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Loyal lists, distinctive districts: how dissent-shirking and leisure-shirking affect mixed-candidate selection 忠诚的名单,独特的地区:反对和休闲逃避如何影响混合候选人的选择
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2137310
David Schmuck, Lukas Hohendorf
Abstract In parliamentary systems, party leaderships accomplish party unity by promising positive incentives to their members of parliament (MP) and threatening them with negative incentives. Regarding reselection, ‘loyal’ and active MPs should be rewarded with promising list positions, while rebellious and ‘slacking’ MPs should be punished with worse list positions or even denied renomination. Although this assumption is central to explaining party unity induced by party discipline, empirical evidence for this practice has been scarce. The study combines data on roll-call voting, parliamentary speeches and questions in the German Bundestag from 1990 to 2017 with novel data on renominations including renomination failures. Investigating list position changes and renomination failures in the German mixed-member system, the results indicate that selectorates of list candidates punished dissenting voting behaviour, while selectorates of district candidates considered the degree of parliamentary activity. The findings have broader implications for the representatives’ accountability in parliamentary systems.
摘要在议会制度中,政党领导人通过向其议员承诺积极激励并以消极激励威胁他们来实现政党团结。关于重新选举,“忠诚”和积极的议员应该得到有希望的名单职位的奖励,而叛逆和“懒惰”的议员应该受到更糟糕的名单职位甚至拒绝重新提名的惩罚。尽管这一假设是解释党的纪律导致的党的团结的核心,但这种做法的经验证据却很少。这项研究将1990年至2017年德国联邦议院的唱名表决、议会演讲和问题数据与包括重新提名失败在内的重新提名新数据相结合。调查德国混合成员制中名单位置的变化和重新提名失败的情况,结果表明,名单候选人的选举人会惩罚持不同意见的投票行为,而地区候选人的选举则会考虑议会活动的程度。调查结果对议会系统中代表的问责制具有更广泛的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Inclusive candidate selection and corruption: evidence from Spanish regions 包容性候选人选择与腐败:来自西班牙地区的证据
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2132026
N. Charron, Jana Schwenk
Abstract High corruption perceptions among voters have been shown to have dire consequences for political participation, trust in institutions and ability to solve collective action problems. Research on corruption focussed on macro- and micro-level explanations to explain persistent corruption in developed countries. This article adds a new meso-level variable to the picture: party primaries. While until recently selection of candidates was the privilege of narrow party elites, many Western European parties have introduced primaries to select candidates for public offices. This study posits that this attempt at increasing intraparty democracy has negative consequences regarding corruption perceptions and suggests three mechanisms through which primaries increase corruption perceptions among supporters of parties that use them. First, primaries can be perceived as a means of ‘window-dressing’, second, primaries can suffer from vote buying, and third, candidates in primaries have incentives to campaign on anti-elitism to distinguish themselves from party elite candidates, increasing corruption salience. The theoretical argument is tested using a novel dataset on primaries in Spanish regions and corruption perceptions in a difference-in-difference design. The results support the hypothesis that primaries increase corruption perceptions among supporters of parties that use them and hint that this result is driven by the process of competitive primaries rather than a restriction of competition.
选民的高腐败观念已被证明对政治参与,对机构的信任和解决集体行动问题的能力产生可怕的后果。对腐败的研究主要集中在宏观和微观两个层面来解释发达国家的持续腐败。本文添加了一个新的中观变量:政党初选。虽然直到最近,选择候选人还是少数政党精英的特权,但许多西欧政党已经引入初选来选择公职候选人。本研究认为,这种增加党内民主的尝试对腐败观念产生了负面影响,并提出了三种机制,通过这些机制,初选增加了使用初选的政党支持者的腐败观念。首先,初选可以被视为一种“粉饰门面”的手段,其次,初选可能会受到贿选的影响,第三,初选中的候选人有动机进行反精英主义竞选,以将自己与党内精英候选人区分开来,从而增加了腐败的显著性。这一理论论点是使用西班牙地区初选的新数据集和差异设计中的腐败观念进行测试的。研究结果支持了初选增加政党支持者对腐败的认知的假设,并暗示这一结果是由竞争性初选过程驱动的,而不是对竞争的限制。
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引用次数: 1
Multi-level blame attribution and public support for EU welfare policies 欧盟福利政策的多层次归因与公众支持
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2126679
Sharon Baute, A. Pellegata
Abstract Since the Eurozone crisis, intense political debate has resurfaced about deservingness judgements in European solidarity. To contribute to this debate, this article proposes a refined concept of ‘multi-level blame attribution’. It postulates that public support for EU-level welfare policies crucially depends on how citizens attribute responsibility for economic outcomes across different levels of agency. Results from an original public opinion survey conducted in 10 European Union member states demonstrate that attributing blame to individuals decreases citizens’ willingness to show solidarity with needy Europeans, whereas attributing blame to the EU increases support. The role of attributing blame to national governments is dependent on the country context; beliefs that worse economic outcomes are caused by national governments’ policy decisions tend to dampen support for EU targeted welfare policies only in the Nordic welfare states. The article concludes by discussing the implications of multi-level blame attribution for the formation of public attitudes towards European solidarity.
