首页 > 最新文献

International Studies Quarterly最新文献

英文 中文
“Peacekeeping Proneness”: Which Type of International System Is Most Likely to Enhance the Supply of Peacekeepers?
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae151
Philip Cunliffe
s The Russian invasion of Ukraine has escalated geopolitical rivalry and debate about the demise of the liberal international order and the changing distribution of power within the international system. Peacekeeping has been a key component of the liberal international order at least since the end of the Cold War, if not before. Peacekeeping boomed in the era of US unipolarity, with twenty new United Nations (UN) operations alone launched between 1989 and 1994. At the time of writing, c. 60,000 blue helmets are deployed around the world, and a peacekeeping operation is being mooted for postwar Gaza. Given the growing geopolitical rivalry between East and West, a relative erosion of US power, and much talk of a new age of multipolarity, where does this leave peace operations and peacekeeping? This paper explores the impact of different distributions of power in the international system (namely, multipolarity, bipolarity, and unipolarity) on peace operations. The paper goes through relevant military interventions beginning with the post-1815 Congress system and reaching up to the present day. The paper shows that a multipolar distribution of power is most propitious for the global deployment of peacekeepers, and suggests that peace operations may in future express international cooperation more than unipolar power.
{"title":"“Peacekeeping Proneness”: Which Type of International System Is Most Likely to Enhance the Supply of Peacekeepers?","authors":"Philip Cunliffe","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae151","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae151","url":null,"abstract":"s The Russian invasion of Ukraine has escalated geopolitical rivalry and debate about the demise of the liberal international order and the changing distribution of power within the international system. Peacekeeping has been a key component of the liberal international order at least since the end of the Cold War, if not before. Peacekeeping boomed in the era of US unipolarity, with twenty new United Nations (UN) operations alone launched between 1989 and 1994. At the time of writing, c. 60,000 blue helmets are deployed around the world, and a peacekeeping operation is being mooted for postwar Gaza. Given the growing geopolitical rivalry between East and West, a relative erosion of US power, and much talk of a new age of multipolarity, where does this leave peace operations and peacekeeping? This paper explores the impact of different distributions of power in the international system (namely, multipolarity, bipolarity, and unipolarity) on peace operations. The paper goes through relevant military interventions beginning with the post-1815 Congress system and reaching up to the present day. The paper shows that a multipolar distribution of power is most propitious for the global deployment of peacekeepers, and suggests that peace operations may in future express international cooperation more than unipolar power.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"549 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143083694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Entangled Narratives: Insights from Social and Computer Sciences on National Artificial Intelligence Infrastructures
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf001
J P Singh, Amarda Shehu, Manpriya Dua, Caroline Wesson
How do countries narrate their values and priorities in artificial intelligence infrastructures in comparative national and global contexts? This paper analyzes the policies governing national and regional artificial intelligence infrastructures to advance an understanding of “entangled narratives” in global affairs. It does so by utilizing artificial intelligence techniques that assist with generalizability and model building without sacrificing granularity. In particular, the machine learning and natural language processing big data models used alongside some process-tracing demonstrate the ways artificial intelligence infrastructural plans diverge, cluster, and transform along several topical dimensions in comparative contexts. The paper's entangled narrative approach adds to international relations (IR) theorizing about infrastructural narratives and technological diffusion. We provide patterned and granular results at various levels, which challenge and refine existing theories that attribute differences in infrastructures and technological adoption to geopolitical competition and imitation, top-down or linear international diffusion effects, and differences in political systems.
