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Hometown Favoritism and Political Rewards: Evidence From South Korean Municipalities 家乡偏袒和政治奖励:来自韩国市政当局的证据
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70017
Min-Young Hwang, Dongwon Lee

We examine whether politicians favor their hometowns in the allocation of transfers as a strategy to reward core supporters. In South Korea, regional governors have discretion to allocate certain grants to municipalities without approval from the legislature. Using data from 226 South Korean municipalities across 15 regions, we find that the hometowns of internal governors, those elected within their home regions, receive approximately 20% more discretionary grants. Consistent with the core supporter model, we show that elected internal governors allocate more grants to hometown municipalities with a higher concentration of supporters. In contrast, external governors, those elected outside their home regions, exhibit no hometown bias. Our findings suggest that regional governors favor their hometowns because these areas tend to provide strong electoral support.

我们考察了政治家在分配转移支付时是否偏袒其家乡作为奖励核心支持者的策略。在韩国,地方行政长官有权在没有立法机关批准的情况下向市政当局分配某些拨款。我们使用了韩国15个地区的226个城市的数据,发现内部知事(即在其所在地区当选的知事)的家乡获得的自由支配拨款约多20%。与核心支持者模型一致,我们表明,当选的内部管理者向支持者集中度较高的家乡市分配了更多的拨款。相比之下,在家乡以外地区当选的外派州长则没有家乡偏见。我们的研究结果表明,地方州长倾向于他们的家乡,因为这些地区往往提供强大的选举支持。
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引用次数: 0
Geography of Climate Change Adaptation in US Agriculture 美国农业气候变化适应地理学
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-12 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70014
Jingfang Zhang, Emir Malikov, Ruiqing Miao, Prasenjit Ghosh

Geography is a salient feature in agricultural adaptation to a warming climate. Facing heterogeneous natural-resource and climatic endowments, farmers in different locations choose adaptive strategies that are best suited to their environments, resulting in inhomogeneous adaptation across space. We provide novel evidence of this explicitly spatial heterogeneity in heat sensitivity of US crop yields and their adaptation thereto. We generalize a popular long-differences approach by explicitly incorporating geographic information of crop-producing counties in a semiparametric fashion, using local kernel averaging. This lets us control for spatially clustered local heterogeneity that may be non-neutral in that it moderates climate effects on agriculture. Obtained measurements of historical adaptation are also more granular and account for local contexts, as do projected yield changes due to climate change. We find that corn and soybean adaptation to overheat mainly occurred in the Northern Great Plains and Upper Midwest. There is a geographic bifurcation in expected climate change effects by the mid-century, with some regions projected to experience large yield declines and others to benefit from significant yield gains. Considering the net offset potential of this bifurcation, our average yield impact projections are generally smaller relative to traditional approaches.

地理是农业适应气候变暖的一个显著特征。面对异质性的自然资源和气候禀赋,不同地区的农民会选择最适合其环境的适应策略,从而导致跨空间的非同质适应。我们为美国作物产量热敏性的空间异质性及其适应性提供了新的证据。我们推广了一种流行的长差方法,通过使用局部核平均,以半参数方式显式地结合作物生产县的地理信息。这使我们能够控制空间聚集的地方异质性,这种异质性可能是非中性的,因为它缓和了气候对农业的影响。获得的历史适应的测量结果也更加精细,能够考虑到当地环境,气候变化导致的产量变化预估也是如此。研究发现,玉米和大豆对高温的适应主要发生在北部大平原和中西部上游地区。到本世纪中叶,预计气候变化的影响存在地理差异,一些地区预计将出现产量大幅下降,而另一些地区将受益于产量大幅增加。考虑到这种分岔的净抵消潜力,我们的平均产量影响预测通常比传统方法要小。
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引用次数: 0
Local Labour Market Resilience: The Role of Digitalisation and Working From Home 本地劳动力市场弹性:数字化和在家工作的作用
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70013
Sarra Ben Yahmed, Francesco Berlingieri, Eduard Brüll

This article shows that digital capital and working from home were essential for the resilience of local labour markets in the context of the COVID-19 crisis in Germany. Employment responses differed widely across local labour markets, with differences in short-time work rates of up to 30 percentage points at the beginning of the pandemic. Using recent advancements in the difference-in-differences approach with a continuous treatment, we find that digital capital potential higher by one standard deviation led to a short-time work rate that was lower by 1.5 percentage points on average at the onset of the shock. The effect was nonlinear, disproportionately disadvantaging regions at the lower end of the digital capital distribution. We also find that working from home potential led to lower short-time work, especially during the first lockdown period. However, digital capital smoothed the employment shock beyond the effect of remote work, extending into 2021. Moreover, local digital capital potential increased the adoption of remote work after the shock.

