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“The more official, the less I believe”: Using focus groups to explore public opinion formation in politically polarized contexts "官方越多,我越不相信":利用焦点小组探讨政治两极化背景下的民意形成
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13421
Isabel Pavez, Magdalena Saldaña, Cristian Cabalin, Andrés Scherman
IntroductionPublic opinion studies have traditionally relied on survey analyses. However, a qualitative approach is needed to address opinion formation's multidimensional and contextual nature. In this study, we argue that focus groups are a technique that addresses these unique challenges.MethodsWe test this argument by looking at the case of Chile, a country marked by a streak of eight elections in three years, including two national referendums for a constitutional proposal. In this politically polarized setting, and over the course of the latter election year, we conducted 10 focus groups comprising a diverse sample in terms of gender, age, socioeconomic status, and occupation. As participants shared news diets, political views, and values, data suggest a tendency to independently verify information regardless of the source, and highly influenced by their close ones.ResultsFrom a methodological perspective, our findings show that focus groups enable the assessment of the context‐situated opinion formation process, reveal emerging themes, and promote open discussion. These results also reflect the multifaceted nature of public opinion formation in a dynamic media landscape and can inform other countries undergoing a crisis of institutional legitimacy.
导言:舆论研究历来依赖于调查分析。然而,要解决舆论形成的多维性和背景性问题,需要一种定性的方法。在本研究中,我们认为焦点小组是一种能够应对这些独特挑战的技术。方法我们通过研究智利的案例来验证这一论点,智利在三年内连续举行了八次大选,其中包括两次针对宪法提案的全民公决。在这种政治两极分化的背景下,在后一个选举年期间,我们开展了 10 个焦点小组,其中包括性别、年龄、社会经济地位和职业方面的不同样本。由于参与者共享新闻饮食、政治观点和价值观,数据表明他们倾向于独立核实信息,而不管信息来源如何,并受到其亲近者的高度影响。结果从方法学的角度来看,我们的研究结果表明,焦点小组能够评估舆论形成过程的背景情况,揭示新出现的主题,并促进公开讨论。这些结果还反映了在动态媒体环境中舆论形成的多面性,可为其他面临制度合法性危机的国家提供借鉴。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional design and the stability of responsiveness in the American states 美国各州的制度设计和反应能力的稳定性
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13414
Scott LaCombe
BackgroundThere is a significant body of research investigating how institutions moderate the relationship between public opinion and policy in the American States, but far less attention has been given to understanding the variance of policy change. Some states have remained relatively stable in their ideological trajectory, while other states tend to see large unstable swings in policy.ObjectivesI argue that the variance of policy, not just the mean, is an important component of understanding policy responsiveness. A state's institutional design can influence both the extent to which policymakers follow public opinion and the ease of moving the status quo.MethodsI use a heteroskedastic regression to model policy responsiveness and variance in the state using a measure of the strength of a state’s checks and balance system and a measure of accountability pressure.ResultsStates with a robust checks and balances system see less policy variance, whereas there is mixed evidence that institutions designed to strengthen public opinion’s role in policy are associated with more stable policy. I also find that institutions play a much stronger role in reducing social policy variance compared to economic policy.ConclusionVariance should be incorporated into our understanding of policy responsiveness, and represents another dimension in which institutions may influence the relationship between public opinion and policy.
背景有大量研究调查了制度如何调节美国各州公众舆论与政策之间的关系,但对了解政策变化的差异的关注要少得多。一些州的意识形态轨迹保持相对稳定,而另一些州的政策则往往出现大幅的不稳定波动。一个州的制度设计既能影响决策者遵循民意的程度,也能影响改变现状的难易程度。方法我采用异方差回归法,利用衡量一个州制衡制度强度的指标和衡量问责压力的指标,对该州的政策反应能力和变异性进行建模。结果制衡制度健全的州,政策变异性较小,而旨在加强民意在政策中的作用的制度与更稳定的政策相关,这一点证据不一。我还发现,与经济政策相比,制度在减少社会政策变异方面的作用要大得多。结论变异应被纳入我们对政策响应性的理解中,它代表了制度可能影响民意与政策之间关系的另一个维度。
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引用次数: 0
Are charitable donations a luxury good of the rich? Evidence from a survey and actual behavior in a superdiverse metropolis 慈善捐款是富人的奢侈品吗?来自一个超级多元化大都市的调查和实际行为的证据
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13418
Jonas Elis, Sabrina Jasmin Mayer, Achim Goerres
ObjectivePrevious studies on charitable giving have emphasized the importance of socioeconomic status in explaining why individuals choose to donate or not to donate money. Other explanations, such as social capital or local contexts, have also been investigated, but these perspectives are rarely combined and tested against an actual behavioral outcome measure. We seek to compare the statistical importance of these explanations for individual‐level donation decisions.MethodsOur study investigates survey respondents’ choices to repeatedly donate their earned incentive after a completed interview in the three waves of the Immigrant German Election Study II from 2021. In each wave, respondents were offered an incentive worth 10 euros, which they could either keep as a gift card or donate to the local food bank. This decision is a measurement of real rather than self‐reported donation behavior. We combine individual‐level variables and neighborhood‐level variables that capture the heterogeneity of our sample to systematically compare explanations for this donation decision.ResultsWe find that the respondents’ self‐assessed economic situation and sociopolitical preferences in favor of more social spending by the state, rather than the respondents’ objective socioeconomic status, have strong positive effects on the total amount donated throughout the survey.ConclusionNot the rich per se, but those who think they are doing well economically, and who are on the redistributive left, give more to others. These findings remain robust after controlling for the strong heterogeneity of our sample.