{"title":"Entangled Narratives: Insights from Social and Computer Sciences on National Artificial Intelligence Infrastructures","authors":"J P Singh, Amarda Shehu, Manpriya Dua, Caroline Wesson","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqaf001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqaf001","url":null,"abstract":"How do countries narrate their values and priorities in artificial intelligence infrastructures in comparative national and global contexts? This paper analyzes the policies governing national and regional artificial intelligence infrastructures to advance an understanding of “entangled narratives” in global affairs. It does so by utilizing artificial intelligence techniques that assist with generalizability and model building without sacrificing granularity. In particular, the machine learning and natural language processing big data models used alongside some process-tracing demonstrate the ways artificial intelligence infrastructural plans diverge, cluster, and transform along several topical dimensions in comparative contexts. The paper's entangled narrative approach adds to international relations (IR) theorizing about infrastructural narratives and technological diffusion. We provide patterned and granular results at various levels, which challenge and refine existing theories that attribute differences in infrastructures and technological adoption to geopolitical competition and imitation, top-down or linear international diffusion effects, and differences in political systems.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143077486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Who Reviews Whom, Where, and Why? Evidence from the Peer Review Process of the OECD Development Assistance Committee 谁审查谁,在哪里审查,为什么审查?来自经合组织发展援助委员会同行评审程序的证据
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae138
Alice Iannantuoni, Simone Dietrich, Bernhard Reinsberg
The study of international organizations’ (IOs) peer review systems has focused largely on their efficacy in disseminating best practices, with mixed results. This paper informs the debate from a new angle: We evaluate the extent to which decisions about who reviews whom and where result from bureaucratic guidelines, or whether these decisions are shaped by the particularistic interests of member states that would need to be considered in efficacy evaluations of peer reviews. Our empirical case is the OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) which requires that DAC donors have their practices reviewed by two peer examiners every few years. Using quantitative and qualitative methods, we study (i) the assignment of peer examiners (1962–2020) and (ii) the selection of recipient countries visited for in-depth assessment during the review (1994–2020). Our analyses show that the choice of peer examiners is driven by the IO’s bureaucratic process. The selection of recipient countries for field visits is also largely in line with Secretariat guidelines, with some room for the preferences of reviewed donors to play a role.
对国际组织(IOs)同行评审制度的研究主要集中于其在传播最佳做法方面的功效,结果喜忧参半。本文从一个新的角度为这场辩论提供了信息:我们评估了关于谁审查谁、在哪里审查谁的决定在多大程度上是官僚主义指导方针的结果,或者说,这些决定是否是由成员国的特殊利益所决定的,而成员国的特殊利益在同行评审的效果评估中是需要考虑的。我们的实证案例是经合组织发展援助委员会(发援会),该委员会要求发援会捐助国每隔几年由两名同行审查员对其做法进行审查。利用定量和定性方法,我们研究了(i) 同行审查员的指派(1962-2020 年)和(ii) 审查期间深入评估受援国的选择(1994-2020 年)。我们的分析表明,同行审查员的选择受国际组织官僚程序的驱动。实地考察受援国的选择在很大程度上也是按照秘书处的指导方针进行的,接受审查的捐 助方的偏好在一定程度上发挥了作用。
{"title":"Who Reviews Whom, Where, and Why? Evidence from the Peer Review Process of the OECD Development Assistance Committee","authors":"Alice Iannantuoni, Simone Dietrich, Bernhard Reinsberg","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae138","url":null,"abstract":"The study of international organizations’ (IOs) peer review systems has focused largely on their efficacy in disseminating best practices, with mixed results. This paper informs the debate from a new angle: We evaluate the extent to which decisions about who reviews whom and where result from bureaucratic guidelines, or whether these decisions are shaped by the particularistic interests of member states that would need to be considered in efficacy evaluations of peer reviews. Our empirical case is the OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) which requires that DAC donors have their practices reviewed by two peer examiners every few years. Using quantitative and qualitative methods, we study (i) the assignment of peer examiners (1962–2020) and (ii) the selection of recipient countries visited for in-depth assessment during the review (1994–2020). Our analyses show that the choice of peer examiners is driven by the IO’s bureaucratic process. The selection of recipient countries for field visits is also largely in line with Secretariat guidelines, with some room for the preferences of reviewed donors to play a role.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142974723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can States Be Interviewed? 国家可以接受采访吗?
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae153
Tadek Markiewicz
s While states are not human beings, they are institutionalized social groups. It is humans who constitute and run them. Consequently, it is argued that countries can be interviewed. This claim is based on in-depth interviews with seventy Israeli and British officials, which “captured” states’ anxiety. In ontological security studies, countries’ anxieties are typically inferred from historical and narrative analysis. The article lays another path to establish that states are anxious. Despite the increasing acknowledgement of the “emotional turn” in international relations, there is a notable lack of methodological focus on how emotions impact statecraft. This study bridges the gap by showing how interviewing can investigate the internal lives of states. The research also addresses critiques of ontological security studies, namely the challenge of applying an individual-level concept to state behavior and empirically validating its relevance in statecraft. It traced how officials’ anxiety about their country’s policies “scales up” to the state level. The rich evidence—coming from country officials themselves—affirmed ontological security’s capacity to explain state behavior and underscored the importance of integrating political psychology into international relations research. Moreover, it is the first study to use elite interviews to investigate whether countries experience ontological insecurity.
