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CSR contracting and stock price crash risk: International evidence 企业社会责任契约与股价暴跌风险:国际证据
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101999
Simeng Liu , Kun Tracy Wang , Sonali Walpola , Nathan Zhenghang Zhu

In this study, we examine whether and how the worldwide integration of corporate social responsibility (CSR) criteria into executive compensation contracts (hereafter, CSR contracting or CSR-based executive compensation) affects a firm’s stock price crash risk. Using a comprehensive sample of 42,049 firm-year observations from 53 countries from 2003 to 2019, we find that CSR contracting firms have greater stock price crash risk. This positive association can be attributed to exacerbated managerial bad news hoarding behavior and overinvestment. We further demonstrate that the positive relationship between CSR contracting and crash risk is more pronounced for firms with powerful CEOs, as well as in countries with inferior investor protection and disclosure transparency. Overall, our findings are consistent with the agency cost and managerial power perspective, suggesting that CSR contracting may be exploited by powerful and opportunistic managers as a means of diverting shareholders’ attention and concealing bad financial news. Our findings have implications for both researchers and business practitioners.

在本研究中,我们考察了在全球范围内将企业社会责任(CSR)标准纳入高管薪酬合同(以下简称 CSR 合同或基于 CSR 的高管薪酬)是否以及如何影响公司的股价暴跌风险。通过对 2003 年至 2019 年 53 个国家的 42,049 个公司年度观测数据进行综合抽样,我们发现,签订企业社会责任合同的公司具有更大的股价暴跌风险。这种正相关关系可归因于管理者囤积坏消息行为和过度投资的加剧。我们进一步证明,企业社会责任契约与股价暴跌风险之间的正相关关系在首席执行官强势的公司以及投资者保护和信息披露透明度较低的国家更为明显。总体而言,我们的研究结果符合代理成本和管理权力的观点,表明企业社会责任契约可能会被有权势和机会主义的管理者利用,作为转移股东注意力和掩盖财务坏消息的一种手段。我们的研究结果对研究人员和商业从业者都有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does trade openness promote economic growth in developing countries? 贸易开放能否促进发展中国家的经济增长?
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101985
Hyun-Jung Nam , Doojin Ryu

This study examines the influence of trade openness on economic growth in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Trade openness is associated with low levels of trade barriers and high levels of trade volumes. Lower trade barriers may negatively affect GDP in developing economies, implying that excessive trade openness could impede economic growth. Conversely, increased trade volumes positively affect GDP, highlighting the potential advantages of trade openness for economic growth. We identify the moderating role of trade barriers, noting that in countries with high trade barriers, increased trade volumes are associated with stronger economic growth.

本研究探讨了贸易开放对东南亚国家联盟经济增长的影响。贸易开放与贸易壁垒水平低和贸易量大有关。较低的贸易壁垒可能会对发展中经济体的国内生产总值产生负面影响,这意味着过度的贸易开放可能会阻碍经济增长。相反,贸易量的增加会对国内生产总值产生积极影响,从而凸显贸易开放对经济增长的潜在优势。我们确定了贸易壁垒的调节作用,指出在贸易壁垒较高的国家,贸易量的增加与更强劲的经济增长相关联。
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引用次数: 0
Reputational risk and firm performance: Family versus nonfamily firms in different regulatory environments 声誉风险与公司业绩:不同监管环境下的家族企业与非家族企业
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101976
Yuying Sun, Zhenyu Wu

This paper explores the relationship between reputational risk and firm financial performance in both family and nonfamily businesses. Relying on an international sample of over 5,000 listed firms from 2007 to 2019, we find that family firms have significantly lower reputational risk, and the impact of reputational risk on financial performance is lower in family firms. However, these findings vary across different macro-regulatory environments. In countries with poor regulatory quality, the effect of reputational risk on performance becomes positive, and family firms strengthen this positive influence. We attribute the findings to socioemotional wealth (SEW) theory and rent-seeking theory.

本文探讨了家族企业和非家族企业的声誉风险与企业财务绩效之间的关系。通过对2007年至2019年超过5000家上市企业的国际样本进行分析,我们发现家族企业的声誉风险明显较低,声誉风险对家族企业财务绩效的影响也较小。然而,这些发现在不同的宏观调控环境下有所不同。在监管质量较差的国家,声誉风险对业绩的影响变为正向,而家族企业则加强了这种正向影响。我们将这些发现归因于社会情感财富(SEW)理论和寻租理论。
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引用次数: 0
The EU prospectus regulation and its impact on SME listings 欧盟招股说明书法规及其对中小企业上市的影响
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101983
Christoph Kaserer, Victoria Treßel

This study analyses the “regulatory overreach hypothesis”, which asserts regulatory complexity as the cause for the IPO decline in Western countries, by focusing on the novel EU growth prospectus for SMEs introduced by the Prospectus Regulation. Using a hand-collected database of initial offerings at EU exchanges (2016–2022), we find the EU growth prospectus successfully streamlined SME IPOs without jeopardising investor protection. Despite being less complex in terms of word counts, it remains informative. SMEs are more likely to use it unless the offering becomes relatively large. We do not substantiate that fixed listing costs were reduced. Using a triple difference analysis, we do not find robust evidence of an increase in IPO activity. While questioning the regulatory overreach hypothesis, our findings show that IPO regulation can be simplified and made less burdensome without curtailing investor protection.

