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Energy transitions and technology change: “Leapfrogging” reconsidered 能源转型与技术变革:重新思考“跨越式发展”
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101327
T. Robert Fetter

Understanding the relationship of economic growth, energy consumption, and pollution is critical for forecasting energy demand and environmental impacts. Energy technology innovations create opportunities for low- and middle-income countries to “leapfrog” over older technologies that dominated the development paths of today’s industrialized countries. Yet technology change may also increase consumption at earlier development stages, and institutions and policy choices can hinder energy-efficient development. Extending a recent paper by van Benthem (2015), I build a panel dataset over 136 countries and nearly 60 years to show that over this wider and longer panel, the long-run energy intensity of economic growth is substantially lower for today’s developing countries than in developing countries in the past.

了解经济增长、能源消耗和污染之间的关系对于预测能源需求和环境影响至关重要。能源技术创新为低收入和中等收入国家“跨越”主导当今工业化国家发展道路的旧技术创造了机会。然而,技术变革也可能增加早期发展阶段的消费,而制度和政策选择可能阻碍节能发展。扩展van Benthem(2015)最近的一篇论文,我建立了一个超过136个国家近60年的面板数据集,以表明在这个更广泛和更长的面板上,今天的发展中国家经济增长的长期能源强度大大低于过去的发展中国家。
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引用次数: 1
Optimal federal co-regulation of renewable energy deployment 可再生能源部署的最佳联邦共同监管
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101318
Jan-Niklas Meier , Paul Lehmann

In federally organized countries the allocation of renewable energy (RE) deployment is regulated by national and subnational governments. We analyze the efficiency of this federal co-regulation when different types of policy instruments – price and quantity – are applied at different government levels. Using an analytical model with two government levels, we show that efficient federal co-regulation crucially depends on the burden sharing of national subsidy costs among subnational jurisdictions. We find that national price-based regulation, i.e. feed-in tariff, is efficient if burden shares of subnational jurisdictions are distributed in proportion to their population. This holds regardless of the policy instrument applied at the subnational level as long as RE deployment causes regional costs instead of regional benefits. Under national quantity-based regulation, i.e. tenders, efficient burden sharing depends on the policy instrument applied at the subnational level. Subnational price-based regulation, e.g. state-level levies, combined with national quantity-based regulation requires burden shares to be oriented towards first-best RE deployment shares. By contrast, subnational quantity-based regulation, i.e. spatial planning, combined with national quantity-based regulation, under certain conditions, requires population-oriented burden sharing, namely, if RE deployment only causes negative regional effects. If so, we also show that national quantity-based regulation ends up to be de-facto price-based.

在联邦制国家,可再生能源(RE)部署的分配由国家和地方政府监管。我们分析了当不同类型的政策工具——价格和数量——在不同的政府层面应用时,这种联邦共同监管的效率。通过使用两个政府级别的分析模型,我们发现有效的联邦共同监管在很大程度上取决于国家补贴成本在次国家管辖范围内的负担分担。我们发现,如果地方司法管辖区的负担份额按人口比例分配,国家基于价格的监管(即上网电价)是有效的。只要可再生能源的部署造成区域成本而不是区域效益,无论在国家以下一级采用何种政策工具,情况都是如此。根据以数量为基础的国家监管,即招标,有效的负担分担取决于在国家以下一级采用的政策工具。次国家价格监管,例如州级征税,结合国家数量监管,要求负担分担面向最佳可再生能源部署份额。相比之下,地方数量调控,即空间规划与国家数量调控相结合,在一定条件下,需要以人口为导向的负担分担,即如果可再生能源的部署只会产生负面的区域效应。如果是这样,我们还表明,以数量为基础的国家监管最终实际上是以价格为基础的。
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引用次数: 3
Which “second-best” climate policies are best? Simulating cost-effective policy mixes for passenger vehicles 哪些“次优”气候政策是最好的?模拟乘用车的成本效益混合政策
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101319
Chandan Bhardwaj , Jonn Axsen , David McCollum

In the real-world of political opposition and complex market failures, carbon pricing alone will not achieve deep GHG mitigation targets. Hence, we search for the most cost-effective “second-best” policies. Focusing on the light-duty vehicle sector in the case of Canada, we compare several policies in terms of effectiveness (regarding 2030 GHG goals) and mitigation costs, namely: (i) a carbon tax; (ii) a vehicle emission standard (or VES); (iii) a zero emissions vehicle (ZEV) mandate, and (iv) combinations of all three at various stringencies. In this effort, we apply the AUtomaker-consumer Model (AUM), which endogenously simulates consumer and automaker decisions and technological change. Comparing individual policies, the regulations are about three times more expensive than the carbon tax. Among “second-best” policies, the VES is cheaper than a ZEV mandate at lower stringencies, but at higher stringencies the two are similarly efficient (both incentivize widespread ZEV deployment). In policy mixes, cost-effectiveness is improved by a carbon tax. Specifically, inclusion of a CDN$100–150/tonne tax can achieve targets while being 30–40% less costly than a regulation alone. We suggest that policymakers implement carbon pricing as stringently as politically feasible (for efficiency), complemented by regulations as needed (for efficacy) to meet GHG targets.