目的以往关于慈善捐赠的研究强调社会经济地位在解释个人选择捐赠或不捐赠的原因中的重要性。其他解释,如社会资本或当地环境,也曾被研究过,但这些观点很少被结合起来,并通过实际的行为结果测量进行检验。我们的研究调查了受访者在完成 2021 年德国移民选举研究 II 的三波访谈后,对重复捐赠所获奖励的选择。在每一轮调查中,受访者都会获得价值 10 欧元的奖励,他们可以将其作为礼品卡保存或捐给当地的食品银行。这一决定是对真实而非自我报告的捐赠行为的测量。结果我们发现,在整个调查过程中,受访者自我评估的经济状况和支持国家增加社会支出的社会政治偏好,而不是受访者客观的社会经济地位,对捐赠总额有很强的正向影响。结论不是富人本身,而是那些认为自己经济状况良好、处于再分配左翼的人对他人的捐赠更多。在控制了样本的强烈异质性后,这些发现仍然是可靠的。
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引用次数: 0
Election reform and campaign finance: Did Alaska's top 4 nonpartisan primaries and ranked‐choice general elections affect political spending? 选举改革与竞选资金:阿拉斯加四大无党派初选和排名选择大选是否影响了政治支出?
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13422
Zachary Albert, Robert G. Boatright, Lane Cuthbert, Adam Eichen, Wouter van Erve, Raymond J. La Raja, Meredith Rolfe
ObjectiveRanked‐choice voting (RCV) is increasingly seen as a way to reduce political polarization and increase voter choice in elections, but little is known about its effect on candidate fundraising. In 2022, Alaska held its first election using a nonpartisan Top 4 primary followed by a ranked‐choice general election. We analyze the effect of this new system on campaign financing practices in state legislative elections. There are many reasons to expect RCV to increase campaign spending, broaden the donor pool, and prompt donors to support candidates to whom they would not otherwise contribute.MethodWe measure changes in fundraising over the past decade in Alaska legislative elections. We conduct a network analysis of campaign contributors in Alaska for the 2018, 2020, and 2022 state legislative elections.ResultsRCV had minimal consequences for campaign fundraising. Our ability to draw broader conclusions about the relationship between RCV and campaign finance is complicated by unusual features of Alaska politics.ConclusionsThere is little evidence that the adoption of a Top 4/RCV system in Alaska had immediate effects on campaign finance in state legislative elections. However, patterns may change as legislators and donors adapt to the new system.
目标排序选择投票(RCV)越来越被视为减少政治两极分化、增加选民选举选择的一种方式,但人们对其对候选人筹款的影响知之甚少。2022 年,阿拉斯加州首次举行了无党派四强初选,随后举行了排序选择大选。我们分析了这种新制度对州立法选举中竞选筹资行为的影响。有很多理由可以预期 RCV 会增加竞选支出、扩大捐助者范围,并促使捐助者支持他们原本不会捐款的候选人。我们对阿拉斯加州 2018 年、2020 年和 2022 年州议会选举的竞选捐款人进行了网络分析。结果RCV 对竞选筹款的影响微乎其微。由于阿拉斯加州政治的特殊性,我们无法就 RCV 与竞选资金之间的关系得出更广泛的结论。结论几乎没有证据表明,阿拉斯加州采用四强/RCV 制度对州立法选举中的竞选资金产生了直接影响。不过,随着立法者和捐赠者适应新制度,模式可能会发生变化。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring cultural identities in cultural theory survey research 在文化理论调查研究中衡量文化特性
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13419
Branden B. Johnson, Brendon Swedlow
ObjectiveEfforts to measure cultural identities in survey research rely on self‐reported ethnic, racial, and national identities. We test how survey operationalization of grid–group cultural theory (CT) influences the classification of individuals’ (sub)cultural identities.MethodsA national online sample of Americans (n = 697 for current analyses) rated items from CT indices, CT statements, and cultural cognition theory (CCT) indices in a 2016–2017 panel survey. Individuals were classified as identifying with a culture if they supported it (e.g., rating it above the scale mean or median, or in the top 35 percent of the scale distribution) or agreed with each item constituting the scale (the “midpoint method” introduced here).ResultsDifferent classification methods and cultural measures yield different proportions of support of cultural biases, yielding statistically significant differences despite most people being similarly classified. Survey measures can unequivocally assign a minority of people to a single cultural identity, with a majority so classified only if one does not require the individual to support only one bias.ConclusionsUsing a short, conceptually valid measure of culture with the novel midpoint method seems best for CT survey researchers but should have implications more broadly in cultural identity research and social science efforts to classify individuals.
