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Family background and life cycle earnings volatility: evidence from brother correlations in Denmark, Germany, and the United States
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soaf017
Filippo Gioachin, Kristian Bernt Karlson
While stratification scholars have extensively examined intergenerational associations in lifetime income, they have mostly disregarded how family background affects exposure to income volatility over the life course. As exposure to volatility represents a non-desirable outcome associated with negative shocks to individuals’ welfare, studying the link between family background and volatility is key to further advancing the understanding of how family-based inequalities impact lifelong economic prospects. This article fills this gap by providing a comprehensive analysis of the role of family background in shaping exposure to earnings volatility across the life course in Denmark, Germany, and the United States. We find that brother correlations in volatility exposure—a broad measure of family background’s impact—are much lower in Denmark than in Germany and the United States. Further analyses indicate that in Germany and the United States, family background exerts a considerable influence particularly around the period of occupational maturity, while in Denmark, its impact remains consistent over time. We also find that family background impacts volatility exposure net of individuals’ position in the overall earnings distribution, indicating that family background has a direct impact on volatility experiences and thus constitutes a nonnegligible component in intergenerational inequality.
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引用次数: 0
Generational variations in wellbeing: suicide rates, cohort characteristics, and national socio-political context over seven decades
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soaf019
Jean Stockard
Over recent decades, the relative wellbeing of younger birth cohorts declined in many western countries, indicating growing generational inequality. Building on Durkheimian theory, this paper examines explanations for these changes, hypothesizing that differences in cohort wellbeing are related to variations in social integration associated with birth cohorts and national socio-political contexts. Age–period-specific suicide rates of men and women from 1950 to 2020 in 19 highly developed western nations, including 26 birth cohorts, born from 1875 to 2004, are examined using estimable function analysis and age–period–cohort characteristic (APCC) models. Cohort variations in wellbeing are significantly greater in English-speaking nations, which have traditionally provided less institutionalized support and social integration than continental European nations. Age-specific suicide rates are larger for cohorts with childhood demographic characteristics associated with less social integration (relative cohort size and family structure). Major historical events associated with social integration in formative years of late adolescence and young adulthood also influence cohort wellbeing, with higher age-specific rates for cohorts experiencing the Great Depression of the 1930s and health pandemics of the early 20th and 21st centuries and lower rates for those experiencing periods of war and national conflict. However, the magnitude of these associations is strongly influenced by socio-political context. Negative effects of cohort characteristics are muted and positive effects are enhanced in the continental nations. In addition, patterns of associations vary by age and gender. Results remain with strong controls for the pace of change, additional measures of national context, and sensitivity analyses.
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引用次数: 0
Approaching or avoiding? Gender asymmetry in reactions to prior job search outcomes by gig workers in female- versus male-typed job domains
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-02-02 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soaf011
Tiantian Yang, Jiayi Bao, Ming D Leung
Despite recent increases in females entering male-typed job domains, women are more likely to exit these jobs than men, leading to a “leaky-pipeline” phenomenon and contributing to continued occupational gender segregation. Extant work has demonstrated that women are less likely to reapply to employers who previously rejected them for jobs in male-typed job domains. However, these studies leave unexamined whether women will reapply to other employers in those job domains and, if so, whether this pattern differs in female-typed job domains, hampering our confidence in the contribution of these patterns to gender segregation. This paper investigates whether employer rejection dampens women’s job-seeking persistence more than men’s for all employers and across male versus female job domains. Regression analyses of more than 700,000 applications for over 200,000 job postings by roughly 70,000 freelancers in an online contract labor market demonstrate that women are more likely than men to reduce job-seeking activity from all employers following rejections in the male-typed IT and programming job domain. Women are also more likely than men to seek jobs in other domains outside IT and programming following job-seeking rejection. By contrast, female freelancers in female-typed writing and translation jobs do not exhibit similar gendered behavior patterns. Implications for research on gender segregation, careers, and hiring are discussed.
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引用次数: 0
Racial prisms: experimental evidence on families’ race-based evaluations of school safety
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-26 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soaf012
Chantal A Hailey
Racial segregation is an enduring social reality in the United States. Since safety is central to residential and educational decisions, one explanation is, when choosing neighborhoods and schools, individuals use racial composition to signal safety. However, few studies have focused on race-based perceptions of school safety. To examine racialized school safety beliefs, I leverage an original survey experiment with 995 White, Asian, Latine, and Black eighth-grade parents and students. Respondents examined school profiles with randomly varied racial compositions, school and neighborhood safety ratings, metal detector presence, and graduation rates. Among Whites, Asians, and Latines, school racial composition shapes their beliefs about school safety, even when schools have identical safety ratings and security measures. White and Asian respondents believed that Black and Latine schools were less safe than White schools; Latine respondents believed that Black schools were less safe than all other schools; and school racial composition did not influence Black respondents’ beliefs about school safety. Non-Black respondents, with stronger anti-Black and anti-Latine personal racial biases and more knowledge of cultural stereotypes of Black violence, were more likely to express race-based beliefs about school safety. Non-Black respondents’ anti-Black perceptions of school safety contributed to their avoidance of Black schools. These findings suggest that anti-Blackness undergirds the public imagination of physical spaces and has implications for understanding contemporary segregation, discrimination, and racial inequality.
