Research in Transportation Economics最新文献_第2页

Sustainable transport governance: Exploring the use of participatory multi-criteria analysis for planning inclusive infrastructure 可持续交通治理：探索参与式多标准分析在包容性基础设施规划中的应用

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101730

Lluis Martinez, Imre Keserü, Cathy Macharis

Multi-criteria analysis (MCA) has traditionally been employed to evaluate transport projects. In recent years, participatory MCA approaches have presented a promising avenue for involving stakeholders in transport planning. However, the potential of participatory MCA to support the development of inclusive transport infrastructure, particularly digital and shared mobility services, remains underexplored. This study examines three applications of a specific participatory MCA method, the Multi-Actor Multi-Criteria Analysis (MAMCA), in Brussels (Belgium), The Hague (The Netherlands) and Vienna (Austria). These applications aimed to support the planning process for implementing mobility hubs, a type of transport infrastructure that integrates shared mobility services and public transport both physically and digitally.

The research draws on the qualitative data collected from the facilitators of three participatory MCA processes, which used workshops, interviews and questionnaires to capture stakeholder perspectives. The cases show that participatory MCA can support the development of inclusive infrastructure, including digital and shared mobility services. Yet challenges remain regarding stakeholder engagement, varying levels of participant expertise, and facilitation. The extent to which results inform decisions, however, depends less on methodological design than on the institutional capacity and political commitment of the actors involved. By identifying these barriers and proposing strategies to address them, this study provides key recommendations for policymakers and practitioners involved in planning and developing transport infrastructure.

传统上采用多准则分析（MCA）来评价交通项目。近年来，参与式MCA方法为利益相关者参与交通规划提供了一条有希望的途径。然而，参与式MCA支持包容性交通基础设施发展的潜力，特别是数字和共享移动服务，仍未得到充分挖掘。本研究考察了具体参与式MCA方法——多参与者多标准分析（MAMCA）在布鲁塞尔（比利时）、海牙（荷兰）和维也纳（奥地利）的三种应用。这些应用程序旨在支持实施交通枢纽的规划过程，交通枢纽是一种整合了共享交通服务和公共交通的物理和数字交通基础设施。该研究利用了从三个参与式MCA过程的促进者那里收集的定性数据，这些过程使用研讨会、访谈和问卷调查来捕捉利益相关者的观点。这些案例表明，参与式MCA可以支持包容性基础设施的发展，包括数字和共享移动服务。然而，在利益相关者的参与、参与者的专业知识水平和促进方面，挑战仍然存在。然而，结果在多大程度上为决策提供信息，与其说取决于方法设计，不如说是取决于有关行动者的机构能力和政治承诺。通过识别这些障碍并提出解决这些障碍的策略，本研究为参与规划和发展交通基础设施的政策制定者和从业者提供了关键建议。

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引用次数: 0

Economic and logistics performance of heavy-duty trucks with alternative powertrains 采用替代动力系统的重型卡车的经济和物流性能

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101727

Romeo Danielis , Arsalan Muhammad Khan Niazi , Mariangela Scorrano , Manuela Masutti

Logistics managers need to take decisions based on economic cost and logistics performance. In this paper, we complement the standard total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics with logistics metrics such as the number of completed orders and the charging time needed for a given period. The latter are computed via a hybrid simulation model that incorporates discrete event, system dynamics and agent-based modules. We apply the model to the shipments by heavy-duty trucks in Italy. We find that when battery electric trucks (BETs) are used extensively for long-distance shipments, their TCO is comparable with diesel trucks (DTs) but they have worse logistics performances under current fast charging conditions (up to 350 kW), with 6 %–28 % loss of order fulfilled, depending on the destination. The loss is reduced if ultrafast charging stations (about 1000 kW) are available. When used for short distances, their logistics performance is still much lower than DTs in terms of orders fulfilled, with the additional issue that the lower annual distance travelled affects the TCO metrics, resulting in higher TCO/km versus DTs. On the contrary, hydrogen-fuelled trucks (H₂Ts) have logistics performances similar to DTs but suffer from much higher TCO/km values in both cases.