虽然国家不是人类,但它们是制度化的社会群体。构成和运行它们的是人类。因此,有人认为可以对国家进行面谈。这一说法是基于对70名以色列和英国官员的深入采访,这些采访“捕捉到了”各国的焦虑。在本体论安全研究中,国家的焦虑通常是从历史和叙事分析中推断出来的。这篇文章开辟了另一条途径来证明各州的焦虑。尽管越来越多的人认识到国际关系中的“情感转向”,但明显缺乏对情感如何影响治国方略的方法论关注。这项研究通过展示访谈如何调查国家内部生活来弥合这一差距。本研究还讨论了对本体论安全研究的批评,即将个人层面的概念应用于国家行为并从经验上验证其与治国之道的相关性的挑战。它追踪了官员对国家政策的焦虑是如何“扩大”到州一级的。来自国家官员自己的丰富证据肯定了本体论安全解释国家行为的能力,并强调了将政治心理学纳入国际关系研究的重要性。此外,这是第一个使用精英访谈来调查国家是否经历本体论不安全感的研究。
{"title":"Can States Be Interviewed?","authors":"Tadek Markiewicz","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae153","url":null,"abstract":"s While states are not human beings, they are institutionalized social groups. It is humans who constitute and run them. Consequently, it is argued that countries can be interviewed. This claim is based on in-depth interviews with seventy Israeli and British officials, which “captured” states’ anxiety. In ontological security studies, countries’ anxieties are typically inferred from historical and narrative analysis. The article lays another path to establish that states are anxious. Despite the increasing acknowledgement of the “emotional turn” in international relations, there is a notable lack of methodological focus on how emotions impact statecraft. This study bridges the gap by showing how interviewing can investigate the internal lives of states. The research also addresses critiques of ontological security studies, namely the challenge of applying an individual-level concept to state behavior and empirically validating its relevance in statecraft. It traced how officials’ anxiety about their country’s policies “scales up” to the state level. The rich evidence—coming from country officials themselves—affirmed ontological security’s capacity to explain state behavior and underscored the importance of integrating political psychology into international relations research. Moreover, it is the first study to use elite interviews to investigate whether countries experience ontological insecurity.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"393 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142924994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Design of Autocratic Trade Agreements: Economic Integration and Political Survival 专制贸易协定的设计:经济一体化与政治生存
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae152
Evgeny Postnikov, Jonas Gamso
s The number of preferential trade agreements signed among non-democratic states (autocratic PTAs) has grown significantly over the last decades. Trade policy scholarship remains silent on the institutional design of these autocratic economic arrangements. In this paper, we explore the core institutional characteristic of autocratic PTAs—their depth. It has been shown that many North–South and, increasingly, South–South PTAs tend to be deep, yet the depth of PTAs comprised of autocratic members remains puzzling, as government elites are faced with competing pressures for economic integration and political survival. We argue that autocratic PTAs tend to have considerable depth when it comes to the coverage of certain trade-plus issues, such as investment and trade-in services, due to the desire of government elites to attract trade and investment and enhance the ruling regime's legitimacy and political survival. However, dispute settlement provisions that could breach domestic political autonomy are carefully eschewed. We also expect to see higher levels of agreement flexibility in deep autocratic PTAs, reflecting autocrats’ dual interests in economic openness and political control. We test these expectations using data from the Design of Trade Agreements Database and we carry out interviews with trade officials to clarify the mechanisms at work.
