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IO Endorsements, Perceived Alignment, and Public Support for Unpopular Policies 对不受欢迎的政策的认可、认知一致性和公众支持
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf073
Saki Kuzushima, Itsuki Umeyama, Kenneth Mori McElwain, Yuki Shiraito
Recent research on international organizations (IOs) has highlighted their capacity to influence state behavior by shaping domestic public opinion, a key channel for policy change. This paper investigates an important extension of this mechanism: whether domestic leaders can proactively leverage IO endorsements to bolster support for contentious policies. Drawing on a survey experiment examining attitudes toward a controversial tax increase in Japan, we test how the effectiveness of this tactic depends on how IOs are perceived across multiple dimensions, including neutrality and expertise. Our results show that referencing IO endorsements reduces resistance to the policy. Crucially, their impact is strongest when the IO is seen as aligned with national interests. In contrast, traits such as impartiality and technical expertise—emphasized in previous studies—play a more limited role. Moreover, the persuasive power of endorsements is concentrated among government supporters, further underscoring the importance of perceived interest alignment as a critical dimension of persuasiveness. These findings offer new insights into when and how IOs shape mass attitudes and call attention to the strategic value of perceived IO biases for domestic elites.
最近对国际组织的研究强调,国际组织有能力通过塑造国内舆论(政策变化的关键渠道)来影响国家行为。本文研究了这一机制的一个重要延伸:国内领导人是否能够主动利用国际组织的支持来支持有争议的政策。根据一项调查实验,我们调查了日本对一项有争议的增税政策的态度,并测试了这种策略的有效性如何取决于IOs在多个维度(包括中立性和专业性)上的看法。我们的结果表明,引用IO背书减少了对策略的阻力。至关重要的是,当国际组织被视为与国家利益一致时,它们的影响是最强的。相比之下,先前研究强调的公正性和技术专长等特征发挥的作用更为有限。此外,背书的说服力集中在政府支持者身上,这进一步强调了作为说服力的一个关键维度的感知利益一致性的重要性。这些发现为我们提供了新的见解,让我们了解国际组织何时以及如何塑造大众态度,并呼吁人们注意到国际组织偏见对国内精英的战略价值。
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引用次数: 0
Functional Sovereignty in Contested Territories 争议领土的功能性主权
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf069
Adrian Florea, Reyko Huang
Scholarship on international sovereignty generally adopts a binary conception: territories either have international recognition, or they lack it and remain unrecognized entities within fragmented states. In this article, we challenge this binary frame by introducing the notion of functional sovereignty: contested territories in practice enjoy varying degrees of sovereignty over governance functions that require external acceptance for their operation. To illustrate, we introduce a new dataset of functional sovereignty over vehicle license plates, currency, passport issuance, postal service, and national Internet domains within unrecognized (de facto) states. We theorize disputes over these functions as not only a matter of practicality, but also as contestations over symbolic assertions of sovereign statehood. Analysis of de facto state governance over these five functions shows that contested territories collectively exhibit gradations of functional sovereignty, defying binary classifications. Further, we draw conceptual and empirical distinctions between functional sovereignty and proximate phenomena, including statehood, rebel governance, and global governance. Our findings urge a greater focus on the practical dimensions of sovereignty, above and beyond its international legal aspect, for a more grounded understanding of the politics of international recognition.
