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Real earnings management and debt choice 实际收益管理和债务选择
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102080
Mostafa Monzur Hasan , Nurul Alam , Mohammad Riaz Uddin , Stewart Jones
This study investigates whether real earnings management (RealEM) affects firms’ debt choice. We find that firms with higher RealEM rely more on bank debt than public debt as a source of financing. Our cross-sectional analysis reveals that the RealEM–debt choice association is more significant in the presence of poor corporate governance and heightened financing constraints. We also observe that the connection between RealEM and bank debt is more significant for suspect firms (i.e., firms with a genuine motive for opportunistic earnings management) than their non-suspect counterparts. Additionally, we find that RealEM increases the use of trade credit and short-term debt. Our findings are robust to endogeneity concerns and other issues. Overall, our findings suggest that the impact of information asymmetry issues arising from RealEM is less for bank than for public debtholders.
本研究探讨了实际收益管理(RealEM)是否会影响企业的债务选择。我们发现,真实收益管理程度较高的公司更依赖银行债务而非公共债务作为融资来源。我们的横截面分析表明,在公司治理不善和融资约束增加的情况下,真实收益管理与债务选择之间的关联更为显著。我们还发现,与非可疑公司相比,可疑公司(即真正有机会主义收益管理动机的公司)的真实EM与银行债务之间的关联更为显著。此外,我们还发现 RealEM 增加了贸易信贷和短期债务的使用。我们的研究结果不受内生性问题和其他问题的影响。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,真实EM 所引发的信息不对称问题对银行债务人的影响要小于对公众债务人的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Self-regulation for responsible banking and ESG disclosure scores: Is there a link? 负责任的银行业自律与环境、社会和公司治理披露得分:两者之间有联系吗?
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102079
Ronny Manos, Maya Finger, Haim Boukai
Banks play a crucial role in sustainable development, an area increasingly governed by self-regulation. This study examines whether banks that commit to self-regulation by adopting the Principles for Responsible Banking (PRB) exhibit enhanced Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance. Utilizing Bloomberg ratings, we find that PRB adopters consistently show higher ESG scores than non-adopters, both before and after adoption. This suggests that a commitment to self-regulation serves as a reliable signal of responsible banking practices. Notably, the superior performance of PRB adopters relative to non-adopters is primarily driven by a strong pre-adoption commitment to transparency on ESG issues. We discuss possible explanations for this trend, including the role of early adopters in advancing industry-wide standards. Additionally, our findings reveal a negative association between regulatory quality and ESG scores, implying that banks may leverage ESG disclosures to mitigate information asymmetries in weaker institutional environments.
银行在可持续发展中发挥着至关重要的作用,而这一领域越来越多地受到自律监管。本研究探讨了通过采用《负责任银行业原则》(PRB)致力于自律的银行是否表现出更高的环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效。利用彭博社的评级,我们发现采用《责任银行原则》的银行在采用前后的环境、社会和治理得分均高于未采用者。这表明,自律承诺是负责任银行实践的可靠信号。值得注意的是,PRB 采用者相对于非采用者的优异表现主要是由于采用前对 ESG 问题透明度的坚定承诺。我们讨论了这一趋势的可能解释,包括早期采用者在推进全行业标准方面的作用。此外,我们的研究结果表明,监管质量与 ESG 分数之间存在负相关关系,这意味着在较弱的制度环境中,银行可能会利用 ESG 披露来缓解信息不对称问题。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of using derivatives on stock market liquidity 使用衍生工具对股市流动性的影响
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102077
Neeru Chaudhry , Aastha Gupta
This study demonstrates that using derivatives can significantly improve stock liquidity. We conduct several tests to check for robustness of our findings and control for potential endogeneity in our results. We observe that the decrease in stock illiquidity due to derivative usage is more pronounced for firms with high information asymmetry, high firm-specific risk, and negative investor sentiment. Ownership stakes held by foreign institutional investors and domestic promoters do not influence how derivative usage affects stock liquidity. This relationship is significant in the presence of large and independent boards. Our results emphasize the liquidity creation role of derivative usage, which complements other functions of derivatives markets, such as price discovery and risk management. Our findings are relevant for companies operating in foreign capital markets and for international investors who include Indian stocks into their portfolios.
本研究表明,使用衍生工具可以显著提高股票流动性。我们进行了多项测试,以检验研究结果的稳健性,并控制结果中潜在的内生性。我们发现,对于信息不对称程度高、公司特定风险高以及投资者情绪消极的公司而言,使用衍生工具导致的股票流动性下降更为明显。外国机构投资者和国内发起人持有的股权并不影响衍生工具的使用对股票流动性的影响。在董事会规模大且独立的情况下,这种关系是显著的。我们的研究结果强调了衍生品使用在创造流动性方面的作用,这是对衍生品市场其他功能(如价格发现和风险管理)的补充。我们的研究结果对在国外资本市场运营的公司以及将印度股票纳入其投资组合的国际投资者都有借鉴意义。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Higher-Moment spillovers between sustainable and traditional investments 可持续投资与传统投资之间不对称的高时刻溢出效应
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102078
Xie He , Shigeyuki Hamori
This study proposes a novel framework that decomposes volatility and higher-moment kurtosis into good and bad volatility/kurtosis—related to positive and negative shocks, respectively. Accordingly, we analyze the spillover effects of good and bad volatility/kurtosis between sustainable and traditional investments separately. During most periods, bad volatility spillovers dominate good volatility spillovers, whereas good kurtosis spillovers dominate bad kurtosis spillovers. However, during specific extreme events, such as Brexit and COVID-19, bad kurtosis spillovers dominate. This study’s findings can help investors in developing extreme risk management strategies and policymakers in preventing harmful shock transmissions across markets and fostering financial stability.
