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The effect of short-term rentals on local consumption amenities: Evidence from Madrid 短期租赁对当地消费设施的影响:马德里的证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12685
Alberto Hidalgo, Massimo Riccaboni, Francisco J. Velázquez

This paper examines the impact of the arrival of Airbnb on local consumption amenities in Madrid. We exploit the exogenous variation created by the timing and uneven distribution of Airbnb listings in the city to determine the impact on food and beverage establishments. Using an instrumental variable strategy, we find positive local effects on both the number of restaurants and their employees: an increase of 14 Airbnb rooms in a given census tract leads to almost one more restaurant, and the same increase in a given neighborhood generates 11 new tourist-related employees. The results are robust to the specification and sample composition. This paper contributes to the literature on the economic impact of the platform economy on urban areas by providing evidence of market expansion externalities from short-term rentals.

本文探讨了 Airbnb 的到来对马德里当地消费设施的影响。我们利用 Airbnb 上市的时间和在城市中的不均匀分布所造成的外生变化来确定其对餐饮场所的影响。利用工具变量策略,我们发现了对餐馆数量及其员工的正向地方影响:在特定人口普查区,Airbnb 房间每增加 14 间,餐馆数量就会增加近 1 间;在特定街区,同样的增加量会产生 11 名新的旅游相关员工。这些结果对规格和样本组成都是稳健的。本文通过提供短租带来的市场扩张外部性证据,为有关平台经济对城市地区经济影响的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
From agglomeration to dispersion: How does China's noncapital functions' relief affect regional development? 从集聚到分散:中国非首都功能疏解如何影响区域发展?
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12684
Bo Yuan, Kecen Jing, Yuhai Liu

Agglomeration economies can bring about positive externalities, while excessive agglomeration backfires. However, existing literature on place-based policies mainly focuses on policies that enhance agglomeration economies. Few studies discuss dispersion policies coping with the negative externality from excessive agglomeration. Owing to the unclear effects of dispersion policies, we conduct empirical research on the noncapital function relief (NCFR) policy, which is implemented to decrease the agglomeration in Beijing, the capital of China, and promote the development of surrounding areas. Exploiting the difference-in-difference model, we find that the NCFR policy implementation significantly facilitates the economic growth of the surrounding areas of Beijing. Changes in the distribution of new firm entry and population are two main channels, while no significant effect on the productivity is found. Furthermore, areas that are less-developed could benefit more from the NCFR policy. Our findings may enlighten other developing countries in urban economic management.

集聚经济可以带来积极的外部效应,而过度集聚则会适得其反。然而,关于地方政策的现有文献主要集中于提高集聚经济的政策。很少有研究讨论应对过度集聚带来的负外部性的分散政策。由于分散政策的效果不明确,我们对非首都功能疏解(NCFR)政策进行了实证研究,该政策旨在降低中国首都北京的集聚程度,促进周边地区的发展。利用差分模型,我们发现非首都功能疏解政策的实施极大地促进了北京周边地区的经济增长。新企业进入和人口分布的变化是两个主要渠道,而对生产率的影响并不明显。此外,欠发达地区可以从国家外商投资企业政策中获益更多。我们的研究结果可能会对其他发展中国家的城市经济管理有所启发。
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引用次数: 0
Does inequality migrate? The development of income inequality across German states 不平等会迁移吗?德国各州收入不平等的发展
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-21 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12683
Oleg Badunenko, Maria Popova

This study analyzes the evolution of educational and occupational patterns among migrants and natives, as well as income inequality in Germany from 1985 to 2015. We show that despite migrants catching up in education, employment, and income with their native counterparts, unfavorable societal attitudes toward them have remained virtually unchanged, which can be attributed to Bourdieu's conceptualization of cultural inheritance. We find that while income inequality has increased significantly over the 30-year period, this trend varied considerably by the federal state and that migration did nothing to add to inequality. Since both the German economy and society rely on migrants, there is a strong need for the narratives toward migrants to be based on empirical evidence. The findings of this study hold migrant-related policy implications not only for Germany but also for other developed nations that rely on migrants as a labor force.

本研究分析了从 1985 年到 2015 年德国移民和本地人之间教育和职业模式的演变,以及收入不平等的情况。我们发现,尽管移民在教育、就业和收入方面赶上了本地人,但社会对他们的不利态度却几乎没有改变,这可以归因于布迪厄的文化继承概念。我们发现,虽然收入不平等在 30 年间显著加剧,但这一趋势因联邦州的不同而有很大差异,移民并没有加剧不平等。由于德国的经济和社会都依赖于移民,因此对移民的叙述亟需以实证为基础。本研究的结果不仅对德国,而且对其他依赖移民作为劳动力的发达国家都具有与移民相关的政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and commercial mortgage delinquency 气候风险与商业抵押贷款拖欠
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12681
Rogier Holtermans, Matthew E. Kahn, Nils Kok

