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Direct and indirect effects of self-control and future time perspective on financial well-being 自我控制和未来时间观对财务幸福的直接和间接影响
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102667
W. Fred van Raaij , Leonore Riitsalu , Kaire Põder

Financial well-being is getting more attention in research and consumer policy, but there is limited understanding of its determinants. In this study, the effects of two psychological factors (self-control and future time perspective) are studied on two components of financial well-being (current money management stress and expected future financial security). Using structural equation modelling in data from 16 countries (n = 15,773), we find that self-control and future time perspective have both direct and indirect effects on the components of financial well-being. The indirect effects are mediated by past and present financial behaviour and have smaller effect sizes than the direct effects. Self-control is the main determinant of current money management stress, while future time perspective is the main determinant of expected future financial security. Our results emphasize that financial well-being should not be treated as a one-dimensional construct. Instead, the interventions for improving financial well-being should clearly target either its present or future component and consider psychological characteristics in their design.

财务状况在研究和消费者政策中得到越来越多的关注,但对其决定因素的理解有限。在本研究中,研究了两个心理因素(自我控制和未来时间展望)对财务幸福感的两个组成部分(当前资金管理压力和预期未来财务安全)的影响。利用结构方程模型对16个国家(n = 15,773)的数据进行分析,我们发现自我控制和未来时间观对财务幸福感的构成既有直接影响,也有间接影响。间接效应是由过去和现在的金融行为介导的,其效应规模小于直接效应。自我控制是当前资金管理压力的主要决定因素,而未来时间展望是预期未来财务安全的主要决定因素。我们的研究结果强调,财务福利不应被视为一个一维的结构。相反,改善财务状况的干预措施应明确针对其现在或未来的组成部分,并在其设计中考虑心理特征。
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引用次数: 0
Transcranial stimulation over the medial prefrontal cortex increases money illusion 经颅刺激内侧前额叶皮层增加金钱错觉
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102665
Jianbiao Li (李建标) , Wei Wang (王玮) , Qian Cao (曹倩) , Xiaofei Niu (牛晓飞)

People often ignore the real value of money and focus on its nominal value, a phenomenon known as money illusion. In the present study, we conduct two transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) experiments and test the role of the medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) in money illusion. We find that anodal stimulation over the mPFC significantly increases money illusion in an evaluative task, and this anodal stimulation effect can be replicated in an incentivized task in the context of financial choices. Our study sheds light on the neural mechanisms underlying the money illusion.

人们常常忽视货币的真正价值,而只关注它的名义价值,这种现象被称为货币幻觉。本研究通过两个经颅直流电刺激(tDCS)实验,测试了内侧前额叶皮层(mPFC)在货币错觉中的作用。研究发现,在评估任务中,mPFC的阳极刺激显著增加了金钱错觉,并且这种阳极刺激效应可以在财务选择情境下的激励任务中复制。我们的研究揭示了金钱错觉背后的神经机制。
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引用次数: 3
Replication: Do coaches stick with what barely worked? Evidence of outcome bias in sports 重复:教练是否坚持那些几乎不起作用的方法?运动结果偏倚的证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102664
Pascal Flurin Meier, Raphael Flepp, Egon Franck

We replicate the finding of Lefgren et al. (2015) showing that professional basketball coaches in the NBA discontinuously change their starting lineup more often after narrow losses than after narrow wins. This result is consistent with outcome bias because such narrow outcomes are conditionally uninformative. As our paper shows, this pattern is not restricted to the NBA; we also find evidence of outcome bias in the top women’s professional basketball league and college basketball. Finally, we show that outcome bias in coaching decisions generalizes to the National Football League (NFL). We conclude that outcome bias is credible and robust, although it has weakened over time in some instances.

我们复制了Lefgren等人的发现。(2015)表明,NBA的职业篮球教练在险胜后更频繁地不连续地更换首发阵容。这一结果与结果偏差一致,因为这种狭窄的结果是有条件的无信息的。正如我们的论文所表明的,这种模式并不局限于NBA;我们还发现,在顶级女子职业篮球联赛和大学篮球比赛中存在结果偏差的证据。最后,我们证明了教练决策中的结果偏差适用于美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL)。我们得出的结论是,结果偏差是可信的,而且是稳健的,尽管在某些情况下随着时间的推移,它已经减弱。
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引用次数: 0
Who’s afraid of the GOATs? - Shadow effects of tennis superstars 谁害怕山羊?-网球巨星的阴影效果
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102663
Christian Deutscher , Lena Neuberg , Stefan Thiem

In multi-stage tournaments, anticipated competition in future stages might affect the outcome of competition in the current stage. In particular, the presence of superstars might demotivate the next-best competitors from seeking to advance to later rounds, where they ultimately are likely to face a superstar. Data from men’s professional tennis tournaments held between 2004 and 2019 affirm that the participation of superstars (Djokovic, Nadal, Federer, and Murray) reduces the probability that the remaining Top 20 players win their matches. Such shadow effects arise even in very early tournament stages, in which favoured players lose more often than expected, given their ability. The effects are more pronounced when multiple superstars compete in the tournament and disappear once all superstars have been eliminated from competition. Furthermore, shadow effects increase the probability of retirement of strong but non-superstar competitors and disappear once superstar performance is not dominant.