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引用次数: 0
Parental union dissolution and children’s emotional and behavioral problems: addressing selection and considering the role of post-dissolution living arrangements
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soaf015
Mikkeline Munk Nielsen, Peter Fallesen, Michael Gähler
Increasingly children whose parents no longer live together are living in two households, alternating between family contexts. A growing literature documents strong, descriptive heterogeneities in children’s wellbeing across living arrangements. We combine longitudinal survey and administrative population data on 6000 Danish children born in 1995 to study how children’s emotional and behavioral problems change following parental union dissolution. Extending the existing, predominantly descriptive literature, we use several panel regression strategies that aim to control for unobservable confounding together with repeated measurement of the Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire to study children’s problems increase after parental union dissolution and examine heterogeneity across post-dissolution living arrangements. We find a substantial increase in emotional and behavioral problems following union dissolution, but only little evidence for substantial heterogeneity existing across post-dissolution family constellations and living arrangements. Our findings indicate that not only there is casual effect of parental union dissolution on children’s long-term wellbeing, but also that existing descriptive findings on differences across living arrangements likely are due to selection.
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引用次数: 0
A processual framework for understanding the rise of the populist right: the case of Brazil (2013–2018) 理解民粹主义右翼崛起的程序框架:以巴西为例(2013-2018)
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae189
Benjamin H Bradlow, Tomás Gold
How and in what sequence do social structures, contingent events, and agents’ decisions combine over time to bring about a new populist right? To answer this question, we propose a framework to analyze social processes spanning three levels of analysis: global political economy, national political articulation, and subnational political geography. We challenge static theories that focus solely on the “supply and demand” for populism, as well as purely contingent accounts of a “perfect storm.” Instead, we argue that processes across these three levels link together in causal chains to produce an “ecosystem” of right-wing populist support. To specify this framework, we analyze the ascendance of Jair Bolsonaro to the presidency of Brazil between 2013 and 2018, drawing upon quantitative macroeconomic and protest event data, qualitative interview and archival data collected from private sector actors and social movements, and geo-spatial electoral data. Finally, we probe the generalizability of this analytical framework through a discussion of secondary work on recent cases of right-wing populism in the Global South. By focusing on the dynamic connection of inter-scalar processes over time, we illustrate how our framework paves the way for further conjunctural analyses of the current right-wing populist upsurge.
随着时间的推移,社会结构、偶发事件和行动者的决策是如何以及以什么顺序结合起来产生新的民粹主义权利的?为了回答这个问题,我们提出了一个框架来分析跨越三个分析层次的社会过程:全球政治经济、国家政治衔接和次国家政治地理。我们挑战那些只关注民粹主义的“供给和需求”的静态理论,以及对“完美风暴”的纯粹偶然描述。相反,我们认为这三个层次的过程在因果链中联系在一起,产生了右翼民粹主义支持的“生态系统”。为了明确这一框架,我们分析了雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗(Jair Bolsonaro)在2013年至2018年期间担任巴西总统的优势,利用了定量宏观经济和抗议事件数据、从私营部门行为者和社会运动中收集的定性访谈和档案数据,以及地理空间选举数据。最后,我们通过对最近全球南方右翼民粹主义案例的次要工作的讨论来探讨这一分析框架的普遍性。通过关注标量间过程随时间的动态联系,我们说明了我们的框架如何为进一步分析当前右翼民粹主义热潮铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan identity, scientific and religious authority, and lawmaker support for science policy 党派认同,科学和宗教权威,以及立法者对科学政策的支持
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae188
Timothy L O'Brien, David R Johnson
This article examines mechanisms related to lawmaker support for public policies based on scientific evidence and supportive of organized science. We propose that Republican lawmakers are more likely than Democrats to oppose these policies because Republicans are less likely than Democrats to base policy decisions on scientific authority and more likely than Democrats to base decisions on religious authority. We tested this hypothesis using data from a survey of state legislators from all 50 states (n = 941). Our structural equation model shows that compared to Democrats, Republicans’ policy decisions rely less on information from scientists and other experts and more on information from religious leaders. We also find evidence that lawmakers’ reliance on scientific and religious authority plays intermediary roles between their partisan identities and their attitudes about energy, vaccine, and biomedical research policies. Specifically, party differences in support for each kind of policy are associated with Democratic lawmakers’ greater reliance on science and Republicans’ greater reliance on religion. We conclude by discussing the implications of these findings for research on science, religion, politics, and policymaking.
