Pub Date : 2024-04-14DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101999
Simeng Liu , Kun Tracy Wang , Sonali Walpola , Nathan Zhenghang Zhu
In this study, we examine whether and how the worldwide integration of corporate social responsibility (CSR) criteria into executive compensation contracts (hereafter, CSR contracting or CSR-based executive compensation) affects a firm’s stock price crash risk. Using a comprehensive sample of 42,049 firm-year observations from 53 countries from 2003 to 2019, we find that CSR contracting firms have greater stock price crash risk. This positive association can be attributed to exacerbated managerial bad news hoarding behavior and overinvestment. We further demonstrate that the positive relationship between CSR contracting and crash risk is more pronounced for firms with powerful CEOs, as well as in countries with inferior investor protection and disclosure transparency. Overall, our findings are consistent with the agency cost and managerial power perspective, suggesting that CSR contracting may be exploited by powerful and opportunistic managers as a means of diverting shareholders’ attention and concealing bad financial news. Our findings have implications for both researchers and business practitioners.
{"title":"CSR contracting and stock price crash risk: International evidence","authors":"Simeng Liu , Kun Tracy Wang , Sonali Walpola , Nathan Zhenghang Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101999","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101999","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, we examine whether and how the worldwide integration of corporate social responsibility (CSR) criteria into executive compensation contracts (hereafter, CSR contracting or CSR-based executive compensation) affects a firm’s stock price crash risk. Using a comprehensive sample of 42,049 firm-year observations from 53 countries from 2003 to 2019, we find that CSR contracting firms have greater stock price crash risk. This positive association can be attributed to exacerbated managerial bad news hoarding behavior and overinvestment. We further demonstrate that the positive relationship between CSR contracting and crash risk is more pronounced for firms with powerful CEOs, as well as in countries with inferior investor protection and disclosure transparency. Overall, our findings are consistent with the agency cost and managerial power perspective, suggesting that CSR contracting may be exploited by powerful and opportunistic managers as a means of diverting shareholders’ attention and concealing bad financial news. Our findings have implications for both researchers and business practitioners.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000659/pdfft?md5=2c134fc94f1a3b10d85d5b188c15cf1e&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000659-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140795753","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-12DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101985
Hyun-Jung Nam , Doojin Ryu
This study examines the influence of trade openness on economic growth in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Trade openness is associated with low levels of trade barriers and high levels of trade volumes. Lower trade barriers may negatively affect GDP in developing economies, implying that excessive trade openness could impede economic growth. Conversely, increased trade volumes positively affect GDP, highlighting the potential advantages of trade openness for economic growth. We identify the moderating role of trade barriers, noting that in countries with high trade barriers, increased trade volumes are associated with stronger economic growth.
{"title":"Does trade openness promote economic growth in developing countries?","authors":"Hyun-Jung Nam , Doojin Ryu","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101985","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101985","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the influence of trade openness on economic growth in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Trade openness is associated with low levels of trade barriers and high levels of trade volumes. Lower trade barriers may negatively affect GDP in developing economies, implying that excessive trade openness could impede economic growth. Conversely, increased trade volumes positively affect GDP, highlighting the potential advantages of trade openness for economic growth. We identify the moderating role of trade barriers, noting that in countries with high trade barriers, increased trade volumes are associated with stronger economic growth.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140546344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-08DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101976
Yuying Sun, Zhenyu Wu
This paper explores the relationship between reputational risk and firm financial performance in both family and nonfamily businesses. Relying on an international sample of over 5,000 listed firms from 2007 to 2019, we find that family firms have significantly lower reputational risk, and the impact of reputational risk on financial performance is lower in family firms. However, these findings vary across different macro-regulatory environments. In countries with poor regulatory quality, the effect of reputational risk on performance becomes positive, and family firms strengthen this positive influence. We attribute the findings to socioemotional wealth (SEW) theory and rent-seeking theory.
