Pub Date : 2024-10-18DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123797
Jaime Roberto Pohlmann , Jose Luis Duarte Ribeiro , Carla Schwengber ten Caten , Sabrina da Rosa Pojo Santos
This study investigates the Principal Investigator's (PI's) role in enhancing Technology Transfer (TT) culture within a University Ecosystem (UE). We propose an approach for diagnosing TT culture within a UE at the micro- and meso-levels. The approach employs a survey to assess the UE's maturity regarding the core competencies of a PI. The approach: (i) assesses UE's maturity and categorises its researchers regarding the PI's core competencies, (ii) assesses researchers' resources and capabilities, and (iii) assesses the UE's TT culture. We applied the proposed approach to a large Brazilian university for testing and validation. The findings offer a comprehensive overview of UE's TT culture and highlight the PI's pivotal role in establishing a robust UE. As a contribution, we offer a practical approach to diagnosing a university ecosystem's TT culture through micro and meso-level analysis, advancing research on PI's role in aligning a UE to the Entrepreneurial University (EU) concept.
本研究探讨了首席研究员（PI）在增强大学生态系统（UE）中的技术转让（TT）文化方面所起的作用。我们提出了一种在微观和中观层面诊断 UE 内技术转让文化的方法。该方法通过调查来评估 UE 在 PI 核心能力方面的成熟度。该方法：(i) 评估 UE 的成熟度，并根据 PI 的核心能力对其研究人员进行分类；(ii) 评估研究人员的资源和能力；(iii) 评估 UE 的 TT 文化。我们将建议的方法应用于巴西一所大型大学进行测试和验证。研究结果全面概述了 UE 的 TT 文化，并强调了首席研究员在建立健全的 UE 中的关键作用。作为一项贡献，我们提供了一种实用的方法，通过微观和中观层面的分析来诊断大学生态系统的 TT 文化，推动了关于 PI 在使大学生态系统符合创业型大学（EU）理念方面所起作用的研究。
{"title":"A micro and meso analysis of the role of principal investigators in entrepreneurial university ecosystems","authors":"Jaime Roberto Pohlmann , Jose Luis Duarte Ribeiro , Carla Schwengber ten Caten , Sabrina da Rosa Pojo Santos","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123797","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the Principal Investigator's (PI's) role in enhancing Technology Transfer (TT) culture within a University Ecosystem (UE). We propose an approach for diagnosing TT culture within a UE at the micro- and meso-levels. The approach employs a survey to assess the UE's maturity regarding the core competencies of a PI. The approach: (i) assesses UE's maturity and categorises its researchers regarding the PI's core competencies, (ii) assesses researchers' resources and capabilities, and (iii) assesses the UE's TT culture. We applied the proposed approach to a large Brazilian university for testing and validation. The findings offer a comprehensive overview of UE's TT culture and highlight the PI's pivotal role in establishing a robust UE. As a contribution, we offer a practical approach to diagnosing a university ecosystem's TT culture through micro and meso-level analysis, advancing research on PI's role in aligning a UE to the Entrepreneurial University (EU) concept.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123797"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444547","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123806
Zara Murtaza , Isha Sharma , Pilar Carbonell
This study investigates the role of chatbot communication style (task vs. social oriented), task complexity (high vs. low), brand personality (sophisticated vs. sincere), and anthropomorphism on consumer trust and chatbot usage intention. Data is collected through three experiments conducted among US respondents (N = 328, 200, and 336). The results offer mixed insights as only one experiment supports that task complexity moderates the effect of communication style on trust, such that, task-oriented communication style of the chatbot leads to higher trust under high task complexity conditions. No significant differences in the moderating effect of task complexity on the relationship between communication style and trust is observed between sincere and sophisticated brands. Consistent across the three studies, it is observed that perceived anthropomorphism mediates the effect of communication style on trust which, in turn, affects intention to use the chatbot. The study contributes to literature on AI-enabled conversational agents, human computer interaction, anthropomorphism, and trust. Practically, the study offers insights for managers and service providers who wish to integrate chatbots and other AI enabled technology to enhance service delivery by providing efficient, cost-effective, and consistent support.