摘要自欧元区危机以来,关于欧洲团结中是否值得判断的激烈政治辩论再次出现。为了促进这场争论,本文提出了一个完善的“多层次指责归因”概念。它假设,公众对欧盟层面福利政策的支持在很大程度上取决于公民如何将经济结果的责任归属于不同级别的机构。在10个欧盟成员国进行的一项原始民意调查结果表明,将责任归咎于个人会降低公民与有需要的欧洲人团结一致的意愿,而将责任归因于欧盟会增加支持。将责任归咎于国家政府的作用取决于国家背景;认为更糟糕的经济结果是由各国政府的政策决定造成的,这往往会削弱对欧盟针对性福利政策的支持,只有北欧福利国家才会支持。文章最后讨论了多层次指责归因对公众对欧洲团结态度形成的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Rising electoral fragmentation and abstention: the French elections of 2022 选举分裂和弃权加剧:2022年法国大选
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-10-04 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2123095
A. Durovic
Abstract For the second time in the history of the Fifth Republic, the candidates of France’s former mainstream left- and right-wing parties were disqualified during the first round of the presidential elections. The repetition of the duel between Emmanuel Macron (centrist candidate) and Marine Le Pen (radical-right candidate) in the second round of the presidential election marks the durable transformation of the political space in French politics, an evolution that was already taking shape in 2017. The 2022 parliamentary elections confirmed the transformation and reconfiguration of the political landscape. Overall, the results of the elections in 2022 underscore major shifts in the party system as well as deep political fragmentations not only on the left but also, and in particular, on the right. Above all, the poor level of turnout in both elections reconfirms the considerable and enduring crisis of representative democracy in France.
法国前主流左翼和右翼政党的候选人在第一轮总统选举中被取消资格,这是法兰西第五共和国历史上第二次出现这种情况。在第二轮总统选举中,埃马纽埃尔·马克龙(中间派候选人)和马琳·勒庞(极右翼候选人)之间的对决再次上演,标志着法国政治空间的持久转变,这种演变在2017年就已经形成。2022年的议会选举证实了政治格局的转变和重新配置。总的来说,2022年选举的结果突显了政党制度的重大转变,以及不仅在左翼,而且尤其是在右翼的深刻政治分裂。最重要的是,两次选举的低投票率再次证实了法国代议制民主的严重而持久的危机。
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引用次数: 9
Group-based public opinion polarisation in multi-party systems 多党制中基于群体的舆论两极分化
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2110376
D. Traber, Lukas F. Stoetzer, Tanja Burri
Abstract Public opinion polarisation can impair society’s ability to reach a democratic consensus in different political issue areas. This appears particularly true when the polarisation of opinions coincides with clearly identifiable social groups. The literature on public opinion polarisation has mostly focussed on the US two-party context. We lack concepts and measures that can be adapted to European countries with multi-party systems and multi-layered group identities. This article proposes a conceptualisation of polarisation between groups in society. It presents a measure that captures the overlap of ideology distributions between groups. The two-step empirical framework includes hierarchical IRT models and a measure for dissimilarity of distributions. The second part presents an empirical application of the measure based on survey data from Switzerland (1994–2016), which reveals insightful dynamics of public opinion polarisation between party supporters and education groups.
舆论两极分化会损害社会在不同政治问题领域达成民主共识的能力。当观点的两极分化与明确可识别的社会群体相吻合时,这一点尤其明显。有关舆论两极化的文献大多集中在美国的两党制背景下。我们缺乏能够适用于具有多党制和多层群体特征的欧洲国家的概念和措施。这篇文章提出了社会群体之间两极分化的概念。它提供了一种衡量方法,可以捕捉到不同群体之间意识形态分布的重叠。两步经验框架包括层次IRT模型和分布不相似性的度量。第二部分基于瑞士(1994-2016)的调查数据提出了该措施的实证应用,揭示了政党支持者和教育团体之间民意两极分化的深刻动态。
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引用次数: 3
Free votes and the analysis of recorded votes: evidence from Germany (1949–2021) 自由投票和记录投票分析:来自德国的证据(1949-2021)
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2114651
Tamaki Ohmura, David M. Willumsen
Abstract The literature on legislative voting either explicitly excludes free votes from its analysis, does not distinguish them from other recorded votes, or analyses only topic-specific subsets of them. This research note shows all three approaches to be problematic, and argues for a reconsideration of how free votes are approached in the literature. Drawing on a dataset covering all recorded votes in the German Bundestag (1949–2021), and analysing the topics, initiators and voting behaviour on all free votes held, it is shown that free votes are frequent, address a broad range of issues, and display substantial variation in legislative behaviour. Most importantly, there is a strong indication that free votes are held on topics on which parties refrain from taking a position. The findings have substantial implications for the study of parliamentary floor voting.
