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A more sustainable future: Can politically connected CEOs spur the nexus between ESG performance and firm financial performance? 更可持续的未来:与政治有关联的首席执行官能否促进环境、社会和公司治理绩效与公司财务绩效之间的联系?
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102056
Mohamed Marie , Baolei Qi , Mohammed Elgammal , Marwa Elnahass

This study examines how politically connected CEOs moderate the relationship between ESG and financial performance in Chinese A-share listed companies from 2015 to 2022. The results demonstrate that companies with strong ESG performance tend to have better financial performance. The connection between ESG performance and financial performance is influenced by the political ties of the CEO. Specifically, companies led by highly politically connected CEOs exhibit a weaker link between ESG practices and financial performance when compared with less politically affiliated firms. Our heterogeneity tests demonstrate that companies with low technology and cross-listing, along with companies audited by firms outside the Big 4 and led by highly politically connected CEOs, show a more significant impact of ESG practices on their financial performance compared to those with fewer political connections. Further examination reveals that political connections exacerbate the adverse effect of the environmental aspect on financial performance. This study contributes to the ongoing discussions surrounding ESG issues, especially in the context of Net-Zero and climate change actions following the international Climate Change Conferences (COPs). Overall, this study contributes valuable insights and policy implications into the multifaceted dynamics of ESG factors and their impact on corporate financial decisions.

本研究探讨了在 2015 年至 2022 年期间,与政治有关联的首席执行官如何调节中国 A 股上市公司的环境、社会和公司治理与财务绩效之间的关系。研究结果表明,ESG表现优异的公司往往拥有更好的财务表现。CEO的政治关系会影响ESG绩效与财务绩效之间的关系。具体来说,与政治关系较少的公司相比,政治关系密切的首席执行官领导的公司在环境、社会和公司治理实践与财务业绩之间的联系较弱。我们的异质性检验表明,与政治关系较少的公司相比,技术含量低和交叉上市的公司,以及由四大之外的公司审计和由政治关系密切的首席执行官领导的公司,ESG实践对其财务业绩的影响更为显著。进一步研究发现,政治关系加剧了环境方面对财务业绩的不利影响。本研究为目前围绕环境、社会和公司治理问题的讨论做出了贡献,尤其是在国际气候变化大会(COPs)之后的零净排放和气候变化行动背景下。总之,本研究对环境、社会和治理因素的多方面动态及其对企业财务决策的影响提出了宝贵的见解和政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Are state-owned enterprises more responsible for carbon neutrality? Evidence from stock market reactions to China’s commitment to carbon neutrality 国有企业对碳中和是否负有更大责任?从股市对中国碳中和承诺的反应看证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102055
Qing Yu , Eddie C.M. Hui , Jianfu Shen

This study investigates whether state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are more responsible for carbon neutrality in the context of a country that produces the most carbon dioxide. It examines listed firms’ market reactions to carbon neutrality commitment for China that was announced first time on 22 September 2020. Using the event study method and based on 2,792 listed firms, we find that overall market reactions to the carbon neutrality commitment is significantly negative, suggesting that firms are expected to exert genuine efforts towards attaining the national goal of carbon neutrality. Furthermore, our results indicate that SOEs encounter more substantial negative market reactions compared to non-SOEs, indicative of higher expectations placed on them for realizing the carbon neutrality commitment. Further analysis reveals that negative market reactions are particularly pronounced for central SOEs as opposed to local SOEs, as the former are perceived to bear a heavier responsibility in achieving national goals. Additionally, SOEs with higher corporate social responsibility scores experience stronger negative market reactions in comparison to those with lower scores. Further analysis based on a difference-in-differences method and a firm-year sample shows that SOEs reduce firm value and carbon emissions intensity more than non-SOEs after the carbon neutrality commitment. Overall, our study supports the argument that SOEs take more responsibility than non-SOEs in achieving carbon neutrality.

