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Preferences on financing mechanisms for thermal retrofit measures in multi-owner buildings: A discrete choice experiment with landlords and owner-occupiers in France 对多业主建筑热改造措施融资机制的偏好:法国房东和自住业主的离散选择实验
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101392
Valeria Fanghella , Marie-Charlotte Guetlein , Joachim Schleich , Carine Sebi

Thermal retrofit of existing buildings is a major challenge for the energy transition. Retrofitting multi-owner buildings is particularly challenging because it involves multiple co-owners with heterogeneous preferences and incentives to renovate. We conduct a discrete choice experiment on thermal retrofit measures with landlords and owner-occupiers of condominiums in multi-owner buildings in France. Attributes include financing mechanisms (equity, private loan, and collective loan), transferability of loans (i.e. loans, which may be transferred to the next owner in case the condominium is sold), heating cost savings (absolute and relative to other co-owners in the same building), and investment costs. Results from estimating mixed logit models suggest that participants prefer on average equity financing over loan financing and collective loans over private loans. Aversion to loan financing appears to be partly due to debt aversion. The results also suggest that for loan financing, co-owners prefer transferable loans. Further, co-owners do not like retrofit measures that result in higher heating cost savings for other co-owners in the same building than for themselves. Thus, asymmetric distribution of benefits of thermal retrofit measures may impede acceptability of such measures in multi-owner buildings. Finally, the findings provide no evidence for a landlord-tenant split incentives problem in our sample.

现有建筑的热改造是能源转型的一大挑战。改造多业主建筑尤其具有挑战性,因为它涉及多个具有不同偏好和动机的共有业主。我们与法国多业主建筑中共管公寓的房东和自住业主进行了一项关于热改造措施的离散选择实验。属性包括融资机制(股权、私人贷款和集体贷款)、贷款的可转让性(即,如果公寓出售,贷款可能会转让给下一位业主)、供暖成本节约(相对于同一建筑中的其他共有人而言是绝对的)和投资成本。估计混合logit模型的结果表明,参与者平均更喜欢股权融资而不是贷款融资,集体贷款而不是私人贷款。对贷款融资的厌恶似乎部分是由于对债务的厌恶。研究结果还表明,对于贷款融资,共有人更喜欢可转让贷款。此外,共有人不喜欢为同一栋楼的其他共有人节省比自己更高的供暖成本的改造措施。因此,热改造措施的利益分配不对称可能会阻碍多业主建筑对此类措施的可接受性。最后,研究结果没有为我们的样本中的房东-租客分割激励问题提供证据。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal siting of onshore wind turbines: Local disamenities matter 陆上风力涡轮机的最佳选址:当地灾难
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101386
Paul Lehmann , Felix Reutter , Philip Tafarte

The deployment of onshore wind power is an important means to mitigate climate change. However, wind turbines also produce local disamenities to residents living next to them, mainly due to noise emissions and visual effects. Our paper analyzes how the presence of local disamenities affects the socially optimal siting of onshore wind power. The analysis builds on a spatial optimization model using geographical information system (GIS) data for more than 100,000 potential sites in Germany. Our results indicate a major spatial trade-off between the goals of minimizing electricity generation costs and disamenity costs. Considering disamenity costs substantially alters – and in fact dominates – the socially optimal spatial allocation of wind power deployment. This is because in Germany a) the spatial correlation between generation costs and disamenity costs is only moderately positive, and b) disamenity costs exhibit a larger spatial heterogeneity than the generation costs. These results are robust to variations in the level and slope of the disamenity cost function that we assume for the modeling. Our findings emphasize the importance of supplementing support schemes for wind power deployment with approaches that address local disamenties, e.g., compensation payments to local residents or differentiated setback distances to settlements.