在过去的几十年里,非民主国家之间签订的优惠贸易协定(专制的贸易协定)数量显著增长。贸易政策学者对这些专制经济安排的制度设计保持沉默。本文探讨了专制型行政机关的核心制度特征——其深度。研究表明,许多南北和越来越多的南南自由贸易协定往往是深入的,但由专制成员组成的自由贸易协定的深度仍然令人费解,因为政府精英面临着经济一体化和政治生存的竞争压力。我们认为,由于政府精英希望吸引贸易和投资,提高执政政权的合法性和政治生存,专制的贸易协定在涉及某些贸易+问题(如投资和服务贸易)时往往具有相当的深度。然而,可能破坏国内政治自主权的争端解决条款被小心翼翼地避开了。我们还期望在专制程度较高的自由贸易协定中看到更高水平的协议灵活性,这反映了独裁者在经济开放和政治控制方面的双重利益。我们使用贸易协定设计数据库中的数据对这些预期进行了检验,并对贸易官员进行了访谈,以阐明起作用的机制。
{"title":"The Design of Autocratic Trade Agreements: Economic Integration and Political Survival","authors":"Evgeny Postnikov, Jonas Gamso","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae152","url":null,"abstract":"s The number of preferential trade agreements signed among non-democratic states (autocratic PTAs) has grown significantly over the last decades. Trade policy scholarship remains silent on the institutional design of these autocratic economic arrangements. In this paper, we explore the core institutional characteristic of autocratic PTAs—their depth. It has been shown that many North–South and, increasingly, South–South PTAs tend to be deep, yet the depth of PTAs comprised of autocratic members remains puzzling, as government elites are faced with competing pressures for economic integration and political survival. We argue that autocratic PTAs tend to have considerable depth when it comes to the coverage of certain trade-plus issues, such as investment and trade-in services, due to the desire of government elites to attract trade and investment and enhance the ruling regime's legitimacy and political survival. However, dispute settlement provisions that could breach domestic political autonomy are carefully eschewed. We also expect to see higher levels of agreement flexibility in deep autocratic PTAs, reflecting autocrats’ dual interests in economic openness and political control. We test these expectations using data from the Design of Trade Agreements Database and we carry out interviews with trade officials to clarify the mechanisms at work.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142887390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Moving the Needle: Recommendation Precision and Compliance with Women’s Rights Recommendations 移动指针:建议的精确性和对妇女权利建议的遵守
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae155
Jillienne Haglund, Courtney Hillebrecht
s International human rights institutions impose obligations on their member states that extend long past the ratification stage. Each year, states receive tens, or even hundreds, of recommendations from international human rights bodies. These recommendations demand that states change their human rights policies and practices. While recent scholarship has emphasized the important role of domestic institutions and civil society actors in facilitating compliance with these recommendations, comparatively little research examines how the quality of the recommendations themselves affects compliance outcomes. Using two novel datasets, this paper sets out to understand the nexus between recommendation quality and compliance. Our research suggests that highly precise recommendations move the needle away from inaction on international human rights institutions’ rulings and recommendations but make full compliance more difficult. This paper advances the existing literature on the dynamics of compliance and places some of the responsibility for compliance on the international human rights institutions themselves.
国际人权机构对其成员国施加的义务远远超过了批准阶段。每年,各国都会收到国际人权机构提出的数十项甚至数百项建议。这些建议要求各国改变其人权政策和做法。虽然最近的学术研究强调了国内机构和民间社会行为者在促进遵守这些建议方面的重要作用,但相对较少的研究审查了建议本身的质量如何影响遵守结果。使用两个新的数据集,本文开始理解推荐质量和依从性之间的关系。我们的研究表明,高度精确的建议使人们不再对国际人权机构的裁决和建议不作为,但却使完全遵守更加困难。本文推进了关于遵守动态的现有文献,并将遵守的一些责任推给了国际人权机构本身。
{"title":"Moving the Needle: Recommendation Precision and Compliance with Women’s Rights Recommendations","authors":"Jillienne Haglund, Courtney Hillebrecht","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae155","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae155","url":null,"abstract":"s International human rights institutions impose obligations on their member states that extend long past the ratification stage. Each year, states receive tens, or even hundreds, of recommendations from international human rights bodies. These recommendations demand that states change their human rights policies and practices. While recent scholarship has emphasized the important role of domestic institutions and civil society actors in facilitating compliance with these recommendations, comparatively little research examines how the quality of the recommendations themselves affects compliance outcomes. Using two novel datasets, this paper sets out to understand the nexus between recommendation quality and compliance. Our research suggests that highly precise recommendations move the needle away from inaction on international human rights institutions’ rulings and recommendations but make full compliance more difficult. This paper advances the existing literature on the dynamics of compliance and places some of the responsibility for compliance on the international human rights institutions themselves.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"164 9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142887388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does Public Opinion on Foreign Policy Affect Elite Preferences? Evidence from the 2022 US Sanctions against Russia 外交政策的民意会影响精英的偏好吗?来自2022年美国对俄罗斯制裁的证据
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae145
Anton Peez, Felix S Bethke
Does public opinion on international affairs affect elites’ policy preferences? Most research assumes that it does, but this key assumption is difficult to test empirically given limited research access to elite decision-makers. We examine elite responsiveness to public opinion on sanctioning Russia during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. We fielded a preregistered experiment within the 2022 TRIP survey of US foreign policy practitioners, offering a rare opportunity for a fairly large elite survey experiment ($N = 253$). We used contemporary public polling highly supportive of increasing sanctions as an information treatment. Our research design, involving a salient issue and real-world treatment, substantially expands on previous work. Exposure to the treatment raises elite support for increasing sanctions from 68.0 percent to 76.3 percent (+8.3 pp.). While meaningful, this effect is smaller than those identified elsewhere. We argue that this difference is driven by pretreatment dynamics related to issue salience and ceiling effects and is therefore all the more notable. We provide evidence for substantial treatment effect heterogeneity depending on subject-matter expertise, degree of involvement in political decision-making, and gender, but not party identification. While our results support previous research, they highlight issues of external validity and the context-dependence of elite responsiveness.
