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Characterizing performance resilience of transportation networks against hurricane events 表征交通网络对飓风事件的性能弹性
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103820
Kai-Fa Lu , Yanghe Liu , Zhong-Ren Peng , Wei Zhai
Extreme weather events are posing significant challenges to transportation infrastructure networks, both physically and functionally. While previous studies have examined the performance of infrastructure networks against disruptions, rare research integrates segment-level performance metrics, such as traffic volume and speed, to evaluate spatiotemporal operational responses to climate-disruptive events, like hurricanes. This study highlighted multiple traffic segments in transportation networks and investigated their geospatial changes in average traffic volume and median traffic speed before, during, and after hurricanes to quantify segment-level volume and speed resilience. Analyzing highway networks’ traffic and hurricane data from Miami-Dade County, Florida, we revealed four-quadrant performance resilience patterns, including (1) negative volume, positive speed (80 % of the highway networks); (2) both negative (17 %); (3) both positive (0.6 %); and (4) positive volume, negative speed (2.4 %). Volume resilience ranged within −0.04∼0.001 and speed resilience within −0.3∼0.3, indicating volume changes of <4 % of highway capacity and speed changes of <30 % of speed limits during hurricanes. A Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model identified highway type, lane direction, demographics, and land use as crucial factors influencing resilience. Highways near densely populated neighborhoods with fewer White residents and more diverse land uses exhibited lower volume but higher speed resilience, suggesting racial disparity. These findings offer valuable insights into network design and adaptation planning strategies to enhance transportation resilience and mitigate the impacts of climatic disruptions on network performance.
极端天气事件对交通基础设施网络构成了物理和功能上的重大挑战。虽然以前的研究已经检查了基础设施网络在中断情况下的性能,但很少有研究将路段级性能指标(如交通量和速度)集成在一起,以评估对气候破坏性事件(如飓风)的时空运行响应。本研究强调了交通网络中的多个交通区段,并调查了飓风之前、期间和之后的平均交通量和中位数交通速度的地理空间变化,以量化区段水平的交通量和速度弹性。通过分析佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县高速公路网络的交通和飓风数据,我们揭示了四象限的性能弹性模式,包括(1)负体积,正速度(80%的高速公路网络);(2)均为负值(17%);(3)均为阳性(0.6%);(4)正容积,负转速(2.4%)。体积弹性范围在- 0.04 ~ 0.001之间,速度弹性范围在- 0.3 ~ 0.3之间,表明飓风期间公路容量的体积变化为4%,速度变化为限速的30%。贝叶斯加性回归树(BART)模型确定了公路类型、车道方向、人口统计和土地利用是影响弹性的关键因素。靠近人口密集、白人居民较少、土地使用更多样化的社区的高速公路,其体积较小,但速度弹性较高,表明种族差异。这些发现为网络设计和适应性规划策略提供了有价值的见解,以增强交通弹性并减轻气候中断对网络性能的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the different roles of urban environment in long- and short-distance outdoor jogging: Evidence from Shanghai, China 城市环境在长距离和短距离户外慢跑中的不同作用:来自中国上海的证据
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103811
Ziran Ye , Xinyue Gu
Urban environments play a crucial role in shaping physical activity behaviors, with outdoor jogging being one of the most accessible and popular forms of exercise. However, most existing studies focus on modeling all jogging in aggregate rather than differentiating between short- and long-distance jogging, despite their distinct spatial and environmental demands. Hence, this study explores the impact of urban environmental factors on both short- and long-distance outdoor jogging in Shanghai, China. Using advanced spatial machine learning techniques, the effects of various urban features, such as density, accessibility and visual perception on jogging intensity are examined. Our findings reveal that road density and housing prices are the most consistent and influential factors. Short-distance jogging is more influenced by proximity to transport hubs, while long-distance jogging is more related to access to open space. Perceptual variables significantly promote jogging intensity when exceeding a certain threshold. Additionally, short-distance jogging is promoted in more mixed-use and central neighborhoods while long-distance jogging is converse. The study contributes to the understanding of urban health dynamics and offers insights into urban planning strategies that encourage outdoor physical activity and promote healthier lifestyles.
