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The Heterogeneous Effects of EU Structural Funds: A Spatial VAR Approach 欧盟结构性基金的异质性效应:一个空间VAR方法
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12748
Sergio Destefanis, Valter Di Giacinto

This paper focuses on the impact of EU structural funds (SFs) on the GDP per capita of 183 European NUTS-2 regions throughout the 1990–2018 period. To allow for the endogeneity of funds allocation to regions, we estimate a bivariate structural panel VAR model, including a rich menu of control variables. Our main identifying restriction is based on the widely documented long lags affecting the implementation of EU's cohesion policy. Through a spatial VAR specification, we also estimate spillovers from local SF expenditure on other areas. We find highly significant multipliers measuring the local response of GDP to an exogenous shock in local SF expenditure, with a long-run value settling at 2.7. Spillovers for GDP from an exogenous shock to SFs are also positive and significant, but much smaller (about one-fifth of the within-region responses). When partitioning our sample according to features suggested by the literature (stage of development, EU funding regimes, size), we find that within-region multipliers are higher in lagging regions, especially if located in countries supported by the Cohesion Fund, and in regions with a larger population. Spillovers are also heterogeneous across different groups of regions, turning out to be negative in regions belonging to countries not supported by the Cohesion Fund. This evidence is largely validated in qualitative terms by refinements of the analysis concerned with the choice of proximity matrices.

本文主要研究1990-2018年期间欧盟结构基金对183个欧洲nut -2地区人均GDP的影响。为了允许资金分配到地区的内生性,我们估计了一个二元结构面板VAR模型,包括丰富的控制变量菜单。我们的主要识别限制是基于广泛记录的影响欧盟凝聚力政策实施的长滞后。通过空间VAR规范,我们还估计了地方顺丰支出对其他地区的溢出效应。我们发现高度显著的乘数衡量本地GDP对本地顺丰支出外生冲击的反应,其长期值稳定在2.7。外生冲击对sff的GDP溢出效应也是积极和显著的,但要小得多(约占区域内响应的五分之一)。当根据文献建议的特征(发展阶段、欧盟资助制度、规模)划分我们的样本时,我们发现,区域内乘数在落后地区更高,特别是如果位于凝聚力基金支持的国家,以及人口较多的地区。在不同的地区群体中,溢出效应也存在异质性,在属于未得到凝聚力基金支持的国家的地区,溢出效应被证明是负面的。这一证据在很大程度上是通过与选择接近矩阵有关的分析的改进在定性方面得到验证的。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating National and Foreign Trade Elasticities Using Generalized Transport Costs 利用广义运输成本估算国内和对外贸易弹性
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12746
José L. Zofío, Jorge Díaz-Lanchas, Damiaan Persyn, Javier Barbero

We introduce the definition of two distinct trade elasticities corresponding to imports from regions located in the same country (national elasticities) and foreign regions located in other countries (foreign elasticities). We resort to a three-tier nested CES utility structure to derive the corresponding demand gravity equations. In absence of tariffs within single markets, we identify and recover the elasticities through a precise measure of generalized transport cost that combines economic, engineering, and logistic criteria. Results using PPML estimation methods on EU trade data show that national elasticities double in value their foreign counterparts. Our estimates allow revisiting previous results on border effects, gains from trade, and CGEs.

我们引入了两种不同的贸易弹性的定义,对应于来自同一国家地区的进口(本国弹性)和位于其他国家的外国地区的进口(外国弹性)。我们采用三层嵌套CES效用结构来推导相应的需求重力方程。在单一市场中没有关税的情况下,我们通过结合经济、工程和物流标准的广义运输成本的精确衡量来识别和恢复弹性。对欧盟贸易数据使用PPML估计方法的结果表明,国家弹性的价值是外国同行的两倍。我们的估计允许我们重新审视之前关于边境效应、贸易收益和CGEs的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging Innovation Distances: High-Speed Rail and Patent Agency Utilization in China 弥合创新距离:高铁与中国专利代理机构的使用
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12750
Xiaokang Wu, Jinping Yu

