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New (types of) parties and government: the Danish general election 2022 新型政党和政府:2022年丹麦大选
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-20 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2174742
Karina Kosiara-Pedersen
Abstract During the Covid-19 crisis, there was a high level of rallying around the flag for the Social Democratic government. However, support waned with the sense of crisis, and some ‘scandals’ surfaced. The ‘mink scandal’ caused an early election to be called. A high number of parties, 14, competed in the election, and after the election 12 parties are now represented in parliament – a new record number. When comparing the election results of 2019 and 2022, two overall results stand out. First, only one of the two traditional large parties has maintained this status and fragmentation is increased. Second, two new parties made it into the ‘top-5’ in 2022, both formed by former prominent Liberals. The election yielded a narrow victory to the red bloc. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen was able to stay in office after the election but exchanged her red bloc parliamentary majority for a coalition government with the Liberals and Moderates. Thus, a new type of coalition has emerged: a majority government spanning the usual two blocs, but challenged by opposition from both the right and left.
在新冠肺炎危机期间,社会民主党政府的旗帜周围出现了高水平的集会。然而,随着人们的危机感,支持率逐渐下降,一些“丑闻”浮出水面。“貂皮丑闻”导致提前举行大选。有14个政党参加了选举,选举结束后,有12个政党在议会中有代表,创下了新的记录。在比较2019年和2022年的选举结果时,有两个总体结果非常突出。首先,两个传统大党中只有一个保持了这一地位,分裂加剧。其次,两个新政党在2022年进入了“前五名”,都是由前著名的自由党人组成的。选举中红色阵营以微弱优势获胜。总理梅特·弗雷德里克森(Mette Frederiksen)在选举后得以继续执政,但将她的红色集团在议会中的多数席位换成了与自由党和温和派组成的联合政府。因此,一种新型的联合政府出现了:一个跨越通常的两个集团的多数政府,但受到左右两派反对的挑战。
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引用次数: 2
We don’t need no education? Education policies of Western European populist radical right parties 我们不需要教育吗?西欧民粹主义激进右翼政党的教育政策
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2177010
Anne Espeland Berg, Jens Jungblut, A. R. Jupskås
Abstract Populist radical right parties (PRRPs) have become more mainstream, increasing their relevance in European politics. While a lot is already known about them, there are still gaps in our knowledge. This article addresses one such gap by studying Western European PRRPs’ positions on education policy. It focuses on the salience of education in election manifestos, substantive positions that parties hold, and in how far these positions reflect their core ideology. Constructing a novel framework based on core ideologies and three dimensions of education policies, including an often-neglected content dimension, the article presents results from a qualitative content analysis of 15 manifestos. The results show that education policy is relevant for PRRPs, albeit to varying degrees, and that their policies are informed by their core ideologies. The findings have important implications for understanding education policy dynamics in liberal democracies as PRRPs fundamentally challenge normative foundations of Western European education systems.
民粹主义极右翼政党(prrp)已成为欧洲政治的主流,其在欧洲政治中的影响力日益增强。虽然我们已经对它们有了很多了解,但我们的知识仍然存在空白。本文通过研究西欧prrp在教育政策上的立场来解决这样一个差距。它关注的是教育在选举宣言中的突出地位,政党持有的实质性立场,以及这些立场在多大程度上反映了他们的核心意识形态。本文基于核心意识形态和教育政策的三个维度(包括一个经常被忽视的内容维度)构建了一个新的框架,并对15份宣言进行了定性内容分析。结果表明,教育政策与prrp相关,尽管程度不同,而且他们的政策受到其核心意识形态的影响。这些发现对于理解自由民主国家的教育政策动态具有重要意义,因为prrp从根本上挑战了西欧教育系统的规范基础。
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引用次数: 3
Losers’ consent and emotions in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum 英国脱欧公投后失败者的同意和情绪
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2168945
James Tilley, S. Hobolt
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引用次数: 2
Rebuilding the coalition ship at sea: how uncertainty and complexity drive the reform of portfolio design in coalition cabinets 海上联盟船的重建:不确定性和复杂性如何推动联盟内阁投资组合设计的改革
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2169512
Thomas M. Meyer, Ulrich Sieberer, David Schmuck
Abstract In the government formation process, coalition partners make decisions about the inner workings of their future government. However, whether the initial allocation of competencies has the desired effects is uncertain, and deals may therefore be subject to change when the government is in office. This study analyses the frequency of changes in portfolio design (i.e. the distribution of competencies among government ministries and office holders) for 112 coalition governments in eight West European democracies (1970–2015). Its central argument is that in uncertain and complex bargaining situations, coalition partners have greater difficulty finding mutually beneficial deals, and changes to the initial allocation of payoffs are therefore more likely. The results indicate that preference divergence and strenuous coalition negotiations make portfolio design reforms more likely, but show no consistent effect of the familiarity among government parties. These findings show how the bargaining context during government formation foreshadows coalition governance over the cabinet’s life-cycle.
