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From fear to hate: Sources of anti‐Asian sentiment during COVID‐19 从恐惧到仇恨:COVID-19 期间反亚洲情绪的来源
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13387
Yaoyao Dai, Jingjing Gao, Benjamin J. Radford
ObjectiveThis paper seeks to explain and empirically test how a public health crisis, such as the COVID‐19 pandemic, might lead to discriminatory attitudes and behaviors against marginalized groups.MethodWe identify four causal mechanisms that may account for the increase in anti‐Asian racism during COVID‐19. Using a large data set of geolocated COVID‐19‐related tweets in the U.S., we examine the spatiotemporal pattern of anti‐Asian sentiment on Twitter and test all four mechanisms that link the crisis to the behaviors of “othering” and “scapegoating.”ResultsWe find evidence consistent with the elite cueing, perceived threat, and grievance mechanisms. The president's scapegoating rhetoric significantly increased anti‐Asian hate tweets across all counties. In addition, high COVID‐19 infection rates and grievances from containment policies are also associated with greater numbers of anti‐Asian hate tweets. On the other hand, counties with larger vulnerable populations do not seem to have more anti‐Asian hate tweets.ConclusionsWe demonstrate that a crisis alone does not necessarily lead to othering behavior, while elite rhetoric can significantly influence the public's opinion and behavior during a crisis.
本文旨在解释和实证检验 COVID-19 大流行病等公共卫生危机如何可能导致对边缘化群体的歧视态度和行为。方法我们确定了四种可能导致 COVID-19 期间反亚裔种族主义增加的因果机制。我们利用美国 COVID-19 相关推文的地理定位大数据集,研究了推特上反亚裔情绪的时空模式,并检验了将危机与 "他者化 "和 "替罪羊 "行为联系起来的所有四种机制。总统的 "替罪羊 "言论显著增加了所有县的反亚裔仇恨推文。此外,COVID-19 感染率高和对遏制政策的不满也与反亚裔仇恨推文数量增加有关。结论我们证明,危机本身并不一定会导致他者化行为,而精英言论则会在危机期间极大地影响公众的观点和行为。
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引用次数: 0
Civility norm violations and political accountability 违反文明规范与政治问责
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13383
Drew Cagle, Nicholas T. Davis
IntroductionThis short article investigates how violations of civility norms by politicians affect attitudes about the importance of norms and demand for political accountability after wrongdoing.ResultsOur main findings are twofold: (1) support for norms and (2) demand for punishing norm‐breaking increases when parties hold political officials accountable for their actions—especially in the case of in‐group norm‐breaking.ConclusionsThese findings contribute to a growing literature on Americans’ support for norms by implying that elites play an important role in sustaining the standards of democratic exchange. When elites impose punishment on copartisan elites, they signal to the public that accountability is acceptable.
简介:这篇短文研究了政治家违反文明规范的行为如何影响人们对规范重要性的态度以及在错误行为发生后对政治问责的要求。结果我们的主要发现有两个方面:(1)对规范的支持;(2)当政党要求政治官员对其行为负责时,对惩罚违反规范行为的需求会增加--尤其是在集团内违反规范的情况下。结论这些发现为有关美国人对规范的支持的越来越多的文献做出了贡献,暗示了精英在维持民主交流标准方面发挥着重要作用。当精英对同党精英实施惩罚时,他们就会向公众发出问责是可以接受的信号。
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引用次数: 0
Personalization and de-institutionalization: Our common conceptual framework 个性化和去机构化:我们共同的概念框架
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13373
Robert Harmel, Lars Svåsand, Hilmar Mjelde

Though parties serving as “personalist vehicles” have been known to exist for some time in less well-established democracies, they are certainly less commonplace in well-institutionalized democracies where parties are normally expected to make decisions by routinized, democratic procedures and maintain substantial value in their own right. And yet, even highly institutionalized parties in such settings may fall prey to personalistic tendencies.1 Such has, for instance, been the case recently for one of the most established, institutionalized parties in one of the most established, institutionalized democracies in the world: Donald Trump's Republican Party in the United States. And while that case may be the most notorious of late, it is hardly the only instance of this phenomenon! Indeed, across a range of democracies over a span of decades, there have been numerous other cases of personalization of well-established parties, though not always personalized in exactly the same ways or to the same degree. It is our explicit purpose in this special issue to gain a better understanding of numerous relevant cases and the process of party personalization in general, through a collection of case studies rigorously employing a common conceptual framework and guided by similar research questions. To what degree, and in what ways, has each case experienced personalization? What factors and circumstances made this possible? (And to the process culminated in less than complete personalization, what hindered/stopped the process?) What have been—or are likely to be—the consequences for the party and the polity?