城市环境在塑造身体活动行为方面起着至关重要的作用,户外慢跑是最容易获得和最受欢迎的锻炼形式之一。然而,尽管长距离和短距离慢跑对空间和环境的要求不同,但现有的研究大多侧重于对所有慢跑的总体建模,而不是区分长距离和短距离慢跑。因此,本研究探讨了城市环境因素对上海户外短距离和长距离慢跑的影响。利用先进的空间机器学习技术,研究了各种城市特征,如密度、可达性和视觉感知对慢跑强度的影响。研究结果表明,道路密度和房价是最具一致性和影响力的因素。短距离慢跑更受靠近交通枢纽的影响,而长距离慢跑则更受开放空间的影响。知觉变量在超过一定阈值时显著提高慢跑强度。此外,短距离慢跑在更多的混合用途和中心社区推广,而长距离慢跑则相反。这项研究有助于了解城市健康动态,并为鼓励户外体育活动和促进更健康的生活方式的城市规划战略提供见解。
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引用次数: 0
What are the differences between ecosystem services and residents’ perceptions? Insights from perception gap, heterogeneity, and cross-level driving mechanisms 生态系统服务与居民感知之间的差异是什么?从认知差距、异质性和跨层次驱动机制的见解
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103808
Huijuan Zhang , Li Peng , Yue Qiu , Zhonghao Ma
Ecosystem services (ES) are vital for human well-being and ecological security. However, current research often separates objective measurement from subjective perception evaluation, rarely considering both aspects simultaneously or analyzing their matching relationship in depth. This study moves beyond the traditional paradigm of objective or subjective dominance and proposes a spatially explicit cognition–ecology feedback conceptual framework. We developed an integrated approach that couples InVEST model outputs with questionnaire survey data to link objective ES supply with subjective perceptions, defining their difference as perception gaps. Taking the typical karst area of Huanjiang County, China, as a case study, we quantified the potential supply and farmers’ perception gaps of five key ES, namely, food provision (FP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), carbon sequestration (CS), and habitat quality (HQ). We then used a Hierarchical Linear Model to determine the cross-level driving mechanisms. The findings showed significant service heterogeneity and individual differences among the five ES. Perception gaps for FP and WY were generally positive, reflecting high demand and low supply. Meanwhile, those for CS and HQ services were predominantly negative, indicating low demand and high supply. The formation mechanism of perception gap was jointly driven by environmental values and household types at the individual level, and natural conditions and location factors at the village level. The study emphasizes that differentiated governance strategies are essential to bridge multiple types of perception gaps, thereby fostering a virtuous cycle of cognition and ecological sustainability through enhanced awareness, optimized service provision, and improved policy communication.
生态系统服务对人类福祉和生态安全至关重要。然而,目前的研究往往将客观测量与主观感知评价分开,很少同时考虑这两个方面,也很少深入分析两者的匹配关系。本研究超越了客观或主观主导的传统范式,提出了一个空间外显的认知生态反馈概念框架。我们开发了一种综合方法,将InVEST模型输出与问卷调查数据结合起来,将客观ES供应与主观感知联系起来,将其差异定义为感知差距。以环江县典型喀斯特地区为例,量化了粮食供给(FP)、水量(WY)、土壤保持(SR)、碳固存(CS)和生境质量(HQ) 5个关键生态系统的潜在供给和农户感知缺口。然后,我们使用层次线性模型来确定跨层驱动机制。研究结果显示,5个社会服务体系之间存在显著的服务异质性和个体差异。计划生育和WY的认知差距总体上是积极的,反映了高需求和低供应。此外,CS及总部服务的评分则以负为主,显示需求低而供应高。感知差距的形成机制在个体层面受环境价值观和家庭类型的共同驱动,在村庄层面受自然条件和区位因素的共同驱动。该研究强调,差异化的治理策略对于弥合多种类型的认知差距至关重要,从而通过提高意识、优化服务提供和改善政策沟通,促进认知和生态可持续性的良性循环。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring sentiment dynamics and their driving factors in megacity residents’ environmental complaints through deep learning and multimodal data 利用深度学习和多模态数据分析超大城市居民环境投诉的情绪动态及其驱动因素
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103806
Anxin Lian , Yonglin Zhang , Yuying Liu , Yaran Jiao , Yue Cai , Zerui Wang , Xiaomeng Sun , Rencai Dong