{"title":"Examining chatbot usage intention in a service encounter: Role of task complexity, communication style, and brand personality","authors":"Zara Murtaza , Isha Sharma , Pilar Carbonell","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123806","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123806","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the role of chatbot communication style (task vs. social oriented), task complexity (high vs. low), brand personality (sophisticated vs. sincere), and anthropomorphism on consumer trust and chatbot usage intention. Data is collected through three experiments conducted among US respondents (<em>N</em> = 328, 200, and 336). The results offer mixed insights as only one experiment supports that task complexity moderates the effect of communication style on trust, such that, task-oriented communication style of the chatbot leads to higher trust under high task complexity conditions. No significant differences in the moderating effect of task complexity on the relationship between communication style and trust is observed between sincere and sophisticated brands. Consistent across the three studies, it is observed that perceived anthropomorphism mediates the effect of communication style on trust which, in turn, affects intention to use the chatbot. The study contributes to literature on AI-enabled conversational agents, human computer interaction, anthropomorphism, and trust. Practically, the study offers insights for managers and service providers who wish to integrate chatbots and other AI enabled technology to enhance service delivery by providing efficient, cost-effective, and consistent support.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123806"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The concept of social innovation has received considerable interest in recent years, both in research and policy. One of the main challenges lies in understanding how to move from experimentation to spreading social innovation and bringing it to widespread use. This is how concrete objectives for sustainable development can be achieved in a given territory. Intermediation plays an essential but little-studied role in the spread of social innovation. In this study, we endeavoured to understand how the social innovation intermediation process is constructed and its effects. We interconnected the actor-network theory and middleground approach to separate the practices and dynamics at work in an emblematic case: the Start-Up de Territoire (in France). By entering the ‘black box’ of the social innovation factory, we observed how the role of social innovation intermediary is built gradually over time. We then identified three main social innovation intermediation processes that condition its scale-up: building the vision of the territory, expanding the network, and defining how the different levels interrelate by distinguishing between top-down and bottom-up translations.
Our analysis contributes to the literature on social innovation by providing an interpretative framework to understand how intermediation dynamics interrelate at different levels. This contribution thus makes it possible to strengthen the theoretical foundation of social innovation and explore the connection between social innovation and transformation.
近年来，社会创新的概念在研究和政策方面都受到了广泛关注。主要挑战之一在于了解如何从实验走向推广社会创新并使其得到广泛应用。这就是如何在特定地区实现可持续发展的具体目标。中介在社会创新的传播过程中发挥着至关重要的作用，但却鲜有研究。在这项研究中，我们努力了解社会创新中介过程的构建方式及其影响。我们将行动者网络理论和中间环节方法结合起来，将一个具有代表性的案例--Start-Up de Territoire（法国）--中的实践和动力分离开来。通过进入社会创新工厂的 "黑盒子"，我们观察到社会创新中介的角色是如何随着时间的推移逐渐形成的。然后，我们确定了制约其规模扩大的三大社会创新中介过程：建立地区愿景、扩大网络，以及通过区分自上而下和自下而上的翻译来定义不同层次之间的相互关系。我们的分析提供了一个解释性框架，以了解中介动态如何在不同层面上相互关联，从而为社会创新方面的文献做出了贡献。因此，这一贡献使得加强社会创新的理论基础和探索社会创新与转型之间的联系成为可能。
{"title":"Towards local sustainability: How intermediation fosters social innovation","authors":"Romain Slitine , Didier Chabaud , Nadine Richez-Battesti","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123790","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123790","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The concept of social innovation has received considerable interest in recent years, both in research and policy. One of the main challenges lies in understanding how to move from experimentation to spreading social innovation and bringing it to widespread use. This is how concrete objectives for sustainable development can be achieved in a given territory. Intermediation plays an essential<!--> <!-->but little-studied role in the spread of social innovation. In this study, we endeavoured to understand how the social innovation intermediation process is constructed and its effects. We interconnected the actor-network theory and <em>middleground</em> approach to separate the practices and dynamics at work in an emblematic case: the <em>Start-Up de Territoire</em> (in France). By entering the ‘black box’ of the social innovation factory, we observed how the role of social innovation intermediary is built gradually over time. We then identified three main social innovation intermediation processes that condition its scale-up: building the vision of the territory, expanding the network, and defining how the different levels interrelate by distinguishing between top-down and bottom-up translations.</div><div>Our analysis contributes to the literature on social innovation by providing an interpretative framework to understand how intermediation dynamics interrelate at different levels. This contribution thus makes it possible to strengthen the theoretical foundation of social innovation and explore the connection between social innovation and transformation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123790"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123831
Muhammad Farrukh Shahzad, Shuo Xu
2015 witnessed the introduction of the sustainable development goals (SDGs) by the United Nations (UN). Few studies have been conducted on emerging technologies for international entrepreneurship, how these technologies are developed across sectors, or how they can enhance the global sustainability of businesses to support the 2030 sustainable agenda. Therefore, his study investigates the impact of antecedents of international entrepreneurship on the SDGs through the mediating role of emerging technologies, with a precise focus on the moderating role of a global mindset. Data was collected through a cross-sectional approach from 484 entrepreneurs in China. Collected data were analyzed using PLS-SEM techniques on the statistical software SmartPLS 4. The study findings reveal that key antecedents of international entrepreneurship significantly influence the SDGs. Moreover, emerging technologies act as a significant mediator between international entrepreneurship antecedents and SDGs. Additionally, a global mindset among entrepreneurs is found to be a significant moderator between emerging technologies and SDGs. This study adds to the existing literature by presenting empirical evidence on the interconnections between international entrepreneurship, emerging technologies, and sustainable organizational development. The implications of this study offer valuable understandings for entrepreneurs aiming to enhance their organizations' sustainable development through innovative and entrepreneurial initiatives.