部署陆上风电是缓解气候变化的重要手段。然而,风力涡轮机也会对居住在其附近的居民造成当地的不满,主要是由于噪音排放和视觉效果。我们的论文分析了当地灾害的存在如何影响陆上风电的社会最优选址。该分析建立在一个空间优化模型的基础上,该模型使用了德国100000多个潜在地点的地理信息系统(GIS)数据。我们的结果表明,在最小化发电成本和灾难成本的目标之间存在重大的空间权衡。考虑到灾难成本大大改变了——事实上占主导地位——风电部署的社会最优空间分配。这是因为在德国,a)发电成本和不良成本之间的空间相关性仅为适度正,b)不良成本表现出比发电成本更大的空间异质性。这些结果对我们为建模假设的不确定性成本函数的水平和斜率的变化是稳健的。我们的研究结果强调了用解决当地灾难的方法来补充风电部署支持计划的重要性,例如,向当地居民支付补偿金或与定居点的不同后退距离。
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引用次数: 0
Closing wells: Fossil development and abandonment in the energy transition 关井;能源转型中的化石开发与废弃
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101387
Inge van den Bijgaart , Mauricio Rodriguez

Despite ambitious climate goals and already substantial stocks of developed fossil energy reserves, development of new fossil energy reserves continues to be high. This raises concerns, as it reinforces the fossil industry’s opportunities and incentives to continue extraction, and may necessitate abandonment of developed fossil reserves to meet climate targets. In this paper, we analyze the energy transition, considering fossil development activities. We provide conditions for when the fossil industry will abandon reserves, and establish that continued development of fossil resources is not incompatible with abandoning developed reserves. The first-best implementation of a carbon budget involves reserve abandonment, and thus development that pushes developed reserves in excess of the remaining budget. A quantitative assessment reveals that a volume equal to 9–19% of current oil and gas reserves are optimally abandoned, and that, even under a 1.5C warming target, development of new reserves is justified for another decade.

尽管有雄心勃勃的气候目标和已经拥有大量已开发化石能源储量,但新化石能源储量的开发仍然很高。这引发了人们的担忧,因为它加强了化石行业继续开采的机会和动机,并可能需要放弃已开发的化石储量来实现气候目标。在本文中,我们分析了能源转型,考虑到化石开发活动。我们为化石产业何时放弃储量提供了条件,并确定化石资源的持续开发与放弃已开发储量并不矛盾。碳预算的第一个最佳实施涉及放弃储量,从而推动已开发储量超过剩余预算的开发。定量评估显示,相当于当前石油和天然气储量的9%至19%的储量被最佳废弃,即使在升温1.5摄氏度的目标下,新储量的开发也有理由再持续十年。
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引用次数: 0
Regulatory commitment versus non-commitment: Electric vehicle adoption under subsidies and emission standards 监管承诺与非承诺:补贴和排放标准下的电动汽车采用
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101388
Bernd Theilen , Françeska Tomori

We compare two regulatory structures in the application of emission standards and a subsidy scheme in the automobile market. The regulator can either commit to an emission standard or is not able to commit. Firms compete á la Cournot and produce fuel-powered and electric vehicles. The emissions of fuel-powered vehicles can be abated by means of investing in emission-reducing innovation. Our results indicate that under commitment there are less emissions, higher subsidies and a major adoption of electric vehicles. By contrast, non-commitment yields more fuel-powered vehicles, more vehicles in total and higher consumer surplus. Electric vehicle producers obtain higher profits under commitment, whereas fuel-powered vehicle producers might be better off under both regulatory structures. Social welfare is higher under non-commitment as long as environmental damages are regarded severe. Otherwise, commitment is socially preferable. This result provides an explanation for observed differences in the duration of environmental standards between the US, the EU and China.

我们比较了排放标准应用的两种监管结构和汽车市场的补贴计划。监管机构可以承诺排放标准,也可以不承诺。公司竞争ála Cournot,生产燃料动力和电动汽车。可以通过投资减排创新来减少燃料动力汽车的排放。我们的研究结果表明,在承诺的情况下,排放量减少,补贴增加,电动汽车大量采用。相比之下,不承诺会产生更多的燃料动力汽车、更多的汽车总量和更高的消费者盈余。电动汽车生产商在承诺下获得更高的利润,而燃料汽车生产商可能在这两种监管结构下都会过得更好。只要环境损害被视为严重,在不承诺的情况下,社会福利就会更高。否则,承诺在社会上更可取。这一结果为观察到的美国、欧盟和中国之间环境标准持续时间的差异提供了解释。
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引用次数: 0
Irrigation technology adaptation for a sustainable agriculture: A panel endogenous switching analysis on the Italian farmland productivity 灌溉技术适应可持续农业:意大利农田生产力的面板内生转换分析
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101391
Sabrina Auci , Andrea Pronti

Efficient water management in agricultural activities can improve local water resource conditions while enhancing farms’ economic performance. This paper analyses how farmers’ decisions to adopt innovative and sustainable irrigation systems, such as Water Conservation and Saving Technologies (WCSTs), would shape Italian farms’ economic resilience by improving land productivity. Using a Panel Endogenous Switching Regression Model, our results confirm that the WCST adoption is an endogenous and self-selective process and land value is endogenously determined. Seasonal aridity indices are important factors in the choice of WCST adoption, with different effects on non-adopters and adopters. Farmers who adopt WCSTs are more productive than those who do not.