Innovation intermediaries are instrumental in enhancing the efficacy of the innovation process, yet their accessibility tends to be geographically restricted, particularly in underdeveloped regions. This study examines whether the development of transportation infrastructure can alleviate these spatial frictions, promoting cross-regional utilization of intermediary services and subsequently improving innovation outcomes. Leveraging a unique database on patent agency utilization for all invention patents in China from 2003 to 2019, and employing high-speed rail (HSR) as a natural experiment, we estimate a staggered difference-in-difference model at the city-pair level. Our findings suggest that reductions in transportation costs lead to a substantial increase in cross-city PAU after HSR connection, especially in sectors with higher technology sophistication requiring more face-to-face interactions between inventors and agents. This research uncovers a novel mechanism through which HSR influences innovation and provides policy implications for optimizing innovation intermediaries through infrastructure development.

创新中介机构在提高创新过程效率方面发挥着重要作用,但其可及性往往受到地域限制,特别是在欠发达地区。本研究考察了交通基础设施的发展是否能够缓解这些空间摩擦,促进中介服务的跨区域利用,进而改善创新成果。利用2003 - 2019年中国所有发明专利的专利代理机构使用情况数据库,并以高铁作为自然实验,在城市对水平上估计了交错差中差模型。我们的研究结果表明,交通成本的降低导致高铁连接后跨城市PAU的大幅增加,特别是在技术复杂程度较高的行业,需要发明者和代理人之间更多的面对面互动。本研究揭示了高铁影响创新的新机制,并为通过基础设施建设优化创新中介提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and Mapping Industrial Districts Through a Spatially Constrained Cluster-Wise Regression Approach 通过空间约束聚类回归法识别和绘制工业区地图
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12743
Jacopo Canello, Francesco Vidoli, Elisa Fusco, Nicoletta Giudice

The aim of this article is to exploit an innovative spatial econometric approach to map and study the evolving patterns of industrial districts (IDs). The procedure can be classified as a � � k-means cluster-wise regression procedure and is designed to detect homogeneous areas of subcontracting activity. These spatially contiguous aggregations of subcontractors are identified in terms of production function homogeneity and are defined as spatial regimes. Using this procedure, it is possible to detect two important sources of agglomeration economies that are commonly associated with the presence of an industrial district. The methodology is tested on a sample of Italian micro and small-sized subcontracting firms operating in the footwear industry, showing its effectiveness in identifying the most commonly known IDs in this sector. Most ID regimes are persistent over time, despite the high turnover rates in the local subcontracting population after the 2008 financial crisis. These results can be explained by the presence of locally rooted competencies and context-specific knowledge bases that persist despite the changing actors operating in the locality. Our evidence also shows that location in an ID does not necessarily entail benefits in terms of performance for subcontracting firms.

本文的目的是利用一种创新的空间计量经济学方法来绘制和研究工业区的演变模式。该程序可归类为k均值聚类回归程序,旨在检测分包活动的均匀区域。这些空间上连续的分包商聚集在生产函数同质性方面被确定,并被定义为空间制度。利用这一程序,可以发现两个重要的集聚经济来源,它们通常与工业区的存在有关。对在制鞋业经营的意大利微型和小型分包公司的样本检验了该方法,显示其在确定该部门最常见的id方面的有效性。尽管2008年金融危机后当地分包商的流动率很高,但大多数外包制度都是长期存在的。这些结果可以用扎根于当地的能力和特定情境的知识基础的存在来解释,尽管在当地运作的行为者不断变化,但这些能力和知识基础仍然存在。我们的证据还表明,就分包公司的绩效而言,在ID中的位置不一定会带来好处。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Natural Disasters on Inbound Tourism: Synthetic Control Evidence From Italy 自然灾害对入境旅游的影响:意大利的合成控制证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12745
Federica Antonaglia, Elina De Simone, Lorenzo Dorato, Giuseppe Lucio Gaeta, Mauro Pinto

