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Tax reduction, wage bargaining, and income equality: Evidence from China's SMEs 减税、工资谈判与收入平等:来自中国中小企业的证据
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102645
Wenkai Sun , Wenjing Wang , Siyuan Tang , Zhong Zhao
As an important means for firms' burden-lightening and market stimulation, tax reduction is especially crucial for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). This paper examines the wage effects of firm-level tax reduction. Firms' effective tax burden reduction enhanced firm-level surplus as their profitability improved and financial constraints loosened, leading to employees' wages rising, and those having stronger bargaining power benefit more from tax reductions. The difference in substitution costs give high-income employees and employees in management and technical positions stronger bargaining power than others. Therefore, the impact of tax reduction on wages has a Matthew effect and tends to exacerbate inequalities within a firm.
减税作为企业减负、刺激市场的重要手段,对中小企业尤为重要。本文考察了企业层面减税对工资的影响。企业有效税负的减轻会使企业盈余增加,企业盈利能力提高,财务约束放松,导致员工工资上涨,议价能力强的企业从减税中获益更多。替代成本的差异使得高收入员工、管理和技术岗位员工的议价能力比其他员工强。因此,减税对工资的影响具有马太效应,并倾向于加剧企业内部的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Does high-speed rail development impact online healthcare demand? Evidence from a large medical platform in China 高铁发展会影响在线医疗需求吗?证据来自中国的一个大型医疗平台
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102644
Jiali Tang , Duo Xu , Hongqiao Fu
While the “death of distance” hypothesis predicts diminishing geographic frictions, offline connectivity continues to shape online transactions, as seen in e-commerce and online healthcare. This study exploits China's High-Speed Rail (HSR) introduction as a natural experiment to identify how improved physical accessibility affects the demand for online medical consultations. Using approximately 18 million consultation records from a major Chinese online healthcare platform and a difference-in-differences (DID) design, we find that the HSR introduction increases online consultation volume by 12.09 %. The effect is driven predominantly by cross-city consultations directed to online doctors based in provincial capitals and top medical hubs (e.g., Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou). The impact is particularly pronounced among younger patients, residents in the western region, and medical departments who are more likely to require subsequent in-person hospital visits. Our mechanism analysis shows that the HSR introduction stimulates offline appointment bookings via the platform, especially cross-city appointments and those following online medical consultations. This pattern is consistent with online-offline complementarity, whereby lower expected travel costs for in-person follow-ups encourage patients to initiate online medical consultations. These findings suggest that an integrated online-offline healthcare approach may be more effective than internet-centered solutions in addressing healthcare accessibility and inequality issues.
虽然“距离的消亡”假设预测地理摩擦将会减少,但离线连接将继续影响在线交易,就像电子商务和在线医疗保健中看到的那样。本研究利用中国高铁(HSR)的引入作为自然实验,以确定物理可达性的改善如何影响在线医疗咨询的需求。使用来自中国主要在线医疗保健平台的大约1800万份咨询记录和差异中的差异(DID)设计,我们发现高铁的引入使在线咨询量增加了12.09%。这种效果主要是由省会城市和顶级医疗中心(如北京、上海和广州)的在线医生进行的跨城市咨询所推动的。这种影响在年轻患者、西部地区居民和更可能需要随后亲自到医院就诊的医疗部门中尤为明显。我们的机制分析表明,高铁的引入刺激了通过平台进行的线下预约,特别是跨城市预约和在线医疗咨询后的预约。这种模式与线上线下互补性相一致,即面对面随访的预期旅行费用较低,鼓励患者开始在线医疗咨询。这些发现表明,在解决医疗保健可及性和不平等问题方面,线上线下综合医疗保健方法可能比以互联网为中心的解决方案更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Integration of medical care and elderly care: Chinese experience and outcomes of older adults 医疗与老年护理的整合:中国老年人的经验与结果
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102641
Chunfeng Zhang , Xiaoyan Lei , Yutong Chen
Separated supply of medical and elderly care in China have been worrying issues especially in the aging era as medical needs and elderly care needs often interplay with each other among aged people. Utilizing panel data from CLHLS and a difference-in-differences identification strategy, this article examines China's 2016 nationwide pilot on integration of medical care and elderly care (IMEC) at city level. Results reveal that medical and elderly care integration significantly decreases one-year mortality of the elderly people. Further mechanism analysis shows that the IMEC policy likely benefits older adults through enhanced health outcomes, and extended delivery of medical care and elderly care. Our study emphasizes the critical importance of the integration of medical and elderly care for addressing the multifaceted needs of the aging population, providing a foundation for informed policy decisions and future interventions.