目标调查研究中对文化身份的测量依赖于自我报告的民族、种族和国家身份。我们测试了网格组文化理论(CT)的调查操作化如何影响个人(亚)文化身份的分类。方法在 2016-2017 年的一项小组调查中,美国人的全国在线样本(当前分析中的样本数为 697)对 CT 指数、CT 陈述和文化认知理论(CCT)指数中的项目进行了评分。如果个人支持某种文化(例如,评分高于量表平均值或中位数,或位于量表分布的前 35%)或同意构成量表的每个项目(此处引入的 "中点法"),则被归类为认同该文化。结果不同的分类方法和文化测量方法会产生不同比例的文化偏见支持率,尽管大多数人的分类相似,但在统计上却存在显著差异。调查方法可以明确地将少数人归入单一文化身份,而只有在不要求个人只支持一种偏见的情况下,才能将多数人归入单一文化身份。结论使用简短、概念有效的文化测量方法和新颖的中点法似乎最适合 CT 调查研究人员,但在文化身份研究和个人分类的社会科学工作中应该具有更广泛的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing public support for digital surveillance policies in 50 countries 比较 50 个国家公众对数字监控政策的支持程度
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13423
Jing Jin, Yufan Guo, Jia Lu
ObjectiveThis article employs three theoretical approaches (cultural, institutional, and informational) to explain public willingness to support two major forms of digital surveillance policies—video surveillance and internet surveillance—in the countries with varying levels of political trust.MethodsUtilizing the data from World Values Survey (WVS) and the other sources, this study conducts a multi‐level analysis involving 75,721 respondents from 50 countries or regions.ResultsThe results show that public support for digital surveillance policies varies across digital surveillance types and political trust contexts. The cultural approach demonstrates consistent effects that remain robust irrespective of the type of digital surveillance or political trust. The institutional approach varies by the level of political trust, and the informational approach differs between video and internet surveillance.ConclusionThe effects of three theoretical approaches are compared across digital surveillance types and across political trust contexts. The comparison examines the privacy calculus theory in different scenarios and reveals the intricate trade‐off mechanism inherent in public support for digital surveillance policy.
本文采用三种理论方法(文化方法、制度方法和信息方法)来解释在政治信任度不同的国家中,公众对两种主要形式的数字监控政策--视频监控和互联网监控--的支持意愿。结果研究结果表明,在不同的数字监控类型和政治信任度背景下,公众对数字监控政策的支持程度是不同的。无论数字监控的类型或政治信任度如何,文化方法都能显示出一致的效果,并保持稳定。结论:我们比较了三种理论方法在不同数字监控类型和不同政治信任背景下的效果。比较研究了不同情景下的隐私计算理论,揭示了公众支持数字监控政策的内在复杂权衡机制。
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引用次数: 0
Volatile pies: Modeling compositional volatility 挥发性馅饼成分挥发性建模
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13406
Abbie Eastman, Andrea Junqueira, Ali Kagalwala, Andrew Q. Philips, Guy D. Whitten
ObjectiveThe study aims to demonstrate the utility of modeling compositional volatility in substantive domains beyond budgeting.MethodsWe show how to model compositional volatility on its own or as a part of a system of equations in which the component parts of the compositional outcome variable are also modeled.ResultsUsing data on the volatility of support for German political parties, we demonstrate the usefulness of stand‐alone models of compositional volatility. Using data on the volatility of income shares in the United States, we demonstrate the usefulness of modeling volatility together with compositional components.ConclusionThere is considerable potential for modeling compositional volatility.