What follows is a discussion of the common conceptual framework that underpins the analysis of each of the case studies in this special issue.

虽然作为 "个人主义载体 "的政党在不太完善的民主政体中已经存在了一段时间,但在制度完善的民主政体中,这种情况肯定不太常见,因为在这些政体中,人们通常期望政党通过常规化的民主程序做出决策,并保持其自身的重要价值。1 例如,世界上最成熟、制度化程度最高的民主政体中最成熟、制度化程度最高的政党之一最近就出现了这种情况:唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)领导的美国共和党最近就是这种情况。虽然这个案例可能是近期最臭名昭著的,但它并不是这种现象的唯一实例!事实上,几十年来,在一系列民主政体中,还有许多其他历史悠久的政党被个性化的案例,尽管个性化的方式和程度不尽相同。本特刊的明确目的是通过一系列案例研究,严格采用共同的概念框架,并以类似的研究问题为指导,更好地了解众多相关案例以及政党个性化的总体进程。每个案例在多大程度上以何种方式经历了个性化?是什么因素和环境促成了这一切?(如果这一过程最终没有实现完全的个性化,那么是什么阻碍/阻止了这一过程?)对政党和政体已经产生或可能产生的后果是什么?以下是对本特刊中每个案例研究分析所依据的共同概念框架的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Bad times keep us together: Policy priorities and economic shocks 逆境让我们团结在一起政策重点与经济冲击
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13382
Christine S. Lipsmeyer, Andrew Q. Philips, Amanda Rutherford, Guy D. Whitten
ObjectiveWe analyze how economic shocks affect the partisan nature of budgetary trade‐offs and use data from the U.S. Census Annual Survey of Government Finance to illustrate it.MethodsWe propose a compositional approach to model trade‐offs among 10 budgetary categories across both time and space in U.S. states.ResultsWe find support for the notion that partisanship drives the allocation of budgetary expenditures. However, during times of negative economic shocks, either within a state or in neighboring states, Democratic and Republican governors have a similar budgetary response.ConclusionsThe results show the effects of economic and political shifts, as well as the implications of spillovers from other states, on partisan decisions about trade‐offs in government budgets.
目标我们分析了经济冲击如何影响预算权衡的党派性质,并利用美国人口普查年度政府财政调查的数据进行了说明。方法我们提出了一种组合方法,以模拟美国各州 10 个预算类别在时间和空间上的权衡。结论结果表明了经济和政治变化的影响,以及其他州的溢出效应对党派在政府预算权衡中的决策的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Since you put it that way… Gender norms and interruptions at Supreme Court oral arguments 既然你这么说了......最高法院口头辩论中的性别规范和打断问题
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13377
Shane A. Gleason
ObjectiveAt U.S. Supreme Court oral arguments, female attorneys are more likely to be interrupted than their male counterparts under some conditions. This makes it difficult for women to effectively construct a narrative and substantively impact case law. While existing work conceptualizes gender as a binary, I draw on recent work stressing gender is performative to deesentialize gender and explore how attorneys’ compliance with gender norms and subtle expectations about men's and women's behavior in a host of contexts, predicts interruptions at oral arguments.MethodsVia quantitative textual analysis of all oral arguments from 2004 to 2019 where one attorney argues for the petitioner and one for the respondent, I examine the extent to which gender norm compliance predicts interruptions.ResultsI find both male and female attorneys are interrupted more frequently when their oral arguments are not gender normative. Thus, an argument that is successful for a male attorney is not necessarily successful for a female attorney, and vice versa.ConclusionMy results underscore female attorneys are not less successful as a matter of course; attorney success is driven by attorney compliance with gender norms. This work also raises a number of normative questions I encourage future scholars to explore.