As urbanization continues to accelerate, ecological challenges in cities have intensified, resulting in a growing number of environmental complaints from residents. Effectively exploring the potential public emotions behind complaints is helpful for improving the urban environmental governance capacity. However, most existing studies emphasize the drivers of environmental complaints, while giving limited attention to the mechanisms underlying residents' negative sentiment (RNS). In addition, the influence of the built environment on RNS remains insufficiently examined. Taking Guangzhou as a case study, this research applies the BERT model to conduct sentiment analysis on environmental complaint text data. Furthermore, a Light Gradient Boosting Machine-SHapley Additive exPlanation (LGB-SHAP) model is employed to characterize the nonlinear associations between RNS and its potential drivers. Results indicate that RNS is predominantly concentrated in the central built-up areas of Guangzhou, with stronger expressions observed during nighttime. Spatial overlap is evident between high-density complaint zones and RNS hotspots, highlighting critical areas for enhanced environmental surveillance. The plot ratio emerges as the strongest determinant of RNS. Moreover, the plot ratio often interacts with other factors, exerting either amplifying or mitigating effects on RNS within different threshold ranges. The influence of driving factors also varies across different land use types, where plot ratio and openness exert dominant impacts. This study integrates multimodal data to detect the emotional dynamics of residents’ environmental complaints and elucidates the driving mechanisms of RNS in relation to the built environment and socioeconomic factors, thereby providing a reference for more targeted and responsive urban environmental governance strategies.
随着城市化进程的不断加快,城市生态环境面临的挑战日益加剧,居民对环境问题的投诉日益增多。有效挖掘投诉背后潜在的公众情绪,有助于提升城市环境治理能力。然而,现有的研究大多强调环境投诉的驱动因素,而对居民负面情绪的机制关注有限。此外,建筑环境对RNS的影响仍未得到充分研究。本研究以广州市为例,运用BERT模型对环境投诉文本数据进行情感分析。此外,采用光梯度增强机- shapley加性解释(LGB-SHAP)模型来表征RNS与其潜在驱动因素之间的非线性关联。结果表明,RNS主要集中在广州市中心建成区,夜间表现较强。高密度投诉区和RNS热点之间的空间重叠明显,突出了加强环境监测的关键区域。地积比是RNS的最强决定因素。此外,地积比往往与其他因素相互作用,在不同阈值范围内对RNS产生放大或缓解作用。不同土地利用类型对驱动因素的影响也存在差异,其中容积率和开放度发挥主导作用。本研究整合多模态数据,检测居民环境投诉的情绪动态,阐明RNS在建成环境和社会经济因素方面的驱动机制,从而为更具针对性和响应性的城市环境治理策略提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Strong increase in coverage but accelerated fragmentation in China's urban forests under rapid urbanization” [Applied Geography 185 (2025) 103793] “快速城市化背景下中国城市森林盖度增长强劲但破碎化加速”的勘误表[应用地理185 (2025)103793]
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103810
Boyang Zhang , Zhibin Ren , Zhenghong Miao , Lei Wang , Chengcong Wang , Peng Zhang , Shengyang Hong , Xinyu Wang , Fanyue Meng , Baosen Huang
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引用次数: 0
How the neighborhood amenity mix shapes urban vitality: An exploratory analysis from a rhythm perspective 社区设施组合如何塑造城市活力:节奏视角的探索性分析
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103807
Qianyu Liu, Guangtian Zou, Yichen Luo
Neighborhood amenities, essential components of the built environment that support everyday life, play a pivotal role in enhancing urban vitality and advancing sustainable development. However, how the spatial co-location of neighborhood amenities—conceptualized as neighborhood amenity mix (NAM) —shapes urban vitality through synergistic effects across spatially heterogeneous urban development modes remains underexplored. This study constructs a framework consisting of 12 indicators across 3 dimensions—configuration, supply pattern, and spatial arrangement—to quantify the synergistic effects and co-location characteristics of NAM. By identifying rhythms of urban vitality from time-series data, the study classifies urban space into three development types. Furthermore, interpretable machine learning models are employed to uncover nonlinear relationships and threshold effects between indicators and vitality intensity. The results show that the proposed indicators explain an average of 61.86 % of the variance. Configuration and supply patterns exhibit consistent and critical effects, while spatial arrangements demonstrate pronounced heterogeneity. Threshold variations across development types underscore the context-dependent nature of neighborhood amenity planning. These thresholds offer data-informed support for developing locally adapted planning strategies.