This study enhances the expanding but still limited body of evidence concerning the influence of natural hazards on tourism. We augment prior scholarly investigations by scrutinizing the repercussions of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake on incoming tourism, thereby addressing an existing void in the literature regarding the ramifications of extreme events on high-income nations such as Italy. Moreover, our contribution is novel in its application of the quasi-experimental Synthetic Control Method within the realm of tourism research. Our findings underscore the enduringly deleterious consequences of the L'Aquila hazard on tourism, persisting over a protracted temporal horizon. In particular, the analysis shows a drop in overnight stays with a pronounced effect on hotel accommodations.

关于自然灾害对旅游业影响的证据越来越多,但仍然有限,本研究加强了这方面的证据。我们通过仔细研究2009年拉奎拉地震对入境旅游的影响来加强先前的学术调查,从而解决了关于极端事件对高收入国家(如意大利)影响的文献空白。此外,我们的贡献是新颖的准实验综合控制方法在旅游研究领域的应用。我们的研究结果强调了拉奎拉灾害对旅游业的持久有害影响,这种影响将持续很长一段时间。特别是,分析显示,过夜住宿的减少对酒店住宿产生了显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Uneven Effect of Airbnb on the Housing Market: Evidence Across and Within Italian Cities Airbnb对房地产市场的不均衡影响:意大利城市之间和内部的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12737
Raffaele Congiu, Flavio Pino, Laura Rondi

We investigate if Airbnb diffusion affects residential property values differently across and within cities leveraging the heterogeneity of five Italian cities in terms of tourist attractiveness, local housing markets, and socioeconomic conditions. We find that Airbnb density growth leads to increases in house prices in all cities. Within-city, the impact is positive both in centers and in the suburbs in more touristic towns, but only in the center in the others. Moreover, Airbnb may increase or decrease the center–periphery price gap. Our results suggest that the different impact of Airbnb on housing submarkets is driven by local disparity conditions.

我们利用意大利五个城市在旅游吸引力、当地住房市场和社会经济条件方面的异质性,研究Airbnb扩散对城市间和城市内住宅物业价值的影响是否不同。我们发现Airbnb密度的增长导致了所有城市房价的上涨。在城市内部,在旅游较多的城镇,中心和郊区的影响都是积极的,但只有在其他地方的中心。此外,Airbnb可能会增加或减少中心与周边的价格差距。我们的研究结果表明,Airbnb对住房子市场的不同影响是由地方差异条件驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
The Core-Periphery Model Under Additively Separable Preferences 可加可分偏好下的核心-外围模型
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12744
Congcong Wang, Dao-Zhi Zeng, Xiwei Zhu

This paper reexamines Krugman's core-periphery model by substituting his constant elasticity of substitution (CES) utility with a general additively separable utility that comprehensively captures the pro-competitive effect while preserving the income effect. The heterogeneous consumption patterns of skilled workers and unskilled workers introduce a demand adjustment effect. The resulting interaction <span>between</span> the dispersion force, driven by the pro-competitive effect and the demand adjustment effect, and the agglomeration force stemming from the “second nature,” leads to various possible location patterns. These comprehensive demand and supply linkages generate novel evolutionary paths and bifurcation diagrams. Notably, high trade costs do not always lead to complete dispersion, and free trade does not necessarily result in agglomeration. Furthermore, multiple phases of redispersion are also possible.

本文重新审视了克鲁格曼的 "核心-外围 "模型,将其不变替代弹性(CES)效用替换为一般的可加可分效用,从而在保留收入效应的同时,全面捕捉到有利于竞争的效应。熟练工人和非熟练工人的异质消费模式引入了需求调整效应。由此产生的由支持竞争效应和需求调整效应驱动的分散力与 "第二自然 "产生的集聚力之间的相互作用,导致了各种可能的区位模式。这些全面的供需联系产生了新的演化路径和分岔图。值得注意的是,高贸易成本并不总是导致完全分散,自由贸易也不一定导致集聚。此外,还可能出现多个阶段的再分散。
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引用次数: 0
Stay Hungry, and Stay Calm in Upbeat Time: Local Leaders' Early-Life Famine Experience and Housing Sector Development in China 在乐观时期保持饥饿,保持冷静:中国地方领导人早年的饥荒经历与住房行业发展
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12741
Linke Hou, Pinghan Liang, Siyuan Lyu