关于国际主权的学术研究通常采用一种二元概念:领土要么得到国际承认,要么缺乏国际承认,仍然是分裂国家内未得到承认的实体。在本文中,我们通过引入功能性主权的概念来挑战这种二元框架:在实践中,有争议的领土对需要外部接受其运作的治理功能享有不同程度的主权。为了说明这一点,我们引入了一个新的数据集,该数据集涵盖了未被承认(事实上的)国家的车辆牌照、货币、护照签发、邮政服务和国家互联网域名的功能性主权。我们将对这些职能的争论理论化,认为这不仅是一个实用性问题,也是对主权国家地位象征性主张的争论。对这五种功能的实际国家治理的分析表明,有争议的领土集体表现出主权功能的等级,而不是二元分类。此外,我们在概念和经验上区分了功能性主权和近似现象,包括国家地位、反叛治理和全球治理。我们的研究结果敦促更多地关注主权的实际层面,超越其国际法律方面,以便更有根据地理解国际承认的政治。
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引用次数: 0
Crime and Punishment in International Politics: On the Agency and Moral Standing of Community 国际政治中的罪与罚:论共同体的能动性与道德地位
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf062
Evgeny Roshchin
This article investigates how the concept of the international community was rhetorically constructed in public diplomatic discourse and endowed with both agential status and moral authority. It argues that this conceptual innovation emerged during a critical juncture in the 1920s–1930s, amid debates on collective security within the League of Nations. In response to acts of aggression that undermined the newly established international order, diplomats employed contested notions of “crime” and “punishment” to characterize state behavior. In the League's debates over the first international sanctions, references to extra-legal moral principles were used to bolster both the legitimacy and efficacy of the legal regime. Since the principle of sovereign equality precluded any single state from claiming moral authority, diplomats instead innovatively portrayed the international community as a fictive agent endowed with superior moral standing. This rhetorical move helped legitimize calls for punishing aggressors. Adopting a historically informed constructivist approach, the article illuminates how conceptual transformations within the normative order unfold through diplomatic practice. It shows how diplomatic forums can serve as platforms for conceptual innovation with lasting impact on public discourse on world politics.
本文探讨了国际社会概念是如何在公共外交话语中被修辞学地建构,并被赋予代理地位和道德权威的。它认为,这一概念创新出现在20世纪20年代至30年代的一个关键时刻,当时正值国际联盟(League of Nations)内部关于集体安全的辩论。为了应对破坏新建立的国际秩序的侵略行为,外交官们使用有争议的“犯罪”和“惩罚”概念来描述国家行为。在联盟关于第一次国际制裁的辩论中,法外道德原则被用来加强法律制度的合法性和效力。由于主权平等的原则排除了任何单一国家声称道德权威的可能性,外交官们创新性地将国际社会描绘成一个具有优越道德地位的虚构代理人。这一措辞上的举动有助于使惩罚侵略者的呼声合法化。本文采用历史建构主义的方法,阐明了规范秩序中的概念转变是如何通过外交实践展开的。它展示了外交论坛如何能够作为概念创新的平台,对世界政治的公共话语产生持久的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Into the Fray: Explaining State Support for Non-Violent Resistance Movements Abroad 进入战斗:解释国家对国外非暴力抵抗运动的支持
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf068
Maria A Lotito, Christopher W Shay, Michael A Rubin
Under what conditions do states sponsor foreign nonviolent campaigns (FNCs) seeking to overthrow incumbent regimes? While political ideology plays a role, motivating liberal democracies to support (typically pro-democratic) campaigns, we argue strategic and material factors—specifically geo-political alignment and economic dependence—are central to explaining state sponsorship of FNCs, often overriding ideological and normative factors. A potential sponsor, whether democratic or autocratic, is unlikely to support FNCs when doing so jeopardizes a strategic partnership with the target regime, which may retaliate against the sponsor. Additionally, democracies are particularly deterred from supporting FNCs when the target regime can retaliate economically, such as by disrupting trade or other vital economic ties. To test these arguments, we leverage data from the External Support for Non-violent Campaigns Dataset, which documents global instances of state support for non-violent campaigns from 2000 to 2014. Consistent with our theory, we find that liberal democracies make up the vast majority of sponsors, but also that geo-political alignment between potential sponsor and target regime is strongly and negatively correlated with the provision of support. Moreover, economic dependence on the target reduces the likelihood of support among liberal democracies.
在什么条件下,国家会支持外国非暴力运动(FNCs)试图推翻现任政权?虽然政治意识形态发挥了作用,促使自由民主国家支持(通常是亲民主的)运动,但我们认为战略和物质因素——特别是地缘政治联盟和经济依赖——是解释国家支持金融公司的核心因素,往往高于意识形态和规范因素。一个潜在的赞助者,无论是民主的还是专制的,都不太可能支持金融公司,因为这样做会危及与目标政权的战略伙伴关系,而目标政权可能会对赞助者进行报复。此外,当目标政权可以通过破坏贸易或其他重要经济联系等方式进行经济报复时,民主国家尤其不愿支持金融公司。为了验证这些论点,我们利用了来自非暴力运动外部支持数据集的数据,该数据集记录了2000年至2014年各国支持非暴力运动的全球实例。与我们的理论一致,我们发现自由民主国家构成了绝大多数赞助者,但潜在赞助者和目标政权之间的地缘政治联盟与提供支持呈强烈负相关。此外,经济上对目标的依赖降低了在自由民主国家获得支持的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Is There a Religious Dimension to Concern about Farmer–Herder Conflicts in Nigeria? 尼日利亚农牧民冲突是否有宗教层面的担忧?