本研究提出了一个新颖的框架,将波动率和高次峰度分别分解为与正向冲击和负向冲击相关的好波动率和坏波动率/峰度。因此,我们分别分析了好的和坏的波动率/峰度在可持续投资和传统投资之间的溢出效应。在大多数时期,坏的波动率溢出效应主导好的波动率溢出效应,而好的峰度溢出效应主导坏的峰度溢出效应。然而,在特定的极端事件中,如英国脱欧和 COVID-19,坏的峰度溢出效应占主导地位。本研究的发现有助于投资者制定极端风险管理策略,也有助于政策制定者防止有害冲击跨市场传播,促进金融稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting exchange rate volatility: An amalgamation approach 预测汇率波动:综合方法
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102067
Antonios K. Alexandridis , Ekaterini Panopoulou , Ioannis Souropanis
The importance of exchange rate volatility forecasting has both practical and academic merit. Our aim is to provide a comprehensive analysis of the forecasting ability of financial and macroeconomics variables for future exchange rate volatility. We employ seven widely traded currencies against the US dollar and examine linear models and a variety of machine learning, dimensionality reduction and forecast combination approaches, along with creating a grand forecast (amalgamation approach) from these approaches. Our findings highlight the predictive power of the amalgamation approach, as well as the positive contribution of macroeconomic and financial variables in the forecasting experiment. Furthermore, we generate forecasts on the separate frequencies of volatility using wavelet analysis, in order to extract frequency-related information and examine timing effects in the performance of the methods.
汇率波动预测的重要性既有实用价值,也有学术价值。我们的目标是全面分析金融和宏观经济变量对未来汇率波动的预测能力。我们采用了七种广泛交易的货币兑美元汇率,研究了线性模型和各种机器学习、降维和预测组合方法,并从这些方法中创建了一个总预测(合并方法)。我们的研究结果凸显了合并法的预测能力,以及宏观经济和金融变量在预测实验中的积极贡献。此外,我们还利用小波分析对波动的不同频率进行了预测,以提取与频率相关的信息,并研究这些方法的性能中的时间效应。
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引用次数: 0
Firm biodiversity risk, climate vulnerabilities, and bankruptcy risk 企业生物多样性风险、气候脆弱性和破产风险
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102075
Gbenga Adamolekun
This study examines the relationship between firms’ biodiversity risk, climate susceptibility, and bankruptcy risk. The findings indicate that firm exposure to biodiversity risk increases the likelihood of financial distress. Furthermore, we document that firms’ susceptibility to climate risk increases the likelihood of bankruptcy risk. We also demonstrate that financial constraints, growth opportunities, and membership in carbon-intensive industries can worsen or alleviate the bankruptcy implications of climate-related risk. Firms’ continent of operation is also an important consideration. The findings imply that severe climate-related vulnerabilities and firm biodiversity risk have profound consequences for corporate outcomes. This study sheds more light on how corporate financial outlook is impacted by ecological degradation and climate-related vulnerabilities.
本研究探讨了企业的生物多样性风险、气候敏感性和破产风险之间的关系。研究结果表明,企业面临生物多样性风险会增加陷入财务困境的可能性。此外,我们还发现,企业对气候风险的敏感性增加了破产风险的可能性。我们还证明,财务限制、增长机会和碳密集型行业的成员资格会加剧或减轻气候相关风险的破产影响。企业的经营地域也是一个重要的考虑因素。研究结果表明,与气候相关的严重脆弱性和企业生物多样性风险会对企业结果产生深远影响。这项研究进一步揭示了企业财务前景如何受到生态退化和气候相关脆弱性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Organization capital, dividends and firm value: International evidence 组织资本、股息和公司价值:国际证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102074
Ioannis Chasiotis , Georgios Loukopoulos , Kanellos Toudas
This study investigates the relationship between organization capital, dividends, and firm value across 61 countries. We find that firms with higher organization capital distribute more dividends. By exploiting changes in the stringency of national labor regulations, we demonstrate that this effect strengthens when labor markets become more flexible. Additionally, we document that the market places a premium on dividend payouts from firms with higher organization capital. Further analysis reveals that this premium differential and the positive organization capital-dividend payouts relationship, are more pronounced in firms and countries marked by substantial agency issues. The robustness of our evidence is affirmed through several endogeneity tests, supporting the agency view of organization capital.