农业活动中有效的水资源管理可以改善当地的水资源状况,同时提高农场的经济效益。本文分析了农民采用创新和可持续灌溉系统的决定,如节水技术(WCSTs),将如何通过提高土地生产力来塑造意大利农场的经济韧性。使用面板内生切换回归模型,我们的结果证实了WCST的采用是一个内生和自我选择的过程,土地价值是内生决定的。季节干旱指数是选择采用WCST的重要因素,对非采用者和采用者的影响不同。采用WCST的农民比不采用的农民更有生产力。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable per capita consumption under population growth 人口增长下的可持续人均消费
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101363
Geir B. Asheim , John M. Hartwick , Rintaro Yamaguchi

We establish two investment rules for maximal constant per capita consumption under exogenous population growth, one in terms of total capital stocks and the other in terms of per capita capital stocks. Both rules show the importance of the development of future population growth. The investment rules are illustrated in the one-sector model of capital accumulation, the DHSS model of capital accumulation and resource depletion, and the Stollery–d’Autume–Schubert model in which natural capital provides amenities. Application to recent empirical evidence indicates that actual genuine savings might be insufficient to sustain per capita consumption, when future population growth is combined with a large per capita consumption-wage gap.

我们建立了外生人口增长下最大恒定人均消费的两个投资规则,一个是总资本存量,另一个是人均资本存量。这两条规则都表明了未来人口增长发展的重要性。投资规则在资本积累的一个部门模型、资本积累和资源消耗的DHSS模型以及自然资本提供便利设施的Stollery–d’Autume–Schubert模型中得到了说明。应用于最近的经验证据表明,当未来人口增长与巨大的人均消费工资差距相结合时,实际的真正储蓄可能不足以维持人均消费。
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引用次数: 2
Green monetary and fiscal policies: The role of consumer preferences 绿色货币和财政政策:消费者偏好的作用
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101370
Mohamed Tahar Benkhodja , Xiaofei Ma , Tovonony Razafindrabe

We establish a two-sector model to simulate the potential effects of green fiscal poli- cies and unconventional green monetary policy on the economy during a recovery or in case of a stimulus policy. We find that instruments such as a carbon tax, an implicit tax on brown loans, and a subsidy for the purchase of green goods are all beneficial to the green sector, in contrast to green quantitative easing. A carbon tax imposed directly on firms in the brown sector is the most effective tool to reduce pollution. More importantly, the marginal effects of green instruments on the economy depend on consumer preferences. Namely, the marginal effects are the most prominent when consumers start to purchase more green goods as an increasing part of their consumption basket. Furthermore, the effects of those green policies are more effective when the elasticity of substitution between green and brown goods increases. This finding suggests that raising consumers’ awareness and ability to consume green goods reinforce the effectiveness of public policies designed for low-carbon transition of the economy.

我们建立了一个两部门模型,以模拟在复苏期间或刺激政策的情况下,绿色财政政策和非常规绿色货币政策对经济的潜在影响。我们发现,与绿色量化宽松相比,碳税、棕色贷款隐性税和购买绿色商品补贴等工具都有利于绿色部门。直接对棕色行业的公司征收碳税是减少污染的最有效工具。更重要的是,绿色工具对经济的边际影响取决于消费者的偏好。也就是说,当消费者开始购买更多的绿色商品作为他们消费篮中越来越多的一部分时,边际效应最为突出。此外,当绿色和棕色商品之间的替代弹性增加时,这些绿色政策的效果更有效。这一发现表明,提高消费者消费绿色商品的意识和能力,可以增强旨在实现经济低碳转型的公共政策的有效性。
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引用次数: 4
Tradable performance standards in a dynamic context 动态环境中的可交易绩效标准
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101373
Jonathon M. Becker