本研究探讨了在二氧化碳排放量最大的国家,国有企业是否对碳中和负有更大责任。研究考察了上市公司对 2020 年 9 月 22 日首次公布的中国碳中和承诺的市场反应。采用事件研究法,以 2,792 家上市公司为研究对象,我们发现市场对碳中和承诺的总体反应为显著负值,表明企业有望为实现碳中和的国家目标做出真正的努力。此外,我们的研究结果表明,与非国有企业相比,国有企业遇到的负面市场反应更大,这表明人们对其实现碳中和承诺的期望更高。进一步的分析表明,与地方国有企业相比,中央国有企业的负面市场反应尤为明显,因为前者被认为在实现国家目标方面承担着更重的责任。此外,企业社会责任得分较高的国有企业与得分较低的国有企业相比,市场负面反应更强烈。基于差分法和企业年样本的进一步分析表明,在做出碳中和承诺后,国有企业比非国有企业更能降低企业价值和碳排放强度。总体而言,我们的研究支持了国有企业在实现碳中和方面比非国有企业承担更多责任的观点。
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引用次数: 0
How does standardization affect OTC markets in the long term? Evidence from the small bang reform in the CDS market 标准化如何长期影响场外交易市场?来自 CDS 市场小爆炸改革的证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102043
Radu-Dragomir Manac, Chiara Banti, Neil Kellard

Focusing on the most liquid segment of the European CDS market, this paper studies the impact of a key standardization reform, known as the CDS Small Bang. We document that the reform provided unexpected long-term consequences. Particularly, we show that the introduction of an upfront fee to standardize the cash flow of CDS contracts created an initial capital cost for traders, which acts as a friction that increases CDS prices. This relation holds after accounting for well-known determinants of spreads, suggesting a separate funding channel driven by the greater capital intensity of trading. This effect grows in magnitude for several years following the implementation of the reform, becomes stronger when dealers are likely to bear the initial capital cost and is present across all industries, except for swaps written on financials shortly after the reform was introduced.

本文以欧洲 CDS 市场中流动性最强的部分为重点,研究了被称为 "CDS 小爆炸 "的关键标准化改革的影响。我们发现,改革带来了意想不到的长期后果。特别是,我们发现,为规范 CDS 合同的现金流而引入的预付费为交易者带来了初始资本成本,而这又成为了提高 CDS 价格的摩擦因素。在考虑了众所周知的利差决定因素后,这种关系依然存在,这表明交易的资本密集度增加驱动了一个独立的融资渠道。这种效应在改革实施后的几年内不断扩大,在交易商有可能承担初始资本成本时变得更加强烈,并且存在于所有行业,但改革实施后不久的金融掉期除外。
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引用次数: 0
Secrecy culture and sensitivity of investment to stock prices: Evidence from emerging markets 保密文化与投资对股票价格的敏感性:新兴市场的证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102045
Barbara Abou Tanos , Omar Farooq , Neveen Ahmed

This paper investigates the effect of secrecy culture on the relationship between corporate investments and stock prices. We argue that managers from secretive cultures are more likely to rely on stock prices as an additional source of information, thereby leading to greater sensitivity of their investments to stock prices. Consistent with our arguments, we show that firms headquartered in countries with higher levels of secrecy culture exhibit stronger sensitivity of corporate investments to stock prices. Our results hold across various estimation strategies, in different sub-samples and for alternative proxies of secrecy culture and corporate investments. Furthermore, we show that investments exhibit greater sensitivity to stock prices of peer firms in countries that score high on secrecy.

本文研究了保密文化对企业投资与股票价格之间关系的影响。我们认为,来自保密文化的管理者更有可能依赖股票价格作为额外的信息来源,从而导致其投资对股票价格更加敏感。与我们的论点一致,我们的研究表明,总部位于保密文化水平较高国家的公司,其企业投资对股票价格的敏感性更高。我们的结果在不同的估计策略、不同的子样本以及保密文化和企业投资的替代代用指标中都是成立的。此外,我们还发现,在保密程度较高的国家,企业投资对同行企业股票价格的敏感性更高。
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引用次数: 0
Global climate policy uncertainty and financial markets 全球气候政策的不确定性与金融市场
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102047
Qiang Ji , Dandan Ma , Pengxiang Zhai , Ying Fan , Dayong Zhang