在政治反对和复杂的市场失灵的现实世界中,仅靠碳定价无法实现深刻的温室气体减排目标。因此,我们寻找最具成本效益的“次优”政策。以加拿大的轻型汽车行业为例,我们从有效性(关于2030年温室气体目标)和缓解成本方面比较了几种政策,即:(i)碳税;(ii)车辆废气排放标准;(iii)零排放车辆(ZEV)的授权,以及(iv)在不同的严格程度上将这三者结合起来。在这项工作中,我们应用了汽车制造商-消费者模型(AUM),该模型内生地模拟了消费者和汽车制造商的决策和技术变革。比较个别政策,这些法规的成本大约是碳税的三倍。在“次优”政策中,在较低的严格程度下,VES比ZEV指令更便宜,但在较高的严格程度上,两者的效率相似(都激励了广泛的ZEV部署)。在政策组合中,碳税提高了成本效益。具体来说,包括100-150加元/吨税可以实现目标,同时比单独监管成本低30-40%。我们建议政策制定者在政治上可行的情况下严格实施碳定价(为了效率),并辅以必要的监管(为了效率)来实现温室气体排放目标。
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引用次数: 4
Could the environment be a normal good for you and an inferior good for me? A theory of context-dependent substitutability and needs 环境对你来说是正常的,对我来说是次等的吗?情境依赖性替代和需求理论
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101316
Marion Dupoux , Vincent Martinet

Theoretical models often assume the environment to be a normal good, irrespective of one’s income. However, a priori, nothing prohibits an environmental good from being normal for some individuals and inferior for others. We develop a conceptual framework in which private consumption and an environmental public good act as substitutes or complements for satisfying different needs. Subsequently, the environment can switch between normal and inferior depending on one’s income and environment and corresponding prevalent needs. If the environment is inferior for some range of income, then the willingness to pay for environmental preservation becomes non-monotonic with respect to income. We discuss the relevance of our framework in the context of (income-adjusted) unit benefit transfers, dual-rate discounting and the Environmental Kuznets curve.

理论模型通常假设环境是一种正常的商品,而不考虑一个人的收入。然而,先天地,没有什么能阻止环境产品对某些人来说是正常的,对另一些人来说是劣等的。我们发展了一个概念框架,其中私人消费和环境公益作为替代或补充,以满足不同的需求。随后,根据个人的收入和环境以及相应的流行需求,环境可以在正常和劣质之间切换。如果环境在某一收入范围内较差,那么支付环境保护费用的意愿在收入方面就变得非单调。我们讨论了我们的框架在(收入调整的)单位福利转移、双率贴现和环境库兹涅茨曲线的背景下的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate social responsibility, social optimum, and the environment-growth tradeoff 企业社会责任、社会最优与环境-增长权衡
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101311
Juin-Jen Chang , Jhy-Hwa Chen , Ming-Fang Tsai

This paper examines the implications of environmental corporate social responsibility (CSR) for the environment-growth tradeoff and social optimum in a dynamic general equilibrium growth model. We show that environmental CSR activity loosens the tradeoff between the environment and growth, but it cannot achieve the social optimum. Firm participation in environmental CSR induces the perceived CSR of green consumers and increases their willingness to pay. Because the environmental CSR promotes more consumption and increases growth, the environment-growth tradeoff loosens up in the competitive equilibrium. However, to translate the CSR perceived benefits into their profits, firms need some degree of monopoly power to set their prices to capture the stronger demand. CSR is thus promoted as a marketing strategy to help companies achieve their competitive advantage, and becomes a way of product differentiation in the environment of monopolistic competition. Since monopoly power serves as a catalyst, CSR alone cannot achieve the first-best optimum in terms of the environment and growth by fully removing the distortions caused by market imperfection.