{"title":"Antecedents of international entrepreneurship and emerging technologies help to achieve sustainable development goals: Moderating role of global mindset","authors":"Muhammad Farrukh Shahzad, Shuo Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123831","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123831","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>2015 witnessed the introduction of the sustainable development goals (SDGs) by the United Nations (UN). Few studies have been conducted on emerging technologies for international entrepreneurship, how these technologies are developed across sectors, or how they can enhance the global sustainability of businesses to support the 2030 sustainable agenda. Therefore, his study investigates the impact of antecedents of international entrepreneurship on the SDGs through the mediating role of emerging technologies, with a precise focus on the moderating role of a global mindset. Data was collected through a cross-sectional approach from 484 entrepreneurs in China. Collected data were analyzed using PLS-SEM techniques on the statistical software SmartPLS 4. The study findings reveal that key antecedents of international entrepreneurship significantly influence the SDGs. Moreover, emerging technologies act as a significant mediator between international entrepreneurship antecedents and SDGs. Additionally, a global mindset among entrepreneurs is found to be a significant moderator between emerging technologies and SDGs. This study adds to the existing literature by presenting empirical evidence on the interconnections between international entrepreneurship, emerging technologies, and sustainable organizational development. The implications of this study offer valuable understandings for entrepreneurs aiming to enhance their organizations' sustainable development through innovative and entrepreneurial initiatives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123831"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-16DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123791
Anqi Hu, Ruizhi Yuan, Ruolan Chen, Martin J. Liu
Social media has produced a new breed of celebrity—the micro-celebrity—who achieves excellence by promoting themself and engaging in audience communication. Based on social media affordance theory, our study explores how micro-celebrities cope with the stress caused by their status. Semi-structured interviews and observations are used as an interpretive paradigm with a comprehensive sample of 22 micro-celebrities and three managers and their presence in the live streaming industry in China. The findings show that: micro-celebrity status triggers role stress, and, in turn, role stress reinforces micro-celebrity status; and empty self and trans-parasocial interactions are two approaches that can be used to cope with role stress. The contribution made is threefold. Firstly, our study expands micro-celebrity literature by identifying the facets of their social media-afforded status in the context of live streaming in China. Secondly, our study contributes role theory by exploring three facets of micro-celebrity's role stress in live streaming in China. Thirdly, our study proposes that a micro-celebrity's stress, is a social phenomenon and its recognition helps our understanding of actively self- and socially-related coping approaches. We also provide managerial implications to better understand the micro-celebrity stress phenomenon and corresponding coping approaches.