医疗和养老分开供应在中国一直是令人担忧的问题,特别是在老龄化时代,因为老年人的医疗需求和养老需求经常相互影响。本文利用CLHLS的面板数据和差异中的差异识别策略,对中国2016年全国城市层面的医疗和养老一体化试点进行了研究。结果显示,医养结合显著降低老年人一年死亡率。进一步的机制分析表明,IMEC政策可能通过改善健康结果、延长医疗服务和老年人护理的提供,使老年人受益。我们的研究强调了医疗和老年护理的整合对于解决老龄化人口的多方面需求至关重要,为明智的政策决策和未来的干预提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects of fertility on married women's employment: Evidence from China 生育率对已婚妇女就业的溢出效应:来自中国的证据
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102640
Chang Hong Li , Min Qiang Zhao
This paper investigates the spillover effects of fertility policy on employment, a largely unexplored area in the literature. Using China's 2013 selective two-child policy as a quasi-natural experiment and a difference-in-differences approach with census data, we find that the policy significantly increased the employment probability of all women, not just those directly eligible. This employment effect was stronger in regions with a higher proportion of eligible couples. Furthermore, the positive employment impact extended to unmarried women and men. We identify two key mechanisms: (1) an employment spillover, where the policy-induced increase in births spurred net entry of firms in fertility-related sectors, and (2) a fertility spillover, where peer effects appeared to amplify the initial birth shock among the broader population. Our findings demonstrate that fertility policies can have substantial indirect effects on the broader labor market, moving beyond the traditionally studied direct impact on mothers.
本文研究了生育政策对就业的溢出效应,这是文献中一个很大程度上未被探索的领域。我们将2013年中国的选择性二孩政策作为准自然实验,并结合人口普查数据,采用差异中的差异方法,发现该政策显著提高了所有女性的就业概率,而不仅仅是那些直接符合条件的女性。在符合条件的夫妻比例较高的地区,这种就业效应更强。此外,积极的就业影响扩大到未婚男女。我们确定了两个关键机制:(1)就业溢出效应,即政策导致的出生率增加刺激了与生育相关部门的企业净进入;(2)生育溢出效应,即同伴效应似乎放大了更广泛人口中最初的生育冲击。我们的研究结果表明,生育政策可以对更广泛的劳动力市场产生实质性的间接影响,超越传统研究对母亲的直接影响。
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引用次数: 0
The lifespan of small and medium-sized enterprises in China: Stylized facts and influencing factors 中国中小企业的寿命:程式化事实与影响因素
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102637
Songrui Liu , Xiaokun Yu , Wenkang Zhang , Zhongwen Zhang
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are crucial to China's economic development and the lifespan of SMEs matters both for entrepreneurs and policy makers. The Business Registry Database (BRD), China's most comprehensive firm-level administrative dataset, offers unique opportunities for analysis but lacks variables required by the official SME definition. We address this gap by introducing a new classification standard based on registered capital, setting the SME threshold at less than 32 million yuan—the first such approach in the literature. Using this definition, we examine firms registered between 2001 and 2013 and estimate SME's lifespan via the Kaplan–Meier method. Median lifespan is 10.67 years across all SMEs and 5.03 years among exited firms, providing the first large-scale benchmark for China. We then provide a comprehensive analysis of both regional and firm-level determinants of SME exit. Favorable regional environments significantly reduce exit risks, while firm-level characteristics—particularly smaller scale and state ownership—remain key sources of vulnerability. Our findings underscore the importance of both institutional and structural conditions in shaping firm survival. By establishing a workable SME definition for the BRD and identifying key regional and firm-level drivers of exit, this study provides a new empirical basis for research on China's private sector dynamics. Policy implications point to the need for a balanced approach: while market forces can spur competition, regional development policies and institutional support are critical for sustaining SME growth and longevity.