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引用次数: 2
Public political tolerance of the far right in contemporary Western Europe 当代西欧公众对极右翼的政治容忍
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2167046
Lise Bjånesøy, Elisabeth Ivarsflaten, Lars Erik Berntzen
Abstract Political initiatives promoting a far-right agenda have gained significant political influence in Western European democracies. This has occurred despite apparent broad-based public rejection of Europe’s Nazi past. This is a puzzle, since there are affinities between the old and the new far right. This article addresses that puzzle. Theoretically, the article distinguishes between broad and narrow interpretations of what it means to reject Europe’s Nazi past. Empirically, it shows how a well-established survey experimental template reveals substantive variations in public political tolerance of the far right. For citizens in five key Western European democracies, rejecting the Nazi past only means rejecting initiatives explicitly identified as neo-Nazi. For other far-right initiatives, political tolerance is more common and increases in accordance with these initiatives’ institutionalisation in the party system. For far-right parties fully institutionalised in the party system, public political tolerance is at the same level as for other political parties.
推动极右翼议程的政治倡议在西欧民主国家获得了重大的政治影响。尽管公众明显普遍反对欧洲的纳粹历史,但这种情况还是发生了。这是一个令人困惑的问题,因为新旧极右翼之间存在相似之处。本文解决了这个难题。从理论上讲,这篇文章区分了拒绝欧洲纳粹历史的广义和狭义解释。从经验上看,它展示了一个完善的调查实验模板如何揭示公众对极右翼政治容忍度的实质性变化。对于五个主要的西欧民主国家的公民来说,拒绝纳粹的过去只意味着拒绝明确被认定为新纳粹的倡议。对于其他极右倡议,政治宽容更为普遍,并且随着这些倡议在政党体系中的制度化而增加。对于在政党体系中充分制度化的极右翼政党,公众的政治容忍度与其他政党处于同一水平。
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引用次数: 1
Does institutional misfit trigger customisation instead of non-compliance? 机构的不适应是否会引发定制而不是不合规?
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2166734
Viktoria Brendler, Eva Thomann
Abstract This article analyses the role of institutional misfit in why member states customise European Union (EU) renewable energy (RE) policies when implementing them. Institutional misfit theory posits that member states only adjust to EU policies when the adaptation pressure remains moderate and national actors’ policy preferences align. Conversely, this article tests the argument that member states manage institutional misfit by adjusting – customising – EU policies, that is, through vertical EU policy change rather than domestic change. Using Qualitative Comparative Analysis, the article compares the customisation of EU Directive 2009/28/EC in Austria, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom. Surprisingly, results suggest that institutional misfit is not a necessary condition for customised implementation. Instead, when high institutional fit meets high salience, member states may issue substantively more ambitious policies than the EU requires. Conversely, when high institutional fit meets low salience, member states have no impetus to customise EU rules.
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引用次数: 2
Assembly dissolution powers and incumbency advantages in coalition formation 联合政府组建中的议会解散权和在职优势
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2165356
Petra Schleiter, C. Bucur
Abstract Are dominant governing parties with discretion to call early elections better able to negotiate their return to office? Dominant incumbents in parliamentary democracies sometimes have extensive powers to dissolve parliament, which enables them to affect coalition bargaining. Yet, whether these powers advantage them in forming the next coalition remains poorly understood. To address this gap, this article develops a theory of coalition formation in the shadow of parliamentary dissolution. Incumbents who can dissolve the assembly, it argues, are more likely to return to government than their peers who lack this power because they enjoy greater bargaining leverage and reputational advantages in coalition formation. The article tests this expectation using mixed and conditional logistic regression analysis of data on 631 government formation opportunities and 433,401 potential coalitions and finds that coalition leaders with discretion to dissolve parliament secure significant advantages in negotiating their return to power.