物流经理需要根据经济成本和物流绩效做出决策。在本文中，我们用物流指标（如完成订单的数量和给定期间所需的收费时间）补充了标准的总拥有成本（TCO）指标。后者通过混合仿真模型计算，该模型结合了离散事件、系统动力学和基于代理的模块。我们将该模型应用于重型卡车在意大利的运输。我们发现，当电池电动卡车（BETs）被广泛用于长途运输时，它们的TCO与柴油卡车（dt）相当，但在当前快速充电条件下（高达350千瓦），它们的物流性能更差，根据目的地的不同，有6% - 28%的订单损失。如果有超快充电站（约1000千瓦），损耗就会减少。当用于短途运输时，他们的物流绩效在完成订单方面仍然远远低于直销公司，另外一个问题是，较低的年行驶距离会影响TCO指标，导致TCO/km高于直销公司。相反，氢燃料卡车（H2Ts）的物流性能与DTs相似，但两者的TCO/km值都要高得多。

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引用次数: 0

Pandemic-induced uncertainty and maritime terrorism: A quantile-on-quantile analysis of major maritime economies 大流行引起的不确定性和海上恐怖主义：主要海洋经济体的分位数对分位数分析

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101742

Muhammad Khalid Anser , Sajid Ali , Raima Nazar , Hind Alofaysan

Pandemic-induced uncertainty reshaped global dynamics, creating critical vulnerabilities in maritime security and intensifying terrorism threats at sea. Supply chain disruptions, weakened economies, and strained international cooperation further compounded the complexity and reach of maritime terrorism, amplifying its global implications. This study investigates the asymmetric impact of pandemic-induced uncertainty on maritime terrorism in 10 selected maritime nations (the USA, China, Somalia, Singapore, Brazil, India, Greece, Nigeria, Australia, and Russia). Unlike past investigations that focused entirely on COVID-19, the present study applies a comprehensive pandemic-related uncertainty index, integrating datasets from various pandemics, including Avian Flu, Ebola, MERS, COVID-19, SARS, and others. The Quantile-on-Quantile technique is applied instead of traditional panel data methods, which often overlook country-specific contexts. This advanced instrument enables an exhaustive analysis of the asymmetric linkage between variables within individual nations. Results reveal an inverse connection between pandemic uncertainty and maritime terrorism in the USA, China, Singapore, and Australia. Meanwhile, Somalia, Brazil, India, and Nigeria show a positive association. However, mixed findings emerge in Russia and Greece, reflecting complex and varied dynamics. These findings underscore the critical need for policymakers to formulate customized policies to monitor the evolving impact of pandemic uncertainty on maritime terrorism, which varies across different quantiles.

大流行引发的不确定性改变了全球动态，造成海上安全方面的严重脆弱性，并加剧了海上恐怖主义威胁。供应链中断、经济疲软、国际合作紧张，进一步加剧了海上恐怖主义的复杂性和影响范围，扩大了其全球影响。本研究在10个选定的海洋国家（美国、中国、索马里、新加坡、巴西、印度、希腊、尼日利亚、澳大利亚和俄罗斯）调查了流行病引发的不确定性对海上恐怖主义的不对称影响。与过去完全关注COVID-19的调查不同，本研究应用了一个全面的与大流行相关的不确定性指数，整合了来自各种大流行的数据集，包括禽流感、埃博拉、中东呼吸综合征、COVID-19、SARS等。采用分位数对分位数技术代替传统的面板数据方法，后者往往忽略了具体国家的情况。这种先进的工具能够详尽地分析各个国家内部变量之间的不对称联系。结果显示，在美国、中国、新加坡和澳大利亚，大流行的不确定性与海上恐怖主义之间呈反比关系。与此同时，索马里、巴西、印度和尼日利亚表现出积极的联系。然而，俄罗斯和希腊的调查结果喜忧参半，反映出复杂多变的动态。这些发现强调，决策者迫切需要制定有针对性的政策，以监测大流行的不确定性对不同分位数的海上恐怖主义的不断演变的影响。

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引用次数: 0

Bi-objective set covering location model for two-tier shopping centers based on two-level consumer demand 基于两层消费者需求的双层购物中心双目标集覆盖选址模型