邻里便利设施是支持日常生活的建筑环境的重要组成部分,在增强城市活力和促进可持续发展方面发挥着关键作用。然而,社区便利设施的空间共址——概念为社区便利设施组合(NAM)——如何通过跨空间异质城市发展模式的协同效应塑造城市活力仍未得到充分探讨。本研究构建了一个由配置、供给模式和空间布局三个维度的12个指标组成的框架,量化了NAM的协同效应和共地特征。通过时间序列数据识别城市活力的节奏,将城市空间划分为三种发展类型。此外,采用可解释的机器学习模型来揭示指标与活力强度之间的非线性关系和阈值效应。结果表明,所提出的指标平均解释了61.86%的方差。配置和供给模式表现出一致性和关键性的影响,而空间安排则表现出明显的异质性。不同开发类型的阈值差异强调了社区美化规划的环境依赖性。这些阈值为制定适合当地的规划战略提供了有数据依据的支持。
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引用次数: 0
The non-linear relationship between neighborhood environment and residents' happiness: an empirical study from low-income communities in Beijing 邻里环境与居民幸福感的非线性关系——基于北京低收入社区的实证研究
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103804
Lei Kang , Caicai Liu , Delin Du , Wenzhong Zhang
It is widely acknowledged that the quality of the neighborhood environment has an impact on residents' sense of happiness. However, the existing literature provides limited empirical evidence of the nonlinear effects of various attributes of the neighborhood environment on residents' happiness. To fill this gap in the knowledge, this paper employs an explainable artificial intelligence approach, namely, the GBDT-SHAP method. We conducted a case study of low-income communities in Beijing to explore the nonlinear and heterogeneous relationships between the neighborhood environment and the happiness of residents during the urban transformation process. The results show that residents in mature affordable housing communities report a significantly higher level of happiness compared to those in old unit communities and public rental housing communities. The subjective environment plays a more crucial role in influencing residents' happiness. Service facility satisfaction and natural environment satisfaction were identified as the most critical variables affecting residents' happiness, with social identification in the social environment having a more pronounced impact. Among the objective characteristics of the built environment, the POI entropy index and subway accessibility are the most important variables influencing residents’ happiness, with the crime rate in the social environment having a more significant effect. Service facility satisfaction and natural environment satisfaction were positively correlated with happiness. The relationship between crime rate and unemployment rate and happiness exhibits an inverted U-shaped pattern. Additionally, we investigated the differential impacts of community environments on various aspects of happiness among local and non-local residents.