摘要关于立法投票的文献要么明确将自由投票排除在分析之外,要么没有将其与其他记录投票区分开来,要么只分析其中特定主题的子集。这篇研究报告表明,这三种方法都有问题,并主张重新考虑文献中如何处理自由投票。根据涵盖德国联邦议院(1949-2021)所有记录选票的数据集,并分析所有自由投票的主题、发起人和投票行为,结果表明,自由投票很常见,涉及广泛的问题,立法行为也有很大变化。最重要的是,有一个强有力的迹象表明,在政党不采取立场的话题上进行了自由投票。研究结果对议会自由投票的研究具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 1
Closing the gap: how descriptive and substantive representation affect women’s vote for populist radical right parties 缩小差距:描述和实质性代表如何影响妇女对民粹主义激进右翼政党的投票
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2113219
Juliana Chueri, Anna Damerow
Abstract Although populist radical right-wing parties (PRRPs) are regarded as male-dominated, many have in recent years expanded their female electorate and reduced their electoral gender gap. Studies explain this trend as the result of a conscious strategy to target female voters through representation. This strategy is applied in both the descriptive and substantial realms, as PRRPs appoint female leaders and adopt relatively more progressive stances on gender, while still holding conservative, family-centred positions. However, the central question of whether and which of these strategies explain the closing gender gap in the populist vote has not yet been thoroughly comparatively examined. To answer this question, this study uses conditional logit models to explore the relationship between descriptive and substantial representation and women’s vote for a PRRP. The results show that a higher convergence between voter and PRRP positions on gender equality increases female votes for the PRRP. However, female descriptive representation does not prove relevant to explaining women’s vote for PRRPs. This has important implications for the literature on female representation in general, and women’s vote for PRRPs in particular.
虽然民粹主义激进右翼政党被认为是男性主导的政党,但近年来许多政党都在扩大其女性选民,缩小其选举性别差距。研究将这一趋势解释为一种有意识的策略的结果,即通过代表权来瞄准女性选民。这一战略既适用于描述性领域,也适用于实质性领域,因为prrp任命女性领导人,在性别问题上采取相对更进步的立场,同时仍然保持保守的、以家庭为中心的立场。然而,这些策略是否以及哪些策略解释了民粹主义投票中性别差距的缩小,这一核心问题尚未得到彻底的比较研究。为了回答这个问题,本研究使用条件logit模型来探讨描述性和实质性代表性与妇女对PRRP投票之间的关系。结果表明,选民和PRRP在性别平等问题上的立场趋同程度越高,女性对PRRP的投票就越多。然而,女性描述性代表并不证明与解释妇女对prrp的投票有关。这对一般关于女性代表性的文献,特别是妇女对prrp的投票具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 2
The intra-party bargain over ministerial appointments: how party leader performance affects the ‘partyness’ of government 党内部长任命谈判:党的领导人表现如何影响政府的“党派性”
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2112482
M. Kaltenegger
Abstract In parliamentary democracies, the logic of delegation from voters to government requires that political parties control government actions. Recruiting government personnel through the party organisation is the primary mechanism for parties to retain such a dominance over the government. Existing research has examined secular trends and cross-sectional variance in ministers’ party ties, mostly focussing on appointments of party members to government office. By contrast, this article centres on the appointment of members of the party elite as a yardstick for party control over government. It explores short-term variance in the ‘partyness’ of appointments, arguing that performance-related shifts in the intra-party power balance condition party elites’ access to ministerial office. Utilising data on ministerial appointments in Austria (1945–2017; n = 603), the article demonstrates that successful party leaders can relax party control by minimising appointments of party elite members, while relatively unsuccessful leaders have to compensate party elites with government jobs.