本文以科学证据和有组织的科学支持为基础,探讨立法者支持公共政策的相关机制。我们认为,共和党议员比民主党议员更有可能反对这些政策,因为共和党议员比民主党议员更不可能根据科学权威做出决策,而比民主党议员更有可能根据宗教权威做出决策。我们使用来自所有50个州的州议员(n = 941)的调查数据来检验这一假设。我们的结构方程模型显示,与民主党人相比,共和党人的政策决定较少依赖于科学家和其他专家的信息,而更多地依赖于宗教领袖的信息。我们还发现有证据表明,立法者对科学和宗教权威的依赖在他们的党派身份和他们对能源、疫苗和生物医学研究政策的态度之间起着中介作用。具体来说,两党对每种政策的支持差异与民主党议员更依赖科学和共和党议员更依赖宗教有关。最后,我们讨论了这些发现对科学、宗教、政治和政策制定研究的意义。
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引用次数: 0
“Not one of us”: anti-immigrant sentiment spread to multiple immigrant groups in the wake of Islamic terrorism “不是我们中的一员”:在伊斯兰恐怖主义之后,反移民情绪蔓延到多个移民群体
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae172
Daniel Ramirez, Joeun Kim
In reaction to terrorism, current research shows that discriminatory attitudes against immigrant populations among native populations sometimes increase. However, it is unclear if native populations respond to threats with a specifically targeted anti-immigrant sentiment or whether there is a general increase in anti-immigrant views that spill over to other minority groups. Furthermore, plausible processes explaining the spread of anti-immigration sentiment to larger immigrant populations are largely underexplored in the research. This article analyzes the impact of terrorist attacks on anti-Muslim sentiment and spillover effects on groups seemingly unrelated to the attacks. Using the coincidental timing of the European Social Survey and the attack on Charlie Hebdo, we investigate the effects of terrorism on anti-immigrant attitudes toward Muslim, Jewish, and Roma minorities. Second, in accordance with symbolic boundary theory, we investigate whether the Charlie Hebdo attack increased discriminatory attitudes toward immigrant characteristics and argue that these spillover effects are partially attributable to such changes. Our findings show that the Charlie Hebdo attack was associated with increased anti-immigrant sentiment toward all three groups to a comparable degree and that these effects are partially explained by intensified racial and religious boundaries. Furthermore, we find that the association between the attack and increases in racial and religious boundaries, as well as discriminatory attitudes toward all studied minorities, is stronger in countries with historically low immigration reception. Our study finds that where discriminatory processes are activated, they are not manifested through precise social categorization but rather using generalized minority characteristics.
针对恐怖主义,目前的研究表明,土著居民对移民人口的歧视态度有时会增加。然而,目前尚不清楚的是,当地居民是否会以一种专门针对反移民的情绪来应对威胁,或者反移民观点是否会普遍增加,并蔓延到其他少数群体。此外,在研究中,解释反移民情绪向更多移民人口传播的合理过程在很大程度上没有得到充分的探讨。本文分析了恐怖袭击对反穆斯林情绪的影响以及对看似与袭击无关的群体的溢出效应。利用欧洲社会调查和查理周刊袭击的巧合时间,我们调查了恐怖主义对穆斯林、犹太人和罗姆少数民族反移民态度的影响。其次,根据符号边界理论,我们研究了《查理周刊》袭击事件是否增加了对移民特征的歧视态度,并认为这些溢出效应部分归因于这种变化。我们的研究结果表明,《查理周报》袭击事件与针对这三个群体的反移民情绪的增加有相当程度的关联,而这些影响部分可以用种族和宗教界限的强化来解释。此外,我们发现袭击与种族和宗教界限增加之间的联系,以及对所有被研究的少数民族的歧视态度,在历史上移民接待量较低的国家更为强烈。我们的研究发现,当歧视过程被激活时,它们不是通过精确的社会分类表现出来的,而是使用广义的少数民族特征。
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引用次数: 0
The causal effect of liberalizing legal requirements on naturalization intentions 放宽法律要求对归化意图的因果影响
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae170
Yuliya Kosyakova, Andreas Damelang
This study investigates the multifaceted factors influencing immigrants’ naturalization intentions, with a primary focus on legal requirements and the implementation of naturalization laws. It distinguishes between different groups of non-citizens, such as refugees, European Union (EU) citizens, and non-EU citizens. Employing a vignette experiment among non-citizens in a large-scale representative data in Germany—the German Socioeconomic Panel (in 2022), the IAB-SOEP Migration Sample (in 2022), and the IAB-BAMF-SOEP Survey of Refugees in Germany (in 2021) (Total N = 6431)—the research empirically analyzes the effects of liberalizing legal requirements and the effects of more inclusive naturalization procedure on intentions to acquire German citizenship. This comparison, both for current versus liberalized requirements and less versus more inclusive naturalization procedures, offers a realistic scenario of how liberalization and inclusiveness impact naturalization intentions. The results reveal that liberalizing legal requirements, specifically dual citizenship availability and reduced waiting period, has a positive effect on naturalization intentions. Simultaneously, these effects differ between the three groups of non-citizens, particularly due to differences in the perceived benefits of naturalization. In contrast, a more inclusive naturalization procedure does not affect non-citizens’ naturalization intentions. These results underline the importance of citizenship policy for the naturalization intentions of non-citizens. However, the results also show nuanced reactions to liberalized requirements stressing the importance of group-specific cost–benefit considerations.
