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Nobody’s gonna slow me down? The effects of a transportation cost shock on firm performance and behavior 没人会让我慢下来吗?运输成本冲击对企业绩效和行为的影响
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103569
Catarina Branco , Dirk C. Dohse , João Pereira dos Santos , José Tavares

We study the firm-level responses to a substantial increase in transportation costs in the wake of a quasi-experiment that introduced tolls in a subset of Portuguese highways. Exploiting a unique dataset encompassing the universe of Portuguese private firms, we find that the introduction of tolls caused a substantial decrease in turnover (10.2%) and productivity (4.3%) in treated firms vis-à-vis firms in the comparison group. In response to the tolls, firms substantially cut employment-related expenses and purchases of other inputs. Labor costs were reduced by both employment cuts and a decrease in average wages. While firms did not increase inventory, there is some evidence for increased firm exit, in particular by firms in tradables sectors.

我们研究了在葡萄牙高速公路的一个子集中引入收费的准实验之后,企业层面对运输成本大幅增加的反应。利用包含葡萄牙私营企业的独特数据集,我们发现,与-à-vis比较组中的公司相比,收费的引入导致处理公司的营业额(- 10.2%)和生产率(- 4.3%)大幅下降。为了应对这些收费,企业大幅削减了与就业相关的开支和其他投入的采购。通过裁员和平均工资的降低,劳动力成本降低了。虽然企业没有增加库存,但有一些证据表明,企业退出的数量有所增加,尤其是可贸易部门的企业。
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引用次数: 2
Highways and segregation 公路和隔离
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103574
Avichal Mahajan

This paper examines the impact of the Interstate Highway System, constructed between 1950 and 1990 in the United States (US), on racial segregation. To provide causal estimates, I use the 1947 plan of the Interstate Highway System, a variant of the 1947 plan that connects city center pairs in this plan through shortest-distance and exploration routes in the 16th-19th century, as the instruments for actual highways built. Empirical results from census tracts in the US show that the construction of highways led to sorting along racial lines. I find strong evidence of heterogeneous effects based on the initial black population. I do not find any impact of highways on neighborhoods which have a lower share of initial black population. However, there is an increase in the share of the black population for neighborhoods located in close proximity to highways, and which have a higher share of the initial black population. This increase is driven by the white population moving out and black population moving into these neighborhoods. I demonstrate that whites that moved out of neighborhoods, now commute to work, made possible due to access provided by highways. These residents were on average better educated and had a higher income than the residents moving into the neighborhoods. The reasons for this movement are disamenities emanating from highways, and racial preferences for social interactions. Finally, I show that this relationship between highways and segregation is also observed at the aggregate level. Empirical estimates indicate that one new highway passing through the central city leads to 0.02 units increase in the dissimilarity index for the metropolitan area.

本文研究了美国 1950 年至 1990 年间修建的州际公路系统对种族隔离的影响。为了提供因果估算,我使用了 1947 年州际公路系统的规划,即通过 16-19 世纪的最短距离和探索路线连接该规划中的城市中心对的变体,作为实际修建公路的工具。来自美国人口普查区的经验结果表明,高速公路的建设导致了种族分隔。我发现了基于初始黑人人口的异质性效应的有力证据。我没有发现高速公路对初始黑人人口比例较低的社区有任何影响。然而,在靠近高速公路、初始黑人人口比例较高的社区,黑人人口比例却有所增加。这一增长的原因是白人人口迁出,黑人人口迁入这些社区。我的研究表明,由于高速公路的通达性,迁出社区的白人现在可以通勤上班。与迁入社区的居民相比,这些居民平均受教育程度更高,收入也更高。造成这种迁移的原因是高速公路带来的不便以及社会交往中的种族偏好。最后,我表明,高速公路与种族隔离之间的这种关系在总体水平上也可以观察到。经验估计表明,一条新的高速公路穿过中心城市,会导致大都市地区的不相似指数增加 0.02 个单位。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of minimum income on homelessness: Evidence from France 最低收入对无家可归者的影响:来自法国的证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103547
Gedeão Locks , Josselin Thuilliez

In France, childless adults younger than 25 face hard-to-meet eligibility conditions to enroll in the minimum income program. The restrictive requirements generate a “jump” in the number of recipients at ages around 25. We use a Regression Discontinuity (RD) design to assess the impact of the French minimum income program (RSA) on users of accommodation and meal distribution services. We find that the RSA benefit reduces the homelessness rate by 20% among young adults aged 22 to 27. This result is driven by new RSA recipients who have started paying partial rent to third parties, and the probability of becoming a regular tenant increases after age 26. We simulate the effects of lowering the program’s minimum age eligibility on the probability of being homeless. Our findings suggest that in programs directed at homeless individuals, around 60% of expenditures are offset by savings in social assistance costs to the homeless.