在多阶段比赛中,对未来阶段比赛的预期可能会影响当前阶段比赛的结果。特别是,超级巨星的出现可能会使排名第二的竞争对手失去动力,不愿进入下一轮,因为他们最终可能会面对一位超级巨星。2004年至2019年间举办的男子职业网球锦标赛的数据证实,超级巨星(德约科维奇、纳达尔、费德勒和穆雷)的参与降低了剩下的前20名球员赢得比赛的可能性。这种阴影效应甚至出现在非常早期的比赛阶段,考虑到他们的能力,受青睐的球员输掉的比赛比预期的要多。当多个超级巨星在比赛中竞争时,这种影响更为明显,一旦所有超级巨星都被淘汰出局,这种影响就会消失。此外,影子效应增加了强大但非超级明星竞争者的退役概率,一旦超级明星业绩不占主导地位,影子效应就会消失。
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引用次数: 0
Moves, motives, and words: Introduction to the special issue on bargaining process 动、动、言:谈判过程特刊导论
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102634
Gary E. Bolton, Emin Karagözoğlu
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引用次数: 0
Who discriminates? Evidence from a trust game experiment across three societies 谁歧视?来自三个社会的信任游戏实验的证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102630
Swee-Hoon Chuah , Simon Gächter , Robert Hoffmann , Jonathan H.W. Tan

What personal characteristics are associated with the extent to which individuals discriminate against particular groups? We use an incentive-compatible measure of an individual’s tendency to discriminate on others’ different social identities that takes into account the costs of discrimination. In particular, we elicit participants’ willingness to discriminate (WTD) in their investments to make their decisions dependent on others’ social identities using a laboratory trust game experiment with 545 participants in three countries: Malaysia, China and the UK. Analysis of our WTD measure shows that discrimination differs depending on discriminators’ cultural group identity and political values. Demographic variables including age and gender are not significant. Overall our results support the psychological distinctiveness of WEIRD participants found in other studies.

哪些个人特征与个人歧视特定群体的程度有关?我们使用一种激励相容的方法来衡量个人歧视他人不同社会身份的倾向,并将歧视的成本考虑在内。特别是,我们利用实验室信任博弈实验,在马来西亚、中国和英国这三个国家的545名参与者中,引出了参与者在投资中根据他人的社会身份做出决定的歧视意愿(WTD)。对WTD测量的分析表明,歧视因歧视者的文化群体认同和政治价值观而异。包括年龄和性别在内的人口统计变量不显著。总的来说,我们的结果支持在其他研究中发现的WEIRD参与者的心理独特性。
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引用次数: 0
Concord and contention in a dynamic unstructured bargaining experiment with costly conflict 动态非结构化讨价还价实验中的和谐与争论
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102631
Lian Xue , Stefania Sitzia , Theodore L. Turocy

We report experimental results from a dynamic real-time bargaining experiment. Players earn flows of income from the assets they possess at any point in the bargaining process, while they incur costs which are proportional to the size of the conflict between players’ current claims. We find that most bargaining interactions are characterised by small but non-zero amounts of contention, which arises from the process of tacitly coordinating claims, including from negotiating turn-taking approaches. Interactions with large losses from contention occur in a sizeable minority of interactions. There are significant individual differences in outcomes across participants. We do not find systematic gender effects, but do find that the locus of control of participants predicts bargaining outcomes.

我们报告了一个动态实时议价实验的实验结果。在讨价还价的过程中,玩家可以从他们所拥有的资产中获得收入流,而他们所产生的成本则与玩家当前主张之间的冲突大小成正比。我们发现,大多数议价互动的特点是小但非零的争论,这源于默认协调索赔的过程,包括谈判轮流的方法。由于争用而造成大量损失的交互发生在相当大的少数交互中。参与者之间的结果存在显著的个体差异。我们没有发现系统性的性别影响,但确实发现参与者的控制点可以预测议价结果。
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引用次数: 0
Not all luck is created equal: Sources of income inequality and willingness to redistribute 并非所有的运气都是平等的:收入不平等的来源和再分配的意愿
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102637
Reilly Wright , Abraham Aldama

Despite steadily rising inequality in the US over the last few decades, demand for increasing tax rates and redistribution has not increased. A growing literature argues that one reason for this is that people might perceive inequality to be fair. This literature has documented that Americans tend to perceive economic inequality stemming from merit as being fair and inequality stemming from luck as unfair. However, “lucky breaks” in the real world do not necessarily come from a lottery or random chance but from the actions of the government favoring a “lucky” few. People might be more willing to redistribute if it compensates those negatively affected by government action. Using an online experiment we show that luck stemming from the action of a government-like actor influences individuals’ desire to redistribute earnings making them more likely to favor redistribution than in instances where inequality is caused by merit or by random luck.

