative advantage of contact-free delivery, hedonic motivation, and social influence are the highlights among the factors investigated for their influence on consumer acceptance. The influence on the perceived risk constructs privacy risk and safety risk varies depending on drone usage experience and gender. The value of the study stems from the proposed extended Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology model, tailored to a new technology context (drones for last mile parcel delivery) and a different cultural setting (Germany). This research contributes to the multidisciplinary approach of existing drone research by adding a consumer perspective to the mainly logistics provider-oriented engineering, informatics, and operations research.

无人机有望实现更快、更高效的最后一英里包裹递送,同时降低相关成本。本研究旨在了解影响德国消费者接受程度的因素。研究采用渐进的方法对 "接受和使用技术统一理论 "模型进行了扩展。性能预期构念被三个特定情境构念取代,即环境性能预期、速度预期和免接触交付的相对优势。还增加了四个感知风险结构(即隐私风险、安全风险、噪音风险和财务风险)。通过在线调查提出并测试了 11 项假设。使用社会科学统计软件包中的结构方程模型对数据进行了分析。非接触式交付的相对优势、享乐动机和社会影响是调查影响消费者接受度的因素中的亮点。隐私风险和安全风险对感知风险的影响因无人机使用经验和性别而异。这项研究的价值来自于所提出的 "技术接受与使用统一理论 "扩展模型,该模型是针对新技术环境(无人机用于最后一英里包裹递送)和不同文化背景(德国)量身定制的。这项研究为现有无人机研究的多学科方法做出了贡献,在主要面向物流供应商的工程学、信息学和运营研究中加入了消费者视角。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-product airport competition and optimal airport charges 多产品机场竞争和最佳机场收费
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101410
Xi Wan , Benteng Zou

This paper examines the importance of commercial revenue on optimal airport charges in a Hotelling-type duopoly airports competition. Each airport offers multi-products to heterogeneous consumers (airlines and passengers) and sets commercial and landing charges and serves. The airport-airline bundle competes for leisure and business passengers. The setting of landing charges under different regulatory regimes is investigated. We demonstrate that in the leisure travel market, which ignores schedule delay cost, the optimal landing fee is invariant to the regulatory scheme, and concession revenue is determined by an airport’s home market size. In the business travel market, the optimal landing charge is smaller if concession revenue is included in setting the landing fee than if it is not included. In the former case, increasing passenger volume does not guarantee increases in airports’ aeronautical revenue, and a negative impact may exist if the weight of concession profit out of total profit is small.

本文探讨了在酒店式双头垄断机场竞争中,商业收入对最佳机场收费的重要性。每个机场向异质消费者(航空公司和乘客)提供多种产品,并设定商业和着陆收费及服务。机场-航空公司捆绑竞争休闲和商务乘客。我们研究了不同监管制度下着陆费的设定。我们证明,在忽略航班延误成本的休闲旅游市场,最佳着陆费与监管制度无关,特许权收入由机场的本土市场规模决定。在商务旅行市场,如果在制定着陆费时将特许权收入包括在内,则最佳着陆费要小于不包括特许权收入的着陆费。在前一种情况下,乘客量的增加并不能保证机场航空收入的增加,如果特许权利润在总利润中所占比重较小,则可能存在负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
The value of time in a repeated and one-off setup 重复和一次性设置中的时间价值
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101408
Renata Kosíková , Ondřej Krčál , Stefanie Peer

Some recent studies have highlighted the importance of considering the temporal context as a potential factor influencing time valuation estimates. However, in studies that compare shorter and longer-run choice settings, various elements tend to differ between the two settings, rendering it difficult to infer what drives short- and long-run estimates apart. This paper focuses on the comparison between time valuations associated with one-off vs. repeated events. We present the results of a lab experiment on the valuation of waiting time, which has been carefully designed such that the only element varying between the two treatments is whether the choice has a repetitive character or concerns a one-off event. We find no significant differences between the two treatments, and hence can conclude that the repetitive character of a choice situation is unlikely to drive differences between short- and long-run estimates, at least if the concerned travel or waiting times are relatively short (¡10 min).

