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The social behavior of immigrants during natural disasters: Lessons from the United States 自然灾害期间移民的社会行为:美国的经验教训
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.06.005
Veeshan Rayamajhee , Jayash Paudel

Natural disasters can disrupt our social fabric and increase political polarization by differentially impacting different subpopulations and exacerbating existing inequities. In this paper, we examine the effects of natural disasters on the divergence of social behavior between immigrants and natives in the United States. First, using individual-level time diary data from 2003–2021, we document that first generation immigrants socialize less, volunteer less, and spend more time in religious activities relative to their native counterparts. Second, we make use of temporal and spatial variation in disaster-induced fatalities to examine the relationship between major disasters and time allocation for different social behavioral outcomes. We find that major disasters affect the social lives of both immigrants and natives, but the effects are significantly more pronounced for immigrants. Finally, we show that immigrants respond to disasters by making significant adjustments in their labor market participation both on the intensive and extensive margins, whereas the effects are milder for natives. Our results further suggest that immigrants face higher levels of barriers to out-migrate following a disaster compared to native counterparts, resulting in disruption of social networks.

自然灾害会破坏我们的社会结构,并通过对不同亚人群的不同影响和加剧现有的不平等而加剧政治两极分化。在本文中,我们研究了自然灾害对美国移民和本地人社会行为差异的影响。首先,我们利用 2003-2021 年个人层面的时间日记数据,记录了第一代移民与本地移民相比,社交活动较少,志愿服务较少,在宗教活动中花费的时间较多。其次,我们利用灾害导致的死亡人数的时空变化来研究重大灾害与不同社会行为结果的时间分配之间的关系。我们发现,重大灾害对移民和本地人的社会生活都有影响,但对移民的影响要明显得多。最后,我们发现移民对灾害的反应是对其劳动力市场参与的密集边际和广泛边际做出重大调整,而对本地人的影响则较小。我们的研究结果进一步表明,与本地人相比,移民在灾害发生后面临更高水平的向外迁移障碍,导致社会网络中断。
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引用次数: 0
The compulsory education law, female education and fertility: An empirical study in China 义务教育法、女性教育与生育:中国的实证研究
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.06.001

China promulgated the Compulsory Education Law in 1986, which was subsequently gradually implemented in various provinces. While promoting the development of education in China, whether the implementation of the Compulsory Education Law also has an impact on the fertility rate is an important aspect of understanding the fertility problem in China. This paper examines the marginal treatment effect of education on fertility by using the sampling data of 1 % national population sample survey data in 2015. The empirical study finds that the effect of education on fertility was heterogeneous. For women who face greater difficulties in completing junior high school, education has a greater negative impact on their childbearing. For women who have more opportunities to complete junior high school, the impact of education on childbearing is not significant. The policy simulation results of this paper show that with the increasing completion rate of nine-year compulsory education, education significantly reduces fertility rates in China. The empirical study in this paper has important policy implications. At present, China's fertility policies have turned to incentive-based policies, and the extensive supports of social policies are more critical for the policy goal of improving fertility level.

中国于 1986 年颁布了《义务教育法》,随后在各省逐步实施。在促进中国教育发展的同时,《义务教育法》的实施是否也会对生育率产生影响,是了解中国生育问题的一个重要方面。本文利用2015年1%全国人口抽样调查数据的抽样数据,研究教育对生育率的边际处理效应。实证研究发现,教育对生育率的影响具有异质性。对于完成初中学业面临较大困难的女性而言,教育对其生育的负面影响更大。而对于有更多机会完成初中学业的女性来说,教育对生育的影响并不显著。本文的政策模拟结果表明,随着九年义务教育完成率的提高,教育显著降低了中国的生育率。本文的实证研究具有重要的政策含义。目前,中国的生育政策已经转向激励型政策,社会政策的广泛支持对于提高生育水平的政策目标更为关键。
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引用次数: 0
Transition from plan to market: Imperfect regulations in the electricity sector of China 从计划到市场的过渡:中国电力行业的不完善法规
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.01.001
Jing Cao , Mun S. Ho , Rong Ma , Yu Zhang