目标在美国最高法院的口头辩论中,女性律师在某些情况下比男性律师更容易被打断。这使得女性难以有效地构建叙述并对判例法产生实质性影响。虽然现有研究将性别概念化为二元对立,但我借鉴了近期强调性别是表演性的研究,将性别去本质化,并探讨了律师在一系列情境中对性别规范的遵守情况以及对男性和女性行为的微妙期望如何预测口头辩论中的中断情况。方法通过对 2004 年至 2019 年所有口头辩论的定量文本分析(其中一名律师代表申请人,一名律师代表被告),我研究了遵守性别规范在多大程度上预测了口头辩论的中断。因此,男性律师成功的辩论并不一定是女性律师成功的辩论,反之亦然。结论我的研究结果强调,女性律师的成功并非理所当然;律师的成功是由律师遵守性别规范所驱动的。这项研究还提出了一些规范性问题,我鼓励未来的学者对其进行探讨。
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引用次数: 0
Public sector corruption is fertile ground for conspiracy beliefs: A comparison between 26 Western and non‐Western countries 公共部门腐败是阴谋论的沃土:26 个西方国家和非西方国家的比较
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13374
Laurent Cordonier, Florian Cafiero
ObjectiveResearch on conspiracy theories has mainly focused on psychosocial and sociodemographic factors associated with conspiracy beliefs. Little is known about factors at the nation level that provide a breeding ground for conspiracist thinking. However, an interesting finding emerges from recent international comparisons: people living in countries with a highly corrupt public sector seem to be more likely to endorse conspiracy theories. The present study aims to replicate this finding with new data.MethodsWe investigate the relationship between corruption and conspiracy beliefs across 26 Western and non‐Western countries through multiple linear regression analyses and conditional inference trees. In addition to the corruption level of these countries, our statistical models include other nation‐level factors known to be associated with the prevalence of conspiracy beliefs, namely, their levels of democracy, freedom of the press, social threat (unemployment and homicide rates), economic inequality, and human development (life expectancy, standard of living, and education).ResultsOur analyses confirm a robust link between public sector corruption and conspiracy beliefs that remains significant when controlling for these other factors.ConclusionWe suggest that public sector corruption is fertile ground for conspiracy theories because it makes them less implausible to the public.
目的有关阴谋论的研究主要集中在与阴谋信仰相关的社会心理和社会人口因素上。人们对滋生阴谋论思想的国家层面因素知之甚少。然而,最近的国际比较发现了一个有趣的现象:生活在公共部门高度腐败的国家的人似乎更有可能赞同阴谋论。我们通过多元线性回归分析和条件推理树研究了 26 个西方和非西方国家的腐败与阴谋论信仰之间的关系。除了这些国家的腐败程度外,我们的统计模型还包括其他已知与阴谋论信念流行程度相关的国家级因素,即民主程度、新闻自由、社会威胁(失业率和凶杀率)、经济不平等和人类发展(预期寿命、生活水平和教育)。结果我们的分析证实了公共部门腐败与阴谋论之间的紧密联系,在控制了这些其他因素后,这种联系仍然显著。结论我们认为,公共部门腐败是阴谋论的沃土,因为它使阴谋论对公众来说不那么难以置信。
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引用次数: 0
Look over there. Where? A compositional approach to the modeling of public opinion on the most important problem 看那边哪里?就最重要的问题建立民意模型的组合方法
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13360
Steven Jokinsky, Christine S. Lipsmeyer, Andrew Q. Philips, Laron K. Williams, Guy D. Whitten
ObjectiveThis study aims to test whether the American public is polarized and/or parallel in its assessments of the most important problem.MethodsWe use compositional time series models and new data on public opinion to test for differences between subgroups.ResultsWe find inconsistent evidence of polarization for some issue areas but not others and remarkably robust evidence of parallel reactions across subgroups to economic and international shocks.ConclusionThe U.S. public is remarkably consistent in terms of its assessments of the most important problem and in how subgroups shift their perceptions of issue importance in reaction to changing circumstances.
结果我们发现在某些问题领域存在两极分化的不一致证据,而在其他问题领域则没有,同时我们还发现了不同亚群对经济和国际冲击做出平行反应的非常有力的证据。结论美国公众对最重要问题的评估以及亚群如何根据不断变化的环境转变对问题重要性的看法都非常一致。
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引用次数: 0
The prosecutor gender gap in Texas death penalty cases 得克萨斯州死刑案件中检察官的性别差距
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13379
David Niven, Mallory Rock
We examine the degree to which sentencing patterns in Texas capital cases vary by the gender of the prosecutor. In so doing, we explore the possibility that a factor unrelated to the crime influences whether the death penalty is sought and whether it is imposed.