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101696

Fei Wang, Jianyu Chen, Houlong Zhang, Ke Wang

The strategic location of shopping centers is crucial to the economic interests of commercial investors and significantly influences urban residents' welfare and the spatial configuration of urban commercial systems. This study applies an optimization model to the shopping center location problem by constructing a bi-objective set-covering location model for two-tier shopping centers based on two -level consumer demand. The model simultaneously considers the interests of both investors and consumers, aiming to trade-off facility construction costs and consumer travel costs with limited capacity constraints. To efficiently solve the problem, an improved NSGA-II algorithm incorporating a chromosome-archiving mechanism is proposed, and its performance is validated against a reference frontier generated by the

ε

-constraint method. Empirical analysis based on Xi'an's metro network (163 stations) demonstrates the cost ratio parameter (

α

) and service radius ratio parameter (

γ

) exhibit high sensitivity, whereas the capacity ratio parameter (

β

) has a relatively minor effect on the optimization outcomes.

购物中心的战略区位关系到商业投资者的经济利益，对城市居民的福利和城市商业系统的空间配置具有重要影响。本文将优化模型应用于购物中心选址问题，构建了基于两层消费者需求的双层购物中心双目标集覆盖选址模型。该模型同时考虑投资者和消费者的利益，旨在在有限容量约束下权衡设施建设成本和消费者出行成本。为了有效地解决这一问题，提出了一种引入染色体存档机制的改进NSGA-II算法，并通过ε-约束法生成的参考边界对其性能进行了验证。基于西安地铁网络（163个站点）的实证分析表明，成本比参数（α）和服务半径比参数（γ）对优化结果具有较高的敏感性，而容量比参数（β）对优化结果的影响较小。

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引用次数: 0

Stated car choices in Norway and Italy: a comparison based on the integrated choice and latent variable model 挪威和意大利的公共汽车选择：基于综合选择和潜在变量模型的比较

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101695

Mariangela Scorrano , Terje Andreas Mathisen , Romeo Danielis , Ozlem Simsekoglu , Giuseppe Marinelli

The study investigates whether the large difference in battery electric vehicle (BEV) uptake between Norway and Italy could be explained by differences in car buyers' preference structures, either in terms of their evaluation of the vehicles' characteristics or in terms of their perceptionsattitudes towards BEVs. Based on stated preference data collected in the two countries, we find that car drivers evaluate vehicle attributes very similarly. Norwegians value BEV driving range slightly more and are more sensitive to fuelelectricity costs. Ceteris paribus, Italian respondents, in contrast to Norwegian ones, still prefer petrol cars to BEVs. The results of the integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model indicate that respondents’ perceptionsattitudes influence car choice in both countries. In Norway, BEVs are preferred by those who view them as economically, environmentally, technically, and morally superior. In Italy, the evidence is similar but for the environmental aspects, which are not decisive for BEV choice. Such perceptionsattitudes are correlated with age, sex, and BEV density.

该研究调查了挪威和意大利在纯电动汽车（BEV）使用率上的巨大差异是否可以用购车者的偏好结构差异来解释，无论是在他们对车辆特性的评估方面，还是在他们对纯电动汽车的看法和态度方面。根据在两国收集的陈述偏好数据，我们发现汽车驾驶员对车辆属性的评价非常相似。挪威人更看重纯电动汽车的续驶里程，对燃料和电力成本更为敏感。在其他条件相同的情况下，与挪威人相比，意大利受访者仍然更喜欢汽油车而不是纯电动汽车。综合选择和潜在变量（ICLV）模型的结果表明，受访者的看法和态度影响了两国的汽车选择。在挪威，那些认为纯电动汽车在经济上、环境上、技术上和道德上都更优越的人更喜欢它们。在意大利，证据是类似的，但在环境方面，这不是BEV选择的决定性因素。这种看法和态度与年龄、性别和纯电动汽车密度有关。

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引用次数: 0

Environmental and social assessment of transport and cooling systems in last-mile cold-chain vaccine distribution: A case study in Flanders, Belgium 最后一英里冷链疫苗配送中运输和冷却系统的环境和社会评估：比利时法兰德斯的案例研究

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101693

Rafael Arevalo-Ascanio , Elena Prozorova , Annelies De Meyer , Roel Gevaers , Ruben Guisson , Wouter Dewulf