本研究考察了影响移民入籍意愿的多方面因素,主要关注法律要求和入籍法的实施。它区分了不同的非公民群体,如难民、欧盟公民和非欧盟公民。通过在德国大规模代表性数据——德国社会经济小组(2022年)、IAB-SOEP移民样本(2022年)和IAB-BAMF-SOEP德国难民调查(2021年)——中对非公民进行小插图实验,研究实证分析了放宽法律要求的影响,以及更具包容性的入籍程序对获得德国公民身份意愿的影响。这种比较,既包括当前与自由化的要求,也包括更少与更包容的入籍程序,提供了一个现实的场景,说明自由化和包容性如何影响入籍意图。结果表明,放宽法律要求,特别是双重国籍的可获得性和减少等待时间,对入籍意愿有积极影响。同时,这些影响在三种非公民群体之间有所不同,特别是由于对入籍好处的看法不同。相比之下,更具包容性的入籍程序并不影响非公民的入籍意图。这些结果强调了公民政策对非公民入籍意愿的重要性。然而,结果也显示了对自由化要求的微妙反应,强调了特定群体成本效益考虑的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The decoupling of socioeconomic status, postmaterialism, and environmental concern in an unequal world: a cross-national intercohort analysis 在一个不平等的世界中,社会经济地位、后唯物主义和环境问题的脱钩:一个跨国间队列分析
IF 4.8 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae168
Yan Wang
There has been an intense yet inconclusive debate over the impacts of socioeconomic status (SES) and postmaterialism on environmental concern. Recent years have seen a growing interest in addressing the controversy by exploring the conditioning effect of social context. Previous studies of inequality argue that it unevenly exposes people to environmental degradation, reduces social cooperation, and erodes egalitarian values. This study integrates the two lines of research by linking social inequality to environmental sustainability and examines the extent to which inequality shapes the impact of SES and postmaterialism on environmental concern in the cross-national intercohort context. Analyses of multiple waves of the World Values Survey data using the hierarchical age-period-cohort modeling techniques suggest that contextual inequality substantially attenuates the effects of SES and postmaterialism. This relationship is consistent across countries with different economic development levels and more pronounced in older cohorts. The current study illustrates the importance of careful consideration of social conditions, the unequal distribution of income in particular, when examining predictors of environmental concern, and sheds light on the theorization of a more inclusive, balanced human-nature relationship.
关于社会经济地位(SES)和后唯物主义对环境问题的影响,一直存在激烈但尚无定论的争论。近年来,人们越来越有兴趣通过探索社会环境的条件作用来解决这一争议。先前对不平等的研究认为,它使人们不均匀地暴露于环境退化、减少社会合作、侵蚀平等主义价值观。本研究通过将社会不平等与环境可持续性联系起来,整合了两条研究路线,并考察了在跨国队列背景下,不平等在多大程度上塑造了社会经济地位和后唯物主义对环境问题的影响。使用分层年龄-时期-队列建模技术对世界价值观调查数据的多波分析表明,背景不平等大大减弱了社会经济地位和后唯物主义的影响。这种关系在不同经济发展水平的国家中是一致的,在老年人群中更为明显。目前的研究表明,在检查环境问题的预测因素时,仔细考虑社会条件,特别是收入分配不均的重要性,并阐明了更包容、更平衡的人与自然关系的理论化。
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引用次数: 0
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Social Forces
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