本文在一个动态一般均衡增长模型中考察了企业环境社会责任对环境增长权衡和社会最优的影响。研究表明,环境企业社会责任活动放松了环境与增长之间的权衡,但不能达到社会最优。企业参与环境企业社会责任可诱导绿色消费者感知企业社会责任,提高其支付意愿。由于环境企业社会责任促进了消费和增长,环境-增长权衡在竞争均衡中趋于松弛。然而,为了将CSR感知到的利益转化为利润,企业需要一定程度的垄断力量来设定价格,以抓住更强劲的需求。企业社会责任因此被提升为一种帮助企业获得竞争优势的营销策略,成为垄断竞争环境下产品差异化的一种方式。由于垄断力量起到了催化剂的作用,单靠企业社会责任无法完全消除市场不完善造成的扭曲,从而实现环境和增长的最优。
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引用次数: 4
The type of power capacity matters for economic development – Evidence from a global panel 电力容量的类型对经济发展至关重要——来自一个全球小组的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101313
Lorenzo Montrone , Jan Christoph Steckel , Matthias Kalkuhl

We examine the relationship between different types of power investments and regional economic dynamics. We construct a novel panel dataset combining data on regional GDP and power capacity additions for different technologies between 1960 and 2015, which covers 65% of the global power capacity that has been installed in this period. We use an event study design to identify the effect of power capacity addition on GDP per capita, exploiting the fact that the exact amount of power capacity coming online each year is determined by random construction delays. We find evidence that GDP per capita increases by 0.2% in the 6 years around the coming online of 100 MW coal-fired power capacity. We find similar effects for hydropower capacity, but not for any other type of power capacity. The positive effects are regionally bounded and stronger for projects on new sites (green-field). The magnitude of this effect might not be comparable to the total external costs of building new coal-fired power capacity, yet our results help to explain why policymakers favor coal investments for spurring regional growth.

我们研究了不同类型的电力投资与区域经济动态之间的关系。我们构建了一个新的面板数据集,结合了1960年至2015年间不同技术的地区GDP和电力容量增加的数据,涵盖了这一时期已安装的全球电力容量的65%。我们使用事件研究设计来确定电力容量增加对人均GDP的影响,利用每年新增电力容量的确切数量是由随机建设延迟决定的这一事实。我们发现有证据表明,在100兆瓦燃煤发电能力即将上线的6年内,人均GDP将增长0.2%。我们发现水电容量也有类似的影响,但其他类型的电力容量没有。积极的影响是有区域界限的,对于新场地(绿地)的项目更强。这种影响的程度可能无法与建设新的燃煤发电能力的总外部成本相比,但我们的研究结果有助于解释为什么政策制定者倾向于通过煤炭投资来刺激地区增长。
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引用次数: 1
Non-monetary incentives for sustainable biomass harvest: An experimental approach 可持续生物质收获的非金钱激励:一种实验性方法
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101317
May Attallah , Jens Abildtrup , Anne Stenger

In this article, we use a contextualized lab experiment to test the effect of non-monetary incentives that can guide harvest professionals into adopting new sustainable harvesting practices. First, we test the effect of signing a declaration that commits wood buyers who voluntarily sign it to act in a sustainable manner. Second, we test the effect of priming by activating a concept of sustainability on subjects’ behaviour. Our results provide evidence that presenting a declaration to sign is effective in inducing subjects to act in a sustainable manner when personal and collective interests are not aligned and there are financial incentives to make decisions that are against environmental sustainability. However, sustainability priming does not have a significant impact on subjects’ behaviour. From a public policy point of view, a declaration is an effective tool and easy to implement by institutions aiming at fostering pro-environmental behaviour.

在这篇文章中,我们使用了一个情境化的实验室实验来测试非货币激励措施的效果,这些激励措施可以引导采收专业人员采用新的可持续采收实践。首先,我们测试签署一份声明的效果,该声明承诺自愿签署该声明的木材买家以可持续的方式行事。其次,我们通过激活可持续性概念来测试启动对受试者行为的影响。我们的研究结果提供了证据,表明在个人和集体利益不一致且存在不利于环境可持续性决策的财务激励的情况下,提交一份宣言以诱使受试者以可持续的方式行事是有效的。然而,可持续性启动对被试的行为没有显著影响。从公共政策的角度来看,宣言是一种有效的工具,容易被旨在促进环保行为的机构实施。
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引用次数: 0
An economic model of vehicle-to-grid: Impacts on the electricity market and consumer cost of electric vehicles 车联网经济模型:对电力市场和电动汽车消费成本的影响
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101310
Mads Greaker , Cathrine Hagem , Stef Proost