Many sectors of the economy that are targets of emissions reduction policy exhibit price-responsive demand, long-lived capital, capacity constraints, and foresighted decision-making. I explore how these features affect the efficiency and dynamics of tradable performance standards (TPS) using analytical and numerical equilibrium models. While I show these dynamic considerations alone do not lead to conflicts with existing theory on the overall efficiency and cost-effectiveness of the TPS relative to a first-best policy, they do affect the transition path and steady state. Most notably, under all but the smallest discount rates, the TPS can lead to a more cost-effective post-transition steady state than the equivalent emissions cap. Given the intergenerational transition that comes with decarbonization, this result suggests some classes of present and future consumers may prefer a TPS to an emissions cap.

作为减排政策目标的许多经济部门都表现出价格响应型需求、长期资本、产能限制和前瞻性决策。我使用分析和数值平衡模型探讨了这些特征如何影响可交易绩效标准(TPS)的效率和动态。虽然我表明,这些动态考虑本身并不会导致与现有的关于TPS相对于第一最佳政策的整体效率和成本效益的理论相冲突,但它们确实会影响过渡路径和稳定状态。最值得注意的是,在除最小贴现率外的所有贴现率下,TPS可以导致比同等排放上限更具成本效益的过渡后稳定状态。考虑到脱碳带来的代际转变,这一结果表明,当前和未来的一些消费者可能更喜欢TPS而不是排放上限。
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引用次数: 2
Wood product differentiation in age-structured forestry 年龄结构林业的木材产品分化
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101374
Matti Laukkanen, Olli Tahvonen

We develop the classic market-level, age-structured forest model by extending the description of forestry output from homogenous wood to a set of differentiated outputs such as sawlogs and biofuels. The extension changes several most established results on the long-run sustainable market equilibrium of forestry. We show the existence of an optimal steady state with two (or more) simultaneous rotation periods. This equilibrium yields a smooth timber flow without normal forest structure and thus deviates from existing normal forest results as well as results on equilibrium cycles. We further show that the optimal rotation structure depends on wood product demand and the demand for land outside forestry, another feature that is absent in previous model formulations.

我们通过将同质木材的林业产出描述扩展到一组不同的产出,如锯材和生物燃料,开发了经典的市场水平、年龄结构的森林模型。该扩展改变了林业长期可持续市场均衡的几个最确定的结果。我们证明了具有两个(或多个)同时旋转周期的最优稳态的存在性。这种平衡产生了没有正常森林结构的平稳木材流动,因此偏离了现有的正常森林结果以及平衡循环的结果。我们进一步表明,最佳轮作结构取决于木材产品需求和林业以外的土地需求,这是以前模型公式中没有的另一个特征。
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引用次数: 0
How should the use of nonrenewables be taxed under a public budget constraint? 在公共预算约束下,不可再生能源的使用应该如何征税?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101375
Julien Xavier Daubanes , Pierre Lasserre

Most developed countries will be facing severe public budget constraints. We examine how extraction or use of nonrenewable resources should be taxed when governments need to collect commodity tax revenues. Moreover, we show how our results can be directly used to indicate how carbon taxation of nonrenewable energy sources should be increased in the presence of public-revenue needs. The obtained tax formula is an augmented, dynamic version of the standard Ramsey taxation rule. It distorts developed reserves, which are reduced, and their depletion, which is slowed down, going further in the direction prescribed for the resolution of the climate externality. We present a simple calibrated application of our results to illustrate how carbon taxation of oil should be strongly augmented, and the incidence of this adjustment on oil use and tax revenues.

大多数发达国家将面临严重的公共预算限制。我们研究了当政府需要征收商品税收入时,应如何对不可再生资源的开采或使用征税。此外,我们展示了如何直接使用我们的结果来表明,在公共收入需求的情况下,应如何增加不可再生能源的碳税。所得税收公式是标准拉姆齐税收规则的扩充、动态版本。它扭曲了已开发的储量,这些储量减少了,而它们的消耗减缓了,朝着解决气候外部性的方向进一步发展。我们对我们的结果进行了简单的校准应用,以说明如何大力增加石油的碳税,以及这种调整对石油使用和税收的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Resource and Energy Economics
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