在法国,25岁以下无子女的成年人参加最低收入计划的资格条件很难满足。这些限制性要求导致25岁左右的接受者数量“激增”。我们使用回归不连续(RD)设计来评估法国最低收入计划(RSA)对住宿和膳食分配服务用户的影响。我们发现,在22至27岁的年轻人中,RSA福利使无家可归率降低了20%。这一结果是由于新RSA受益人开始向第三方支付部分租金,并且在26岁以后成为固定租户的可能性增加。我们模拟了降低该项目的最低年龄资格对无家可归概率的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在针对无家可归者的项目中,大约60%的支出被为无家可归者节省的社会救助成本所抵消。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of return migration on employment and wages in Mexican cities 移民回流对墨西哥城市就业和工资的影响
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103557
Dario Diodato , Ricardo Hausmann , Frank Neffke

How does return migration from the US to Mexico affect local workers? Return migrants increase the local labor supply, potentially hurting local workers. However, having been exposed to a more advanced U.S. economy, they may also carry human capital that benefits non-migrants. Using an instrument based on involuntary return migration, we find that, whereas workers who share returnees’ occupations experience a fall in wages, workers in other occupations see their wages rise. These effects are, however, transitory and restricted to the city-industry receiving the returnees. In contrast, returnees permanently alter a city’s long-run industrial composition, by raising employment levels in the local industries that hire them.

从美国返回墨西哥的移民如何影响当地工人?回国移民增加了当地的劳动力供应,潜在地伤害了当地工人。然而,由于接触了更发达的美国经济,他们也可能拥有有利于非移民的人力资本。使用一种基于非自愿回归移民的工具,我们发现,与回归者从事相同职业的工人工资下降,而从事其他职业的工人工资上涨。然而,这些影响是暂时的,只限于接收回返者的城市工业。相比之下,海归通过提高雇佣他们的当地行业的就业水平,永久性地改变了一个城市的长期工业构成。
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引用次数: 0
Household sorting in an ancient setting 古代背景下的家庭分类
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103548
Abhimanyu Gupta , Jonathan Halket

We use archaeological data from ancient settlements of three different historical eras on a Greek island to construct novel measures of consumption. Using these, we show that the shares of high-quality consumption goods were relatively more concentrated closer to the center of nucleated settlements as compared to low-quality consumption goods. There is no such pattern in a placebo settlement. In this unique setting, these quality gradients may reflect differences in household consumption baskets across these settlements. We argue that some alternative, trade or production based hypotheses for such gradients can be weakly ruled out based on our data and archaeological sources.

我们使用来自希腊岛屿上三个不同历史时期的古代定居点的考古数据来构建新的消费衡量标准。利用这些数据,我们发现,与低质量消费品相比,高质量消费品的份额相对更集中在靠近有核聚落中心的地方。在安慰剂解决方案中没有这种模式。在这种独特的环境下,这些质量梯度可能反映了这些定居点家庭消费篮子的差异。我们认为,根据我们的数据和考古来源,可以微弱地排除一些替代的、基于贸易或生产的假设。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic and unemployment: Evidence from mobile phone data from China COVID-19大流行与失业:来自中国手机数据的证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103543
Teng Li , Panle Jia Barwick , Yongheng Deng , Xinfei Huang , Shanjun Li

Based on mobile phone records for 71 million users and location tracking information for one million users over almost three years, this study examines the labor market impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in China’s Guangdong province, whose GDP is larger than that of all but the top 12 countries in the world. Using a standard difference-in-differences framework, our analysis shows dramatic and protracted effects of the pandemic on the labor market: it increased unemployment by 72% and unemployment benefits claims by 57% even after the full reopening in 2020 relative to their levels in the same period in 2019. The impact was also highly heterogeneous, with women, workers older than 40, and migrants being more affected. Cities that rely more on export or that have a higher share of the hospitality industry in GDP but a lower share of the finance and healthcare industries experienced a more pronounced increase in unemployment. The lingering impact likely reflects the global transmission of the pandemic’s effects through the supply chain and trade channels.