方法我们展示了如何单独或作为方程组的一部分对组成波动率进行建模,在方程组中也对组成 结果变量的组成部分进行建模。结果利用德国政党支持率波动率的数据,我们展示了单独的组成 波动率模型的实用性。利用美国收入份额波动率的数据,我们证明了将波动率与组成成分一起建模的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the nexus between development aid, institutions, and growth: A global evidence 重新审视发展援助、机构和增长之间的关系:全球证据
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13417
Ömer Faruk Biçen, Mustafa Necati Çoban
ObjectiveThis study mainly focuses on the relationship between development aid and growth as well as examines the role of the institutional development levels of countries in this relationship and makes economic inferences.MethodsThe analysis is conducted for 64 countries receiving official development assistance in the 2000–2020 period. To provide robust estimates in these studies, the Driscoll and Kraay estimator is used after fixed and random effects models.ResultsIn almost all of the estimated models, a significant relationship between official development assistance per capita and growth is found. Moreover, the models with institutional factors and interaction terms also support the results. According to the robust estimation results, official development assistance per capita positively affects growth.ConclusionThe results for all countries do not mean that good policies and strong institutions are unnecessary. In contrast, they show that the priority is the sum of aid per capita.
本研究主要关注发展援助与经济增长之间的关系,以及各国制度发展水平在这一关系中的作用,并做出经济推论。方法对 2000-2020 年间接受官方发展援助的 64 个国家进行分析。结果在几乎所有的估计模型中,人均官方发展援助与经济增长之间都存在显著关系。此外,包含制度因素和交互项的模型也支持上述结果。根据稳健的估计结果,人均官方发展援助对经济增长有积极影响。相反,这些结果表明,优先考虑的是人均援助总额。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the influence of wealth on judicial decision making 探讨财富对司法决策的影响
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13412
Banks Miller, Brett Curry
ObjectiveAttention to levels of socioeconomic inequality has given rise to work investigating its potential to influence political actors and, thus, policy outcomes. These studies have focused on elected actors in legislative contexts. Ours fills this gap by assessing the consequences of a judge's wealth on decision making.MethodsWe obtain data on federal appellate judges’ wealth and explore its influence in cases involving economic issues. We estimate logit models controlling for other factors and include fixed effects for circuit, specific issue area, and year of the decision. The models consider both the main effects of wealth and its potential interaction with judicial ideology to influence decision making.ResultsWe find no direct relationship between a judge's wealth and her decision making in economic cases. However, wealth interacts with ideology to exert a significant influence on decision making; here, greater wealth amplifies the ideological predilections of more conservative judges.ConclusionsThis is the first study to document a link between wealth and the choices judges make on the bench. It adds a new dimension to the ways economic inequality can influence political actors and raises new questions about the mechanisms by which such inequality is consequential for elite political behavior.
目的 对社会经济不平等程度的关注,催生了对其影响政治行为者并进而影响政策结果的潜力进行调查的工作。这些研究主要针对立法背景下的民选行为者。我们通过评估法官的财富对决策的影响来填补这一空白。方法我们获得了联邦上诉法官的财富数据,并探讨了其在涉及经济问题的案件中的影响。我们估计了控制其他因素的 logit 模型,并包含了巡回区、特定问题领域和判决年份的固定效应。这些模型既考虑了财富的主要影响,也考虑了其与司法意识形态的潜在交互作用对决策的影响。结果我们发现,在经济案件中,法官的财富与其决策之间没有直接关系。然而,财富与意识形态的交互作用对决策产生了重大影响;在此,更多的财富会放大更保守法官的意识形态倾向。它为经济不平等影响政治行为者的方式增添了一个新的维度,并对这种不平等对精英政治行为的影响机制提出了新的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Race differences in support for anti‐racism policies: Endorsements of anti‐black and anti‐white stereotypes 支持反种族主义政策的种族差异:支持反黑人和反白人的陈规定型观念
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13416
Eric Silver, John Iceland, Kerby Goff
IntroductionSupport for anti‐racism policies such as mandatory diversity training and affirmative action varies by race. Research in the racial resentment and symbolic racism traditions focuses on whites’ endorsements of stereotypes that blame blacks for their unequal position in society, causing whites to be less supportive of anti‐racism policies. Systemic racism theory suggests an additional hypothesis: People who believe whites are not doing enough to dismantle the systemically racist system that disadvantages blacks and other groups should be more supportive of anti‐racism policies.MethodsWe examine both hypotheses using data from a national YouGov survey of 1125 U.S. adults gathered in 2021.ResultsRace differences in support for anti‐racism policies are accounted for by race differences in endorsements of both anti‐black and anti‐white stereotypes.ConclusionFuture studies of support for anti‐racism policies should consider the influence of both anti‐black and anti‐white stereotypes.
导言对反种族主义政策(如强制性多元化培训和平权行动)的支持因种族而异。种族怨恨和象征性种族主义传统的研究主要集中在白人认可将黑人在社会中的不平等地位归咎于黑人的刻板印象,从而导致白人对反种族主义政策的支持度较低。系统种族主义理论提出了另一个假设:我们使用 2021 年 YouGov 对 1125 名美国成年人进行的全国性调查数据对这两个假设进行了研究。结果反黑人和反白人刻板印象的种族差异解释了反种族主义政策支持率的种族差异。
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引用次数: 0
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Social Science Quarterly
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