最近的一些研究强调了将时间背景视为影响时间估值的潜在因素的重要性。然而,在对短期和长期选择环境进行比较的研究中,两种环境下的各种因素往往有所不同,因此很难推断出是什么导致了短期和长期估算的差异。本文重点关注与一次性事件和重复性事件相关的时间估值之间的比较。我们展示了一个关于等待时间估值的实验室实验结果,该实验经过精心设计,两种处理方式之间唯一的不同点在于选择具有重复性还是涉及一次性事件。我们发现两种处理之间没有明显差异,因此可以得出结论,选择情况的重复性不太可能导致短期和长期估价之间的差异,至少在相关旅行或等待时间相对较短(10 分钟)的情况下是这样。
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引用次数: 0
Competitive advantage of car-sharing based on travel costs comparison model: A case study of Beijing, China 基于出行成本比较模型的汽车共享竞争优势:中国北京案例研究
IF 3.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101407
Beibei Hu , Yue Sun , Zixun Li , Yanli Zhang , Huijun Sun , Xianlei Dong

In recent years, car-sharing has emerged and developed in different cities in China, supplementing other urban transportation modes, but also triggering fierce competition with some of them, such as taxis. In this study, we use the car-sharing orders and GPS trajectory data of a company in Beijing, China, to discuss the competitive advantages, market, and development trends of car-sharing from the perspective of travel costs. By building a travel costs comparison model, we calculate the travel costs of car-sharing and taxis under the same travel scenario, comparing their cost differences in the dimensions of travel mileage, duration, utilization efficiency, etc., and locating the cost advantage space of car-sharing. Further, we discuss the impact of different elements of travel (such as time cost, waiting time, etc.) on the cost advantage of travel by car-sharing. The results reveal that, under the current pricing conditions, the cost advantage of car-sharing is particularly obvious when the rental duration is not too long (less than 14 h), the utilization efficiency is relatively high, and the stop time is shorter than 8 h. We also find that it makes great cost advantage of using car-sharing in periods or areas of urban taxi shortages. In the cases of short travel, car-sharing have bigger cost advantage for the middle and low-income groups. In addition, the popularity of bike-sharing can also increase the cost advantage of car-sharing, which indicates that the synergy of different travel models could promote the development of car-sharing. However, when people travel long, the cost advantage of car-sharing would be minimally affected by the elements, such as people's income and the development of bike-sharing. In other words, car-sharing would keep its cost advantage in the cases of long travel, especially when its utilization efficiency is high and the travel stop time is short.

近年来,共享汽车在中国不同城市兴起和发展,成为城市其他交通方式的补充,但也引发了与出租车等部分交通方式的激烈竞争。本研究利用北京某公司的共享汽车订单和 GPS 轨迹数据,从出行成本的角度探讨共享汽车的竞争优势、市场和发展趋势。通过建立出行成本比较模型,计算共享汽车和出租车在相同出行场景下的出行成本,比较两者在出行里程、时长、利用效率等维度的成本差异,定位共享汽车的成本优势空间。此外,我们还讨论了不同出行要素(如时间成本、等待时间等)对共享汽车出行成本优势的影响。结果表明,在当前的定价条件下,当租用时间不太长(小于 14 小时)、使用效率相对较高、停靠时间小于 8 小时时,共享汽车的成本优势尤为明显。在短途出行的情况下,共享汽车对中低收入群体具有更大的成本优势。此外,共享单车的普及也会增加共享汽车的成本优势,这说明不同出行模式的协同作用可以促进共享汽车的发展。然而,当人们长时间出行时,共享汽车的成本优势受人们收入和共享单车发展等要素的影响很小。换句话说,在长距离出行的情况下,共享汽车将保持其成本优势,尤其是在其使用效率高、出行停留时间短的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in Transportation Economics
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