中小企业对中国的经济发展至关重要,中小企业的寿命对企业家和政策制定者都至关重要。商业登记数据库(BRD)是中国最全面的企业管理数据集,为分析提供了独特的机会,但缺乏官方中小企业定义所需的变量。为了解决这一差距,我们引入了一种新的基于注册资本的分类标准,将中小企业的门槛设定在3200万元以下,这是文献中首次采用这种方法。利用这一定义,我们研究了2001年至2013年间注册的公司,并通过Kaplan-Meier方法估计了中小企业的寿命。所有中小企业的平均寿命为10.67年,退出企业的平均寿命为5.03年,这为中国提供了第一个大规模的基准。然后,我们对中小企业退出的区域和企业层面的决定因素进行了全面分析。有利的区域环境显著降低了退出风险,而企业层面的特点——尤其是规模较小和国有企业——仍然是脆弱性的主要来源。我们的研究结果强调了制度和结构条件对塑造企业生存的重要性。通过为BRD建立一个可行的中小企业定义,并确定关键的区域和企业层面的退出驱动因素,本研究为中国私营部门动态研究提供了新的实证基础。政策影响表明需要采取一种平衡的办法:虽然市场力量可以刺激竞争,但区域发展政策和体制支持对于维持中小企业的增长和寿命至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The dark side of capital flexibility: Subscribed capital system reform and creditor interests in China 资本弹性的阴暗面:中国认缴资本制度改革与债权人利益
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102635
Weidi Chai , Chunyu Zhang , Yongmei Cui , Xiaohong Ma
In 2024, China's Company Law reinstated stricter paid-in capital rules, reversing the 2013 shift to a subscribed capital system. This study investigates the real economic consequences of the 2013 subscribed capital system on corporate creditors in China. Using a comprehensive panel dataset of A-share-listed firms from 2010 to 2023 and a difference-in-differences (DID) empirical strategy, we find robust evidence that the subscribed capital system significantly weakens creditors' interests. We identify three key channels: weakened creditor protection, deteriorated corporate governance, and distorted capital allocation. The adverse effects are more pronounced in non-state-owned firms, short-term-oriented management, firms with weak banking relationships, and enterprises located in regions with higher government intervention and lower levels of informatization. Furthermore, we provide novel empirical evidence that the subscribed capital system exacerbates over-indebtedness and impairs innovation output, suggesting broader implications for economic dynamism and financial stability.
2024年,中国的《公司法》恢复了更严格的实收资本规定,扭转了2013年向认缴资本制度的转变。本研究考察了2013年认缴资本制度对中国企业债权人的实际经济后果。利用2010 - 2023年a股上市公司的综合面板数据集和差异中的差异(DID)实证策略,我们发现了强有力的证据,证明认缴资本制度显著削弱了债权人的利益。我们发现了三个关键渠道:债权人保护减弱、公司治理恶化和资本配置扭曲。这种不利影响在非国有企业、短期导向管理、银行关系薄弱的企业以及政府干预程度较高、信息化程度较低的地区的企业中更为明显。此外,我们还提供了新的经验证据,表明认缴资本制度加剧了过度负债并损害了创新产出,这表明对经济活力和金融稳定有更广泛的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Action beyond the sky high: Capital structure adjustment speed of Chinese space firms 腾云驾雾:中国航天企业资本结构调整速度
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102634
Fei Guo , Lei Xu , Bin Li , Jiawei Sun , Zixuan Dai
Space competition has been escalating in recent decades. The 2015 commercialization of Chinese space sector provides a quasi-natural experiment. We establish a positive link between commercialization and capital structure adjustment speed of space firms, especially when their capital structures are below target levels. Such a link is more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), firms in regions of stronger intellectual property protection or better financial inclusion. Improved access to financial resources at lower cost, public scrutiny, and internal motivation underlie the impact. Furthermore, space commercialization enhances firms' innovation performance and total factor productivity (TFP) by accelerating their capital structure adjustment, thereby promoting the development of the real economy. This study may enrich discussion over commercialization of the space sector and effectiveness of China's market economy.
近几十年来,太空竞争不断升级。2015年中国航天领域的商业化提供了一个准自然的实验。我们建立了商业化与航天企业资本结构调整速度之间的正相关关系,特别是当其资本结构低于目标水平时。这种联系在非国有企业(non-国企)中更为明显,这些企业位于知识产权保护力度更强或金融包容性更好的地区。改善以较低成本获得财政资源的途径、公众监督和内部动机是影响的基础。空间商业化通过加速企业资本结构调整,提高了企业的创新绩效和全要素生产率,从而促进实体经济的发展。这项研究可以丰富对航天部门商业化和中国市场经济有效性的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Targeting mental wellness: Does China's multifaceted poverty alleviation policy bear fruit? 关注心理健康:中国多方面的扶贫政策有成效吗?