人们普遍认为邻里环境的质量对居民的幸福感有影响。然而,现有文献对社区环境各属性对居民幸福感非线性影响的实证证据有限。为了填补这一知识空白,本文采用了一种可解释的人工智能方法,即GBDT-SHAP方法。本文以北京市低收入社区为研究对象,探讨城市转型过程中邻里环境与居民幸福感之间的非线性、异质关系。结果表明,成熟经济适用房社区居民的幸福感水平显著高于旧单元社区和公租房社区居民。主观环境对居民幸福感的影响更为关键。服务设施满意度和自然环境满意度是影响居民幸福感的最关键变量,其中社会环境中的社会认同对居民幸福感的影响更为显著。在建成环境的客观特征中,POI熵指数和地铁可达性是影响居民幸福感的最重要变量,其中社会环境犯罪率的影响更为显著。服务设施满意度、自然环境满意度与幸福感正相关。犯罪率、失业率和幸福感之间呈倒u型关系。此外,我们还调查了社区环境对本地和非本地居民幸福感各方面的不同影响。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven insights into flood disasters: Evaluating the impact on residents' emotions and living spaces in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region 洪涝灾害的数据驱动洞察:评估对京津冀地区居民情绪和生活空间的影响
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103803
Hanyu Yin , Cong Huang , Wenfang Tan , Rui Xiao
Frequent urban floods pose growing threats to residents' daily lives, highlighting the need to better understand their impacts on human well-being and everyday living environments. Previous studies have primarily focused on identifying flood-affected areas and analyzing residents' emotional responses. However, they often overlook how disaster severity relates to emotional reactions and the varied flood responses of different living spaces—leaving the differentiated impacts on residents' daily lives insufficiently understood. To address this gap, the study uses nighttime light data to quantify flood severity and relates it to residents’ emotional responses captured from Weibo posts. It further evaluates the flood performance of different living spaces—identified via POI and street view images—revealing spatial heterogeneity across urban areas. The results show that residents in severely affected areas exhibited more negative emotions, and this tendency became even stronger during the later stages of the disaster. Differences in infrastructure and mobility demands are linked to quicker recovery in residential and industrial zones, while commercial and tourist areas recover more slowly. Urban villages are heavily impacted, and those with poorer building quality in suburban areas exhibit lower flood resilience. Overall, this study integrates multi-source data to analyze how flood severity relates to residents' emotional responses and the varying resilience of different living spaces, offering deeper insight into the impacts of urban flooding on residents' daily lives.
频繁的城市洪水对居民的日常生活构成越来越大的威胁,因此需要更好地了解洪水对人类福祉和日常生活环境的影响。以前的研究主要集中在确定受洪水影响的地区和分析居民的情绪反应。然而,他们往往忽视了灾害严重程度与情绪反应的关系,以及不同居住空间对洪水的不同反应,从而对居民日常生活的不同影响缺乏充分的了解。为了解决这一差距,该研究使用夜间灯光数据来量化洪水的严重程度,并将其与从微博上捕捉到的居民情绪反应联系起来。通过POI和街景图像进一步评估了不同生活空间的洪水表现,揭示了城市地区的空间异质性。结果表明,受灾严重地区的居民表现出更多的负面情绪,这种倾向在灾害后期变得更加强烈。基础设施和交通需求的差异与住宅和工业区恢复得更快有关,而商业和旅游区恢复得更慢。城中村受到严重影响,郊区建筑质量较差的村庄抗洪能力较低。总体而言,本研究整合了多源数据,分析了洪水严重程度与居民情绪反应的关系,以及不同居住空间的不同弹性,从而更深入地了解城市洪水对居民日常生活的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Dark kitchens and streetscapes: Exploring the location choices of ‘dark kitchens’ using street view imagery 黑暗厨房和街景:利用街景图像探索“黑暗厨房”的位置选择
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103805
Donghyun Kim , Les Dolega , Jina Park
The rise of online food delivery platforms has led to the emergence of "dark kitchens", which operate without dine-in spaces. Several studies have examined the locational characteristics of restaurants, but the distinctive spatial patterns of dark kitchens compared to dine-in establishments remain unclear. To address this gap, we investigated the relationships between streetscape quality and the locational patterns of dark kitchens and dine-in restaurants, with a particular focus on identifying streetscape elements as potential differentiating factors. Streetscape quality, estimated through street view imagery, semantic segmentation, and perceptual deep-learning models and reduced into key components via principal component analysis, was used in negative binomial regression models to clarify how environmental features and socioeconomic attributes affect the distribution of dark kitchens and dine-in restaurants. Our findings indicate increased locational likelihoods of dark kitchens in areas with higher comfort, characterized by enclosure and sidewalk coverage, but decreased likelihoods in areas with high aesthetic quality. Notably, dine-in restaurants exhibit strong positive associations with both vibrancy and comfort, demonstrating their dependence on active and pedestrian-friendly streetscapes, whereas dark kitchens expand in efficiency-oriented environments by strategically prioritizing logistical accessibility over visual attractiveness. This study advances location theory and provides planning insights to adapt urban policies to emerging business models, responding to the ways digital platforms are reshaping the geography of food services. In practice, the study emphasizes the need for differentiated spatial strategies that balance delivery-oriented efficiency with preserving vibrant, pedestrian-centered retail environments.