国际事务上的民意会影响精英们的政策偏好吗?大多数研究都认为是这样的,但由于对精英决策者的研究渠道有限,这个关键假设很难进行实证检验。我们考察了精英阶层对2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰期间制裁俄罗斯的公众舆论的反应。我们在2022年美国外交政策从业者的TRIP调查中进行了预注册实验,为相当大的精英调查实验提供了难得的机会(N = 253美元)。我们使用了高度支持增加制裁的当代公众投票作为信息处理。我们的研究设计,涉及一个突出的问题和现实世界的治疗,大大扩展了以前的工作。暴露在这种治疗中,精英们对增加制裁的支持从68.0%增加到76.3%(+8.3页)。虽然有意义,但这种影响比其他地方发现的要小。我们认为,这种差异是由与问题显著性和天花板效应相关的预处理动态驱动的,因此更加值得注意。我们提供的证据表明,实质性的治疗效果异质性取决于受试者的专业知识、参与政治决策的程度和性别,而不是政党认同。虽然我们的结果支持以前的研究,但他们强调了外部效度和精英反应的上下文依赖性问题。
{"title":"Does Public Opinion on Foreign Policy Affect Elite Preferences? Evidence from the 2022 US Sanctions against Russia","authors":"Anton Peez, Felix S Bethke","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae145","url":null,"abstract":"Does public opinion on international affairs affect elites’ policy preferences? Most research assumes that it does, but this key assumption is difficult to test empirically given limited research access to elite decision-makers. We examine elite responsiveness to public opinion on sanctioning Russia during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. We fielded a preregistered experiment within the 2022 TRIP survey of US foreign policy practitioners, offering a rare opportunity for a fairly large elite survey experiment ($N = 253$). We used contemporary public polling highly supportive of increasing sanctions as an information treatment. Our research design, involving a salient issue and real-world treatment, substantially expands on previous work. Exposure to the treatment raises elite support for increasing sanctions from 68.0 percent to 76.3 percent (+8.3 pp.). While meaningful, this effect is smaller than those identified elsewhere. We argue that this difference is driven by pretreatment dynamics related to issue salience and ceiling effects and is therefore all the more notable. We provide evidence for substantial treatment effect heterogeneity depending on subject-matter expertise, degree of involvement in political decision-making, and gender, but not party identification. While our results support previous research, they highlight issues of external validity and the context-dependence of elite responsiveness.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effect of International Actors on Public Support for Government Spending Decisions 国际行为体对公众支持政府支出决策的影响
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae150
Pablo M Pinto, Stephanie J Rickard, James Raymond Vreeland
Does the intervention of an international organization in domestic politics render policy change more popular? While voters may ultimately care only about policy outcomes, the involvement of international actors often seems to lead to resentment. Still, citizens may have greater faith in the wisdom of international actors than in their own government. As others have argued, a well-respected international actor might provide a cue, especially for voters considering controversial policies like spending cuts. We test this argument in a novel pre–post experimental panel study conducted in Spain. We find that citizens become less opposed to unpopular spending cuts when informed that they are required by an international institution. The effects differ, however, across the two organizations that we test: They are stronger for the European Union than for the International Monetary Fund. Our findings lend support to studies arguing that the endorsement of specific international organizations can help push through otherwise unpopular policies.