{"title":"A glamorous but highly stressful job: The role of social media-afforded status in micro-celebrity stress coping","authors":"Anqi Hu, Ruizhi Yuan, Ruolan Chen, Martin J. Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123791","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123791","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social media has produced a new breed of celebrity—the micro-celebrity—who achieves excellence by promoting themself and engaging in audience communication. Based on social media affordance theory, our study explores how micro-celebrities cope with the stress caused by their status. Semi-structured interviews and observations are used as an interpretive paradigm with a comprehensive sample of 22 micro-celebrities and three managers and their presence in the live streaming industry in China. The findings show that: micro-celebrity status triggers role stress, and, in turn, role stress reinforces micro-celebrity status; and empty self and trans-parasocial interactions are two approaches that can be used to cope with role stress. The contribution made is threefold. Firstly, our study expands micro-celebrity literature by identifying the facets of their social media-afforded status in the context of live streaming in China. Secondly, our study contributes role theory by exploring three facets of micro-celebrity's role stress in live streaming in China. Thirdly, our study proposes that a micro-celebrity's stress, is a social phenomenon and its recognition helps our understanding of actively self- and socially-related coping approaches. We also provide managerial implications to better understand the micro-celebrity stress phenomenon and corresponding coping approaches.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123791"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142440922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Digitalization initiatives and technology are essential for risk management and for maintaining a sustainable manufacturing system during disruptions and failures. This research has identified and analyzed the impact of digital twins on the manufacturing supply chain (MSC) in enhancing the resilient-sustainable capabilities of the production systems. Both sustainability and resilience are interrelated concepts and have recently gotten attention from researchers because of the rising complexity in the supply chain. This research study has identified the seventeen resilient sustainable factors in the digitally driven MSC through extant literature and experts' opinions. This research work has used a novel technique, grey influence analysis (GINA), for causal analysis of the factors. After analysis, based on total influence score, visibility (VIS) and coordination (COO) ranked first and second, respectively. These are the most influencing factors because of the adoption of digital twins (DTs) in the MSC. The DT in MSC for the resilient-sustainable systems will improve the visibility, and supply chain players must collaborate and connect to effectively manage risks and ensure the sustainability of all links in the digital supply chain. This research study is helpful for practitioners, researchers, and managers working in digitally driven MSC.
{"title":"Analyzing the role of digital twins in developing a resilient sustainable manufacturing supply chain: A grey influence analysis (GINA) approach","authors":"Gaurvendra Singh , R. Rajesh , Subhas Chandra Misra , Shubhendu Singh","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123763","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123763","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digitalization initiatives and technology are essential for risk management and for maintaining a sustainable manufacturing system during disruptions and failures. This research has identified and analyzed the impact of digital twins on the manufacturing supply chain (MSC) in enhancing the resilient-sustainable capabilities of the production systems. Both sustainability and resilience are interrelated concepts and have recently gotten attention from researchers because of the rising complexity in the supply chain. This research study has identified the seventeen resilient sustainable factors in the digitally driven MSC through extant literature and experts' opinions. This research work has used a novel technique, grey influence analysis (GINA), for causal analysis of the factors. After analysis, based on total influence score, <em>visibility (VIS)</em> and <em>coordination (COO)</em> ranked first and second, respectively. These are the most influencing factors because of the adoption of digital twins (DTs) in the MSC. The DT in MSC for the resilient-sustainable systems will improve the visibility, and supply chain players must collaborate and connect to effectively manage risks and ensure the sustainability of all links in the digital supply chain. This research study is helpful for practitioners, researchers, and managers working in digitally driven MSC.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123763"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142440921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper presents a methodology for discovering technological opportunities of cutting-edge technologies by capturing information from literature. Technological opportunities are expressed in the form of business applications of technologies in untested contexts, i.e. unexplored industries and business processes. The paper underscores the advantages of discovering opportunities starting from existing emerging practices presented in scientific papers, in contrast with the current state of the art that prefers other datasets. The business cases presented in journals are converted into the triad technology-industry-process and the impact on the business performance is reported. From the analysis of 33,285 papers, 14,739 existing triads have been captured. An artificial neural network has been trained using this dataset, enabling accurate forecasting of the potential impact of vacant combinations technology-industry-process. The methodology has been tested on 11 cutting-edge technologies: 3D printing, artificial intelligence, blockchain, computing, digital applications, geo-spatial technologies, immersive environments, internet of things, open & crowd-based platforms, proximity technologies, robotics. For each technology, a technological opportunity map is provided to show the best vacant areas for future implementation. The methodology distinguishes between combinations with uncertain and confident expected impact, so that companies can focus on the most promising areas. Implications for both practice and academia are discussed.