在线送餐平台的兴起导致了“黑暗厨房”的出现,这些厨房没有就餐空间。几项研究调查了餐馆的区位特征,但与就餐场所相比,黑暗厨房的独特空间模式仍不清楚。为了解决这一差距,我们调查了街景质量与黑暗厨房和用餐餐厅的位置模式之间的关系,并特别关注街景元素作为潜在的差异化因素。通过街景图像、语义分割和感知深度学习模型估计街景质量,并通过主成分分析将其简化为关键成分,用于负二项回归模型,以澄清环境特征和社会经济属性如何影响黑暗厨房和用餐餐厅的分布。我们的研究结果表明,在舒适程度较高的区域(以围栏和人行道覆盖为特征),黑暗厨房的位置可能性增加,但在美学质量较高的区域,这种可能性降低。值得注意的是,用餐餐厅与活力和舒适度都表现出强烈的正相关,这表明它们依赖于活跃的行人友好型街景,而黑暗的厨房则通过战略性地优先考虑后勤可达性而不是视觉吸引力,在以效率为导向的环境中扩张。这项研究推进了区位理论,并提供了规划见解,以使城市政策适应新兴的商业模式,应对数字平台重塑餐饮服务地理的方式。在实践中,该研究强调需要差异化的空间策略,以平衡以交付为导向的效率与保持充满活力的、以行人为中心的零售环境。
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引用次数: 0
Can delivery riders act as informal guardians in crime prevention? 快递员能否成为预防犯罪的非正式监护人?
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103802
Shuli Zhou , Lin Liu , Han Yue , Kaiyin Yang , Jianjun Li , Guangwen Song
In recent years, the surge of delivery riders for the Internet platform economy has drawn widespread attention and sparked debate regarding their roles in urban governance. While some reported their traffic violations and disorderly conduct, 93 % of news reports observed their beneficial acts in urban governance. Whether the delivery riders can act as informal guardians who may potentially prevent crime has yet to be explored quantitatively in existing literature. To fill the gap, using mobile phone big data, this study identified and quantified the spatial distribution of delivery riders in ZG city. Then, this study employed a zero-inflated negative binomial model to analyze the relationship between their spatial distribution and street crime. Results showed that nearly 15,000 delivery riders of ZG city were identified from a large sample of mobile phone trajectory data, and they are mainly concentrated in economically active areas with busy commerce and service activities and dense populations. The number of riders’ visits exhibits a significant negative association with street crime. This demonstrates that delivery riders can indeed act as informal guardians, which has not been previously reported in existing literature. This study enriches the theory of informal guardianship in the Internet platform economy era and highlights the social value of delivery riders in urban governance, offering practical insights for urban safety planning.
近年来,互联网平台经济中快递员的激增引起了广泛关注,并引发了关于他们在城市治理中的作用的争论。虽然有些人报道了他们的交通违规和妨害治安行为,但93%的新闻报道看到了他们在城市治理中的有益行为。在现有文献中,送货员是否可以作为可能预防犯罪的非正式监护人,尚未进行定量研究。为了填补这一空白,本研究利用手机大数据,对ZG市外卖骑手的空间分布进行了识别和量化。然后,采用零膨胀负二项模型分析其空间分布与街头犯罪的关系。结果表明:从大样本的手机轨迹数据中识别出ZG市近1.5万名外卖骑手,他们主要集中在商业和服务活动繁忙、人口密集的经济活跃地区。乘车人次与街头犯罪呈显著负相关。这表明快递员确实可以作为非正式监护人,这在现有文献中没有报道过。本研究丰富了互联网平台经济时代的非正式监护理论,凸显了外卖骑手在城市治理中的社会价值,为城市安全规划提供了实践见解。
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