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引用次数: 2
The mobilisation potential of anti-containment protests in Germany 德国反遏制抗议的动员潜力
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2166728
Sophia Hunger, Swen Hutter, Eylem Kanol
Abstract The Covid-19 pandemic triggered polarisation across Europe. While most citizens supported governments’ containment measures, others took to the streets and voiced their dissatisfaction. The article focuses on the mobilisation potential related to this heterogenous protest wave. It examines individuals that show sympathy and are willing to engage in anti-containment demonstrations based on 16 waves of a rolling cross-section survey fielded in Germany in 2020/2021. The results show a considerable and stable mobilisation potential: every fifth respondent sympathises with the protesters, and around 60% of those are ready to participate themselves. Political distrust, far-right orientations and an emerging ‘freedom divide’ structure the potential, as do Covid-19-related economic and health threats. Moreover, the findings indicate a radicalisation process and show how ideology and threat perceptions drive the step from sympathy to willingness to participate, suggesting that ideological polarisation may quickly spill over to the streets given an appropriate supply of protest opportunities.
摘要新冠肺炎大流行引发了整个欧洲的两极分化。虽然大多数公民支持政府的遏制措施,但其他人走上街头表达了他们的不满。这篇文章关注的是与这种异质性抗议浪潮相关的动员潜力。它根据2020/2021年在德国进行的16波滚动横截面调查,调查了表现出同情并愿意参与反遏制示威的个人。结果显示,有相当大且稳定的动员潜力:每五分之一的受访者都同情抗议者,其中约60%的人准备亲自参与。政治不信任、极右倾向和新出现的“自由鸿沟”构成了潜在的结构,与新冠肺炎相关的经济和健康威胁也是如此。此外,研究结果表明了一个激进化过程,并显示了意识形态和威胁感知如何推动从同情到参与意愿的转变,这表明如果有适当的抗议机会,意识形态两极分化可能会迅速蔓延到街头。
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引用次数: 9
Weaponisation of finance: the role of European central banks and financial sanctions against Russia 金融武器化:欧洲央行的作用和对俄罗斯的金融制裁
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2155906
L. Quaglia, A. Verdun
Abstract In response to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the Group of Seven (G7) countries and the European Union (EU) adopted a variety of financial sanctions, including the freezing of foreign reserve assets of the Central Bank of Russia held by other central banks. Drawing on a Principal-Agent framework and on speeches, newspaper articles and interviews with policy-makers, this study examines what it means for the ECB and the central banks of the Eurosystem to be involved in these sanctions. As a consequence of these actions, these central banks have been enlisted in monetary and financial warfare. Moreover, the three-fold objective of the ECB has de facto effectively been reweighted somewhat, as the focus on ‘price stability’ (primary objective) has become seemingly temporarily less prominent. Instead, the secondary and tertiary objectives have moved centre-stage, favouring geopolitical considerations.
摘要为了应对俄罗斯对乌克兰的全面入侵,七国集团和欧盟采取了各种金融制裁措施,包括冻结其他央行持有的俄罗斯中央银行外汇储备资产。根据委托代理框架以及演讲、报纸文章和对政策制定者的采访,本研究考察了欧洲央行和欧元体系央行参与这些制裁意味着什么。由于这些行动,这些央行被卷入了货币和金融战争。此外,欧洲央行的三重目标实际上已经在一定程度上被重新加权,因为对“价格稳定”(主要目标)的关注似乎暂时不那么突出。相反,第二和第三目标转移到了中心位置,有利于地缘政治考虑。
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引用次数: 2
Institutional accountability: the differentiated implementation of collaborative governance in two EU states 制度问责:两个欧盟国家协作治理的差异化实施
IF 4.2 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2022.2158639
I. Mancheva, M. Pihlajamäki, M. Keskinen
Abstract Governments increasingly apply collaborative governance based on deliberation that typically takes place in non-majoritarian institutions. However, collaborative institutions face accountability challenges depending on their institutional design. Still, empirical research is missing on the different choices member states make when designing collaborative institutions implementing European Union (EU) political goals. Using four theoretical principles of accountability, the study compares how Finland and Sweden implement the requirements for collaborative governance of two EU directives in national legislation and management plans. While Finland has provided more detailed and stricter rules resulting in higher process accountability, Sweden has delegated final decision making to authorities, achieving a higher degree of institutional independence. The results reveal that since the directives set only some of the key rules and procedures needed for achieving accountable collaborative institutions, member states’ discretion can lead to institutional variation even in similar governance contexts, resulting in differing institutional accountability and legitimacy of EU policies.
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引用次数: 2
期刊
West European Politics
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