{"title":"Discovering technological opportunities of cutting-edge technologies: A methodology based on literature analysis and artificial neural network","authors":"Antonello Cammarano, Vincenzo Varriale, Francesca Michelino, Mauro Caputo","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123811","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123811","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a methodology for discovering technological opportunities of cutting-edge technologies by capturing information from literature. Technological opportunities are expressed in the form of business applications of technologies in untested contexts, i.e. unexplored industries and business processes. The paper underscores the advantages of discovering opportunities starting from existing emerging practices presented in scientific papers, in contrast with the current state of the art that prefers other datasets. The business cases presented in journals are converted into the triad technology-industry-process and the impact on the business performance is reported. From the analysis of 33,285 papers, 14,739 existing triads have been captured. An artificial neural network has been trained using this dataset, enabling accurate forecasting of the potential impact of vacant combinations technology-industry-process. The methodology has been tested on 11 cutting-edge technologies: 3D printing, artificial intelligence, blockchain, computing, digital applications, geo-spatial technologies, immersive environments, internet of things, open & crowd-based platforms, proximity technologies, robotics. For each technology, a technological opportunity map is provided to show the best vacant areas for future implementation. The methodology distinguishes between combinations with uncertain and confident expected impact, so that companies can focus on the most promising areas. Implications for both practice and academia are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123811"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142433550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-15DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123804
Jianning Dang, Li Liu
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Viewing machines as humans but humans as machines? Social connectedness shapes the robot anthropomorphism-dehumanization link” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 208 (2024) 1–11/123683]","authors":"Jianning Dang, Li Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123804","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123804","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123804"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper employs a novel visibility graph technique to explore the time-lagged effects of global geopolitical risks on unemployment rates. This approach aids in understanding and predicting future global economic cycles and conditions. The study reveals that global geopolitical risks impact economic cycles through channels such as WTI crude oil prices and economic policy uncertainty. Specifically, the average lag through WTI crude oil prices is 7.5 months, and through economic policy uncertainty, it is 8.4 months. Furthermore, this paper analyzes the varying lagged effects of global geopolitical risks on economic cycles across different countries.
{"title":"An analysis of the time-lag effect of global geopolitical risk on business cycle based on visibility graph technique","authors":"Yunfeng SHANG , Zhongwei XIA , Zhongyi XIAO , Wai Yan SHUM","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123823","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123823","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper employs a novel visibility graph technique to explore the time-lagged effects of global geopolitical risks on unemployment rates. This approach aids in understanding and predicting future global economic cycles and conditions. The study reveals that global geopolitical risks impact economic cycles through channels such as WTI crude oil prices and economic policy uncertainty. Specifically, the average lag through WTI crude oil prices is 7.5 months, and through economic policy uncertainty, it is 8.4 months. Furthermore, this paper analyzes the varying lagged effects of global geopolitical risks on economic cycles across different countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123823"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142440920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We investigate the impact of digital and non-digital knowledge search channels on the likelihood of innovation failure among knowledge-creating, knowledge-using and non-innovative firms in emerging innovation systems. Our results show that digital search channels reduce the risk of innovation failure exclusively for knowledge-creating firms, emphasising the importance of internal capabilities in knowledge absorption. These channels allow firms to overcome the limitations of local markets and access distant knowledge resources more cost-effectively. The study extends the literature on innovation failure by emphasising the role of Internet-based technologies in facilitating the flow of knowledge between firms and their external environment. It improves our understanding of how context influences innovation outcomes and provides evidence-based insights for the development of innovation strategies, especially in environments where learning opportunities are scarce and the shift towards innovation-driven competitiveness is a priority on the policy agenda.
{"title":"The impact of digital and non-digital knowledge search channels on innovation failure in constrained learning environments","authors":"Nebojsa Stojcic , Agnieszka (Aggie) Chidlow (Aggie)","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123815","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123815","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the impact of digital and non-digital knowledge search channels on the likelihood of innovation failure among knowledge-creating, knowledge-using and non-innovative firms in emerging innovation systems. Our results show that digital search channels reduce the risk of innovation failure exclusively for knowledge-creating firms, emphasising the importance of internal capabilities in knowledge absorption. These channels allow firms to overcome the limitations of local markets and access distant knowledge resources more cost-effectively. The study extends the literature on innovation failure by emphasising the role of Internet-based technologies in facilitating the flow of knowledge between firms and their external environment. It improves our understanding of how context influences innovation outcomes and provides evidence-based insights for the development of innovation strategies, especially in environments where learning opportunities are scarce and the shift towards innovation-driven competitiveness is a priority on the policy agenda.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"209 ","pages":"Article 123815"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142433551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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