This paper aims to examine whether and to what extent global climate policy uncertainty can impact financial markets. We first construct a novel index of global climate policy uncertainty by performing textual analysis of two million news articles over the period 2013–2021. We then use a time–frequency spillover and network analysis to show how the impacts of shocks from global climate policy uncertainty on five key international financial markets evolve over time and to characterize the underlying risk transmission channels. We find significant spillovers from global climate policy uncertainty to the financial markets, while the impacts of global climate policy uncertainty are heterogenous across financial markets and more profound in the bond market. Our results also show that spillovers from global climate policy uncertainty to the financial markets are mostly concentrated in the short term, underscoring the need for investors to adjust strategies and regulators to implement measures mitigating short-term market reactions to climate policy shocks.

本文旨在研究全球气候政策的不确定性是否以及在多大程度上会影响金融市场。我们首先通过对 2013-2021 年间的 200 万篇新闻报道进行文本分析,构建了全球气候政策不确定性的新指数。然后,我们使用时频溢出效应和网络分析来说明全球气候政策不确定性的冲击对五个主要国际金融市场的影响是如何随时间演变的,并描述潜在的风险传导渠道。我们发现全球气候政策的不确定性对金融市场产生了巨大的溢出效应,而全球气候政策的不确定性对不同金融市场的影响是不同的,对债券市场的影响更为深远。我们的研究结果还表明,全球气候政策不确定性对金融市场的溢出效应主要集中在短期内,这突出表明投资者需要调整策略,监管机构需要采取措施减轻市场对气候政策冲击的短期反应。
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引用次数: 0
Bankruptcy reforms and corporate debt structure 破产改革和公司债务结构
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102044
Xiaotian Liu , Yaxuan Qi , Wai Yee Wan

A growing number of jurisdictions have adopted bankruptcy law reforms to facilitate debt restructuring. Using a difference-in-differences model based on bankruptcy law reforms in six economically advanced jurisdictions, we discover that firms adopt more diversified debt instruments following the reforms. Importantly, firms that are more vulnerable to a tightening of credit supply are more adversely affected by the legal changes, and they also decrease overall debt borrowing and investment. Moreover, firms affected by the reforms use secured debt less frequently, aligning with the idea that these legal changes diminish the protection afforded to secured creditors. In addition, borrowing costs rise after the reforms, implying that creditors may adjust the terms of debt contracts to counterbalance the decreased legal protection.

越来越多的司法管辖区通过破产法改革来促进债务重组。利用基于六个经济发达地区破产法改革的差分模型,我们发现企业在改革后会采用更多样化的债务工具。重要的是,更容易受到信贷供应紧缩影响的企业受法律改革的不利影响更大,它们也会减少总体债务借贷和投资。此外,受改革影响的企业使用担保债务的频率较低,这与这些法律变革削弱了对担保债权人的保护这一观点相吻合。此外,改革后借贷成本上升,这意味着债权人可能会调整债务合同条款,以抵消法律保护的减少。
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引用次数: 0
Fall of dwarfs: micro and macroeconomic determinants of the disappearance of European small banks 侏儒的陨落:欧洲小银行消失的微观和宏观经济决定因素
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102042
Federica Poli , Simone Rossi , Mariarosa Borroni

Based on a wide sample of banks headquartered in 27 European countries over the period 2005–2022, this paper tests the influence that microeconomic and macroeconomic variables have on the probability of small banks exiting the market, evaluating the predictive power of the explanatory models employed. Our approach to the determinants of small banks’ exit proves that even the macroeconomic and socio-demographic reference context can have a predictive effectiveness similar to that of the accounting variables, especially when contagion effects at the local level are taken into account.