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf061
Daniel Tuki
Despite the high incidence of farmer–herder conflicts in Nigeria, large-N quantitative research on the religious dimension of these conflicts remains scarce. This study addresses that gap using data from Rounds 7 and 8 of the Afrobarometer surveys conducted in Nigeria in 2017 and 2020, respectively. Specifically, it examines how religious affiliation and the religious composition of an area influence concerns about farmer–herder conflicts. Regression analysis reveals no significant difference in concern between individuals living in predominantly Muslim versus Christian areas. However, religious affiliation plays a crucial role, with Muslims generally expressing less concern about these conflicts than their Christian counterparts. Disaggregating the data by survey year, a shifting pattern emerges: In 2017, individuals in predominantly Muslim areas were less concerned about farmer–herder conflicts than those in Christian areas, but by 2020, this trend had reversed. This shift may be linked to the rise in banditry involving nomadic pastoralists in Nigeria’s predominantly Muslim Northwest region. Notably, in 2020, Muslims and Christians exhibited no significant differences in their level of concern. Further analysis shows that Muslims and residents of predominantly Muslim areas are more likely to perceive a decline in farmer–herder conflicts and report fewer experiences of pastoral conflicts around their dwellings.
尽管尼日利亚的农牧民冲突发生率很高,但对这些冲突的宗教层面进行大规模定量研究仍然很少。本研究使用分别于2017年和2020年在尼日利亚进行的非洲晴雨表调查的第7轮和第8轮数据来解决这一差距。具体而言,它考察了一个地区的宗教信仰和宗教构成如何影响对农牧民冲突的关注。回归分析显示,生活在穆斯林和基督教占主导地位地区的个人在关注方面没有显著差异。然而,宗教信仰起着至关重要的作用,与基督徒相比,穆斯林通常对这些冲突表达的担忧较少。按调查年份对数据进行分解,出现了一种变化模式:2017年,穆斯林占主导地位的地区的个人比基督教地区的人更不关心农牧民冲突,但到2020年,这一趋势发生了逆转。这种转变可能与尼日利亚以穆斯林为主的西北地区涉及游牧牧民的盗匪活动的增加有关。值得注意的是,在2020年,穆斯林和基督徒在关注程度上没有显着差异。进一步的分析表明,穆斯林和穆斯林占主导地位地区的居民更有可能感觉到农牧民冲突的减少,并报告说他们住所周围的牧民冲突的经历更少。
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引用次数: 0
Why Economic Development Does Not Diminish Religious Conflict 为什么经济发展不能减少宗教冲突
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf060
Nilay Saiya, Stuti Manchanda
Does economic development reduce religious conflict? Many believe that cleavages and conflict over religion should become less pronounced in developed countries. In this article, we argue that economic development can actually increase the risk of religious conflict by helping create the background conditions that give rise to it. More specifically, when countries devote more economic resources to interfering in religious affairs, they experience correspondingly higher levels of religious hostilities. Conversely, if countries have fewer resources to devote to interfering in the religious realm—a situation naturally characteristic of poorer countries—they experience less religious conflict. Thus, poor countries do not necessarily experience higher rates of religious conflict than wealthy countries. We test this theory using a country-level, time-series analysis of a global sample of countries from 1991 to 2018. We find strong support for our theory. The results are robust to a wide range of model specifications and statistical approaches. Our findings make an important contribution to a long-standing conversation on the causes of religious conflict in the modern world.