{"title":"Reputational risk and firm performance: Family versus nonfamily firms in different regulatory environments","authors":"Yuying Sun, Zhenyu Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101976","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101976","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper explores the relationship between reputational risk and firm financial performance in both family and nonfamily businesses. Relying on an international sample of over 5,000 listed firms from 2007 to 2019, we find that family firms have significantly lower reputational risk, and the impact of reputational risk on financial performance is lower in family firms. However, these findings vary across different macro-regulatory environments. In countries with poor regulatory quality, the effect of reputational risk on performance becomes positive, and family firms strengthen this positive influence. We attribute the findings to socioemotional wealth (SEW) theory and rent-seeking theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140535702","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-04DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101983
Christoph Kaserer, Victoria Treßel
This study analyses the “regulatory overreach hypothesis”, which asserts regulatory complexity as the cause for the IPO decline in Western countries, by focusing on the novel EU growth prospectus for SMEs introduced by the Prospectus Regulation. Using a hand-collected database of initial offerings at EU exchanges (2016–2022), we find the EU growth prospectus successfully streamlined SME IPOs without jeopardising investor protection. Despite being less complex in terms of word counts, it remains informative. SMEs are more likely to use it unless the offering becomes relatively large. We do not substantiate that fixed listing costs were reduced. Using a triple difference analysis, we do not find robust evidence of an increase in IPO activity. While questioning the regulatory overreach hypothesis, our findings show that IPO regulation can be simplified and made less burdensome without curtailing investor protection.
{"title":"The EU prospectus regulation and its impact on SME listings","authors":"Christoph Kaserer, Victoria Treßel","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101983","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101983","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study analyses the “regulatory overreach hypothesis”, which asserts regulatory complexity as the cause for the IPO decline in Western countries, by focusing on the novel EU growth prospectus for SMEs introduced by the Prospectus Regulation. Using a hand-collected database of initial offerings at EU exchanges (2016–2022), we find the EU growth prospectus successfully streamlined SME IPOs without jeopardising investor protection. Despite being less complex in terms of word counts, it remains informative. SMEs are more likely to use it unless the offering becomes relatively large. We do not substantiate that fixed listing costs were reduced. Using a triple difference analysis, we do not find robust evidence of an increase in IPO activity. While questioning the regulatory overreach hypothesis, our findings show that IPO regulation can be simplified and made less burdensome without curtailing investor protection.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000490/pdfft?md5=2dafa036d9840fb64f44c5d533ab3345&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000490-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140344811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-01DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101980
Solikin M. Juhro , Bernard Njindan Iyke , Paresh Kumar Narayan
This study assesses the dynamics of capital flow, financial cycles, and business cycles in Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). We show that: (a) capital flow cycles tend to be more volatile than financial and business cycles, (b) although significant heterogeneities exist in the dynamics of these cycles across EMEs, financial and business cycles tend to be similar in terms of amplitudes, (c) significant concordance exists between different cycles and between the same cycles across countries, and (d) capital flow cycles tend to lead financial and business cycles. These findings provide clear guidance on the use of central bank policy mix strategy in response to capital flows, financial, and business cycles. Our results also imply strong interconnection between EMEs, in the sense that they appear to simultaneously experience expansions and recessions.
{"title":"Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies","authors":"Solikin M. Juhro , Bernard Njindan Iyke , Paresh Kumar Narayan","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101980","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101980","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study assesses the dynamics of capital flow, financial cycles, and business cycles in Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). We show that: (a) capital flow cycles tend to be more volatile than financial and business cycles, (b) although significant heterogeneities exist in the dynamics of these cycles across EMEs, financial and business cycles tend to be similar in terms of amplitudes, (c) significant concordance exists between different cycles and between the same cycles across countries, and (d) capital flow cycles tend to lead financial and business cycles. These findings provide clear guidance on the use of central bank policy mix strategy in response to capital flows, financial, and business cycles. Our results also imply strong interconnection between EMEs, in the sense that they appear to simultaneously experience expansions and recessions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000465/pdfft?md5=2a8a4f4ed933d7350999d1bdf6b21c1a&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000465-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140277296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-28DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101984
Alexis Stenfors , Kaveesha Dilshani , Andy Guo , Peter Mere
Cross-product manipulation involves manipulating one financial product to profit from the subsequent reaction in a different but related product. In this paper, we develop a simple model that researchers and regulators can use to scan for the susceptibility of two markets to such misconduct. We also test the model empirically on a set of government bond futures contracts using a complete EUREX ultra-high-frequency dataset. Our findings show that cross-product manipulation is feasible across bond futures with different underlying maturities, issuers and contract expiry dates. The results suggest that cross-product manipulation might be widespread despite an increasing crackdown by regulators and prosecutors.