本文表明,在德国2019冠状病毒病危机的背景下,数字资本和在家工作对当地劳动力市场的抵御能力至关重要。各地劳动力市场的就业反应差异很大,在大流行开始时,短期工作率的差异高达30个百分点。利用持续处理的差中差方法的最新进展,我们发现数字资本潜力高出一个标准差导致短期工作率在冲击开始时平均降低1.5个百分点。这种影响是非线性的,处于数字资本分布低端的地区处于不成比例的不利地位。我们还发现,在家工作的潜力导致短期工作减少,特别是在第一次封锁期间。然而,数字资本缓解了远程工作带来的就业冲击,这种影响将持续到2021年。此外,当地数字资本潜力在地震后增加了远程工作的采用。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Commuting Time on Students' Academic Performance: Evidence From Nearby Enrollment Policy in China 通勤时间对学生学习成绩的影响:来自中国就近招生政策的证据
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70015
Jiahui Cheng

This study investigates the impact of commuting time on students' academic performance based on the nearby enrollment policy in China. Using a sample of middle school students without school-choice behavior, we capture relatively exogenous commuting times. The results indicate that an additional 10 min of one-way commute time leads to a decrease of 0.017 standard deviations in students' scores. A further discussion of mechanisms suggests that more lateness and absenteeism, more unhappiness and lack of concentration are the primary mechanisms. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the negative effect is smaller for active commuters when the commute time is under 26.59 min. Commuters attending suburban schools experience less negative impact compared to those in urban centers or rural areas. No significant differences are observed in the effects based on gender or school start times. Finally, we explore the nonlinear effects of commuting time.

本研究以邻近入学政策为研究对象,探讨通勤时间对学生学业成绩的影响。我们以没有择校行为的中学生为样本,获取了相对外生的通勤时间。结果表明,单向通勤时间每增加10分钟,学生的成绩就会下降0.017个标准差。对机制的进一步讨论表明,更多的迟到和旷工,更多的不快乐和注意力不集中是主要机制。异质性分析表明,当通勤时间小于26.59 min时,活跃通勤者的负面影响较小。与城市中心或农村地区相比,在郊区上学的通勤者受到的负面影响要小一些。没有观察到基于性别或上学时间的影响有显著差异。最后,探讨了通勤时间的非线性效应。
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引用次数: 0
Public Transportation Access and Food Insecurity 公共交通和粮食不安全
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70010
Sierra Arnold

Public transportation networks connect poor urban households in food deserts to grocery options and nutritious food. This paper examines how the exit of public transit options in an urban food desert affects a household's access to and utilization of grocery stores over drug and dollar stores, as well as the healthfulness of the foods these households purchase. I create an original data set of all transportation network changes across 138 cities in the US over the period 2008–2019. I combine this with UPC codes of all consumer packaged goods bought by tens of thousands of urban households over the same period. The exit of public transportation options in an urban food desert is associated with a significant decrease in the number of yearly trips below median income households make to grocery stores and an increase in the number of yearly trips made to drug and dollar stores. Further, households that experience such an exit subsequently buy fewer healthy foods and more unhealthy foods. The results from this study suggest that maintaining public transit infrastructure is an important public policy concern and that cuts to public transit networks directly impact urban households' access to nutritious food.

公共交通网络将生活在食物沙漠中的贫困城市家庭与食品杂货店和营养食品联系起来。本文研究了城市食品沙漠中公共交通选择的退出如何影响家庭对杂货店的访问和利用,而不是药品和美元商店,以及这些家庭购买的食品的健康。我创建了一个原始数据集,其中包含2008年至2019年期间美国138个城市的所有交通网络变化。我将其与同一时期成千上万城市家庭购买的所有包装消费品的UPC代码结合起来。在城市食物沙漠中,公共交通选择的退出与中等收入以下家庭每年前往杂货店的次数显著减少以及每年前往药店和一元店的次数增加有关。此外,经历这种退出的家庭随后购买更少的健康食品和更多的不健康食品。这项研究的结果表明,维护公共交通基础设施是一个重要的公共政策问题,削减公共交通网络直接影响城市家庭获得营养食品的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Growth and Disparities in the Era of Economic Security: European Regional Dynamics in the New Normal Trade Policy Scenario 经济安全时代的区域增长与差异:新常态贸易政策情景下的欧洲区域动态
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70012
Roberta Capello, Andrea Caragliu, Roberto Dellisanti