经济发展会减少宗教冲突吗?许多人认为,在发达国家,宗教分歧和冲突不应该那么明显。在本文中,我们认为经济发展实际上可以通过帮助创造产生宗教冲突的背景条件来增加宗教冲突的风险。更具体地说,当一个国家投入更多的经济资源来干涉宗教事务时,他们相应地经历了更高程度的宗教敌对。相反,如果一个国家没有足够的资源来干涉宗教领域——这是贫穷国家的自然特征——那么他们经历的宗教冲突就会减少。因此,贫穷国家的宗教冲突率并不一定比富裕国家高。我们使用1991年至2018年全球国家样本的国家层面时间序列分析来检验这一理论。我们的理论得到了有力的支持。结果对各种模型规格和统计方法都具有鲁棒性。我们的发现对长期以来关于现代世界宗教冲突原因的讨论做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The Making of “Dominion” Status at the 1907 Imperial Conference: Dissociation, Racialization, and the (Re)Constitution of International Pecking Orders 1907年帝国会议上“自治领”地位的确立:分裂、种族化与国际等级秩序的(重新)构成
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf058
John de Bhal, Alexandra Stafford
This paper theorizes dissociation as a key but overlooked dynamic in the (re)constitution of international pecking orders. Conceptually, dissociation captures how actors look to ensure they are considered separate from, dissimilar, and fundamentally uncomparable to certain “others” with whom comparison is considered undesirable and disempowering. Drawing on original archival research, we showcase the value-added of this conceptual lens by examining the reformulation of the British imperial hierarchy at the 1907 Imperial Conference, which formally institutionalized “Dominion” status for the first time. We show how the British settler-colonies sought to dissociate themselves from the backward and racialized “Crown Colonies,” ultimately adopting the label “Dominion” to assert their status as a qualitatively distinct type of polity. We further argue that dissociation often relies on—and reinforces—racialized logics, which actors draw upon to naturalize social boundaries. Our argument suggests that actors are not merely concerned with being “above” other actors in their comparison group on a status ladder. Rather, we demonstrate how actors also struggle to construct pecking orders and social boundaries so that they are considered not simply superior to, but categorically different from—and ultimately uncomparable to—those they deem inferior.
本文认为,在国际等级秩序的重构过程中,分离是一个关键但被忽视的动态因素。从概念上讲,分离是指行为者如何确保自己被认为与某些“其他人”分离、不同,并且从根本上无法与之比较,而与这些人进行比较被认为是不受欢迎的。在原始档案研究的基础上,我们通过考察1907年帝国会议上英国帝国等级制度的重新制定,首次正式将“自治领”地位制度化,展示了这一概念镜头的价值。我们展示了英国移民殖民地如何试图将自己与落后和种族化的“直辖殖民地”分离开来,最终采用“自治领”的标签来维护其作为一种性质不同的政体类型的地位。我们进一步认为,分离往往依赖于并强化了种族化的逻辑,行为者利用这种逻辑来使社会界限自然化。我们的论点表明,演员不仅仅关心在地位阶梯上比其他演员“高”。相反,我们展示了演员是如何努力构建等级秩序和社会界限的,这样他们就不会被认为是简单的优越,而是绝对不同于他们认为劣等的人,最终无法与之相比。
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引用次数: 0
Anarchy Is What the Balance of Power Made of It: Two Core Concepts and the Public/Private Distinction in International Relations 无政府状态是权力平衡的产物:国际关系中的两个核心概念与公/私区分
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-12 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf064
Morten Skumsrud Andersen
In this article, I question a familiar assumption in International Relations (IR): that the balance of power and anarchy are mutually reinforcing concepts. I argue instead that this relationship is neither natural nor necessary. Modern understandings of anarchy do not reflect timeless features of international politics, but are historically contingent outcomes of changes in how the balance of power concept itself has been understood and deployed. Drawing on conceptual history, I trace how the balance of power transitioned from a principle embodying Europe’s public interest in the eighteenth century to an expression of national rivalry and competitive self-interest in the nineteenth. This transformation was underpinned by a broader redefinition of the public/private distinction, which enabled states to be imagined as atomistic units operating in decentralized, market-like competition—what came to be seen as anarchy. By recovering the practical history of the balance of power, I reinterpret the genealogy of two foundational IR concepts and call for greater reflexivity about the analytical tools through which international relations are theorized.