Natural disasters such as hurricanes, floods, heatwaves, and wildfires are projected to become more prevalent in the foreseeable future. Climate risk is, therefore, increasingly recognized as an important factor by policy makers, the investment community, and financial markets. Due to the immobility of assets, the commercial real estate industry is especially vulnerable to climate risk, and there is an increasing interest to understand the impact of climate risk on the value of commercial real estate. For commercial real estate lenders, changes in collateral value are only of partial importance. The ability of borrowers to meet their payment obligations is equally, if not more important. By combining historical data on two major climate-related disasters—Hurricanes Harvey and Sandy—with longitudinal information on commercial mortgage performance, this paper identifies the impact of climate risks on mortgage delinquency rates for commercial real estate mortgages. The results show that both Harvey and Sandy led to elevated levels of commercial mortgage delinquency, with significant heterogeneity based on the extent of damage in the Census block group. Information provided through FEMA 100-year floodplain maps partially mitigates the effects, an indication that lenders incorporate flood risk information in the underwriting process. An analysis of potential mechanisms indicates a decrease in property income during the 2-year period following the event for Hurricane Harvey, but no evidence of income effects for Sandy.

在可预见的未来,飓风、洪水、热浪和野火等自然灾害预计将更加普遍。因此,决策者、投资界和金融市场日益认识到气候风险是一个重要因素。由于资产的不流动性,商业房地产业尤其容易受到气候风险的影响,人们越来越有兴趣了解气候风险对商业房地产价值的影响。对于商业房地产贷款人来说,抵押品价值的变化只是部分重要因素。借款人履行付款义务的能力同样重要,甚至更为重要。通过将与气候相关的两大灾害--飓风哈维和桑迪--的历史数据与商业抵押贷款表现的纵向信息相结合,本文确定了气候风险对商业房地产抵押贷款拖欠率的影响。结果表明,哈维和桑迪都导致了商业抵押贷款拖欠率的上升,而且根据人口普查区块组的受损程度存在显著的异质性。联邦紧急事务管理局 100 年洪泛区地图提供的信息部分缓解了这种影响,这表明贷款人在承保过程中纳入了洪水风险信息。对潜在机制的分析表明,"哈维 "飓风事件发生后的两年内,财产收入有所减少,但没有证据表明 "桑迪 "飓风对收入产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Cultural shock of high-speed rail: Evidence from social trust 高铁带来的文化冲击:来自社会信任的证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12682
Fanglin Chen, Zhongfei Chen

The opening of high-speed rail (HSR), as an exogenous shock, has had a profound and complex effect on social life. This study analyzes the effect of the opening of HSR on social trust. Results show that the opening of HSR promotes social trust. Mechanism analysis showed that although the opening of HSR accelerated population mobility and decreased trust in strangers, economic growth and improvement of local social issues mitigated the negative effects of its opening. In addition, our results also show that individuals turn to trust in their parents, neighbors, and doctors. Considering the potential endogeneity problem, instrumental variable and difference-in-differences estimators consistently indicated the promoting effect of the HSR opening on trust. Heterogeneity analysis showed that the opening of HSR had a greater effect on female, urban residents, younger groups, and married people. Last, cities with larger populations and tourist cities were more vulnerable to shocks.

高铁(HSR)的开通作为一种外生冲击,对社会生活产生了深刻而复杂的影响。本研究分析了高铁开通对社会信任的影响。结果表明,高铁开通促进了社会信任。机制分析表明,虽然高铁开通加速了人口流动,降低了对陌生人的信任,但经济增长和当地社会问题的改善缓解了高铁开通的负面影响。此外,我们的结果还显示,个人转而信任父母、邻居和医生。考虑到潜在的内生性问题,工具变量和差分估计法一致表明高铁开通对信任有促进作用。异质性分析表明,高铁开通对女性、城市居民、年轻群体和已婚人士的影响更大。最后,人口较多的城市和旅游城市更容易受到冲击。
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引用次数: 0
Local employment multipliers for large publicly subsidized firms: Evidence from a synthetic control approach 大型公共补贴企业的当地就业乘数:合成控制法的证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12680
Andrew Hanson, Shawn Rohlin

This paper provides estimates of local employment multipliers from large, publicly subsidized firms. We use a synthetic control weighted difference-in-difference estimation procedure that matches treated areas with comparison areas to generate local employment multiplier estimates. We show that local employment multiplier estimates have a high degree of uncertainty, with a wide range of point estimates (both positive and negative) and varying degrees of statistical significance. There is a concentration of positive employment multipliers from manufacturing facilities, but little correlation between estimated multipliers and subsidy value. We demonstrate that our approach produces drastically different results than a traditional difference-in-difference approach.

本文提供了来自大型公共补贴企业的当地就业乘数估计值。我们采用合成控制加权差分估算程序,将受惠地区与对比地区相匹配,得出当地就业乘数估算值。我们的研究表明,当地就业乘数估计值具有很大的不确定性,其点估计值范围很广(包括正值和负值),统计意义也各不相同。制造业设施的就业乘数集中为正值,但估计乘数与补贴价值之间几乎没有关联。我们证明,我们的方法与传统的差分法得出的结果截然不同。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of long-distance commuting on salaries and employment in host regions in Chile 远距离通勤对智利东道地区工资和就业的影响
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12678
Viviana Carriel, Manuel Pérez-Trujillo, Marcelo Lufin, Miguel Atienza

Long-distance commuting (LDC) is an increasingly relevant strategy of labor mobility worldwide and is therefore key to understanding the structure and dynamics of labor markets. However, little is known about the effect that LDC has on the labor market equilibrium of host territories. This paper addresses this gap for the case of Chile. While LDC is a useful strategy for improving salary and employment on a national scale, our results show a negative effect for residents in host territories (on a local scale), particularly when LDC results in commuters with similar characteristics to residents competing for the same jobs.