Higher battery storage capacity in electric vehicles (EV) implies less need for inconvenient recharging during long trips and increases the potential gains from vehicle-to-grid (V2G) electricity supply. We present an analytical model for the intertwinement of the consumers’ choice of battery capacity and the electricity market. We show that V2G increases the consumers’ choice of battery capacity, and it may reduce the cost of owning an EV vis-à-vis a traditional car. Furthermore, V2G alleviates the capacity pressure on peak hours, and thereby reduces the need for investment in generating capacity, saving social costs. Moreover, V2G may make the difference in electricity prices between peak and off-peak hours smaller, potentially increasing social surplus further. Based on a future scenario for the Belgian electricity market, we provide a numerical illustration indicating that the savings might be substantial.

电动汽车(EV)的更高电池存储容量意味着在长途旅行中更少需要不方便的充电,并增加了车辆到电网(V2G)电力供应的潜在收益。我们提出了消费者选择电池容量与电力市场相互交织的分析模型。我们的研究表明,V2G增加了消费者对电池容量的选择,与-à-vis传统汽车相比,它可能会降低拥有电动汽车的成本。此外,V2G缓解了高峰时段的容量压力,从而减少了对发电容量的投资,节约了社会成本。此外,V2G可能会缩小高峰和非高峰时段的电价差异,潜在地进一步增加社会盈余。根据比利时电力市场的未来情景,我们提供了一个数字说明,表明节省可能是实质性的。
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引用次数: 5
Catching up and falling behind: Cross-country evidence on the impact of the EU ETS on firm productivity 追赶与落后:欧盟排放交易体系对企业生产率影响的跨国证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101315
Nicolas Koch , Michael Themann

This paper identifies the impact of the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) on firm productivity. We estimate a stylized version of the neo-Schumpeterian productivity model to differentiate dynamic forces of productivity convergence from the policy effect of the EU ETS depending on the level of firms’ technological advancement. The identification is based on a difference-in-differences approach exploiting the incomplete participation requirements of the EU ETS and the rich panel structure of a representative dataset for firm-level total factor productivity (TFP) in eight EU countries from 2002 to 2012. We show that the policy effect on TFP is nonlinear in the distance to the technological frontier within the industry. The EU ETS spurs productivity among firms close to the frontier but slows down catch-up growth among laggard firms.

本文确定了欧盟排放交易体系(EU ETS)对企业生产率的影响。我们估计了新熊彼特生产率模型的一个规范化版本,以区分生产率趋同的动态力量与欧盟排放交易体系的政策效应,这取决于企业的技术进步水平。该识别是基于利用EU ETS的不完全参与要求和具有代表性的8个欧盟国家2002年至2012年企业层面全要素生产率(TFP)数据集的丰富面板结构的差异方法。研究表明,政策对全要素生产率的影响在产业内与技术前沿的距离上呈非线性关系。欧盟排放交易体系刺激了靠近前沿的企业的生产率,但减缓了落后企业的追赶增长。
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引用次数: 0
A macroeconomic approach to global land use policy 全球土地利用政策的宏观经济方法
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101302
Pedro Naso , Ozgun Haznedar , Bruno Lanz , Tim Swanson

It is important to dedicate substantial parts of the global land supply to public good uses in the 21st century, for purposes of climate change management and biodiversity provision. But will it also be possible to meet the food requirements of 12 billion people while doing so? Using a macroeconomic model (MAVA), we demonstrate that it may be possible to provide both for food requirements and environmental services in the long run. We first show that it may be possible to provide for food requirements with very substantial constraints on the amount of land used in agriculture with relatively minor welfare losses. We then show that global policies that re-allocate labour across sectors may have the capacity for directing the economy toward reduced reliance on land in agriculture. Focusing on land management, research and development, and fertility choices may be the best way to meet these combined goals.

在21世纪,为了气候变化管理和生物多样性提供的目的,将全球土地供应的很大一部分用于公益用途是很重要的。但是,在这样做的同时,是否有可能满足120亿人的粮食需求?使用宏观经济模型(MAVA),我们证明从长远来看,同时满足粮食需求和环境服务是可能的。我们首先表明,在对农业用地数量进行非常严格的限制的情况下,以相对较小的福利损失来满足粮食需求是可能的。然后我们表明,跨部门重新分配劳动力的全球政策可能有能力引导经济减少农业对土地的依赖。把重点放在土地管理、研究和发展以及生育选择上可能是实现这些综合目标的最佳途径。
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引用次数: 0
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Resource and Energy Economics
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