在这篇文章中,我对国际关系(IR)中一个熟悉的假设提出了质疑:权力平衡和无政府状态是相互加强的概念。相反,我认为这种关系既不自然也没有必要。对无政府状态的现代理解并不反映国际政治的永恒特征,而是权力平衡概念本身的理解和运用方式变化的历史偶然结果。借鉴概念历史,我追溯了权力平衡是如何从18世纪体现欧洲公共利益的原则转变为19世纪国家竞争和竞争利己主义的表达的。这种转变的基础是对公共/私人区分的更广泛的重新定义,这使得国家可以被想象成在分散的、类似市场的竞争中运作的原子单位——后来被视为无政府状态。通过恢复权力平衡的实践历史,我重新解释了两个基本国际关系概念的谱系,并呼吁对国际关系理论化的分析工具进行更大的反思。
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引用次数: 0
Accountable to Whom? Public Opinion of Aid Conditionality in Recipient Countries 对谁负责?受援国援助条件的公众舆论
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-12 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf057
Richard Clark, Lindsay R Dolan, Alexandra O Zeitz
When donors extend foreign aid, they often attach requirements to these funds. While requirements are intended to improve the effectiveness of aid, they also render recipient governments accountable to donors. How does the public in recipient countries view these requirements attached to development finance? We argue that individuals’ assessment of aid requirements is a function of their trust in their own government, as well as the foreign donor. When citizens trust their government, aid requirements activate sovereignty concerns, and individuals view them negatively. But when individuals distrust their government, they see requirements as a source of external accountability. Citizens also consider the donor; foreign accountability is welcome only if the donor is trusted. We test our argument using Afrobarometer data on public attitudes toward aid conditionality and an original survey fielded in Kenya, finding evidence that supports our contentions. Our study contributes to an understanding of accountability in global governance.
捐助国在提供外援时,往往会对这些资金提出要求。虽然这些要求旨在提高援助的效力,但它们也使受援国政府对捐助国负责。受援国公众如何看待发展融资附带的这些要求?我们认为,个人对援助需求的评估取决于他们对本国政府和外国捐助者的信任。当公民信任他们的政府时,援助要求就会引发对主权的担忧,个人就会对政府持负面看法。但是当个人不信任他们的政府时,他们把要求看作是外部问责的来源。公民也会考虑捐赠者;只有在捐助者得到信任的情况下,外国问责制才受到欢迎。我们使用非洲晴雨表关于公众对援助条件的态度的数据和在肯尼亚进行的一项原始调查来检验我们的论点,找到支持我们论点的证据。我们的研究有助于理解全球治理中的问责制。
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引用次数: 0
Telling Stories of International Relations 讲国际关系故事
IF 2.6 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaf055
Laura J Shepherd
This is a lightly edited version of the presidential address I delivered at the sixty-fifth annual convention of the International Studies Association in San Francisco, USA, on April 4, 2024. In this essay, I explore the stories that we tell about the international, and relations, and the possibility of telling different stories—and perhaps the need to tell different stories—in the future. I begin by weighing the international, and exploring what is at stake when setting up a focus on international relations, as distinct from other kinds of relations. I then shift focus to relations. A focus on relations, rather than entities or things, encourages us to consider how these relations are developed, nurtured, ruptured, and restored, and to examine both the conditions and affordances of these processes. Finally, I take on the question of how to tell different stories in the future. I hope to show that questions of futurity are necessarily questions of justice and questions of ethics, and that we as a scholarly community must ask ourselves what we owe, and to whom, in our work if we are going to honor our obligations to our past and future selves and others.
这是我于2024年4月4日在美国旧金山举行的第65届国际研究协会年会上发表的总统演讲的略加编辑的版本。在这篇文章中,我将探讨我们讲述的关于国际关系的故事,以及未来讲述不同故事的可能性——也许还有讲述不同故事的必要性。首先,我将权衡国际关系,并探讨将国际关系作为不同于其他类型关系的重点时所面临的风险。然后我将重点转移到关系上。关注关系,而不是实体或事物,鼓励我们思考这些关系是如何发展、培育、破裂和恢复的,并检查这些过程的条件和能力。最后,我提出了未来如何讲述不同故事的问题。我希望表明,关于未来的问题必然是关于正义和伦理的问题,作为一个学术团体,我们必须问自己,如果我们要履行对过去和未来的自己以及他人的义务,我们在工作中欠了什么,欠了谁。
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引用次数: 0
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International Studies Quarterly
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