{"title":"Detecting the risk of cross-product manipulation in the EUREX fixed income futures market","authors":"Alexis Stenfors , Kaveesha Dilshani , Andy Guo , Peter Mere","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101984","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101984","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Cross-product manipulation involves manipulating one financial product to profit from the subsequent reaction in a different but related product. In this paper, we develop a simple model that researchers and regulators can use to scan for the susceptibility of two markets to such misconduct. We also test the model empirically on a set of government bond futures contracts using a complete EUREX ultra-high-frequency dataset. Our findings show that cross-product manipulation is feasible across bond futures with different underlying maturities, issuers and contract expiry dates. The results suggest that cross-product manipulation might be widespread despite an increasing crackdown by regulators and prosecutors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000507/pdfft?md5=c3152ae10a36dc87f72db44c775a5452&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000507-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140320393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-28DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101982
Bonnie Buchanan , Caglar Kaya
Foundation ownership represents an alternative corporate governance model to many conventional ownership structures. We examine the effect of foundation ownership on creditor governance. By utilizing an international sample of 411 publicly listed companies between 2003 and 2021, we document that foundation ownership leads to lower credit risk. This negative effect is robust across several different credit measures. Foundation-controlled companies also fare better than family-controlled and institutional investor-controlled companies. Specifically, foundation-controlled companies have better access to bank loans, with more favorable loan contracting conditions. Our results are supported by a series of robustness tests. The results also have policy implications as the European Commission recommends companies move away from a short-term focus.
{"title":"Foundation ownership and creditor governance: Evidence from publicly listed companies","authors":"Bonnie Buchanan , Caglar Kaya","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101982","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101982","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Foundation ownership represents an alternative corporate governance model to many conventional ownership structures. We examine the effect of foundation ownership on creditor governance. By utilizing an international sample of 411 publicly listed companies between 2003 and 2021, we document that foundation ownership leads to lower credit risk. This negative effect is robust across several different credit measures. Foundation-controlled companies also fare better than family-controlled and institutional investor-controlled companies. Specifically, foundation-controlled companies have better access to bank loans, with more favorable loan contracting conditions. Our results are supported by a series of robustness tests. The results also have policy implications as the European Commission recommends companies move away from a short-term focus.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000489/pdfft?md5=31fe11c73ed963939d00f6c5620ce81c&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000489-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140399710","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-26DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101981
Tugba Bas , Issam Malki , Sheeja Sivaprasad
This study examines the interconnectedness between central bank digital currencies (CBDC) index, digital assets and financial stability. First, we use the CBDC index as a measure of financial stability and examine its connectedness with other known measures of financial stability used in the literature. Secondly, we analyse the connectedness of CBDC index with digital assets such as cryptocurrencies and non-fungible tokens and various measures of financial stability. By analysing index returns of CBDC data and applying various connectedness measures to CBDC index, cryptocurrencies, stablecoins and NFTs, we gain insights into the relationships among these assets within a framework. The findings reveal a significant level of connectedness between CBDCs index, digital assets and financial stability. Our analysis shows a weak positive connectedness between CBDCs index and digital assets, indicating that movements in the CBDC index are not closely related to the performance of various digital assets and have a very small contribution to the changes in the returns of digital assets. Furthermore, the study finds bidirectional connectedness between CBDCs and other financial stability measures, suggesting that changes in CBDC performance can influence the overall stability of the financial system, and vice versa. This highlights the importance of carefully considering the design and implementation of CBDCs to ensure they support financial stability objectives.