本研究调查了 61 个国家的组织资本、股息和公司价值之间的关系。我们发现,组织资本越高的公司分红越多。通过利用各国劳动法规严格程度的变化,我们证明了当劳动力市场变得更加灵活时,这种效应会加强。此外,我们还记录了市场对组织资本较高的公司股利分配的溢价。进一步的分析表明,这种溢价差异以及组织资本与股利支付之间的正相关关系在存在大量代理问题的企业和国家中更为明显。通过几个内生性检验,我们的证据的稳健性得到了证实,支持了组织资本的代理观点。
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引用次数: 0
CEO age and corporate environmental policies 首席执行官年龄与企业环境政策
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102076
Huong Le , Tung Nguyen , Andros Gregoriou
This study examines the link between CEO age and firm environmental performance. Building on the upper echelons theory, we predict that a firm is more environmentally friendly if CEOs are younger. Using hand-collected data of a total 12,512 plant-year observations for 1,074 individual firms in the period from 2010 to 2022, we document evidence that younger CEOs release significantly less greenhouse gas emissions, consistent with our conjecture. Additionally, we note that younger CEOs outperform older CEOs in terms of greenhouse gas emissions by investing more in abatement initiatives, increasing manufacturing efficiency, and increasing their use of ecologically friendly fuel. Our evidence of CEO age offers relevant implications for directors, shareholders, and financial regulators.
本研究探讨了首席执行官年龄与企业环境绩效之间的联系。在高层理论的基础上,我们预测如果首席执行官比较年轻,企业就会更加环保。利用手工收集的 2010 年至 2022 年期间 1,074 家公司共计 12,512 个工厂年的观测数据,我们记录了年轻 CEO 排放的温室气体显著减少的证据,这与我们的猜想一致。此外,我们还注意到,年轻的首席执行官在温室气体排放方面的表现优于年长的首席执行官,他们在减排措施、提高生产效率和增加使用生态友好型燃料方面投入更多。我们关于首席执行官年龄的证据为董事、股东和金融监管机构提供了相关启示。
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引用次数: 0
Financial openness, liability composition of banks, and bank risk: International evidence 金融开放、银行负债构成与银行风险:国际证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102066
Zixian Li, Fernando Moreira
Employing a panel dataset encompassing 4,412 banks from 87 countries from 1990 to 2020, we apply the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to investigate the relationship between financial openness, banks’ liability composition, and bank risk. Our findings reveal that financial openness can directly lead to an increase in bank risk in the short term but a reduction in bank risk over the long term. Additionally, we identify the composition of bank liabilities as a novel channel between financial openness and bank risk. Specifically, in the short term, financial openness amplifies bank risk through an escalation in the ratio of short-term liabilities juxtaposed with a decrease in the ratio of long-term liabilities. Conversely, in the long term, financial openness diminishes bank risk by diminishing short-term liabilities’ ratios while concurrently enhancing the proportions of long-term liabilities. Furthermore, it is noted that the direct effects of financial openness on banking risk, whether short- or long-term, may exhibit heterogeneity across different periods, country development levels, and types of capital flow.
我们运用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型研究了金融开放、银行负债构成和银行风险之间的关系,该面板数据集涵盖了 1990 年至 2020 年 87 个国家的 4412 家银行。我们的研究结果表明,金融开放会在短期内直接导致银行风险的增加,但在长期内会降低银行风险。此外,我们还发现银行负债构成是金融开放与银行风险之间的一个新渠道。具体来说,在短期内,金融开放会通过短期负债比率的上升和长期负债比率的下降放大银行风险。相反,从长期来看,金融开放会降低短期负债比率,同时提高长期负债比例,从而降低银行风险。此外,我们还注意到,金融开放对银行风险的直接影响,无论是短期影响还是长期影响,在不同时期、不同国家的发展水平以及不同类型的资本流动中都可能表现出异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Market timing with moving average distance: International evidence 利用移动平均距离把握市场时机:国际证据
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102065
Menachem Meni Abudy , Guy Kaplanski , Yevgeny Mugerman
We explore the ability of the distance between short- and long-run moving averages, called MAD, to predict future returns of international market-wide indices. MAD portfolios yield abnormal profits after transaction costs, which do not reverse in the long run. This suggests that anchoring to long-run moving averages is a global phenomenon that applies also to market-wide indices. The annualized MAD portfolios’ alpha values are double-digit, with Sharpe ratios significantly higher than the global benchmarks. Similar results for developed economies and developed markets indicate that international diversification is still effective and offers significant economic benefits even among developed countries.
我们探讨了短期和长期移动平均线之间的距离(称为 MAD)预测国际全市场指数未来收益的能力。扣除交易成本后,MAD 投资组合产生了异常利润,但这种利润在长期内不会逆转。这表明,锚定长期移动平均线是一种全球现象,也适用于全市场指数。年化 MAD 投资组合的阿尔法值为两位数,夏普比率明显高于全球基准。发达经济体和发达市场的类似结果表明,即使在发达国家中,国际多样化仍然有效,并能带来显著的经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money
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