在议会民主制中,选民向政府授权的逻辑要求政党控制政府的行为。通过党组织招募政府人员是政党保持对政府的这种支配地位的主要机制。现有的研究考察了部长政党关系的长期趋势和横截面差异,主要集中在政府部门党员的任命上。相比之下,本文关注的是党内精英成员的任命,以此作为党对政府控制的衡量标准。它探讨了任命的“党派性”的短期差异,认为党内权力平衡中与绩效相关的转变是党内精英进入部长职位的条件。利用奥地利部长任命数据(1945-2017);N = 603),这篇文章表明,成功的政党领导人可以通过最小化党内精英成员的任命来放松党的控制,而相对不成功的领导人必须用政府工作来补偿党内精英。
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引用次数: 0
Power-seeking, networking and competition: why women do not rise in parties 权力追求、网络和竞争:为什么女性在政党中没有上升
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2097442
Tamaki Ohmura, S. Bailer
Abstract Why do women fail to rise in parties, especially youth parties? This analysis shows that female party members’ preferences regarding the purpose of a committee, networking and the election rule in party organisations differ from male party members’ which is likely a reason why women face challenges to rise in parties. This article investigates for the first time these gender based differences in preferences simultaneously by conducting a survey experiment with youth party members. Respondents (n > 1200) were asked if they would run for a seat in a decision-making committee of their youth party. In order to analyse which youth party members opt for which opportunities, the purpose of these committees, the networking opportunities they provide, and the election rule for these committees vary at random. The results show that female members hesitate to join committees that would grant them power, and that they are less likely to opt for upward networking opportunities than their male party colleagues. This effect is particularly strong in hierarchically organised youth parties of centre-right parties. Findings on preferred election rules mostly hold for women from left-wing parties. In contrast to men, this group prefers party quotas. Analysing differences by gender and political orientation, this article shows a clear gender preference gap exists both within and across youth parties.
摘要为什么女性在政党中,尤其是青年党中没有崛起?这项分析表明,女性党员对委员会目的、网络和政党组织选举规则的偏好与男性党员不同,这可能是女性在政党中面临挑战的原因。本文通过对青年党员的调查实验,首次同时调查了这些基于性别的偏好差异。受访者(n > 1200)被问及是否会竞选青年党决策委员会的席位。为了分析哪些青年党员选择了哪些机会,这些委员会的目的、他们提供的网络机会以及这些委员会的选举规则是随机变化的。结果显示,女性成员在加入赋予她们权力的委员会时犹豫不决,而且与党内男性同事相比,她们不太可能选择向上交往的机会。这种影响在中右翼政党的青年党中尤为强烈。关于首选选举规则的调查结果大多适用于左翼政党的女性。与男性相比,这一群体更喜欢政党配额制。通过分析性别和政治取向的差异,本文表明,青年党内部和内部都存在明显的性别偏好差距。
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引用次数: 1
Going technocratic? Diluting governing responsibility in electorally turbulent times 技术呢?在选举动荡时期淡化治理责任
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-10 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2095494
Vincenzo Emanuele, Marco Improta, Bruno Marino, Luca Verzichelli
Abstract Technocracy has recently triggered growing scholarly interest, especially as an alternative form of ruling to both party government and populism. In the context of weakened parties-citizens links and increasing external constraints faced by Western European ruling parties, technocratic appointments might help deal with the responsibility-responsiveness dilemma highlighted by Peter Mair. However, research on the explanatory factors of technocratic appointments is still underdeveloped. This article argues that the recourse to technocracy is fuelled by electoral volatility. In contexts of high electoral turbulence – and even more when parties frequently enter or exit the party system – ruling parties turn to technocratic appointments to dilute responsibility. This expectation is tested through an original longitudinal multilevel dataset including 655 cabinets and 373 elections in 20 Western European countries from 1945 to 2021. The findings of this article contribute to the current debate on technocracy and shed new light on the general understanding behind political representation.
技术官僚主义最近引发了越来越多的学术兴趣,特别是作为一种替代政党政府和民粹主义的统治形式。在西欧执政党所面临的政党-公民联系减弱和外部约束增加的背景下,技术官僚任命可能有助于处理彼得·梅尔强调的责任-回应困境。然而,对技术官僚任命的解释因素的研究仍不发达。本文认为,对技术官僚的求助是由选举的不稳定所推动的。在选举高度动荡的背景下——尤其是在政党频繁进出政党体系的情况下——执政党转向技术官僚任命,以淡化责任。这一期望通过一个原始的纵向多层数据集进行了测试,该数据集包括20个西欧国家从1945年到2021年的655个内阁和373个选举。本文的研究结果有助于当前关于技术官僚的辩论,并为政治代表制背后的一般理解提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 3
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West European Politics
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