Although the discussions on the sustainability of transport and logistics have been a focus of research in recent years, the impacts of the choice of cooling systems within cold chains have not received the same attention. This paper assesses the environmental and social implications of cold-chain vaccine distribution in the last mile, in terms of CO₂ emissions from cooling systems and transport, as well as the external costs of transport. The last-mile vaccine distribution is modelled using a strategic approach to perform multi-scenario analyses. An application within the Flemish immunisation programme in Belgium compares the performance of active (ACS) and passive (PCS) cooling systems during last-mile vaccine distribution. The CO₂ emissions results indicate that PCS are the most efficient for multi-stop distribution, while ACS emissions rise sharply with more stops along the route. An illustrative example explores the potential environmental benefits of using cargo bikes and PCS for deliveries in the densest regions. Regarding social impacts, the urban distribution of vaccines presents the highest effects on the external costs categories of accidents, air pollution, and congestion. The findings are relevant to cold-chain planning for logistics operators, as the efficient implementation of cooling systems can enhance all dimensions of sustainability.

尽管近年来关于运输和物流可持续性的讨论一直是研究的焦点，但冷链中冷却系统选择的影响并没有得到同样的关注。本文从冷却系统和运输产生的二氧化碳排放以及运输的外部成本的角度，评估了冷链疫苗在最后一英里配送的环境和社会影响。最后一英里疫苗分发采用战略方法进行多情景分析。在比利时的佛兰德免疫项目中，一项应用比较了最后一英里疫苗分发过程中主动（ACS）和被动（PCS）冷却系统的性能。CO2排放结果表明，多站点分布时，高速公路的CO2排放效率最高，而高速公路的CO2排放随着站点数量的增加而急剧上升。一个说明性的例子探讨了在人口最密集的地区使用货运自行车和个人电脑进行交付的潜在环境效益。在社会影响方面，在城市分配疫苗对事故、空气污染和拥堵等外部成本类别的影响最大。研究结果与物流运营商的冷链规划有关，因为冷却系统的有效实施可以提高可持续性的各个方面。

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引用次数: 0

Shipping, carbon pricing, and inflation pass-through: The Silent Absorber hypothesis 航运、碳定价和通胀传递：无声吸收假说

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101726

Konstantinos D. Melas , Nektarios A. Michail , Prodromos Tsinaslanidis

This study explores whether the recent introduction of CO₂ emission pricing in maritime transport has affected freight rates and inflation in the euro area. Focusing on the regulatory shift implemented in 2023, we examine whether the additional costs for shipowners have been passed on to shippers and consumers. Using a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model, we analyze the dynamic interactions between CO₂ allowance prices, freight rates, oil prices, inflation, and macro-financial variables from January 2023 to August 2024. The BVAR framework, suitable for small-sample analysis, allows us to trace impulse responses and uncover potential pass-through effects. Our findings challenge the common assumption that environmental taxation leads to inflationary pressures. Specifically, we find no significant increase in freight rates or inflation following a rise in CO₂ prices. Instead, the data indicate a slight drop in oil prices and a modest gain in shipowners’ revenues, suggesting that much of the regulatory cost has been absorbed within the sector. This implies that the short-term (1–2 years) inflationary impact of maritime decarbonization was limited. As the first empirical analysis of its kind using real-time data and a macro-shipping lens, this study provides timely insights for policymakers assessing the economic neutrality of green regulation in maritime transport.

本研究探讨了最近在海上运输中引入的二氧化碳排放定价是否影响了欧元区的运费和通货膨胀。重点关注2023年实施的监管转变，我们研究了船东的额外成本是否已转嫁给托运人和消费者。利用贝叶斯向量自回归（BVAR）模型，分析了2023年1月至2024年8月期间二氧化碳排放配额价格、运价、油价、通货膨胀和宏观金融变量之间的动态相互作用。BVAR框架适用于小样本分析，使我们能够跟踪脉冲响应并发现潜在的传递效应。我们的研究结果挑战了环境税导致通胀压力的普遍假设。具体来说，我们发现在二氧化碳价格上涨后，运费或通货膨胀没有显著增加。相反，数据显示油价略有下降，船东收入略有增加，这表明大部分监管成本已被该行业消化。这意味着海上脱碳的短期（1-2年）通胀影响是有限的。作为第一个使用实时数据和宏观航运视角的此类实证分析，本研究为决策者评估海上运输绿色监管的经济中立性提供了及时的见解。

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引用次数: 0

Shaping air taxi adoption: Unraveling the interplay of travel patterns and attitudes 塑造空中出租车的采用：揭示旅行模式和态度的相互作用