国际组织对国内政治的干预是否使政策改变更受欢迎?虽然选民最终可能只关心政策结果,但国际行动者的参与似乎往往会引发怨恨。尽管如此,与他们自己的政府相比,公民可能更相信国际行动者的智慧。正如其他人所说,一位备受尊敬的国际演员可能会提供一个线索,尤其是对那些考虑削减开支等有争议政策的选民。我们在西班牙进行的一项新颖的实验前后小组研究中检验了这一论点。我们发现,当被告知国际机构要求削减开支时,公民对不受欢迎的削减开支的反对程度会降低。然而,在我们测试的两个组织中,影响有所不同:对欧盟的影响比对国际货币基金组织的影响更大。我们的发现为一些研究提供了支持,这些研究认为,对特定国际组织的认可可以帮助推行原本不受欢迎的政策。
{"title":"The Effect of International Actors on Public Support for Government Spending Decisions","authors":"Pablo M Pinto, Stephanie J Rickard, James Raymond Vreeland","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae150","url":null,"abstract":"Does the intervention of an international organization in domestic politics render policy change more popular? While voters may ultimately care only about policy outcomes, the involvement of international actors often seems to lead to resentment. Still, citizens may have greater faith in the wisdom of international actors than in their own government. As others have argued, a well-respected international actor might provide a cue, especially for voters considering controversial policies like spending cuts. We test this argument in a novel pre–post experimental panel study conducted in Spain. We find that citizens become less opposed to unpopular spending cuts when informed that they are required by an international institution. The effects differ, however, across the two organizations that we test: They are stronger for the European Union than for the International Monetary Fund. Our findings lend support to studies arguing that the endorsement of specific international organizations can help push through otherwise unpopular policies.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142841971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Insuring the Weak: The Institutional Power Equilibrium in International Organizations 保障弱者:国际组织中的制度性权力均衡
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae146
Benjamin Daßler, Tim Heinkelmann-Wild, Martijn Huysmans
Materially powerful states tend to dominate both the creation of international organizations (IOs) as well as subsequent IO policymaking. Materially weak states are nevertheless expected to participate in IOs since it is generally assumed that they will still profit from cooperation and prefer power to be exercised through institutions. Yet, we know surprisingly little about how exactly institutional rules protect weak states from the powerful in IOs. This paper develops a theory of institutional design that specifies the institutional power equilibrium at the heart of IOs’ constitutional treaties. Through the inclusion of veto or exit rights, weak states obtain formal safeguards against exploitation by the powerful during an IO’s operation. This expectation of a power equilibrium in IOs’ design is borne out in design patterns within the constitutional treaties of IOs created between 1945 and 2005. Our results indicate that the distribution of power among an IO’s founding members indeed affects the inclusion of institutional safeguards in their constitutional treaties and that veto and exit rights are functional substitutes in this regard. Our findings matter since the institutional power equilibrium at IO creation has important implications for relations between the materially powerful and the weak during IO operations.
物质上强大的国家倾向于主导国际组织的创建以及随后的国际组织政策制定。尽管如此,人们还是希望实力较弱的国家参加国际组织,因为人们普遍认为,这些国家仍将从合作中获益,并倾向于通过机构行使权力。然而,对于制度规则究竟是如何在IOs中保护弱国免受强国侵害的,我们却知之甚少。本文发展了一种制度设计理论,该理论详细说明了作为国际宪法条约核心的制度权力平衡。通过包含否决权或退出权,弱国在IO运行期间获得了防止强国剥削的正式保障。这种对IOs设计中的权力平衡的期望在1945年至2005年期间创建的IOs宪法条约的设计模式中得到了证实。我们的研究结果表明,国际组织创始成员国之间的权力分配确实会影响其宪法条约中制度保障的纳入,而否决权和退出权在这方面是功能性的替代品。我们的研究结果很重要,因为在IO创建时的制度权力平衡对IO运行过程中物质强国和弱国之间的关系具有重要意义。
{"title":"Insuring the Weak: The Institutional Power Equilibrium in International Organizations","authors":"Benjamin Daßler, Tim Heinkelmann-Wild, Martijn Huysmans","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae146","url":null,"abstract":"Materially powerful states tend to dominate both the creation of international organizations (IOs) as well as subsequent IO policymaking. Materially weak states are nevertheless expected to participate in IOs since it is generally assumed that they will still profit from cooperation and prefer power to be exercised through institutions. Yet, we know surprisingly little about how exactly institutional rules protect weak states from the powerful in IOs. This paper develops a theory of institutional design that specifies the institutional power equilibrium at the heart of IOs’ constitutional treaties. Through the inclusion of veto or exit rights, weak states obtain formal safeguards against exploitation by the powerful during an IO’s operation. This expectation of a power equilibrium in IOs’ design is borne out in design patterns within the constitutional treaties of IOs created between 1945 and 2005. Our results indicate that the distribution of power among an IO’s founding members indeed affects the inclusion of institutional safeguards in their constitutional treaties and that veto and exit rights are functional substitutes in this regard. Our findings matter since the institutional power equilibrium at IO creation has important implications for relations between the materially powerful and the weak during IO operations.