We present evidence on the distortions that arise from imperfect regulations compared with market allocation mechanisms. Using a triple difference strategy, we evaluate the effectiveness of the Energy-Saving Generation Dispatch reform in China, which aims to allocate more generating hours to power plants with higher energy efficiency. We find that the new dispatch rule improved resource allocation within provinces compared with the previous equal-share dispatch rule. However, despite these improvements, the reform fell short of its intended goals because of the failure to strictly implement the merit order based on real-time coal consumption rates. We demonstrate how the lack of compensation for losers, technical requirements for grid stability, the existence of multiple goals, and information costs contribute to imperfect regulation.

与市场分配机制相比,不完善的法规会造成扭曲,我们就此提出了证据。利用三重差分策略,我们评估了中国节能发电调度改革的效果,该改革旨在将更多发电小时数分配给能效更高的发电厂。我们发现,与之前的均摊调度规则相比,新的调度规则改善了省内的资源分配。然而,尽管有了这些改进,但由于未能严格执行基于实时煤耗率的择优排序,改革并未达到预期目标。我们展示了缺乏对失败者的补偿、电网稳定的技术要求、多重目标的存在以及信息成本是如何导致不完善调控的。
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引用次数: 0
Migration networks, export shocks, and human capital acquisition: Evidence from China 移民网络、出口冲击和人力资本获取:来自中国的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.04.001
Shu Cai , Xinzheng Shi , Zhufeng Xu

We examine the impact of export shocks proxied by destination countries’ tariffs on the post middle school enrollment of the rural population in China. We complement the literature by examining the across-region spillover effects of export shocks through initial migration networks. We find that the reduction of export tariffs at both the local and migration-destination prefectures significantly decreases post middle school enrollment of the 16–18 years old cohort, but the latter is stronger. Further analysis suggests that employment in the secondary industry rises significantly with the reduction of export tariffs, which improves job opportunities and thus increases the post middle school dropout rate.

我们研究了以目的地国关税为代表的出口冲击对中国农村人口初中后入学率的影响。我们通过初始移民网络研究了出口冲击的跨区域溢出效应,从而对相关文献进行了补充。我们发现,当地和移民目的地县的出口关税下调都会显著降低 16-18 岁组群的初中后入学率,但后者的影响更大。进一步的分析表明,随着出口关税的降低,第二产业的就业率大幅上升,从而改善了就业机会,并因此提高了初中毕业后的辍学率。
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引用次数: 0
Online teaching, gender differences and education outcomes: Evidence from Chinese urban high schools during the COVID-19 在线教学、性别差异和教育成果:COVID-19 期间来自中国城市高中的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.02.002
Liu Yang , Lei Zhang

We examine the short- and medium-term impacts of online teaching during COVID-19 on the academic performance of high school freshmen, employing unique data from three high schools of different academic performance levels in Zhejiang Province, China. We find that relative to the cohort not affected by COVID-19 and experiencing no online teaching in their freshman year, online teaching had short-term negative effects on Chinese performance in the high-performing school and math performance in the mid-performing school but no significant effects on other tests and in the low-performing school. The negative effects disappeared eight months after students returned to traditional classroom teaching, and students in the high-performing school indeed experienced a significant positive effect in math performance. Moreover, following online teaching, girls in key classes in the high-performing school performed better in math in both the short and medium term, significantly narrowing the math performance gap with their male classmates, while boys in the low-performing school experienced significant declines in both Chinese and math in the medium term.