{"title":"Connectedness between central bank digital currency index, financial stability and digital assets","authors":"Tugba Bas , Issam Malki , Sheeja Sivaprasad","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101981","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101981","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the interconnectedness between central bank digital currencie<del>s</del> (CBDC) index, digital assets and financial stability. First, we use the CBDC index as a measure of financial stability and examine its connectedness with other known measures of financial stability used in the literature. Secondly, we analyse the connectedness of CBDC index with digital assets such as cryptocurrencies and non-fungible tokens and various measures of financial stability. By analysing index returns of CBDC data and applying various connectedness measures to CBDC index, cryptocurrencies, stablecoins and NFTs, we gain insights into the relationships among these assets within a framework. The findings reveal a significant level of connectedness between CBDCs index, digital assets and financial stability. Our analysis shows a weak positive connectedness between CBDCs index and digital assets, indicating that movements in the CBDC index are not closely related to the performance of various digital assets and have a very small contribution to the changes in the returns of digital assets. Furthermore, the study finds bidirectional connectedness between CBDCs and other financial stability measures, suggesting that changes in CBDC performance can influence the overall stability of the financial system, and vice versa. This highlights the importance of carefully considering the design and implementation of CBDCs to ensure they support financial stability objectives.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000477/pdfft?md5=d05d8cc587285e1ea90b31850c832ce9&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000477-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140296181","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-23DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101972
Di Luo , Hisham Farag
This paper investigates the role of aggregate disagreement in the relationship between environmental, social, and governance () scores and future stock returns in the United States (US), European Union (EU), and United Kingdom (UK). We find that firms with high scores are likely to have higher exposure to aggregate disagreement than firms with low scores because of the divergence of opinions about long-term earnings growth. Consistent with our conjecture, the results suggest that when aggregate disagreement is high, a profitable trading strategy is to long firms with low scores and to short those with higher scores. Our results have clear implications for the growing debate over investment strategies.
{"title":"ESG and aggregate disagreement","authors":"Di Luo , Hisham Farag","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101972","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101972","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the role of aggregate disagreement in the relationship between environmental, social, and governance (<span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span>) scores and future stock returns in the United States (US), European Union (EU), and United Kingdom (UK). We find that firms with high <span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span> scores are likely to have higher exposure to aggregate disagreement than firms with low <span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span> scores because of the divergence of opinions about long-term earnings growth. Consistent with our conjecture, the results suggest that when aggregate disagreement is high, a profitable trading strategy is to long firms with low <span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span> scores and to short those with higher <span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span> scores. Our results have clear implications for the growing debate over <span><math><mi>ESG</mi></math></span> investment strategies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000386/pdfft?md5=9e2a488f30b40b692661e9f2119592eb&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000386-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140195691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-18DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101974
Yu Zhang, Konstantina Kappou, Andrew Urquhart
Momentum is a well-known and studied artefact of financial markets. In this paper, we investigate whether momentum in a country’s macroeconomic variables is related to the future performance of equities in that country. We find that the past economic trends of a country’s fundamentals are positively associated with the equity market index returns. Based on that, an economic momentum portfolio of buying (selling) equity index in countries with relatively strong (weak) economic past trends exhibits an annualised Sharpe ratio of 0.87. The economic momentum portfolio outperforms benchmarks regarding rewards to variability and maximum drawdown and yields an annualised alpha of 3.72%, leaving 95% of the returns unexplained by the benchmarks.
{"title":"Macroeconomic momentum and cross-sectional equity market indices","authors":"Yu Zhang, Konstantina Kappou, Andrew Urquhart","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101974","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2024.101974","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Momentum is a well-known and studied artefact of financial markets. In this paper, we investigate whether momentum in a country’s macroeconomic variables is related to the future performance of equities in that country. We find that the past economic trends of a country’s fundamentals are positively associated with the equity market index returns. Based on that, an economic momentum portfolio of buying (selling) equity index in countries with relatively strong (weak) economic past trends exhibits an annualised Sharpe ratio of 0.87. The economic momentum portfolio outperforms benchmarks regarding rewards to variability and maximum drawdown and yields an annualised alpha of 3.72%, leaving 95% of the returns unexplained by the benchmarks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443124000404/pdfft?md5=aacbb3c3205db45d31964d93dd3ffd5e&pid=1-s2.0-S1042443124000404-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140162629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}