This paper shows that local officials' personal preferences formed through early-life experience affects Chinese housing sector development. We exploit a county-level panel between 2000 and 2007 and use the Great Famine in 1959–1961 in China as a natural experiment. Our specification exploits the spatial variation in the early-life exposure to the famine, and shows that local officials' early-life exposure to more severe famine leads to significantly less development in the housing sector in their jurisdictions. Our findings remain robust to alternative specifications, placebo tests, and competing hypotheses. Furthermore, we employ satellite nightlight data to show that the early-life famine experience of local officials is negatively correlated with the extent of statistical data manipulation, indicating changing risk attitudes due to early-life famine experiences.

本文表明,地方官员早期生活经历形成的个人偏好影响着中国住房行业的发展。我们利用2000年至2007年的县级面板,并以1959年至1961年的中国大饥荒作为自然实验。我们的规范利用了早期饥荒暴露的空间差异,并表明地方官员早期暴露于更严重的饥荒导致其管辖范围内住房部门的发展明显减少。我们的研究结果对于替代规范、安慰剂测试和竞争性假设仍然是稳健的。此外,我们利用卫星夜光数据表明,地方官员的早期饥荒经历与统计数据被操纵的程度呈负相关,表明由于早期饥荒经历而改变风险态度。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic Differences in the Effect of Immigration on the Native Wage Distribution: Evidence from Italian Provinces 移民对本地工资分配影响的地理差异:来自意大利各省的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12742
Stefano Fusaro, Enrique López-Bazo

This paper examines geographic differences in the effect of immigration on the wage distribution of native Italian workers. The results suggest an insignificant effect across the wage distribution in northern provinces, but large and significant effects in the lower and middle parts of the distribution in the south. This is entirely because immigration pushed up wages at the lower end of the female wage distribution in southern local areas. This result is consistent with increases in labor market participation of native women that went hand in hand with improvements of women's skills at the bottom of the wage distribution.

本文考察了移民对意大利本土工人工资分配影响的地理差异。结果表明,北部省份的工资分配效应不显著,但南部省份的中下游工资分配效应显著。这完全是因为移民推高了南方地方女性工资分布低端的工资。这一结果与当地女性劳动力市场参与度的增加是一致的,这与工资分配底层女性技能的提高是密切相关的。
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引用次数: 0
Time is the enemy: The speed of proximity-based knowledge diffusion 时间是敌人:基于接近性的知识传播速度
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12740
Alessandra Perri, Francesco Rullani, Elisa Giuliani, Elisa Sabbadin, Raffaele Oriani

Does knowledge spread more quickly when firms are geographically closer? Focusing on knowledge diffusion from multinational enterprises (MNEs) subsidiaries in the context of the US semiconductor industry, our analysis suggests that the broader MNE patents are, in terms of the knowledge sources they draw on, the slower the speed of knowledge diffusion to more spatially proximate firms, compared to more distant ones. Moreover, our findings suggest that this outcome could be attributed to a greater reliance on knowledge sources that are internal to the MNE network or located geographically distant. We provide interpretative cues for these findings and provide policy recommendations in line with our results.

公司地理位置越近,知识传播得越快吗?专注于美国半导体行业背景下跨国企业(MNEs)子公司的知识扩散,我们的分析表明,就其所利用的知识来源而言,跨国公司专利范围越广,知识扩散到空间更近的公司的速度就越慢。此外,我们的研究结果表明,这一结果可能归因于对跨国公司网络内部或地理位置较远的知识来源的更多依赖。我们为这些发现提供解释性线索,并根据我们的结果提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Regional Science
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