Recent geopolitical conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, coupled with a geopoliticization of trade, triggered the transition toward a new trade policy, moving away from managing interdependencies to managing dependency through economic security principles, embracing Open Strategic Autonomy. While a New Normal Trade Policy may be fundamental in restoring the European level playing field in international trade, it will not be exempt from costs that will affect regions differently, as geoeconomic fragmentation may significantly hurt low-income regions, negatively affecting living standards. In this paper, we assess the regional income distribution of the New Normal Trade Policy scenario, through MASST5 model simulations. The model simulates GDP growth rates at NUTS2 level for all EU member countries + UK under the assumptions of the new trade policy. Simulations are based on a combination of internally coherent assumptions formalizing the EU's approach to the New Normal Trade Policy, mostly dealing with the risk diversification of trade partners in industries deemed strategic by the EU, with the extra investment in digital technologies, and with a reduction in within EU trade barriers. Estimated gains are spatially heterogeneous. Regions growing fastest include noncapital urban areas, Western European regions, manufacturing regions, and regions with strong institutions. Growth drivers differ, with high-level functions boosting Western regions, while Eastern regions focus on production-related ones. Between-country disparities increase, yet within-country inequalities tend to grow less due to the advantages of nonmanufacturing areas in Western countries; overall these trends would lead to a slowdown in territorial inequalities.

最近欧洲和中东的地缘政治冲突,加上贸易的地缘政治化,引发了向新贸易政策的过渡,从管理相互依赖转向通过经济安全原则管理依赖,拥抱开放战略自治。虽然“新常态贸易政策”可能对恢复欧洲在国际贸易中的公平竞争环境至关重要,但它也不能免除对地区产生不同影响的成本,因为地缘经济碎片化可能严重损害低收入地区,对生活水平产生负面影响。在本文中,我们通过MASST5模型模拟评估了新常态贸易政策情景下的区域收入分配。该模型在新贸易政策的假设下,模拟了所有欧盟成员国+英国在NUTS2水平下的GDP增长率。模拟基于内部一致的假设组合,这些假设形式化了欧盟对新常态贸易政策的态度,主要是处理欧盟认为具有战略意义的行业中贸易伙伴的风险多样化,对数字技术的额外投资,以及欧盟内部贸易壁垒的减少。估计的增益在空间上是不均匀的。增长最快的地区包括非首都城市地区、西欧地区、制造业地区和制度健全的地区。经济增长动力存在差异,西部地区以高水平功能为主,东部地区以生产相关功能为主。国与国之间的差距增加了,但由于西方国家非制造业地区的优势,国家内部的不平等倾向于减少;总的来说,这些趋势将导致地域不平等的减缓。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Economic Impacts of Transformative Activities: Embedding Entrepreneurial Ideas Into a Spatial CGE Approach in Hungary 评估转型活动的经济影响:将创业理念融入匈牙利的空间CGE方法
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70016
Norbert Szabó, Krisztina Polónyi-Andor, Zsolt Bedő, Katalin Erdős

In this article, we provide a spatial computable general equilibrium model that is suitable for the analysis of transformative activities within the framework of Smart Specialization and able to support the selection between alternative activities. These activities play a crucial role in regional structural transformation; however, the selection mechanism between them is not evident, and the literature has provided little guidance. To improve the efficiency of the selection process, it is important to assess, among many other aspects, the expected economic impact of each entrepreneurial idea. We extended the GMR economic impact assessment model's framework to account for potential transformative activities as new industries. We integrated real entrepreneurial ideas discovered in Baranya county, Hungary, using micro-data to evaluate their potential local economic effects and reveal the key factors behind these impacts.

在本文中,我们提供了一个空间可计算的一般均衡模型,该模型适用于智能专业化框架内的变革活动分析,并能够支持备选活动之间的选择。这些活动在区域结构转型中起着至关重要的作用;然而,它们之间的选择机制并不明显,文献也没有提供多少指导。为了提高选择过程的效率,在许多其他方面中,重要的是评估每个创业想法的预期经济影响。我们扩展了GMR经济影响评估模型的框架,以考虑作为新产业的潜在变革活动。我们整合了在匈牙利巴拉尼亚县发现的真实创业理念,利用微观数据评估了它们对当地经济的潜在影响,并揭示了这些影响背后的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
How Should Place-Based Policies Be Designed to Efficiently Promote Retail Agglomeration? 如何设计基于地的政策以有效促进零售集聚?
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70009
Hiroki Aizawa, Tatsuhito Kono

Place-based policies can change the spatial distribution of retail stores and consumers. We develop a general equilibrium model in which consumers make a single shopping trip and freely choose where to reside. By using this model, we evaluate the welfare impacts of place-based policies for downtown retail agglomeration to clarify what place-based policies are efficient. Results show that the efficiency of place-based policies depends on the recipients of government subsidies, consumers or stores, even if the policies promote retail agglomeration in downtown areas. Using a utility function with the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) subutility for varieties, we examine the welfare impacts of these place-based policies. We demonstrate that subsidizing consumers to relocate near downtown areas is inevitably harmful from the viewpoint of welfare under the CES, whereas subsidizing retail stores is efficient.