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102633
Dezhuang Hu , Tang Li
This study examines the determinants of mental health among impoverished individuals through the lens of China's Targeted Poverty Alleviation (TPA) policy, a government-led, nationwide, precisely targeted, multifaceted anti-poverty initiative. By employing a methodology of difference-in-differences and utilizing nationally representative data from the China Family Panel Studies, we find that the TPA policy significantly improves mental health among targeted populations. The results remain robust across various robustness checks, underscoring the reliability of our estimates. Heterogeneous analysis indicates that the effects of the TPA policy are particularly substantial for more vulnerable groups, including women, younger individuals, those with lower education levels, and those living in rural regions. Increased labor force participation, augmented household income and expenditure, improved access to healthcare and education, narrowed income disparities, promoted social mobility, and enhanced confidence and trust are found to be the underlying mechanisms. A back-of-the-envelope cost–benefit analysis indicates that the TPA's return on investment from mental health improvements alone is about 5.76 RMB gained per 1 RMB.
本研究通过中国的精准扶贫(TPA)政策(一项政府主导的、全国性的、精准的、多方面的反贫困举措)来考察贫困人群心理健康的决定因素。通过采用差异中的差异方法并利用来自中国家庭小组研究的具有全国代表性的数据,我们发现TPA政策显著改善了目标人群的心理健康状况。结果在各种稳健性检查中保持稳健性,强调了我们估计的可靠性。异质性分析表明,贸易促进权政策对弱势群体的影响尤其显著,包括妇女、年轻人、受教育程度较低的人以及生活在农村地区的人。增加劳动力参与率、增加家庭收入和支出、改善获得医疗保健和教育的机会、缩小收入差距、促进社会流动性以及增强信心和信任是基本机制。一项简单的成本效益分析表明,TPA在改善心理健康方面的投资回报率约为5.76元/ 1元。
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引用次数: 0
Bankruptcy resolution and corporate debt maturity 破产决议和公司债务到期
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102636
Zijun Cheng , Jiayin Hu , Michael Beichen Huang , Shijie Zhao
We construct a comprehensive bankruptcy database of Chinese firms using a novel data source of judgment files. Concomitant with a new theoretical framework that explicitly differentiates between bankruptcy resolution and other debt enforcement proceedings, we show that improved bankruptcy efficiency benefits long-term creditors by mitigating dilution risks. Empirically, the long-term debt ratio of Chinese firms increases by 16% after the establishment of bankruptcy tribunals. Mechanism tests confirm an increase in bankruptcy filings, a reduction in other debt enforcement proceedings, a higher ratio of asset preservation, and an increased supply of long-term credit from local banks. These shifts in debt maturity structure are associated with enhanced firm investment and increased labor demand. We shed new light on bankruptcy resolution as a previously underappreciated institutional channel through which legal frameworks influence creditor coordination and debt maturity structure.
本文采用一种新颖的判决书数据来源,构建了一个综合性的中国企业破产数据库。结合一个明确区分破产决议和其他债务强制执行程序的新理论框架,我们表明,破产效率的提高通过减轻稀释风险使长期债权人受益。经验表明,破产法庭设立后,中国企业的长期负债率上升了16%。机制测试证实,破产申请增加,其他债务强制执行程序减少,资产保全比例提高,当地银行长期信贷供应增加。这些债务期限结构的变化与企业投资的增加和劳动力需求的增加有关。我们对破产决议这一此前未得到充分重视的制度渠道进行了新的阐释,法律框架通过这一渠道影响债权人协调和债务期限结构。
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引用次数: 0
Judicial fairness perception and corporate innovation: Evidence from entrepreneur survey in China 司法公正感知与企业创新:来自中国企业家调查的证据
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102597
Jingyuan Qiao , Kai Wu , Donghui Li
This study examines the impact of judicial fairness perception on corporate innovation among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in China, utilizing data from the 2018 Enterprise Survey for Innovation and Entrepreneurship (ESIEC). Our findings reveal a robust positive relationship between higher levels of judicial fairness perception and increased innovation activities within SMEs. Notably, this effect is more pronounced in enterprises led by less-educated entrepreneurs, located in regions with weaker intellectual property protection, or with lower reliance on government support. We identify improved contract enforcement, enhanced policy effectiveness, and increased innovation investment as key mechanisms driving this relationship. These results suggest that judicial reforms to increase fairness can significantly foster innovation, particularly in resource-constrained SMEs in emerging economies.
本研究利用2018年企业创新与创业调查(ESIEC)的数据,考察了中国中小企业对司法公平认知对企业创新的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在中小企业中,更高水平的司法公平感知与增加的创新活动之间存在着强有力的正相关关系。值得注意的是,这种影响在受教育程度较低的企业家领导的企业中更为明显,这些企业位于知识产权保护较弱的地区,或者对政府支持的依赖程度较低。我们认为,改善合同执行、提高政策有效性和增加创新投资是推动这种关系的关键机制。这些结果表明,提高公平的司法改革可以显著促进创新,特别是在新兴经济体中资源受限的中小企业。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
中国经济评论
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