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101724

Junbiao Su , Doosun Hong , Meng Guo , Eunhyang Lee , Sunghoon Jang

This study underscores the central role of travel patterns in shaping air taxi adoption by segmenting potential users and examining how habitual behavior pattern conditions their intentions. Using a latent class ordered logit model on 625 valid in-person survey data from Seoul, South Korea, we identify two policy-relevant segments: established travel patterns and flexible travel patterns. Travel patterns strength consistently moderates the effects of pro-environmental self-identity, perceptions of autonomous technology, and safety concerns. Individuals with established travel patterns show stronger sensitivity to safety, reliability, and integration with existing routines, while those with flexible travel patterns respond more to environmental appeals, perceived convenience, and autonomous features. These results suggest that travel patterns should be explicitly incorporated into acceptance models, regulatory planning, and marketing strategies. For established users, priorities include rigorous safety certification, transparent risk communication, and seamless multimodal integration to reduce disruption to routines. For flexible users, emphasize time savings, environmental benefits, user-friendly digital services, and incentives. By foregrounding travel patterns, the study offers a replicable analytical framework and practical guidance for policymakers and industry to design targeted interventions that enhance public acceptance and facilitate integration of air taxis into urban transport.

这项研究通过对潜在用户进行细分，并研究习惯行为模式如何影响他们的意愿，强调了出行模式在影响空中出租车采用方面的核心作用。通过对来自韩国首尔的625个有效的亲自调查数据使用潜在类有序logit模型，我们确定了两个与政策相关的部分：既定出行模式和灵活出行模式。出行模式强度持续调节亲环境自我认同、自主技术认知和安全关注的影响。具有固定出行模式的个体对安全性、可靠性和与现有路线的整合表现出更强的敏感性，而具有灵活出行模式的个体对环境诉求、感知便利性和自主性的响应更多。这些结果表明，旅游模式应明确纳入接受模式、监管规划和营销策略。对于已建立的用户，优先考虑的事项包括严格的安全认证、透明的风险沟通和无缝的多模式集成，以减少对常规的干扰。对于灵活的用户，强调节省时间、环境效益、用户友好的数字服务和激励。通过展望出行模式，该研究为政策制定者和行业设计有针对性的干预措施提供了可复制的分析框架和实践指导，以提高公众的接受度，并促进空中出租车融入城市交通。

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引用次数: 0

Formalizing the informal in public transportation: The case of motorcycle taxis transport network service in the Philippines 将公共交通中的非正式行为正规化：以菲律宾的摩的运输网络服务为例

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2025.101681

Marie Danielle V. Guillen , Sandy Mae Gaspay , Iderlina Mateo-Babiano , Justine Alexandra T. Schneck

This article explores the use of smartphone applications in motorcycle (MC) taxi operation in the Philippines. Adopting the informal-formal dichotomy, and using a qualitative approach, the paper: (1) reviews the development of MC taxis from the livelihood, service, and institutional viewpoints; and (2) explores the evolving forms of MC taxi regulation, including the role of technology, competition, ownership, and agreements. The article confirms the Philippine's long history with motorcycles. It reinforces the role of motorcycles in filling the public transport gap. Ideally, a good public transport system meets the “formal” service standards. However, the policy response has persistently been reactive. Transport network companies used technology to advocate for drivers' livelihoods and legitimize their operations. Unfortunately, this is also symptomatic of the bigger issue that needs to be tackled, the need for a modern or formal urban public transport system that meets commuters' service quality expectations. These expectations include comfort, access, reliability, and environment-friendliness, as well as fair income and benefits for the MC drivers. While app-based technology can improve mobility management, it should also be consistent with the national policy and service quality expectations of commuters and contribute towards more secure livelihoods or income needs of drivers.