我们研究了得克萨斯州死刑案件的量刑模式因检察官性别而异的程度。在此过程中,我们探讨了一种可能性,即与犯罪无关的因素影响了是否寻求死刑以及是否判处死刑。
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引用次数: 0
Public opinion on reforming U.S. primaries 公众对美国初选改革的看法
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13370
Robert G. Boatright, Caroline J. Tolbert, Nathan K. Micatka
ObjectiveFew studies have measured public attitudes about reform proposals for changing direct primaries. Despite strong public support over the past century for holding primaries, does the public want to change the direct primary, given its very low voter turnout and its potential role in fostering political polarization?MethodUsing a unique nationally representative survey of 3000 U.S. adults conducted in March 2023 by YouGov, this study shows that a majority of Americans support reform of primary elections.ResultsThe reforms which receive the greatest support are those that seem more “democratic” such as establishing national congressional primary and holding open primaries. There is lower support for reforms that give political parties more control over selecting candidates, such as state party conventions. There are significant differences between Republicans, Democrats, and independents, while factors such as interest, education, gender, and race have a minimal impact. Individuals living in states with nonpartisan primaries are more favorable toward this specific reform, ranked‐choice voting, and open primaries, but primary type was not significant in regression models.ConclusionsThe public is opposed to reforms that give parties more say in choosing candidates, consistent with public sentiment a century earlier when the direct primary was adopted.
目的很少有研究衡量过公众对改变直接初选的改革提案的态度。尽管在过去的一个世纪中,公众对举行初选给予了强有力的支持,但鉴于直接初选的投票率非常低,而且有可能助长政治两极分化,那么公众是否希望改变直接初选呢?方法利用YouGov在2023年3月对3000名美国成年人进行的具有全国代表性的独特调查,本研究表明,大多数美国人支持初选改革。支持率较低的改革是让政党在选择候选人方面拥有更多控制权的改革,如州政党大会。共和党人、民主党人和无党派人士之间存在显著差异,而兴趣、教育、性别和种族等因素的影响则微乎其微。生活在无党派初选州的个人更倾向于这一特定改革、排序选择投票和公开初选,但初选类型在回归模型中并不显著。结论公众反对赋予政党在选择候选人方面更多发言权的改革,这与一个世纪前采用直接初选时的公众情绪一致。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of voter confusion in ranked choice voting 排序选择投票中选民混淆的影响
IF 1.9 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13366
Lonna Rae Atkeson, Eli McKown‐Dawson, Jack Santucci, Kyle L. Saunders
ObjectivesElection observers have expressed concerns about voter “confusion” under ranked choice voting (RCV) since the 1890s. What is the meaning of “confusing,” and how does it affect behavior? We argue (with much of the literature) that ranking candidates for public office is a cognitively complex task because of a lack of information.MethodsWe explore some observable implications of this perspective using exit poll data from the first RCV election in Santa Fe, New Mexico, in 2018.ResultsSixteen percent of voters reported having felt very (6 percent) or somewhat (10 percent) confused, and Hispanic voters were more likely to be confused than white voters. Confused voters report ranking fewer candidates, have lower confidence in ballot‐counting accuracy, and are less supportive of RCV than nonconfused voters.ConclusionsThese results raise questions about RCV's equity, participation costs for voters, ease of use, and longevity.
目标自19世纪90年代以来,选举观察员就对排序选择投票(RCV)下的选民 "混乱 "表示担忧。什么是 "混淆",它对行为有何影响?我们认为(与许多文献的观点一致),由于缺乏信息,公职候选人排名是一项认知复杂的任务。方法我们利用2018年新墨西哥州圣达菲首次RCV选举的出口民调数据,探讨了这一观点的一些可观察到的影响。结果16%的选民表示感到非常困惑(6%)或有些困惑(10%),西班牙裔选民比白人选民更容易感到困惑。与不感到困惑的选民相比,感到困惑的选民对候选人的排名较少,对选票计算准确性的信心较低,对 RCV 的支持度也较低。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Social Science Quarterly
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