本研究分析了 "监管过度假说",该假说认为监管的复杂性是西方国家首次公开募股(IPO)下降的原因,研究重点是《招股说明书条例》引入的新颖的欧盟中小企业成长招股说明书。利用手工收集的欧盟交易所首次发行数据库(2016-2022 年),我们发现欧盟成长型招股说明书成功简化了中小企业首次公开发行的程序,同时又不损害投资者保护。尽管在字数上没有那么复杂,但信息量仍然很大。除非发行规模相对较大,否则中小企业更有可能使用它。我们没有证实固定上市成本降低了。通过三重差异分析,我们没有发现 IPO 活动增加的有力证据。在质疑监管过度假说的同时,我们的研究结果表明,IPO 监管可以简化并减轻负担,而不会削弱对投资者的保护。
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引用次数: 0
Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies 新兴市场经济体的资本流动动态以及金融周期和商业周期的同步性
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101980
Solikin M. Juhro , Bernard Njindan Iyke , Paresh Kumar Narayan

This study assesses the dynamics of capital flow, financial cycles, and business cycles in Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). We show that: (a) capital flow cycles tend to be more volatile than financial and business cycles, (b) although significant heterogeneities exist in the dynamics of these cycles across EMEs, financial and business cycles tend to be similar in terms of amplitudes, (c) significant concordance exists between different cycles and between the same cycles across countries, and (d) capital flow cycles tend to lead financial and business cycles. These findings provide clear guidance on the use of central bank policy mix strategy in response to capital flows, financial, and business cycles. Our results also imply strong interconnection between EMEs, in the sense that they appear to simultaneously experience expansions and recessions.

本研究评估了新兴市场经济体(EMEs)的资本流动、金融周期和商业周期的动态。我们发现(a) 与金融和商业周期相比,资本流动周期的波动性往往更大;(b) 尽管新兴市场经济体的这些周期的动态存在显著的异质性,但金融和商业周期的振幅往往相似;(c) 不同周期之间以及国家间相同周期之间存在显著的一致性;(d) 资本流动周期往往领先于金融和商业周期。这些发现为利用中央银行政策组合策略应对资本流动、金融和商业周期提供了明确的指导。我们的研究结果还表明,新兴市场经济体之间存在很强的相互联系,即它们似乎同时经历经济扩张和衰退。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting the risk of cross-product manipulation in the EUREX fixed income futures market 检测 EUREX 固定收益期货市场的跨产品操纵风险
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101984
Alexis Stenfors , Kaveesha Dilshani , Andy Guo , Peter Mere

Cross-product manipulation involves manipulating one financial product to profit from the subsequent reaction in a different but related product. In this paper, we develop a simple model that researchers and regulators can use to scan for the susceptibility of two markets to such misconduct. We also test the model empirically on a set of government bond futures contracts using a complete EUREX ultra-high-frequency dataset. Our findings show that cross-product manipulation is feasible across bond futures with different underlying maturities, issuers and contract expiry dates. The results suggest that cross-product manipulation might be widespread despite an increasing crackdown by regulators and prosecutors.

跨产品操纵是指操纵一种金融产品,从另一种相关产品的后续反应中获利。在本文中,我们建立了一个简单的模型,研究人员和监管机构可利用该模型扫描两个市场对此类不当行为的易感性。我们还利用完整的 EUREX 超高频数据集,在一组政府债券期货合约上对该模型进行了实证测试。我们的研究结果表明,跨产品操纵在不同标的期限、发行人和合约到期日的债券期货中是可行的。结果表明,尽管监管机构和检察官加大了打击力度,但跨产品操纵仍可能普遍存在。
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引用次数: 0
Foundation ownership and creditor governance: Evidence from publicly listed companies 基金会所有权与债权人治理:上市公司的证据
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101982
Bonnie Buchanan , Caglar Kaya

Foundation ownership represents an alternative corporate governance model to many conventional ownership structures. We examine the effect of foundation ownership on creditor governance. By utilizing an international sample of 411 publicly listed companies between 2003 and 2021, we document that foundation ownership leads to lower credit risk. This negative effect is robust across several different credit measures. Foundation-controlled companies also fare better than family-controlled and institutional investor-controlled companies. Specifically, foundation-controlled companies have better access to bank loans, with more favorable loan contracting conditions. Our results are supported by a series of robustness tests. The results also have policy implications as the European Commission recommends companies move away from a short-term focus.