我们利用来自中国浙江省三所不同学业水平高中的独特数据,研究了 COVID-19 期间在线教学对高一新生学业成绩的短期和中期影响。我们发现,相对于未受 COVID-19 影响且在高一没有经历过在线教学的学生群体,在线教学对成绩优秀学校的中文成绩和成绩中等学校的数学成绩产生了短期负面影响,但对其他测试和成绩较差学校的数学成绩没有显著影响。在学生回到传统课堂教学八个月后,负面影响消失了,而在成绩好的学校,学生的数学成绩确实出现了明显的正面影响。此外,在线教学后,成绩好的学校重点班女生的数学成绩在短期和中期都有所提高,与男生的数学成绩差距明显缩小,而成绩差的学校男生的中文和数学成绩在中期都有明显下降。
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引用次数: 0
The growth of firms, markets and rents: Evidence from China 企业、市场和租金的增长:来自中国的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.12.006
Daniel Berkowitz , Shuichiro Nishioka

The evidence for whether China become more competitive following its accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) is mixed. Using recent methods for estimating markups and profit shares, this paper documents that Chinese manufacturing firms on average collected more rents after the accession because the rate of net entry of firms lagged the rapid growth of the domestic market. While the selection on large productive firms drove the rise in the aggregate markups in the United States (De Loecker et al., 2020), these competitive forces played a secondary role in China.

关于中国加入世界贸易组织(WTO)后是否变得更具竞争力的证据喜忧参半。本文利用最新的估算加价率和利润份额的方法,证明中国制造业企业在入世后平均收取了更多租金,因为企业的净进入率滞后于国内市场的快速增长。在美国,对大型生产企业的选择推动了总加价率的上升(De Loecker 等人,2020 年),而在中国,这些竞争力量只发挥了次要作用。
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引用次数: 0
On the origins of national identity. German nation-building after Napoleon 关于国家认同的起源。拿破仑之后的德意志民族建设
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.02.004
Felix Kersting , Nikolaus Wolf

What are the origins of national identity? We investigate the success of propaganda as one the first nation-building policies conducted in the German lands around 1815. To elicit identity changes at the level of individuals we use data on first names across German cities and villages. To validate the approach of using first names, we show that soldiers with national names had a higher likelihood to be honored for bravery during the German-French War. Exploiting unanticipated border changes together with variation within the same families over time, i.e., family fixed effects, we find that parents in treated cities responded by choosing national (rather than ruler) first names for their children. We do not find a corresponding increase in villages suggesting that national identity was more prevalent among the urban population, in particular the elite, during this period.

民族认同的起源是什么?宣传是 1815 年前后在德意志土地上实施的首批建国政策之一,我们对宣传的成功进行了研究。为了探究个人层面的身份变化,我们使用了德国城市和乡村的姓氏数据。为了验证使用姓氏的方法,我们表明,在德法战争期间,拥有民族姓氏的士兵获得英勇勋章的可能性更高。利用未预期的边界变化以及同一家庭内部随时间的变化(即家庭固定效应),我们发现,受研究城市的父母为子女选择了国名(而非国君名)。我们没有发现村庄的相应增加,这表明在这一时期,国家认同在城市人口中,尤其是在精英阶层中更为普遍。
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引用次数: 0
Transparency and grand corruption: Lessons from the Colombia school meals program 透明度与大腐败:哥伦比亚学校供餐计划的经验教训
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.02.003
Philip Keefer , Benjamin Roseth

Can transparency interventions reduce corrupt behavior when corrupt actors are politically influential and the victims of corrupt acts confront large obstacles to collective action? These conditions describe the pervasive phenomenon of grand corruption and potentially render corrupt actors less vulnerable to transparency interventions. We present the first evidence that, despite these theoretical obstacles, a transparency intervention in the Colombian School Meals Program significantly changed the behavior of powerful operators. The intervention consisted of informal audits and text messages to parents. It affected behavior through two channels. A survey of parents reveals greater bottom-up mobilization to oversee operators in treated schools; the pattern of operator responses to the informal audits over time and across departments indicates that operators were concerned that systematic evidence of corrupt behavior would trigger top-down enforcement actions by high-level enforcement agencies.