尽管过去几十年美国的不平等程度稳步上升,但要求提高税率和再分配的呼声并未增加。越来越多的文献认为,其中一个原因是人们可能认为不平等是公平的。这些文献表明,美国人倾向于认为由功绩引起的经济不平等是公平的,而由运气引起的不平等是不公平的。然而,现实世界中的“幸运”并不一定来自彩票或随机机会,而是来自政府对“幸运”少数人的偏袒。如果能补偿那些受到政府行为负面影响的人,人们可能更愿意进行再分配。通过一项在线实验,我们发现,与由功绩或随机运气造成的不平等相比,来自类似政府的行为者的运气会影响个人对收入再分配的愿望,使他们更有可能支持再分配。
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引用次数: 0
Cognitive and non-cognitive traits and the intergenerational transmission of socioeconomic inequality 认知和非认知特征以及社会经济不平等的代际传递
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102635
Nicholas Rohde , Pravin Trivedi , K.K. Tang , Prasada Rao

This paper studies the roles of cognitive and non-cognitive characteristics in a standard Roemerian Inequality of Opportunity (IOP) model. Using Australian microdata, we model the effects of individuals’ backgrounds and their psychological traits on two adult income variables. We find that measurable psychological traits (intelligence, locus of control, big five personality traits) are slightly more important than background characteristics (such as race, gender, social class at birth) in explaining income disparities. However, the fraction of IOP confounded by psychological factors is small (11%–12%), which suggests that background inequalities do not meaningfully reflect differences in cognitive or non-cognitive ability.

本文研究了认知特征和非认知特征在标准Roemerian机会不平等(IOP)模型中的作用。利用澳大利亚的微观数据,我们建立了个体背景和心理特征对两个成人收入变量的影响模型。我们发现,在解释收入差距时,可测量的心理特征(智力、控制点、五大人格特征)比背景特征(如种族、性别、出生时的社会阶层)稍微重要一些。然而,受心理因素影响的IOP比例很小(11%-12%),这表明背景不平等并不能有效地反映认知或非认知能力的差异。
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引用次数: 0
The informational affective tie mechanism: on the role of uncertainty, context, and attention in caring 信息情感联系机制:不确定性、情境和注意在关怀中的作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2023.102625
Frans van Winden

Based on the growing evidence on caring and enduring relationships displayed by species across the evolutionary ladder, the ubiquity and importance of environmental uncertainty faced by all organisms, and the adaptational principle that learning may involve preference learning besides instrumental reinforcement learning, this paper proposes a novel information theoretic model of affective bonding, focusing on humans. A special case of the proposed “informational affective tie mechanism” (iATM) turns out to be the model of Bault, Fahrenfort, Pelloux, Ridderinkhof, and van Winden: An affective social tie mechanism, Journal of Economic Psychology, 2017, 61, 152–175. In further contrast to the latter model, the iATM model allows for the role of multiple contexts and distributed attention. Moreover, it provides a dynamic, context related, endogenous representation of the well-known social value orientation construct, facilitating the propagation of caring as observed in the literature. Empirical support is provided along different dimensions. Although the model is not estimated in full detail, a necessary condition regarding its parameters is shown to be fulfilled. Furthermore, experimental findings concerning various well-known games can be tracked under plausible calibration. In addition, the mechanism can be linked to neurobiological evidence concerning maternal (and paternal) care – as the presumed primordial caregiving system – and the signaling role of oxytocin. Finally, the evidence concerning non-human species is addressed, as well as the role of norms and reciprocity.

基于越来越多的证据表明物种在进化阶梯上表现出关心和持久的关系,所有生物面临的环境不确定性的普遍性和重要性,以及学习可能包括偏好学习和工具强化学习的适应性原则,本文提出了一种新的情感联系的信息理论模型,重点关注人类。“信息情感联系机制”(iiatm)的一个特例是Bault、Fahrenfort、Pelloux、Ridderinkhof和van Winden的模型:情感社会联系机制,经济心理学报,2017,61,152-175。与后一种模型进一步形成对比的是,iATM模型允许多个上下文和分布式注意力的作用。此外,它为众所周知的社会价值取向结构提供了一个动态的、与语境相关的、内生的表征,促进了文献中观察到的关怀的传播。经验支持沿着不同的维度提供。虽然没有对模型进行详细的估计,但是关于模型参数的一个必要条件是满足的。此外,在合理的校准下,可以跟踪各种知名游戏的实验结果。此外,这一机制还可以与母系(和父系)照料的神经生物学证据联系起来——作为假定的原始照料系统——以及催产素的信号作用。最后,讨论了有关非人类物种的证据,以及规范和互惠的作用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic Psychology
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