基金会所有权是许多传统所有权结构之外的另一种公司治理模式。我们研究了基金会所有权对债权人治理的影响。通过利用 2003 年至 2021 年间 411 家上市公司的国际样本,我们发现基金会所有权会导致较低的信贷风险。这种负面影响在几种不同的信用衡量标准中都是稳健的。基金会控制的公司也优于家族控制和机构投资者控制的公司。具体来说,基金会控制的公司更容易获得银行贷款,贷款合同条件也更优惠。我们的结果得到了一系列稳健性检验的支持。随着欧盟委员会建议公司摒弃短期关注,这些结果也具有政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Connectedness between central bank digital currency index, financial stability and digital assets 央行数字货币指数、金融稳定性与数字资产之间的关联性
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101981
Tugba Bas , Issam Malki , Sheeja Sivaprasad

This study examines the interconnectedness between central bank digital currencies (CBDC) index, digital assets and financial stability. First, we use the CBDC index as a measure of financial stability and examine its connectedness with other known measures of financial stability used in the literature. Secondly, we analyse the connectedness of CBDC index with digital assets such as cryptocurrencies and non-fungible tokens and various measures of financial stability. By analysing index returns of CBDC data and applying various connectedness measures to CBDC index, cryptocurrencies, stablecoins and NFTs, we gain insights into the relationships among these assets within a framework. The findings reveal a significant level of connectedness between CBDCs index, digital assets and financial stability. Our analysis shows a weak positive connectedness between CBDCs index and digital assets, indicating that movements in the CBDC index are not closely related to the performance of various digital assets and have a very small contribution to the changes in the returns of digital assets. Furthermore, the study finds bidirectional connectedness between CBDCs and other financial stability measures, suggesting that changes in CBDC performance can influence the overall stability of the financial system, and vice versa. This highlights the importance of carefully considering the design and implementation of CBDCs to ensure they support financial stability objectives.

本研究探讨了央行数字货币(CBDC)指数、数字资产和金融稳定性之间的相互联系。首先,我们使用 CBDC 指数作为金融稳定性的衡量标准,并研究其与文献中使用的其他已知金融稳定性衡量标准之间的关联性。其次,我们分析了 CBDC 指数与加密货币和不可兑换代币等数字资产以及各种金融稳定性衡量指标之间的关联性。通过分析 CBDC 数据的指数回报,并将各种关联性度量方法应用于 CBDC 指数、加密货币、稳定币和 NFT,我们深入了解了这些资产在一个框架内的关系。研究结果表明,CBDCs 指数、数字资产和金融稳定性之间存在明显的关联性。我们的分析表明,CBDCs 指数与数字资产之间存在微弱的正相关性,这表明 CBDCs 指数的变动与各种数字资产的表现并不密切相关,对数字资产收益率变化的贡献也非常小。此外,研究还发现 CBDC 与其他金融稳定性指标之间存在双向联系,表明 CBDC 表现的变化会影响金融体系的整体稳定性,反之亦然。这凸显了仔细考虑 CBDC 的设计和实施以确保其支持金融稳定目标的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
ESG and aggregate disagreement ESG 和总体分歧
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101972
Di Luo , Hisham Farag

This paper investigates the role of aggregate disagreement in the relationship between environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores and future stock returns in the United States (US), European Union (EU), and United Kingdom (UK). We find that firms with high ESG scores are likely to have higher exposure to aggregate disagreement than firms with low ESG scores because of the divergence of opinions about long-term earnings growth. Consistent with our conjecture, the results suggest that when aggregate disagreement is high, a profitable trading strategy is to long firms with low ESG scores and to short those with higher ESG scores. Our results have clear implications for the growing debate over ESG investment strategies.

本文研究了总体分歧在美国、欧盟和英国的环境、社会和治理(ESG)得分与未来股票回报之间关系中的作用。我们发现,与 ESG 分数低的公司相比,ESG 分数高的公司可能更容易受到总体分歧的影响,因为对长期盈利增长的看法存在分歧。与我们的猜想一致,结果表明,当总体分歧较大时,有利可图的交易策略是做多 ESG 分数较低的公司,做空 ESG 分数较高的公司。我们的结果对有关 ESG 投资策略的日益激烈的争论有明显的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic momentum and cross-sectional equity market indices 宏观经济动量与横截面股票市场指数
IF 4 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101974
Yu Zhang, Konstantina Kappou, Andrew Urquhart

Momentum is a well-known and studied artefact of financial markets. In this paper, we investigate whether momentum in a country’s macroeconomic variables is related to the future performance of equities in that country. We find that the past economic trends of a country’s fundamentals are positively associated with the equity market index returns. Based on that, an economic momentum portfolio of buying (selling) equity index in countries with relatively strong (weak) economic past trends exhibits an annualised Sharpe ratio of 0.87. The economic momentum portfolio outperforms benchmarks regarding rewards to variability and maximum drawdown and yields an annualised alpha of 3.72%, leaving 95% of the returns unexplained by the benchmarks.

动量是金融市场中一个众所周知的研究对象。在本文中,我们研究了一国宏观经济变量的动量是否与该国股票的未来表现相关。我们发现,一国基本面的过去经济趋势与股票市场指数回报率呈正相关。在此基础上,在过去经济趋势相对较强(较弱)的国家买入(卖出)股票指数的经济动量投资组合的年化夏普比率为 0.87。经济动量投资组合在变异回报和最大缩水方面优于基准,并产生了 3.72% 的年化阿尔法,95% 的回报无法用基准来解释。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money
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