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"117 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142810083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nonresident Prime Ministers? Measuring India’s Foreign Policy Orientation via Leadership Travel 非常驻总理?通过领导层旅行衡量印度的外交政策取向
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae144
Sumitha Narayanan Kutty, Walter C Ladwig III
As a rising India has sought both standing and recognition in the international system, observers have debated whether revisionist or status quo tendencies have characterized the country’s engagement with the outside world since the end of the Cold War. One way to gain insight into such issues is to study the behavior of its apex leaders. Face-to-face diplomacy and high-level visits are an increasingly prominent feature of India’s international relations. Given the scarce nature of senior officials’ time, where they choose to travel can serve as a key indicator of their priorities. Employing an original data set, we analyze the factors shaping foreign travel by Indian prime ministers and foreign ministers between 1992 and 2019. These indicate that strategic interests—rather than ideological affinity with the Global South, domestic politics, or bureaucratic routine—have the primary role in shaping India’s foreign engagement. Since foreign visits are purposeful, where Indian leaders travel can be assessed for indicators of revisionist or status quo leanings in the country’s foreign policy. Although examination of the specific patterns of overseas visits does not indicate definitive membership of either camp, they do highlight aspects of India’s contested relationship with the current international order.
随着崛起的印度在国际体系中寻求地位和认可,观察家们一直在争论,自冷战结束以来,印度与外部世界的交往是否带有修正主义或维持现状的倾向。了解这些问题的一个方法是研究其最高领导人的行为。面对面外交和高层互访是印度国际关系日益突出的特点。鉴于高级官员的时间有限,他们选择去哪里旅行可以作为他们优先考虑的一个关键指标。利用原始数据集,我们分析了1992年至2019年间影响印度总理和外交部长出国旅行的因素。这些表明,战略利益——而不是与全球南方、国内政治或官僚惯例的意识形态上的亲密关系——在塑造印度的对外交往中起着主要作用。由于外国访问是有目的的,印度领导人的访问可以被评估为该国外交政策的修正主义或现状倾向的指标。尽管对海外访问具体模式的研究并不能表明印度明确属于任何一个阵营,但它们确实突显了印度与当前国际秩序之间存在争议的关系的某些方面。
{"title":"Nonresident Prime Ministers? Measuring India’s Foreign Policy Orientation via Leadership Travel","authors":"Sumitha Narayanan Kutty, Walter C Ladwig III","doi":"10.1093/isq/sqae144","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqae144","url":null,"abstract":"As a rising India has sought both standing and recognition in the international system, observers have debated whether revisionist or status quo tendencies have characterized the country’s engagement with the outside world since the end of the Cold War. One way to gain insight into such issues is to study the behavior of its apex leaders. Face-to-face diplomacy and high-level visits are an increasingly prominent feature of India’s international relations. Given the scarce nature of senior officials’ time, where they choose to travel can serve as a key indicator of their priorities. Employing an original data set, we analyze the factors shaping foreign travel by Indian prime ministers and foreign ministers between 1992 and 2019. These indicate that strategic interests—rather than ideological affinity with the Global South, domestic politics, or bureaucratic routine—have the primary role in shaping India’s foreign engagement. Since foreign visits are purposeful, where Indian leaders travel can be assessed for indicators of revisionist or status quo leanings in the country’s foreign policy. Although examination of the specific patterns of overseas visits does not indicate definitive membership of either camp, they do highlight aspects of India’s contested relationship with the current international order.","PeriodicalId":48313,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Quarterly","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142810088","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
International Studies Quarterly
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1