远距离通勤(LDC)是世界范围内一种日益重要的劳动力流动策略,因此也是了解劳动力市场结构和动态的关键。然而,人们对远距离通勤对东道国劳动力市场均衡的影响知之甚少。本文以智利为例,弥补了这一空白。虽然就全国范围而言,LDC 是提高工资和就业率的有效策略,但我们的研究结果表明,LDC 对东道国居民(在地方范围内)产生了负面影响,尤其是当 LDC 导致与居民具有相似特征的通勤者竞争相同的工作时。
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引用次数: 0
Migration and the location of MNE activities: Evidence from Italian provinces 移民和跨国公司活动的地点:来自意大利各省的证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12674
Luigi Benfratello, Davide Castellani, Anna D'Ambrosio

We investigate the migration-inward foreign direct investment (FDI) nexus in narrow geographies. A novel two-stage empirical strategy allows us to investigate the role of migration as a determinant of multinational enterprises (MNEs) location choices and unpick heterogeneity in foreign investors' preferences towards the presence of migrants in the host location. This allows us to shed light on the relative importance of the underlying mechanisms linking migration and inward FDI. Relying on 1113 greenfield investments by 895 MNEs in Italian NUTS3 regions over 2003–2015, we find that immigrants from the country of origin of the investor exert a positive but highly heterogeneous effect on MNE location choices. Investors are more sensitive to the presence of migrants from their country of origin when they lack experience in the destination country (first-time investors) and when their investments concern market-access or business-services (downstream) activities. This is consistent with the view that migrants act as information brokers that bridge the fixed costs of international business activities.

我们在狭窄的地理区域内调查了移民与外国直接投资(FDI)的关系。一种新的两阶段实证策略使我们能够研究移民作为跨国企业(MNEs)区位选择的决定因素的作用,并揭示外国投资者对移民在东道国存在的偏好的异质性。这使我们能够阐明联系移民和外国直接投资流入的基本机制的相对重要性。基于2003-2015年间895家跨国公司在意大利NUTS3地区的1113项绿地投资,我们发现来自投资者原籍国的移民对跨国公司的区位选择产生了积极但高度异质性的影响。如果投资者在目的地国缺乏经验(首次投资者),如果他们的投资涉及市场准入或商业服务(下游)活动,投资者对来自原籍国的移民的存在更为敏感。这与移徙者充当信息掮客的观点是一致的,他们弥补了国际商业活动的固定成本。
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引用次数: 0
Is distance really dying? Transportation and knowledge spillovers 距离真的会消亡吗?交通与知识外溢
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12675
Siwei Cao, Guangrong Ma, Hao Mao

Enhanced transportation infrastructure improves the frequency of travel and facilitates face-to-face communication. Will the resulting reduction in travel cost mitigate the geographical concentration of knowledge spillovers? Our empirical strategy exploits China's mass expansion of its intercity high-speed railway network as a natural experiment. Using patent citations as the proxy for knowledge spillovers, we find inventors increasingly rely on more distant knowledge after rail connection and newly connect cities' innovation performance improves substantially.

交通基础设施的改善提高了旅行频率,促进了面对面的交流。由此带来的旅行成本降低是否会缓解知识外溢的地理集中性?我们的实证策略利用了中国城际高速铁路网的大规模扩张作为自然实验。以专利引用作为知识溢出的代表,我们发现铁路连通后,发明者越来越依赖于更远的知识,而新连通城市的创新绩效也大幅提高。
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引用次数: 0
Within-development density and housing prices in Singapore 新加坡的发展密度和房价
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12677
Eric Fesselmeyer, Haoming Liu, Louisa Poco

This paper measures how much more households pay for less density in their immediate surroundings. Using transaction and administrative data and exploiting the introduction of a regulation that restricted the number of housing units for certain land lots, we find that households discount density: a 10% increase in within-development density decreases the price per square meter by 5%. Further, the mean price per square meter of the average development increased by 1%–3% after the regulation was introduced, while the amount of built-up space remained constant. The increase in total revenue suggests developers may underestimate the externality caused by density.

这篇论文衡量的是,更多的家庭为他们周围的低密度付出了多少钱。利用交易和行政数据,并利用限制特定地块住房单位数量的规定,我们发现家庭折扣密度:开发内密度增加10%,每平方米价格降低5%。此外,在实施限购后,平均开发项目的每平方米平均价格上涨了1%-3%,而建筑面积保持不变。总收入的增长表明,开发商可能低估了密度带来的外部性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Regional Science
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