本文探讨了智能手机应用程序在菲律宾摩托车（MC）出租车运营中的使用。本文采用非正式-正式二分法，采用定性分析方法，从民生、服务和制度三个角度回顾了MC出租车的发展历程；(2)探讨了MC出租车监管的演变形式，包括技术、竞争、所有权和协议的作用。这篇文章证实了菲律宾摩托车的悠久历史。它加强了摩托车在填补公共交通空白方面的作用。理想情况下，良好的公共交通系统符合“正式”的服务标准。然而，政策回应一直是被动的。交通网络公司利用技术来维护司机的生计，并使他们的运营合法化。不幸的是，这也预示着一个更大的问题需要解决，即需要一个现代化或正式的城市公共交通系统来满足通勤者对服务质量的期望。这些期望包括舒适性、可及性、可靠性、环保性，以及对MC驾驶员公平的收入和福利。虽然基于应用程序的技术可以改善交通管理，但它也应该符合国家政策和通勤者对服务质量的期望，并有助于司机更安全的生计或收入需求。

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引用次数: 0

A Stated choice analysis of passenger's willingness to pay for service attributes of nonstop, direct, and connected itineraries in Indian domestic aviation market 印度国内航空市场乘客对直航、直航和联程航线服务属性的付费意愿的陈述选择分析

IF 3.4 3区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Research in Transportation Economics

Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2026.101736

Mustansir Farooq, M. Manoj, K. Ramachandra Rao

With the growing competition in the aviation market, airline service attributes (ancillary services) have gained importance and become a key revenue source for airlines. Therefore, it is essential to understand the expectations of passengers and offer personalized travel experiences. This paper investigates the airline itinerary choice behavior of passengers among three different types of airline itineraries (nonstop, direct and connected) while accounting for systematic (considering the interaction between demographics and itinerary attributes) and random preference heterogeneities. The results reveal significant heterogeneity in passenger preferences regarding connection time and fare. While some passengers prefer nonstop itineraries despite higher fares, others are willing to accept longer connections in exchange for cost savings. Further, this study investigates the willingness to pay (WTP) for the service attributes like seat width, legroom, meals, and on-time-performance (OTP) for the three different itineraries. Results indicate that for extra legroom on nonstop itineraries, respondents are willing to pay between 10.5 and 18.6 USD; for wider seats between 8.8 USD to 12.7 USD; and for free meals, 10.8 to 20.5 USD. Moreover, this study highlights the importance of OTP in itineraries. The findings report a WTP ranging between 16 USD to 21 USD for an improvement from 60% OTP. Direct and cross elasticities for fare and connection time are also investigated and a strong substitution effect in direct itineraries, compared to nonstop and connected itineraries, is observed due to fare and connection time. A percent increase in fare of direct itineraries leads to a 4.79% increase in the share of nonstop itineraries and a 3.30% rise in connected itineraries, highlighting passengers' sensitivity to price changes. Similarly, a percent increase in connection time of direct itineraries results in a 2.95% and 2.02% shift to nonstop and connected itineraries, respectively. Finally, the findings highlight that with age longer connection times become less appealing and sensitivity to fare increases. These insights may provide important inputs to the airline industry.

随着航空市场竞争的日益激烈，航空服务属性（辅助服务）日益受到重视，成为航空公司的重要收入来源。因此，了解乘客的期望并提供个性化的旅行体验至关重要。本文研究了旅客在三种不同航线类型（直航、直航和联航）下的航线选择行为，同时考虑了系统（考虑人口统计和航线属性之间的相互作用）和随机偏好异质性。结果显示，乘客对转机时间和票价的偏好存在显著的异质性。尽管票价较高，但一些乘客更喜欢直飞航线，而另一些人则愿意接受更长的转机时间，以节省成本。此外，本研究还调查了三个不同行程的服务属性，如座位宽度、腿部空间、膳食和准点率（OTP）的支付意愿。结果显示，对于直飞航线的额外伸腿空间，受访者愿意支付10.5至18.6美元；较宽的座位在8.8至12.7美元之间；免费餐10.8 - 20.5美元。此外，本研究还强调了准时点在行程中的重要性。调查结果显示，从60%的OTP提高到16美元到21美元之间。我们还研究了票价和转机时间对直航和交叉航线的影响，发现由于票价和转机时间的影响，直航航线与直飞航线和转机航线相比存在很强的替代效应。直飞航线票价每上涨一个百分点，直飞航线的份额就会上升4.79%，联程航线的份额会上升3.30%，这凸显了乘客对价格变化的敏感性。同样，直航航线的转机时间每增加一个百分点，将分别导致2.95%和2.02%的旅客转向直航和转机航线。最后，调查结果强调，随着年龄的增长，连接时间越长，对票价上涨的吸引力就越小。这些见解可能为航空业提供重要的投入。

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引用次数: 0