当腐败行为者具有政治影响力,腐败行为的受害者在采取集体行动时面临巨大障碍时,透明度干预措施能否减少腐败行为?这些条件描述了普遍存在的大腐败现象,并有可能使腐败行为者更不容易受到透明度干预措施的影响。我们首次提出证据表明,尽管存在这些理论上的障碍,在哥伦比亚学校膳食计划中采取的透明度干预措施极大地改变了有权势的经营者的行为。干预措施包括非正式审计和向家长发送短信。它通过两个渠道对行为产生了影响。一项对家长的调查显示,自下而上的监督被处理学校经营者的动员得到了加强;经营者在不同时期和不同部门对非正式审计的反应模式表明,经营者担心腐败行为的系统性证据会引发高层执法机构自上而下的执法行动。
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引用次数: 0
Hedging desperation: How kinship networks reduced cannibalism in historical China 对冲绝望:亲属网络如何减少中国历史上的人吃人现象
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.01.003
Zhiwu Chen , Zhan Lin , Xiaoming Zhang

Survival cannibalism persisted across human societies until recently. What drove the decline in cannibalism and other forms of violence? Using data from the 1470–1910 period, this paper documents that in historical China, the Confucian clan—an institutionalized kinship network—acted as an informal internal market to facilitate intra-clan resource pooling and risk-sharing, thus reducing the need for cannibalism during times of drought-related famine. The risk mitigation role of the clan remains robust after controlling for economic development and other factors and ruling out alternative channels. Thus, kinship networks and their associated culture contributed to human civilizational development before the advent of formal markets.

人类社会中的食人生存现象一直持续到最近。是什么导致了食人和其他形式暴力的减少?本文利用 1470-1910 年间的数据,记录了在中国历史上,儒家宗族--一个制度化的亲属关系网络--作为一个非正式的内部市场,促进了宗族内部的资源汇集和风险分担,从而减少了在干旱饥荒时期的食人需求。在控制了经济发展和其他因素并排除了其他渠道之后,氏族的风险缓解作用仍然很强。因此,在正规市场出现之前,亲属关系网络及其相关文化对人类文明发展做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
A theory of symbiotic corruption 共生腐败理论
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.12.005
Xuezheng CHEN , Lin GUI , Tao WU , Jun ZHANG

Symbiotic corruption occurs when senior officials employ the symbiotic relationship with junior officials in corrupt activities, to induce them to participate in the political contest for power and political rents. This paper develops a formal theoretical model to analyze the mechanics and consequences of symbiotic corruption prevailing in weakly institutionalized societies. We find that in the presence of symbiotic corruption, political contests tend to arise when the initial distribution of political rents between rival factions is disproportional to their de facto political power. Anti-corruption by increasing the effective penalty or enhancing monitoring of corruption works differently, but both are surprisingly ineffective in a society plagued by symbiotic corruption. In an unbalanced political system, where the initial distribution of political rents is relatively disproportional, an increase in the effective penalty induces rival factions to reach a tacit collusion to maintain peace and leads to universal symbiotic corruption; a rise in monitoring efficiency decreases total corruption but inevitably increases symbiotic corruption. In a balanced political system, universal corruption always emerges, and anti-corruption only affects the transformation between symbiotic and individual corruptions. This study not only sheds light on the (in)effectiveness of conventional anticorruption measures in the presence of symbiotic corruption, but also provides a new perspective on the link between bureaucratic hierarchies, national-level power dynamics, and corruption.

当高级官员在腐败活动中利用与低级官员的共生关系,诱使他们参与权力和政治租金的政治竞争时,共生腐败就发生了。本文建立了一个正式的理论模型来分析弱制度化社会中普遍存在的共生腐败的机理和后果。我们发现,在共生腐败的情况下,当政治租金在敌对派别之间的初始分配与其实际政治权力不成正比时,往往会出现政治竞争。通过提高有效惩罚力度或加强对腐败的监督来反腐的效果各不相同,但在共生腐败的社会中,这两种反腐方式的效果都出奇地差。在一个不平衡的政治体系中,政治收入的初始分配相对不成比例,提高有效刑罚会诱使敌对派别达成默契以维持和平,从而导致普遍的共生腐败;提高监督效率会减少总腐败,但不可避免地会增加共生腐败。在一个平衡的政治体系中,普遍腐败总会出现,反腐败只会影响共生腐败与个别腐败之间的转化。这项研究不仅揭示了在共生腐败的情况下传统反腐措施的(无效)性,而且为官僚等级制度、国家层面的权力动态与腐败之间的联系提供了一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Comparative Economics
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