本文以 2005-2022 年间总部设在 27 个欧洲国家的银行为广泛样本,检验了微观经济和宏观经济变量对小型银行退出市场概率的影响,并评估了所采用的解释模型的预测能力。我们对小型银行退出市场的决定因素所采取的方法证明,即使是宏观经济和社会人口参考背景也可以具有与会计变量类似的预测效力,尤其是在考虑到地方层面的传染效应时。
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引用次数: 0
Green innovation and corporate default risk 绿色创新与企业违约风险
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102041
Md Safiullah , Dinh Hoang Bach Phan , Md. Nurul Kabir

We investigate the impact of green innovation on default risk for the period 2003–2020. Using 15,015 firm-year observations from 2301 unique U.S. firms and a firm-fixed effects regression model, we find that firms with higher green-innovation experience lower default risk as measured by the distance-to-default, probability of default, and CDS spreads. We find robust evidence addressing potential endogeneity in the association between green innovation and default risk by applying three different approaches: the propensity score matching approach, the instrumental variable approach, and the difference-in-differences technique. Our channel analysis results show that high green innovation reduces cashflow volatility and managerial risk-taking, which translates into lower default risk. The influence of green innovation on default risks is contingent on various firm characteristics. It is more pronounced in firms with greater institutional ownership, a younger age, and more carbon-intensive operations.

我们研究了 2003-2020 年间绿色创新对违约风险的影响。利用来自 2301 家独特的美国公司的 15015 个公司年观测数据和公司固定效应回归模型,我们发现绿色创新程度较高的公司的违约风险较低,这可以用违约距离、违约概率和 CDS 利差来衡量。我们通过三种不同的方法:倾向得分匹配法、工具变量法和差分技术,找到了解决绿色创新与违约风险之间潜在内生性关联的有力证据。我们的渠道分析结果表明,高绿色创新降低了现金流波动性和管理风险承担,从而降低了违约风险。绿色创新对违约风险的影响取决于企业的各种特征。绿色创新对违约风险的影响在机构持股比例较高、成立时间较短、碳密集型业务较多的企业中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and the systemic risk of banks: A global perspective 气候风险与银行的系统性风险:全球视角
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102030
Baohui Wu , Fenghua Wen , Yun Zhang , Zhijian (James) Huang

This paper explores the impact of climate risk on the systemic risk of banks around the world and examines its influence channels. Our findings indicate that a country’s exposure to climate risk can significantly increase the systemic risk level of its banks. Moreover, we find that the increased bank systemic risk due to higher climate risk is mostly driven by worsened credit quality rather than the depreciation of the bank’s investment portfolio. The adverse impact of climate risk is mitigated when banks have higher profitability or capital adequacy. Cross-sectionally, this effect is particularly significant for banks with extensive branch networks, high importance in the domestic credit market, a lack of dividend payments, and those classified as commercial banks. We also find that banks located in countries with higher loan interest rates, worse regulatory quality, and higher carbon emission intensity are more impacted by climate risk.

本文探讨了气候风险对全球银行系统性风险的影响,并研究了其影响渠道。我们的研究结果表明,一个国家面临的气候风险会显著增加其银行的系统性风险水平。此外,我们还发现,气候风险升高导致的银行系统性风险增加主要是由信贷质量恶化而非银行投资组合贬值造成的。如果银行的盈利能力或资本充足率较高,气候风险的不利影响就会减轻。从横截面来看,这种影响对于那些分支网络广泛、在国内信贷市场中占据重要地位、不分红以及被归类为商业银行的银行尤为显著。我们还发现,位于贷款利率较高、监管质量较差和碳排放强度较高国家的银行受气候风险的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Limits to arbitrage and the term structure of CIP violations 套利的限制和 CIP 违规行为的期限结构
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102031
Paul Wohlfarth , Xiaohong Chen

We investigate the existence of a term structure in cross-currency swap bases, a measure for CIP violations, to identify limits to arbitrage in foreign exchange swap markets. Based on estimates from a multivariate model of USD cross-currency bases for G10 currencies that caters for a number of known intermediary constraints as well as linkages between currency pairs our findings highlight the importance of two-tiered arbitrage, risk aversion, regulation, and policy in explaining this term structure of CIP violations.

我们研究了跨货币掉期基数(一种衡量 CIP 违规行为的指标)中是否存在期限结构,以确定外汇掉期市场中套利的限制。我们的研究结果基于 G10 货币的美元交叉货币基数多变量模型的估计值,该模型考虑到了一些已知的中介限制以及货币对之间的联系,突出了双层套利、风险规避、监管和政策在解释这种违反 CIP 的期限结构方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money
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