基于近三年7100万用户的手机记录和100万用户的位置跟踪信息,本研究考察了2019冠状病毒肺炎大流行对中国广东省劳动力市场的影响。广东省的GDP仅次于世界上排名前12位的国家。使用标准的差异中差异框架,我们的分析显示,这一流行病对劳动力市场产生了巨大而持久的影响:与2019年同期的水平相比,即使在2020年全面重新开放之后,失业率也增加了72%,失业救济申请人数增加了57%。这种影响也非常不同,女性、40岁以上的工人和移民受到的影响更大。更依赖出口的城市,或者酒店业在GDP中所占份额较高,但金融和医疗保健行业所占份额较低的城市,失业率的上升更为明显。这种持续的影响可能反映了大流行的影响通过供应链和贸易渠道在全球传播。
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引用次数: 8
Locating Public Facilities: Theory and Micro Evidence from Paris 公共设施定位:来自巴黎的理论与微观证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103544
Gabriel Loumeau

This paper proposes a novel approach to evaluate location decisions for public facilities. The approach addresses, not only the standard distance-minimizing problem, but also the endogenous location decisions of individuals. The paper develops a quantifiable general equilibrium model with endogenous (residential and commercial) densities, housing prices, commutes to work, as well as to public/private facilities. The framework is applied to the case of secondary schools in Paris’ greater region at a 1km2 geographical scale. The analysis reveals that the observed location decisions made between 2001 and 2015 underestimate the endogenous reaction of individuals. A more decentralized strategy is predicted to increase welfare growth by 10 percent, reduce density in Paris’ center, and shorten commuting times to school globally.

本文提出了一种评价公共设施选址决策的新方法。该方法不仅解决了标准的距离最小化问题,而且还解决了个体的内生定位决策问题。本文开发了一个可量化的一般均衡模型,包括内生(住宅和商业)密度、房价、上下班通勤以及公共/私人设施。该框架应用于巴黎大区1平方公里地理范围内的中学。分析表明,2001年至2015年间所观察到的选址决策低估了个体的内生反应。更分散的战略预计将使福利增长10%,降低巴黎市中心的人口密度,并缩短全球到学校的通勤时间。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the school admission restriction policy on the housing market in Shanghai 入学限制政策对上海住房市场的影响
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103568
Kangzhe Ding, R. Itoh
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引用次数: 0
JUE Insight: White flight from Asian immigration: Evidence from California Public Schools JUE洞察:来自亚洲移民的白人逃亡:来自加州公立学校的证据
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103541
Leah Boustan , Christine Cai , Tammy Tseng

Asian Americans are the fastest-growing racial group in the US but we know little about how Asian immigration has affected cities, neighborhoods and schools. This paper studies white flight from Asian arrivals in high-socioeconomic-status suburban Californian school districts from 2000–2016 using initial settlement patterns and national immigrant flows to instrument for entry. We find that, as Asian students arrive, white student enrollment declines in these higher-income suburbs. These patterns cannot be fully explained by racial animus, housing prices, or correlations with Black/Hispanic arrivals. Parental fears of academic competition may play a role.

亚裔美国人是美国增长最快的种族群体,但我们对亚裔移民如何影响城市、社区和学校知之甚少。本文研究了 2000-2016 年间,加利福尼亚州社会经济地位较高的郊区学区白人因亚裔移民的到来而逃离的情况。我们发现,随着亚裔学生的到来,这些高收入郊区的白人学生入学率有所下降。这些模式不能完全用种族仇恨、房价或与黑人/西班牙裔到来的相关性来解释。家长对学业竞争的担忧可能也是原因之一。
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引用次数: 0
The Problem Has Existed over Endless Years: Racialized Difference in Commuting, 1980–2019 这个问题已经存在了很多年:1980-2019年通勤的种族化差异
IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2023.103542
devin michelle bunten , Ellen Fu , Lyndsey Rolheiser , Christopher Severen

How have the longer journeys to work faced by Black commuters evolved in the United States over the last four decades? Black commuters spent 49 more minutes commuting per week in 1980 than White commuters; this difference declined to 22 minutes per week in 2019. Two factors account for the majority of the difference: Black workers are more likely to commute by transit, and Black workers make up a larger share of the population in cities with long average commutes. Increases in car commuting by Black workers account for nearly one quarter of the decline in the racialized difference in commute times between 1980 and 2019. Today, commute times have mostly converged (conditional on observables) for car commuters in small- and mid-sized cities. In contrast, differential job access today drives persistent differences of commute times, particularly in large, congested, and expensive cities.

过去四十年来,美国黑人通勤者上班路程较长的情况发生了怎样的变化?1980年,黑人通勤者每周通勤时间比白人通勤者多49分钟;2019年,这一差异降至每周22分钟。造成这一差异的主要因素有两个:黑人工人更有可能乘坐公交车通勤,而且在平均通勤时间较长的城市,黑人工人在人口中所占比例较大。黑人工人乘车通勤时间的增加占 1980 年至 2019 年通勤时间种族差异下降的近四分之一。如今,中小城市驾车通勤者的通勤时间已基本趋同(以可观测数据为条件)。与此相反,如今工作机会的不同导致通勤时间的持续差异,尤其是在拥挤、昂贵的大城市。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Urban Economics
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