基于地点的策略可以改变零售商店和消费者的空间分布。我们建立了一个一般均衡模型,其中消费者只进行一次购物,并自由选择居住地。通过该模型,我们评估了基于地的政策对市中心零售集聚的福利影响,以澄清哪些基于地的政策是有效的。结果表明,即使政策促进了中心城区的零售集聚,但地方政策的效率取决于政府补贴的接受者、消费者或商店。利用具有恒定替代弹性(CES)的效用函数,我们研究了这些基于地方的政策对福利的影响。从福利的角度来看,补贴消费者搬迁到市中心附近是不可避免的有害的,而补贴零售商店是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Shadows and Donuts: The Work-From-Home Revolution and The Performance of Cities 阴影与甜甜圈:在家工作革命与城市绩效
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70008
Steven Bond-Smith, Philip McCann

In this article, we set out the relationships between the behavioral and spatial responses to working from home. The analytical framework centres explicitly on the choice of commuting frequency as the key decision-making variable that endogenously reshapes the relationships between other spatial and nonspatial variables as a result of the work-from-home revolution. We find that optimal commuting frequency is positively related to the opportunity costs of less-than-continuous face-to-face interaction and inversely related to commuting costs. As well as a “ donut effect” with growth in the suburbs and hinterlands around cities, our results also identify a “shadow effect” in smaller cities. The reason is that, somewhat counterintuitively, commuting frequency optimisation magnifies the benefits of working from home in larger cities because of a greater decrease in the burden of commuting. Our results imply enhanced productivity of larger cities over smaller cities, suggesting that the economic divergence between large cities and left-behind places is likely to persist.

在这篇文章中,我们阐述了在家工作的行为反应和空间反应之间的关系。分析框架明确地以通勤频率作为关键决策变量的选择为中心,作为在家工作革命的结果,通勤频率内生地重塑了其他空间和非空间变量之间的关系。研究发现,最优通勤频率与非连续面对面互动的机会成本正相关,与通勤成本负相关。除了城市周边郊区和腹地的“甜甜圈效应”外,我们的研究结果还发现了小城市的“影子效应”。原因是,通勤频率优化放大了在大城市在家工作的好处,这有点违反直觉,因为通勤负担大大减轻了。我们的研究结果表明,大城市的生产率高于小城市,这表明大城市和落后地区之间的经济差异可能会持续下去。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Relaxing Internal Migration Restrictions on Urban Natives' Subjective Well-Being: Quasi-Experimental Evidence From China's Hukou Reforms 放宽内部流动限制对城市居民主观幸福感的影响:来自中国户籍改革的准实验证据
IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1111/jors.70011
Weiliang Hu, Haiyang Lu, Keya Zeng

This study examines the causal impact of relaxing internal migration restrictions on the subjective well-being (SWB) of urban natives. Taking China's 2014 household registration (hukou) system reform as a quasi-natural experiment and combining data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS), we find that the reform has a significant negative impact on the SWB of urban natives. This effect is more pronounced for younger and lower-income groups. Further analysis reveals that the hukou reforms deteriorate the labor market outcomes of natives, reduce their access to public services, and increase local crime rates and their risk of victimization. These results can be interpreted as potential mechanisms through which the relaxed internal migration restrictions negatively impact natives' SWB. Our findings provide valuable insights into the unintended consequences of migration policy reforms and highlight the need for balanced policy design to mitigate negative effects on host communities.

本研究探讨了放宽国内移民限制对城市居民主观幸福感的因果影响。以2014年中国户籍制度改革为准自然实验,结合中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,我们发现户籍制度改革对城镇居民的幸福感有显著的负向影响。这种影响在年轻人和低收入群体中更为明显。进一步分析表明,户籍改革恶化了本地人的劳动力市场结果,减少了他们获得公共服务的机会,增加了当地的犯罪率和受害风险。这些结果可以解释为放宽国内移民限制对当地人的主观幸福感产生负面影响的潜在机制。我们的研究结果为移民政策改革的意外后果提供了有价值的见解,并强调了平衡政策设计的必要性,以减轻对东道社区的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Regional Science
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